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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 16 (Thurs., Dec. 17 - Sat., Dec. 19)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 16 (Thurs., Dec. 17 - Sat., Dec. 19)

    Commercial Photography
    Week 15


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 17 - Saturday, December 19

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) USC 43, UCLA 38:
    — Trojans beat their crosstown rivals for 5th time in six years.
    — USC trailed this game 28-10; three of their five wins are by 5 or fewer points.
    — USC drove 43 yards in 0:36, scoring game-winning TD with 0:16 left.
    — UCLA had taken the lead on a 43-yard FG with 0:51 left.

    12) Utah 38, Colorado 21— Ohio State-Michigan got cancelled, so this game got moved to the noon slot, which meant a 10am local time kickoff on a snowy day in Boulder.

    Colorado’s loss put USC in the Pac-12 title game, even before the Trojans beat UCLA.

    11) Ball State 30, Western Michigan 27:
    — Cardinals win MAC West, play Buffalo for MAC title next week.
    — WMU led 27-13 after three quarters; big comeback for the Cardinals, who scored two TD’s 1:05 apart early in 4th quarter, then kicked game-winning FG with 0:29 left.

    10) LSU 37, Florida 34:
    — Tigers kicked a 57-yard FG with 0:23 left.
    — Florida missed a 51-yard FG wide left at the gun.
    — Gators outgained LSU 609-418, but were minus-5 in turnovers.

    9) North Carolina 62, Miami 26:
    — Tar Heels ran ball for 554 yards; Michael Carter had 308 of them.
    — UNC gained total of 778 yards; Miami allowed a total of 539 yards in their last two games, combined.

    8) Coastal Carolina 42, Troy 38:
    — Chanticleers drove 75 yards in 0:45, scored game-winning TD with 0:35 left to avoid an upset that would’ve ruined their undefeated season.
    — Coastal led 14-0 after 6:27 of play, but this final score won’t impress any of the pollsters.

    7) Army 15, Navy 0:
    — This rivalry game stayed under total for 15th year in a row .
    — This was first time since World War II the game was played at West Point.

    6) Memphis 30, Houston 27:
    — Memphis kicked a 47-yard FG at the gun for the win.
    — Tigers led 27-6 after three quarters; Houston tied game with 0:28 left.

    5) College football upsets:
    — LSU (+23) 37, Florida 34
    — Minnesota (+9.5) 24, Nebraska 17
    — Southern Miss (+9.5) 35, Florida Atlantic 31
    — Memphis (+4.5) 30, Houston 27

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAF
      Dunkel

      Week 16


      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAF
        Long Sheet


        Thursday, December 17

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LA MONROE (0 - 10) at TROY (5 - 6) - 12/17/2020, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        LA MONROE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        LA MONROE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        LA MONROE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
        LA MONROE is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
        TROY is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Friday, December 18

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UAB (5 - 3) at MARSHALL (7 - 1) - 12/18/2020, 7:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BALL ST (5 - 1) vs. BUFFALO (5 - 0) - 12/18/2020, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BUFFALO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        BALL ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WASHINGTON (3 - 1) at USC (5 - 0) - 12/18/2020, 8:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
        WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEBRASKA (2 - 5) at RUTGERS (3 - 5) - 12/18/2020, 4:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PURDUE (2 - 4) at INDIANA (6 - 1) - 12/18/2020, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
        INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
        INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
        INDIANA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
        INDIANA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
        INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
        INDIANA is 1-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Saturday, December 19

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        GEORGIA TECH (3 - 7) at MIAMI (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GEORGIA TECH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        FLORIDA ST (3 - 6) at WAKE FOREST (4 - 4) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        FLORIDA ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        FLORIDA ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WAKE FOREST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
        WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        AIR FORCE (3 - 2) at ARMY (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 3:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        AIR FORCE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
        ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
        ARMY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MINNESOTA (3 - 3) at WISCONSIN (2 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 4:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ILLINOIS (2 - 5) at PENN ST (3 - 5) - 12/19/2020, 5:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ILLINOIS is 143-182 ATS (-57.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
        ILLINOIS is 143-182 ATS (-57.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        PENN ST is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
        PENN ST is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
        PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MICHIGAN (2 - 4) at IOWA (6 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 7:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
        MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MICHIGAN ST (2 - 5) at MARYLAND (2 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MICHIGAN ST is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        MICHIGAN ST is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        MICHIGAN ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        MICHIGAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        MICHIGAN ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        MICHIGAN ST is 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
        MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WASHINGTON ST (1 - 2) at UTAH (2 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 1:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
        UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
        UTAH is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        STANFORD (3 - 2) at UCLA (3 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        STANFORD is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        STANFORD is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
        STANFORD is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
        UCLA is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OREGON (3 - 2) vs. COLORADO (4 - 1) - 12/19/2020, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OREGON is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
        OREGON is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        OREGON is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARIZONA ST (1 - 2) at OREGON ST (2 - 4) - 12/19/2020, 10:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OREGON ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        OREGON ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        OREGON ST is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
        OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARIZONA (0 - 5) at CALIFORNIA (1 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        CALIFORNIA is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
        ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NORTHWESTERN (6 - 1) vs. OHIO ST (5 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OHIO ST is 202-154 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 202-154 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 171-134 ATS (+23.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 134-101 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 183-139 ATS (+30.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
        NORTHWESTERN is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
        NORTHWESTERN is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        NORTHWESTERN is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
        OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA (7 - 2) vs. IOWA ST (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        IOWA ST is 3-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA is 2-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LA LAFAYETTE (9 - 1) at COASTAL CAROLINA (11 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
        LA LAFAYETTE is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CLEMSON (9 - 1) vs. NOTRE DAME (10 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 4:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CLEMSON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEMSON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEMSON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEMSON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NOTRE DAME is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
        NOTRE DAME is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TULSA (6 - 1) at CINCINNATI (8 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
        TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        TULSA is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
        CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ALABAMA (10 - 0) vs. FLORIDA (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
        ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
        ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
        ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
        ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
        ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
        ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
        ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
        ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BOISE ST (5 - 1) vs. SAN JOSE ST (6 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 4:15 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN JOSE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
        SAN JOSE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        SAN JOSE ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 157-116 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 157-116 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 52-27 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
        BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TEXAS A&M (7 - 1) at TENNESSEE (3 - 6) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TEXAS A&M is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
        TENNESSEE is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        VANDERBILT (0 - 9) at GEORGIA (7 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VANDERBILT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        VANDERBILT is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
        GEORGIA is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
        GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OLE MISS (4 - 4) at LSU (4 - 5) - 12/19/2020, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LSU is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
        LSU is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MISSOURI (5 - 4) at MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 7) - 12/19/2020, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MISSOURI is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
        MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UTSA (7 - 4) vs. SMU (7 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 4:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-15-2020, 12:12 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF

          Week 16


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Thursday, December 17

          Louisiana-Monroe @ Troy
          Louisiana-Monroe
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 11 games
          Troy
          Troy is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Monroe
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Troy's last 13 games


          Friday, December 18

          Nebraska @ Rutgers
          Nebraska
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 7 games
          Rutgers
          Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
          Rutgers is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games

          Alabama-Birmingham @ Marshall
          Alabama-Birmingham
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 7 games when playing Marshall
          Alabama-Birmingham is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
          Marshall
          Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Ball State @ Buffalo
          Ball State
          Ball State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
          Buffalo
          Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

          Purdue @ Indiana
          Purdue
          Purdue is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
          The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Purdue's last 18 games on the road
          Indiana
          Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

          Washington @ Southern California
          Washington
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Southern California
          Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          Southern California
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern California's last 5 games when playing Washington
          Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


          Saturday, December 19

          Vanderbilt @ Georgia
          Vanderbilt
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Georgia
          Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Georgia
          Georgia is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Vanderbilt
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games

          Texas A&M @ Tennessee
          Texas A&M
          Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas A&M's last 9 games on the road
          Tennessee
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games

          Florida State @ Wake Forest
          Florida State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
          Florida State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Wake Forest
          Wake Forest
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing Florida State
          Wake Forest is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

          Oklahoma @ Iowa State
          Oklahoma
          Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Oklahoma is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Iowa State
          Iowa State
          Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
          Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

          Northwestern @ Ohio State
          Northwestern
          Northwestern is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northwestern's last 7 games when playing Ohio State
          Ohio State
          Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northwestern

          Washington State @ Utah
          Washington State
          Washington State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
          Washington State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
          Utah
          Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
          Utah is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

          Air Force @ Army
          Air Force
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing Army
          Air Force is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Army
          Army
          Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Air Force

          Louisiana-Lafayette @ Coastal Carolina
          Louisiana-Lafayette
          Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          Coastal Carolina
          Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

          Mississippi @ Louisiana State
          Mississippi
          Mississippi is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Louisiana State
          Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
          Louisiana State
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 5 games at home
          Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi

          Missouri @ Mississippi State
          Missouri
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Missouri's last 20 games
          Mississippi State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Mississippi State's last 8 games

          Clemson @ Notre Dame
          Clemson
          Clemson is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson's last 6 games
          Notre Dame
          Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Notre Dame is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

          Minnesota @ Wisconsin
          Minnesota
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
          Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
          Wisconsin
          Wisconsin is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
          Wisconsin is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota

          Boise State @ San Jose State
          Boise State
          Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
          Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
          San Jose State
          San Jose State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          San Jose State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

          Southern Methodist @ Texas-San Antonio
          Southern Methodist
          Southern Methodist is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
          Texas-San Antonio
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 8 games
          Texas-San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          Illinois @ Penn State
          Illinois
          Illinois is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Penn State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing on the road against Penn State
          Penn State
          Penn State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Illinois
          Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Illinois

          Michigan @ Iowa
          Michigan
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Iowa
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa
          Iowa
          Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Iowa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

          Michigan State @ Maryland
          Michigan State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing Maryland
          Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Maryland
          Maryland
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Maryland's last 7 games

          Alabama @ Florida
          Alabama
          Alabama is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Florida
          Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Alabama

          Tulsa @ Cincinnati
          Tulsa
          Tulsa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
          Cincinnati
          Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

          Stanford @ California-Los Angeles
          Stanford
          Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California-Los An
          Stanford is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing California-Los Angeles
          California-Los Angeles
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Stanford
          California-Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

          Oregon @ Colorado
          Oregon
          Oregon is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
          Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
          Colorado
          Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          Arizona State @ Oregon State
          Arizona State
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games
          Oregon State
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oregon State's last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona State
          Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona State


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-15-2020, 12:14 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            193LA MONROE -194 TROY
            LA MONROE is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.

            195UAB -196 MARSHALL
            UAB is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

            197BALL ST -198 BUFFALO
            BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

            201GEORGIA TECH -202 MIAMI
            MIAMI is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) off upset loss vs conference foe since 1992.

            203FLORIDA ST -204 WAKE FOREST
            WAKE FOREST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs bad defenses (>31 PPG) in the last 3 seasons.

            205AIR FORCE -206 ARMY
            ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against the Mountain West since 1992.

            207NEBRASKA -208 RUTGERS
            RUTGERS are 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.

            209PURDUE -210 INDIANA
            INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

            211MINNESOTA -212 WISCONSIN
            WISCONSIN is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

            215MICHIGAN -216 IOWA
            MICHIGAN is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

            217MICHIGAN ST -218 MARYLAND
            MICHIGAN ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-15-2020, 12:15 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              219WASHINGTON ST -220 UTAH
              UTAH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a win vs. the conference over the last 2 seasons.

              221STANFORD -222 UCLA
              STANFORD is 59-33 ATS (22.7 Units) in road games in the second half of the season since 1992.

              Comment


              • #8
                Tech Trends - Week 16
                Bruce Marshall

                Week 16 of the College Football season kicks off on Friday, Dec. 18 and concludes on Saturday, Dec. 19.

                We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS matchups and focus on the 10 Championships on tap.

                We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

                Friday, Dec. 18

                UAB at Marshall (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

                Conference USA Title Game
                John C Edwards Stadium, Huntington, West Virginia
                After recent overachieving vs. the line, UAB tailed off in 2020, just 2-6 vs. spread
                Blazers also no covers in their last five

                Tech Edge: Slight to Marshall, based on recent trends.

                Ball State at Buffalo (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
                MAC Championship
                Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
                Buffalo covered 4 of 5 while recording an unbeaten 5-0 SU mark this season
                Upping head coach Lance Leipold’s spread mark to 30-13-3 the last three+ seasons

                Tech Edge: Buffalo, based on team trends.

                Oregon at USC (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)
                Pac-12 Championship
                L.A. Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
                Ducks no covers last three in 2020
                USC 3-0 last three games vs. the spread
                Trojans “under” 4-1 this season

                Tech Edge: Slight to USC and “under,” based on recent team and “totals” trends

                Nebraska at Rutgers (Big Ten, 4:00 p.m. ET)
                Scarlet Knights an improved 5-3 vs. line this season in head coach Greg Schiano debut.
                Huskers 6-13-1 vs. line for Frost since last season

                Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on team trends.


                Saturday, Dec. 19

                Florida State at Wake Forest (ACC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

                FSU 2-6 vs. line this season
                Seminoles are 15-28-2 vs. points since 2017
                Wake 3-1-1 vs. line last five meetings
                WF also on 5-1 spread run this season

                Tech Edge: Wake Forest, based on team trends.

                Air Force at Army (CBSSN, 3:00 p.m. ET)
                Underdog team 4-0-1 vs. line last five meetings
                Air Force has won and covered last three and 9 of last 10 meetings at Michie Stadium (NY)

                Tech Edge: Air Force, especially if dog, based on team and series trends

                Minnesota at Wisconsin (Big Ten, 4:00 p.m. ET)
                Road team 5-0-1 vs. line last six in battle for Paul Bunyan’s Axe

                Tech Edge: Minnesota, based on series trends.

                Illinois at Penn State (FS1, 5:30 p.m. ET)
                Nittany Lions on a late-season surge, having won and covered last three after dropping first five.

                Tech Edge: Penn State, based on recent trends.

                Washington State at Utah (FS1, 1:30 p.m. ET)
                Cougars have faltered since opening win at Oregon State
                Washington State just 1-2 vs. line this season
                Cougars are now on 5-13 spread skid since late 2018, dating to the Mike Leach era

                Tech Edge: Utah, based on team trends.

                Stanford at UCLA (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)
                Bruins broke 10-game SU series losing streak (1-9 vs. line) in last year’s 34-16 win at Palo Alto
                Stanford 4-12-1 vs. spread since 2019

                Tech Edge: UCLA, based on recent trends.

                Arizona State at Oregon State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET)
                Beavers continue to provide good spread value, now on 13-3-1 spread run last 17 on board

                Tech Edge: OSU, based on team trends.

                Northwestern at Ohio State (FOX, 12:00 p.m. ET)
                Big Ten Championship
                Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
                Northwestern 5-1 both SU and ATS this season
                Wildcats are 13-3 as underdogs away from home since 2016
                Buckeyes only 4-6 last 10 vs. spread since late 2019
                'Cats also on 13-5 “under” run

                Tech Edge: Northwestern and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

                Oklahoma at Iowa State (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
                Big 12 Championship
                AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
                Matt Campbell 2-3 SU but 5-0 vs. line against OU since arriving at Ames in 2016.
                Cyclones 19-9-1 as underdogs for Campbell (counts OSU this year as push).

                Tech Edge: Iowa State, based on series and team trends.

                UL Lafayette at Coastal Carolina (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)
                Sun Belt Championship
                Brooks Stadium, Conway, South Carolina
                ULL 9-2-1 last 12 as an underdog since early 2018
                Though Coastal is 11-0 SU and 8-2-1 vs. ATS in 2020
                Note road team has covered last two meetings including 48-7 ULL win at Conway last year.

                Tech Edge: Slight to ULL, based on team and series trends.

                Clemson at Notre Dame (ABC, 4:00 p.m. ET)
                ACC Championship
                Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
                Rematch of ND’s 40-34 upset in OT back on Nov. 7
                Irish head coach Brian Kelly 4-1 last five as a 'dog.
                Clemson 11-3-1 ATS last 15 vs. ACC foes away from Death Valley
                However, Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney only 4-6 vs. line in 2020

                Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on extended trends.

                Tulsa at Cincinnati (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
                American Championship
                Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
                Magical Tulsa has won last six SU and is 6-1 vs. spread in 2020
                Golden Hurricane on 10-3 spread uptick since mid 2019, also “under” 7-3 last 10
                Tulsa 6-1 last seven as a 'dog and covered last year vs. Cincy
                Bearcats however on 8-3 spread advance since late 2019

                Tech Edge: Tulsa and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

                Alabama at Florida (CBS, 8:00 p.m. ET)
                SEC Championship
                Mercedez-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
                Note Gators head coach Dan Mullen covered 4 of last 7 meetings while at MSU in games vs. Alabama
                However, Mullen didn’t win outright in any of those, or in 9 tries vs. Nick Saban while coaching in Starkville
                Crimson Tide has won and covered last seven in 2020

                Tech Edge: Slight to Alabama, based on recent trends.

                Boise State at San Jose State (FOX, 4:15 p.m. ET)
                Mountain West Championship
                Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
                SJSU is both 5-0 SU and ATS in 2020 (counting UNLV as a cover)
                Spartans head coach Brent Brennan now on 14-4-1 spread uptick since late 2018
                San Jose State has also covered seven straight as a dog and “under” 5-0 this season, “under” last six since late 2019
                Boise State however “over” 5-0 in 2020

                Tech Edge: San Jose State, based on team trends.

                Texas A&M at Tennessee (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
                Vols 1-6 SU, 2-5 vs. line last seven TY, not closer than 12 points in any of the SU losses
                Texas A&M head coach Jimbo Fisher has covered 6 of last 8 on road
                Note that Vols are 11-3 “under” since late 2019

                Tech Edge: A&M and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

                Mississippi at LSU (SEC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
                If getting points, note Rebels are 7-2-1 as 'dogs since last season (2-1 for Kiffin TY)
                Ole Miss has also covered 6 of last 7 away Kiffin teams (FAU included)
                Rebels are 7-3 “over” last 10 since late 2019

                Tech Edge: Ole Miss and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

                Missouri at Mississippi State (SEC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
                Leach has covered two of last three two two seasons after dropping previous five
                Also, Leach had been on 5-16 spread skid prior since late 2018 at Washington State
                Bulldogs “under” 7-2 in 2020, on 10-3 “under” run since mid 2019

                Tech Edge: “Under”, based on “totals”
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-16-2020, 01:05 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  College Football Odds Week 16: Opening Lines and Sharp Money
                  Patrick Everson

                  Quarterback Ian Book and Notre Dame look to beat Clemson for the second time this season when the two teams meet Saturday in the ACC title game. But with Trevor Lawrence healthy, Clemson is -9.5.

                  College football odds for Week 16 are up and drawing dollars, with conference championship games dotting the schedule. Clemson gets a shot at revenge against Notre Dame in the ACC title tilt, while COVID issues forced Washington out of, and Oregon into, the Pac-12 finale against USC.

                  FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 16 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

                  UAB at (21) Marshall Odds
                  Opening line
                  Marshall -5.5, Over/Under 41.5

                  Why the line moved
                  FanDuel opened the Thundering Herd 5.5-point home favorites in the Conference USA championship game, and the number is still Marshall -5.5 Monday night. Marshall is taking 86 percent of early tickets and 74 percent of early money. The total bounced from 41.5 to 42.5 and back to 41.5, but FanDuel's betting splits aren't yet available.

                  Ball State vs Buffalo Odds
                  Opening line
                  Buffalo -11.5, Over/Under 66.5

                  Why the line moved
                  Buffalo is already up two points Monday night at Fanduel, sitting at -13.5 for the Mid-American Conference title game at Detroit's Ford Field. The Bulls are drawing 86 percent of tickets and 97 percent of money. The total is steady at 66.5, though practically all the tickets and dollars through Monday night are on the Over.

                  (23) Oregon at (13) USC Odds
                  Opening line
                  Southern Cal -3.5, Over/Under 62.5

                  Why the line moved
                  Oregon is a substitute invitee to Friday night's Pac-12 championship game, after Washington had to withdraw Monday due to COVID issues within the program. Host USC opened -3.5 and remains there late Monday evening on some interesting early betting splits: 78 percent of tickets are on the Trojans, while 79 percent of money is on the Ducks.

                  The total is down a point to 61.5, though the early splits don't reflect that, with 87 percent of tickets and pretty much every dollar on the Over.

                  (14) Northwestern vs (4) Ohio State Odds
                  Opening line
                  Ohio State -20.5, Over/Under 58.5

                  Why the line moved
                  FanDuel posted the Big Ten title game on Thursday, and it's bounced around a bit since then. Ohio State first moved to -21.5, then dipped to -19.5, and on Monday night, this line is back to the opener of -20.5. The Buckeyes are attracting 78 percent of early tickets and 89 percent of early dollars on the spread.

                  The total first ticked up to 59.5, then dialed down to 57.5, though tickets are 3/1 and money 2/1 on the Over for this neutral-site game at Indianapolis' Lucas Oil Stadium.

                  (10) Oklahoma vs (6) Iowa State Odds
                  Opening line
                  Iowa State +4.5, Over/Under 59.5

                  Why the line moved
                  Oklahoma gets a shot at revenge in the Big 12 title game, having lost at Iowa State 37-30 on Oct. 3. FanDuel opened the Sooners -4.5 for the rematch, taking place Saturday at AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys. The line jumped to -6.5, then receded to -5.5, and as of Monday night, 53 percent of tickets are on Iowa State and 60 percent of money is on Oklahoma.

                  The total initially dipped two points to 57.5, and it's at 58.5 Monday night, with 88 percent of tickets/96 percent of cash on the Over.

                  (19) Louisiana at (12) Coastal Carolina Odds
                  Opening line
                  Coastal Carolina -3.5, Over/Under 53.5

                  Why the line moved
                  Coastal Carolina opened -3.5 at FanDuel for the Sun Belt championship game and stuck at that number through Monday night, with the exception of 15 minutes Sunday at -4.5. Tickets and money are running 9/1-plus on the host Chanticleers. The total is up a point to 54.5, with practically all the early tickets and money on the Over.

                  (3) Clemson vs (2) Notre Dame Odds
                  Opening line
                  Notre Dame +7.5, Over/Under 61.5

                  Why the line moved
                  On Nov. 7, Notre Dame beat visiting Clemson 47-40 in overtime, but the Tigers didn't have star quarterback Trevor Lawrence, due to COVID. Lawrence is good to go for a neutral-site game in Charlotte, N.C., and Clemson rose up to -10.5 from a -7.5 opener at FanDuel and is currently -9.5. However, the Fighting Irish are attracting 69 percent of spread bets and 59 percent of spread money through Monday night.

                  The total fell from 61.5 to 60.5, though the Over is taking 85 percent of tickets and 78 percent of money.

                  (23) Tulsa at (9) Cincinnati Odds
                  Opening line
                  Cincinnati -14.5, Over/Under 46.5

                  Why the line moved
                  Host Cincinnati opened -14.5 in the American Athletic Conference title game, initially fell to -13.5, rose to -15.5 and is back at the opener of -14.5 Monday night at FanDuel. It's two-way action with a lean toward the Bearcats, who are landing 55 percent of tickets and 53 percent of cash through Monday night.

                  The total went from 46.5 to 47.5 and back to 46.5, though the ticket count is beyond 6/1 and money 5/1 on the Over.

                  (1) Alabama vs (7) Florida Odds
                  Opening line
                  Alabama -13.5, Over/Under 71.5

                  Why the line moved
                  A lot of the air went out of the balloon for the SEC championship game when Florida, a 23-point home chalk against LSU last weekend, lost outright 37-34. But the Gators can certainly give the College Football Playoff committee a headache with an upset of Alabama in Saturday's contest in Atlanta.

                  The Crimson Tide initially ticked up to -14 at FanDuel, dipped to -12.5, then rocketed up to -17.5, where the line is Monday night. However, FanDuel doesn't yet have betting splits available. The hefty total opened at 71.5, got to 74.5 and is 73.5 late Monday night.

                  Boise State vs (24) San Jose State Odds
                  Opening line
                  San Jose State +7.5, Over/Under 54.5

                  Why the line moved
                  San Jose State is the home team for the Mountain West Conference championship game, but the game will be at a neutral site, because local COVID regulations won't allow the game to be played in San Jose, Calif. Rather, the game will be at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas.

                  Boise State is down a point to -6.5 at FanDuel, where through Monday night, San Jose State is drawing 51 percent of bets and 57 percent of dollar on the spread. The total is stable at 54.5 on what must be light early action, as practically all the tickets and dollars are on the Over.
                  Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-16-2020, 01:07 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NCAAF
                    Armadillo's Write-Up

                    Week 16


                    13 of this weekend’s best games
                    Friday’s games
                    Ball State (5-1) vs Buffalo (5-0) (Ford Field, Detroit)

                    — Ball State won its last five games, after losing their opener.
                    — Cardinals gave 449+ TY in three of last five games.
                    — Ball State has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                    — Cardinals have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Ball State has a senior QB with 24 starts.
                    — This is Ball State’s first winning season since 2013.

                    — Buffalo scored 42+ points in winningly five of its games.
                    — Bulls ran for 1,339 yards in their last three games.
                    — Buffalo has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                    — Bulls have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Buffalo has a soph QB with ten career starts.
                    — Bulls lost MAC title game 30-29 to Bowling Green in 2018.

                    — Ball State won seven of last nine series games; last meeting was 2017.

                    Oregon (3-2) @ USC (5-0)
                    — Oregon lost its last two games, after a 3-0 start.
                    — Ducks lost two of three road games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
                    — Oregon has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                    — Ducks have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Oregon has a soph QB with five starts.
                    — Ducks are in this game because of Washington’s COVID issues.
                    — Oregon beat Utah 37-15 in LY’s Pac-12 title game.

                    — USC has three wins by five or fewer points.
                    — Trojans are scoring 35.2 ppg this season.
                    — Last four games, USC is +8 in turnovers.
                    — Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                    — USC has 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Trojans have a soph QB has started 16 games.
                    — USC won Pac-12 title game in 2017, lost it in 2015, both vs Stanford.

                    — Oregon won five of last seven series games; they whacked USC 56-24 LY.

                    Saturday’s games
                    Washington State (1-2) @ Utah (2-2)

                    — Wazzu allowed 36.3 ppg in its three games.
                    — WSU won at Oregon St, lost to Oregon/USC.
                    — Wazzu lost 43-29 to Oregon, despite being +3 in turnovers.
                    — Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                    — WSU has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Coogs have a freshman QB with three starts
                    — Wazzu is 11-7 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.

                    — Utah won its last two games, scoring 30-38 points.
                    — Utes ran ball for 212 yards/game, in last three games.
                    — Utah has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                    — Utes have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Utah’s new quarterback started 33 games at South Carolina.
                    — Utah is 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as home favorites, but 0-2 TY.

                    — Wazzu won four of last five series games.
                    — Coogs won three of last four visits to Salt Lake City.

                    Stanford (3-2) @ UCLA (3-3)
                    — Stanford’s last four games were decided by total of 12 points.
                    — Cardinal won last three games, after an 0-2 start.
                    — Cardinal has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                    — Stanford has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Cardinal has a junior QB with 11 career starts.
                    — Stanford is 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

                    — UCLA lost 43-38 to rival USC last week, blowing a 28-10 lead.
                    — Bruins allowed 18 or fewer points in its wins, 48-38-43 in losses.
                    — UCLA allowed 886 yards in its last two games.
                    — Bruins are 0-3 in games decided by less than 7 points.
                    — UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                    — Bruins have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — UCLA’s junior QB is making his 25th career start.
                    — Under Kelly, Bruins are 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.

                    — UCLA beat Stanford 34-16 LY, snapping an 11-game series skid.

                    Arizona State (1-2) @ Oregon State (2-4)
                    — Arizona State beat Arizona 70-7 LW, after losing its two games.
                    — ASU gained 928 yards in its last two games.
                    — Sun Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                    — ASU has 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Sun Devils have a soph QB with 15 career starts.
                    — Under Edwards, ASU is 4-9 ATS as a favorite, 1-4 on road.

                    — Beavers’ last three losses are all by 6 or fewer points.
                    — Oregon State won its last two home games by total of 7 points.
                    — Beavers gave up 400+ total yards in all six games.
                    — OSU has 5 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                    — Ducks have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Oregon State has a junior QB with seven starts.
                    — Beavers are 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games as home dogs, but are 2-0 TY.

                    — Teams split last eight series games overall.
                    — Sun Devils lost six of last seven visits to Corvallis, losing 35-34 LY.

                    Northwestern (6-1) vs Ohio State (5-0) (@ Indianapolis)
                    — Northwestern gave up 20 or fewer points in all of its wins.
                    — Wildcats gained fewer than 300 yards in four of last six games.
                    — Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                    — Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Northwestern has a senior QB with 29 career starts.
                    — Wildcats were +8 in turnovers in first five games, are minus-4 in last two.
                    — Six of seven Northwestern games stayed under total.

                    — Ohio State scored 38+ points in all five of their games.
                    — Buckeyes ran ball for 307-322 yards in last two games.
                    — Buckeyes have 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
                    — OSU has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Ohio State’s junior QB has started 18 games.
                    — Buckeyes won Big 14 title game the last three years.

                    — Ohio State won last eight series games (7-1 ATS)
                    — Buckeyes hammered Northwestern 52-3 last year.

                    Oklahoma (7-2) vs Iowa State (8-2) (@ Arlington, TX)
                    — Oklahoma won its last six games, scoring 53.0 ppg.
                    — Sooners scored 35-30 points in their two losses.
                    — Oklahoma hasn’t lost since the Iowa State game.
                    — Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                    — Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Sooners have a freshman QB with 9 career starts.
                    — Oklahoma won the Big X title game the last three years.

                    — Cyclones are trying for first league title since 1912. Nineteen. twelve.
                    — Iowa State won eight of last nine games, scoring 40 ppg in last five.
                    — Cyclones won two games in Texas this year (TCU 37-34), Texas (23-20)
                    — Cyclones have 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                    — ISU has 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Cyclones have a junior QB this year, with 31 starts.
                    — ISU is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten games as an underdog.

                    — Iowa State beat Oklahoma 37-30 in Ames October 3; yardage was 417-414 ISU.
                    — Oklahoma won 15 of last 17 series games; teams split last four meetings.

                    Louisiana (9-1) @ Coastal Carolina (10-0)
                    — Louisiana won its last six games, scoring 38.2 ppg.
                    — ULL’s only loss was 30-27 at home to Coastal October 14.
                    — Cajuns won all six road games, also scoring 38.2 ppg.
                    — Cajuns have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                    — Louisiana has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Cajuns have a senior QB with 28 career starts.
                    — Louisiana is 8-2 ATS as a road underdog.

                    — Coastal won its last two games by total of nine points.
                    — Chanticleers ran ball for 236+ yards in four of last six games.
                    — Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                    — Chanticleers have 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Coastal’s freshman QB has 23 TD passes, two INTs.
                    — Chanticleers are 7-0 ATS in games with a single digit spread.

                    — Chanticleers won 30-27 at ULL October 14 (yardage 414-413 CC).
                    — Road team won all three series games.
                    — Ragin’ Cajuns won 30-28 in last visit here, in 2018.

                    Clemson (9-1) vs Notre Dame (10-0) (@ Charlotte)
                    — Clemson won its last two games, scoring 52-45 points.
                    — Clemson scored 48.8 ppg in its four road games.
                    — Tigers threw ball for 439/436 yards in last two games.
                    — Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                    — Tigers have 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Clemson’s junior QB has made 34 starts.
                    — Tigers won ACC title game last five years, scoring 45.8 ppg.

                    — Notre Dame won its first ten games (5-5 ATS)
                    — ND ran for 209+ yards in seven of last nine games.
                    — Notre Dame has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                    — Notre Dame has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Notre Dame’s senior QB has made 33 career starts.
                    — Notre Dame is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog.

                    — Notre Dame upset Clemson 47-40 November 7; Lawrence didn’t play.
                    — Clemson won two of last three series games (won 30-3/24-22).

                    Tulsa (6-1) @ Cincinnati (7-0)
                    — Tulsa won its last six games, after a 16-7 loss at Oklahoma State.
                    — Golden Hurricane scored 31.2 ppg in its six wins.
                    — Golden Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
                    — Tulsa has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Tulsa’s senior QB has 29 career starts.
                    — Tulsa covered nine of its last ten road games.
                    — Three of their last four wins were by 6 or fewer points.

                    — Cincinnati is 7-0 vs I-A teams, with six of seven wins by 14+ points.
                    — Bearcats threw ball for 692 yards in their last two games.
                    — Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                    — Cincinnati has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Cincy’s junior QB has 33 career starts.
                    — Cincinnati is 11-5 ATS in last 16 games as home favorites.

                    — Cincinnati won three of four series games, winning 24-13 LY.
                    — Home side won all four series games.

                    Alabama (10-0) vs Florida (8-2) (@ Atlanta)
                    — Closest game Alabama played this year was a 41-24 win over Georgia.
                    — Alabama gave up 7.2 ppg in last five games.
                    — Crimson Tide has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                    — Alabama has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Bama’s junior QB has made 13 starts.
                    — Alabama didn’t play in SEC title game LY; they won three of last four appearances in this game.

                    — Florida lost 37-34 to LSU last week, snapping a 6-game win streak.
                    — Gators’ losses were both by a FG, giving up 41-37 points.
                    — Florida threw ball for 312+ yards in their last eight games.
                    — Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                    — Florida has 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Gators have a senior QB who has started 20 games.
                    — Under Mullen, Florida is 3-1 ATS as an SEC underdog.

                    — Alabama won last series game, 54-13 in SEC title tilt four years ago.

                    San Jose State (6-0) vs Boise State (5-1) (@ Las Vegas)
                    — San Jose is 6-0 for the first time since 1955.
                    — Spartans are 2-0 away from home, winning 28-17/35-24.
                    — Spartans have 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                    — San Jose has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Spartans have a senior QB with 16 career starts- he used to play at Arkansas.
                    — San Jose is 15-6 ATS in last 21 games as an underdog, 3-0 TY.

                    — Boise State scored 40+ points in four of its five wins.
                    — Broncos are minus-5 in turnovers in their last four games.
                    — Boise has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                    — Broncos have 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Boise has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
                    — Boise State is 2-1 in this game last three years, scoring 21.3 ppg.
                    — Five of seven Boise games stayed under the total.

                    — Boise State won last 13 series games; San Jose covered last two.

                    Ole Miss (4-4)
                    — Ole Miss won its last three games, scoring 48 ppg.
                    — Rebels allowed 31+ points in six of their eight games.
                    — Ole Miss has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                    — Rebels have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — Ole Miss’s sophomore QB is making his 13th career start.
                    — Rebels are 1-5 ATS in last six games as a road favorite.

                    LSU (4-5)
                    — LSU sis having a bad year, but they did upset Florida last week.
                    — Tigers gave up 44+ points in four of their five losses.
                    — LSU has 3 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                    — Tigers have 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
                    — LSU has a freshman QB with two career starts (Brad Johnson’s son).
                    — Tigers covered last five games as a home underdog.
                    — LSU’s defense gave up 650-609 yards the last two games.

                    — LSU won last four series games, scoring 45.3 ppg.
                    — Rebels lost their last five visits to Baton Rouge (2-3 ATS)

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