I found a formula that may do a good job at picking winners for the Over/Under. Here it is:
From the Dunkel Index: Take the two teams playing with each other and average the scores out. If it is more than 1 full point off from the posted Over/under total, it is a play. I broke them up in 3 categories.
BIG... 2.5 or more points differential
MEDIUM... 2 to 2.5 points differential
SMALL... 1.5 to 2 points differential
I started keeping track of this on Tuesday. The YTD record would be:
BIG... 2-1
MEDIUM... 0-1
SMALL... 4-0-1
TOTAL... 6-2-1
This is still in test mode. I am not playing these games. I will keep track of this for a week to see if it is a good indicator. Tonight's plays:
Florida OVER 8.5 (-105) MEDIUM PLAY
Oakland OVER 8 (+100) MEDIUM PLAY
Anaheim OVER 8 (-135) SMALL PLAY
From the Dunkel Index: Take the two teams playing with each other and average the scores out. If it is more than 1 full point off from the posted Over/under total, it is a play. I broke them up in 3 categories.
BIG... 2.5 or more points differential
MEDIUM... 2 to 2.5 points differential
SMALL... 1.5 to 2 points differential
I started keeping track of this on Tuesday. The YTD record would be:
BIG... 2-1
MEDIUM... 0-1
SMALL... 4-0-1
TOTAL... 6-2-1
This is still in test mode. I am not playing these games. I will keep track of this for a week to see if it is a good indicator. Tonight's plays:
Florida OVER 8.5 (-105) MEDIUM PLAY
Oakland OVER 8 (+100) MEDIUM PLAY
Anaheim OVER 8 (-135) SMALL PLAY
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