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  • NCAA System :

    I will attempt something here for a few days and see where it takes me , its a new way of looking at things for me and very heavy number-based . These are in no way my wagers just what I feel the law of avgs will dole out vs. the lines :

    Away Teams : the first number is a ranking then the number in the (x) is the line [ and then the value ]

    Buffalo + 9 (+3) [ +12 value ] = *
    Richmond + 8 (- 9) [ - 1 value ]
    Akron + 2 (- 4) [ - 2 value ]
    Texas Tech + 3 (+ 2) [ + 5 value ] = *
    Tulane + 1 (+ 10) [ +11 value ] = *
    Old Dom + 1 (+ 5) [ + 6 value ]
    G. Mason + 9 (pk) [ + 9 value ] = *
    Toledo + 1 (+11.5) [ +12.5 value ] = *
    Rhode Island + 5 (- 1) [ + 4 value ]
    Xavier + 3 (- 5) [ - 2 value ]
    St. Joes + 30 ( -21.5) [ + 8.5 value ]
    N.C. St. + 19 (- 6.5) [ + 12.5 value ] = *
    Wis/ Milw. + 12 (- 2) [ + 10 value ] = *
    Miss. + 4 (+ 6.5) [ + 10.5 value ] = *
    G-Town + 13 (- 11) [ + 2 value ]
    Dayton + 7 (+ 5) [ + 12 value ] = *
    Manhattan + 12 (- 12) [ 0 value ] = *
    S. Ill. + 7 (- 7.5) [ - .5 value ]
    Wichita St. + 8 (- 2.5) [ + 5.5 value ] = *
    Fresno St. + 2 (= 5.5) [ + 7.5 value ]
    Nevada + 2 (+ 1) [ + 3 value ] = *
    Iowa + 9 ( - 1.5) [ + 7.5 value ]
    Wis. + 1 (+ 4) [ + 5 value ]
    Bowling Green + 0 ( - 1) [ - 1 value ]
    Austin Peay + 10.5 ( - 3.5) [ + 7 value ]
    Cinn. + 8 ( - 3) [ + 5 value ]
    Duke + 6 ( - 3) [ + 3 value ] = *
    La. Lafayette + 7 (-4.5 ) [ + 2.5 value ]
    Hawaii + 7 ( + 4) [ + 11 value ] = *
    St. Marys + 13 ( - 8) [ + 5 value ] = *
    Chi. Ill. + 9 ( -2.5) [ + 6.5 value ] = *

    Home Teams :

    U. Conn + 6 ( -21) [ - 15 value ] = * VS.
    Miami OH. + 4 (- 10) [ - 6 value ]
    Kent St. + 9 (- 13) [ - 4 value ]
    Bill & Mary + 5 (- 9) [ - 4 value ] = * VS.
    Detroit + 11 ( -12.5) [ - 1.5 value ]
    Temple + 8 ( -10.5) [ - 2.5 value ]
    C. of Chareston + 5 ( -4.5) [ -.5 value ]
    Davidson + 6 ( - 13.5) [ - 7.5 value ]
    VCU + 4 ( -14.5) [ - 10.5 value ]
    Charlotte + 12 ( -20) [ - 8 value ]
    Indiana + 6 (-8) [ - 2 value ]
    Kansas + 18 (-24) [ - 6 value ]
    Mizzu + 5 (-10) [ - 5 value ] = *
    Kentucky + 7 (-14.5) [ - 6.5 value ]
    S. Miss + 1 (-8) [ - 7 value ]
    Creighton + 11 (-17) [ - 6 value ] = * VS.
    LSU + 6 (-6.5) [ -.5 value ] = *
    Mich. + 7 (-16) [ - 9.5 value ]
    Neb + 4 (-7.5) [ - 3.5 value ] = *
    Bradely + 1 (-4.5) [ - 3.5 value ]
    St. Louis + 1 (-5) [ - 4 value ]
    Texas + 11 (-20) [ - 9 value ]
    Cal. Irvine + 7 (-10) [ - 3 value ]
    Gonzaga + 22 (-25) [ - 3 value ]

    = * Plays

    As time goes by I will attempt to see where a break even point lies here , and where " true value " lies within these numbers and how high in needs to be to show a 57% profit margin .

    I will chart it daily and see if my rankings in these games needs adjusted also . Somewhere down the road there will be a point of diminishing returns and thats what we are looking for at the moment.

    Also I need to establish the needed number of points within it to show a good precentage for away clubs to flourish under this umbrella method and given time we might stumble upon a good thing here ?

    G.L.


    ***MMM***

    :cool: :cool: :cool:

    877 - 653 - 41 YTD / ATS
    Last edited by MemphisMafia; 02-18-2004, 04:11 PM.
    " The Wind Does Not Wait For The Tree To Bend "

  • #2
    My feeble mind is easily confused. So if I were to take a glance at this and only chose a few games to bet based on this system I should bet on the games with a higher plus number like Buffalo, Tulane, etc, correct? :confused: :confused: :confused:

    Comment


    • #3
      MMM,

      like a lot of the games... and I handicap my games on a smiliar base...
      So I wish you a lot of luck!

      GB
      You need people like me so you can point your fingers and say Hey there's the bad guy! So, what does that make to you. Good guys? Don't kid yourselves. You're no better'n me. You just know how to hide and how to lie. Me, I do not have that problem. I always tell the truth, even when I lie!
      Tony Montana, Scarface

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: NCAA System :

        Buffalo + 9 (+3) [ +12 value ] now + 3.5
        Richmond + 8 (- 9) [ - 1 value ] St. Bonnie has lost last 3 @ home ats and su
        Akron + 2 (- 4) [ - 2 value ] Akron 1-5 ats last 5 roadies
        Texas Tech + 3 (+ 2) [ + 5 value ]
        Tulane + 1 (+ 10) [ +11 value ]
        Old Dom + 1 (+ 5) [ + 6 value ]
        G. Mason + 9 (pk) [ + 9 value ]
        Toledo + 1 (+11.5) [ +12.5 value ] W. Mich. 13-5 ats
        Rhode Island + 5 (- 1) [ + 4 value ] now - 1.5
        Xavier + 3 (- 5) [ - 2 value ]
        St. Joes + 30 ( -21.5) [ + 8.5 value ] now - 22
        N.C. St. + 19 (- 6.5) [ + 12.5 value ] N.C. St 8-2 ats last 10 now - 6
        Wis/ Milw. + 12 (- 2) [ + 10 value ] 5-0 ats vs Butler
        Miss. + 4 (+ 6.5) [ + 10.5 value ]
        G-Town + 13 (- 11) [ + 2 value ]
        Dayton + 7 (+ 5) [ + 12 value ]
        Manhattan + 12 (- 12) [ 0 value ] now - 12.5
        S. Ill. + 7 (- 7.5) [ - .5 value ]
        Wichita St. + 8 (- 2.5) [ + 5.5 value ] now - 1.5
        Fresno St. + 2 (= 5.5) [ + 7.5 value ]
        Nevada + 2 (+ 1) [ + 3 value ] 5-0 ats last 5 vs
        Iowa + 9 ( - 1.5) [ + 7.5 value ] now - 1
        Wis. + 1 (+ 4) [ + 5 value ] now + 4.5
        Bowling Green + 0 ( - 1) [ - 1 value ] 8-2 ats last 10
        Austin Peay + 10.5 ( - 3.5) [ + 7 value ] now - 3
        Cinn. + 8 ( - 3) [ + 5 value ]
        Duke + 6 ( - 3) [ + 3 value ]
        La. Lafayette + 7 (-4.5 ) [ + 2.5 value ] 4-1 ats here now - 5
        Hawaii + 7 ( + 4) [ + 11 value ] 5-0 ats last 5 roadies
        St. Marys + 13 ( - 8) [ + 5 value ] won by 19 @ home last

        Home Teams :

        U. Conn + 6 ( -21) [ - 15 value ] now - 21.5 ( 59% ft "ouch")
        Miami OH. + 4 (- 10) [ - 6 value ]
        Kent St. + 9 (- 13) [ - 4 value ]
        Bill & Mary + 5 (- 9) [ - 4 value ] now - 8.5
        Detroit + 11 ( -12.5) [ - 1.5 value ]
        Temple + 8 ( -10.5) [ - 2.5 value ]
        C. of Chareston + 5 ( -4.5) [ -.5 value ]
        Davidson + 6 ( - 13.5) [ - 7.5 value ]
        Villanova + 6 (- 10.5) [ - 4.5 value ]
        VCU + 4 ( -14.5) [ - 10.5 value ]
        Charlotte + 12 ( -20) [ - 8 value ]
        Indiana + 6 (-8) [ - 2 value ] now - 8.5
        Ill. Chicago + 9 (-2.5) [ + 6.5 value ]
        Kansas + 18 (-24) [ - 6 value ] now - 24.5
        Mizzu + 5 (-10) [ - 5 value ] Iowat St. 4-1 ats here and 3-24 su on the road
        Kentucky + 7 (-14.5) [ - 6.5 value ] now - 14
        S. Miss + 1 (-8) [ - 7 value ]
        Alabama +0 ( - 2.5) [ value - 2.5 ] Vandy 0-5 on road in SEC ats
        Creighton + 11 (-17) [ - 6 value ] Indiana St. 5-1 ats last 6 roadies
        LSU + 6 (-6.5) [ -.5 value ]
        Mich. + 7 (-16) [ - 9.5 value ]
        Neb + 4 (-7.5) [ - 3.5 value ] K. St 1-27 su on the raod
        Bradely + 1 (-4.5) [ - 3.5 value ] now - 4
        St. Louis + 1 (-5) [ - 4 value ]
        Texas + 11 (-20) [ - 9 value ]
        Cal. Irvine + 7 (-10) [ - 3 value ] now - 9.5
        Gonzaga + 22 (-25) [ - 3 value ]

        G.L.


        ***MMM***

        :cool: :cool: :cool: [/B][/QUOTE]

        Cabomike , this is under construction yet , but yes the plus sides are the ones that look good . Higher the + , higher the value .

        G.B. , I have never tried it this way , but if it cuts time and gives good results it will be my new baby !
        " The Wind Does Not Wait For The Tree To Bend "

        Comment


        • #5
          BEST OF LUCK MM

          Comment


          • #6
            Memphis-Wisc. Milwaukee doesn't play tonight.
            Does this analysis and pick for contest refer to tomorrow tonight when they do play?
            Scratch above-I see it is a writein.
            Last edited by savage1; 02-18-2004, 07:37 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              I show them :

              @ Butler @ 7:00 pm tonight , with Don Best and scoresandodds and the greek as well , will double check now ?

              G.L.

              ***MMM***

              :cool: :cool: :cool:
              " The Wind Does Not Wait For The Tree To Bend "

              Comment


              • #8
                Good Luck tonight MMM
                1 of 1 Morons

                Comment


                • #9
                  GL MMM

                  Love the Buffalo pick

                  PEACE

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Re: NCAA System :

                    Originally posted by MemphisMafia
                    Buffalo + 9 (+3) [ +12 value ] = W 83-64
                    Richmond + 8 (- 9) [ - 1 value ] = W 75-65
                    Akron + 2 (- 4) [ - 2 value ] = W 87-66
                    Texas Tech + 3 (+ 2) [ + 5 value ] = L 75-85
                    Tulane + 1 (+ 10) [ +11 value ] = P 66-76
                    Old Dom + 1 (+ 5) [ + 6 value ] = L 66-82
                    G. Mason + 9 (pk) [ + 9 value ] = L 57-67
                    Toledo + 1 (+11.5) [ +12.5 value ] = L 62-89
                    Rhode Island + 5 (- 1) [ + 4 value ] = W 73-66
                    Xavier + 3 (- 5) [ - 2 value ] = W 78-68
                    St. Joes + 30 ( -21.5) [ + 8.5 value ] = L 72-54
                    N.C. St. + 19 (- 6.5) [ + 12.5 value ] = L 55-60
                    Wis/ Milw. + 12 (- 2) [ + 10 value ] = L 59-75
                    Miss. + 4 (+ 6.5) [ + 10.5 value ] = L 66-83
                    G-Town + 13 (- 11) [ + 2 value ] = L 58-65
                    Dayton + 7 (+ 5) [ + 12 value ] = W 64-66
                    Manhattan + 12 (- 12) [ 0 value ] = W 75-52
                    S. Ill. + 7 (- 7.5) [ - .5 value ] = W 84-69
                    Wichita St. + 8 (- 2.5) [ + 5.5 value ] = L 80-85
                    Fresno St. + 2 (= 5.5) [ + 7.5 value ] = W 61-41
                    Nevada + 2 (+ 1) [ + 3 value ] = L 75-87
                    Iowa + 9 ( - 1.5) [ + 7.5 value ] = W 78-67
                    Wis. + 1 (+ 4) [ + 5 value ] = L 57-65
                    Bowling Green + 0 ( - 1) [ - 1 value ] = W 69-52
                    Austin Peay + 10.5 ( - 3.5) [ + 7 value ] = W 68-46
                    Cinn. + 8 ( - 3) [ + 5 value ] = L 68-80
                    Duke + 6 ( - 3) [ + 3 value ] = L 84-90
                    La. Lafayette + 7 (-4.5 ) [ + 2.5 value ] = W 76-58
                    Hawaii + 7 ( + 4) [ + 11 value ] = L 57-74
                    St. Marys + 13 ( - 8) [ + 5 value ] = W 87-67
                    Ill. Chicago + 9 (- 2.5) [ + 6.5 value ] = W 63-55

                    Aways = 15-15-1

                    Home Teams :

                    U. Conn + 6 ( -21) [ - 15 value ] = L 76-63
                    Miami OH. + 4 (- 10) [ - 6 value ] = L 64-63
                    Kent St. + 9 (- 13) [ - 4 value ] = W 86-55
                    Bill & Mary + 5 (- 9) [ - 4 value ] = L 74-68
                    Detroit + 11 ( -12.5) [ - 1.5 value ] = L 69-62
                    Temple + 8 ( -10.5) [ - 2.5 value ] = W 83-65
                    C. of Chareston + 5 ( -4.5) [ -.5 value ] = L 76-82
                    Davidson + 6 ( - 13.5) [ - 7.5 value ] = L 73-63
                    Villanova + 6 (- 10.5) [ - 4.5 value ] = W 80-68
                    VCU + 4 ( -14.5) [ - 10.5 value ] = W 92-61
                    Charlotte + 12 ( -20) [ - 8 value ] = L 84-72
                    Indiana + 6 (-8) [ - 2 value ] = L 71-73
                    Kansas + 18 (-24) [ - 6 value ] = L 74-54
                    Mizzu + 5 (-10) [ - 5 value ] = W 82-70
                    Kentucky + 7 (-14.5) [ - 6.5 value ] = W 73-56
                    S. Miss + 1 (-8) [ - 7 value ] = W 70-48
                    Alabama +0 ( - 2.5) [ value - 2.5 ] = L 67-70
                    Creighton + 11 (-17) [ - 6 value ] = L 69-65
                    LSU + 6 (-6.5) [ -.5 value ] = L 68-80
                    Mich. + 7 (-16) [ - 9.5 value ] = W 76-53
                    Neb + 4 (-7.5) [ - 3.5 value ] = L 58-63
                    Bradely + 1 (-4.5) [ - 3.5 value ] = W 65-46
                    St. Louis + 1 (-5) [ - 4 value ] = L 58-54
                    Texas + 11 (-20) [ - 9 value ] = P 77-57
                    Cal. Irvine + 7 (-10) [ - 3 value ] = L 80-71
                    Gonzaga + 22 (-25) [ - 3 value ] = ?

                    Homes = 9-15-1

                    G.L.


                    ***MMM***

                    :cool: :cool: :cool:
                    Last edited by MemphisMafia; 02-19-2004, 02:22 AM.
                    " The Wind Does Not Wait For The Tree To Bend "

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Good luck........

                      with your new VALUE system, Memphis!!
                      I am sure it will work like a charm!!

                      Bennojd
                      Quote from author Peter Marshall: "If you don't stand for something, you'll fall for everything."

                      Comment

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