Nice Discovery for June Baseball! Take a look! 69.8% Winners

[craig]

I was thinking of a way to possibly find a trend that would provide winners. I may have found one.

I went over this months box scores, and odds, and came upon a nice discovery.

On a given night, play both plays on the moneyline:

A) Play the biggest home favorite of the night
B) Play the biggest home dog of the night

I tracked this for the month of June, and it came out like this.

If you played the biggest home dog of the night:
WINNERS 13
LOSERS 8

If you played the biggest home favorite of the night:
WINNERS 17
LOSERS 5

I am not quite sure what the exact payouts would be. But it would result in a nice profit.

DAY BY DAY RESULTS: (There was never a single day when both games lost in the month of June)

Tues June 22: 1-1
Mon June 21: 2-0
Sun June 20: 1-1
Sat June 19: 1-1
Fri June 18: 1-1
Thurs June 17: 1-1
Wed June 16: 2-0
Tue June 15: 2-0
Mon June 14: 1-0 (Only 1 game qualified)
Sun June 13: 1-1
Sat June 12: 2-0
Fri June 11: 1-1
Thur June 10: 2-0
Wed June 9: 2-0
Tue June 8: 1-1
Mon June 7: 1-1
Sun June 6: 1-1
Sat June 5: 1-1
Fri June 4: 1-1
Thur June 3: 2-0
Wed June 2: 2-0
Tue June 1: 1-1

TOTAL:
30 WINNERS
13 LOSERS
69.8%

Note: All lines were from scores and odds. Some days had the same line because they go by every 5 pts.

TONIGHT'S PLAY WOULD BE:
Biggest home dog: Baltimore
Biggest home favorite: Houston

GOOD LUCK! HOPE THIS MAY HELP. I WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK THIS!

[wizardofoddz]

craig

not to offend you, but you'd be in the poor house with the LARGE favorites..
What ever you choose.....
Best Of Luck

[craig]

Wizard,

I disagree.

Suppose the biggest home favorite of the night would average around -250.

For example: Based on $100/game
With 17 winners as home favorites: +$1700
With 5 Losers as home favorites. Average -250/night: -$1250

You still would be up around +$400-$500.

Add in the doggies:

With 13 Winners as home dogs. Average +135/night: +$1755
With 8 Losers: -$800

You would be up around $900.

[fats12]

great work and thank for sharing with the group........I will keep an eye on these!!!!

Like NFL home dogs covering the spread......Great thinking!

[wizardofoddz]

craig

You may be right, but in the long run, those -250 will kill you..
I may agree with the home dog, but I for one will NEVER lay over -150

[frankb03]

With all due respect this is not a trend but a mere coincidence. Over the long haul it'll probably hit 50%

[letswin]

Would the runline instead of moneyline make the outcome better or worse?...just a thought.

[fats12]

Just break it down to home dogs......That might be the play.....Go below 50% and still make some cash!

[jordy]

Craig, Is this with the opening line or closing line or in between

[craig]

closing line

[craig]

1-1 Wednesday.

Biggest home dog: Baltimore +140 WINNER
Biggest home favorite: Houston LOSER -185

Month of June:
Favorites: 17-6
Dogs: 14-8

*** I will continue to track these plays. I will be playing these from here on out. I may only play the home dog, I am not sure yet.***

GOOD LUCK!