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Aarons 499
KEVIN HARVICK -160
KURT BUSCH +130
Last year they split with Harvick winning the early race and Busch the latter. Prior to that Busch had won 4 in a row in this matchup 3 of which were top 5's. Harvicks best was 12th in those 4. With this money I will give Busch a try.
Busch +130 = LOSS
ELLIOTT SADLER -135
RUSTY WALLACE +105
Over 9 head to heads Wallace has a 7-2 record of which only 3 were top 10's. Sadler finished 3rd in this race last year and his next best finish was 17th. Can't see either guy being all that competitive but the odds seem a little distorted here.
Wallace +105 = LOSS
ROBBY GORDON -115
GREG BIFFLE -115
Last years 22nd and 24th place finishes by Biffle didn't show me much so I will go with the more aggressive bonehead in this one. If he doesn't cause a crash he could be a top 15 car.
R. Gordon -115 = WIN
TOP CUP PLAY
KEVIN HARVICK -155
ELLIOTT SADLER +125
Head to head over 6 races, Sadlers best Cup finish was this race last year where he finished third. He didn't even win that one as Harvick finished second. Sadlers finishes of 30, 3, 36, 40, 40, 39 (17, 21, 29 before Harvick raced in Cup) show me he will find a way to lose. A blown motor Saturday, starts Sadler in the rear as well. Harvick, while his finishes havent been stellar he is 6-0 versus Sadler and today makes it 7-0. (See below more on Sadler)
Harvick -155 = WIN:D
If you play the race winner I guess logic says Jr has the best chance to win. DEI dominates plate races, that is no secret. I didn't even bother to look at the odds on the race winner as I normally will not play them. Here are some numbers to let you know how well (or how poorly) some do at Talladega.
Jr in 8 races has 4 wins, 5 tops 5's, 6 top 10's ave. finish 8.75.
Busch has 3 top 5's and 4 top 10's with an ave. finish 10.67.
Stewart has 5 top 5's and 6 top 10's in 10 races.
Jeffy has a win, 4 top 5's and 6 top 10's in 10 races.
Now for those who want to jump on the Mikey bandwagon here is how he has done.
10 starts, ave. starting postion of 14.10, 1 win, 2 top 5's, 3 top 10's with an average finish position of 22.20. I do however expect Jr will drag him along for the ride as they work well together, they are after all teamates (then again so are Harvick and Robby).
One of the more noticable FLOPS at Talladega is Elliott Sadler. In 9 races Sadler has an average starting position of 25.11 and and average finish of 28.33. In 9 races he has 1 top 5 (the 3rd place last yr) 1 top ten (that same 3rd place last yr). He does have 1 pole however. Throw out that 3rd from last year and his average finish is 31.5 place. He needs all the credit he can get at Talladega.
MLB
SF/LA Over 8.5 +104 = WIN
Cleveland +109 = WIN
Hockey World Championships
Russia -3.5 -104 = WIN
NHL
Philadelphia -149 = WIN
KEVIN HARVICK -160
KURT BUSCH +130
Last year they split with Harvick winning the early race and Busch the latter. Prior to that Busch had won 4 in a row in this matchup 3 of which were top 5's. Harvicks best was 12th in those 4. With this money I will give Busch a try.
Busch +130 = LOSS
ELLIOTT SADLER -135
RUSTY WALLACE +105
Over 9 head to heads Wallace has a 7-2 record of which only 3 were top 10's. Sadler finished 3rd in this race last year and his next best finish was 17th. Can't see either guy being all that competitive but the odds seem a little distorted here.
Wallace +105 = LOSS
ROBBY GORDON -115
GREG BIFFLE -115
Last years 22nd and 24th place finishes by Biffle didn't show me much so I will go with the more aggressive bonehead in this one. If he doesn't cause a crash he could be a top 15 car.
R. Gordon -115 = WIN
TOP CUP PLAY
KEVIN HARVICK -155
ELLIOTT SADLER +125
Head to head over 6 races, Sadlers best Cup finish was this race last year where he finished third. He didn't even win that one as Harvick finished second. Sadlers finishes of 30, 3, 36, 40, 40, 39 (17, 21, 29 before Harvick raced in Cup) show me he will find a way to lose. A blown motor Saturday, starts Sadler in the rear as well. Harvick, while his finishes havent been stellar he is 6-0 versus Sadler and today makes it 7-0. (See below more on Sadler)
Harvick -155 = WIN:D
If you play the race winner I guess logic says Jr has the best chance to win. DEI dominates plate races, that is no secret. I didn't even bother to look at the odds on the race winner as I normally will not play them. Here are some numbers to let you know how well (or how poorly) some do at Talladega.
Jr in 8 races has 4 wins, 5 tops 5's, 6 top 10's ave. finish 8.75.
Busch has 3 top 5's and 4 top 10's with an ave. finish 10.67.
Stewart has 5 top 5's and 6 top 10's in 10 races.
Jeffy has a win, 4 top 5's and 6 top 10's in 10 races.
Now for those who want to jump on the Mikey bandwagon here is how he has done.
10 starts, ave. starting postion of 14.10, 1 win, 2 top 5's, 3 top 10's with an average finish position of 22.20. I do however expect Jr will drag him along for the ride as they work well together, they are after all teamates (then again so are Harvick and Robby).
One of the more noticable FLOPS at Talladega is Elliott Sadler. In 9 races Sadler has an average starting position of 25.11 and and average finish of 28.33. In 9 races he has 1 top 5 (the 3rd place last yr) 1 top ten (that same 3rd place last yr). He does have 1 pole however. Throw out that 3rd from last year and his average finish is 31.5 place. He needs all the credit he can get at Talladega.
MLB
SF/LA Over 8.5 +104 = WIN
Cleveland +109 = WIN
Hockey World Championships
Russia -3.5 -104 = WIN
NHL
Philadelphia -149 = WIN