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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 1 (Thur., Sept. 2 - Sun., Sept. 5)



    Week 1



    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, September 2 - Sunday, September 5

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.


    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------



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    <a href=" http://stats.bovada.chalkpartners.com/stats/trends/football/ncaaf?menu=secondary" target=_"blank"><b>NCAAF Trends</b></a>




  • #2

    Tech Trends - Week 1
    Bruce Marshall










    Last edited by Udog; 09-01-2021, 08:37 AM.

    Comment


    • #3

      NCAAF

      Week 1


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------






      Comment


      • #4

        NCAAF
        Dunkel

        Week 1


        Wednesday, September 1 - Thursday, September 2




        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Week 1


          Thursday’s games
          Temple @ Rutgers
          — Temple was 1-6 LY, its first losing season in seven years.
          — Over last decade, Owls are 24-17 ATS out of conference.
          — Temple has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
          — Owls have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
          — Owls have freshman QB with 1 start- he threw 30 passes for Georgia LY.
          — Temple is 13-6 ATS last 19 games as a road underdog.

          — Last six years, Rutgers is 16-53 SU.
          — Since 2013, Scarlet Knights are 15-11 ATS out of conference.
          — Rutgers has 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
          — Rutgers has 69 returning starts on the offensive line.
          — Rutgers’ junior QB has started 7 games.
          — Last five years, Rutgers is 4-3 ATS as home favorite.

          — Rutgers won last four series games.
          — Teams haven’t met since 2013.
          — Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in last five series games played here.

          Boise State @ Central Florida
          — Over last decade, Boise State is 100-27 SU.
          — Broncos are 9-11 ATS in last 20 non-league games.
          — Boise State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
          — Broncos have 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
          — Boise has soph QB who has started 13 games.
          — Last seven years, Boise is 5-2 ATS as an underdog.

          — UCF is 41-8 last four years; Gus Malzahn is new coach.
          — Malzahn is 22-26-1 ATS as a home favorite.
          — UCF has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
          — Golden Knights have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
          — UCF has a sophomore QB with 22 career starts.
          — Last five years, UCF is 15-12-1 ATS as home favorites.

          — These teams haven’t met in last 20 years.

          East Carolina vs Appalachian State (@ Charlotte)
          — East Carolina has six straight losing seasons.
          — ECU is 4-9 ATS in last 13 non-leaguer games.
          — East Carolina has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
          — Pirates have 69 returning starts on the offensive line.
          — East Carolina has a junior QB has started 25 games.
          — Last two years, Pirates are 9-7 ATS as road underdogs.

          — Last six years, ASU is 63-15 SU.
          — App State is 14-9 ATS last 23 non-league games.
          — App State has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
          — ASU has 69 returning starts on the offensive line.
          — App State has a QB with 11 starts- he transferred from Duke.
          — ASU was 2-7-1 ATS as favorite LY, coach Clark’s first year.

          — These teams haven’t met since 2012.

          South Florida @ NC State
          — South Florida went 5-16 last two years, after a 36-15 run.
          — Bulls are 14-11 ATS in last 25 non-league games.
          — USF has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
          — Bulls have 108 returning starts on the offensive line.
          — USF will have a new QB; they have transfers from UNC, Miami.
          — Bulls are 12-9-1 ATS last 22 games as road underdogs.

          — NC State finished over .500 six of last seven years.
          — State is 6-10 ATS last 16 non-conference games.
          — Wolfpack has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
          — State has 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
          — Wolfpack has soph QB with 8 starts; he’s had injury issues.
          — Last three years, State is 9-6 ATS as home favorites.

          — These teams haven’t met since 2014.

          Bowling Green @ Tennessee
          — Bowling Green is 12-41 SU since Dino Babers bolted to Syracuse.
          — Falcons were 0-5 LY, outscored 225-57.
          — Falcons have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
          — Bowling Green has only 14 returning starts on offensive line.
          — Falcons have a junior QB with 5 starts.
          — Last two years, Falcons are 0-9 ATS as an underdog.

          — Tennessee is playing first game for new coach Heupel.
          — Heupel was 9-8 ATS as home favorite at Central Florida.
          — Tennessee has 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
          — Vols have 70 returning starts on offensive line.
          — Vols have QB with 5 starts who transferred from Michigan.
          — Last four years, Tennessee is 5-10 ATS as home favorites.

          — Vols (-21.5) beat Bowling Green 59-30 in 2015.

          Ohio State @ Minnesota
          — Last nine years, Ohio State is 106-11 SU.
          — Buckeyes have home game with Oregon next; better not look ahead.
          — Buckeyes have 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
          — OSU has 37 returning starts on offensive line.
          — Ohio State doesn’t have a QB who has thrown a college pass.
          — Coach Day is 14-5 ATS as a favorite, 6-1 on road.

          — Minnesota was 3-4 SU LY, 18-8 previous two years.
          — Last two years, Gophers are 11-5 ATS in conference games.
          — Minnesota has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
          — Gophers have 182 (yes, 182) returning starts on offensive line.
          — Gophers have a junior QB with 26 starts.
          — Since 2013, Minnesota is 11-8 ATS as home underdog.

          — Teams haven’t played since 2018.
          — Ohio State won last 11 series games (2-5 ATS last seven)
          — Buckeyes covered five of last seven visits to Minnesota.



          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF
            Dunkel

            Week 1


            Friday, September 3






            NCAAF
            Armadillo's Write-up

            Week 1


            Friday’s games
            North Carolina @ Virginia Tech

            — UNC is 15-10 SU in two years under Mack Brown.
            — Tar Heels were 5-18 the two years before Brown took over.
            — Tar Heels have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
            — Tech has 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
            — UNC has a soph QB with 25 career starts.
            — Last three years, Tar Heels are 3-5 ATS as road favorites.

            — Tech is 19-18 SU last three years.
            — Under Fuente, Hokies are 3-5 ATS as home underdogs.
            — Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
            — Tech has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
            — Hokies’ junior QB has started four games.
            — Last four years, Tech is 12-14 ATS at home.

            — Va Tech is 13-4 in last 17 series games.
            — Tar Heels lost six of last eight visits to Blacksburg.
            — Last two series games ended 56-45/43-41

            Old Dominion @ Wake Forest
            — Old Dominion sat out LY; they were 1-11 in 2019.
            — Monarchs’ new coach was an OC at Penn State.
            — ODU has 7 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
            — Monarchs have 52 returning starts on OL, very little depth.
            — ODU has QB who started 3 games at Central Florida.
            — Monarchs are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

            — Wake was over .500 four of last five seasons.
            — Deacons are 9-7-1 ATS in last 17 non-conference games.
            — Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
            — Deacons have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
            — Wake has a sophomore QB with 19 career starts.
            — Under Clawson, Deacons are 12-10 ATS as home favorites.

            — These teams haven’t played each other.

            Duke @ Charlotte
            — Duke went 7-16 SU last two seasons.
            — Last 8 years, Blue Devils are 26-8 ATS out of conference.
            — Duke has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
            — Blue Devils have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
            — Duke will have new starting QB for third year in row.
            — Under Cutcliffe, Blue Devils are 33-24-2 ATS as favorites.

            — Charlotte is 9-10 SU in two years under Healy.
            — 49ers added several transfers last winter.
            — Charlotte has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
            — 49ers have 29 returning starts on offensive line.
            — Charlotte has a junior QB with 24 starts.
            — Under Healy, 49ers are 3-5 ATS as an underdog.

            — Duke (-20) waxed Charlotte 53-19 LY, running for 274 yards.

            Michigan State @ Northwestern
            — Michigan State is 16-17 SU last three years.
            — Tucker is 2-5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
            — Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
            — MSU has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
            — Michigan State has a QB who started 26 games for Temple.
            — MSU is 1-4-1 ATS in last six games as a road underdog.

            — Northwestern finished over .500 five of last six seasons.
            — Last six years, Wildcats are 30-15 ATS in conference games.
            — Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
            — Northwestern has 42 returning starts on the offensive line.
            — Northwestern’s QB is a Clemson transfer with 5 career starts.
            — Last six years, Wildcats are 12-11-1 ATS as home favorites.

            — Northwestern is 4-3 in last seven series games, but lost last two.
            — Five of last seven series games were won SU by underdogs.
            — Spartans won six of last seven visits to Evanston.


             

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAF
              Dunkel

              Week 1


              Friday, September 3

              St. Francis (PA) at Eastern Michigan
              Time: 7:00 pm ET
              Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (PA) 45.011; Eastern Michigan 80.607
              Dunkel Line & Total: Eastern Michigan by 35 ?; 65
              Vegas Line & Total: Eastern Michigan by 32 ?; 54
              Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-32 ?); Over

              South Dakota at Kansas
              Time: 8:00 pm ET
              Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 56.172; Kansas 71.429
              Dunkel Line & Total: Kansas by 15 ?; 49
              Vegas Line & Total: Kansas by 13; 56
              Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-13); Under

              Northern Colorado at Colorado
              Time: 9:00 pm ET
              Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 53.341; Colorado 83.112
              Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 30; 50
              Vegas Line & Total: Colorado by 38; 56 ?
              Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+38); Under

              South Dakota State at Colorado State
              Time: 9:00 pm ET
              Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 85.213; Colorado State 75.470
              Dunkel Line & Total: South Dakota State by 10; 47
              Vegas Line & Total: Colorado State by 3; 52 ?
              Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (+3); Under


               

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAF
                Dunkel

                Week 1


                Saturday, September 4





                 

                Comment


                • #9
                  NCAAF
                  Armadillo's Write-up

                  Week 1


                  Saturday’s top 13 games
                  Stanford vs Kansas State (@Arlington, TX)

                  — Stanford finished over .500 nine of last ten years.
                  — Cardinal is 6-8-1 ATS in last 15 non-conference games.
                  — Cardinal has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
                  — Stanford has 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Cardinal will have a new QB this season.
                  — Under Shaw, Stanford is 14-11-1 ATS as underdogs.

                  — Last three years, K-State is 17-18 SU.
                  — Klieman was Carson Wentz’s coach at North Dakota State.
                  — Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
                  — K-State has 53 returning starts on offensive line.
                  — Wildcats have senior QB with 30 career starts.
                  — Under Klieman, K-State is 5-3 ATS as a favorite.

                  — In 2016, Stanford (-14) beat K-State 26-13.

                  Penn State @ Wisconsin
                  — Penn State won last four games LY, after starting out 0-5.
                  — Four years before that, Nittany Lions were 41-11 SU.
                  — Penn State has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
                  — Penn State has 47 returning starts on offensive line.
                  — Penn State has a junior QB, with 20 starts.
                  — Last five years, Nittany Lions are 4-2 ATS as road underdogs.

                  — Over last decade, Wisconsin is 95-35 SU.
                  — Badgers are 10-15 ATS in last 25 conference games.
                  — Badgers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
                  — Wisconsin has 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Wisconsin has a freshman QB, with seven starts.
                  — Last three years, Badgers are 5-11 ATS as a home favorite.

                  — Penn State won/covered last four series games.
                  — Nittany Lions split their last six visits to Madison.
                  — Teams didn’t play last two seasons.

                  West Virginia @ Maryland
                  — West Virginia finished over .500 six of last seven years.
                  — WVU is 6-10 ATS in last 16 non-conference games.
                  — Mountaineers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
                  — WVU has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Mountaineers have junior QB with 31 career starts.
                  — Last eight years, West Virginia is 8-9 ATS as road favorites.

                  — Maryland has had six consecutive losing seasons.
                  — Locksley is 18-24 ATS as an underdog.
                  — Maryland has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
                  — Maryland has 36 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Terrapins have sophomore QB who started 4 games.
                  — Last seven years, Maryland is 7-11 ATS as home underdog.

                  — Teams haven’t met since 2015.
                  — West Virginia won nine of last ten series games.

                  Indiana @ Iowa
                  — Hoosiers were 14-7 SU the last two years.
                  — Before 2019, Indiana had eight losing seasons in a row.
                  — Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
                  — Indiana has 46 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Indiana has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
                  — Last three years, Indiana is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog.

                  — Iowa has had eight winning seasons in a row.
                  — Ferentz is 87-71-2 ATS as a favorite.
                  — Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
                  — Iowa has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Hawkeyes have a soph QB this year, with 8 starts.
                  — Last three years, Iowa is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.

                  — Iowa won seven of last eight series games.
                  — Teams didn’t meet the last two seasons.
                  — Favorites covered last four series games.

                  Louisiana @ Texas
                  — Louisiana went 21-4 SU last two seasons.
                  — Last three years, ULL is 9-4 ATS out of conference.
                  — Cajuns have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
                  — Louisiana has 140 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Cajuns have a senior QB with 28 career starts.
                  — Last 3 years, Louisiana is 7-2-1 ATS as road underdog.

                  — First game as Texas coach for Sarkisian.
                  — Herman got fired despite going 25-12 SU last three years.
                  — Sarkisian was 17-11 ATS as home favorite at Washington/USC.
                  — Texas has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
                  — Longhorns have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Texas has a new coach, new QB.
                  — Last 4 years, Longhorns are 7-12 ATS as home favorites.

                  — These teams haven’t met in last 20 years.

                  Alabama vs Miami (@ Atlanta)
                  — Over last decade, Alabama is 127-12 SU
                  — Alabama is 13-10-1 ATS in last 24 games outside SEC
                  — Crimson Tide has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
                  — Alabama has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Bama’s new QB threw 22 passes in mop-up time LY.
                  — Alabama is 9-7 ATS in last 16 games on neutral fields.

                  — Miami finished over .500 five of last six years.
                  — Miami is 7-9 ATS in last 16 non-conference games.
                  — Miami has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
                  — Miami has 190 returning starts on offensive line.
                  — Hurricanes’ senior QB has started 30 games.
                  — Under Diaz, Miami is 4-1 ATS as an underdog.

                  — These teams haven’t met in last 20 years.

                  San Jose State @ USC
                  — San Jose went 7-1 LY, their first winning year since 2012.
                  — Spartans beat up a I-AA team 45-14 LW, throwing for 410 yards.
                  — Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
                  — San Jose has 112 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Spartans have a senior QB with 18 career starts- he used to play at Arkansas.
                  — Last three years, San Jose is 9-3 ATS as a road underdog.

                  — USC went 13-6 SU the last two years.
                  — Trojans open Pac-12 play with Stanford next week.
                  — Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
                  — USC has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Trojans have a soph QB with 17 career starts.
                  — Last four years, USC is 7-12 ATS as home favorite.

                  — These teams haven’t met since 2009.

                  Texas Tech @ Houston (NRG Stadium)
                  — Tech has had five losing seasons in a row.
                  — Red Raiders are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 games out of conference.
                  — Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
                  — Tech has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Tech’s soph QB started seven games at Oregon.
                  — Last two years, Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS on the road.

                  — In two years under Holgorsen, Houston is 7-13 SU
                  — last eight years, Cougars are 21-14 ATS out of conference.
                  — Cougars have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
                  — Houston has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
                  — Houston’s junior QB has started 17 games.
                  — Holgorsen is 25-34-1 ATS at home.

                  — Tech won last three series games.
                  — Red Raiders won last meeting 63-49; yardage was 704-635.

                  Georgia vs Clemson (@ Charlotte)
                  — Georgia won 10+ games seven of last ten years.
                  — Dawgs are 9-7 ATS in last 16 non-conference games.
                  — Dawgs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
                  — Georgia has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Dawgs’ soph QB has 16 career starts.
                  — Under Smart, Georgia is 3-2 ATS as an underdog.

                  — Over last decade, Clemson is 121-18 SU.
                  — Last three years, Tigers are 6-8 ATS out of conference.
                  — Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
                  — Tigers have 37 returning starts on offensive line.
                  — Clemson’s freshman QB has made 2 starts.
                  — Clemson is 14-8 ATS in last 22 games as a favorite.

                  — Teams haven’t met since 2014.
                  — Georgia won three of last four series games.

                  Southern Miss @ South Alabama
                  — USM finished over .500 five of last six years.
                  — Golden Eagles’ new coach was OC at Tulane last two years
                  — Golden Eagles have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
                  — USM has 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Golden Eagles’ soph QB has 3 starts
                  — USM’s is 12-9 ATS in its last 21 road games.

                  — South Alabama has had seven straight losing seasons.
                  — Last nine years, Jaguars are 20-23 ATS out of conference.
                  — USA has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
                  — You’re reading ***************.com
                  — Jaguars have 69 returning starts on offensive line.
                  — USA’s QB has also played at South Carolina/Utah.
                  — Jaguars are 13-11 ATS in last 24 home games.

                  — USA (+13.5) upset Southern Miss 32-21 LY in Hattiesburg.
                  — Jaguars threw for 363 yards in that game.

                  LSU @ UCLA (1-0)
                  — LSU practiced in Houston this week because of the hurricane.
                  — Last nine years, Tigers are 18-21 ATS out of conference.
                  — LSU has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
                  — Tigers have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — LSU’s junior QB has made three starts.
                  — Under Orgeron, Tigers are 7-6 ATS as a road favorite.

                  — Three years under Kelly, UCLA is 10-21 SU.
                  — Bruins’ last bowl was 2017; last bowl win was 2014.
                  — UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
                  — Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — UCLA’s junior QB is making his 25th career start.
                  — Under Kelly, Bruins are 4-5 ATS as a home underdog.

                  — These teams haven’t met in last 20 years.

                  BYU vs Arizona (@ Las Vegas)
                  — BYU was 11-1 LY, after going 18-21 previous three years.
                  — Cougars play their arch-rival Utah next week.
                  — BYU has 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
                  — Cougars have 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — BYU will have a new QB this season.
                  — Cougars were 8-3 ATS as a favorite last year.

                  — Arizona’s new coach has lot of NFL experience as an assistant.
                  — Wildcats were 0-5 LY, are 9-20 SU last three years,.
                  — Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
                  — Arizona has 81 returning starts on offensive line.
                  — Arizona’s soph QB started 16 games at South Florida.
                  — Last two years, Wildcats are 4-9 ATS as an underdog.

                  — BYU won last two series games, 28-23/18-16
                  — Last meeting was three years ago.

                  Nevada @ California
                  — last three years, Nevada is 22-13 SU
                  — Wolf Pack is 7-12 ATS in last 19 non-league games.
                  — Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
                  — Wolf Pack has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Nevada’s soph QB has 19 career starts.
                  — Wolf Pack is 8-12 ATS in last 20 games as road underdog.

                  — Cal only played four games LY; three of them were decided by 4 or less points.
                  — Golden Bears are 5-6 ATS in last 11 non-league games.
                  — Cal has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
                  — Cal has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Cal’s soph QB has 19 career starts.
                  — Last three years, Golden Bears are 0-7-1 ATS as home favorites.

                  — Teams haven’t met since 2012.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NCAAF
                    Dunkel

                    Week 1


                    Monday, September 6






                    NCAAF
                    Armadillo's Write-up

                    Week 1


                    Monday’s game
                    Louisville @ Ole Miss

                    — Last three years, Louisville is 14-22 SU.
                    — In his career, Satterfield is 7-10-2 ATS as road underdog.
                    — Louisville has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
                    — Cardinals have 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Louisville has QB with 25 career starts.
                    — Last three years, Cardinals are 2-9-1 ATS as road underdog.

                    — Coach Kiffin has COVID, won’t be at this game.
                    — Last five years, Ole Miss is 6-11 ATS out of conference.
                    — Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
                    — Ole Miss has 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Rebels’ soph QB has started 14 games.
                    — Last three years, Ole Miss is 6-4 ATS as home favorite.

                    — These teams are meeting for first time.


                     

                    Comment

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