another 2 opinion plays from sweetlou

[SweetLou]

so far my record is 3-0 on my posted plays.. these 2 plays are NOT POSTS yet as im still analyzing a couple of factors, but the 2 games i'm looking at with great interest tomorrow are Duke at WF -2.5 and BSU -3.5 against Hawaii at home... i'll decide later today if i want to make them post plays, but if u like these i would suggest getting on them now while the lines are where they are at... I'll post some analysis later today... good luck its 2am i need to get some zzzzzzz'ssss

[SweetLou]

Follow up!!

OK so here we go again, after looking at some more stats i'm gonna go with Duke minus the points (-3) as my 4th Posted play. I expect the blue devils to come out firing on all cylinders today, coming off the loss to NC St. Duke in its past 4 games is just 1-3 ATS, prior to that they were 9-1. Expect them to get back on track today. Lay the wood, IMO the line should be duke -6 to 6.5 as Wake forest has been struggling all year, WF has not had 3 wins in a row since Jan 13, This one is a NO-Brainer - GL

[SweetLou]

For my 5th Posted play im gonna take BSU -3.5 against Hawaii, BSU is fresh off a road win against Fresno St the same team that Beat Hawaii by 19 AT hawaii, Boise state Lost to Hawaii on the road but still covered. BSU was missing 3 key players in that game. Hawaii will be with out 6'10 Haim Shimonovich tonight as he is out with a leg injury, BSU will also be without a key player Jermaine Blackburn, but has made adjustments, as evidenced with the win at Fresno St. I expect the Broncos to get revenge tonight on a traveling Hawaii team who is in 1st place in the WAC, and the team that everyone is shooting for in the conference.

[logan3372]

LOU

LOVE THE BOISE STATE PLAY I POSTED ONE PLAY TODAY & THAT WAS IT.I STILL WILL FIND ONE MORE TO COVER ME.
GOOD LUCK ON DUKE

[coattailer]

would u still play duke - 4 and boise - 5 ?

[Lucky Leo]

Good luck Lou

[SweetLou]

As i said in my previous post i think that the duke line s/b -6/6.5, and by game time it will be up to 5 or 6, so if u are gonna do it i would do it now at 4,

I personally would not take the -5 w/BSU, as that is too much in hawaiis favor who are a decent team, i see a win by BSU of 4-6 points,5 is kind of stretching it they would have to win by 6, i personally would look for some line value elsewhere maybe on another game or just straighbetting duke.

[paulsam1]

Just an Opinion

On the BSU game they are without the services of Jermaine Blackburn who is out indefinitely. Blackburn's 16 pts a game will be missed. Number opened at 3.5 and is up to -5.5 in most places that I see. So I'm a little confused in the upward movement of that Line so I'll Pass.

On the Duke Game I think this number is inflated for two reasons one because it's duke on National T.V and two because they are coming off I believe there first Road Loss of the year. I like Wake in this but according to my Numbers I would like to get +5 for a full bet I'll still bet them at +4 but for a little less. I think Wake has a great shot to win this outright.
Like I said food for thought.. GL in the BSU game..

[SweetLou]

Do Ya think that the books are trying to move the line to make hawaii more appealing??

[unchill]

Good luck with the Boise State bet. For another perspective on the Duke game, I think that Wake Forest will win the game, so getting 4 to 5 points is gravy just in case Reddick hits a late three to win the game for Duke. Every time these teams play in Winston-Salem, the refs do not let Duke play their normal pressure defense. You will see the whistles blowing freely tonight and that favors Wake's bench. Also, Levy will give Reddick trouble shooting with his long arms just like Manuel from UNC did. Another storm the court home victory on TV.
Wake Forest wins a game with a lower scoring total than is espected.

[SweetLou]

Since 1997....
DUKE is 11-4 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST since 1997
DUKE is 14-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST since 1997
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 5-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 5-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



Games played AT WAKE FOREST since 1997
WAKE FOREST is 3-3 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997
DUKE is 5-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST since 1997
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[paulsam1]

SweetLou,
To answer your question No I do not. The way I look at it is that it's 2 schools that I really don't follow on an everyday basics and I could be missing something. Before I put my money on anything I want to know everything. It doesn't mean I'm going to win but I want to give myself the best chance to win. So when I see something like that I just pass the game. Either we are missing something or it was just a bad opening number. Well See.

That's why I don't bet the NBA well I do make maybe 10-15 bets a year. Because you never know what's going on with them.
I mean everybody just loved Indiana last night but did anyone know that R. Artest wasn't going to play. Somebody did That game was everyones top play in the NBA but the line didn't move until very late and then just a 1/2 going to 7. Things like bring up Red Flags and even though I got caught betting them I cut my bet in 1/2. Should have known better.
My Plays Tonight

GW -4.5 3 UNITS
Tulsa -4 3 units
Ohio St +1 3 units
No. Illinois PK 3 units
Wake Forest +3.5 3 units
If I get +4 4 units If +5 5 units
Clemson +6 5units
Samford +3 5 units

Sorry about the double post hit a key before I was finish

[SweetLou]

added opinion

I'm gonna add a strong opinion on Illinois -5 Just got some good info on the game. GL