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The One and Only Report - Saturday 5/22

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  • #16
    GR8Life / RFC

    GR8Life - Thanks so much . Hope you're doing well so far.

    RFC - The whole project of ours got started when Frank B suggested we analyze The Dunkel Index to isolate underdogs worth a play . Kmann took notice and ( being the specialist that he is with it ) joined us and here we are .
    We made a lot of changes since then.
    In the last few weeks more favorites are popping up as plays than ever before .

    - High line games counted in our wins and losses but are not included in our $$$ earnings. Right from the beginning we wrote that none of the 3 of us likes to lay the price . KMann will go as high as -160 ... I'm not comfortable laying more than -130 ... -135 tops . I don't think it's necessary . ( JMO )

    We're 0-4 in parlays ( no more parlays recommended ) and each time the 2 teams split . 1 W - 1 L

    I'll go on back and try to be more specific about the performance of the big faves but for now an estimate would be that they're only at around break even and would not have helped or hurt us if we figured them into the money.

    If I'm right I dont think we're too unhappy about it because our method would show that we dont need them to gerenate a tidy profit . All our profit has come from small faves , pick 'ems, small dogs , and run line plays.

    With run line plays we're not too nervous about laying up to -145 ... -150 because we're buying the extra run and our method has been on the money so far going 14 -4 .

    Anyway I hope you're benefitting from our work . That means a lot to us .

    -Neil

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    • #17
      K-FACTOR WISEMEN..........

      Neil,

      The Brewers 1* at Pirates.
      I'm obviously not impartial on this game as I'm
      a huge Ben Sheets fan.....
      It seems that the Brewers and Sheets are snake-bitten against the Pirates.
      Let's see if Sheets and company can turn this around for us!!!!

      Thank-you for all you guys do for everyone on this forum!!!

      FB:tongue:

      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
      SPORTSTICKER NL PREVIEW
      (MILWAUKEE-PITTSBURGH)
      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

      Milwaukee (21-19) at Pittsburgh (18-20) 7:05 pm EDT
      ----------------------------------------------------------------

      PITTSBURGH (Ticker) -- One day late, the Milwaukee Brewers aim
      for a season high-tying third straight victory Saturday when
      they meet the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park.

      Friday's series opener was postponed due to a tornado warning.
      The game was rescheduled as part of a doubleheader on July 2.

      The Brewers have won consecutive games after losing three of
      their previous four. They won a season-high three straight
      games from May 11-13, when they swept a three-game series from
      the Montreal Expos.

      Milwaukee continued its mastery of Montreal with a 3-2 victory
      in the rubber game of a three-game series Thursday.

      Scott Podsednik hit a go-ahead homer in the ninth inning and
      Bill Hall belted a two-run shot for the Brewers, who have won
      four of their last six road games.

      Pittsburgh avoided getting swept by the San Diego Padres in a
      three-game series with a 9-7 victory in Thursday's finale.

      Daryle Ward and Jason Bay each homered twice and had three RBI
      as the Pirates won for the fifth time in their last seven games.

      Pitching matchup:

      Milwaukee - Ben Sheets (4-2, 2.90 ERA); 0-1, 3.38 vs. Pitsburgh
      in 2004.

      Pittsburgh - Josh Fogg (1-4, 7.75); has not faced Milwaukee in
      2004.

      Who's Hot:

      Milwaukee - 1B Lyle Overbay, 33-for-74 in his last 20 games.

      Pittsburgh - LF Jason Bay, 8-for-18 with six RBI and five runs
      scored in last six games.

      Who's Not:

      Milwaukee - RF Ben Grieve, 1-for-12 in last five games.

      Pittsburgh - 3B Chris Stynes, 4-for-23 in last seven games.

      2004 series: Pittsburgh, 3-0; All-time series: Pittsburgh,
      49-42.

      Injuries:

      Milwaukee - LHP Chris Capuano (left quadriceps, 15-day DL); RHP
      Ben Ford (right shoulder, 15-day DL); 2B Junior Spivey (right
      hamstring, day-to-day); 3B Wes Helms (sprained right knee,
      day-to-day).

      Pittsburgh - OF J.J. Davis (bruised right pinky finger,
      day-to-day); 2B Freddy Sanchez (right ankle surgery, 15-day DL);
      1B Randall Simon (left hamstring, 15-day DL); SS Jack Wilson
      (sore left knee, day-to-day).

      Upcoming probables:

      Milwaukee - Wes Obermueller (2-2, 7.64) at Pittsburgh - Kip
      Wells (3-4, 4.26), May 23.

      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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