Friday's Service Plays & Requests

[wayne1218]

Post Here.

[SeanieMac]

Friday Sandman MLB 5% Best Bet Comp Selection (Actual
Friday Night Members Selection): 5% Florida Marlins
(Willis) -140 over San Francisco Giants (Correia)
10:17 PM Eastern Daylight Time First Pitch

[fleetfox]

WinOnBaseball.com - Friday Report - 04/30/04

Welcome to our first annual service free trial!

-- WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.

-- All plays with analysis, along with current and past season records, will be updated daily on the "Records" page of our website.

-- All records will be documented at National Sports Monitor (*********.com)

-- NEXT UPDATE will be sent before 6:00am Pacific on Saturday, May 1st.

All lines taken from Pinnacle and current as of 4/29/04 10:55pm Pacific.

Season record: 47-50 -8.55 UNITS

Six plays for Friday:

CHC (WOOD) -132 over STL (Williams) - 1 UNIT - 5:10pm Pacific
Wood has always pitched well against the Cardinal lineup and at Busch Stadium. He’s looking real good, and I don’t see why he won’t be able to continue against the Cards. Williams pitched his first good game of the season, after have trouble with his shoulder. I still think it will take him one or two more starts to come back to his previous levels, however. Will take the Cubs behind the strength of Wood.

NYM (YATES) +148 over SD (Lawrence) - 1 UNIT - 7:05pm Pacific
As one of my “bet against” pitchers, I’ll have to almost blindly take this one. Lawrence wasn’t charged with any earned runs in his last appearance against Arizona, but he was pulled early because his ineffectiveness. I think this is good value against a bad pitcher.

MON (DAY) +149 over LA (Ishii) - 1 UNIT - 7:10pm Pacific
Day is clearly the better pitcher, so this is nice value, even with Montreal’s terrible offense. Day has put in fine performances in all of his starts. I think Ishii’s shutout in his last game was kind of flukey. He will walk a lot of hitters, so maybe Montreal’s weak bats can get on base that way instead of getting hits. Moreover, Ishii’s pitch count in his last game was a career high, so fatigue may play a factor.

FLA (WILLIS) -140 over SF (Correia) - 1 UNIT - 7:15pm Pacific
Correia made it to the bigs faster than the Giants’ higher profile prospects, but his past record doesn’t show anything too promising. The Giants have been struggling mightily on offense, and I don’t see them doing much against Willis, who has been great so far.

TOR (HALLADAY) -121 over CHW (Buehrle) - 1 UNIT - 5:05pm Pacific
Although his record doesn’t show it, Halladay is pitching as well as ever. He hasn’t given up a HR in his last three starts, and his command, control and dominance rates are all very good. Buehrle has been hit hard recently, and Toronto’s lineup is good against lefties, even though their numbers don’t show it so far this year.

OVER 10.5 ANA (ORTIZ)/MIN (SILVA) -124 - 1 UNIT - 5:10pm Pacific
Neither starting pitcher is good. With Garret Anderson on the DL, the Angels’ outfield consists of Chone Figgins, Jose Guillen, and Vlad, none of whom have ever played in the OF at the Metrodome. Ortiz is a flyball pitcher, and flyballs are very hard to pick up at the Metrodome. Factor in the inexperience, and that could mean trouble. The Angel offense is still dangerous without Anderson, and should be able to score off of Silva

[fleetfox]

Friday, April 30


I have no idea how good these guys are...I get plays from them every now and then


Dear Hotbox Subscribers,

Steve Merril of PRO SPORTS INFO Friday, April 30. MIAMI HEAT.

Scott Rickenbach and Mark Weiler of PLAYERS ADVANTAGE Friday, April 30. TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS / Waechter vs. Redman. We will side with the home team here, both teams are coming off a tough stretch of games against the Red Sox and Yankees. The A's were unable to scratch a win against the Yanks with their top 3 pitchers going. Tonight, Redman will square off against a solid mix of veterans and young stars as Pinella appears to have a better future in Tampa Bay. Look for the Rays to spray the ball all over the field against the soft-tossing Redman. Waechter has a live arm and Oakland has struggled lately coming up with clutch hits. Look for their struggles to continue tonight. Play Tampa Bay

[KYLE729]

HOOSIER SPORTS

5* New Orleans Hornets +6
5* Denver Nuggets +12.5

5* New York Yankees/Vazquez -240
4* Detroit Tigers/Johnson +125
4* Baltimore Orioles/Ponson -120
4* Milwaukee Brewers/Sheets -140

[callyman]

VEGASSI FREEBIE

FREE WINNER FROM VEGASSI.COM
Friday, April 30, 2004
MLB BASEBALL
Oakland @ Tampa Bay
Pick: OVER 9.5
Time: 7:15 PM EST

Today the Vegas Sports Insiders look for the Oakland and Tampa Bay to score over 9.5 runs, when they matchup tonight in Tampa Bay.

The Oakland Athletics look to end their six-game losing streak as they open a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Devil Rays. The Athletics skid is their longest since losing six straight last April.

Barry Zito was roughed up for six runs and eight hits as Oakland lost to the New York Yankees 7-5 on Thursday.

Zito had never given up more than two homers in a game before serving up four to the Yankees. The A's went winless at Yankee Stadium despite starting aces Tim Hudson, Mark Mulder and Zito.

Oakland hopes lefty Mark Redman (1-1) can get the team back on track. He is 2-0 with a 2.56 ERA in five career games against Tampa Bay, including four starts.

The Devil Rays return home to Tropicana Field after going 2-7 on their nine-game road trip. Tampa Bay plays three games against Oakland at home before going back on the road for seven games against Texas and Anaheim.

The Devil Rays have lost four straight, including three straight against the Boston Red Sox.

[callyman]

NSA FREEBIE

Free Winners for Friday, April 30
MLB BASEBALL
Anaheim @ Minnesota
Pick: Anaheim +100
Time: 9:35 PM EST

Today the National Sports Advisors look for the Anaheim to win as +100 underdogs, when they matchup with the Twins in Minnesota tonight.

Carlos Silva looks to continue his impressive start with the Minnesota Twins when they open a three-game series against Vladimir Guerrero and the surging Anaheim Angels at the Metrodome.

Acquired in the deal that sent left-hander Eric Milton to Philadelphia this past winter, Silva has won three straight starts, including Sunday's 4-2 victory at Kansas City. The 25-year-old right-hander enjoyed the strongest of his four outings this season, allowing just one run and nine hits over seven innings, striking out two without a walk.

Making all but one of his 130 appearances out of the bullpen in his first two big league seasons in Philadelphia, Silva boasts an impressive 11-1 career mark with the lone loss coming last season.

Minnesota scored four runs in the ninth inning Tuesday to rally past Toronto 7-4.

The Angels have won six of seven, including Thursday's 12-3 rout at Detroit.

[HeresaTip]

Anyone have Rocketmans 3* underdog play. Thanks

[BettorsChat]

Where's mary & rokfish

[mary]

dr bob

im here--Friday NBA Analysis
MIAMI (-6) 91 New Orleans 84
The Heat are a team that wins when they are expected to win, as they are 30-4 straight up and 25-9 ATS as a favorite this season, including 10-1 ATS if they’re coming off a bad game (a loss and spread loss). There are not general situations favoring Miami to bounce back from their consecutive losses at New Orleans, but my feeling is that they probably will. My ratings favor the Heat by 6 points in this game, so the line is fair, and the team trend favoring Miami is worth 1 point. So, I’ll call for Miami to win by 7 points but the stronger lean is on the Over. Neither team is shooting the ball too well in this series, but the average pace of the games is just a few possessions less per team than what was expected. If the shooting percentages are what is expected from these two teams then a fair total would be 175 points based on the average pace of the 4 games played so far. The total in the first game was 176 ½ points, so the low scoring games have certainly brought value to the Over (the Over/Under line is 170 ½ points in this game). I give the Over a solid 55% chance in this game.

Denver (+12 ½) 91 MINNESOTA 99
The Timberwolves were about 1 ½ points worse in games without Wally Szczerbiak this season than in games with him, but his absence was not accounted for in the game 4 line, which Minnesota won by just 2 points as a 4 point favorite. While it appears that Szczerbiak’s absence is still not reflected in the line, it also appears as if Carmelo Anthony’s possible absence from the Denver lineup (with an injured knee) has been overcompensated for. The Nuggets don’t really lose much with Anthony out of the lineup and I calculate his value at just 0.5 points. My ratings with Anthony out would favor the Timberwolves by just 8 ½ points and the Nuggets have a solid 56% chance of covering at the current line of +12 ½ points (55% at +12 and 57% at +13).

[BettorsChat]

Mary,

Where's rokfish at?

[Dmurphy]

Marc Lawrence 86% NBA SUPER PICK SUPER PLAY

Play on Denver Nuggets - Double digit playoff dogs, off one loss in which they scored 87 < points, are 12-2 ATS.

[mary]

Originally posted by BettorsChat
Mary,

Where's rokfish at?

i dont know--if i hear from him ill let you know

[piratesuncle]

Fleet, Fastbreak Anyone?

Is there any way you can post the baseball report early tonite? Looking for the AAA baseball plays. Sorry I didn't post SportGuru last night. 2* on the over 207.5 in Sac/Dall was his only play snapping a mini slump. I will post his playoff plays a little bit later. Again much appreciated to all that post. Thanks and good luck.

[xaznguy24x]

animal's 6pack friday?