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The 1st time these two met, UConn shot only 38 percent and committed 17 turnovers. Okafor was bothered by back problems, although he managed nine points, 13 rebounds and six blocks. Luke Schenscher hasn't faced a decent big man yet. He's been Chamberlain in the middle to this point. Russel (Okafor) is here and he's focused. I don't think UConn is going to spot GT 4 or 5 three's to start the game. In the 1st matchup, UConn shot 10/30 from the foul line. The cost of that poor shooting may have been higher since some of those misses were the front ends of 1+1's. Also, 1 of 10 from beyond the arch as GT went 4 of 10. Those stats will have any team losing by sixteen.
I'm thinking UConn got their "big game" out of the way. Ton of stats fav GT are more are against UConn here.
off the net....
Georgia Tech:
5-1 ATS as a neutral court underdog
8-2 ATS as a road underdog
Connecticut:
1-10 ATS off a combined score of 155+ points
1-5 ATS away vs. ACC opponents
I love to see sh*t like this posted on the net for all to see. The worst thing you can do is just base your play on trends, let alone trends that only take into consideration a small number of situations and have no real history behind them.
Ask yourself...
A trend that is 1-10 ATS seems pretty strong, so it would be a good thing to bet with that (single) trend in mind? So tonight, wouldn't that 1-10 ATS trend look almost as strong if you lose your play and it's now a 2-10 ATS trend? (EX: Cleveland 7-0 SU/ATS against GS at Cleveland, NOW 7-1 SU/ATS)
Remember, in every matchup played, there are LITERALLY thousands of trends, angles, and situational plays. Many of them clash. Also remember, Vegas knows everything you do, and some $$ out there knows even more. I like to use trends to back up what I'm thinking if possible. I have no problem going against them at times.
I'm thinking if GT doesn't blow out UConn in their 1st matchup, they would easily be favored by 7 or 8. The lines are set with the idea of pre-determinning where the line can be set to split the money bet. Value has been created here IMO.
UConn has done much better against the same opponents played this season. In the 1st game freshman forward Charlie Villanueva was held out due to eligibility issues. This being a winner-take-all last game for the Championship, no distractions, even more focus, all hands on deck, possibly less involvement by the officiating crew than UConn's last game, Okafor brings his A-game and they dominate. GT doesn't have as defensively talented guards as Duke did to F up UConn's offensive sets. UConn scored 61 shooting under 38% with no Villanueva and an injured Okafer. They have scored at least 70 in the 1st three games, which were blowouts and over by halftime. Then they scored 87 and 79 in their last two highly competitive games. Gotta like this one...
UConn 30-4 SU when they score 75 to 80 points in a game. They got a shot at 80 tonight IMO. I know they aren't a good foul shooting team and the line will mean something here. As I have posted before, I like to put a little more weight on who is going to win the game outright 1st, then take into consideration the line.
GL
:D
I'm thinking UConn got their "big game" out of the way. Ton of stats fav GT are more are against UConn here.
off the net....
Georgia Tech:
5-1 ATS as a neutral court underdog
8-2 ATS as a road underdog
Connecticut:
1-10 ATS off a combined score of 155+ points
1-5 ATS away vs. ACC opponents
I love to see sh*t like this posted on the net for all to see. The worst thing you can do is just base your play on trends, let alone trends that only take into consideration a small number of situations and have no real history behind them.
Ask yourself...
A trend that is 1-10 ATS seems pretty strong, so it would be a good thing to bet with that (single) trend in mind? So tonight, wouldn't that 1-10 ATS trend look almost as strong if you lose your play and it's now a 2-10 ATS trend? (EX: Cleveland 7-0 SU/ATS against GS at Cleveland, NOW 7-1 SU/ATS)
Remember, in every matchup played, there are LITERALLY thousands of trends, angles, and situational plays. Many of them clash. Also remember, Vegas knows everything you do, and some $$ out there knows even more. I like to use trends to back up what I'm thinking if possible. I have no problem going against them at times.
I'm thinking if GT doesn't blow out UConn in their 1st matchup, they would easily be favored by 7 or 8. The lines are set with the idea of pre-determinning where the line can be set to split the money bet. Value has been created here IMO.
UConn has done much better against the same opponents played this season. In the 1st game freshman forward Charlie Villanueva was held out due to eligibility issues. This being a winner-take-all last game for the Championship, no distractions, even more focus, all hands on deck, possibly less involvement by the officiating crew than UConn's last game, Okafor brings his A-game and they dominate. GT doesn't have as defensively talented guards as Duke did to F up UConn's offensive sets. UConn scored 61 shooting under 38% with no Villanueva and an injured Okafer. They have scored at least 70 in the 1st three games, which were blowouts and over by halftime. Then they scored 87 and 79 in their last two highly competitive games. Gotta like this one...
UConn 30-4 SU when they score 75 to 80 points in a game. They got a shot at 80 tonight IMO. I know they aren't a good foul shooting team and the line will mean something here. As I have posted before, I like to put a little more weight on who is going to win the game outright 1st, then take into consideration the line.
GL
:D
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