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I think yesterday was my 1st losing day here since I began posting. Still up for this week:D Liking one early.
Ill St +4 (hoping to find the hook)
Despite the last two wins by Bradley in this matchup, Ill St is actually closer talent wise than one would think. The spread in the scores of the games against similar teams was very close. Ill St has a worse record, but has played better talent, and has similar scoring numbers in conference matchups. Could very well be thinking my way into a loss here as Bradley has done well against teams like Ill St. They also have done well ATS in many other situations, but most of those were as a dog. I think Vegas set this line so low for a reason, and it's not flying to 5 despite the obvious "easy win" Bradley is. All I'm seeing is Bradley money out there but the line dipped after the open a bit and then resumed it's opposite course. I don't see three dominating wins in a row here when looking at these two. Bradley is an extremely mediocre team that has done well over the season ATS, and against Ill St, but not so well against their own in conference. It's the end of the season and the lines makers pencils have posted closer and closer numbers of late. Ill St ****** and most likely wins here SU in there Super Bowl.
GL All :D
Ill St +4 (hoping to find the hook)
Despite the last two wins by Bradley in this matchup, Ill St is actually closer talent wise than one would think. The spread in the scores of the games against similar teams was very close. Ill St has a worse record, but has played better talent, and has similar scoring numbers in conference matchups. Could very well be thinking my way into a loss here as Bradley has done well against teams like Ill St. They also have done well ATS in many other situations, but most of those were as a dog. I think Vegas set this line so low for a reason, and it's not flying to 5 despite the obvious "easy win" Bradley is. All I'm seeing is Bradley money out there but the line dipped after the open a bit and then resumed it's opposite course. I don't see three dominating wins in a row here when looking at these two. Bradley is an extremely mediocre team that has done well over the season ATS, and against Ill St, but not so well against their own in conference. It's the end of the season and the lines makers pencils have posted closer and closer numbers of late. Ill St ****** and most likely wins here SU in there Super Bowl.
GL All :D
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