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**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:24 AM

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

New England 20, Cardinals 17
— Cardinals tied game on an 80-yard drive, with 8:02 left.
— Arizona was stuffed on 1-yard line trying to score TD on last play of first half.
— Total yardage in game: Arizona 298, New England 179.
— Cardinals’ longest play of day was only 19 yards.

— New England won three of its last four games.
— Folk kicked a 55-yard FG at the gun for the win.
— Newton was 9-18/94 passing, ran for 46 more yards.
— New England trailed at halftime in seven of its last eight games.

Minnesota 28, Panthers 27
— Rookie LB Jeremy China scored defensive TD’s 0:10 apart in 3rd quarter, first time since 1948 a player scored two defensive TD’s in same game.
— Carolina lost six of its last seven games; they missed a 54-yard FG wide left on last play.
— Panthers’ last three road losses were by a combined six points.
— Carolina is 0-8 when they allow 23+ points, 4-0 when they allow 21 or fewer.

— Vikings won four of five games since their bye week.
— Minnesota trailed 21-10 after third quarter.
— Three drives in 4th quarter: Vikings ran 30 plays for 222 yards, scored 18 points.
— Beebe caught game-winning 10-yard TD pass with 0:46 left.

Browns 27, Jacksonville 25
— Browns scored 6-7-6 points in their losses, averaged 30.8 ppg in wins
— Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games as a road favorite.
— Chubb ran for 144 yards and a TD; Mayfield threw for 258 yards.
— Right now, Browns would be #5 seed in AFC.

— Jacksonville scored TD with 2:14 left to make it 27-25, but failed on 2-point play.
— Glennon was 20-35/235 passing in his first start since 2017.
— Jaguars lost last ten games (3-7 ATS) overall.
— Total yardage: Browns 459, Jaguars 375

Titans 45, Indianapolis 26
— Tennessee had ball six times in first half, scored five TD’s, led 35-14.
— Henry ran for 178 yards, 6.6 yards/carry.
— Over is 7-2-1 in Titans’ last ten games.
— Titans are 9-6 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.

— Colts are 6-0 when they score 28+ points. 1-4 when they do not.
— Indy lost field position by 16 yards, ran ball for only 56 yards.
— Tennessee won its third straight visit to Indianapolis.
— Six of their last seven games went over the total.

Atlanta 46, Raiders 3
— Falcons won four of last six games, after an 0-5 start.
— Atlanta wasn’t great on offense, kicking five FG’s, with only three TD’s.
— Falcon opponents converted only 22 of last 69 third down plays.

—Las Vegas turned ball over five times, had 11 penalties for 141 yards.
— Raiders are 2-4-1 ATS in last seven games as road favorites.
— Raiders went 3/out on 7 of their 13 drives.

NJ Giants 19, Cincinnati 17
— Giants won their last three games, sit atop NFC East.
— Six of Giants’ last seven games were decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
— This was Giants’ first win in seven visits to Cincinnati.

— Cincinnati scored with 2:33 left for the backdoor cover.
— Wilson ran a kick back 103 yards for the Bengals’ first TD.
— Bengals lost last three games by a combined 75-34.
— Cincy is 4-0-1 ATS at home this year.

Buffalo 27, LA Chargers 17
— Chargers lost eight of their last ten games.
— Bolts are 1-5 SU on road, losing by 7-3-1-8-10 points.
— Chargers are 2-5-2 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
— In their last eight games, Chargers gave up 30.3 ppg.

— Buffalo won four of its last five games, scoring 28.6 ppg.
— Bills ran ball for 172 yards, averaging 5.7 yards/carry.
— Buffalo ran 58 plays, only nine of them on 3rd down.
— Bills maintain a one-game lead over Miami in AFC East.

Dolphins 20, NJ Jets 3
— Dolphins won/covered six of their last seven games.
— Miami allowed 17 or fewer points in five of seven wins; 21-31-31-20 in losses.
— Miami won four of six road games, losing 21-11 in Foxboro, 20-13 in Denver.
— Fitzpatrick regained starting job, threw for 257 yards, two TD’s.

— Winless Jets are 3-8 ATS, losing home games by 8-9-20-8-3-17 points.
— Jets have been outscored 66-29 in 2nd half of their last six games.
— Gang Green was outscored 44-3 in two games vs Miami this year.
— Jets in second half: 6 drives, 21 plays, 60 yards, no points.

Saints 31, Denver 3
— Denver’s QB’s didn’t follow COVID protocol; the league sent Denver (and the rest of the NFL) a message and made them play a game with no quarterback.
— Practice squad WR Kendall Hinton played QB at Wake Forest for a while; they threw him to the wolves here- it didn’t go well.

— New Orleans won its last eight games, covered last four.
— Saints are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road favorite.

Not much else to say about this game, the league made it clear that teams need to follow the COVID rules.

49ers 23, LA Rams 20
— 49ers kicked 42-yard FG at the gun for the win.
— WR Samuel caught 11 passes for 133 yards, both career highs.
— 49ers are 14-10 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog.
— SF won the last four games in this divisional rivalry.

— Rams turned ball over four times on their first eight drives.
— LA has outscored opponents 133-61 in second half of games.
— Seven of LA’s last eight games stayed under the total.
— Rookie RB Henry ran ball for 84 yards on only nine carries.

Chiefs 27, Tampa Bay 24
— Mahomes threw for 462 yards, three TD’s.
— Tyreek Hill had seven catches for 203 yards and two TD’s, just in first quarter
— Chiefs won their last six games, last three by total of nine points.
— Kansas City won all six road games this year.

— Tampa Bay is 7-0 when it scores 25+ points, 0-5 when it scores less.
— Last five games, Bucs were outscored 99-46 in first half.
— Tampa Bay split its six home games this season.
— Brady threw for 345 yards, three TD’s in a losing cause.

Green Bay 41, Bears 25:
— Bears lost their last five games, after a 5-1 start.
— Chicago scored only 17.6 ppg in last five games.
— Bears are 9-16-1 ATS in last 26 games as road underdog.
— NBC’s Tony Dungy accused Chicago of “giving up” late in 3rd quarter.

— Green Bay’s first three drives: 36 plays, 230 yards, 20 points.
— Packers are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Packers converted 6-11 third down plays.
— Green Bay won 18 of last 21 series games.

Richmond 76, Kentucky 64
— Veteran Spider squad forced 21 turnovers (+11).
— Richmond starts four seniors, Kentucky starts four freshmen.

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:24 AM

Betting Recap - Week 12
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

The largest underdogs to win straight up

49ers (+5.5, ML +195) at Rams, 23-20
Falcons (+3.5, ML +155) vs. Raiders, 43-6
Titans (+3, ML +125) at Colts, 45-26
Washington (+2.5, ML +125) at Cowboys (Thu.), 41-16

The largest favorites to cover

Saints (-17) at Broncos, 31-3
Packers (-8) vs. Bears, 41-25
Dolphins (-7.5) at Jets, 20-3
Bills (-4) vs. Chargers, 27-17

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

The Kansas City Chiefs-Tampa Bay Buccaneers game was a bummer if you bet the favorite. The Chiefs (-3.5) fired out to a 17-0 lead after 15 minutes, as QB Patrick Mahomes and WR Tyreke Hill combined for over 200 yards -- in the first quarter. Things settled down a bit in the second quarter, as the Buccaneers scored the only touchdown in the quarter to slice the K.C. lead to 20-7 at the break.

In the third quarter, the Chiefs flipped the script, and the Chiefs were leading 27-10. The Chiefs were looking unstoppable, and Mahomes and the pass offense was flirting with 500 before the end of the game. However, the Bucs certainly gave the Chiefs a scare late, showing absolutely no quit.

In the final 15 minutes, the Buccaneers outscored the Chiefs 14-0, and the Chiefs ended up with a 27-24 win, and the Bucs ended up picking up the backdoor cover. The way this one started out, that never looked possible.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

The game between the Carolina Panthers-Minnesota Vikings was a bummer on both sides. If you had Carolina on the moneyline (+125), it was a tough pill to swallow. If you had Under (50), it was equally disappointing.

The Panthers picked up a pair fumble recoveries and touchdowns, both by CB Jeremy Chinn, as the Panthers took a 21-10 lead into the final quarter. Under bettors still looked to be in good shape, however.

The two teams exchanged field goals, but the score was 24-13 with just under six minutes to go before the Vikings struck for a touchdown and two-point conversion to cut the lead to 24-21 with 5:31 left in regulation. PK Joey Slye booted a field goal from 21 yards out to push their lead to six with 1:51 to play.

Under bettors were still OK, as were Panthers ML bettors, until QB Kirk Cousins led the team down the field and hit WR Chad Beebe for a 10-yard touchdown with :46 left, giving the Vikings a lead. Carolina ML bettors still had a shot, but a field goal at the horn went well wide to the left.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board for the Sunday slate was the New Orleans Saints-Denver Broncos (36.5), and that total was reminiscent of the 1980's and 1990's when we would routinely see totals in the 30's. Now, it's an extreme rarity.

The Broncos had their top three quarterbacks on the Reserve/COVID-19 list, so they recalled WR Kendall Hinton from the practice squad. The converted wide receiver played quarterback at Wake Forest, and he was summoned to make his first NFL start. It ended how you would imagine. He completed just one of his nine pass attempts, and was brutal. But it was an extremely unfair situation for him to be put into.

The Saints moved to 2-0 with QB Taysom Hill under center, as he ran for two more touchdowns to win it 31-3, covering a 17-point number on the road, too.

The highest total on Sunday was the Chiefs-Buccaneers game (56.5), but the over was never really threatened, as it took late heroics by the Bucs just to get it to a total of 51 points.

In the one primetime game, the Chicago Bears-Green Bay Packers (44), the game easily went over, and the Pack nearly took care of it all by themselves. We still have Monday's Seattle Seahawks-Philadelphia Eagles (49) game, and Tuesday's Baltimore Ravens-Pittsburgh Steelers (41.5) still left to be played this week, both in primetime.

So far this season the under is 22-14 (61.1%) across 36 primetime games. In 2019, the 'under' went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 13

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Saints and Falcons square off for the second time in three weeks. New Orleans picked up a 24-9 win in Week 11 at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in NOLA, covering a 3.5-point number as the 'under' (49.5) was never in doubt. Hill made his first start in place of the injured QB Drew Brees (ribs) in that one, and he proved all of the doubters wrong. The Saints are on a eight-game winning streak, and they have covered four in a row with four straight 'under' results. For the Falcons, they routed the Raiders 43-6 on Sunday, and they're 3-1 SU/ATS over the past four, with just that loss to the Falcons in the L column. The 'under' is 4-1 across the past five for ATL, too.

As far as trends, the Saints are 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to Atlanta, and 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings overall. The 'under' is 4-0 in the past four in this series, and 8-3 in the past 11 meetings overall.

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Colts were shellacked at home by the Titans, 45-26, as the 'over' (51.5) easily connected. Meanwhile, the Texans registered a 41-25 win in the early game on Thanksgiving, covering a three-point number on the road as the 'over' (52.5) cashed.

Houston has won back-to-back games for the first time this season, and they have covered a season-high three in a row after a 1-6 ATS start to the season. Indy has won each of its past two road trips, a 34-17 win in Tennessee on Nov. 12, and a 41-21 win at Detroit on Nov. 1 in Week 8. The 'over' is 3-0 in the past three for Indy, and 6-1 across the past seven for the Colts.

Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)

The Rams are looking to bounce back after a disappointing 23-20 loss at home to the 49ers in Week 12. The 'under' (44.5) held on for L.A. The 'under' (50.5) also cashed in a disappointing 20-17 loss for the Cardinals in New England, so both teams should enter this one in a rather foul mood.

L.A. is 9-1 ATS across the past 10 games following a non-cover, and 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight following a straight-up loss. They're also 11-5 ATS in the past 16 on the road. For Arizona, they're 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven as an underdog, while going 3-1-1 ATS in the past five inside the division. However, they have failed to cover the past four, and they're 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight following a straight-up loss.

In this series, the road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings, and the favorite is 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven. The Rams have also covered five straight trips to Arizona, and they're 5-0-1 ATS in the past six meetings in the series. The 'under' is 11-5 in the past 16 meetings in Arizona.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Broncos will hit the road for Sunday Night Football after hitting rock-bottom on Sunday. It was a rough situation for the Broncos to be in, forcing to start a practice-squad receiver at quarterback after losing their top three signal callers. They're expected to have at least one quarterback ready for next week, although it's uncertain who.

The Chiefs will have Mahomes, and that's why they're at two-touchdown favorite to open. The Chiefs are 4-1-1 ATS in the past six against losing teams, and 9-2-1 ATS in the past 12 at home. They're also 14-5-1 ATS in the past 20 overall, although, as mentioned above, they just missing a cover in Tampa last week. In this series, the Broncos are 1-9 ATS in the past 10 meetings, and the 'over' is 3-1-1 in the past five battles at Arrowhead in this series.

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:25 AM

NFL odds Week 13: Opening Lines, Sharp Money & Line Movement
Patrick Everson

The Rams' Aaron Donald and the Cardinals' Kyler Murray will get reacquainted in a Week 13 matchup that has both teams needing a win. The SuperBook opened Los Angeles a 2.5-point road favorite.

NFL Week 12 still has two matchups left, on Monday night and Tuesday night, but NFL Week 13 odds stop for no one and are already getting some action. Among the noteworthy matchups: an AFC clash between the Cleveland Browns and Tennessee Titans, and an NFC West battle pitting the Los Angeles Rams against the Arizona Cardinals.

The SuperBook's John Murray provided insights on NFL Week 13 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting.

Teams on bye: Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Carolina Panthers

Cowboys at Ravens Odds
Opening line
OFF, Over/Under OFF

Why the line moved
This game was supposed to be the Week 13 Thursday nighter, but the Ravens-Steelers Week 12 game – originally set for Thanksgiving night – won't be played until Tuesday, due to Baltimore's COVID issues. So Week 13 will have two Monday games, the Cowboys-Ravens at 5 p.m. ET, followed by the regularly scheduled Bills-49ers contest.

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson's Week 13 status is uncertain due to his positive COVID test, so The SuperBook is not posting this game until there's more clarity.

Lions at Bears Odds
Opening line
Bears -3, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
The Lions tumbled to Houston 41-25 at home on Thanksgiving and on Saturday fired coach Matt Patricia. On Sunday night, the Bears got thumped at Green Bay 41-25. The SuperBook opened Lions-Bears at Chicago -3 and quickly scooted to -3.5 early Sunday evening. Per standard operating procedure, the game then came off the board once the Bears-Packers Sunday night meeting began, and the line will go back up Monday morning.

Bengals at Dolphins Odds
Opening line
Dolphins -11.5, Over/Under 43

Why the line moved
Miami had no issues with the still-winless New York Jets, winning 20-3 on the road Sunday, while Cincinnati was respectable, minus Joe Burrow, in a 19-17 home loss to the New York Giants. Still, the Dolphins are not the Giants, and as such, The SuperBook opened Miami -11.5. There was no line movement through Sunday night.

Colts at Texans Odds
Opening line
Texans +2.5, Over/Under 55

Why the line moved
Indianapolis took a beating at the hands of Tennessee in Week 12, losing 45-26 at home Sunday. Meanwhile, Houston is coming off a mini-bye after bouncing host Detroit 41-25 on Thanksgiving.

"We opened Colts -2.5 and are still there," Murray said Sunday night. "The Colts' defense got torched in the first half today. We're going to keep a close eye on the Colts' injury report. They were missing some key guys on defense today, and it showed."

Jaguars at Vikings Odds
Opening line
Vikings -9.5, Over/Under 51

Why the line moved
Minnesota's offense had turnovers on consecutive plays Sunday, and both were returned for touchdowns, yet the Vikings still managed a 28-27 victory over visiting Carolina, winning on a last-minute touchdown. Jacksonville kept it interesting as a touchdown underdog to Cleveland, losing 27-25 at home. The SuperBook opened the Vikes -9.5, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

Washington at Steelers Odds
Opening line
Steelers -10, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Pittsburgh still has Week 12 work to do, and in fact can't do that work until Tuesday in the multi-delayed matchup against Baltimore. Washington will be much more rested, coming off a stunning 41-16 road wipeout of Dallas on Thanksgiving. The SuperBook opened the Steelers -10, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

Raiders at Jets Odds
Opening line
Jets +8.5, Over/Under 46.5

Why the line moved
Las Vegas laid a fat Week 12 egg in Atlanta, getting boat raced 43-6, but winless New York (0-11 SU) could be the cure. The hapless Jets fell to Miami 20-3. However, it appears early bettors were much less impressed by the Raiders' awful showing, as this line is already down a point to -7.5 Sunday night.

Saints at Falcons Odds
Opening line
Falcons +3, Over/Under 47.5

Why the line moved
New Orleans is 2-0 in the Taysom Hill era, with at least another two games to go before Drew Brees (ribs) can get back under center. The Saints coasted to a 31-3 road victory over the quarterback-less Broncos, while Atlanta pounded visiting Las Vegas 43-6. New Orleans opened -3 at The SuperBook, and the only movement Sunday night was a price adjustment to Saints -3 (-120).

Browns at Titans Odds
Opening line
Titans -4, Over/Under 53

Why the line moved
Tennessee waltzed over host Indianapolis 45-26 in Week 12, while Cleveland hung on for a 27-25 road win over Jacksonville. The Titans are atop the AFC South at 8-3, and the Browns (8-3) occupy the top wild-card slot.

"We opened this one Titans -4 and are still there," Murray said Sunday evening. "Incredible performance by the Titans today. I think the public will be pretty heavily on them here."

Giants at Seahawks Odds
Opening line
Seahawks -9, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Seattle still has Week 12 work to do, traveling to face Philadelphia in the Monday nighter, while New York squeaked by host Cincinnati 19-17 Sunday. The SuperBook opened the Seahawks -9, and there was no movement through Sunday night.

Rams at Cardinals Odds
Opening line
Cardinals +2.5, Over/Under 49

Why the line moved
Los Angeles rallied from a 17-3 deficit against visiting San Francisco on Sunday, but ultimately lost 23-20 on a final-seconds field goal. Arizona went to New England as a short favorite and left with a 20-17 loss, also on a final-seconds field goal.

"We opened Rams -2.5 and are still there," Murray said. "The Rams will be a fairly public side, but I expect to see bets come in both ways here. The Cardinals really gave that game away today to New England. Both teams need this game to keep pace in the playoff race."

Eagles at Packers Odds
Opening line
Packers -7, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Green Bay rolled over Chicago 41-25 in the Week 12 Sunday nighter, while Philly is set to host Seattle in the Monday nighter. Eagles-Packers opened Green Bay -7 at The SuperBook and had no movement before coming off the board once the Packers kicked off against the Bears.

"There could be significant line movement either way, depending on how those games play out," Murray said, alluding to the Week 12 Sunday and Monday night games. "Having said that, we will need the Eagles."

Patriots at Chargers Odds
Opening line
Pick, Over/Under 48.5

Why the line moved
New England nabbed a last-second 20-17 home win over Houston in Week 12, while Los Angeles fell 27-17 on the road against Buffalo. The line moved shortly after going up Sunday, from pick 'em to Chargers -1.

Broncos at Chiefs Odds
Opening line
Chiefs -14, Over/Under 49

Why the line moved
Kansas City led Tampa Bay 17-0 in the first quarter and 27-10 midway through the third quarter, then hung on for a 27-24 road win in Week 12. Due to COVID protocols, Denver had no actual quarterbacks available, elevating practice-squad wideout Kendall Hinton, and it showed in a 31-3 home loss to New Orleans.

Presumably, the Broncos will have starting QB Drew Lock back on the field in Week 13, though it might not matter much against the defending Super Bowl champion. The Chiefs opened -14 at The SuperBook and actually ticked down a notch to -13.5 Sunday night.

Bills at 49ers Odds
Opening line
49ers +3, Over/Under 47.5

Why the line moved
San Francisco notched a surprising 23-20 road victory over the Los Angeles Rams, winning on a last-second field goal. Buffalo prepped for the Week 13 Monday nighter with a 27-17 home win over the L.A. Chargers.

"We opened Bills -3 and are now at Bills -3 (even)," Murray said, before taking note of the new COVID regulation in Santa Clara County, Calif., that could keep this game from being played on the Niners' home field. "This game will be action at our book regardless of where the game takes place. The 49ers are getting healthy and are probably better than people think right now, but the public will be all over the Bills here."

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:25 AM

NFL Betting Tips for Week 13: Bet Now or Bet Later
Jason Logan

Yeah, we know the Steelers have a game to play before facing Washington. But there are more potential negatives than positives that will influence the Week 13 odds, so we're grabbing all the points we can with the WFT.

The post-Thanksgiving NFL landscape is a very challenging one for football bettors.

December’s schedule not only brings chilly temperatures and erratic weather but playoff pushes, missing motivation, coaches on the hot seat, a season’s worth of wear and tear, and – special for 2020 – COVID-19 outbreaks.

There’s so much more to consider when betting the NFL Week 13 odds. But despite all those additional influences, the best NFL betting strategy remains: get the best of the number. That means knowing when to pull the trigger on your wagers.

These are our best NFL betting tips for the Week 13 lines to bet now, and the lines to bet later.

Washington Football Team (+10) at Pittsburgh Steelers: Bet Now

Thanks to Baltimore’s COVID outbreak, Washington catches Pittsburgh on a short Week 13 turnaround. The Steelers, who were supposed to battle the Ravens on Thanksgiving Thursday, play their AFC North rivals Tuesday (fingers crossed) leaving little time to prep for a feisty Football Team out of D.C.

As of Sunday night – two days away from that Ravens-Steelers game – Washington is catching 10 points on the road in Pittsburgh this Sunday. The Football Team played on Thanksgiving – a huge win at Dallas – and now reaps the benefits of that mini bye against the top team in the AFC.

There are not many positives that can come out of the Steelers’ Tuesday contest, beyond beating up on a shorthanded Baltimore squad, and that’s not going to be enough to lift this spread any higher. And with a trip to Buffalo in Week 14, Washington gets Pittsburgh in a dreaded sandwich spot: letdown from a wild week and rivalry game and looking ahead to a battle with the Bills.

Take all the points you can with Washington now (also because this line will come off the board come Tuesday). The WFT has covered in four of its last six and is well-rested in Week 13.

New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Chargers (+1): Bet Later

We’ve seen this from the Patriots already this year. New England skitters along and then posts one big win and everyone jumps on the bandwagon. How else can you explain the Pats moving from as big as +2.5 to +1 for their cross-country trip to L.A. this Sunday? Well, besides the Chargers playing shit football…

New England ground out an ugly 20-17 home victory over Arizona in Week 12 and that’s helping push this spread close to a pick’em. The Patriots are 1-4 ATS on the road and fell into a similar situation at Houston in Week 11, fresh off a big home win over Baltimore the following game.

Say what you want about Anthony Lynn – and people are – but he does know Bill Belichick very well from his time in the AFC East with the Jets and Bills. The L.A. passing attack can scorch that fancy new turf at SoFi Stadium and New England gives up 9.2 yards per pass attempt on the road—dead last in the NFL.

The Chargers have come up short for sports bettors in five straight but if you’re buying the Bolts at home in Week 13, wait it out and see if you can get a pick (or even points) by the time this game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday.

Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins (Under 42.5): Bet Now

The Burrow-less Bengals looked how we thought they would, putting up only 17 points in a home loss to the New York Giants this past weekend. Cincinnati second-stringer Brandon Allen completed 17 of 29 passes for 136 yards, one touchdown and one interception.

Cincinnati was three for 10 on third downs and picked up only 3.4 yards per play in that game, and now takes on a Dolphins squad that's second-best in third-down defense, allowing foes to convert on less than 34 percent of their third-down snaps. On top of that, Miami is a stop unit rooted in havoc, generating 17 takeaways on the year, including two interceptions in Sunday’s victory over the Jets.

Offensively, the Fins aren’t fantastic—no matter which QB is under center. Ryan Fitzpatrick has jumped back into the fray in relief of the injured Tua Tagovailoa (thumb) and may need to lace up that beard one more time in Week 13. Miami has managed a combined 33 points the past two games with an offense in the bottom third of DVOA, per Football Outsiders. If you’re bracing for another boring game, bet the Under now as this total has started to tick down from 43 to 42.5 points.

Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans (Under 53): Bet Later

Derrick Henry ran up one side of the Indianapolis Colts and down the other, helping Tennessee drop 45 points on its divisional rival in Week 12. That ass waxing has inflated this Week 13 total and continues to puff it up with early action on the Over moving the number from 52 to 53 points.

Let’s not take anything away from Henry’s performance this past Sunday but the Browns present a pretty stout ground game as well. Cleveland’s two-headed RB monster of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt is the best rushing combo in the NFL, helping the Browns boast the No. 1 average run yards per game.

There’s no shortage of home run hitters on both sides but the team that wins will be the team that's able to transform all those gains on the ground into sweet, sweet TOP (time of possession), each hoping to protect a suspect stop unit. On top of that, Cleveland could get pass rusher extraordinaire Myles Garrett back from the COVID list in time for Week 13. If you wonder about the Under, chill the F out and let this tick a little higher before you get down.

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:28 AM

Hot & Not Report - Week 13
Matt Blunt

The Thanksgiving holiday has come and gone and it might of took the great run for those highest (fade) and lowest (play on) scoring teams over their past three games, although when fading Kansas City works out on a backdoor touchdown after backing Cleveland loses on giving up a backdoor TD it's got a sick way of feeling worse than 1-1.

This week it suggests cases should be made for fading the Buffalo Bills (33.7 points per game last three) and backing the Denver Broncos (11.7/game).

Tough to make any sort of case for Denver until you have a better understanding of their QB situation, but it could become a point of how many points are too many.

Buffalo's got a Monday Night Football date as small road favorites (Game Played in Arizona) against San Francisco, the defending NFC Champs trying to make a final run at defending their crown.

A 49ers upset gives them games with Washington and Dallas up next before visiting Arizona on Boxing Day (Dec. 26). Interesting game to spend part of the week breaking down for sure.

Last week's Thanksgiving thoughts didn't bring out the best results with Detroit's greasy turkey fingers fumbling the ball away numerous times in that 1st half to be the 9th team with a better record on Thanksgiving to lose in recent years. The Steelers had an opportunity in that role before the game got moved, and aside from really getting screwed for the second time this year, moving the game isn't all bad news for the Steelers (or Ravens).

Both of them get to avoid the “Thanksgiving Curse” with the game being moved, but who knows how all of this affects these teams in the coming weeks and if the Ravens even find their way into a playoff spot when all is said and done.

At 6-4 SU (pending Wednesday's result), the Ravens and Steelers are still alive in a group of Super Bowl contenders if you want to look back at where Super Bowl participants sat after Thanksgiving week.

Who's Hot

Over the past 10 years, 19 of the 20 teams to make the Super Bowl had four losses or fewer after Thanksgiving.

The shorthanded Ravens are going to have to find a way to be the first to beat Pittsburgh this year on Wednesday to stay in this group of 11 other teams currently.

Arizona, Tampa Bay, and Las Vegas all coughed up great opportunities to stay in that range this past Sunday, but the lone outlier of the group was that 2011 New York Giants team who were 6-5 SU at this point of the year too.

You can take this a step further to narrow the field for any future thoughts, with 11 of the 20 teams having two or fewer losses at this point. That leaves three teams with Pittsburgh, Kansas City and New Orleans being the selected three, and all three did start out the 2020 campaign with a win in Week 1 so they are all good here too.

Other teams that are just outside this range with three losses, but did start the year with a victory are Seattle, Green Bay, Tennessee and Buffalo.

Where it gets tricky for the Steelers though, is not only do they have all this adversity with the schedule now, but they are the only one of those Top 3 teams that didn't play a postseason game last season and that may be problematic.

Recommending two of the top three teams currently isn't exactly rocket science though - something I hope former Lions head coach Matt Patricia still remembers – but for those that maybe needed a slight nudge in firing on one of those three organizations, the “are who they are” post-Thanksgiving test certainly matches up with what we've seen on the field from the Steelers, Chiefs, and Saints.

You do have to wonder if the lack of that second bye week throws a wrinkle into things this year with the potential for a seed further down to ride an early upset all the way through, and all four of those three loss teams lurking just behind were playoff competitors a season ago as well.

Finding the right price and learning to stomach the weaknesses Seattle, Green Bay, Buffalo, and Tennessee currently have out there may end up being a nice portfolio to have in a month's time.

The “State Farm Super Bowl” I predicted we would see last year might have been a year too early, and with a Chiefs/Packers win conference parlay currently in the 10/1 range for this year, sticking with that thought would have to be a starting point for me right now.

Who's Not

Fading teams on the Money-Line after they played the New York Jets this year is 1-9 SU

Had another thing lined up and ready to go here but was bitten by the bye weeks again, so I'll save it for next week when two teams will fit the script. So went with a flipped around version of saying that nine of the previous 10 NFL teams to beat the New York Jets have gone on to win their next game as well.

It was actually on a 9-0 SU run until the Los Angeles Chargers lost in Buffalo last Sunday, yet another thing the Chargers can't seem to do right this year. Literally every other team to beat the Jets has turned it into at least a two-game winning streak now but them. It really is tough to watch.

Again, this isn't a whole lot of help this week in recommending the Miami Dolphins on the ML (-55) as a double digit home favorite vs. Cincinnati, but the Jets have a really interesting schedule going forward to keep this idea of riding the team that just played them (and likely beat them) for a second straight week.

N.Y. Jets Schedule

Week 13 - vs. Las Vegas
Week 14 - at Seattle
Week 15 - at L.A. Rams
Week 16 - vs. Cleveland
Week 17 - at New England

Las Vegas is visiting New York this week before hosting Indianapolis next week, a two-week stretch for the Raiders where two victories could put them right back where they want to be in the AFC playoff race. The ML option on the Raiders in that Colts contest will be a reasonable price to consider.

The next opponent for the Jets would be Seattle, who visits Washington the following week, ending a three-week run where the Seahawks will be heavily favored each time. Not too applicable unless you are laying the price in some sort of ML parlay.

Who could you follow the rest of the season?

Week 14 - Raiders vs. Colts
Week 15 - Seahawks vs. Washington
Week 16 - L.A. Rams at Seattle
Week 17 - Cleveland vs. Pittsburgh

Interestingly enough though, after Seattle visits Washington, they host the Rams the following week, with LA being in that positive post-NYJ role for that game in Week 16. Could it be that Seattle gets to feel the sting from both ends of this NY Jets run in consecutive weeks? You know that Rams/Seahawks game will have playoff implications of some sort.

Finally, the only other NFL team to still have a game this year after facing the Jets will be Cleveland, who visits the Big Apple in Week 16. The Browns host Pittsburgh in Week 17 in a game that might actually have more meaning than in the past with only one bye offered in each conference, and Cleveland being wherever they may be in the Wildcard standing at the time.

Definitely some reasonable spots to consider there, and for those that are curious about the ATS record of these post-NYJ games, those teams are 6-4 ATS this number with the Chargers being the fourth defeat.

Obviously the other three came in a role Miami could find themselves in this week with that big number vs Cincinnati – win the game outright but fail to cover – but if you are looking for any addition to a weekly ML parlay, taking the team that just beat the Jets is a good place to start.

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:32 AM

Tech Trends - Week 13
Bruce Marshall

Week 13 of the NFL season kicks off on Thanksgiving, and we've identified betting trends and angles for all the matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Sunday, Dec. 6

DETROIT at CHICAGO
Lions going bad again, 1-4 SU and vs. line last 5 TY after Texans loss.
Patricia has been removed.
After Packers last Sunday night, Bears only 9-19 last 28 vs. spread and also “under” 24-10 last 34 since late 2018.
Chicago has won last five outright in series, 4-1 vs. line in those games.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

CINCINNATI at MIAMI
After 6-1-1 start vs. spread, Cincy has dropped 2 of last 3 vs. line and now no Burrow.
Cincy also “over” 4-2 last six TY.
Miami had won and covered 5 in a row before Denver loss, and Dolphins now 8-2 vs. points last ten as host.

Tech Edge: Dolphins, based on team trends.

INDIANAPOLIS at HOUSTON
Houston on uptick for Romeo with wins last two and covers in last three TY.
Though Indy has won and covered last four and six of last seven in series.
“Unders” 6-2 last 8 meetings.

Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Colts, based on “totals” and series trends.

JACKSONVILLE at MINNESOTA
Jags 0-10 SU last nine, 3-6 vs. spread last nine TY.
Vikes had covered 6 of 7 before Dallas loss and Carolina non-cover, also “over” 8-3 in 2020 and over” 16-6 last 22 reg season games.

Tech Edge: “Over” and Vikings, based on “totals” and team trends.

LAS VEGAS at N.Y. JETS
Remember that Raiders got bounced here by Jets 34-3 LY.
Vegas had covered last four in 2020 before Atlanta debacle, and even after Miami loss, Jets have covered 3 of last 5.
Raiders “over” 7-3-1 in 2020.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

NEW ORLEANS at ATLANTA
Quick rematch of Saints’ 24-9 win on Nov. 22.
Saints have covered 4 of last 5 in Atlanta, also on 4-game cover streak TY and “under” last 4 after 7 straight “overs” out of the gate.
Falcs just 2-4 vs. line at home TY, though 4-2 vs. line for Raheem Morris.
Last four and six of last seven “under” in series.

Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Saints, based on “totals” and series trends.

CLEVELAND at TENNESSEE
Titans “over” 19-5 since Tannehill took over at QB in mid-2019, though Browns “under” 3 of last 4 in 2020.
Browns 1-10 vs. spread last eleven away.

Tech Edge: “Over” and Titans, based on “totals” and team trends.

N.Y. GIANTS at SEATTLE
G-Men surging with 6-1-1 spread mark last eight in 2020, and have remarkably covered 9 of last 10 away from MetLife.
Hawks often cut it close but are 4-1 vs. line at home in 2020 after 2-6 spread mark at now-called Lumen Field LY.

Tech Edge: Giants, based on team trends.

L.A. RAMS at ARIZONA
Sean McVay is 6-0 SU vs. Cards and 5-1 vs. line against Arizona since arriving at Rams in 2017.
Won and covered all three in Glendale, in fact Rams have won and covered last five at Glendale.
Az no covers last 4 in 2020 after Kingsbury was 15-7-1 vs. spread previous, but still 11-4-1 last 16 as dog.

Tech Edge: Rams, based on recent trends.

PHILADELPHIA at GREEN BAY
Into Seattle game last Monday, Birds 3-7 vs. line in 2020, 10-17 since a year ago (depending upon time of wager, Philly either W or L vs. Seahawks).
Eagles also 1-4 vs. line on road TY.
Philly also “under” last five in 2020.
Pack has flattened a bit but into Bears last Sunday night still 6-3 vs. number last nine at Lambeau.

Tech Edge: Pack and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NEW ENGLAND at L.A. CHARGERS
Bolts 7-1 “over” last 8 TY, now 11-5 “over” last 15 since late 2019.
Chargers have also dropped last five vs. spread.
Belichick however just 1-4 vs. line away in 2020.

Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to patriots, based on “totals” and team trends.

DENVER at KANSAS CITY
Chiefs on 10-game SU win streak vs. Broncos, their longest-ever in this series.
Combined score last three meetings since 2019 is 96-25, and Chiefs 9-1 vs. line in those 10 SU wins.
“Unders” 4-1 last five meetings.

Tech Edge: Chiefs and slight to “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

Monday, Dec. 7

WASHINGTON at PITTSBURGH
WFT has now won and covered two in a row and had a road spread W after 9-3-1 mark vs. line away previous to Dallas on Thanksgiving.
Into Ravens on Wednesday, Steel however has covered 7 of last 8 TY and is “over” 4-1 at Heinz Field.

Tech Edge: “Over” and Steelers, based on “totals” and team trends.

BUFFALO at SAN FRANCISCO
Battered Niners just 1-4 vs. line at home this season, Bills surprising 7-3-1 “over” in 2020.

Tech Edge: “Over” and alight to Bills, based on “totals” and recent trends.

Tuesday, Dec. 8

DALLAS at BALTIMORE
Cowboys just 2-9 vs. line TY after WFT loss.
Balt only 2-5-1 vs. spread last 8 into Steelers on Tuesday, but had been 12-1-1 vs. line in previous 14 reg season games.

Tech Edge: Slight to Ravens, based on extended trends.

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:36 AM

279BALTIMORE -280 PITTSBURGH
BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE (6 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 0) - 12/2/2020, 3:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
PITTSBURGH is 108-80 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Wednesday afternoon
Ravens (6-4) @ Pittsburgh (10-0)
— QB Lamar Jackson (COVID) is out; this game is now scheduled for Tuesday
— Robert Griffin III will QB the Ravens.
— Baltimore lost three of last four games, after a 5-1 start.
— Ravens allowed 17 or fewer points in five of six wins, 34-28-23-30 in losses.
— Baltimore won four of five road games SU this year- the loss was 23-17 in Foxboro.
— Under is 3-2 in Baltimore road games this season.
— Ravens are thin at RB, with couple of guys having COVID issues.
— Ravens are 8-3-1 ATS in last dozen games as a road underdog; this is first time they’re an underdog this season.

— Steelers won first ten games (8-2 ATS), scoring 29.8 ppg.
— Pittsburgh’s home wins this year are by 5-7-9-31-26 points
— Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
— Steelers are +12 in turnovers this season, +7 in last three games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— In their last six games, Steelers won field position by 9+ yards five times.

— Steelers (+4) won 28-24 in Baltimore four weeks ago.
— Ravens ran ball for 265 yards in that game, but were -3 in turnovers.
— Pittsburgh has swept Ravens once in the last 11 years.
— Baltimore won 26-14/26-23OT in last two visits to Steel City.

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Baltimore
Baltimore is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Baltimore is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:40 AM

Ravens vs. Steelers Week 12 Odds, Preview
Matt Blunt

A proposed Thursday Night Football game was supposed to be played on Tuesday Night football and after another about-face, the NFL decided to move Pittsburgh and Baltimore to a rare Wednesday afternoon contest.

Why play on Wednesday afternoon instead of in the primetime slot? Well, while we believe football is king of television in America, and it is for the most part, the folks at NBC have already booked a “Christmas In Rockefeller Center” tree-lighting special. Score one for Santa Claus!

The Baltimore Ravens are in the middle of a virus issue right now and it could end up being the beginning of the end for their 2020 campaign because of it and if you don't think so, then check out the injury report below.

This huge rematch with the Pittsburgh Steelers was meant to give the Ravens a last shot at staying in the AFC North race, but with how the next few weeks play out for Baltimore, they might not even get a legitimate last shot at even making the playoffs now.

That's life in the NFL in 2020 though, as from the Denver Broncos perspective this week, Baltimore's even lucky the NFL moved the game for them. Denver wasn't afforded such courtesy and was made to “take one for the shield” so to speak in playing without a legitimate quarterback on Sunday.

So after coughing up the first meeting with four turnovers and still having a pass broken up in the end zone on the final play of the game to win it, can Baltimore get any sort of redemption in the return match with the Steelers, or will Pittsburgh take no quarter with their embattled division rival and cruise to an 11-0 record?

Betting Resources

Week 12 Matchup: AFC North
Venue: Heinz Field
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Date: Wednesday, Dec. 2, 2020
Time: 3:40 p.m. ET
TV: NBC

Instead of playing on Thanksgiving Day night, the Ravens and Steelers will be meeting on Wednesday in Week 12. (AP)

Ravens-Steelers Betting Odds

Spread: Pittsburgh -10
Money-Line: Pittsburgh -500, Baltimore +400
Total: 40.5

2020 Betting Stats

Baltimore

Overall: 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U
Road: 4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U
Offense PPG: 26.8 (Rank 12)
Defense PPG: 19.5 (Rank 3)
Offense YPG: 343.9 (Rank 24)
Defense YPG: 333.0 (Rank 8)

Pittsburgh

Overall: 10-0 SU, 8-2 ATS, 4-4-2 O/U
Home: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-1-1 O/U
Offense PPG: 29.8 (Rank 4)
Defense PPG: 17.4 (Rank 1)
Offense YPG: 347.8 (Rank 21)
Defense YPG: 306.9 (Rank 4)

Handicapping the Total

The first meeting easily went 'over' the closing number of 44, making it the 3rd straight in this rivalry to go 'over' the number. But this is also going to be a very different looking Ravens team we see on the field this time around, and expecting any sort of similar success will be tough.

Baltimore would love to protect the ball this time around, as they had no problem moving the ball against the vaunted Steelers defense in that first game, they just couldn't hold on to it long enough to cash in points.

The success the Ravens had running the ball (265 rushing yards) can work as a positive for this game, considering we are likely to see Baltimore run the ball plenty to try and shorten the game. Shortening the game is the best chance Baltimore's got in this one, as it's not like their own defense couldn't try to steal this thing either.

Allowing 28 points after giving up just 221 total yards in that first game was a sore spot for this Ravens defense, even with seven of those points coming directly from the Steelers defense on the pick-six to open the scoring.

I'd expect them to welcome the challenge of trying to carry this team from the outset, but that can only take you so far in terms of trying to win the game.

In terms of the total though, the shape this Baltimore roster is in does lend itself to looking low on this total. Baltimore's going to bring a heavy dose of their running game at Pittsburgh again, and if they can continually move the chains that way like they did in the first meeting, the Steelers time of possession here will be slim.

That's going to make it tough for Pittsburgh to cover this point spread, or do enough on their end for 'over' bettors.

Head-to-Head History

Nov. 1, 2020 - Pittsburgh 28 at Baltimore 24, Steelers +4, Over 44
Dec. 29, 2019 - Baltimore 28 vs. Pittsburgh 10, Ravens +2, Over 35
Oct. 6, 2019 - Baltimore 26 at Pittsburgh 23, Steelers +3.5, Over 44

Handicapping the Side

You'd have to go all the way back to 10 meetings ago between these two teams to find the last time one of them was catching double digits, as Baltimore won 20-17 outright as an 11-point home underdog back in late December of 2015.

Baltimore was the team that owned the turnover battle that day in going +3 in that regard, and they'll probably need to have multiple turnovers again this time around to have a shot at the outright victory.

But covering a double digit spread in a rivalry where Baltimore's only lost by double digits three times to Pittsburgh since the start of the 2005 season (34 games) is a much different question no matter who the Ravens end up on the field with.

QB Robert Griffin III has plenty of experience in this league, and with his skill set being very similar to starter Lamar Jackson, having him as a backup really allows the Ravens coaching staff to keep the status quo in terms of what plays are readily available to use.

Keeping things simple and executing (what you can execute) at a high level are going to be critical to any level of success Baltimore has here, and having RG III back there is a far different circumstance then what Denver dealt with this past week.

But that blowout defeat the Broncos suffered because of COVID issues will find some common ground in the marketplace with what is likely to be Steelers love from start to finish for this game.

Bettors will remember how easy a win it was laying whatever number with the Saints on Sunday, and think it will be more of the same with Pittsburgh and their lofty number.

I'm not so sure that will be the case in a rivalry game of this nature, but with next to nothing for practice time, and question marks on if all the Ravens players even know one another out there are still concerned enough to move on from all this uncertainty and move on to another day.

A forced selection on the side would have me siding with all those points and Baltimore, but I do believe the total is still the better way to go, if only because of the chance this game does turn out similar to the Saints/Broncos game where Pittsburgh cruises to a big lead and can just sit on the ball in the 2nd half to let that clock bleed.

Key Injuries - Ravens vs. Steelers

Baltimore

DT Broderick Washington Jr.: COVID19 - Probable
LB Jaylon Ferguson: COVID19 - Probable
RB Mark Ingram II: COVID19 - Probable
RB J.K. Dobbins: COVID19 - Probable
G D.J. Fluker: Back - Questionable
G Will Holden: COVID19 - Questionable
DT Justin Madubuike: COVID19 - Questionable
FB Patrick Ricard: COVID19 - Questionable
G Matt Skura: COVID19 - Questionable
G Patrick Mekari: COVID19 - Questionable
DE Jihad Ward: COVID19 - Questionable
DE Derek Wolfe: Illness - Questionable
CB Jimmy Smith: Ankle - Questionable
LB Pernell McPhee: COVID19 - Questionable
DT Brandon Williams: Ankle - Out
LB Matthew Judon: COVID-19 - Out
WR Willie Snead IV: COVID-19 - Out
QB Lamar Jackson: COVID-19 - Out
TE Mark Andrews: COVID-19 - Out

Pittsburgh

WR JuJu Smith-Schuster: Toe - Probable
TE Vance McDonald: COVID-19 - Probable
RB Jaylen Samuels: Quad - Questionable
CB Joe Haden: Knee - Questionable
RB James Conner: COVID-19 - Out
RB Trey Edmunds: Hamstring - Out
TE Zach Gentry: Knee - Out

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:45 AM

451DETROIT -452 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.

453CINCINNATI -454 MIAMI
CINCINNATI is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.

455INDIANAPOLIS -456 HOUSTON
INDIANAPOLIS are 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in road games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

457JACKSONVILLE -458 MINNESOTA
JACKSONVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game in the last 3 seasons.

461LAS VEGAS -462 NY JETS
LAS VEGAS are 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

463NEW ORLEANS -464 ATLANTA
NEW ORLEANS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

465CLEVELAND -466 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off an upset win by 14 points or more as a road underdog since 1992.

467NY GIANTS -468 SEATTLE
NY GIANTS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.

469LA RAMS -470 ARIZONA
LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:47 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 13

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:51 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 13

Sunday, December 6

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DETROIT (4 - 7) at CHICAGO (5 - 6) - 12/6/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
CHICAGO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 57-87 ATS (-38.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (2 - 8 - 1) at MIAMI (7 - 4) - 12/6/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CINCINNATI is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 4) at HOUSTON (4 - 7) - 12/6/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 10) at MINNESOTA (5 - 6) - 12/6/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LAS VEGAS (6 - 5) at NY JETS (0 - 11) - 12/6/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LAS VEGAS is 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 45-86 ATS (-49.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NY JETS are 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (9 - 2) at ATLANTA (4 - 7) - 12/6/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (8 - 3) at TENNESSEE (8 - 3) - 12/6/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TENNESSEE is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 129-164 ATS (-51.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (4 - 7) at SEATTLE (8 - 3) - 12/6/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA RAMS (7 - 4) at ARIZONA (6 - 5) - 12/6/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 76-105 ATS (-39.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ARIZONA is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
LA RAMS are 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 4-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (3 - 7 - 1) at GREEN BAY (8 - 3) - 12/6/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 120-86 ATS (+25.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 204-149 ATS (+40.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (5 - 6) at LA CHARGERS (3 - 8) - 12/6/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 275-214 ATS (+39.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 275-214 ATS (+39.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-51 ATS (+34.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 211-157 ATS (+38.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 203-156 ATS (+31.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 135-94 ATS (+31.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (4 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 1) - 12/6/2020, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 5-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (8 - 3) vs. SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 6) - 12/7/2020, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
BUFFALO is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:53 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Lions (4-7) @ Chicago (5-6)
— Darrell Bevell is Lions’ interim coach.
— Detroit lost four of last five games, giving up 32.6 ppg.
— Lions was outscored 55-24 in 2nd half of their last three games.
— Lions are 4-6 ATS in last 10 games as a road underdog.
— Detroit is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
— Four of last five Lion games went over the total.

— Bears lost their last five games, after a 5-1 start.
— Chicago has three wins by 4 points each, another win by one point.
— Bears are favored for only second time this year.
— Bears are 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite.
— Chicago has only three takeaways in its last five games (-7).
— Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.

— Bears (+3) won 27-23 at Detroit in Week 1, coming back from down 13-6 at half.
— Chicago won last six series games, last two by 4-4 points.
— Lions lost 37-22/20-13 in last two visits to the Windy City.

Bengals (2-8-1) @ Miami (7-4)
— Bengals lost last three games by a combined 75-36.
— QB Allen was 17-29/136 in his 4th NFL start, first for Bengals.
— Cincinnati is 0-5-1 SU on road this year, 3-3 ATS.
— Cincy is 17-11 ATS in last 28 games as a road underdog.
— Bengals trailed at halftime only once in last six games.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

— Dolphins won/covered six of their last seven games.
— Dolphins won/covered their last three home games.
— Miami allowed 17 or fewer points in five of seven wins; 21-31-31-20 in losses.
— Miami is 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
— Dolphins have nine takeaways in last four games (+4)
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Bengals lost eight of last nine visits to Miami, with last two losses in Miami both in overtime.
— Cincy’s last win in Miami was back in 2008.

Colts (7-4) @ Houston (4-7)
— Colts were down 28-14/35-14 at halftime of last two games.
— Indy won three of its last four road games.
— Colts are 6-0 when they score 28+ points. 1-4 when they do not.
— Indy is 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite, 3-1 TY.
— Six of their last seven games went over the total.
— NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 14-5 ATS this year.

— Texans won three of their last four games, after a 1-6 start.
— Texans lost three of their five home games.
— Houston are 0-6 this year when they score fewer than 27 points.
— Texans had 20+ points at the half in three of last four games.
— Under is 5-0 in Houston’s home games this year.
— Texans are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

— Indy won five of last seven series games.
— Colts won three of their last four visits to Houston, losing 20-17 LY.

Jaguars (1-10) @ Minnesota (5-6)
— Glennon is 6-17 as an NFL starter; he was 20-35/235 in his first start in three years.
— Glennon averaged 6.7 yards/pass attempt (4.0/3.4 previous two games).
— Jaguars lost last ten games, but covered three of last four.
— Jacksonville fired its GM Sunday, but kept coach for rest of year.
— Jaguars are 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home dog, 2-3 TY.
— AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 6-8-1 ATS.

— Vikings won four of five games, since their bye week.
— Minnesota covered six of its last nine games.
— Vikings have lost field position in every game but one; they were even in that one.
— Minnesota has one win this season by more than 8 points.
— Minnesota is 19-12-2 ATS in last 33 games as a home favorite, but 1-4 TY.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.

— Minnesota won last four series games; their last loss to Jaguars was in 2000.
— Jaguars lost three of four visits here, with last one in 2012.

Raiders (6-5) @ NJ Jets (0-11)
— Las Vegas lost its last two games, giving up 35-43 points.
— Raiders are 4-2 SU on road, winning by 4-8-10-5 points.
— Raiders are 2-4-1 ATS in last seven games as road favorites.
— Raiders covered four of their last five games overall.
— Over is 8-3 in Raider games this season.
— AFC West non-divisional favorites are 7-4-1 ATS, 2-2-1 on road.

— Winless Jets are 3-8 ATS, losing home games by 8-9-20-8-3-17 points.
— Jets are 0-6 SU at home this year (2-4 ATS).
— Jets have been outscored 66-29 in 2nd half of their last six games.
— Jets are winless, but their turnover ratio is even.
— Jets are 6-5 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Jets pounded the Raiders 34-3 LY.
— Raiders lost last six series games in the Garden State; last time they beat Jets here was way back in 1996.

Saints (9-2) @ Atlanta (4-7)
— New Orleans won its last eight games, covering last four.
— Saints allowed one TD on opponents’ last 33 drives.
— Saints allowed 17.1 ppg in their wins, 34-37 points in losses.
— New Orleans won four of five road games; they’re 2-0 outdoors, winning 26-23 in Chicago, 38-3 in Tampa.
— Saints are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road favorite.
— Last four New Orleans games stayed under the total.

— Falcons won four of last six games, after an 0-5 start.
— Atlanta won its last two home games, scoring 77 points.
— Atlanta led five of its last six games at halftime.
— Falcon opponents converted only 22 of last 69 third down plays.
— Atlanta is 2-3-1 ATS in last six games as home underdogs, 1-1 TY.
— Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.

— Saints outrushed Atlanta 168-52, squashed the Falcons 24-9 two weeks ago.
— New Orleans won five of last six series games.
— Saints won 43-37 OT/26-18 in last two visits to Atlanta.

Browns (8-3) @ Tennessee (8-3)
— Cleveland won its last three games, by 3-5-2 points.
— Browns scored 6-7-6 points in their losses, averaged 30.8 ppg in wins
— Cleveland won three of five road games, giving up 32.3 ppg in the wins.
— Cleveland is 11-19-1 ATS in its last 31 games as a road underdog, 1-2 TY.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Last four games, Browns outscored foes 30-19 in first half.

— Tennessee won three of its last four games, scoring 29 ppg.
— Titans ran the ball for 186.3 yards/game the last three weeks.
— Titans turned ball over just one time in their last four games.
— Tennessee is 4-2 SU at home, winning by 3-26-6-7.
— Over is 7-2-1 in Titans’ last ten games.
— Titans are 5-7-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

— Titans won last three series games; they hammered Cleveland 43-13 LY.
— Browns actually won three of last five visits to Nashville.

NJ Giants (4-7) @ Seattle (8-3)
— QB Jones (hamstring) is hurt; McCoy (7-21 as starter) likely to start here.
— Giants won their last three games, covered seven of last eight.
— Giants are 1-5 SU, 3-3 ATS outside their division.
— Six of Giants’ last seven games were decided by 3 or fewer points.
— Big Blue lost four of six road games, winning 23-20/19-17 @ Washington/Cincy.
— Last 4+ years, Giants are 4-2-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

— Short week for Seahawks, after their win Monday night.
— Seattle split its last six games, after a 5-0 start.
— Seahawks won field position in first five games, but only once in last five.
— Seattle is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— Last three Seattle games stayed under the total.
— Seahawks are minus-5 in turnovers (2-7) their last four games.

— Seattle won last four series games, all by 11+ points.
— Teams haven’t met since 2017; Giants’ last series win was in 2010.
— Giants lost 38-14 in last visit to Seattle, in 2014.

Rams (7-4) @ Arizona (6-5)
— Rams split their last six games, after a 4-1 start.
— LA has outscored opponents 133-61 in second half of games.
— Rams split their six road games (underdogs 4-2 ATS)
— Seven of LA’s last eight games stayed under the total.
— Under McVay, Rams are 14-10 ATS as a road favorite, 1-2 TY.
— Rams turned ball over 11 times in last four games, a red flag.

— Arizona lost three of four games since their bye week.
— Cardinals allowed 29.2 ppg in their last five games.
— Cardinals are 3-2 SU at home; their last four home games were decided by total of 11 points.
— Redbirds are 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.
— Under is 7-4 in Cardinal games this season.
— Arizona trailed at halftime in eight of its 11 games.

— Rams won last six series games, outscoring Cardinals 99-16 in last three.
— Rams won their last five visits to Glendale, last three by average of 31-8.

Eagles (3-7-1) @ Green Bay (8-3)
— Eagles lost last three games, by 10-5-6, scoring 17 points in all three.
— Philly is 1-5-1 SU outside their division.
— Eagles are 3-0 if they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-7-1 if they allow more than 21.
— Eagles are 3-4 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog.
— Last four games, Philly was outscored 44-14 in first half.
— Seven of last nine Philly games stayed under the total.

— Green Bay won three of its last four games, scoring 31-41 points last two weeks.
— Packers scored 30+ points in seven of their wins; 10-22-31 points in losses.
— Green Bay converted 63-130 third down plays (48.5%)
— Packers are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Three of last four Green Bay games went over the total.
— Packers were outscored in second half of their last eight games.

— Packers won five of last seven series games.
— Teams split last six series games played here- they lost 37-34 here LY.

New England (5-6) @ LA Chargers (3-8)
— New England won three of its last four games.
— Underdogs covered last seven Patriot games.
— New England trailed at halftime in seven of its last eight games.
— NE was outgained 298-179 by Arizona last week; their TD drives were 46-31 yards.
— Patriots are 1-4 SU/ATS on road this season, winning 30-27 at the Jets.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

— Chargers lost their last four games, giving up 29.5 ppg.
— Bolts are 2-3 SU at home, beating Jets/Jaguars.
— Eight of last nine Charger games went over the total.
— Chargers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games.
— Last two games, LA converted only 7-29 third down plays.
— In their last eight games, Chargers gave up 27+ points every week.

— New England won last five series games, winning 41-28 in 2018 playoffs.
— Last time Chargers beat New England was 2008.
— Patriots won 23-20/23-14 in last two visits to San Diego/Carson.

Broncos (4-7) @ Kansas City (10-1)
— Broncos are expected to have all their QB’s back for this one.
— Denver lost five of last six games, giving up 31.3 ppg.
— Denver lost three of five road games SU (3-2 ATS)
— Broncos are 7-5 ATS in last 12 games as road underdogs, 3-2 TY.
— Denver turned ball over 15 times (-8) in their last six games.
— Chiefs (-7.5) pounded Denver 43-16 in Week 7, running a kick back for a TD, and also getting a defensive TD.

— Chiefs won their last six games, last three by total of nine points.
— Kansas City won four of five home games this year (3-2 ATS)
— Chiefs are 20-14 ATS in last 34 games as a home favorite.
— Last three games, Kansas City allowed 28.7 ppg.
— Chiefs scored 32+ points in seven of 11 games this year.
— NFL-wide, divisional favorites are 20-20 ATS this year.

— Kansas City won last ten series games.
— Broncos lost last four visits to Arrowhead, by average score of 29-14.

Monday’s games
Bills (8-3) vs San Francisco (5-6) (@ Glendale, AZ)
— Buffalo won four of its last five games, covered last three.
— Bills won three of five road games, losing at Tennessee/Arizona.
— Bills just just here in Glendale; Buffalo lost on Hail Mary on last play in Week 10.
— Bills scored 24+ points in seven of their eight wins; 16-17-30 in their losses.
— Buffalo is 1-3 ATS this season as a road favorite.
— Nine of their 11 games went over the total.

— 49ers are playing “home” games in Arizona, this week/next.
— 49ers beat the Rams LW, snapping a 3-game skid.
— Mullens gets another start at QB, replacing injured Garoppolo (ankle).
— 49ers allowed 20 or fewer points in their wins, 31.7 ppg in their losses.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— 49ers are 14-10 ATS in last 24 games as an underdog away from home.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Four of last five series games were decided by 29+ points.

Washington (4-7) @ Pittsburgh (11-0)
— Washington won three of last five games, covered four of last six.
— Washington outscored last four opponents 78-19 in second half.
— Washington is 1-5 outside the division, with four losses by 14+ points.
— Washington is 1-4 SU on road, losing by 15-14-1-3 points.
— Washington is 17-12-1 ATS in last 30 games as a road underdog.
— Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Washington games.

— Short week for Steelers, who last played on Wednesday.
— Steelers won first 11 games (8-3 ATS), scoring 28.8 ppg.
— Pittsburgh’s home wins this year are by 5-7-9-31-26-5 points
— Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
— Steelers are +12 in turnovers this season, +7 in last four games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS as a home favorite this season.

— Steelers won last six series games, last three by 15+ points each.
— Washington lost last four visits here; their last win here was in 1991.

Tuesday’s game
Cowboys (3-8) @ Baltimore (6-5)
— Cowboys lost five of their last six games.
— Last ten games, Dallas is minus-14 in turnovers.
— Cowboys are 2-9 ATS this year; their three wins by total of 7 points.
— Four of last six Dallas games stayed under the total.
— Cowboys are 0-2 on natural grass, losing by combined score of 48-12.
— Dallas is 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog, 1-3 TY.

— McSorley gets first NFL start if Lamar Jackson can’t play.
— Baltimore lost four of last five games, after a 5-1 start.
— Ravens allowed 17 or fewer points in five of six wins, 26.8 ppg in losses.
— Ravens lost three of five road games SU this year.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Raven games.
— Ravens are 10-18 ATS in last 28 games as a home favorite.

— Home side won four of last five series games.
— Baltimore won four of last five series games.
— Cowboys lost last three visits here, by average of 29-13.

**Udog** · 12-02-2020, 09:58 AM

NFL

Week 13

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Trend Report
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Sunday, December 6

Cleveland @ Tennessee
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games

Indianapolis @ Houston
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

Detroit @ Chicago
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

Jacksonville @ Minnesota
Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville

Las Vegas @ NY Jets
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
NY Jets
NY Jets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
NY Jets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas

New Orleans @ Atlanta
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

Cincinnati @ Miami
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Miami
Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

NY Giants @ Seattle
NY Giants
NY Giants is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants

LA Rams @ Arizona
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Arizona's last 16 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

New England @ LA Chargers
New England
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Chargers's last 8 games

Philadelphia @ Green Bay
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay
Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games

Denver @ Kansas City
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Denver's last 18 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver

Monday, December 7

Washington @ Pittsburgh
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Buffalo @ San Francisco
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-06-2020, 09:42 AM

Gridiron Angles - Week 13
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
Matchup: N.Y. Giants at Seattle

-- The Giants are 12-0 ATS (4.25 ppg) since Oct 22, 2018 and as a dog facing a team allowing at least 22.5 points per game.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
Matchup: Cleveland at Tennessee

-- The Titans are 0-10-1 ATS (-7.18 ppg) since Oct 17, 2004 as a favorite coming off a road win where they gained at least 22 first downs.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
Matchup: Las Vegas at N.Y. Jets

-- The Jets are 0-8 ATS (-10.75 ppg) since Sep 20, 2018 coming off a game where Sam Darnold threw at least two interceptions.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:
Matchup: Philadelphia at Green Bay

-- The Eagles are 11-0-1 OU (11.79 ppg) since Jan 02, 2000 as a dog of more than three points off a game as a dog where they gained no more than 18 first downs.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
Matchup: Detroit at Chicago

-- The Bears are 0-11 OU (-10.14 ppg) since Oct 22, 2017 off a game as a dog where they scored more points than their team total.

NFL CHOICE TREND:
Matchup: Cincinnati at Miami

-- The Dolphins are 0-13 ATS (-10.19 ppg) since Dec 15, 2003 at home coming off a road game that went under the total by 13 points.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Thur., Dec. 3 - Monday, Dec. 7)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Thur., Dec. 3 - Monday, Dec. 7)

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