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  • Something to think about?

    Miami Florida at Connecticut -22/150;

    When these two teams meet, throw the records out the window! The last 10 meetings between these two clubs the team that won the game won by, 1,3,2,1,7,3,6,2,2 and the biggest margin of victory by 9. Connecticut favored by 22, I don't think so!

    Miami comes into this game at 13-12 SU and only 3-8 in the Big East. Connecticut comes into this contest at 19-5 SU and 7-3 in the conference. When they met last year, Miami was 7-7 SU and just got hammered at Seton Hall 76-53, but went on to beat Connecticut 77-76 at Miami. When they played the first contest at Connecticut, Miami was only 7-5 SU and only lost 80-83! Connecticut ended up at 23-10 last year and 12-7 in the Big East. Miami was only 4-13 in the Big East last year.

    Miami is averaging 66.2 ppg on the road in league play, while their opponents are averaging 69.4 ppg against them. Connecticut is doing their usual, averaging 78 ppg at home and their opponents are averaging 63 ppg against them in Big East play! The last couple of years the same things are happening over and over again. Miami is getting killed by Syracuse, Connecticut is killing Syracuse. Miami is getting hammered by Georgetown, Connecticut is hammering Georgetown. Miami is playing tight games with Rutgers and Pitt, Connecticut is playing tight games with Rutgers and Pitt. Miami is getting destroyed at North Carolina and Connecticut is losing by 3 at North Carolina. What am I getting at here? It doesn't seem to matter how much more Connecticut is hammering teams like Syracuse and Georgetown, teams that are killing Miami. when these two teams meet, it's one hell of a game.

    There's alot of similiarities from both teams over the out come of games from last year!
    Miami lost 74-91 to Cuse, last yr Miami lost 49-54 to Cuse
    Miami lost 72-74 vs BC, last yr Miami lost 68-72 to BC
    Miami lost 80-87 to GTown, last yr Miami lost 72-74 to GTown
    Miami lost 69-76 to Nova, last yr Miami lost 67-72 to Nova
    Miami won 65-59 at VTech, last yr Miami won 79-71 at VTech
    Miami won 70-64 at St John's, last yr Miami lost 74-77 at St Johns

    Conn lost 68-75 at Pitt, last yr Conn L67-71 at Pitt
    Conn won 84-56 vs Cuse, last yr Conn won 75-61 vs Cuse
    Conn won 63-58 at BC, last yr Conn won 91-54 at BC
    Conn lost 56-66 vs Prov, last yr Conn lost 70-76 at Prov
    Conn lost 83-86 at N Car, last yr Conn lost 65-68 at N Car

    Last year with common opponents;
    Miami lost -5 vs Syracuse; Connecticut won +14pts vs Syracuse; Miami wins 77-76 vs Connecticut.
    Miami lost 68-72 vs Boston C; Connecticut won 91-54 at Boston C. Connecticut won 83-80 vs Miami.
    Connecticut has without a doubt won by larger point spreads versus common opponents over the last 2 years, but Miami has fought them tooth and nail. I am taking Miami Florida with confidence and laying 5 units on them! Bottom line to this series is, this is a rivalry and like I said before, when these two clubs meet throw the records out the window! My prediction Connecticut 79 Miami Fl 65!
    :D :D :D

    Adding these plays for tonight; G Mason -1 , Detroit U -12 1/2 (blowout/revenge gm of the night), Loyola Chicago is allowing 78.2 ppg on the road in league play. Detroit has owned this team in Detroit, winning by an average of 17 ppg. Duke -3, think their not going to be a little pissed off tonight. Illinois -4, think they win by double digits tonight! Making these plays all 3 unit plays, with the exception of Detroit will be a 5 unit play!


    As alway wishing everyone good luck with their picks and hope info helps us all make a little green tonight!
    Last edited by krunch; 02-18-2004, 03:58 PM.

  • #2
    krunch

    Very nice analysis!

    Comment


    • #3
      I agree :

      a very fine breakdown , and a small tib-bit here :

      Darius Rice ( 6` 10`` - 222 ) a rumor has it hes in a cast and will miss 7 to 10 days and Miami will be hard pressed to make up his 80% ft , 16.7 pts , 6.5 reb. per

      Who picks up the minutes here ?

      G.L.

      ***MMM***

      :cool: :cool: :cool:
      " The Wind Does Not Wait For The Tree To Bend "

      Comment


      • #4
        MM

        You got Rodrigue Djahue a 6'7" 268lb Senior Forward who has played in all 25 gms. He is averaging 15.7 min/g 5.4 ppg and 3.5 reb/g. He has been a starter

        Got Soph Gary Hamilton a 6'9" 245lb Forward who has been averaging 16.9 min/g 3.2 ppg 4.3 reb/g. He has been a starter

        Got Soph Robert Hite a 6'2" 185lb Guard averaging 30.2 min/g 16 ppg and 4.0 REB/g and is shooting 52% from the field. Will probably be the go to guy tonight.

        Got Freshmen Guillermo Diaz a 6'2" 175lb Guard averaging 27.3 min/g 12.4ppg 3reb/g and is also shooting 52% from the field. He along with Hite will definitely be shooting the rock a little more tonight with the absence of Rice.

        I'm guessing either Brandon Okpalobi a Senior 6'10" Forward or else William Frisby a 6'8" 241lb Junior Forward will be starting in place of the injured Rice.

        The hurricanes have a total of 8 Forwards on their roster, so I would imagine a few of the guys averaging 15 min/g will be spending a little more time on the floor tonight, but they will definitely be rotating a few forwards in and out during this game. Miami definitely has a nice rebounding team, but like you said it could be hard pressed to pick up Rice's 16ppg average. Gary Hamilton has been their biggest asset on defense, he leads the team with 24 blocked shoots, averages 4.3 reb/g in only 16.9 minutes. I look for him to play a few extra minutes tonight!

        I'm still sticking with my bet, the other players sometimes rise to the occasion. Let's hope that is the case for tonight! :D
        Last edited by krunch; 02-18-2004, 03:47 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          1 Player does :

          not a team " make "

          I wasnt trying to talk you out of a very solid position (no doubt) and concur with your assumption of this game. I went back as it seems you did also to research this in more depth and to see who would have to step up.

          It appears that they have ample depth there to cover this shortage , albeit a tad short on points there but who knows it might turn out to be a blessing as I have witnessed many times in my day.

          G.L.

          ***MMM***

          :cool: :cool: :cool:
          " The Wind Does Not Wait For The Tree To Bend "

          Comment


          • #6
            MM

            Miami has been more of a defensive force versus an offensive force this year. They are a good rebounding team and will have to play a physical style of ball tonight to try and keep it close. Syracuse was hotter than a nun's tush last game, they shot 71% in the first half. They couldn't miss a shot. I think that's another reason why the line is inflated so much on this game! Even with Rice going out in the 2nd half of that game, Miami outscored Syracuse 41-37 in the 2nd half.

            Comment

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