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WinOnBaseball.com - Saturday Report - 04/24/04
-- WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.
-- All plays with analysis, along with current and past season records, will be updated daily on the "Records" page of our website.
-- All records will be documented at National Sports Monitor (*********.com)
-- NEXT UPDATE will be sent before 8:00am Pacific on SUNDAY, April 24.
All lines taken from Pinnacle and current as of 4/23/04 11:34pm Pacific.
Season record: 31-36 -9.65 UNITS
Four plays for Saturday:
OVER 8.5 MON (OHKA)/PHI (WOLF) -112 - 1 UNIT - 10:05 am Pacific
Olympic Stadium is not a good matchup for Wolf. It was the second easiest ballpark to hit a HR in last year, and Wolf has shown a rising HR rate. Ohka has a pretty good history against Philadelphia, but he has not looked good in his starts this year. I think both offenses have the potential to put up enough runs to push the total over in this one.
OVER 8 ATL (HAMPTON)/FLA (PENNY) -114 - 1 UNIT - 3:05pm Pacific
Hampton pitched a gem against the Marlins in his last start, but the Marlin hitters have had success against him in the past. His 3 year splits against them shows that he has struggled at Pro Player as well. Likewise, Penny hasn't performed up to his usual level against the Braves. He also has a poor history pitching in day games. The home park will suppress runs, but I like the offensive matchup in this game.
PIT (BENSON) -147 over Cin (Haynes) - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Haynes struggled with his command for the second straight time in his last start. He walked 3 batters in 5 innings and needed throw 103 pitches during that span. He has a history of command problems, so this is probably the beginning of a familiar trend with him. If he continues, the Pirates should score enough runs for Benson and the Pirates' bullpen. Benson, meanwhile, has looked great so far, and I feel confident that he can have success against the Reds lineup today.
OVER 9.5 CLE (LEE)/DET (ROBERTSON) -101 - 10:05am Pacific
Robertson has started the season strongly, but has had control problems, which has been the story throughout his minor league career as well. Similarly, Lee has a reputation to be wild. Both offenses have shown an ability to put runs on the board, and the wildness of both starting pitchers should help in putting this one over.
PLEASE NOTE: All wagers are recommended for a "base" unit. Thus a side for 1 UNIT at -110 should be considered risking 1.10 UNITS to win 1.00 UNITS, while a team at +110 should be considered risking 1.00 UNITS to win 1.10 UNITS.
In addition to daily tracking of +/- UNITS we have started a Pinnacle account with an initial deposit of $2300 (+$230 bonus) for a starting bankroll of $2530. Base unit will be 4% of total bankroll.
Beginning Bankroll: $2530
Current Bankroll: $1,483.48
Today's base unit: $ 59.34
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SportsGuru
NBA Playoff Freebie for April 24th
Free picks are 57-39 (+32.73 units) in 2004. They are currently on a 2-game win streak.
Free 2-unit NBA Playoff Freebie for April 24th:
Take Detroit/Milwaukee Over 180
After getting blown out in game 1 the Bucks came back with a solid effort in game 2 and evened the series. Today's game could be very exciting to watch as I expect Milwaukee to do the same things as in game 2 and that is push the tempo. Detroit will be up to the task in matching the tempo though and this is why I love the Over here. They are 4-1-1 on the over last 6 games they have played each other, take it here as they both hit over 90 points.
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Kman the old fart :-) and sparkie -- ty for the cudo's on my Stan L play post but I was "inspired" by Savage to pony up for all the work you guys do for the rest of us. I have to admit I waited to see if anyone else had Stan Lisowski's plays b4 I paid for them.
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Reprint of Savage1 post from yesterday
Since I always come up and take the picks, I thought for a change I would contribute something. Anyways, I purchased All Star Sports plays because they are good and especially so with big plays (triple plays) and they have one going tomorrow.
Tomorrow and the big ones: (WHICH IS NOW TODAY)
Double play on Dallas and Triple play on New Orleans.
Good luck to all who play these(and for that matter those who do not).
Last edited by savage1 on 04-23-2004 at 12:18 PM
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Now my turn to ask a favor - I would really like to get JB Sports 4 star Pick for today so if anyone has it Please post it -
LLWM
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Mti Saturday 5 Stars
Saturday 4/24
In the NBA today MTI has come in with TWO 5* plays
Detroit ( -5 ) over Milwaukee
Minnesota ( - 2 ) over Denver
2 words of caution !!!
I see 2 1/2 's out there for Minny but if you're going to play them for God's sakes buy a 2 . The # 2 is the most important # for the NBA . ( Trust me on this one )
Also ... before we jump on these sides we'd better check in with MMM to see if we have our blessing on Det. and Minny . She's been outrageously phenomenal with both sides and totals.
Good luck !! - Neil
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Baseball Play/Saturday........
This was just copied from the members page....
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Indians/Tigers Over 9.5 (Lee/Robertson)
Make sure to always list your pitchers......Your lines will vary some. This report is final...........
AAA Sports
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