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**Udog** · 12-08-2020, 10:37 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 15

**Udog** · 12-08-2020, 10:37 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 8

**Udog** · 12-08-2020, 10:38 AM

NCAAF

Week 15

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 12-09-2020, 10:31 AM

Tech Trends - Week 15
Bruce Marshall

Week 15 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday Dec. 10 and concludes on Saturday, Dec. 12.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Thursday, Dec. 10

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at SOUTHERN MISS (CBSSN, 6:30 p.m.)
Even after Ga Southern loss, FAU 2-1 vs. line away TY for Taggart, now 7-2 vs. spread away from Boca Raton since LY.
USM has covered last two in 2020 but still 3-9 vs. line since late 2019.
Owls 6-1 “under” this season, USM “under” 5-1 last 6.

Tech Edge: FAU and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

PITT at GEORGIA TECH (FSN, 7:00 p.m.)
Pitt on 8-2 “over” run TY.
Panthers have won and covered last two in series, Tech on 12-5 over” run since early 2019.

Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Pitt, based on “totals” and team trends.

Friday, Dec. 11

UTEP at NORTH TEXAS (ESPN3, 6:00 p.m.)
After loss to La Tech, UNT now on 6-20 spread skid since mid 2018.
Home team has covered last four in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to UTEP, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at MARSHALL (CBSSN, 5:30 p.m.)
49ers no covers last four (0-3-1) after WKU loss on Sunday.
Herd 7-1 SU, 5-3 vs. line TY (3-3 at home vs. line).

Tech Edge: Slight to Marshall, based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at ARIZONA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Territorial Cup.
Sumlin on 4-12 spread skid since LY, though dog team has covered last four in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to ASU, based on team trends.

UTAH at COLORADO (FS1, 8:30 p.m.)
Karl Dorrell 4-0 SU and vs. line TY, while Whittingham 1-2 vs. line.
Utes have won and covered last four in series after CU covered first five after these schools joined the Pac in 2011.
Utes 7-2 vs. line last 9 as Pac-12 visitor.

Tech Edge: Slight to CU, based on current trends.

NEVADA vs. SAN JOSE STATE (CBSSN, 9:00 p.m.)
Pack 10-1 SU last 11 in series.
But Spartans on 14-4-1 spread run since late 2018.

Tech Edge: Slight to SJSU, based in recent trends.

Saturday, Dec. 12

WISCONSIN at IOWA (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)
Wiscy has won last four outright in series.
If Badgers a dog note 9-5 mark in role since 2015 for Chryst; if Iowa a dog 5-5-1 in role since 2017.

Tech Edge: Slight to Wiscy, based on series trends.

PURDUE at INDIANA (BTN, 3:30 p.m.)
Old Oaken Bucket!
Purdue no covers last 5 TY after 8-1 mark previous 9 vs. line.
IU 7-0 vs. line TY, and 14-3 last 16 vs. number since early 2019.
Boilermakers however have covered last 4 and 7 of last 9 Buckets.

Tech Edge: IU, based on recent trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at PENN STATE (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
MSU 7-16 vs. line last 23 on board since late 2018, 2-4 vs. points this year for Tucker.
James Franklin 2-5 vs. line TY and has dropped last 8 vs. spread at Beaver Stadium, though Nittany Lions now on 2-game win and cover streak.

Tech Edge: Slight to Penn State, based on team trends.

RUTGERS at MARYLAND (BTN, 12:00 p.m.)
Schiano 4-3 vs. line TY, though Terps have won and covered 4 of last 5 in series (all pre-Schiano).

Tech Edge: Slight to Rutgers, based on recent trends.

APP STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPN3, 6:00 p.m.)
App State 2-9 vs. line TY, 2-10 last 12 on board.
Also no covers last five on road for App State.
GSU has won last two meetings as dog in each.

Tech Edge: Georgia Southern, based on team and recent series trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at BALL STATE (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)
WMU 4-1 SU, 3-2 vs. line TY.
Last four “over” in series.
Ball 4-6 vs. line last nine since late 2019, and 1-4 vs. line last five in Muncie, though Cards have won their last four outright in 2020.
Ball has covered last two meetings after Broncos covered all four from 2014-17.

Tech Edge: Slight to Ball State and “over,” based on recent and “totals” trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at BOWLING GREEN (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
BGSU 4-12 vs. line since LY for Loeffler, Falcs also 1-3 SU and vs. line last four in series.
RedHawks 8-3 vs. spread last 11 since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: Miami-O, based on BGSU negatives.

AKRON at BUFFALO (CBSSN, 2:30 p.m.)
Akron 1-16 SU, 3-14 vs. line for Arth since LY but on one-game win streak!
Bulls 3-0-1 vs. line last four in series.
UB has covered last seven as host.

Tech Edge: Buffalo, based on team trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at EASTERN MICHIGAN (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
NIU 5-12 SU for Hammock since LY but better 9-8 vs. line.
Road team has covered last four meetings.
As good as Eagles have performed vs. spread on road, EMU only 2-8 vs. number last 10 at Ypsilanti.

Tech Edge: Slight to NIU, based on team and series trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at TOLEDO (ESPN3, 3:00 p.m.)
McElwain 13-6 vs. spread since arriving at CMU in 2019, and has covered 6 of last 7 as visitor.
Chips’ pre-McElwain numbers not as relevant.
Rockets 3-2 SU and vs. line TY but on 3-8-1 spread skid since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: CMU, based on recent trends.

LSU at FLORIDA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Florida 9-1-1 vs. line last 11 at Swamp for Mullen since late 2018.
Orgeron 9-3 as dog since 2017 (1-2 TY).

Tech Edge: Florida, based on team trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at MIAMI-FLA (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
Home team has covered last 3 in series, and UNC 4-1 SU and vs. line last five meetings.

Tech Edge: UNC, based on team and series trends.

VIRGINIA at VIRGINIA TECH (ACCN, 8:00 p.m.)
Last year, UVa won this game for the first time since 2003.
Bronco Mendenhall has won last 4 SU and covered last 5 in 2020, Cavs also on 13-2 “over” run.
VPI on 3-9 spread skid since late LY, also 8-4 “over” last 12 since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Virginia and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)
Huskers just 5-12 vs. spread since 2019, 3-6 last nine at Lincoln.
Though home team has won and covered last four meetings.
Gophers 12-6 “over” since last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Nebraska and “over,” based on series and “totals” trends.

ILLINOIS at NORTHWESTERN (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)
Illini only 1-4 SU and vs. line last 5 in series.
Cats 6-1-2 vs. spread last nine since late 2019, also on 18-8 “under” run since mid 2018.

Tech Edge: NU and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

FRESNO STATE at NEW MEXICO (at Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas) (FS2, 10:30 p.m.)
Lobos finally got first SU win of 2020 last week but still just 7-16 vs. spread since late 2018.
Bulldogs have won and covered last five meetings.

Tech Edge: Fresno State, based on recent trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at BYU (ESPN2, 10:00 p.m.)
This was once a very heated series in the old WAC days.
Aztecs did win 13-3 LY when Cougs were on 5-game spread skid to end season.
But Cougs 9-1 SU, 7-2-1 vs. line TY.
Aztecs also on 24-9 “under” run since early 2018.

Tech Edge: BYU and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NAVY at ARMY (CBS, 3:00 p.m.)
No neutral site this year!
Army had won three in a row before Mids got West Point 31-7 LY.
“Under” series deluxe...14 straight!

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

USC at UCLA (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
Bruins have covered 4 in a row in 2020, and are 5-3 vs. line last 8 against Trojans.
UCLA 2-0 SU and vs. line at home in 2020.
Clay Helton 6-11 vs. spread last 17 away from Coliseum.

Tech Edge: UCLA, based on recent trends.

WASHINGTON at OREGON (FOX, 4:00 p.m.)
Not long ago, Huskies were on a 12-game series losing streak before winning in 2016-17, but Ducks have bounced back with exciting wins past two years.
Huskies just 4-7 vs. line last 11 as Pac-12 visitor.
Ducks on 9-3-1 “over” run since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Oregon and “over,” based on series and “totals” trends.

CAL at WASHINGTON STATE (FS1, 10:30 p.m.)
Cal has covered last 3 meetings, though Bears are just SU 1-3 in 2020.
Into SC last Sunday night, WSU only 5-12 last 17 on board (1-1 for Rolovich).

Tech Edge: Slight to Cal, based on series trends.

UAB at RICE (ESPN3, 1:00 p.m.)
No sight of UAB lately, Blazers just 2-5 vs. line TY for Clark, who had been a spread overachiever prior.
Though UAB has won and covered handily last three years vs. Owls.

Tech Edge: Slight to UAB, based on series trends.

WAKE FOREST at LOUISVILLE (ACCN, 12:00 p.m.)
Clawson has covered last 5 and 6 of 7 this season.
If getting points, note Deacs 6-2 last 8 as dog.
Last four meetings way “over” in series, and ‘Ville 11-4 “over” run.

Tech Edge: Wake Forest especially if go, and “over” based on team and “totals” trends.

DUKE at FLORIDA STATE (ACCN, 4:00 p.m.)
FSU 2-6 vs. line TY, 5-11 last 16 as chalk.
Noles 15-29-2 overall vs. line since 2017.
Cutcliffe on 16-8 “over” run since late 2018.
Cutcliffe just 2-4 as dog TY and 4-8-1 in role since LY, but was 25-12-1 from 2013-18 as dog.

Tech Edge: Slight to Duke and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

OKLAHOMA at WEST VIRGINIA (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)
Sooners hot with 6-0 SU and 5-1 spread mark last six TY.
WVU, however, is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 vs. line at home in 2020.
Sooners 6-0 SU, 5-0-1 vs. line last six in series, now 8-0 SU vs. Mounties since WVU entered Big 12.

Tech Edge: Slight to OU, based on team trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA at TROY (ESPN+, 3:00 p.m.)
Troy 8-14 vs. line since LY for Chip Lindsey, also 8-3-1 “under” since late 2019.
Chants 10-0 SU, 8-1-1 vs. line TY, 4-0 vs. line away.

Tech Edge: Coastal Carolina, based on recent trends.

STANFORD at OREGON STATE (ESPNU, 10:30 p.m.)
Stanford 1-3 vs. line TY, 4-12 since last season.
Meanwhile, OSU on 13-3 spread uptick its last 16 games.

Tech Edge: OSU, based on recent trends.

TEXAS at KANSAS (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)
Tom Herman just 2-5-1 last eight on board this season, but KU 1-7-1 vs. line in 2020.

Tech Edge: Slight to Texas, based on team trends.

HOUSTON at MEMPHIS (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Tigers 1-8 vs. line TY, now on 1-11 spread skid since late 2019.
Though five straight series covers for Memphis.
Holgorsen 0-3 as dog in 2020.

Tech Edge: Slight to Houston, based on recent trends.

BOISE STATE at WYOMING (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)
Bohl has covered 4 of last 5 in series, and Wyo 9-4 last 13 as Laramie dog.
Broncos just 3-5 vs. spread last 8 away.

Tech Edge: Wyo, based on team and series trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at BAYLOR (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m.)
No covers last 5 TY for OSU after Gundy was on 13-4 spread run prior.
Bears, however, 2-4-1 last six vs. line TY, though 7-2-1 as dog since LY (2-1-1 TY for Aranda).
Baylor has won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings.
OSU 10-3 “under” run.

Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Baylor, based on “totals” and series trends.

LOUISIANA TECH at TCU (FS1, 7:00 p.m.)
After UNT win, Skip Holtz 3-2 as dog TY, 22-10-1 in role since arriving at Ruston in 2014.
TCU 6-16-1 as home chalk since 2016.

Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at COLORADO STATE (CBSSN, 9:30 p.m.)
After Air Force loss, Utags now 1-5 SU and vs. spread TY, and 5-11 last 16 on board since early 2019.
CSU has covered last 4 in series.

Tech Edge: CSU, based on team and series trends.

UNLV at HAWAII (11:00 p.m.)
Rebs 0-5 SU and vs. line in 2019 (counts SJSU as loss), now 1-5 vs. spread last six on MW road.
UH has covered 2 of 4 at home this season as the poor Honolulu marks dating to the Norm Chow years minimized.

Tech Edge: Hawaii, based on recent trends.

AUBURN at MISSISSIPPI STATE (SECN, 7:30 p.m.)
Leach has now covered 2 in a row after dropping five straight vs. line, and 5-16 spread mark in previous 21 dating back to 2018 at WSU.
Malzahn, however, has won and covered 3 of last 4 vs. MSU.
Tigers just 1-4 vs. line last 5 away from Jordan-Hare.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

**Udog** · 12-09-2020, 11:49 AM

Ole Miss at Texas A&M postponed

Michigan vs Ohio St canceled

Cincinnati vs. Tulsa will not be played

Ohio at Kent State canceled

**Udog** · 12-09-2020, 12:09 PM

College Football Odds Week 15: Opening Lines and Sharp Money
Patrick Everson

Miami QB D'Eriq King leads 8-1 Miami into an ACC showdown with No. 17 UNC this weekend. Despite being the No. 10-ranked team in the country, North Carolina is taking 58 percent of early bets and 74 percent of early cash.

College football odds for Week 15 are up and drawing dollars, as this COVID-wracked regular season draws closer to the finish line. Among the noteworthy games, unbeaten Cincinnati faces a key clash against Tulsa, while Michigan-Ohio State has been canceled due to COVID.

(1) Alabama at Arkansas Odds
Opening line
Arkansas +31.5, Over/Under 68.5

Why the line moved
Another game, another massive point spread in favor of the Crimson Tide. Alabama opened -31.5 at FanDuel on Monday afternoon, and the number is still there Monday night on what is surely light action, with 94 percent of tickets and 98 percent of money on the Crimson Tide. The total is stable at 68.5, with ticket count split 50/50 and 95 percent of early cash on the Under.

(11) Oklahoma at West Virginia Odds
Opening line
West Virginia +10.5, Over/Under 58.5

Why the line moved
The Sooners are already up to -13.5 Monday night at FanDuel, with 90 percent of early tickets and practically every early dollar on the spread going to Oklahoma. The total is down a point to 57.5, with 62 percent of bets on the Over, but 67 percent of money on the Under.

(7) Cincinnati at (24) Tulsa Odds
Opening line
Tulsa +12.5, Over/Under 44.5

Why the line moved
Cincinnati (8-0 SU) aims to maintain its perfect record against a 6-1 Tulsa outfit. This line initially moved down to Bearcats -10.5 at FanDuel, popped back to -12.5 and is at -11.5 Monday night, with 72 percent of tickets and 64 percent of money on Cincy. The total quickly jumped three points to 47.5 and is now 46.5, but the betting splits are quite disparate, with 89 percent of tickets on the Over, but 75 percent of money on the Under.

(16) Wisconsin at (19) Iowa Odds
Opening line
Iowa -2.5, Over/Under 44.5

Why the line moved
FanDuel made the Hawkeyes short home favorites, and those 2.5 points evaporated quickly, as this game is down to pick 'em Monday night. And that's despite 72 percent of tickets and 65 percent of money going to Iowa. The total is down to 43.5, with 88 percent of bets and almost every dollar so far on the Under.

Michigan at (4) Ohio State Odds
Opening line
Ohio State -29.5, Over/Under 66.5

Why the line moved
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: As announced earlier today, Michigan-Ohio State was canceled due to continuing COVID issues within the Wolverines' program. That puts a dent in the Buckeyes' College Football Playoff hopes. Ohio State has played only five games and has no more on the schedule for the moment, leaving the Buckeyes a game short of the six-game minimum set by the Big Ten to to be eligible for the league title game.

Michigan lost its last eight meetings against archrival Ohio State, and the past two years, the Wolverines have been the proverbial one-legged man in a butt-kicking contest, losing 62-39 in 2018 and 56-27 in 2019. This year's Michigan squad is apparently far worse, as the point spread indicates.

The initial move at FanDuel was up a point to Buckeyes -30.5, but the line is -28.5 Monday night, with tickets and money in the 3/1 range on Ohio State. The total moved from 66.5 to 67.5, with 55 percent of tickets and 83 percent of money on the Over.

LSU at (6) Florida Odds
Opening line
Florida -22.5, Over/Under 67.5

Why the line moved
Louisiana State is having a train wreck of a season as the defending national champion, and it looks as if more derailment is likely Saturday in Gainesville. Florida is already up two points to -24.5 at FanDuel on Monday night, although the betting splits are kind of interesting: the Tigers are drawing 55 percent of tickets, while the Gators are attracting 64 percent of the money.

The total is up a point to 68.5 at FanDuel, with ticket count 2/1 and money approaching 9/1 on the Over.

(17) North Carolina at (10) Miami Odds
Opening line
Miami -4.5, Over/Under 64.5

Why the line moved
This line has bounced around through Monday night, dipping to Miami -2.5, then rebounding to -3.5 at FanDuel, where North Carolina is taking 58 percent of early bets and 74 percent of early cash. The total is up to 66.5 from 64.5, with 94 percent of bets and 67 percent of dollars on the Over.

Navy at Army Odds
Opening line
Army -5.5, Over/Under 41.5

Why the line moved
The Black Knights are up to -6.5 Monday night at FanDuel, where Army is collecting 81 percent of tickets and 96 percent of money on the spread. The total opened at just 41.5, yet is already down three points to 38.5, with 93 percent of bets/96 percent of cash on the Under.

(20) USC at UCLA Odds
Opening line
UCLA +3.5, Over/Under 62.5

Why the line moved
Southern Cal opened -3.5 at FanDuel and is down a point to -2.5 Monday night for this crosstown rivalry clash, although tickets and money are both about 2/1 on the Trojans. The total also dipped a point to 61.5 on interesting splits: ticket count is 2/1 on the Over, but money is about 3/1 on the Under.

(22) Washington at (23) Oregon Odds
Opening line
Oregon -5.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
This line has been on the move early at FanDuel, as well, with the Ducks initially dipping to -3.5, then moving up to -4.5. Tickets are running 2/1 and money 3/1 on Oregon through Monday night. The total inched up to 55.5, but betting splits aren't yet available.

**Udog** · 12-09-2020, 05:20 PM

Marshall vs. Charlotte canceled

Purdue at Indiana canceled

**Udog** · 12-10-2020, 09:40 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Thursday’s games
Pittsburgh (5-5) @ Georgia Tech (3-6)
— Pitt lost five of last seven games, after a 3-0 start.
— Panthers lost three of four road games; they won at Florida State.
— Pitt allowed 30+ points in its losses, 20 or less in its wins.
— Pitt has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Pitt has 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Panthers have a senior QB with 37 starts.
— Pitt is 4-2 ATS in last six games as a road favorite, 0-1 TY.

— Tech lost four of its last five games, giving up 41.8 ppg.
— Yellow Jackets are 1-6 when they score fewer than 46 points.
— Tech has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Yellow Jackets has a freshman QB with 9 starts.
— Tech is 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as home dogs, 2-2 TY.

— Pitt won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last four games played here.
— Underdogs covered four of last six series games.

Florida Atlantic (5-2) @ Southern Mississippi (2-7)
— FAU won four of its last five games.
— Owls were held to 9-3 points in their two losses.
— FAU is allowing only 12.4 ppg this season.
— FAU has 6 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
— Owls have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FAU has a junior QB with 32 career starts.
— Owls are 6-4 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite.

— Southern Miss has one D-I win; they’re on their 3rd head coach TY.
— Golden Eagles scored 14.3 ppg in their last four games.
— USM has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Golden Eagles have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
— USM has a junior QB with 30 career starts.
— Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in last six games as home underdogs.

— FAU won its last two games with Southern Miss, 34-17/41-7.
— Owls were +4 in turnovers in LY’s 34-17 win.

**Udog** · 12-10-2020, 09:41 AM

111PITTSBURGH -112 GEORGIA TECH
PITTSBURGH is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

113WAKE FOREST -114 LOUISVILLE
LOUISVILLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) vs. good offenses (>425 TYG) in the last 3 seasons.

115DUKE -116 FLORIDA ST
DUKE is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) after scoring 6 points or less last game since 1992.

117OKLAHOMA -118 W VIRGINIA
W VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.

119COASTAL CAROLINA -120 TROY
COASTAL CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.

119COASTAL CAROLINA -120 TROY
Jamey Chadwell is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after going under the total (Coach of COASTAL CAROLINA)

121CINCINNATI -122 TULSA
CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

123STANFORD -124 OREGON ST
STANFORD is 58-33 ATS (21.7 Units) in road games in the second half of the season since 1992.

125TEXAS -126 KANSAS
KANSAS are 41-71 ATS (-37.1 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

127HOUSTON -128 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

**Udog** · 12-10-2020, 11:14 AM

Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech Odds
Jonathan Willis

The Pittsburgh Panthers can finish the 2020 campaign with a winning record when they travel to Atlanta to take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets on Thursday night.

This game was originally supposed to be played on Saturday, Nov. 14, but it was called off due to a COVID-19 outbreak in Georgia Tech’s program. That led to the Yellow Jackets’ game with Miami the following week being postponed as well, so this is the penultimate game of Georgia Tech’s 2020 season.

Week 15 Matchup: ACC
Venue: Bobby Dodd Stadium
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Date: Thursday, Dec. 10, 2020
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN3

Pittsburgh-Georgia Tech Betting Odds

Spread: Pittsburgh -6.5
Money-Line: Pittsburgh -250 Georgia Tech +195
Total: 53.5

How to Handicap Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech

Pittsburgh didn’t cover a game against an FBS opponent until November. The Panthers easily covered the number in a 55-0 blowout of FCS Austin Peay in their season opener, but they went 0-5-1 ATS in their first six games against FBS foes.

That changed on Nov. 7 when Pittsburgh blew out Florida State 41-17 as a -1.5-point favorite. They were an even more impressive against Virginia Tech in their next game, crushing the Hokies 47-14 as a touchdown underdog.

Pitt’s performance in those two games led to the Panthers being ‘just’ a +24-point underdog against Clemson, and the Tigers easily dispatched of them 52-17. The Panthers haven’t played an UNDER game since September. Pittsburgh’s offense has been better than expected at times while the defense has struggled against top tier teams, leading to the Panthers’ last seven games going over the total.

Pittsburgh Panthers head coach Pat Narduzzi looks to have his team above .500 with a win against Georgia Tech. (AP Images)

Georgia Tech has largely been a barometer team in the ACC this season. The Yellow Jackets’ three victories have all come against teams with worse conference records.

They upended Florida State 16-13 as a two-touchdown underdog in their season opener, and they hammered Louisville and Duke despite being an underdog in both those games. Georgia Tech is just 1-4 ATS against teams that are .500 or better, though.

Betting Analysis – Pittsburgh Panthers

2020: 5-5 SU, 3-6-1 ATS, 8-2 O/U

Kenny Pickett hasn’t had the career Pitt fans were expecting after a promising start. He has only marginally improved from where he was as a freshman over the course of his four years on campus.

Pickett is coming off a four- interception performance against Clemson two weeks ago where he was sacked six times. He is completing 62.4% of his passes for 7.4 YPA on the season, and he has thrown two touchdown passes in three of his last four games.

Pittsburgh’s run game has not been good this year. The Panthers are averaging just 2.9 YPC and 95.8 YPG as a team. Vincent Davis has 385 yards (3.3 YPC) and five touchdowns as the team’s top running back, and he has only run for over 4.0 YPC in one of his ten starts. A.J. Davis is a little more effective (4.7 YPC), and he has ripped off some nice runs over Pitt’s last three games.

D.J. Turner had monster games against North Carolina State and Virginia Tech, but he has not made much of an impact as a receiver in Pittsburgh’s other eight games. Freshman Jordan Addison is the leading receiver for the Panthers with 57 receptions for 652 yards and four touchdowns. Taysir Mack and Shocky Jacques-Louis will see some passes, but neither player has made a large impact.

The Panthers are 26 th in defensive SP+ this season. They have one of the best run defenses in the nation, allowing 2.8 YPC and 103.3 YPG on the ground. Rashad Weaver is one of the most talented defensive linemen in the conference with 7.5 sacks, but he announced that he was leaving the program to prepare for the NFL on Tuesday.

Betting Analysis - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

2020: 3-6 S/U, 4-5 ATS, 6-3 O/U

Geoff Collins is ahead of schedule at Georgia Tech. It’s a tall task to bring an option offense into the modern age, but he has made the Yellow Jackets competitive in each of his first two seasons. Collins appears to have his quarterback of the future in Jeff Sims, and this season has been largely about his development as a true freshman.

Sims is completing 54.9% of his passes for 7.3 YPA with 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. The turnovers aren’t great, but he is the best passer on the roster, and it’s been a trial by fire in 2020. Sims is also leading the team with 478 rushing yards (4.3 YPC) and five touchdowns.

Fellow freshman Jahmyr Gibbs was considered the second-best all-purpose running back in the nation coming out of high school according to Rivals. Bringing a talented player like Gibbs to Atlanta showed how Georgia Tech can be a draw for top recruits, and he has shined. Gibbs is second on the team in rushing (460 yards, 5.2 YPR) and receiving (303 yards, 12.6 YPR).

Jalen Camp is the Yellow Jackets’ leading receiver with 24 receptions for 342 yards and three touchdowns. Adonicas Sanders is coming off the best game of his career with seven receptions for 105 yards against NC State.

Georgia Tech’s defense ranks outside the top 100 in scoring defense (37.1 PPG) and total defense (453.3 YPG). The Yellow Jackets have a subpar secondary that is allowing 7.8 YPA with 278.3 YPG, and these defensive backs aren’t aggressive either with just five interceptions.

Historically Speaking

Head-to-Head

Pittsburgh has won four of the last five games in this series. The Panthers haven’t won any of those games by more than 10 points though, and three of their wins were by five points or less.

Last Meeting

The Panthers nearly doubled up the Yellow Jackets in terms of yards when these teams met in Atlanta last year. That led to a 20-10 Pittsburgh win despite three turnovers. Georgia Tech couldn’t do much in its first year transitioning out of the option and finished with 194 yards.

Notable Betting Trends

-- Pittsburgh has gone OVER the point total in seven straight games.

-- Georgia Tech has gone OVER in six of its last seven home games when playing as the underdog.

-- The road team has covered the spread in five of the last seven games played between both schools.

**Udog** · 12-10-2020, 06:32 PM

Miami, Ohio at Bowling Green canceled

Oklahoma at West Virginia canceled

Texas at Kansas canceled

**Udog** · 12-11-2020, 08:48 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Friday’s games
North Texas (3-5) @ Texas-El Paso (3-4)
— North Texas allowed 31+ points in seven of its eight games.
— Mean Green allowed 200+ rushing yards in five of last seven games.
— North Texas has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Mean Green has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
— North Texas has a soph QB with 8 career starts.
— Mean Green are 3-5 ATS in last 8 games as road underdogs.

— UTEP lost its last three games, allowing 36.7 ppg.
— Miners are 2-0 at home, but both games were against I-AA teams.
— Miners have 5 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— UTEP has 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UTEP’s soph QB has 7 career starts.
— Last four years, UTEP is 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.

— North Texas won last three series games, scoring 41.3 ppg.
— Mean Green lost two of last three visits to El Paso.

Nevada (6-1) @ San Jose State (5-0)
— Nevada is 6-1, scoring 34+ points in four of seven games.
— Wolf Pack is 2-1 on road, scoring 28.3 ppg, losing at Hawai’i.
— Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Wolf Pack has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nevada’s soph QB has 17 career starts.
— Wolf Pack is 8-12 ATS in its last 20 games as a road underdog.

— San Jose is 5-0 for the first time since 1955.
— Spartans are 3-0 at home, winning by 11-17-17 points.
— Spartans have 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— San Jose has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Spartans have a senior QB with 15 career starts- he used to play at Arkansas.
— San Jose is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.

— Nevada won three in row, 10 of last 11 series games.
— Wolf Pack is 2-4 ATS in last six visits to San Jose.

Arizona State (0-2) @ Arizona (0-4)
— Arizona State lost its two games this year, 28-27/25-18.
— ASU outgained UCLA 442-363 LW, but lost 25-18 (-2 in turnovers)
— Sun Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— ASU has 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sun Devils have a soph QB with 14 career starts.
— Under Edwards, ASU is 3-9 ATS as a favorite, 0-4 on road.

— Arizona lost all four games, scoring 10-13 points in last two games.
— Arizona lost 34-30/24-13 in its two home games.
— Wildcats have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Arizona has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wildcats have a soph QB with four career starts.
— Arizona is 5-4 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.

— ASU won three in row, 10 of last 15 series games.
— Sun Devils won three of last five visits to Tucson
— Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight series games played here.
— Underdogs covered last four series games.

13 of Saturday’s best games
Wake Forest (4-3) @ Louisville (3-7)
— Wake won three of its last four ACC games, after an 0-2 start.
— Deacons were outgained 742-606 in last game, a 59-53 loss at UNC.
— Wake has 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Deacons have 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wake has a sophomore QB with 16 career starts.
— Deacons are 13-8 ATS in last 21 road games.

— Louisville is 0-5 this season when it scores less than 30 points.
— Cardinals won three of five home games, scoring 36.4 ppg.
— Louisville has 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Cardinals have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Louisville has a junior QB with 29 starts.
— Cardinals are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 home games.

— Underdogs covered last six series games, winning last three SU.
— Louisville won five of last seven series games.
— Deacons lost two of last three visits here (underdogs 3-0 ATS)
— Losing side scored 32+ points in last three series games.

Stanford (2-2) @ Oregon State (2-3)
— Stanford’s last three games were decided by total of nine points.
— Cardinal won last two games, both on road, at Cal/Wazzu.
— Cardinal has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Stanford has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cardinal has a junior QB with 10 career starts.
— Stanford is 8-4-2 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite.

— Oregon State won its last two home games by total of 7 points.
— Beavers gave up 400+ total yards in all five games.
— OSU has 5 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Ducks have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Oregon State has a junior QB with six starts.
— Beavers are 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games as home dogs, but are 2-0 TY.

— Stanford won last ten series games (6-2-2 ATS)
— Cardinal won last five visits to Corvallis (3-1-1 ATS)
— Beavers outgained Stanford 501-353 LY, but lost 31-28.

Houston (3-3) @ Memphis (6-2)
— Houston split its first six games, giving up 43-44-38 points in losses.
— Cougars gave up 478+ TY in their losses, 372 or less in wins.
— Houston split two road game, 37-21 at Navy, 10-38 at Cincinnati.
— Cougars have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Houston has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Houston’s junior QB has started 15 games.
— Cougars are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games as road favorite, 1-0 TY.

— Memphis won its last three games, scoring 33.3 ppg.
— Tigers are 5-0 if they score 34+ points, 1-2 if they don’t.
— Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Memphis has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers’ senior QB has started 36 games.
— Memphis is 1-6-1 ATS in last 8 games as road underdogs.

— Memphis won last four series games, scoring 46.8 ppg.
— Cougars lost 52-31/48-44 in last two visits to Memphis.

Oklahoma State (6-3) @ Baylor (2-6)
— Oklahoma State is 2-3 in last five games, after a 4-0 start.
— OSU allowed 491 rushing yards in last two games.
— State scored 13-22 points in losing last two road games.
— Cowboys have 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cowboys’ soph QB has started 20 games.
— OSU is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games as road favorites.

— Baylor lost six of last seven games (won 32-31 vs K-State)
— Baylor is 2-6 despite a +6 turnover ratio.
— Baylor won two of three home games, losing 33-23 to TCU.
— Bears have 7 starters back on offense, 2 starters back on defense.
— Baylor has 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bears’ senior QB has started 38 games.
— Baylor is 9-3 ATS in last 12 games as home underdogs, 1-0 TY.

— Baylor won five of last six series games, scoring 35+ in all five wins.
— Underdogs covered five of last seven series games.
— Cowboys lost last four visits to Waco, giving up 40 ppg.

Auburn (5-4) @ Mississippi State (2-6)
— Auburn lost its last two games, giving up 42-31 points.
— Tigers scored 29+ points in their wins; 6-22-13-20 in losses.
— Auburn gave up 472.3 ypg in its last three games.
— Tigers have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB with 22 career starts.
— Auburn is 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games as road favorites, 1-1 TY.

— Miss State lost six of last seven games, scoring 24-24-24 in last three.
— Bulldogs lost two of three home games; only win was over Vandy.
— MSU has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rebels have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
— MSU has switched to a freshman QB; he’s started five games.
— Bulldogs are 1-3 ATS in last four games as a home underdog.

— Auburn won three of last four series games, scoring 47.7 in the wins.
— Tigers lost three of last four visits to Starkville.

Utah (1-2) @ Colorado (4-0)
— Utah lost its only road game, 24-21 at Washington.
— Utes ran ball for 215/229 yards in last two games.
— Utah has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Utes have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Utah’s new quarterback started 33 games at South Carolina.
— Utah is 11-3 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog, 0-1 TY.

— Colorado won its first four games, allowing 10-13 points in last two.
— Buffs ran ball for 409 yards in its 24-13 win at Arizona LW.
— Colorado has 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Buffs have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Colorado has a new QB this season- he was a safety LY.
— Buffs are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as home favorites, 1-0 TY.

— Utah won seven of last eight series games.
— Underdogs are 3-1 ATS in Utes’ last four visits to Boulder.

Wisconsin (2-2) @ Iowa (5-2)
— Wisconsin lost its last two games, 17-7/14-6.
— Badgers have allowed only 12.3 ppg this season.
— Badgers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Wisconsin has 50 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wisconsin has a freshman QB, with four starts.
— Badgers are 15-5 ATS in last 20 games as road favorites, 1-1 TY.

— Iowa won its last five games, after an 0-2 start
— Hawkeyes’ two losses are by combined total of five points.
— Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Iowa has 108 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hawkeyes have a soph QB this year, with 7 starts.
— Iowa is 6-5 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
— This is first time this season Hawkeyes are getting points.

— Wisconsin won last four series games, allowing 15.5 ppg.
— Badgers won their last five visits to Iowa City.

North Carolina (7-3) @ Miami (6-1)
— North Carolina split its last six I-A games, after a 3-0 start.
— UNC gave up 606-478 TY in last two games vs I-A teams.
— Carolina split four road games, winning at BC/Duke.
— Tar Heels have 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNC has a soph QB with 23 career starts.
— Tar Heels are 8-6 ATS in last 14 games as road underdogs.

— Miami won its last three games, last two by 5-3 points.
— Hurricanes won 2 of 3 on road, losing 42-17 at Clemson.
— Miami has 753 passing yards in its last two games.
— Miami has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Miami has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hurricanes’ senior QB has started 26 games.
— Since 2015, Miami is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Teams split last four series games played here.

Virginia (5-4) @ Virginia Tech (4-6)
— Virginia won its last four games, after a 1-4 start.
— Cavaliers scored 43.3 ppg in their last four games.
— Virginia has 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Cavaliers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Virginia has a soph QB with nine starts.
— Cavaliers are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

— Tech lost its last four games, after a 4-2 start.
— Hokies gave up 38.8 ppg in those four games.
— Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hokies’ junior QB has started 17 games.
— Tech is 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite, 2-2 TY.

— Virginia beat Tech 39-30 LY, snapping 15-game series skid.
— Cavaliers are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Blacksburg.
— Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games.

San Diego State (4-3) @ BYU (9-1)
— San Diego State lost its last two road games, scoring 21-10 points.
— Aztecs have been held under 300 yards their last three games.
— San Diego State has 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Aztecs have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— San Diego State has a soph QB with 13 starts.
— Aztecs are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven games as road underdogs, 0-1 TY.

— BYU had its first loss of year last week, at Coastal Carolina.
— Eight of BYU’s nine wins are by 17+ points.
— Cougars are giving up only 15.5 ppg at home.
— Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— BYU has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cougars have a junior QB with 26 career starts.
— BYU won/covered all four of its home games TY.

— San Diego State beat BYU 13-3 LY, but were outgained 416-269.
— That was first series meeting since 2012.
— Aztecs lost last five visits to Provo; their last win here was in 2000.

Navy (3-6) @ Army (7-2)
— Navy lost its last four games, scoring 7-6 points in last two.
— Middies split four road games, winning at Tulane/ECU.
— Navy has 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Middies have 29 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Navy has a senior QB who is 32-62 passing, with 3 TD’s, 2 INT’s.
— Middies are 4-6 ATS in last ten games as an underdog.

— Misleading record; Army has four wins vs I-AA teams.
— Cadets ran ball for 243+ yards in each of last four games.
— Army has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Cadets have 55 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Army has a junior QB with 15 career starts.
— Cadets are 11-15 ATS in last 26 games as home favorites, 2-0 TY.

— Navy won 31-7 LY, ending 3-game series skid.
— Underdogs covered seven of last nine series games.
— Under is 14-1 in last fifteen series games.

USC (4-0) @ UCLA (3-2)
— USC won its first four games, scoring average of 32.8 ppg.
— Trojans held last two opponents to 17-13 points.
— Last three games, USC is +7 in turnovers.
— Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— USC has 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Trojans have a soph QB has started 15 games.
— Under Helton, USC is 9-6 ATS as a road favorite.

— UCLA won three of its last four games.
— Bruins ran ball for 240.8 ypg in last four games.
— UCLA won both its home games, 34-10/27-10, over Cal/Arizona.
— Bruins gave up 48-38 points in their losses.
— UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Bruins have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UCLA’s junior QB is making his 24th career start.
— Bruins are 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.

— USC won four of last five series games.
— Trojans lost three of last four series games played here.

Washington (3-1) @ Oregon (3-2)
— Washington got upset by Stanford LW, its first loss in four games.
— Huskies are +5 in turnovers; this is their first road game.
— Huskies have 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Washington has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Huskies have a junior QB with 10 career starts.
— Since 2014, Washington is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.

— Oregon lost its last two games, after a 3-0 start.
— Ducks won both their home games, 35-14/38-35.
— Oregon has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Ducks have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Oregon has a soph QB with five starts.
— Ducks are 6-2 ATS in last 8 games as a home favorite.

— Oregon won 14 of last 16 series games, winning last two 35-31/30-27.
— Huskies covered once in their last nine visits to Eugene.

**Udog** · 12-11-2020, 08:50 AM

129BOISE ST -130 WYOMING
BOISE ST is 34-14 ATS (18.6 Units) in road games vs. losing teams since 1992.

131OKLAHOMA ST -132 BAYLOR
OKLAHOMA ST is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games vs poor rushing teams (<120 RYG) since 1992.

**Udog** · 12-11-2020, 09:29 AM

Washington at Oregon canceled

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thurs., Dec. 10 - Sat., Dec. 12)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thurs., Dec. 10 - Sat., Dec. 12)

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