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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (Thur., Nov. 11- Mon., Oct. 25)

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  • NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (Thur., Nov. 11- Mon., Oct. 25)

    NFL Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, November 11 - Monday, November 15

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  • #2
    Betting Recap - Week 9
    Dan Dobish

    Overall Notes

    National Football League Week 9 Results

    Wager Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 6-7

    Against the Spread 4-9
    Wager Home-Away
    Straight Up 6-7

    Against the Spread 4-9
    Wager Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 6-7

    National Football League Year-to-Date Results
    Wager Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 80-54

    Against the Spread 59-74-1
    Wager Home-Away

    Straight Up 65-69

    Against the Spread 57-76-1
    Wager Totals (O/U)

    Over-Under 61-71-2

    The largest underdogs to win straight up

    Jaguars +16 (ML +700) vs. Bills, 9-6
    Broncos +10 (ML +400) at Cowboys, 30-16
    Titans +7 (ML +270) at Rams, 28-16
    Falcons +6.5 (ML +250) at Saints, 27-25
    Cardinals +5.5 (ML +200) at 49ers, 31-17
    Giants +3 (ML +135) vs. Raiders, 23-16

    The largest favorites to cover

    Colts (-10) vs. Jets, 45-30 (Thu.)
    Dolphins (-4) vs. Texans, 17-9
    Patriots (-3.5) at Panthers, 24-6

    The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

    If you were holding a Minnesota Vikings (+270) ticket, my condolences. Things were looking great in the first quarter, as QB Kirk Cousins hooked up with WR Justin Jefferson for a 50-yard touchdown, making it 7-3 in favor of Minnesota. The Vikings pushed that lead to 17-3 late in the second quarter, but RB Devonta Freeman had a touchdown with 19 seconds left in the first half, closing the lead to 17-10.

    The second half started out great for the Vikings, as RB Kene Nwangwu ripped off a 98-yard kickoff return to restore the 14-point lead. That's how things stayed until Baltimore rattled off 21 straight points to take a 31-24 lead. Then, it was Cousins and WR Adam Thielen hooking up with 63 seconds left in regulation to force overtime, 31-31.

    QB Lamar Jackson, who went over 100 yards rushing on the ground again, saved the day, and smartly used the clock to his advantage in overtime. The Ravens salted away the last minute in OT, setting up the field goal while not giving the Vikings a chance if PK Justin Tucker missed. But Tucker doesn't miss, especially from just 36 yards out. He banged it home, and the Ravens won, with the Vikings covering. But Minnesota money line bettors were oh-so-close to tripling up, and they settled for a crumpled up ticket instead.

    The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

    Total bettors in the Atlanta Falcons-New Orleans Saints (43) who had the UNDER are still muttering bad words.

    We had a total of just three points on the board after the first quarter, and the Falcons led 10-0 at the break, as Saints QB Trevor Siemian could do nothing. He was starting for the injured QB Jameis Winston, who suffered an ACL and MCL injury last week and will be out for the season. So Siemian is the guy, with some QB Taysom Hill sprinkled in.

    Things picked up slightly in the third quarter, as the teams combined for 10 points, with Atlanta leading 17-3. But UNDER bettors were will feeling good with 22 points to play with to still cash an UNDER.

    PK Brian Johnson knocked through a 53-yard field goal for the home side, cutting the lead to 17-6. Then, WR Olamide Zaccheaus snagged a 6-yard touchdown with 10:39 to go, pushing Atlanta's lead to 24-6. But that was 10 quick points. Ut-oh.

    It got worse. Siemian came alive with a 5-yard TD strike to WR Marquez Callaway with 7:57 to go, and then RB Alvin Kamara punched one in from two yards out to make it 24-19. A missed two-point conversion gave UNDER bettors hope at a push, but that went out the window with a Siemian strike to WR Kenny Stills with 1:01 to go.

    A money line win for Falcons (+250) bettors looked like it slipped away, too, but vintage QB Matt Ryan helped Atlanta get positioned for a game-winning field goal, and PK Younghoe Koo came through from 29 yards out to win it 27-25. But 32 total points in the fourth quarter, that was ugly for UNDER bettors.

    Total Recall

    The lowest total on the board in Week 9, at least on Sunday, was the New England Patriots-Carolina Panthers (41.5) game. It started off well for UNDER bettors with a scoreless first quarter. We had a total of 20 points in the second quarter, and 10 points in the third, but a scoreless fourth helped UNDER bettors get across the finish line.

    The lowest total is in the Monday night game between the Chicago Bears-Pittsburgh Steelers (39), which we'll discuss below.

    The second lowest total on the board was the Falcons-Saints game, and you know how that went.

    On the flip side, the highest total on the board for Week 9 was the Sunday Night Football game between the Tennessee Titans-Los Angeles Rams (53). It was believed that the Titans would struggle with no RB Derrick Henry (foot) sidelined, although they were expected to pass more. The Titans offense was just fine, putting up 28 points. The game was never really in doubt, either. It was the Rams who struggled, posting just 16 points, while giving the Titans a short field on a miscue one time, and gifting a pick-six on another occasion. That still didn't move the needle on the total, which was well UNDER.

    In the primetime games, the OVER/UNDER went 1-1, with the MNF game between the Bears and Steelers still pending. The OVER is now 12-11-1 (52.2%) through 24 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

    Looking Ahead to Week 10

    Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)


    The Jaguars (2-6) travel to meet the Colts (4-5), and Jacksonville pulled off the biggest upset in the NFL this season when it pushed past Buffalo 9-6 in a field-goal fest and Josh Allen fest in Duvalll.

    Suddenly, Jacksonville has won two of the past three games, and it has alternated covers in the past six outings. In other words, the Jaguars are still not a great team, but they're also no longer a pushover.

    The Colts will be rested after spanking the Jets 45-30 on Thursday night in Week 9. Indy gets a couple of extra days to mend, and that will help. Jacksonville has actually won two of the past three against Indianapolis straight up, while covering the past three. The Jaguars are also 8-1-1 ATS in the previous 10 meetings against the Colts, while cashing the OVER in three of the past four meetings.
    Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

    The Bills (5-3) and Jets (2-6) square off, and New York is going to get an angry visitor. Buffalo shockingly struggled in a 9-6 loss at Jacksonville, losing outright as 16-point underdogs.

    The Jets are just 1-3 ATS across the past four outings, and 2-6 ATS across eight games overall. Total bettors love the Jets, however, as the OVER has hit in each of the past five outings, after a 3-0 UNDER run to start the season.

    The road team has covered four of the past six meetings in this series, although the home team covered in each of the two matchups in 2020. The UNDER has hit in three of the past four meetings in this series, too.

    Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

    The Chiefs (5-4) and Raiders (5-3) tangle on Sunday night, and both teams are looking to get the offense back on track after some shaky recent outings.

    Kansas City won 13-7 against the Green Bay Packers and QB Jordan Love, failing to cover in an easy UNDER result. The Chiefs have failed to cover in each of the past three, while averaging just 12.0 PPG. It's no surprise the UNDER hit in those three games, and each of the past four.

    The Raiders entered Week 9 in first place, and facing what looked like a very favorable road game against the New York Giants. The G-Men disagreed, hanging a 23-16 loss on the Silver and Black before heading back to Vegas. The Raiders will be happy to be home, as they're 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in four home dates at Allegiant this season. These teams split the regular-season meeting last year, with the road team winning each, and the Raiders covering both. The OVER also hit in each contest.

    Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

    The Rams (7-2) and 49ers (3-5) get together on Monday night. And like many of the teams above, both sides will be angry and looking for the bounce back.

    L.A. stumbled to a 28-16 loss at home against the Tennessee Titans, and the offense struggled more than it has all season. QB Matthew Stafford really was knocked around, and he was limping after having his ankle rolled up on at one point. He already missed practice time with a sore back last week, so perhaps Father Time finally re-discovered Staff after losing track of him for a while.

    The Niners were dumped at home by the Arizona Cardinals, even though QB Kyler Murray and WR DeAndre Hopkins were sidelined. Yes, Frisco was topped by QB Colt McCoy, who everyone just realized is still in the league.

    San Francisco actually won both meetings last season, and the 49ers are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in the past four in this series. The Niners won 24-16 at Levi's Stadium last season in Week 6 as 2.5-point underdogs as the UNDER.

    Comment


    • #3
      Tech Trends - Week 10
      Bruce Marshall

      Comment


      • #4
        BALTIMORE is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

        INDIANAPOLIS are 57-33 ATS (20.7 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.

        NEW ENGLAND is 75-40 ATS (31 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.

        ATLANTA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season in the second half of the season.

        NY JETS are 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

        NEW ORLEANS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the last 3 seasons.

        TAMPA BAY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.

        DETROIT is 8-27 ATS (-21.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season.

        LA CHARGERS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 10 - 13 in the last 3 seasons.

        ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 2 seasons.

        GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the current season.

        PHILADELPHIA is 58-34 ATS (20.6 Units) after 2 straight overs since 1992.

        KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season.

        LA RAMS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a loss by 10 or more points in the last 3 seasons.

        Comment


        • #5
          NFL
          Armadillo's Write-up

          Week 10


          Thursday game
          Baltimore (6-2) @ Miami (1-7)

          — This is Ravens’ first road game since October 3rd.
          — Baltimore won five of last six games, scoring 29.5 ppg.
          — Ravens gave up 33-41 points in their two losses.
          — Baltimore is 4-1 in games decided by 6 or less points.
          — Last three years, Ravens are 8-6 ATS as home favorites.
          — Baltimore trailed at halftime in three of last four games.
          — Last three games, opponents are 12-39 on third down
          — Three of their last four games went over.

          — Miami lost seven of last seven games, giving up 28.3 ppg.
          — Miami is 1-5 ATS the last six weeks.
          — Dolphins scored 17 points in both their wins.
          — Miami turned ball over 10 times in last three games (-3)
          — Miami has given up 50 plays of 20+ yards, has only 30 themselves.
          — Last six years, Miami is 14-10-1 ATS as home underdogs.
          — Last eight games, Dolphins were outscored 137-71 in 2nd half.
          — Three of last four Dolphin games went over the total.

          — Baltimore won eight of last nine series games.
          — Ravens won four of last five visits here (5-0 ATS)
          — Over is 5-1-1 last seven series games.

          Sunday games
          Jacksonville (2-6) @ Indianapolis (4-5)

          — Jaguars won two of last three games, after an 0-20 skid.
          — Jacksonville already has five losses by 10+ points.
          — Jaguars have one TD on their last 18 drives.
          — Jacksonville is minus-9 in turnovers (4-13)
          — Last four years, Jaguars are 8-13-2 ATS as road underdogs.
          — Last three years, Jacksonville is 14-20 ATS overall as dogs.
          — Jaguars converted 28 of 94 third down plays (29.8%).
          — Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.

          — Colts covered five of their last six games.
          — Indy is 14-10-2 last 26 games as a home favorite.
          — Last six weeks, Colts outscored opponents 85-45 in first half.
          — Last four games, Colts outscored opponents 69-46 in second half.
          — Colts have 19 takeaways in last eight games (+10)
          — Last five years, Colts are 7-11-2 ATS in AFC South home games.
          — Last 11 years, Indy is 5-2-1 ATS as double digit favorites.
          — Five of their last six games went over the total.

          — Home side won last six series games.
          — Jaguars are 3-1-2 ATS in last six visits to Indy.
          — Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

          Cleveland (5-4) @ New England (5-4)
          — Cleveland lost three of its last five games.
          — Browns allowed 14-15-16 points in last three games.
          — Mayfield threw for 9.0 yards/attempt in first post-Beckham game.
          — Cleveland outscored foes 42-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
          — Cleveland is 1-3 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
          — Browns are 11-9-1 ATS last 21 games with spread of 3 or less.
          — Cleveland is 8-12 ATS in last 20 road games.
          — Over is 3-1 in Browns’ four road games.

          — New England won four of last five games, scoring 31.8 ppg.
          — Patriots are 1-4 SU at home, with only win over Jets.
          — Since 2013, New England is 43-23-3 ATS at home.
          — Patriots are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
          — Patriots are +8 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
          — New England has 13 takeaways in last five games (+6)
          — Last five games, New England had 26 plays of 20+ yards (+5).
          — Four of last five Patriot games went over the total.

          — Patriots won seven of last eight series games.
          — Browns covered once in last five trips to Foxboro.

          Atlanta (4-4) @ Dallas (6-2)
          — Atlanta won/covered last four games away from home.
          — Atlanta’s last six games were all decided by 7 or less points.
          — Falcons led their last six games at halftime.
          — Atlanta has been outscored 146-82 in second half.
          — Last three years, Atlanta is 9-7 ATS as a road underdog.
          — Falcons are 3-1 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
          — Atlanta is 12-16 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
          — Over is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

          — Last two games, Cowboys were outscored 26-3 in first half.
          — Dallas is 7-1 ATS; they gave up 31-30 points in losses.
          — Cowboys have no takeaways in last two games (-4).
          — Last three years, Dallas is 8-10 ATS coming off a loss.
          — Last six years, Dallas is 16-15-1 ATS as home favorites.
          — Cowboys are 3-11-1 ATS last 15 games as non-divisional HF.
          — Over is 5-3 in Cowboys’ games this season.
          — NFC East home teams are 5-10 ATS in non-divisional games.

          — Last time these teams met, Dallas DC Quinn was Atlanta’s head coach.
          — Cowboys won last two series games, 40-39/22-19.
          — Falcons covered three of last four visits to Dallas.

          Buffalo (5-3) @ NJ Jets (2-6)
          — Bills lost two of last three games, after a 4-1 start.
          — All five of their wins are by 15+ points.
          — Buffalo has given up 11 TD’s on 81 drives.
          — Bills are 6-5 ATS last ten games as road favorites.
          — Last six games, Bills are +11 in turnovers.
          — Buffalo outscored first seven foes 120-53 in first half.
          — Last two weeks, Buffalo didn’t score first half TD.
          — Over is 7-3-2 in Bills’ last 12 road games.

          — Jets have used three QB’s last three games; who starts here?
          — Jets gave up 54-31-45 points in last three games.
          — Last two games, Jets scored eight TD’s on 21 drives.
          — Jets have been outscored 51-14 in first quarter, 151-44 in first half.
          — Last three years, Jets are 10-6 ATS as home underdogs.
          — Last four years, Jets are 13-24 ATS coming off a loss.
          — Last five Jet games went over the total.
          — Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 13-25 ATS so far this season.

          — Underdogs are 10-3 ATS last 14 series games (one pick ‘em).
          — Buffalo won four of last five series games.
          — Bills are 6-6 ATS in last dozen meetings played here.

          New Orleans (5-3) @ Tennessee (7-2)
          — Siemian was 25-41/249, two TD’s in his first start for Saints.
          — Saints won three of last four games, scoring 26.8 ppg.
          — New Orleans held seven of eight opponents under 100 yards rushing.
          — Underdogs won six of their eight games SU (7-1 ATS).
          — Saints are 5-3-1 ATS last nine games vs AFC opponents.
          — Last three years, Saints are 7-1-1 ATS coming off a loss.
          — New Orleans has 19 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 37.
          — Four of their last five games went over the total.

          — Tennessee won/covered seven of last eight games, scoring 30.5 ppg.
          — First six weeks, Titans ran for 165 yards/game; last three, 88.3 ypg.
          — Titans have eight takeaways in last three games.
          — Last six weeks, Titans are +7 in turnovers.
          — Last three years, Tennessee is 8-7 ATS as home favorites.
          — Titans are 9-5 ATS last 14 games vs NFC opponents.
          — Tennessee has only four TD plays longer than 18 yards.
          — Over is 4-2 in Tennessee’s last six games.

          — Road team won last four series games.
          — Saints won 38-28/22-17 in last two visits to Nashville.

          Tampa Bay (6-2) @ Washington (2-6)
          — Bucs won four of last five games, scoring 31.4 ppg.
          — Buccaneers have 32 TD’s on 86 drives this season.
          — Last seven games, Tampa Bay is +7 in turnovers.
          — Last four games, Bucs scored 6.14 points/red zone drive.
          — Last four games, opponents converted 14-51 on third down.
          — Over is 5-2-1 in Tampa Bay games this season.
          — Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in last six post-bye games.
          — NFC South road favorites are 3-6 ATS in non-divisional games.

          — Washington lost its last four games, scoring 11 ppg in last three.
          — Washington has covered once in eight games this year.
          — Last three games, Washington was outscored 38-10 in second half.
          — Washington opponents converted 65-1115 on third down (56.5%).
          — Washington is 0-4 ATS at home this season.
          — Last 2+ years, Washington is 8-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.
          — Last three Washington games stayed under the total.
          — NFC East home teams are 5-10 ATS in non-divisional games.
          — Washington is 2-9 ATS in last 11 post-bye games.

          — Underdogs are 6-0-1 ATS in last seven meetings.
          — Buccaneers are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits here.
          — Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games.

          Detroit (0-8) @ Pittsburgh (5-3)
          — Detroit is winless, has gone WLWLWLW vs spread.
          — Last six games, Lions were outscored 81-22 in first half.
          — Detroit has four TD’s on its last 40 drives.
          — Lions have one takeaway in last three games (minus-3)
          — Detroit gave up at least 7.1 yards/pass attempt in every game.
          — Last three years, Detroit is 8-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
          — Five of last six Detroit games stayed under the total.
          — Lions lost twice on last-second FG’s, both 50+ yards.

          — Steelers won last four games, giving up 19 ppg.
          — Short week for Pittsburgh after their Monday night win.
          — Pitt was outgained 414-280 Monday, gave up special teams TD
          — Last seven games, Steelers were outscored 101-66 in second half.
          — Underdogs are 5-0 ATS in Pittsburgh home games this year.
          — Last five years, Steelers are 13-19 ATS as home favorites.
          — Last seven years, Steelers are 16-11 ATS vs NFC opponents.
          — Five of eight Steeler games stayed under the total.

          — Steelers won last five series games, four by 8+ points.
          — Lions are 1-2 ATS in last three visits to Heinz Field.
          — Four of last five series games went over.

          Minnesota (3-5) @ LA Chargers (5-3)
          — Seven of Vikings’ eight games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
          — Vikings lost last two games, by total of seven points.
          — Minnesota is +6 in turnovers last three games (even first 5 games)
          — Last eight years, Vikings are 20-10 ATS vs AFC opponents.
          — Minnesota is 11-13 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
          — Minnesota has been outscored 70-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
          — Four of Vikings’ last six games stayed under the total.
          — NFC North road underdogs are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.

          — Chargers lost two of last three games, after a 4-1 start.
          — Six of their eight games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
          — Last four games, Chargers allowed 183.3 rushing yards/game.
          — Last four years, LA is 5-15-1 ATS as home favorites.
          — Bolts are 9-5-1 ATS last 15 games vs NFC opponents.
          — Chargers are 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games coming off a win.
          — Over is 3-1 in last four Charger games.
          — AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 4-2 ATS.

          — Minnesota won last two series games, 39-10/31-14.
          — Vikings covered last four meetings.
          — Home side won four of last five series games.

          Carolina (4-5) @ Arizona (8-1)
          — Carolina lost five of last six games after a 3-0 start.
          — Carolina is 0-6 if it allows more than 14 points.
          — Panthers scored one TD on their last 32 drives.
          — Panthers are 8-2 ATS last ten games as road underdogs.
          — Carolina outscored opponents 94-66 in first half.
          — Last six games, Panthers were outscored 93-45 in second half.
          — Under is 7-2 in Carolina games this season.
          — NFC South road underdogs are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

          — Arizona won eight of first nine games (7-2 ATS).
          — Cardinals covered six of their last seven games.
          — Backup QB McCoy played well LW; check Murray’s status.
          — Last seven years, Arizona is 11-20 ATS as a home favorite.
          — Cardinals have 33 TD’s on 90 drives this season.
          — Arizona has 202 points on 35 drives to red zone (5.76)
          — Arizona has 41 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 23.
          — Under is 3-0 in last three Arizona home games.

          — Carolina won nine of last 12 series games.
          — Underdogs are 3-1-1 ATS last five series games.
          — Panthers are 4-1-1 ATS in last six trips to Arizona.

          Seattle (3-5) @ Green Bay (7-1)
          — Wilson (finger) returns here, for first time since Week 5.
          — Wilson played his last year of college ball at Wisconsin.
          — Seahawks lost five of their last seven games overall.
          — Seattle is 11-4-1 ATS last 16 games as a dog, 3-1 TY.
          — Seattle is 6-3 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
          — Seattle has 37 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve given up 24.
          — Last four games, opponents converted 16-65 on third down.
          — Three of Seahawks’ last four games stayed under total.

          — Rodgers’ (COVID) status for this game is still unclear.
          — Green Bay won seven of last eight games (7-0-1 ATS)
          — Packers lost 13-7 at Arrowhead LW, in Love’s first NFL start.
          — Last three years, Green Bay is 13-6 ATS as a home favorite (3-0 HF).
          — Green Bay averaged 6.5 or less yards/pass attempt 5 of last 6 games.
          — Last three years, Pack is 7-0 ATS coming off a loss.
          — Last six Packer games stayed under the total.
          — NFC North home favorites are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

          — Home side won last eight series games.
          — Seahawks are 0-7-1 ATS last eight visits to Lambeau.
          — Last time Seattle covered here was 2003.

          Philadelphia (3-6) @ Denver (5-4)
          — Eagles lost six of their last eight games.
          — Philly is 3-1 if it allows 18 or less points, 0-5 if it allows more.
          — Last four years, Eagles are 6-10 ATS as road underdogs.
          — Eagles are 6-13 ATS last 19 games with spread of 3 or less points.
          — Philly had 236-176 YR last two games (98.6 ypg previous five games)
          — Last eight weeks, Eagles were outscored 108-70 in first half.
          — Last three weeks, Philly converted 19-35 on third down.
          — Last three Eagle games went over the total.
          — NFC East teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional home games.

          — Denver won its last two games, giving up 10-16 points.
          — Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 25.3 ppg in losses.
          — Last four years, Broncos are 4-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
          — Denver has three takeaway in last five games (-5).
          — Last two games, Denver converted 15-28 third down plays.
          — Seven of nine Denver games stayed under the total.
          — Broncos are 7-10-3 ATS last 20 games with spread of 3 or less points.
          — AFC West non-divisional home favorites are 3-9 ATS.

          — Home side won last four series games.
          — Eagles lost 52-20/49-21 in last two visits to Denver.
          — Last four series games went over (average total, 68.3).

          Kansas City (5-4) @ Las Vegas (5-3)
          — Chiefs scored only 12 ppg last three games.
          — Kansas City averaged only 4.7/5.2/4.2 yards/pass in those games.
          — Chiefs have only three TD’s on their last 28 drives.
          — Chiefs turned ball over 19 times in last eight games (-11)
          — Kansas City is 0-4 ATS at home this season.
          — KC has 31 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 41.
          — Chiefs’ last four games stayed under the total.
          — Chiefs are 14-4 ATS last 18 AFC West road games.

          — Raiders scored 14-9-16 points in losses, 26+ in wins.
          — Last five years, Raiders are 10-8-1 ATS as home dogs.
          — Raiders led last three games at halftime.
          — Las Vegas has allowed 7+ yards pass attempt once, in Week 2.
          — Raiders are 8-4 ATS in AFC West home games.
          — Raiders converted 11 of last 32 third down plays.
          — Las Vegas outgained Giants 403-245 LW, were awful in red zone.
          — Raiders had ball in red zone six times, scored only 16 points.

          — Kansas City won 13 of last 16 meetings in this rivalry.
          — Chiefs are 1-3 ATS last four visits to Las Vegas/Oakland.
          — Chiefs scored 30+ points in six of last seven meetings.

          Monday’s game
          LA Rams (7-1) @ San Francisco (3-5)

          — Rams won four of their last five games.
          — Rams are 4-0 on road this year, scoring 32.3 ppg.
          — Last five games, LA converted only 21-60 on 3rd down
          — Over is 6-3 in Rams’ games this season.
          — Last three years, Rams are 9-5 ATS as road favorites.
          — Under McVay, Rams are 8-4-1 ATS in NFC West road tilts.
          — Last five games, LA is +5 in turnovers.
          — NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 3-6 ATS.

          — 49ers lost five of their last six games.
          — 49ers are 0-4 SU at home, giving up 29.8 ppg.
          — All three of their wins came on road (Lions/Eagles/Bears)
          — Thru eight games, 49ers are minus-10 in turnovers.
          — Last four years, 49ers are 4-3 ATS s home underdogs.
          — Last four games, SF converted 14-56 third down plays.
          — Last five years, 49ers are 4-9-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
          — 49ers’ last three games went over the total.

          — 49ers won last four meetings; they were underdog in last three.
          — Under McVay, Rams are 2-2 ATS in Santa Clara.
          — Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

          Comment


          • #6
            NFL

            Week 9


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Baltimore @ Miami
            Baltimore
            Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
            Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
            Miami
            Miami is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore

            Atlanta @ Dallas
            Atlanta
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
            Dallas
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
            Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

            New Orleans @ Tennessee
            New Orleans
            New Orleans is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
            Tennessee
            Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
            Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

            Buffalo @ NY Jets
            Buffalo
            Buffalo is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
            Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
            NY Jets
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games
            NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

            Tampa Bay @ Washington
            Tampa Bay
            Tampa Bay is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
            Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
            Washington
            Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

            Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
            Jacksonville
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games
            Jacksonville is 10-1-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Indianapolis
            Indianapolis
            Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
            Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

            Detroit @ Pittsburgh
            Detroit
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
            Pittsburgh
            Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
            Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

            Cleveland @ New England
            Cleveland
            Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
            New England
            New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
            New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland

            Minnesota @ LA Chargers
            Minnesota
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
            Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
            LA Chargers
            LA Chargers is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
            LA Chargers is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

            Carolina @ Arizona
            Carolina
            Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
            Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
            Arizona
            Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
            Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

            Philadelphia @ Denver
            Philadelphia
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Denver
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
            Denver
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
            Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

            Seattle @ Green Bay
            Seattle
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
            Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Green Bay
            Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games

            Kansas City @ Las Vegas
            Kansas City
            Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
            Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
            Las Vegas
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 8 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas City

            LA Rams @ San Francisco
            LA Rams
            LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            San Francisco
            San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              NFL
              Dunkel

              Week 10


              Comment


              • #8
                Baltimore has won six of its last seven games.
                Baltimore has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six road games.
                Miami has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.




                Comment


                • #9
                  BetMGM NFL Week 10 Insights: Most Regular Season Wins

                  Highest Ticket%
                  • Buccaneers 14.4%
                  • Cardinals 13.3%
                  • Chiefs 11.8%

                  Highest Handle%
                  • Buccaneers 27.5%
                  • Packers 12.2%
                  • Cardinals 11.7%
                  https://bit.ly/3mKbd9B

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Most bet teams (tickets)
                    1. Browns +2.5
                    2. Lions +6.5
                    3. Cowboys -8

                    Most bet teams (handle)
                    1. Titans -3
                    2. Jets +12
                    3. Patriots -2.5
                    https://bit.ly/3mKbd9B

                    Comment

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