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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Thurs., Nov. 26 - Sat., Nov. 28)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Thurs., Nov. 26 - Sat., Nov. 28)

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    Week 13


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, November 26 - Saturday, November 28

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Last edited by Udog; 11-24-2020, 12:10 PM.

  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    13) Michigan 48, Rutgers 42 OT:
    — Both teams missed field goals in first OT, scored TD’s in 2nd OT.
    — Rutgers led this game 17-0 with 4:00 left before halftime.
    — Scarlet Knights scored TD with 0:27 left, tied game with QB scramble for 2 points.
    — Soph QB McNamara came off Michigan’s bench, was 27-36/260 passing, with four TD’s.

    12) Georgia 31, Mississippi State 24:
    — USC Daniels threw for 401 yards, four TD’s in his first Georgia start.
    — Miss State had only 49 scholarship players; a team has right not to play if they have fewer than 53 kids available, but MSU played, and played well.
    — There were 737 passing yards in this game, only 30 rushing yards.

    11) Ohio State 42, Indiana 35:
    — Buckeyes led 35-7 early in 3rd quarter, hung on for dear life.
    — Hoosiers got within 42-35 with 10:26 left; there was no scoring after that.
    — Indiana QB Penix threw for 491 yards, five TD’s in a losing cause.
    — Rushing yardage: Ohio State 307, Indiana minus-1.

    10) Texas State 47, Arkansas State 45:
    — Bobcats scored on a 6-yard TD run with 0:34 left for the win.
    — Ark State outscored Texas State, 654-505
    — Bobcat QB McBride threw for 443 yards, five TD’s.
    — ASU had two QB’s throw for 200+ yards each.

    9) NC State 15, Liberty 14:
    — Liberty loses for first time in nine games.
    — Wolfpack scored game-winning TD with 6:53 left.
    — Flames had potential game-winning FG blocked with 1:08 left.

    8) Nevada 26, San Diego State 21:
    — Nevada, Liberty, Coastal Carolina are a combined 21-1.
    — Penn State, Florida State, Michigan are a combined 2-14.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    — Illinois (+14.5) 41, Nebraska 23
    — Middle Tennessee (+11.5) 20, Troy State 17
    — Northwestern (+7.5) 17, Wisconsin
    — Pitt (+3.5) 47, Virginia Tech 14

    6) Northwestern 17, Wisconsin 7:
    — Total yardage: 239-230, Northwestern. Yikes.
    — 5-0 Wildcats are Big 14’s only unbeaten, other than Ohio State.

    5) Oregon State 31, California 27:
    — Beavers scored winning TD with 4:30 left.
    — OSU scored on a 75-yard on the first play of the game.
    — Cal outgained OSU 439-360, converted 9-19 on 3rd down.

    4) LSU 27, Arkansas 24:
    — LSU scored on a 13-yard pass with 3:59 left for the winning TD.
    — Tigers converted 12-23 third down plays, Arkansas 0-10.

    3) Coastal Carolina 34, Appalachian State 23:
    — Chanticleers scored two TD’s in last 2:24 for the win/unlikely cover
    — Coastal scored on a 38-yard pick-6 with 1:20 left to cover the number.
    — Penalties: App State 8-51 , Coastal 1-5

    2) Oregon 38, UCLA 35:
    — Both teams scored a defensive TD.
    — UCLA outgained the Ducks, 462-422, with their backup QB playing.
    — Bruins turned ball over four times (-3).

    Cincinnati 36, Central Florida 33:
    — Bearcats remain unbeaten; can they make the playoff?
    — UCF led this game 14-3 after the first quarter.
    — Cincy outgained UCF, 482-359.
    — Knights converted 11-19 on third down.

    Comment


    • #3
      College Football Odds Week 13: Opening Lines and Sharp Money
      Patrick Everson

      Quarterback Brock Purdy has helped put Iowa State in contention for its first-ever Big 12 championship. FanDuel Sportsbook opened the Cyclones 2.5-point underdogs at Texas.

      College football odds for Week 13 are on the betting board and getting action, with a few games of note. At the top of the list, perhaps surprisingly, is upstart and undefeated Indiana traveling to the Horseshoe to face fellow unbeaten Ohio State.

      FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 13 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

      College Football Week 13 Odds

      These are the current College football Week 13 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of November 23.



      (2) Notre Dame at (23) North Carolina Odds
      Opening line
      Notre Dame -6.5, Over/Under 63.5

      Why the line moved
      This line posted early at FanDuel, going up Nov. 17, and therefore has bounced all over the place. Notre Dame opened -6.5 and got out to -9, then plummeted to -3.5 and is -4.5 Monday evening. Despite the wild swings, ticket count and money are running 9/1 on the Fighting Irish. The total went up Sunday at 63.5 and is 66.5 Monday evening, with tickets and money similarly in the 9/1 range on the Over.

      (15) Iowa State at (21) Texas Odds
      Opening line
      Texas -2.5, Over/Under 60.5

      Why the line moved
      The Longhorns are down to -1.5 on interesting point-spread betting splits, with the Cyclones getting 62 percent of tickets and Texas taking 55 percent of money as of Monday evening. The total is already down to 57.5 from 60.5, with 77 percent of bets on the Over, but 56 percent of money on the Under.

      (11) Oregon at Oregon State Odds
      Opening line
      Oregon -16.5, Over/Under 61.5

      Why the line moved
      This storied Pac-12 rivalry is seeing the double-digit 'dog get early attention at FanDuel, where Oregon opened -16.5, dropped to -12.5 and is at -13.5 Monday evening. The total moved from 61.5 to 64.5. However, FanDuel doesn't yet have betting splits on the spread or total.

      Kentucky at (5) Florida Odds
      Opening line
      Florida -19.5, Over/Under 59.5

      Why the line moved
      The Gators sprinted to -24.5 at FanDuel by early Monday morning and are -23.5 as of Monday night, with early point-spread tickets running 4/1 and money more than 9/1 on Florida. The total is down two points to 57.5, despite early tickets and money in the 9/1 range on the Over.

      Pittsburgh at (4) Clemson Odds
      Opening line
      Clemson -26.5, Over/Under 55.5

      Why the line moved
      Clemson is down three points to -23.5 at FanDuel on Monday night, although 57 percent of bets/56 percent of dollars are on the Tigers. The total opened at 55.5 and is now 54.5 on limited betting, so FanDuel doesn't yet have splits.

      (13) Northwestern at Michigan State Odds
      Opening line
      Northwestern -9.5, Over/Under 41.5

      Why the line moved
      Coming off its big upset of Wisconsin, Northwestern opened -9.5 and is already up to -13.5 Monday night at FanDuel, where 85 percent of early bets and 96 percent of early dollars are on the Wildcats. The total is up a point to 42.5, with ticket count 2/1 on the Under, but money 2/1 on the Over.

      Colorado at (18) USC Odds
      Opening line
      Souther Cal -10.5, Over/Under 63.5

      Why the line moved
      Southern Cal reached -13.5 Monday afternoon and is at -12.5 Monday night at FanDuel, with ticket count and money both in the 9/1 range on the Trojans. The total is up a point to 64.5 on limited betting, so splits aren't yet available.

      (3) Ohio State at Illinois Odds
      Opening line
      Ohio State -28.5, Over/Under 69.5

      Why the line moved
      FanDuel has the Buckeyes down to -27.5 Monday night, a notch below the opening number, even though early action is all Ohio State, which is attracting 87 percent of bets and 96 percent of money. The total initially dropped a point to 68.5 but is up to 70.5 Monday night, with 80 percent of tickets and 70 percent of money on the Over.

      (19) Auburn at (1) Alabama Odds
      Opening line
      Alabama -21, Over/Under 60.5

      Why the line moved
      Alabama is up to -24.5 Monday night at FanDuel, where 61 percent of tickets and 69 percent of dollars are landing on the Crimson Tide. The total is up two points to 62.5, with practically all the early tickets and money on the Over.

      LSU at (6) Texas A&M Odds
      Opening line
      Texas A&M -14.5, Over/Under 64.5

      Why the line moved
      The Aggies opened just a tick beyond two-touchdown favorites at FanDuel, then dipped to -12.5 Sunday night, but are now back up to -14.5 Monday night. Texas A&M is attracting 74 percent of early point-spread bets and 88 percent of early point-spread cash. The total fell from 64.5 to 62.5 and is back at the opener Monday night, with the ticket count dead even, but 94 percent of money on the Over.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-24-2020, 07:38 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAF
        Dunkel

        Week 13



        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-24-2020, 07:41 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF
          Long Sheet


          Tuesday, November 24

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          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-24-2020, 07:42 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF

            Week 13


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-24-2020, 07:43 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              This report will update....


              127COLORADO ST -128 AIR FORCE
              AIR FORCE is 20-44 ATS (-28.4 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

              129NEW MEXICO -130 UTAH ST
              UTAH ST is 24-11 ATS (11.9 Units) after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

              131UCF -132 S FLORIDA
              S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game in the last 3 seasons.

              137STANFORD -138 CALIFORNIA
              CALIFORNIA is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) when the line is +/-3 since 1992.

              139OREGON -140 OREGON ST
              OREGON ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.

              143IOWA ST -144 TEXAS
              TEXAS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when the total is 56.5-63 in the last 3 seasons.

              147NEBRASKA -148 IOWA
              IOWA is 52-25 ATS (24.5 Units) vesus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992.

              151WYOMING -152 UNLV
              UNLV is 54-88 ATS (-42.8 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

              153SOUTHERN MISS -154 UAB
              UAB is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

              155TCU -156 KANSAS
              KANSAS are 41-70 ATS (-36 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

              161GEORGIA -162 S CAROLINA
              GEORGIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 34 or more points/game since 1992.

              165SMU -166 E CAROLINA
              E CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

              167PITTSBURGH -168 CLEMSON
              PITTSBURGH is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) on the road when the total is 52.5-56 since 1992.
              Last edited by Udog; 11-27-2020, 09:36 AM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Louisiana Tech at FIU canceled

                Western Kentucky at Charlotte moved to Tuesday, Dec. 1

                Arkansas at Missouri postponed

                Tennessee at Vanderbilt postponed
                Vanderbilt will now play at Missouri Saturday
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-24-2020, 07:45 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Southern Miss at UAB canceled

                  Tulsa at Houston postponed

                  Minnesota at Wisconsin canceled

                  Utah at Arizona State, which was pushed back to Sunday, has now been called off
                  Last edited by Udog; 11-24-2020, 11:07 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Cincinnati at Temple canceled

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Colorado State and Air Force will not play on Thursday

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Oklahoma vs. West Virginia postponed

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Colorado at USC canceled
                          Colorado will now host San Diego State Saturday

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            NCAAF
                            Armadillo's Write-Up

                            Week 13


                            13 of the weekend’s best games

                            Notre Dame (8-0) @ North Carolina (6-2)

                            — Notre Dame won its first eight games (4-4 ATS)
                            — ND ran for 209+ yards in six of last seven games.
                            — Notre Dame has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                            — Notre Dame has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Notre Dame’s senior QB has made 31 career starts.
                            — Notre Dame is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite.

                            — North Carolina is 6-2, scoring 56-59 points in last two games.
                            — UNC is 4-0 at home, scoring 48.5 ppg.; they’re underdogs for first time this year
                            — Carolina gained 556+ yards in each of its last six games.
                            — Tar Heels have 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                            — Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — UNC has a soph QB with 21 career starts.
                            — Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog.

                            — Notre Dame (-14) won 33-10 here in last meeting, in 2017.

                            Stanford (0-2) @ California (0-2)
                            — Stanford lost its first two games, 35-14/35-32.
                            — Cardinal allowed 928 yards in those two games.
                            — Cardinal has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                            — Stanford has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Cardinal has a junior QB with 8 career starts.
                            — Stanford is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.

                            — California lost its first two games, both on road.
                            — Golden Bears gave up 34-31 points, 449 rushing yards in those games.
                            — Golden Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                            — Cal has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Golden Bears have a junior QB has started 21 games.
                            — Cal is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games as a home underdog.

                            — Cal upset Stanford 24-20 LY, snapping a 9-game series skid.
                            — Favorites covered six of last eight series games.
                            — Cardinal won/covered their last five visits to Berkeley.

                            Oregon (3-0) @ Oregon State (1-2)
                            — Oregon won its first three games, scoring 38.7 ppg.
                            — Ducks gained exactly 500 ypg in those games.
                            — Oregon has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                            — Ducks have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Oregon has a soph QB with three starts.
                            — Ducks are 6-2 ATS in last 8 games as a road favorite.

                            — Oregon State lost two of first three games, giving up 30.7 ppg.
                            — Beavers have given up average of 206.7 rushing yards/game.
                            — OSU has 5 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                            — Ducks have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Oregon State has a junior QB with four starts.
                            — Beavers are 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.

                            — Ducks won 11 of last 12 games with the Beavers.
                            — Oregon won/covered five of last six visits to Corvallis.

                            Iowa State (6-2) @ Texas (5-2)
                            — Iowa State won six of last seven games, scoring 45 ppg in last three.
                            — Cyclones won two of three road games, losing 24-21 at Oklahoma State.
                            — Cyclones have 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                            — ISU has 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Cyclones have a junior QB this year, with 29 starts.
                            — ISU is 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.

                            — Longhorns won last three games, scoring 28.3 ppg.
                            — Three of last five Texas games went to overtime.
                            — Texas has 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                            — Longhorns have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Texas has a senior QB with 39 career starts.
                            — Longhorns are 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.

                            — Texas won 13 of last 16 games vs Iowa State.
                            — Longhorns won 7 of last 8 visits to Ames (5-3 ATS).

                            Virginia (4-4) @ Florida State (2-6)
                            — Virginia won its last three games, after a 1-4 start.
                            — Cavaliers scored 43.3 ppg in their last three games.
                            — Virginia has 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                            — Cavaliers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Virginia has a soph QB with eight starts.
                            — Cavaliers are 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.

                            — Florida State lost its last three games, giving up 43.3 ppg.
                            — Seminoles are 0-6 when they run ball for less than 241 yards.
                            — FSU has 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
                            — Seminoles have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — FSU has used four QB’s; they’ve settled on a soph.
                            — FSU is 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

                            — Teams split their last six meetings.
                            — Virginia is 3-2 ATS in its last five visits to Tallahassee.
                            — Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games.

                            Northwestern (5-0) @ Michigan State (1-3)
                            — Northwestern won its first five games, allowing 12.6 ppg.
                            — Last four games, Wildcats gained only 286.3 ypg.
                            — Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                            — Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Northwestern has a senior QB with 28 career starts.
                            — Wildcats are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.

                            — Michigan State was outscored 73-7 in its last two games.
                            — Thru four games, Spartans are minus-9 in turnovers.
                            — Spartans have 7 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
                            — MSU has 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Michigan State’s junior QB has started seven games.
                            — Since 2017, MSU is 1-5 ATS as a home underdog.

                            — Northwestern won four of last six games with Michigan State.
                            — Wildcats covered their last eight visits to East Lansing.

                            Penn State (0-5) @ Michigan (2-3)
                            — Penn State lost its first five games, giving up 36 ppg.
                            — Nittany Lions have been minus in turnovers every game (-9).
                            — PSU has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                            — Penn State has 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Nittany Lions yanked their starting QB at Nebraska; the soph backup, this would be the backup’s 2nd college start.
                            — Since 2014, Penn State is 3-5 ATS as a road underdog.

                            — Michigan lost three of its last four games, giving up 36 ppg.
                            — Wolverines lost both their home games, 27-24/49-11.
                            — Last three games, Michigan is minus-4 in turnovers.
                            — Michigan has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                            — Wolverines have only 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Michigan yanked their QB last game; the backup threw for 260 yards, four TD’s. This will be his first college start.
                            — Wolverines are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

                            — Home side won last four series games.
                            — Michigan won four of last six series tilts.
                            — Nittany Lions are covered once in last five visits to Ann Arbor.

                            San Jose State (4-0) @ Boise State (4-1)
                            — San Jose is 4-0 for the first time since 1955.
                            — Spartans won only road game, 28-17 at San Diego State.
                            — Spartans have 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                            — San Jose has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Spartans have a senior QB with 14 career starts- he used to play at Arkansas.
                            — Last 2+ years, San Jose is 9-3 ATS as a road underdog.

                            — Boise State scored 40+ points in all four of its wins.
                            — Broncos are minus-4 in turnovers in their last three games.
                            — Boise has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                            — Broncos have 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Boise has a soph QB with 11 career starts.
                            — Since 2010, Boise State is 14-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.

                            — Boise won its last 13 games with San Jose (5-2 ATS in last seven).
                            — Spartans are 2-4 ATS in last six games on the blue carpet.

                            LSU (3-3) @ Texas A&M (5-1)
                            — LSU split their first six games; they’re an underdog for first time this year.
                            — Tigers gave up 44-45-48 points in losses; 7-24-24 in wins.
                            — LSU has 3 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                            — Tigers have 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — LSU has a freshman QB with two career starts.
                            — Tigers covered last five games as a road underdog.

                            — This is Texas A&M’s first game in three weeks.
                            — Texas A&M won last four games, scoring 39.8 ppg.
                            — Aggies scored 42-48 points in their last two games.
                            — A&M has 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                            — Aggies have 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — A&M’s has a senior QB with 39 career starts.
                            — Under Fisher, Aggies are 9-5 ATS as a home favorite, 0-2 TY.

                            — LSU won eight of last nine series games; only loss was 74-72 in 7 OT’s in 2018.
                            — LSU covered all nine of those games (1-0 ATS as the underdog).
                            — Tigers won three of last four visits here, losing last one 74-72.

                            Mississippi State (2-5) @ Ole Miss (3-4)
                            — Miss State lost five of six games, scoring 14.7 ppg.
                            — Bulldogs lost last three road games, by 22-41-7 points.
                            — MSU has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                            — Rebels have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — MSU has switched to a freshman QB; he’s started four games.
                            — Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog. Leach is 19-10 ATS in his last 29 games as a road dog, 2-2 this season.

                            — Ole Miss is 3-4; they’ve allowed 33+ points in six of seven games.
                            — Rebels scored 42.5 ppg in first four home games, but they’re 1-3.
                            — Ole Miss has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                            — Rebels have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Ole Miss’s sophomore QB is making his 12th career start.
                            — Last 2+ years, Rebels are 6-3 ATS as a home favorite.

                            — Underdogs covered five of last seven Egg Bowls.
                            — State won three of last four series games.
                            — Bulldogs won last two visits to Oxford, by combined 90-23.

                            Utah (0-1) @ Arizona State (0-1)
                            — Utah lost its opener 33-17 to USC last week.
                            — Utes were outscored 9-0 in second half; they were -3 in turnovers.
                            — Utah has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                            — Utes have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Utah’s new quarterback started 33 games at South Carolina.
                            — Utah is 11-2 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.

                            — ASU lost its opener 28-27 at USC, blowing a 13-point lead in last 2:52.
                            — Sun Devils haven’t played in three weeks.
                            — Sun Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                            — ASU has 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Sun Devils have a soph QB with 13 career starts.
                            — Under Edwards, ASU is 3-9 ATS as a favorite, 3-5 at home.

                            — Teams split last six series games.
                            — Utes lost three of last four visits to Tempe (2-2 ATS).

                            Tulsa (3-1) @ Houston (2-2)
                            — Tulsa won its last five games, after a 16-7 loss at Oklahoma State.
                            — Golden Hurricane scored 31.6 ppg in its five wins.
                            — Golden Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
                            — Tulsa has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Tulsa’s senior QB has 28 career starts.
                            — Tulsa covered eight of its last nine road games.

                            — Houston split its first four games, giving up 43-44 points in its losses.
                            — Cougars gave up 402-328 passing yards in their two losses.
                            — Houston won its only road game, 37-21 at Navy.
                            — Cougars have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                            — Houston has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Houston’s junior QB has started 13 games.
                            — Since 2013, Cougars are 11-2-1 ATS as a road underdog.

                            — Houston won five of last six series games.
                            — Tulsa lost last three visits here, but covered last five.
                            — Underdogs covered four of last five series games.

                            Nevada (5-0) @ Hawai’i (2-2)
                            — Nevada won its first five games, despite a -1 turnover ratio, and running for fewer than 100 yards in three of the five games.
                            — Wolf Pack won its two road games, 37-19 at UNLV, 27-20 at New Mexico.
                            — Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                            — Wolf Pack has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Nevada’s soph QB has 15 career starts.
                            — Wolf Pack covered eight of its last ten road games.

                            — Hawai’i lost its last two games; they gave up 35.7 ppg in last three.
                            — Rainbows allowed 279+ rushing yards in three of last four games.
                            — Hawai’i has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                            — Rainbows have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
                            — Hawai’i’s soph QB has started nine games.
                            — Rainbows are 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.

                            — Underdogs won last four series games SU.
                            — Nevada won three of its last four visits to Hawai’i.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Tech Trends - Week 13
                              Bruce Marshall

                              GEORGIA SOUTHERN at GEORGIA STATE (ESPN3, Noon)
                              Georgia Southern has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last 11 games.
                              The point total has gone UNDER in three straight games played between both schools.

                              Tech Edge: Georgia Southern and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

                              N.C. STATE at SYRACUSE (ACCN, Noon)
                              N.C. State has gone OVER in nine of its last 13 games.

                              Tech Edge: N.C. State and OVER based on team and point total trends.

                              MARYLAND at INDIANA (ESPN2, Noon)
                              Indiana has covered the spread in five straight games.
                              Indiana has covered the spread in 12 of its last 15 games.
                              The home team has covered the spread in four straight games played between both schools.

                              Tech Edge: Indiana based on recent trends.

                              KENTUCKY at FLORIDA (ESPN, Noon)
                              Mark Stoops has covered the spread in three straight games when facing Florida.
                              Mark Stoops has covered the spread in 11 of his last 16 games.
                              Florida has covered the spread in eight of its last nine home games.

                              Tech Edge: Florida based on team trends.

                              TULSA at HOUSTON (ESPNU, Noon)
                              Tulsa has won five of its last six games.
                              Dana Holgorsen has lost 11 of his last 18 games.
                              Houston has won five of its last six games when facing Tulsa.

                              Tech Edge: Tulsa based on recent trends.

                              TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA STATE (FOX, Noon)
                              Texas Tech has covered the spread in four straight games when facing Oklahoma State.
                              Texas Tech has failed to cover its first three road games this season.
                              Oklahoma State e has gone UNDER the point total in nine of its last 11 games.

                              Tech Edge: Texas Tech and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

                              SMU at EAST CAROLINA (ESPN+, Noon)
                              ECU has covered the spread in eight of its last 13 games as the underdog.
                              SMU has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven road games.
                              ECU has gone OVER the point total in 10 of its last 14 games.

                              Tech Edge: ECU and OVER based on team and point total trends.

                              OHIO STATE at ILLINOIS (FS1, Noon)
                              Ryan Day is 5-1 vs. the line in conference road games.
                              Lovie Smitth has gone UNDER the point total in 12 of his last 19 games.

                              Tech Edge: Ohio State and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

                              PENN STATE at MICHIGAN (ABC, Noon)
                              Penn State has lost five straight games.
                              Michigan has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
                              Michigan has won four of its last five games when facing Penn State.

                              Tech Edge: Michigan based on recent series trends.

                              KENT STATE at BUFFALO (CBSSN, Noon)
                              Buffalo has covered the spread in two of its last three games when facing Kent State.
                              Kent State has covered the spread in six straight games as the underdog.
                              Buffalo has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last nine games.

                              Tech Edge: Kent State and OVER based on team and point total trends.

                              NORHTERN ILLINOIS at WESTERN MICHIGAN (ESPN+, Noon)
                              Northern Illinois has lost 10 of its last 15 games.
                              The underdog has covered the spread in four straight games played between both schools.
                              Northern Illinois has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last 10 games.

                              Tech Edge: Western Michigan and OVER based on team and point total trends.

                              BALL STATE at TOLEDO (ESPN3, Noon)
                              Ball State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
                              Ball State has gone OVER the point total in six of its last seven games.
                              Toledo has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last nine games.

                              Tech Edge: OVER baed on point total trends.

                              MIAMI-OHIO at AKRON (ESPN3, 1 p.m.)
                              Akron has lost 15 straight games.
                              Miami-Ohio has covered the spread in seven of its last 10 games.

                              Tech Edge: Miami-Ohio based on Akron woes.

                              UTEP at RICE (ESPN3, 1 p.m.)
                              The road team has won and covered the spread in three straight games played between both schools.
                              Rixce has lost five of its last six games as the favorite.

                              Tech Edge: UTEP based on team trends.

                              MINNESOTA at WISCONSIN (BTN, 2 p.m.)
                              The home team has failed to cover the spread in six straight games played between both schools.
                              P.J. Fleck has won seven of his last 11 games as the underdog.

                              Tech Edge: Minnesota based on series trends.

                              NORTH TEXAS at UTSA (3 p.m.)
                              North Texas has failed to cover the spread in 18 of its last 24 games.
                              The home team has covered the spread in six straight games played between both schools.

                              Tech Edge: UTSA based on team trends.

                              COASTAL CAROLINA at TEXAS STATE (ESPN+, 3 p.m.)
                              Coastal Carolina has covered the spread in 10 of its last 14 games.
                              Texas State has covered the spread in four straight home games as the underdog.
                              Texas State has covered the spread in eight of its last 11 games as the underdog.

                              Tech Edge: Texas State based on team trends.

                              SOUTH ALABAMA at ARKANSAS STATE (ESPN3, 3 p.m.)
                              South Alabama has gone UNDER in 16 of its last 21 games.
                              The home team has won and covered the spread in four straight games played between both schools.

                              Tech Edge: UNDER based on point total trends.

                              LOUISIANA at UL-MONROE (ESPN3, 3 p.m.)
                              The underdog has covered the spread in three straight games played between both schools.
                              UL-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in 19 of its last 29 games.
                              Louisiana has failed to cover the spread in five of its last eight games.

                              Tech Edge: UL-Monroe based on team trends.

                              AUBURN at ALABAMA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)
                              The home team has won seven of the last eight games played between both schools.
                              Alabama has won and covered the spread in four straight home games when facing Auburn since getting beat by Cam Newton in 2010.
                              Alabama has covered the spread in four straight home games.

                              Tech Edge: Alabama based on series and team trends.

                              PITTSBURGH at CLEMSON (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
                              Clemson is 2-6 vs. the line this season.

                              Tech Edge: Pittsburgh based on team trends.

                              COLORADO at USC (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
                              USC has won nine straight games when facing Colorado.
                              Colorado has covered the spread in three of its last five games when facing USC.

                              Tech Edge: Colorado based on recent trends.

                              NORTHWESTERN at MICHIGAN STATE (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
                              Northwestern has won five straight games.
                              Northwestern has gone UNDER the point total in six straight games.
                              Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in 15 of its last 21 games.
                              Northwestern has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing Michigan State.

                              Tech Edge: Iowa State based on team trends.

                              FLORIDA ATLANTIC at MIDDLE TENNESSEE (CBSSN, 3:30 p.m.)
                              FAU is 13-7 vs. the line over last 20 games.
                              Middle Tennessee has won seven of its last 10 games as the underdog.
                              The home team has won and covered the spread in four straight games played betwen both schools.

                              Tech Edge: FAU based on recent trends.

                              SAN JOSE STATE at BOISE STATE (FOX, 4 p.m.)
                              San Jose State has covered the spread in 13 of its last 18 games.
                              San Jose State has covered the spread in 10 of its last 13 games when playing as the underdog.
                              Boise State has covered the spread in six of its last seven conference home games.

                              Tech Edge: San Jose State based on team trends.

                              LOUISVILLE at BOSTON COLLEGE (ACCN, 4 p.m.)
                              Boston College has covered the spread in three straight games when facing Louisville.
                              Boston College has lost seven of its last nine games as the favorite.

                              Tech Edge: Louisville based on BC chalk trends.

                              RUTGERS at PURDUE (FS1, 4 p.m.)
                              Rutgers has lost four straight games.
                              Purdue has seen the underdog cover the spread in 12 of its last 13 games.
                              Purdue has covered the spread in eight of its last 11 games.

                              Tech Edge: Purdue based on team trends.

                              MISSISSIPPI STATE at MISSISSIPPI (SECN, 4 p.m.)
                              MIssissippi State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven games.
                              Mississippi State has won and covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing Ole Miss.
                              Lane Kiffin has covered the spread in 14 of his last 21 games.

                              Tech Edge: Ole Miss based on recent trends.

                              CINCINNATI at TEMPLE (ESPNU, 4 p.m.)
                              Cincinnati has covered the spread in eight of its last 11 games.
                              Cincinnati has covered the spread in five of its last eight games as the favorite.
                              Cincinnati has gone UNDER the point total in 15 of its last 22 games.
                              Temple has covered the spread in five straight games when facing Cincinnati.
                              Temple has failed to cover the spread in three straight home games.

                              Tech Edge: Temple based on series trends.

                              DUKE at GEORGIA TECH (ESPN3, 7 p.m.)
                              Georgia Tech has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 19 games.
                              Georgia Tech has failed to cover the spread in six straight games when facing Duke.
                              Duke has won five of its last six games when facing Georgia Tech.
                              Georgia Tech has gone OVER the point total in 11 of its last 15 games.

                              Tech Edge: Duke and OVER based on team and point total trends.

                              KANSAS STATE at BAYLOR (ESPN2, 7 p.m.)
                              Kansas State has won nine of its last 13 games as the underdog.
                              The undnerdog has covered the spread in five straight games played between both schools.

                              Tech Edge: Kansas State based on team and series trends.

                              LSU at TEXAS A&M (ESPN, 7 p.m.)
                              LSU has covered the spread in eight straight games when facing Texas A&M.
                              LSU has won eight of its last 10 games as the underdog.
                              Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in five of its last eight home games.

                              Tech Edge: LSU based on series trends.

                              OKLAHOMA at WEST VIRGINIA (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
                              West Virginia has covered the spread in four of its last five home games.
                              West Virginia has covered the spread in six of its last nine games.

                              Tech Edge: West Virginia based on recent trends.

                              GEORGIA at SOUTH CAROLINA (SECN, 7:30 p.m.)
                              Georgia has seen the home team go 5-1 vs. the line.
                              The road team has covered the spread in four straight games played between both schools.

                              Tech Edge: Georgia based on series trends.

                              VIRGINIA at FSU (ACCN, 8 p.m.)
                              FSU is 8-18 vs. the board in last 26 games.
                              Virginia has gone UNDER the point total in 11 of its lat 13 games.
                              Virginia has covered the spread in eight of its last 11 games.

                              Tech Edge: Virginia and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

                              TROY at APPALACHIAN STATE (ESPNU, 8 p.m.)
                              App State is 1-8 vs. the line over last nine games.
                              Troy has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 20 games.
                              Troy has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven games as the underdog.

                              Tech Edge: App State based on recent series trends.

                              ARIZONA at UCLA (FOX, 8 p.m.)
                              Arizona has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 14 games.
                              The underdog has covered the spread in three straight games played between both schools.
                              UCLA has lost six of its last seven games as the favorite.

                              Tech Edge: Arizona based on series trends.

                              TCU at KANSAS (FS1, 8 p.m.)
                              Kansas has lost seven straight games.
                              The home team has covered four straight games played between both schools.

                              Tech Edge: TCU based on recent Kansas woes.

                              NEVADA at HAWAII (11 p.m.)
                              Nevada has won five straight games.
                              Nevada has won and covered the spread in three of its last four games when playing in Hawaii.
                              Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 16 conference home games.

                              Tech Edge: Nevada based on team trends.

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