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**Udog** · 12-20-2020, 10:00 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Bills 48, Denver 19
— Bills win AFC East for first time in 25 years.
— Buffalo won seven of its last eight games, covered last six.
— Bills outscored last five opponents 104-52 in first half.
— Diggs/Beasley both had 100+ receiving yards for Buffalo

— Denver lost seven of its last nine games.
— Broncos lost five of their seven home games.
— Denver turned ball over 19 times (-11) in their last nine games.
— Broncos were outgained, 534-255.

12) Green Bay 24, Panthers 16:
— Carolina lost eight of its last nine games overall.
— Panthers are 4-10 despite a +4 turnover ratio.
— Panthers covered their last six games as road underdogs.
— Carolina is 0-10 when they allow 23+ points, 4-0 when they allow 21 or fewer.

— Packers’ first three drives: 27 plays, 203 yards, 21 points.
— Green Bay won six of last seven games, scoring 31.0 ppg in last five.
— Under is 8-3 in last 11 Green Bay games.
— Packers were outscored in second half in 9 of their last 11 games.

11) San Jose State 34, Boise State 20:
— Brent Brennan has done one of the best coaching jobs in the history of man; two years ago, San Jose went 1-11. Now they’re Mountain West champs.

— Spartans finish regular season 7-0, their best record since 1939.
— All seven of San Jose’s wins are by 10+ points.

10) Clemson 34, Notre Dame 10:
— Tigers outgained Notre Dame, 541-263; this wasn’t very interesting.
— Etienne carried the ball 10 times for 124 yards.
— Now the playoff selection committee has the drama they crave; who gets the 4th bid?

9) LSU 53, Ole Miss 48:
— LSU receiver Kayshon Boutte caught 14 passes for 308 yards, three TD’s.
— Ole Miss QB Corral threw for 251 yards, ran for 158 more, but threw five INT’s.
— How do you turn the ball over six times and still score 48 points?
— LSU QB Johnson threw for 435 yards, three TD’s.

8) Utah 45, Washington State 28:
— Coogs (+11) led 28-7 at halftime, didn’t even cover the spread.

**Udog** · 12-20-2020, 10:00 AM

267NORTH TEXAS -268 APPALACHIAN ST
NORTH TEXAS are 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 3 seasons.

269TULANE -270 NEVADA
TULANE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a conference game in the current season.

271UCF -272 BYU
UCF is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

273GA SOUTHERN -274 LOUISIANA TECH
LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after a bye week in the last 3 seasons.

275FLA ATLANTIC -276 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as an favorite of 3.5-10 since 1992.

277HAWAII -278 HOUSTON
HAWAII is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) vs. good offenses (>31 PPG) since 1992.

287W KENTUCKY -288 GEORGIA ST
W KENTUCKY is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

**Udog** · 12-20-2020, 10:00 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Monday, December 21

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NORTH TEXAS (4 - 5) vs. APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 3) - 12/21/2020, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, December 22

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TULANE (6 - 5) vs. NEVADA (6 - 2) - 12/22/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCF (6 - 3) vs. BYU (10 - 1) - 12/22/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, December 23

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GA SOUTHERN (7 - 5) vs. LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 4) - 12/23/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 3) vs. MEMPHIS (7 - 3) - 12/23/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, December 24

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HAWAII (4 - 4) vs. HOUSTON (3 - 4) - 12/24/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
HAWAII is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 26

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W KENTUCKY (5 - 6) vs. GEORGIA ST (5 - 4) - 12/26/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
W KENTUCKY is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 12-20-2020, 10:01 AM

NCAAF

Week 17

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Trend Report
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Monday, December 21

Appalachian State @ North Texas
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Appalachian State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
North Texas
North Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
North Texas is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 games

Tuesday, December 22

Tulane @ Nevada
Tulane
Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Tulane is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Nevada
Nevada is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games

Central Florida @ Brigham Young
Central Florida
Central Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Florida's last 10 games
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Wednesday, December 23

Louisiana Tech @ Georgia Southern
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Louisiana Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Georgia Southern
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games
Georgia Southern is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Memphis @ Florida Atlantic
Memphis
Memphis is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games on the road
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games at home

Thursday, December 24

Hawaii @ Houston
Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games
Hawaii is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

Saturday, December 26

Western Kentucky @ Georgia State
Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia State's last 10 games
Georgia State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 12-21-2020, 09:22 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 17

**Udog** · 12-21-2020, 09:24 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 17

Bowl Games

Myrtle Beach Bowl
Appalachian State vs North Texas
Appalachian State (8-3)
— App State won seven of its last nine games.
— ASU was minus-6 in turnovers in its three losses, +6 in its wins.
— App State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— ASU has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— App State has a senior QB with 37 career starts.
— ASU is 1-4 ATS this year as a double digit favorite.
— App State won its last five bowls, scoring 31+ points in all five.

North Texas (4-5)
— North Texas allowed 31+ points in eight of its nine games.
— Mean Green allowed 200+ rushing yards in six of last eight games.
— North Texas has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Mean Green has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
— North Texas has a soph QB with 9 career starts.
— Mean Green are 4-5 ATS in last 8 games as road underdogs.
— North Texas lost last three bowls, giving up 46.7 ppg.

**Udog** · 12-21-2020, 08:54 PM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Games

Dec 22

Idaho Potato Bowl, Boise
Tulane (6-5) vs Nevada (6-2)
— Tulane won four of last five games, after a 2-4 start.
— Green Wave allowed 24 or fewer points in wins, 38.8 ppg in losses.
— Green Wave has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tulane has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 18 TD’s, 5 INT’s.
— Tulane is 5-3 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— Tulane won four of last five bowls, winning 41-24/30-13 last two years.

— Nevada lost two of last three games after a 5-0 start.
— Wolf Pack allowed 30-34 points in its losses, 21.5 ppg in wins.
— Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Wolf Pack has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nevada’s soph QB has 18 career starts.
— Wolf Pack is 2-2 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— Nevada is 2-3 in its last five bowls; this is their 3rd straight bowl.
— Nevada lost 30-21 to Ohio U in this bowl last year.

Boca Raton Bowl
Central Florida (6-3) vs BYU (10-1)
— Central Florida won four of last five games, after a 2-2 start.
— UCF gained 455+ yards in seven of their nine games.
— Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— UCF has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Knights have a sophomore QB with 21 career starts.
— UCF is 3-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— Knights are 2-3 in last five bowls; average total in last three, 68.7.

— BYU had its first loss of year December 5, at Coastal Carolina.
— Eight of BYU’s ten wins are by 17+ points.
— Cougars beat Navy (55-3), Houston (43-26) of AAC.
— Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— BYU has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cougars have a junior QB with 28 career starts.
— BYU is 3-0 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— BYU is 2-3 in its last five bowls; this is their 3rd straight bowl.

**Udog** · 12-22-2020, 10:13 PM

Tech Trends - Bowls
Bruce Marshall

The College Football Bowl Season kicks off on Monday, Dec. 21 and concludes on Saturday, Jan. 2 before the College Football Playoff championship on Monday, Jan. 11.

We've identified betting trends and angles for the final 27 bowl games and we also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

LOUISIANA TECH vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Skip Holtz remarkable bowl mark, 6-0 SU with La Tech, and has won seven in a row outright dating to USF tenure.
Skip 2-3 as dog in 2020 but entering this season was 19-8-1 in role with Bulldogs.
GSU no covers last two bowls, also just 2-6 vs. spread last 8 away from Statesboro.

Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team and bowl trends.

MEMPHIS vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Memphis no covers last six as chalk vs. FBS opposition.
Tigers are 2-10 vs. spread last 12 vs. FBS foes.
Also 0-5 SU and vs. line last five bowls.
FAU remarkably 4-0 SU and vs. line all-time in bowls (Schnellenberger 2007-08, Lane Kiffin 2017 & ‘19).
Though Willie Taggart surprisingly yet to covers in a bowl (0-2 with USF; also left WKU & Oregon before bowl dates in 2012 & ‘17, respectively).
Owls no covers last three in 2020 though were 1-0 as dog (Kiffin 2-1 as dog LY).

Tech Edge: FAU, based on bowl and team trends.

HAWAII vs. HOUSTON
Houston no wins or covers last three bowls, and Dana Holgorsen was 1-5 SU, 0-6 vs. spread last six bowls with West Virginia.
Holgorsen just 7-12 SU, 9-10 vs. line since taking over Cougs LY.
Hawaii only 2-5 vs. line last seven TY for Todd Graham, also “under” 6-2 in 2020.
Rainbow Warriors 9-4 “under” since late 2019, also were 2-1 SU and vs. line in bowls during Rolovich years.

Tech Edge: “Under” and Hawaii, based on “totals” and team trends.

MARSHALL vs. BUFFALO
Both had unbeaten runs ended late in 2020, UB against Ball State in MAC title game.
Bulls were 4-1 vs. line prior, and even with loss to Cards.
Lance Leipold 30-14-2 vs. spread since late 2016.
UB also 8-3-1 as dog since 2017, and Leipold 1-1 SU and vs. line in bowls.
Bulls also on 18-7 “over” run since mid 2018.
Herd dropped 3 of last 4 vs. line TY, but had won seven bowls in a row SU (the last six of those for Doc Holliday) before getting blown out by UCF in Gasparilla Bowl LY.
Marshall also on 16-8 “over” run.

Tech Edge: “Over” and Buffalo, based on “totals” and team trends.

LIBERTY vs. COASTAL CAROLINA
Teams were scheduled to meet on Dec. 5.
Coastal 8-2-1 vs. line this season, though Liberty enters with seven covers in a row.
Flames also 3-0 as dog in 2020, and 6-1 last seven getting points.

Tech Edge: Slight to Liberty, based on team trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA vs. UAB
South Carolina concluded 2020 losing and failing to cover its last six games.
Gamecocks also “over” 7-3 in 2020.
UAB only 3-6 vs. line in 2020 but was 26-14-1 vs. number the previous three seasons and has covered last two bowls for Bill Clark.

Tech Edge: UAB and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

UL-LAFAYETTE vs. UTSA
Cajuns covered last three in 2020 but that only got them to 5-5 vs. number this season.
ULL just 1-2 laying points away from Cajun Field TY, and 1-4 last five in role.
Also no covers last two years in bowls for Napier.
Roadrunners 4-2 as dog this season for Traylor, now 9-3 last 12 in role.
Cajuns “under” 7-3 in 2020, UTSA “under” 8-3 this season.

Tech Edge: UTSA and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. GEORGIA STATE
Tops covered last two in 2020 but were 1-8-2 vs. line in preceding 11 games.
WKU 2-3-1 as dog TY and Helton was 6-2 in role LY.
GSU covered last three TY and was 3-1 vs. spread outside Atlanta.
Rematch of 2017 Cure Bowl won by GSU 27-17!

Tech Edge: Slight to Georgia State, based on recent trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE vs. MIAMI-Fl.
Canes slowed down late in season, just 2-5 last seven vs. line in 2020.
Though OSU only 1-5 last six vs. spread.
Cowboys also on 3-11 “under” run since late last season.
Gundy has also covered four straight bowls.
Meanwhile, Miami has lost and failed to cover 8 of last 9 bowls.

Tech Edge: Oklahoma State and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

COLORADO vs. TEXAS
Tom Herman 4-0 SU and vs. line in bowls (3-0 with Texas).
Buffs were 4-1 vs. line for Karl Dorrell this season.
CU 0-5 SU (1-4 vs. line) last five bowls, only one since 2007, and no SU wins since ‘99 Insight.com Bowl vs. BC.

Tech Edge: Texas, based on bowl trends. slight to UCF, based on bowl trends.

WISCONSIN vs. WAKE FOREST
Badgers no covers last four in 2020, longest spread skid since beginning of 2012 (reached six, including last two of 2011).
Meanwhile, Wake 6-2 vs. line in 2020.
Wiscy had won and covered five bowls in a row prior to close Rose Bowl loss to Ducks last season.

Tech Edge: Wake Forest, based on recent trends.

MISSOURI vs. IOWA
Mizzou cooled off late in 2020, lost last three vs. line.
Tigers just 1-3 vs. line away from Columbia.
Now, 1-9 vs. spread last 10 away from home.
Iowa 6-0 SU, 5-1 vs. line last five in 2020.
Kirk Ferentz has won and covered last three bowls.

Tech Edge: Iowa, based on team trends.

FLORIDA vs. OKLAHOMA
Sooners won last seven outright, covered last six, in 2020.
Though OU just 2-4 vs. line last six bowls, and 3-2 last five in rare dog roles.
Gators head coach Dan Mullen 4-5 vs. line in bowls.

Tech Edge: Slight to OU, based on recent trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. TULSA
Tulsa outstanding 7-1 vs. line this season, 11-3 last 14 vs. number since late LY.
Golden Hurricane has covered last three bowls (not since 2016, the last two of those for Montgomery).
MSU played better down stretch, covering 3 of last 4 after dropping five in a row vs. number.
At that point, Leach was 5-16 his last 21 vs. spread.
Bulldogs “under” 7-3 this season.
Leach only 2-4 SU and 1-5 vs. spread in bowls with Wash State.

Tech Edge: Tulsa, based on team trends.

BALL STATE vs. SAN JOSE STATE
San Jose 6-0 SU and vs. line in 2020 (counts UNLV as a win).
Now 15-4-1 vs. spread since late 2018.
Spartans also “under” last seven since late 2019.
Cards won and covered last four in 2020 after dropping 5 of previous six vs. spread.

Tech Edge: SJSU and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

ARMY vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Monken 3-0 SU in bowls for Army, also “under” 7-4 this year.
Mounties failed to cover their last six bowls (all Holgorsen).

Tech Edge: Army and slight to “under,” based on bowl and “totals” trends.

ARKANSAS vs. TCU
Old SWC matchup!
Hogs cooled a bit late in 2020, lost last four outright, covered only one of those.
Had covered first six previous.
TCU won and covered last three and 5 of last 6 TY.
Patterson 10-3 SU last 13 bowls, 3-2 vs. line last five.

Tech Edge: Slight to TCU, based on recent trends.

CINCINNATI vs. GEORGIA
Luke Fickell 10-5 as 'dog since 2017 with Bearcats, and Cincy 2-0 SU, 1-1 vs. line in bowls last two years.
Bearcats “over” last 3 and 4 of last 5 in 2020.
Note Georgia “over” last four in 2020.
Kirby Smart 3-2 SU, 4-1 vs. line in bowls (counts 2017 title game vs. Bama).

Tech Edge: Slight to “over,” based on “totals” trends.

AUBURN vs. NORTHWESTERN
Cats 7-1 vs. line in 2020, NU on 8-1-2 spread run since late 2019.
NU also “under” 8-1 last nine since late 2019.
Pat Fitz has also won outright last three bowls.
Auburn 2-4 vs. spread last six bowls, and Tigers “under” 8-2 in 2020.

Tech Edge: Northwestern and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NOTRE DAME vs. ALABAMA
Saban 8-3 vs. line TY, on 9-3 run since late 2019.
Alabama, however, just 4-7 vs. number last 11 bowls/Title games.
Irish were only 5-6 vs. line TY, and 3-5 last 8 vs. line in bowls.
Kelly 5-4 as dog since 2016.

Tech Edge: Alabama, based on team trends.

OHIO STATE vs. CLEMSON
Clemson has won and covered all three bowl/playoff meetings since 2013.
4-0 if going way back to ‘78 Gator Bowl.
Buckeyes 1-3 vs. line last four bowls, just 4-7 last 11 overall vs. line since late 2019.
Dabo 14-3 vs. line in ACC title/bowl/playoff games since 2012.
Tigers surging again with three wins and covers in a row.

Tech Edge: Clemson, based on team trends.

KENTUCKY vs. N.C. STATE
UK only 4-6 SU, 4-5-1 vs. line this season.
Though Stoops 2-0 SU last two and 3-0 vs. line last three bowls.
Pack 7-4 vs. spread in rebound year for Dave Doeren.

Tech Edge: N.C. State, based on recent trends.

OLE MISS vs. INDIANA
Hoosiers spotless 7-0 v. line in 2020, now covers in last 8 and 11 of last 13 since late 2019.
Kiffin only 4-5 SU and vs. line TY with Rebels.
However, he did win and cover bowls with FAU in 2017 & ‘19.

Tech Edge: Indiana, based on recent trends.

OREGON vs. IOWA STATE
ISU on 8-4-1 “under” run since late LY.
Ducks only 1-4 vs. line last five bowls/playoffs.

Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

TEXAS A&M vs. NORTH CAROLINA
Jimbo won and covered last four away from Kyle Field TY.
UNC had dropped 3 in a row vs. line before Miami blowout.
Mack only 5-6 vs. spread in 2020.

Tech Edge: Slight to A&M, based on team trends.

**Udog** · 12-22-2020, 11:24 PM

279MARSHALL -280 BUFFALO
MARSHALL is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.

281S CAROLINA -282 UAB
UAB is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

283LIBERTY -284 COASTAL CAROLINA
COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) off a conference game in the current season.

285LA LAFAYETTE -286 UTSA
LA LAFAYETTE is 43-23 ATS (17.7 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

**Udog** · 12-23-2020, 07:51 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Games

Dec 23

New Orleans Bowl
Louisiana Tech (5-4) vs Georgia Southern (7-5)
— Tech is 4-0 when it scores 31+ points, 1-4 when it does not.
— Bulldogs gave up 330+ rushing yards in two of last three games.
— Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 2 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a senior QB with 26 career starts.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 ATS this season as an underdog.
— Tech won its last five bowls, allowing total of 24 points in last three.

— Eagles want to run ball; they ran for 200+ yards in 9 of 12 games.
— Georgia Southern lost three of its last four games.
— Eagles have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 90 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a senior QB with 46 career starts.
— Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS this year in games with single digit spread.
— Georgia Southern won two of its three bowl games.

Montgomery Bowl
Memphis (7-3) Florida Atlantic (5-3)
— Memphis won four of its last five games.
— Tigers are 5-0 if they score 34+ points, 2-3 if they don’t.
— Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Memphis has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers’ senior QB has started 38 games.
— Memphis is 1-4 ATS this season as a favorite.
— Memphis lost its last five bowls, giving up 38.4 ppg.

— FAU lost its last two games, 20-3/45-31, after a 5-1 start.
— Owls gave up 574 rushing yards in their last two games.
— FAU is allowing only 16.5 ppg this season.
— FAU has 6 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
— Owls have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FAU has a junior QB with 34 career starts.
— Owls are 2-4 ATS in games this year with a single digit spread.
— FAU is 4-0 in bowl games, scoring 50-52 points in last two; they were an underdog in two of the four games.

**Udog** · 12-24-2020, 08:57 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Games

Dec 24

New Mexico Bowl (Frisco, TX)
Hawai’i (4-4) vs Houston (3-4)
— Hawai’i allowed 31+ points in their losses; 23.5 ppg in wins.
— Rainbows allowed 208+ rushing yards in six of last seven games.
— Hawai’i has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rainbows have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hawai’i’s soph QB has started 13 games.
— Rainbows are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
— This is first time since 2008 Hawai’i is bowling on the mainland.
— Rainbows lost three of last five bowls, giving up 42.2 ppg.

— Houston allowed 30+ points in five of their seven games.
— Cougars have a minus-7 turnover ratio this season.
— Houston scored 37+ points in their wins; they’re 0-4 scoring less than 37.
— Cougars have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Houston has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Houston’s junior QB has started 16 games.
— Cougars are 3-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Houston is 3-2 in last five bowls, but lost 70-14 in last bowl, in ’18 vs Army.

Dec 25

Camellia Bowl (Montgomery, AL)
Marshall (7-2) vs Buffalo (5-1)
— Marshall lost last two games 20-0/22-13 after a 7-0 start.
— Thundering Herd hasn’t played away from home since October 17.
— Marshall has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Thundering Herd have 126 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Marshall has a redshirt freshman QB with nine career starts.
— Thundering Herd is 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as an under dog (1-0 TY).
— Marshall is 12-3 in bowls; they lost 48-25 to UCF last year.

— Buffalo lost MAC title game 38-28 after a 5-0 regular season.
— Star RB Patterson (1,072 YR) got hurt last game, is expected to play here.
— Buffalo has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Bulls have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Buffalo has a soph QB with 11 career starts.
— Bulls are 19-9-1 ATS in last 29 games as a favorite.
— Buffalo is 1-3 in bowls; they beat Charlotte 31-9 LY.

**Udog** · 12-24-2020, 09:03 AM

**Udog** · 12-26-2020, 08:59 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Games

Dec 26

First Responder Bowl, Dallas
Louisiana (9-1) vs Texas-San Antonio (7-4)
— Louisiana won its last six games, scoring 38.2 ppg.
— ULL’s only loss was 30-27 at home to Coastal October 14.
— Cajuns won all six road games, also scoring 38.2 ppg.
— Cajuns have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Louisiana has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cajuns have a senior QB with 28 career starts.
— Louisiana is 3-5 ATS as a favorite TY, 2-4 when laying double digits.
— In its history, ULL has won five of seven bowl games.

— UTSA coach Traylor tested positive for COVID, will likely miss this game.
— Roadrunners won their last three games, scoring 41.3 ppg.
— UTSA ran ball for 229+ yards in five of its seven wins.
— Roadrunners have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— UTSA has 67 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Roadrunners have a junior QB with 15 career starts.
— UTSA ia 4-2 ATS when getting points this season.
— UTSA’s only previous bowl game was a 23-20 (+9) loss at New Mexico in the New Mexico Bowl four years ago.

LendingTree Bowl, Mobile, AL
Western Kentucky (5-6) vs Georgia State (5-4)
— WKU won its last three games; they allowed 11.8 ppg last four games.
— Hilltoppers held five of last five opponents under 310 TY.
— Hilltoppers have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— WKU has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hilltoppers’ senior QB has started 18 games, 7 of them at Maryland.
— WKU is 2-3 ATS this year, in games with a single digit spread.
— Hilltoppers scored 38-37 points in last two games, only times this year they scored more than 24 points.
— WKU won four of its last five bowl games.

— Georgia State scored 31+ points in seven of nine games.
— Georgia State its 0-2 this season scoring fewer than 31.
— Panthers won three of their last four games.
— GSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Georgia State’s redshirt freshman QB has started nine games.
— Panthers are 4-2 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— Georgia State lost two of its three bowls; they were underdog in all three.

— Georgia State (+6.5) upset WKU 27-17 in the Cure Bowl, three years ago.

Mortgage Cure Bowl, Orlando
Liberty (9-1) vs Coastal Carolina (11-0)
— Liberty’s only loss was 15-14 at NC State; they had a FG blocked at the end.
— Flames scored 30+ points in eight of ten games.
— Liberty beat two ACC teams (Syracuse/Virginia Tech).
— Flames have 5 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Liberty has 96 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Liberty’s junior QB is an Auburn transfer; he has started 10 games.
— Flames are 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Liberty (+5) beat Georgia Southern 23-16 in this bowl LY, their first-ever bowl.

— Coastal won its last two games by total of nine points.
— Chanticleers ran ball for 236+ yards in four of last six games.
— Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Chanticleers have 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coastal’s freshman QB has 23 TD passes, two INTs.
— Chanticleers are 7-0 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
— This is Coastal Carolina’s first-ever bowl game.

— These teams were supposed to play last month, but Liberty had COVID issues and the game cancelled.

**Udog** · 12-26-2020, 09:05 AM

NCAAF

Bowl Week

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Trend Report
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Saturday, December 26

Western Kentucky @ Georgia State
Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia State's last 10 games
Georgia State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Texas-San Antonio
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 8 games
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 8 games
Texas-San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Liberty @ Coastal Carolina
Liberty
Liberty is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Liberty is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Coastal Carolina is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games

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Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Mon., Dec. 21 - Sat., Dec. 26)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Mon., Dec. 21 - Sat., Dec. 26)

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