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Seton Hall vs Duke

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  • Seton Hall vs Duke

    Had this dam thing typed in with some good info and bam, computer disconnected. So bear with me as I save info and come back on with more info!

    1:10 Eastern Time Seton Hall vs Duke -11/144; Been capping this game all morning and here's what I have come up with!

    Injury Report; Duke, Daniel Ewing slight hand injury, will play Saturday. Luol Deng has a banged up ankle, will play Saturday. Chris Duhon is suffering from a rib injury and is listed as probably for Saturday's game.

    Seton Hall, Marcus Toney-El, leg injury and is listed as probable for Saturday.

    Common Opponents:

    Duke w79-58 vs St Johns S Hall W71-54 at St Johns
    Duke W76-47 Liberty (N) S Hall W65-47 at Liberty
    Duke L68-78 Purdue (N) S Hall L63-75 Purdue (N)

    Duke is 13-4 SU in 17 road/neutral games, going 8-9 ATS, averaging 80.1 ppg and their opponents averaging 69.6 against them for a scoring margin of +10 1/2. Line is currently Duke -11, imagine that. Total points combined is Duke's road/neutral game is 149.7. Duke is 6-0 over in 7 neutral court games, one game didn't have a total posted.

    Seton Hall is 8-7 SU in road/neutral games, going 7-5 ATS, averaging 67.8 ppg and their opponents averaging 66.7 against them for a scoring margin of +1.1. Total points combined in S Hall's road/neutral games is 134.5. Now add Duke +10 1/2 - Seton Hall +1.1 = Duke -9.4 for true value line. Add 149.7 + 134.5 = 284.2 total of both teams combined points scored. Now divide 284.2 by 2 = 142.1 for an average of combined points in both teams away/neutral court games, current total is 144 in Duke/S Hall game giving us a 1.9 point value on the total and 1.6 value on the side.

    ATS by team ranking nationally
    #36 Seton Hall is 14-9-1 ATS, 21-9 SU, and 6-8 under
    #152 Duke is 16-16 ATS, 28-5 SU, and 14-12 over

    Offensive FG%
    #65 S Hall 45.9% making 26.1 of 56.9 attempts
    #25 Duke 47.2% making 27.7 of 58.6 attempts

    Rebounding Margin
    #83 S Hall is averaging 33.6 and allowing 31.2 for +2.4 RM
    #87 Duke is averaging 32.2 and allowing 29.9 for +2.3RM

    Defensive FG%
    #27 S Hall is allowing 23.2 FG's out of 57.8 attempts for 40.1%
    # Duke is allowing 23.6 FG's out of 58.2 attempts for 40.5%

    Offensive 3PT%
    #112 S Hall is making 6.0 out of 17 attempts for 35.4 %
    #65 Duke is making 7.2 out of 19.7 attempts for 36.7 %

    Defensive 3PT%
    #20 S Hall is allowing 5.1 out of 17 attempts for 30.2%
    #88 Duke is allowing 4.8 out of 14.8 attempts for 32.8%
    Will be back with more after I save this shit, so I don't loose info again.

    Duke has proven it can be a foul-prone team that can be pushed into committing fouls, sending their opponent to the line quite often. Redick is Duke's leading scorer and is struggling shooting in his last 6 games, making 21 of 68 shots from the floor for a 30.8 FG%, which is below his season average!

    Krunch :D
    Last edited by krunch; 03-20-2004, 12:51 PM.

  • #2
    krunch, great analysis. wouldn't you rate this as a no play given the small disparity from the line and total?

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