Had a nice bounce back night on Monday, going 8-2 (+8.7 units). Lets try to keep it rolling tonight, these are my plays....
NCAA BASKETBALL
3 STAR: MICHIGAN STATE (-2) OVER Wisconsin
This is a very big game for the Spartans who have a lot of motivation. They can win the Big Ten regular season title, its Senior Day its their last regular season game of the year and this is a revenge game against a Badger team that pounded them in January 77-64. Wisconsin has struggled on the road this season. The Badgers are only 2-7 against the spread in their lined road games this year and they are just 2-5 against the spread as a road underdog of three points or less over the last three seasons. Wisconsin is also only 6-9 against the spread this season when playing against a team with a winning record and Michigan State is 11-4 against the spread when revenging a road loss over the last three seasons. The Spartans have won 4 out of the last 5 meetings at home, and I'll lay the small number here. Spartans get it done!
2 STAR: Youngstown State (+10) OVER BUTLER
To many points for Butler to lay here against a competitive Youngstown State team. Butler has won the last six meetings with Youngstown State, but the Penguins are 5-1 against the spread in those games. In the two match ups this season, Butler won by five points at home against Youngstown and then the Bulldogs escaped with a one point win on the road against the Penguins. Butler has been overrated by casual gamblers all year due to their name recognition from the tournament, but they have been terrible against the spread this season. The Bulldogs have only posted an 8-17 mark against the number and just 2-9 against the spread as a favorite of 12 points or less. I have to go with a Youngstown State team that is 5-2 against the spread as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points in their last seven chances. Take the points here!
2 STAR: Jacksonville State (+6) OVER MOREHEAD STATE
Morehead has beaten Jacksonville twice this season both times by 8 points, but I think the third time could be the charm here. Morehead usually does not far well during their conference tournament, posting an 0-4 record against the spread in their last four March games, and Jacksonville is 3-0 against the spread this year when revenging a road loss. I'll take the points here, I could see the upset happening!
2003-2004 NCAA BASKETBALL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 23-18-1 (+16.0 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 46-34-2 (+21.4 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 87-63-9 (+29.3 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 84-80-2 (-1.8 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 239-195-14 (+64.9 UNITS)
A $100 player would be up $6490.00
NBA
I don't have a system play for today, but I do have a total (rare occasion) that I am playing...
2 STAR: OVER 180 INDIANA @GOLDEN STATE
Golden State has played under in four out of their last five games and Indiana has played under in four out of their last six games, but I think they will break out of that tonight in what should be a high scoring game. In the last 10 meetings between these two teams, the over is 7-3 and these teams have combined for no less than 182 points and have been over 200 in five out of the ten. Both of these teams have some players banged up, but I still see this one going over this number!
NCAA BASKETBALL
3 STAR: MICHIGAN STATE (-2) OVER Wisconsin
This is a very big game for the Spartans who have a lot of motivation. They can win the Big Ten regular season title, its Senior Day its their last regular season game of the year and this is a revenge game against a Badger team that pounded them in January 77-64. Wisconsin has struggled on the road this season. The Badgers are only 2-7 against the spread in their lined road games this year and they are just 2-5 against the spread as a road underdog of three points or less over the last three seasons. Wisconsin is also only 6-9 against the spread this season when playing against a team with a winning record and Michigan State is 11-4 against the spread when revenging a road loss over the last three seasons. The Spartans have won 4 out of the last 5 meetings at home, and I'll lay the small number here. Spartans get it done!
2 STAR: Youngstown State (+10) OVER BUTLER
To many points for Butler to lay here against a competitive Youngstown State team. Butler has won the last six meetings with Youngstown State, but the Penguins are 5-1 against the spread in those games. In the two match ups this season, Butler won by five points at home against Youngstown and then the Bulldogs escaped with a one point win on the road against the Penguins. Butler has been overrated by casual gamblers all year due to their name recognition from the tournament, but they have been terrible against the spread this season. The Bulldogs have only posted an 8-17 mark against the number and just 2-9 against the spread as a favorite of 12 points or less. I have to go with a Youngstown State team that is 5-2 against the spread as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points in their last seven chances. Take the points here!
2 STAR: Jacksonville State (+6) OVER MOREHEAD STATE
Morehead has beaten Jacksonville twice this season both times by 8 points, but I think the third time could be the charm here. Morehead usually does not far well during their conference tournament, posting an 0-4 record against the spread in their last four March games, and Jacksonville is 3-0 against the spread this year when revenging a road loss. I'll take the points here, I could see the upset happening!
2003-2004 NCAA BASKETBALL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 23-18-1 (+16.0 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 46-34-2 (+21.4 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 87-63-9 (+29.3 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 84-80-2 (-1.8 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 239-195-14 (+64.9 UNITS)
A $100 player would be up $6490.00
NBA
I don't have a system play for today, but I do have a total (rare occasion) that I am playing...
2 STAR: OVER 180 INDIANA @GOLDEN STATE
Golden State has played under in four out of their last five games and Indiana has played under in four out of their last six games, but I think they will break out of that tonight in what should be a high scoring game. In the last 10 meetings between these two teams, the over is 7-3 and these teams have combined for no less than 182 points and have been over 200 in five out of the ten. Both of these teams have some players banged up, but I still see this one going over this number!
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