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Friday's Hoops

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  • Friday's Hoops

    Will be posting my plays as I get done capping them. Went 8-1 yesterday on my posted plays and won 29 units! About Time!

    7:00 Harvard at Yale -14 1/2; I bought 1 extra point on this play and took Harvard +15 1/2 points for 3 units. Going back to the 97-98 season all the way through to the current 03-04 season I saw that Harvard on the road in the Ivy League had only ever lost by 13 or more points to two Ivy League Teams! Can you guess who they were too? Probably were right, Penn 6 times and Princeton 3 times.
    Here are the scores between the teams since 97-98!
    04-03 Harvard won 78-71 vs Yale W9 1/2
    03-02 Harvard lost 82-95 vs Yale L1
    Harvard lost 68-73 at Yale W8
    02-01Harvard lost 72-77 at Yale W8 1/2
    Harvard lost 57-66 vs Yale L-2 1/2
    01-00 Harvard lost 58-66 at Yale L 2 1/2
    Harvard lost 83-85 vs Yale L-6
    00-99 Harvard won 70-51 vs Yale W-6 1/2
    Harvard lost 61-69 at Yale L-1 1/2
    99-98 Harvard won 81-58 at Yale W-5 1/2
    Harvard won 76-58 vs Yale NL
    98-97 Harvard won 81-77 vs Yale L-6
    Harvard lost 65-71 at Yale L0

    Last 6 trips to Yale, Harvard lost by 5, 5, 8, 8,won by 23, and lost by 6.

    According to my numbers, this line should be Yale -13. Harvard is averaging 62.2 ppg on the road in the Ivy League and their opponents are averaging 72.4 ppg against them for a scoring margin of -10.2. Yale is averaging 61.2 ppg at home in league play and their opponents are averaging 58.4 ppg against them for a scoring margin of +2.8 points. The present line is Yale -14 1/2 which gives me + 1 1/2 point value, so like I said I bought an extra point for -1.30 for 3 units. With Harvard only losing by 8 points at the most over the last six years at Yale, along with their 38-9 record on the road in league play using the opening line of +13 , the only loses by more than 13 points to Penn and Princeton, and the extra +2 1/2 points value, I see this as a 3 unit play! My prediction Yale 69 Harvard 58!

    Will be back in this thread as I finish capping the rest of the games!

    GL Krunch

  • #2
    Good luck tonight Krunch!!
    Good luck,
    John

    Comment


    • #3
      Adding

      Rice -8 for 3 units; Rice isn't a great road team, but San Jose State just plain old sucks! Let's look at the common opponents of the two teams this year.

      Rice won 63-60 vs Fresno SJS lost 55-61 vs Fresno -9
      Rice won 87-75 vs Nevada SJS lost 45-74 vs Nevada -41
      Rice won 76-73 vs Hawaii SJS lost 76-83 vs Hawaii -10
      Rice won 80-40 vs SMU SJS lost 55-62 vs SMU -47
      Rice won 84-68 vs UTEP SJS lost 72-82 vs UTEP -26
      Rice won 81-61 vs Boise SJS lost 54-70 vs Boise -36
      Rice lost 69-80 at Boise SJS lost 51-72 at Boise -10
      Rice lost 62-105 at UTEP SJS lost 52-65 at UTEP +28
      Rice lost 68-74 at Tulsa SJS lost 70-86 at Tulsa -10
      Rice won 89-77 at LA Tech SJS lost 62-73 at LA Tech -23

      The number to the far right is the scoring margin Fresno was off the common opponent of Rice! Example; Rice won +3 points vs Fresno, while SJS lost by -6 points to Fresno, so I put a -9 to the right of Fresno. Rice outscored San Jose State in 9 of 10 common opponent games. Using the line of Rice -8, means Rice would have covered those 9 out of ten also. Just a number crunch I use! My prediction Rice 79 SJS 68

      Might be back with more as I finish up capping a few more! :confused:

      GL Krunch

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