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Friday's Play of The Day Thread
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WinOnBaseball.com - Friday Report - 05/21/04
Welcome to our first annual service free trial!
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-- NEXT UPDATE will be sent before 6:00am Pacific on Saturday, May 22st.
Season record: 81-93 -22.49 UNITS
Six plays for Friday:
Lines from Pinnacle current as of 2:15am Pacific on 05/21/04.
STL (CARPENTER) -118 over CHC (Mitre) - 1 UNIT - 12:20pm Pacific
Carpenter has been as consistent as you can get, and I expect him to put in another solid performance. He has given up 9 HR, but 4 of them came in one outing, and has given up only 4 flyballs in his last 46 outs. Since he's keeping th ball down, this will help him in Wrigley, where the winds are expected to blow out today. Sosa out of the lineup also helps. Mitre is nothing special, and I expect the Cards to win behind the strength of Carpenter and the offense.
MIL (SHEETS) -135 over Pit (Fogg) - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Sheets now has 8 high quality starts in a row, including the dominating 18 K performance his last time out. Even with those Ks, he threw only 116 pitches, so I don't expect a burnout from him in this game. I love betting against Fogg, especially at relatively low number like this. Fogg has improved over his last two starts, but he is still bad. The big edge in starting pitching goes to Milwaukee.
CHW (BUEHRLE) -119 over Min (Silva) - 1 UNIT - 5:10pm Pacific
Buehrle has been on a roll this month, and dominated the Twins in his last start. The Twins lineup traditionally struggles against lefties, so I think Buehrle can pitch another good game. Silva was bound to get hit hard sooner or later, and it happened in his last start. He's been lucky with the HR ball, but the Sox have the type of lineup that will take advantage of any lapse in control, which Silva needs in order to keep the ball in the park.
KC (ANDERSON) +183 over Oak (Mulder) - 1 UNIT - 6:05pm Pacific
Oakland's batters have historically struggled against lefty flyball pitchers such as Anderson. Oakland was able to get to him in his last start, but I still believe this is good value. The park will certainly benefit him in this one, as it is much more pitcher friendly than Kauffman Stadium, where he took the loss in his last start. Mulder has pretty much dominated the KC hitters, which is why I also like the under, but I think Anderson can keep them in the game.
UNDER 9 KC (ANDERSON)/OAK (MULDER) -103 - 1 UNIT - 6:05pm Pacific
UNDER 9 BAL (DUBOSE)/ANA (WASHBURN) -116 - 1 UNIT - 7:05pm Pacific
Anaheim pounded Dubose in his last start, but the Angels' injuries seem to be finally catching up to them. They have had only one extra base hit in their last four games. Washburn has been pitching pretty well, and has done well against Baltimore. If Anaheim's offense continues to struggle, this should be a pretty safe under, as I think Washburn can shut Baltimore down.
PLEASE NOTE: All wagers are recommended for a "base" unit. Thus a side for 1 UNIT at -110 should be considered risking 1.10 UNITS to win 1.00 UNITS, while a team at +110 should be considered risking 1.00 UNITS to win 1.10 UNITSGLTA
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