NCAA Hoops 1/21

[mickpetruzzi]

New here just gettin started. Here is what I am playing for tonight in college basketball:

OSU -4.5 @ Baylor --> Big play

Notre Dame -2.5 @ Providence --> Medium Play

Mizz -10 @ home against Iowa State --> Small Play

Others that I would bet 1/2 units are:
Duquesne +22 @ Xavier --> Very small play
Drake +9.5 @ Wichita St --> Very small play
Also leaning towards Indiana -10 @ home playing Ohio St. but will probably not play this game.

Opinions, feedback greatly appreciated.

Mick

[mickpetruzzi]

Adding my new biggest, top play of night and it is in the MAC:

Taking Ball State -1.0 @ Eastern Michigan and here is why:

The only reason this line is this close is because of the record BSU has on the road and Eastern Mich is undefeated at there home court.

Ball State on the road is avg. 68.9 ppg while allowing 68.7. EM is avg. 69.4 ppg while allowing 81.9. No "D" for E Mich and I see there points allowed avg to increase tonight.

Also, past meetings between these two teams last year ended with BSU going 2-0. Scores being 63-45 @ EM and 90-56 @ Ball State. The lines for those games were +16 for EM in the first one at there place and -23 for BSU @ home.

VALUE INDEX:
Current line is -1 for Ball State, Opening line -1.5.
BSU Value Index rating is 57.
Eastern Mich. Value Index rating is 35
Value Index line: -19 Ball State EDGE: 18.

PLAY Ball State -1. Good Luck.