MLB Totals

[frankb03]

59-40

Split last night 1-1. I spent a good amount time yesterday refining some of my systems. One of my systems was returning too many plays, 9 on Sunday.

Unders:
NYM/Cincy 9
FL/Atlanta 8.5
Milw/Colorado 13
Clev/Detroit 9
Baltimore/KC 9.5

GL to All!!!!

[CoverBoy]

Frank

Good luck tonight .

[Homer]

Lets get them tonight. I will be on all five :D

[ez winners]

Good luck Frank!!

[GermanBettor]

Frank!

GOOD LUCK!

[frankb03]

Thanks and GL to all!

[timster]

Thanks Frank for posting your plays.

If you shop around on most days you can actually get better lines than Frank's.
For example today, with the exception of the Mil/Col game, the other 4 I have for half a run more all with a juice of under -120.

Which brings up the topic of how much is it worth spending to "buy" an extra half run for totals. Besides shopping around different books, Pinnacle has alternative totals.
I'll spend an extra 30 cents for a half run for totals under 10. Obviously the lower the total ie 7, sometimes I'm willing to spend up to 40 cents. Total over 10, no more than 25 cents.

[frankb03]

Timster

Originally posted by timster
If you shop around on most days you can actually get better lines than Frank's.
For example today, with the exception of the Mil/Col game, the other 4 I have for half a run more all with a juice of under -120.

You are correct! I play with 3 offshore accounts. I often get better lines than the posted lines. I usually post the lines from Pinnacle. It is one of the more popular sites. On more than one occasion I pushed a posted loss or won a posted push.

Also, the rule of thumb is to play favorites and overs early. Bet dogs and unders late. the next day when I grade my selections I notice many OU changes. More times than not the OU line seems to creep higher. Overall my betting record is slightly higher than my posted record.

I play all my posted games and I bet them early.

[Frank White]

0-3 in totals for me last night. can i get some pointers from you? alot of lefty lefty tonight, but thats been cold lately.

GREAT call on the Pitt under. i also lost with Tampa Under. Halladay aint nothin this year.

[frankb03]

Frank

I play only 'Unders'. The house gives a 1.5% edge on the Unders. Vegas knows most players prefer 'Overs'. It's my opinion they'll inflate many lines for that reason.

The Lefty/Lefty system has cooled somewhat. It's 7-1 Over the last 8 games. It's still clicking at almost 60%. I play two similar systems with additional parameters, which I'd rather not divulge. Both of those systems are at or near 70%.

Totals in baseball are very "contrarian". Games involving pitchers with relatively high ERA's go 'Under' more than pitchers with low ERA's.

ALL posted selections from all my systems I play. Very rarely do I not play and post a selection. If I don't play it I don't post it.