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UPDATE !!Dunkelnomics - MMM - EZ Winners Project Friday 5/7

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  • UPDATE !!Dunkelnomics - MMM - EZ Winners Project Friday 5/7

    Dunkel Project - Friday Newsletter and Game Worksheet


    Our friend Frank B had an idea which is to incorporate all the plays given us each day by “The Dunkel Index “ , and two fine handicappers here on BC …. MMM and John ( EZ Winners ). Kmann is our resident expert who interprets all Dunkel information. I call him the Dr. of Dunkelnomics ( it’s corny but he likes it ) We’re trying to learn which combinations of our handicappers’ plays yield the best results. This project is still very much in its initial stages so for now it’s kind of long winded. In time I’ll streamline the report ( I promise ) but for now I want to give out as much information as possible so we all can see together just where it’s strengths and weaknesses lie.

    The “Dunkel Index” usually comes in first . I post it as soon as I get it … usually around 11:00 AM. I isolate any teams which have a higher Dunkel rating than their opponent AND are an underdog to the Vegas line.( I subscribe to Don Best so I have lines from at least 15 major casinos) These I call “ Dunkel Dogs “ . Then we build from there with incoming posts from Frank , Kmann , MMM and John.


    UPDATE FRIDAY 5/7 1:45 PM

    As our handicappers post during the day I add to the report ( Retirement is a blast !!! ) so please check in periodically for updates . Once all the info is in for any given day I’ll post a final report as soon as possible Since these plays are common to our handicappers there are never any conflicting sides .

    Sooner or later all of us are going to ask the question : “ Regarding Dunkel Dogs …. what happens when a team is a dog in the morning then becomes a favorive later on ? or vice versa …. A favorite which becomes a dog ? “ Well in that case we need to use our judgment and see just how strong our team is rated over it’s opponent by Dunkel …. And develop a feel with time . ENTER KMANN TO THE RESCUE . IF there are any emergencies I’ll post updates using the heading “ DUNKEL CHANGES “ with the date next to it. KMANN is extremely meticulous and will send me out an SOS.


    Any and all constructive suggestions and observations sure are welcome . I Hope we can all benefit from this. Good luck to us. - Neil


    Dunkel KMann MMM EZ WINNERS –Thursday Results – Friday Plays


    Note : all results will be based on wagers of $100 per game

    1) Friday’s Dunkel Dogs : 7-1 last 8

    San Diego +105 is Friday's Top Dog

    Astros +110


    --------------------------------------------------



    2) Kmann’s interpretation of Dunkel : “ Dunkelnomics “ - Kmann places each game under a microscope and selects any team with a definite advantage and grades them accordingly

    Record into Thursday :

    3 ½ * plays 0-1 ( -150 )

    3* plays are 7-4 +220 …. ( there has been one 3 ½ * play so far 0-1 -150 )

    2 1/2 * plays are 5-0 + 550

    2* and 1* ‘s were hitting at a 70% ++ rate. ( 20 –7 + 1,540 ) … That is until we were hit with a disappointing Thursday where they were 2-5 - 405 . Current record into Friday for 1* and 2* plays is 22 – 12 +1,135



    Thursday Kmann Plays ( We call these Dunkelnomics Games ):

    Marlins -150 2* L -150
    Rockies +150 1* L -100
    Mets +105 3* W +105
    Brewers +150 1* L -100
    Twins +140 1 ½* L -100
    Yankees -160 2* L -160
    Angels -180 2* W +100

    Friday Dunkelnomics Plays:

    According to KMANN :

    Heres how it breaks down...

    Cubs-225.....1*...too high a line for me
    Cards-175....1*....ditto
    R Sox-200.....3*....ditto
    Angels-205...1 1/2*...ditto.... these are ones I would entertain
    parlaying

    Mets-155....1 1/2*
    Reds -124....1*
    Astros +108....1*
    Padres +105....3*

    I show how they rate by Dunkelnomics, I have a cutoff on about a -160, give or take a few, line...Just my preference...


    TOP play is PADRES .... then METS...strictly based on the DUNKELNOMICS formula...



    -----------------------------------------------------



    3) MMM and EZ – Sides common to both cappers

    Thursday Plays : San Francisco ( -115 ) L -115
    Record into Friday: 6-5 +125

    Friday Plays :


    ------------------------------------------------------


    4) Kmann's Dunkelnomics plays with MMM and EZ – Sides common to all 3 cappers

    Thursday Plays : None
    Record into Friday : 2-2 +45

    Friday Plays:


    -----------------------------------------------------------------


    5) Dunkel Dogs with MMM and EZ – Sides common to all 3

    Thursday Plays : None
    Record into Friday: 2-1 +10

    Friday Plays:


    ------------------------------------------------------


    6) Dunkel Dogs with MMM alone - Sides common to both

    Thursday Plays : Minnesota Twins +145 L -100
    Record into Friday: 8-7 +40

    Friday Plays:



    ----------------------------------------------------------



    7) Dunkel Dogs with EZ alone – Sides common to both

    Thursday Plays: None
    Record into Friday : 3-6 –390

    Friday Plays:
    -----------------------------------------------------------


    8) KMann's Dunkelnomics Plays and MMM only - Sides common to both

    Thursday Plays :

    Yankees –170 L -170
    Angels -180 W +100
    Brewers +140 L -100
    Twins +140 L -100

    Record into Friday 12-9 + 95

    Friday Plays:

    ---------------------------------------------------


    9) KMann's Dunkelnomics Plays and EZ only - Sides common to both

    Thursday Plays : Florida Marlins –150 L -150

    Record now 7-8 -125

    Friday Plays :

    REDSOX - 200 KMANN rates Boston a 3* but line is high
    CUBS -225
    CARDINALS -175
    REDS -124



    --------------------------------------------------

    Notes:

    Into Thursday Dunkel Dogs had 7 straight winners


    Thursday Dunkel Dogs were San Diego +110 WON and Minnesota +140 L

    For Friday and in general ---- Use your judgment with these high lines . ( I generally won't lay more than 130 or 135 tops My cup of tea is playing small to medium dogs ... but hey ... that's me )



    Two Apologies are in order :
    1) I misread yesterday’s index and posted San Diego +110 as a Dunkel Dog when in fact they were rated “ Even “ by Dunkel . S.D. did not qualify as a Dunkel Dog . I was relieved when they won. . I’d be feeling real badly if they lost. At any rate our winning streak was snapped last night as the Twins lost to the Mariners 2-1 .

    2 ) To the BC Administrators - I know this project consumes lots of room and if this is an inconvenience I apologize . There’s a bunch of info we need to get out to everyone and I want to make it Reader Friendly for those whose eyesight is similar to mine .
    Good luck to us -Neil

  • #2
    Neil

    The heck with the apology, for you have done enough work that would take some of us a week to do. S. D., will be hit hard this evening.

    What about basket picks by these fine cappers???

    Stripe :D
    yah mon!!!

    Comment


    • #3
      Hey Stripe

      Thanks !

      We don't talk about baskets but I do have Dunkel NBA and some trends for tonight .

      NBA Basketball Picks

      Pistons Favored By 14 Over Nets

      The story in Game 1 between the Pistons and Nets was Detroit's defense. Detroit held New Jersey's fast-break offense to only 56 points on 27.1 percent shooting. That should be no surprise given that Detroit set league records by holding 11 opponents, including five in a row, under 70 points. With Game 2 tonight in Detroit, it will be tough for New Jersey to get on any kind of a roll. Dunkel has the Pistons favored by 14.

      FRIDAY, MAY 7
      PLAYOFFS (Semifinals)
      Detroit* 125.7 (14) New Jersey 112.0

      Dunkel had San Antonio over The Lakers as 13 better for the first 2 games and San Antonio covered both . This looks pretty strong for Detroit . Don't use these numbers to wager on the over / under .

      Also there are a few trends on the game:

      New Jersey:
      1-5 ATS away off a road loss by 10+ points
      2-8 ATS away playing with 3+ days rest

      Detroit:
      9-2 ATS at home after allowing 80 or less points
      8-2 ATS at home off BB wins by 10+ points


      Hope this helps . I'm not too crazy about the NBA ... I can't help but think that there's a lot of point shaving going on.

      For Sunday I think the public just might be on The Lakers . I'll wait and if I'm right I'll buy San Antonio + the points and make a small money line play on them as well to win the whole game.

      Good Luck and Take care , -Neil

      Comment


      • #4
        Ranger/Cubs/Red Sox

        Dunkel has all 3 at 3.5 or higher, so I am trying a parlay. I noticed after I placed bet that the Angels are also at 3.5. Will be interesting to see what happens.

        Comment


        • #5
          rpr

          Hey ! Yeah I saw the Index has all 4 teams rated pretty strong . The trouble is that they're all such high lines and the risk vs. reward may not be in your favor . At any rate I sure do hope you hit your parlay. Good luck tonight . Talk with you soon . -Neil

          Comment

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