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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 12 (Tues., Nov. 17 - Sat., Nov. 21)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 12 (Tues., Nov. 17 - Sat., Nov. 21)

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    Week 12


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, November 17 - Saturday, November 21

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday’s 6-pack

    College conferences, home favorites/underdogs:

    AAC: 11-10-1 HF, 4-6 HU

    ACC: 16-13-1 HF, 12-6 HU

    Big 14: 7-6 HF, 5-9 HU

    Big X: 13-8-1 HF, 5-6 HU

    C-USA: 4-14 HF, 3-4 HU

    MAC: 2-3-1 HF, 2-4 HU

    MW: 8-2 HF, 5-5 HU

    Pac-12: 2-4 HF, 3-1 HU

    SEC: 11-10 HF, 11-9 HU

    Sun Belt: 8-9 HF, 6-2 HU

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAF
      Dunkel

      Week 12






      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-17-2020, 06:31 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAF
        Long Sheet

        Week 12


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-17-2020, 06:33 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF

          Week 12


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-17-2020, 06:34 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            This report will update....


            301AKRON -302 KENT ST
            AKRON is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

            303BUFFALO -304 BOWLING GREEN
            BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 3 seasons.

            309N ILLINOIS -310 BALL ST
            N ILLINOIS are 45-23 ATS (19.7 Units) as a road underdog since 1992.

            311TOLEDO -312 E MICHIGAN
            TOLEDO is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

            313W MICHIGAN -314 C MICHIGAN
            C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

            323UTAH ST -324 WYOMING
            UTAH ST is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

            325SYRACUSE -326 LOUISVILLE
            LOUISVILLE is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992.

            327PURDUE -328 MINNESOTA
            MINNESOTA is 39-23 ATS (13.7 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better since 1992.

            329NEW MEXICO -330 AIR FORCE
            AIR FORCE is 19-44 ATS (-29.4 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

            331UCLA -332 OREGON
            UCLA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.

            333IOWA -334 PENN ST
            PENN ST is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) versus excellent defensive teams - allowing <=4.25 yards/play since 1992.

            335VIRGINIA TECH -336 PITTSBURGH
            VIRGINIA TECH is 31-13 ATS (16.7 Units) as a road fav. of <=7 since 1992.

            341E CAROLINA -342 TEMPLE
            TEMPLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when the total is 56.5-63 in the last 3 seasons.

            343CINCINNATI -344 UCF
            CINCINNATI is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vesus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons.

            343CINCINNATI -344 UCF
            Josh Heupel is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after allowing <=14 pts. (Coach of UCF)

            345MISSISSIPPI ST -346 GEORGIA
            GEORGIA is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games vs poor passing QB's (<5.8 PYA) since 1992.

            347APPALACHIAN ST -348 COASTAL CAROLINA
            APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. good offenses (>425 TYG) over the last 2 seasons.

            349CLEMSON -350 FLORIDA ST
            FLORIDA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

            353MISSOURI -354 S CAROLINA
            S CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons.
            Last edited by Udog; 11-21-2020, 07:57 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAF
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Week 12


              Tuesday’s games
              Akron (0-2) @ Kent State (2-0)

              — Zips lost their first two games, outscored 82-28.
              — Akron did outgain Ohio 435-307 in LW’s 24-10 loss.
              — Akron has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
              — Zips have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Akron has a senior QB with 28 career starts.
              — Under Arth, Zips are 2-4 ATS as a road underdog.

              — Kent won its first two games, scoring 89 points, running for 507 yards.
              — Golden Flashes threw for 372 yards in last week’s game.
              — Kent has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
              — Golden Flashes has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Kent has a senior QB with 14 career starts.
              — Golden Flashes are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.

              — Akron won four of last five series games.
              — Zips won 24-23/31-27 in their last two visits to Kent.
              — Underdogs covered four of last six series games.

              Buffalo (2-0) @ Bowling Green (0-2)
              — Buffalo scored 91 points in winning its first two games.
              — Bulls gained 915 yards in two games; they’re +4 in turnovers.
              — Buffalo has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
              — Bulls have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Buffalo has a soph QB with seven career starts.
              — Bulls are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.

              — Bowling Green lost its first two games, giving up 100 points.
              — Falcons gave up 605 rushing yards in those two games.
              — Bowling Green has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
              — Falcons have 32 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Bowling Green has a new QB this year- he completed 14-50 passes so far.
              — Last 3+ years, Falcons are 2-11 ATS as a home underdog.

              — Buffalo won last three series games, by an average score of 43-16.
              — Favorites are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games.
              — Bulls lost two of their last three visits here.

              Wednesday’s games
              Northern Illinois (0-2) @ Ball State (1-1)

              — NIU lost its first two games, giving up 49-40 points.
              — Huskies gave up 237 YR last week; they’re minus-4 in turnovers.
              — This is NIU’s first road game this year.
              — NIU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
              — Huskies have 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — NIU has a senior QB with 23 career starts.
              — Since 2010, Huskies are 19-7 ATS as a road underdog.

              — Ball State split its first two games, both 38-31 scores.
              — Cardinals gained 1,014 yards in their first two games.
              — Ball State has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
              — Cardinals have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Ball State has a senior QB with 20 starts.
              — Since 2014, Cardinals are 7-15 ATS as a home favorite.

              — Last year, Ball State snapped a 10-game series losing streak.
              — Huskies won their last five visits to Muncie.
              — Favorites covered six of last eight series games.

              Toledo (1-1) @ Eastern Michigan (0-2)
              — Toledo split its first two games, scoring 38 points both games.
              — Rockets gave up two TD’s in last 0:45 of last week’s 41-38 loss.
              — Toledo has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
              — Rockets have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Toledo has a soph QB with 4 career starts.
              — Last 5+ years, Rockets are 9-5 ATS as a road favorite.

              — Eastern Michigan lost its first two games, by 4-7 points.
              — Eagles allowed 65 points, 967 yards in their first two games.
              — EMU has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
              — Eagles have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — EMU are using a new QB this season; he is 38-64/491 so far.
              — Eagles are an amazing 26-3-1 ATS in last 30 games as an underdog.

              — Toledo won 18 of its last 20 games vs Eastern Michigan.
              — Last three series games were decided by 3-2-5 points.
              — Rockets covered once in last four visits to Ypsilanti.
              — Underdogs covered last four series games.

              Western Michigan (2-0) @ Central Michigan (2-0)
              — Western Michigan won its first two games, scoring 99 points.
              — Broncos scored two TD’s in last 0:45 of LW’s 41-38 win.
              — WMU has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
              — Broncos have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — WMU has a soph QB with six starts.
              — Last two years, Broncos were 0-4 ATS as a road underdog.

              — Chippewas won their first two games, scoring 70 points.
              — Central outgained its first two opponents, 860-589.
              — CMU has 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
              — Chippewas have 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — CMU has a new QB this year; he is 36-60/439 this year.
              — Under McElwain, Chippewas are 4-0 ATS as a home favorite.

              — WMU won seven of last nine games vs Central Michigan.
              — Underdogs are 3-2 ATS in last five series games.
              — Broncos won their last four visits to CMU.

              Thursday’s games
              Tulane (5-4) @ Tulsa (4-1)

              — Tulane won its last three games, scoring 38-38-38 points.
              — Green Wave covered its last five games overall.
              — Green Wave has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
              — Tulane has 92 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Green Wave’s senior QB has started 18 games.
              — Tulane is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog, 1-1 TY.

              — Tulsa won its last four games, with last two wins by 4-4 points.
              — Golden Hurricane scored 34.5 ppg in its four wins, 7 in its loss.
              — Golden Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
              — Tulsa has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Tulsa’s senior QB has 27 career starts.
              — Since 2016, Tulsa is 8-6 ATS as a home favorite.

              — Tulane won last three series games, by 34-7-12 points, scoring 41.3 ppg.
              — Green Wave ran ball for 361.5 jyg in last four series games.
              — Favorites covered 12 of last 13 series games.

              Utah State (0-4) @ Wyoming (1-2)
              — Utah State is 0-4, giving up 37.3 ppg; they already fired the coach.
              — Aggies lost their two road games, 42-13/34-9.
              — Utah State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
              — Rams have 81 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Utah State has a junior QB who has four career starts.
              — Aggies are 11-17 ATS in last 28 games as a road underdog, 0-2 TY.

              — Home side won all three Wyoming games; they won their one home game, 31-7 over Hawai’i.
              — Cowboys scored 29.7 ppg in their first three games.
              — Wyoming has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
              — Cowboys have 146 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Wyoming has a freshman QB with three career starts.
              — Cowboys covered their last nine games as a home favorite.

              — Utah State won six of last eight series games.
              — Aggies won three of last four visits to Laramie.
              — Favorites covered six of last eight series games.

              Friday’s games
              Syracuse (1-7) @ Louisville (2-6)

              — Syracuse lost its last five games, giving up 35.4 ppg. .
              — Orangemen lost their three road games, by average of 33-12.
              — Syracuse has 7 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
              — Syracuse has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Syracuse’s junior QB has started 19 games.
              — Under Babers, Orangemen are 12-8 ATS as a road underdog.

              — Louisville lost six of its last seven games, giving up 42-31 points in last two games.
              — Cardinals split four home games, beating WKU, Florida State.
              — Louisville has 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
              — Cardinals have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Louisville has a junior QB with 27 starts.
              — Cardinals are 20-29 ATS in last 49 games as a home dog, 2-0 TY.

              — Louisville won eight of last ten series games.; they beat Syracuse 56-34 LY
              — Syracuse lost their last five visits here, giving up 56-56 points in last two.
              — Favorites covered last six series games.

              Purdue (2-1) @ Minnesota (1-3)
              — Purdue is off to a 2-1 start, winning only road game 31-24 at Illinois.
              — Boilers lost 27-20 at home to Northwestern LW, running ball for only 2 yards.
              — Purdue has 7 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
              — Boilers have 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Purdue’s junior QB has started 19 games.
              — Boilers are 12-8 ATS as a road underdog.

              — Minnesota lost three of their first four games.
              — Gophers allowed 1,045 YR (261.3 ypg) in their first four games.
              — Minnesota scored 85 points in its last two games.
              — Minnesota has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
              — Gophers have 127 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Gophers have a junior QB with 23 starts.
              — Since 2013, Minnesota is 10-6 ATS as a home underdog.

              — Minnesota won six of last seven series games.
              — Underdogs covered last four series games played here.

              UMass (0-2) @ Florida Atlantic (4-1)
              — UMass lost its first two games by a combined 92-10.
              — Minutemen were outgained 929-381 in those games.
              — UMass has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
              — Minutemen have 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — UMass has been using multiple QB’s, with little success.
              — Minutemen are 2-10-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.

              — FAU won four of its first five games, losing only road game 20-9 at Marshall.
              — Owls allowed total of 28 points in their last three games.
              — FAU has 6 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
              — Owls have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — FAU has a junior QB with 30 career starts.
              — Owls are 12-8-2 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

              — These teams haven’t met in the last five years.

              New Mexico (0-3) @ Air Force (1-2)
              — New Mexico lost its first three games, by 17-6-7 points.
              — Lobos allowed 491.3 ypg in their first three games, 410.2 thru air.
              — New Mexico has 8 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
              — Lobos have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — New Mexico has a junior QB with 15 career starts.
              — Lobos are 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.

              — Air Force lost two of first three games; they haven’t played in three weeks.
              — Falcons have run ball for 330 ypg in their three games.
              — Air Force has 4 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
              — Falcons have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Air Force has a new QB who completed 13-26 passes in three games.
              — Falcons are 6-4 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.

              — Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
              — Lobos covered three of last four visits to Air Force.

              13 of Saturday’s best games
              UCLA (1-1) @ Oregon (2-0)

              — UCLA lost its road opener 48-42 at Colorado, after trailing 35-7 at one point.
              — Bruins split their first two games, scoring 75 points.
              — UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
              — Bruins have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — UCLA’s junior QB is making his 22nd career start.
              — Under Kelly, Bruins are 6-5 ATS as a road underdog.

              — Oregon won its first two games, scoring 35-43 points.
              — Ducks ran ball for exactly 269 yards in both games.
              — Oregon has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
              — Ducks have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Oregon has a soph QB with two starts.
              — Under Cristobal, Ducks are 6-7 ATS as a home favorite.

              — Chip Kelly was 46-7 coaching Oregon from 2009-12.
              — Oregon won seven of last eight series games.
              — Favorites covered five of last six series games.
              — Bruins lost their last six visits to Eugene (2-4 ATS).
              — Pac-12 underdogs are 6-3 ATS.

              Iowa (2-2) @ Penn State (0-4)
              — Iowa won its last two games, by combined score of 84-14.
              — Hawkeyes’ two losses are by combined total of five points.
              — Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
              — Iowa has 108 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Hawkeyes have a soph QB this year, with 4 starts.
              — Since 2013, Iowa is 17-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.

              — Penn State lost its first four games, giving up 34.8 ppg.
              — Nittany Lions have been minus in turnovers every game (-6).
              — PSU has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
              — Penn State has 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Nittany Lions yanked their starting QB (16 starts) LW; if they play the soph backup, it’ll be his first college start.
              — Since 2012, Penn State is 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.

              — Penn State won its last six games with Iowa, last three by 5-6-2 points.
              — Hawkeyes are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to Happy Valley.
              — Big 14 home underdogs are 5-9 ATS this year.

              Wake Forest (4-3) @ Duke (2-6)
              — Wake won three of its last four ACC games, after an 0-2 start.
              — Deacons were outgained 742-606 in their 59-53 loss at UNC last week.
              — Wake has 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
              — Deacons have 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Wake has a sophomore QB with 16 career starts.
              — Deacons 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite.

              — Duke split its last four games, after an 0-4 start.
              — Blue Devils ran ball for 363-274 yards in their two wins; they’re 0-6 running ball for 185 or fewer yards.
              — Duke has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
              — Blue Devils have 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Duke has a junior QB with eight starts; he has 7 TD’s, 12 INT’s.
              — Blue Devils are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog.

              — Wake Forest won three of last four games vs Duke, scoring 98 points last two series games.
              — ACC home underdogs are 12-6 ATS.

              Cincinnati (7-0) @ Central Florida (5-2)
              — Cincinnati is 6-0 vs I-A teams, with all six wins by 14+ points.
              — Bearcats ran ball for 313-242-341-298 yards in last four games.
              — Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
              — Cincinnati has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Cincy’s junior QB has 32 career starts.
              — Cincinnati is 5-7 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.

              — Central Florida won last three games, scoring 44.3 ppg.
              — Last week was first time UCF gained fewer than 632 yards.
              — Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
              — UCF has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Knights have a sophomore QB with 19 career starts.
              — This is first time in four years that UCF is a home underdog.

              — UCF lost 27-24 at Cincy LY, their first loss in last four series games.
              — Bearcats lost 38-13/24-3 in last two visits to Orlando.
              — Favorites covered four of five series games.
              — AAC home underdogs are 4-6 ATS this season.

              Appalachian State (3-0) @ Coastal Carolina (x-x)
              — App State won its last five games, since a 17-7 loss at Marshall.
              — ASU allowed 15 ppg in its last four games.
              — App State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
              — ASU has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — App State has a senior QB with 33 career starts.
              — ASU covered its last four games as a road underdog.

              — Coastal won its three Sun Belt home games by a combined 104-43.
              — Chanticleers allowed total of 20 points in last three games.
              — Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
              — Chanticleers have 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Coastal’s freshman QB has 16 TD passes, one INT.
              — Chanticleers are 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite, 2-1 TY.

              — App State won last three series games, scoring 38.7 ppg.
              — ASU won 23-7 (-14.5) in its last visit here, two years ago.
              — Sun Belt home favorites are 8-9 ATS this year.

              Indiana (4-0) @ Ohio State (3-0)
              — Indiana won its first four games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
              — Hoosiers won their road games, 37-21/24-0.
              — Indiana threw for 662 yards in their last two games.
              — Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
              — Indiana has 46 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Indiana has a soph QB with 10 career starts.
              — Last 2+ years, Hoosiers are 5-0 ATS as a road underdog.

              — Ohio State won their first three games, scoring 47.3 ppg.
              — Buckeyes are running ball for 211 yards/game.
              — Buckeyes have 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
              — OSU has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Ohio State’s junior QB has started 17 games.
              — Under Day, OSU is 6-3 ATS as a home favorite.

              — Ohio State won its last 19 games with Indiana, but the Hoosiers covered seven of last nine series games.
              — Indiana covered its last five games in the Horseshoe.

              Liberty (8-0) @ NC State (5-3)
              — Liberty won its first eight games, with two ACC wins (Syracuse/Va Tech)
              — Flames gave up 215-201 YR vs Southern Miss/Virginia Tech.
              — Liberty scored 30+ points in all six of their I-A games.
              — Flames have 5 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
              — Liberty has 96 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Liberty’s junior QB is an Auburn transfer; he has started 8 games.
              — Since 2010, Flames are 15-6 ATS as a road underdog.

              — NC State allowed 44+ points, in all three of their losses.
              — Wolfpack is 5-0 when they allow less than 44 points.
              — Wolfpack has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
              — State has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Wolfpack has used couple of QB’s this year.
              — Since 2018, State is 8-6 ATS as a home favorite.

              — These teams haven’t me in the last 20 years.

              Michigan (1-3) @ Rutgers (1-3)
              — Michigan lost its last three games, giving up 38 ppg.
              — Wolverines split their two road games, losing 38-21 at Indiana.
              — Last two games, Michigan is minus-4 in turnovers.
              — Michigan has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
              — Wolverines have only 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Michigan is playing a soph QB, with four career starts.
              — Under Harbaugh, Wolverines are 9-11 ATS as a road favorite.

              — Rutgers lost its last three games, allowing 36.3 ppg.
              — Scarlet Knights allowed 541 rushing yards in their last two games.
              — Rutgers lost both its home games, 37-21/23-20.
              — Scarlet Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
              — Rutgers has 34 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Rutgers’ junior QB has started six games.
              — Scarlet Knights are 0-4 ATS in last four games as a home underdog.

              — Michigan won its last five games with Rutgers (3-2 ATS), winning last two by a combined score of 94-7.
              — Michigan covered one of its last three visits to the Garden State.

              USC (2-0) @ Utah (0-0)
              — USC won its first two games, by a combined total of five points.
              — Trojans gave up a combined 836 yards in the two games.
              — USC threw for 706 yards in their two wins.
              — Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
              — USC has 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Trojans have a soph QB has started 13 games.
              — Since 2015, USC is 10-7 ATS as a road favorite.

              — This is the season opener for Utah, the last I-A team to play a game.
              — Utah has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
              — Utes have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Utah has a new quarterback this year.
              — Since 2012, Utah is 6-4 ATS as a home underdog.

              — Home side won last seven USC-Utah games.
              — Trojans lost their last three visits to the Beehive State.

              Washington State (1-1) @ Stanford (0-2)
              — WSU split its first two games, giving up 71 points.
              — Wazzu allowed 1,032 TY in those two games.
              — Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
              — WSU has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Coogs have a freshman QB with two starts; he is playing really well.
              — Wazzu is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.

              — Stanford lost its first two games, 35-14/35-32.
              — Cardinal allowed 928 yards in those two games.
              — Cardinal has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
              — Stanford has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Cardinal has a junior QB with 8 career starts.
              — Since 2016, Stanford is 8-13 ATS as a home favorite.

              — Washington State won last four series games, scoring 39 ppg.
              — Coogs covered four of last five visits to Palo Alto.

              Wisconsin (2-0) @ Northwestern (3-0)
              — Wisconsin won its first two games, by a combined 90-18.
              — Badgers outgained first two opponents, 938-437
              — Badgers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
              — Wisconsin has 50 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Wisconsin has a freshman QB, with two starts.
              — Since 2015, Badgers are 15-4 ATS as a road favorite.

              — Northwestern won its first four games, allowing 14 ppg.
              — Last three games, Wildcats gained only 297.3 ypg.
              — Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
              — Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Northwestern has a senior QB with 27 career starts.
              — Wildcats are 4-7-1 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.

              — Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
              — Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in series if spread was single digits.
              — Wisconsin won three of last four series games.
              — Badgers covered once in their last eight visits to Evanston.

              Oklahoma State (4-1) @ Oklahoma (5-2)
              — Oklahoma State won five of six games, losing 41-34 at home to Texas.
              — OSU’s last three games were decided by total of 14 points.
              — State allowed 21 or fewer points in all its wins.
              — Cowboys have 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
              — OSU has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Cowboys’ soph QB has started 16 games.
              — OSU is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.

              — Oklahoma won its last four games, scoring 52.5 ppg.
              — Sooners scored 35-30 points in their two losses.
              — Oklahoma allowed 40 ppg in first three Big X games, 17 ppg in last three.
              — Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
              — Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Sooners have a freshman QB with 7 career starts.
              — Oklahoma is 7-8 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.

              — Sooners won last five series games, scoring 48 ppg.
              — State covered three of last four visits to Norman.
              — Big X home favorites are 12-8-1 ATS this season.

              Tennessee (2-4) @ Auburn (4-2)
              — Tennessee lost its last four games, giving up 37.5 ppg.
              — Vols score9 31-35 points in first two games, 14.5 ppg in last four.
              — Vols have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
              — Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Vols have a senior QB with 31 starts.
              — Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

              — Auburn hasn’t played in three weeks.
              — Tigers won their last two games, scoring 35-48 points.
              — Auburn is 0-2 when they score less than 30 points.
              — Tigers have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
              — Auburn has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
              — Tigers have a soph QB with 19 career starts.
              — Auburn is 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite.

              — Auburn won six of last seven series games.
              — Vols covered three of last four visits to Auburn.
              Last edited by Udog; 11-20-2020, 10:57 AM.

              Comment


              • #8
                College Football Odds Week 12: Opening lines and sharp money
                Patrick Everson

                Wideout Whop Philyor and No. 10 Indiana hope their surprising season continues Saturday at No. 3 Ohio State. But oddsmakers aren't seeing it, as the Buckeyes are 20.5-point favorites in the Big Ten clash.

                College football odds for Week 12 are on the betting board and getting action, with a few games of note. At the top of the list, perhaps surprisingly, is upstart and undefeated Indiana traveling to the Horseshoe to face fellow unbeaten Ohio State.

                FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 12 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

                These are the current College football Week 12 odds for the premier games on the schedule.



                UCLA at (13) Oregon odds
                Opening line
                Oregon -14.5, Over/Under 64.5

                Why the line moved
                The Ducks opened -14.5 at FanDuel and haven't budged through Monday night, meaning early action is probably light, considering that 71 percent of bets and 83 percent of money are on Oregon. The total is already up to 66.5, with 90 percent of bets and practically every dollar on the total running to the Over.


                (7) Cincinnati at Central Florida odds
                Opening line
                Cincinnati -4.5, Over/Under 61.5

                Why the line moved
                This line is pinned at Cincinnati -4.5 Monday night, with no movement so far, although point-spread ticket count and money are both running well beyond 9/1 on the Bearcats. The total is seeing similar betting splits on the Over, but the number hasn't yet moved off 61.5.


                (4) Clemson at Florida State Odds
                Opening line
                Clemson -31.5, Over/Under 67.5

                Why the line moved
                Trevor Lawrence returns from a bout with COVID-19, and that's led to three more points being added to this spread, with Clemson already up to -34.5. Seventy percent of early tickets and 88 percent of early dollars are on the Tigers. The total is down a point to 66.5, with 67 percent of bets on the Over, but 70 percent of money on the Under.


                (10) Indiana at (3) Ohio State odds
                Opening line
                Ohio State -19.5, Over/Under 64.5

                Why the line moved
                It might be the Game of the Week in college football, and yet it's a hefty double-digit spread. The Buckeyes moved to -20.5 Sunday evening, and that's where the number is Monday night, with ticket count more than 6/1 and money beyond 3/1 on Ohio State. The total is stuck at 64.5, but early tickets and early money are running more than 9/1 on the Over.


                (19) USC at Utah Odds
                Opening line
                Southern California -3.5, Over/Under 56.5

                Why the line moved
                The Trojans dropped a point to -2.5 Monday afternoon at FanDuel and are still there Monday night, despite 2/1 tickets and practically every early dollar on USC. The total is up a point to 57.5, with tickets 3/1 and, much like the spread, almost all the money on the Over.


                (12) Wisconsin at (20) Northwestern odds
                Opening line
                Wisconsin -6.5, Over/Under 45.5

                Why the line moved
                Wisconsin is a mere 2-0, but the second of those games was last weekend's 49-11 boatracing of Michigan at the Big House. So it's no surprise to see the Badgers up to -8.5 Monday night at FanDuel, with tickets and money 9/1 on Wisconsin. The total went two points the other way, to 43.5, though tickets are 6/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.


                Kentucky at (1) Alabama odds
                Opening line
                Alabama -29.5, Over/Under 57.5

                Why the line moved
                Alabama got an unplanned bye last week due to LSU dealing with COVID-19 issues. The initial move on this line was toward the big 'dog Kentucky, as 'Bama dipped to -28.5. On Monday night, the line is at Alabama -30.5 on two-way action, with the Crimson Tide taking 53 percent of bets and 54 percent of money. The total is up to 58.5, with ticket count nearly 4/1 and almost every dollar so far on the Over.


                (5) Florida at Vanderbilt odds
                Opening line
                Florida -30.5, Over/Under 68.5

                Why the line moved
                The Gators are up a point to -31.5 at FanDuel on Monday night, with 71 percent of tickets and 80 percent of money on Florida. The total bounced around a bit early, from 68.5 to 66.5 and back to 68.5, with 72 percent of bets and 91 percent of money on the Over.


                (14) Oklahoma State at (17) Oklahoma odds
                Opening line
                Oklahoma -9.5, Over/Under 58.5

                Why the line moved
                The Bedlam line is on the move early at FanDuel, down to Sooners -5.5 Monday night, though 56 percent of bets and 77 percent of dollars are landing on Oklahoma. The total moved from 58.5 to 60.5, then to 59.5, with ticket count and money both more than 9/1 on the Over.

                Kansas State at (16) Iowa State odds
                Opening line
                Iowa State -7.5, Over/Under 49.5

                Why the line moved
                It's another Big 12 line making a big early move, though in this case, the number is stretching out, with Iowa State up to -11.5 at FanDuel. Through Monday night, tickets and money are both in the 3/1 range on the Cyclones. The total opened at 49.5 and hit 50.5 a couple of times, then headed the other way, and it's at 46.5 Monday night. Ticket count is 3/1 on the Under, and practically all the early money is on the Under, as well.
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-17-2020, 06:40 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Tech Trends - Week 12
                  Bruce Marshall

                  Week 12 of the College Football season kicks off on Tuesday, Nov. 17 with MACtion and concludes on Saturday Nov. 22.

                  We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

                  We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

                  Wednesday, Nov. 18

                  NORTHERN ILLINOIS at BALL STATE (ESPNews, 7:00 p.m.)

                  Prior to last season’s 27-20 Ball win, Cards had dropped ten in a row SU vs. NIU
                  Failed to cover seven straight in series
                  Ball State also just 6-12 vs. line last 18 at Muncie after non-cover vs. EMU last Wednesday
                  Thomas Hammock is 3-2 as MAC dog since LY for Huskies
                  But 0-2 in that role this season after last week’s lopsided 48-10 loss to Central Michigan

                  Tech Edge: None

                  TOLEDO at EASTERN MICHIGAN (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)
                  EMU great road mark lately but just 2-6 last 8 vs. spread at Rynearson Stadium
                  Eagles, however, are 3-0-1 vs. line last four in series vs. Toledo
                  Toledo did get win in 2020 opener vs. BGSU but still just 4-10-1 vs. line since late 2018
                  Rockets have also failed to cover eight straight away from Glass Bowl after close loss to WMU

                  Tech Edge: Eastern Michigan, based on series and team trends.

                  WESTERN MICHIGAN at CENTRAL MICHIGAN (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
                  CMU on 12-4 spread run since McElwain arrived in 2019 (2-0 in 2020).
                  Interestingly, road team has covered last 8 in series.
                  WMU was 3-10 last 13 vs. line as visitor before opening win at Akron.

                  Tech Edge: Slight to CMU, based on recent trends.


                  Thursday, Nov. 19

                  UTAH STATE at WYOMING (CBSSN, 9:00 p.m.)

                  A tough 2020 start for Utags, 0-4 SU and vs. line.
                  Coach Gary Andersen forced after Nov. 5 Nevada loss, and now 4-10 vs. spread last 14 since mid-2019.
                  Wyoming coach Craig Bohl had covered three straight in series prior to close loss LY.
                  Cowboys 8-2 vs. spread last 10 at Laramie.

                  Tech Edge: Wyoming, based on team trends.

                  TULANE at TULSA (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)
                  Tulane has covered last five TY, now on 16-7 spread uptick since late 2018
                  Green Wave has won and covered last three in series
                  Road team 4-1 vs. line in Tulsa games TY (Tulsa 1-1 home)
                  Golden Hurricane 3-5 last seven vs. points as host.

                  Tech Edge: Tulane, based on team trends.


                  Friday, Nov. 20

                  SYRACUSE at LOUISVILLE (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)

                  Cards coach Scott Satterfield 6-4 vs. line at home since last year
                  Home team has won and covered big last three in series
                  Cards have also won and covered in 5 of last 6 meetings

                  Tech Edge: Louisville, based on series trends.

                  PURDUE at MINNESOTA (Big Ten, 7:30 p.m.)
                  Purdue 8-3 spread uptick since late last year
                  Boilermakers have covered eight straight as a 'dog prior to NU last Saturday.
                  Gophers have won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings.
                  However. Minnesota coach P.J. Fleck 1-5-1 vs. spread last seven in regular season.

                  Tech Edge: Purdue, based on recent trends.

                  NEW MEXICO at AIR FORCE (FS1, 9:30 p.m.)
                  Lobos cocach Bob Davie had great spread success vs. Force the past 8 years, covering all but one of the games
                  Lone non-cover came in 2018
                  Winning three of five outright 2013-17.
                  Rocky Long (now Lobos DC) won all seven outright vs. Falcons while at SDSU.
                  UNM only 6-16 last 22 on board but has covered two in a row.

                  Tech Edge: New Mexico, based on extended trends.


                  Saturday, Nov. 21

                  INDIANA at OHIO STATE (FOX, Noon)

                  Indiana has covered the spread in 11 of its last 14 games since 2019 (Indiana 6-1 as underdog in last seven).
                  Indiana has won four straight games.
                  The road team has covered the spread in four straight games played between both schools
                  Ohio State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last eight games after covering the spread in eight straight prior.
                  Ryan Day has covered the spread in six of his last eight home games.

                  Tech Edge: Indiana based on recent and series trends.

                  CLEMSON at FLORIDA STATE (ABC, Noon)
                  This used to be a big game not long ago!
                  Clemson has won five straight games when facing FSU, while covering the spread in three straight against the Seminoles.
                  Clemson is 2-6 vs the line this year.
                  Clemson is 1-2 vs the line when facing a conference opponent on the road (9-1-1 in previous 11 vs spread when facing conference opponent on the road).
                  Mike Norvell has lost six of his last eight games with FSU, and is 1-5 vs. the line when playing in Tallahassee.
                  FSU has lost six of its last eight games as the underdog.

                  Tech Edge: Clemson based on team and series trends.

                  WAKE FOREST at DUKE (ACCN, Noon)
                  Wake Forest has won large in two straight games when facing Duke.
                  Wake Forest has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing Duke.
                  Wake Forest has covered the spread in five straight games, and six of its last seven games.
                  David Cutcliffe is 2-5-1 over his last eight conference home games vs. the spread (includes Notre Dame last year).

                  Tech Edge: Wake Forest based on recent and series trends.

                  ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA (BTN, Noon)
                  Scott Frost lost six of eight games as the favorite last year.
                  Frost is 4-11 vs. the points since last year.
                  Lovie Smith has lost six of his last seven games since 2019 (3-4 vs. the line in those).
                  Smith has gone UNDER the point total in eight of his last 11 games (series has gone way OVER last two years).

                  Tech Edge: Slight OVER based on recent point total trends.

                  APP STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA (ESPN2, Noon)
                  Appalachian State is 1-6 vs the line this season, and 1-7 in last eight on board.
                  Appalachian State is 3-0 getting points as the underdog since 2018.
                  Appalachian State has won three straight games when facing Coastal Carolina, and has covered in two straight against the Chanticleers.
                  Coastal Carolina has won seven straight games, and has covered the spread in nine of its last 13 games since mid 2019.
                  Appalachian State has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last seven games, though this game saw 93 total points last year.

                  Tech Edge: Slight to Chanticleers based on recent trends.

                  EAST CAROLINA at TEMPLE (ESPN+, Noon)
                  ECU is 5-3 vs the spread over last eight road games, 2-2 this season.
                  ECU has lost five straight games when facing Temple, covering one of those games (2019).
                  Temple has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven games on board since late 2019 (backdoor cover against UCF last week).

                  Tech Edge: Slight to Pirates based on recent trends.

                  MICHIGAN STATE at MARYLAND (BTN, Noon)
                  Mel Tucker is 5-12 since 2019 and 6-15 over his last 21 games vs. the number on the board since 2018.
                  Maryland has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing Michigan State.
                  The road team has covered the spread in three straight games played between both schools.

                  Tech Edge: Maryland based on recent trends.

                  HOUSTON at SMU (ESPNU, Noon)
                  Dana Holgorsen is 9-9 vs. the spread since last year, and has lost 11 of his last 18 games.
                  Holgorsen has failed to cover the spread in four straight, and five of his last six games as the underdog.
                  Houston covered against SMU last season, but the Mustangs covered four straight years prior.
                  Sonny Dykes has won seven of his last 10 home games vs. the points.

                  Tech Edge: SMU based on team trends.

                  FLORIDA at VANDERBILT (ESPN, Noon)
                  Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 19 games.
                  Vanderbilt has lost eight of its last nine home games vs. the line when facing an FBS-school.
                  Florida has covered the spread in three straight games when facing Vanderbilt.

                  Tech Edge: Rice based on team trends.

                  LSU at ARKANSAS (SECN, Noon)
                  Arkansas has covered the spread in two straight games when facing LSU.
                  Arkansas has won six of its last seven games vs. the line.
                  LSU is 2-3 vs. the line this year.

                  Tech Edge: Arkansas based on team trends.

                  GEORGIA SOUTHERN at ARMY (CBSSN, Noon)
                  Georgia Southern has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last 10 road games.
                  Army has gone UNDER the point total in 13 of its last 21 games.
                  Georgia Southern has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last 10 games.
                  This game might go fast!

                  Tech Edge: Slight Army and UNDER based on team trends and point total trends.

                  FIU at WESTERN KENTUCKY (ESPN3, 2 p.m.)
                  Western Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games.
                  FIU covered the spread in three straight games against Western Kentucky prior to last year's 20-14 loss.
                  Butch Davis has failed to cover the spread in 12 of his last 17 games since 2019.

                  Tech Edge: FIU based on recent trends.

                  RICE at NORTH TEXAS (ESPN3, 2 p.m.)
                  North Texas has failed to cover the spread in 18 of its last 23 games.
                  Rice has covered the spread in 12 of its last 20 games, and two straight when facing North Texas.

                  Tech Edge: Rice based on team trends.

                  UTSA at SOUTHERN MISS (ESPN+, 3 p.m.)
                  Southern Miss is 1-6 vs. the line this season.
                  Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games since 2019.
                  The road team has covered the spread in three straight games
                  Southern Miss has gone UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 13 games

                  Tech Edge: UTSA and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

                  ARKANSAS STATE at TEXAS STATE (ESPN3, 3 p.m.)
                  Arkansas State has won five straight games by 18 or more points when facing Texas State (covered in four of those games).
                  Texas State has covered the spread in three straight home games.
                  Despite last week's high total, Texas State has gone UNDER the point total in 20 of its last 29 games.

                  Tech Edge: Arkansas State and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

                  WISCONSIN at NORTHWESTERN (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
                  Northwestern has covered the spread in three straight games, and five of its last six games when facing Wisconsin.
                  Northwestern has covered or pushed the spread in seven straight games
                  Pat Fitzgerald has covered the spread in 17 of his last 27 games since 2016.
                  Wisconsin is 4-5 vs. the spread in last nine conference road games.

                  Tech Edge: Northwestern based on team and series trends.

                  CINCINNATI at CENTRAL FLORIDA (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
                  UCF has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 17 games since early 2019.
                  UCF has lost six of its last seven home games vs. number.
                  Cincinnati has covered the spread in four straight road games, and six of its last eight road games vs. the line.
                  Cincinnati won last year's meeting 27-24, but dropped three straight to UCF prior.

                  Tech Edge: Bearcats based on recent trends.

                  IOWA at PENN STATE (BTN, 3:30 p.m.)
                  James Franklin is 0-4 SU and vs. the line this year (2-7 over last nine since late 2019).
                  Penn State has won four straight games when facing Iowa.
                  Kirk Ferentz 16-8-1 vs the spread when facing an AP-ranked Top 25 Big Ten school on the road.

                  Tech Edge: Iowa based on recent trends.

                  CALIFORNIA at OREGON STATE (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)
                  California has covered the spread in seven of its last nine conference road games after last week's loss to UCLA.
                  Oregon State has seen the road team cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games.
                  Oregon State upset Cal in Berkeley last year, 21-17.

                  Tech Edge: Cal based on team trends.

                  TEXAS at KANSAS (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
                  Les Miles is 0-6-1 vs. the line in last seven games, and 1-9-1 in last 11 on board.
                  Kansas has covered the spread in four straight games when facing Texas, and three straight against Tom Herman.
                  Kansas has gone OVER the point total in eight of its last nine games.
                  Texas has gone OVER the point total in 13 of its last 20 games.

                  Tech Edge: Slight Texas and OVER based on Kansas recent woes and point total trends.

                  SAN DIEGO STATE at NEVADA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)
                  Nevada has won four straight games.
                  Nevada has covered the spread in three of its last four games.
                  Nevada has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 home games when facing an FBS-school.
                  San Diego State has gone UNDER the point total in 15 of its last 18 games since 2018.

                  Tech Edge: Nevada and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

                  MIDDLE TENNESSEE at TROY (ESPN3, 3:30 p.m.)
                  Troy has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 19 games since Chip Lindsey arrived.
                  Under Lindsey, Troy has failed to cover the spread in six of its last nine home games.
                  Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in four of its last six games.
                  Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in six of its last nine games as the underdog.

                  Tech Edge: MTSU based on team trends.

                  KENTUCKY at ALABAMA (SECN, 4 p.m.)
                  Alabama has covered the spread in three straight home games this year.
                  Kentucky has won seven of its last 10 games as the underdog.
                  Kentucky has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last seven games this year.

                  Tech Edge: Kentucky and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

                  KANSAS STATE at IOWA STATE (FOX, 4 p.m.)
                  Kansas State has won nine of its last 12 games as the underdog since last year.
                  Kansas State has won 24 of its last 32 games as the underdog.
                  Kansas State has covered the spread in five of its last six games this season.
                  Iowa State has lost five of its last six home games as the favorite.
                  Kansas State has covered the spread in two straight games when facing Iowa State.

                  Tech Edge: Wildcats based on team trends.

                  VIRGINIA TECH at PITTSBURGH (ACCN, 4 p.m.)
                  Virgnia Tech is 1-3 vs the line when playing on the road this year.
                  Virgnia Tech is 1-5 vs the spread over its last six road games.
                  Piittsburgh covered five straight games when facing Virginia Tech prior to last year's 28-0 loss to the Hokies.

                  Tech Edge: Pitt based on team and extended series trends.

                  GEORGIA STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPNU, 4 p.m.)
                  GSU has gone OVER the point total in six of its last eight games.
                  South Alabama has gone UNDER the point total in 15 of its last 20 games.
                  South Alabama is 10-5-1 over its last 16 games vs. the line

                  Tech Edge: Slight Jaguars and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

                  UNLV at COLORADO STATE (FS2, 5:30 p.m.)
                  UNLV has lost four straight games, and has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
                  UNLV has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 11 conference road games.
                  Colorado State is 5-3 vs. the line when facing a conference opponent at home.
                  Colorado State has won and covered the spread in four straight games when facing UNLV (dating back to 2011).

                  Tech Edge: Colorado State based on team and extended series trends.

                  TENNESSEE at AUBURN (ESPN, 7 p.m.)
                  Tennessee has no wins or cover in four straight games after winning eight straight prior.
                  Gus Malzhan is 7-3 vs. the spread in last 10 home games.
                  Tennessee has gone UNDER the point total in 17 of its last 24 games.
                  Auburn has gone UNDER the point total in nine of its last 12 games.

                  Tech Edge: Auburn and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

                  MISSISSIPPI STATE at GEORGIA (SECN, 7 p.m.)
                  Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in five straight games since opening win over LSU.
                  Mike Leach has failed to cover the spread in 16 of his last 21 games dating back to late 2018.
                  Georgia has seen the home team win five straight games vs. the line (Florida game considered neutral).
                  Kirby Smart has gone UNDER the point total in 14 of his last 20 games since last year.
                  Mississippi State has gone UNDER the point total in five straight games.

                  Tech Edge: UNDER and Georgia based on point total and team trends.

                  SAN JOSE STATE at FRESNO STATE (CBSSN, 7 p.m.)
                  San Jose State is 4-0 vs. the line this year, and 13-4-1 over its last 17 games.
                  Fresno State is 3-1 vs. the line, but 5-9-1 vs. the spread since early 2019.

                  Tech Edge: Spartans based on team trends.

                  OKLAHOMA STATE at OKLAHOMA (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
                  The road team has covered three straight games played between both schools, and seven of the last eight games as well.
                  Jeff Gundy has won 11 of his last 14 games as the underdog.

                  Tech Edge: Cowboys based on team and series trends.

                  MISSOURI at SOUTH CAROLINA (SECN Alt, 7:30 p.m.)
                  Missouri has seen the home team win five straight games vs. the line.
                  Missouri is 0-3 vs. the line when playing on the road.
                  Missouri has failed to cover the spread in eight straight road games going back to 2018.
                  South Carolina has covered the spread in four of its last seven conference home games.

                  Tech Edge: South Carolina based on team trends.

                  LIBERTY at N.C. STATE (ESPN3, 7:30 p.m.)
                  Liberty has won nine straight games.
                  Liberty has covered the spread in six of its last eight games, and nine of its last 12 games.
                  If getting points, note Hugh Freeze is 5-1 in his last six games as the underdog.
                  Liberty is 2-0 vs. the line when facing the ACC this year.
                  N.C. State is 4-0 vs. the line at home this season, and 6-2 overall.
                  N.C. State has gone OVER the point total in nine of its last 12 games.

                  Tech Edge: Slight Liberty and OVER based on recent and point total trends.

                  MICHIGAN at RUTGERS (BTN, 7:30 p.m.)
                  Jim Harbaugh is 8-13 vs. the spread over last 21 games (no wins or covers in last three games).
                  Michigan has lost two of its last three vs. the line when facing Rutgers since the 78-0 win in 2016.
                  Rutgers has covered two of its last four games this year.

                  Tech Edge: Rutgers based on recent trends.

                  ARIZONA at WASHINGTON (FOX, 8 p.m.)
                  Kevin Sumlin covered in opener vs. USC, but 3-9 vs. the spread last year and 2-4 when facing a conference opponent on the road.
                  After failing to cover against Oregon State last week, Washington is now 3-9 vs. the points when facing a conference opponent at home (1-9 exlcuding Washington State).
                  Washington won and covered the spread in Arizona last year, 51-27.

                  Tech Edge: Washington based on recent Arizona woes.

                  NAVY at SOUTH FLORIDA (ESPNU, 8 p.m.)
                  USF has seen the road team cover six of its last seven games (0-2 at home vs. the line).
                  USF has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 12 home games when facing an FBS-school.
                  Navy is 2-01 vs. the line when playing on the road, and is 7-2 vs. points away from Annapolis since early last year.

                  Tech Edge: Navy based on team trends.

                  WASHINGTON STATE at STANFORD (FS1, 11 p.m.)
                  Washiington State has won four straight games when facing Stanford, and has covered the spread in five srtaight games when facing the Cardinal.
                  Stanford has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 15 games.

                  Tech Edge: Washington State based on team trends.

                  BOISE STATE at HAWAI'I (CBSSN, 11 p.m.)
                  Boise State is 3-3 in last six road games as the favorite (went 36-16 in 52 games prior).
                  Hawai'i has lost 25 of its last 36 home games vs. the line since 2015.

                  Tech Edge: Hawai'i based on team trends.
                  Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-18-2020, 02:34 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Utah State at Wyoming canceled

                    Arizona State vs. Colorado canceled

                    Ole Miss vs. Texas A&M postponed

                    Louisiana Tech vs. UL Monroe canceled

                    Georgia Tech at Miami postponed

                    Charlotte at Marshall canceled

                    Wake Forest at Duke canceled

                    SMU vs. Houston postponed

                    Navy at USF postponed

                    Central Arkansas at Louisiana canceled

                    UNLV at Colorado State canceled

                    Texas at Kansas postponed
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-19-2020, 01:12 PM.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Tulane vs. Tulsa Week 12 Odds
                      Jonathan Willis

                      The Golden Hurricane are flying high after last Saturday’s win over SMU.

                      Tulsa is undefeated (4-0) in the American, and this is likely the only team that has a chance to prevent Cincinnati from winning the AAC.

                      The last three games of the season won’t be easy though, starting this week when the Tulane Green Wave come to town.

                      Tulane has looked sharp the last few weeks, thanks to a much-improved defense.

                      Week 12 Matchup: American
                      Venue: Chapman Stadium
                      Location: Tulsa, Oklahoma
                      Date: Thursday, November 19, 2020
                      Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
                      TV: ESPN

                      Tulsa has been a solid investment for bettors this season, going 4-1 both straight up and against the spread. (AP)

                      Line Movements

                      Spread: Tulsa -5.5
                      Money-Line: Tulsa -240 Tulane +200
                      Total: 54.5

                      How to Handicap Tulane-Tulsa

                      Cancellations and postponements have led to Tulsa playing just five games this season. The Golden Hurricane were heavy underdogs in their first two games after going 4-8 in 2019, but they easily covered the spread against both Oklahoma State and UCF.

                      Tulsa’s defense held Chuba Hubbard under 100 rushing yards, and the Cowboys failed to pick up more than 300 total yards after Spencer Sanders was injured early.

                      Tulsa announced it was for real with a 34-26 upset of UCF in early October as a 20.5-point underdog. The Golden Hurricane held the Knights without a point in the final 25 minutes of the game, allowing the offense to overcome an 11-point halftime deficit.

                      They followed that up with wins over USF and East Carolina before last week’s big 28-24 win over SMU. Tulsa trailed 21-0 early in the second quarter, but Houston scored just three points after its start.

                      The Green Wave are one of the few teams to not have their schedule seriously impacted by COVID. Tulane has played nine games this season, and Willie Fritz hasn’t had to deal with any long layoffs.

                      This offense has been solid throughout the 2020 season. Tulane has scored at least 24 points in every game, and the Green Wave have put up at least 31 points in their last seven games since Michael Pratt took over for Keon Howard.

                      The defense has come alive over the last three weeks too, as Tulane has allowed just 12 PPG in easy wins and covers against Temple, East Carolina, and Army the last three weeks.

                      Betting Analysis – Green Wave

                      Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

                      2020: 5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS, 6-2-1 O/U

                      Tulane has a gem in Pratt. The true freshman seized the reins from Howard, and this offense has looked much better from that point forward.

                      Pratt had accuracy issues in his first few games, failing to complete more than 50 percent of his passes in his first three appearances, but he has settled into the role. He has completed at least 57 percent of his passes in four straight games, and he is a dynamic runner in this offense.

                      Fritz loves to run the ball. The Green Wave are currently averaging 5.3 YPC and 224.8 YPG on the ground. The five leading rushers on this team are all averaging more than 5.5 YPC with Stephon Huderson and Cameron Carroll leading the way. Huderson is the big-play RB (6.6 YPC), while Carroll shines in short yardage (10 TDs).

                      Duece Watts has established himself as the go-to receiver for Pratt. He leads the team in every receiving category with 26 receptions for 448 yards (17.2 YPR) and five touchdowns. His twin brother Phat Watts is one of the other top options along with Jha’Quan Jackson.

                      The Green Wave were shredded by some good offenses in the middle of the season. They couldn’t stop Houston, SMU, or UCF, but they have looked much better in recent weeks. Tulane does a good job of stopping the run (3.3 YPC), but the pass defense has been abysmal (8.8 YPA).

                      Edge rusher Patrick Johnson has been a playmaker with 10 sacks and two forced fumbles on the year.

                      Betting Analysis - Golden Hurricane

                      2020: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U

                      QB Zach Smith isn’t a world-beater, but he has been consistent over his four years with Tulsa. He is having the best season of his career as a senior, completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 8.0 YPA with 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. Smith isn’t much of a runner, so that puts a bit of a cap on the offense, but he doesn’t make a lot of poor throws either.

                      The loss of starting running back Shamari Brooks prior to the start of the season was a big blow for the Golden Hurricane. Sophomores Deneric Prince and T.K. Wilkerson has stepped up to fill the void though, teaming up to average 4.7 YPC.

                      Keylon Stokes and Josh Johnson are Smith’s two favorite options in the passing game. The Golden Hurricane don’t throw much though as Tulsa is averaging just 31.4 passes per game this season.

                      Tulsa’s defense has been very good. The Golden Hurricane are ranked 31st in defensive SP+, and that is the primary catalyst for their turnaround in 2020. Linebacker Zaven Collins is a potential AAC Defensive Player of the Year choice with four sacks, three interceptions, and two forced fumbles in five games.

                      Historically Speaking

                      Head-to-Head


                      Tulsa won 11 of its first 13 games against Tulane, but the Green Wave are on a three-game winning streak. They hammered the Golden Hurricane 62-28 for their biggest win in this series three years ago, and it’s been all Tulane since that point.

                      Last Meeting

                      Tulane gashed Tulsa on the ground when these teams met last season. The Green Wave ran the ball 46 times for 293 yards and three touchdowns in a 38-26 win over the Golden Hurricane.

                      Justin McMillan threw two interceptions, but Tulsa was only able to kick field goals despite the good field position those turnovers provided.

                      Notable Betting Trends

                      -- Tulane has covered five straight games

                      -- The favorite is 13-3 ATS in this series

                      -- The over is 5-1 in the last six games between these teams
                      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-19-2020, 01:10 PM.

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                      • #12
                        Michigan State at Maryland canceled
                        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-19-2020, 01:13 PM.

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                        • #13
                          San Jose State at Fresno State canceled

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                          • #14
                            Purdue vs. Minnesota Week 12 Odds
                            Jonathan Willis

                            The Big Ten is in the spotlight Friday night with a matchup of West rivals as Purdue visits Minnesota.

                            Here is a look at a battle in the Big Ten West Friday night to start another big college football weekend.

                            Week 12 Matchup: Big Ten Conference
                            Venue: TCF Bank Stadium
                            Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
                            Date: Friday, November 20, 2020
                            Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
                            TV: BTN

                            Purdue-Minnesota Betting Odds

                            Spread: Purdue -2.5
                            Money-Line: Purdue -130 Minnesota +110
                            Total: 61

                            Purdue running back Zander Horvath looks to continue his ground success when visiting Minnesota this week. (AP)

                            How to Handicap Purdue-Minnesota

                            Minnesota delivered a breakthrough 2019 season as a co-division champion and bowl winner that landed in the national top 10 by the end of the season, but Purdue nearly spoiled that path in the Big Ten opener last season.

                            All four September wins for Minnesota last season were close calls and after leading 38-17 through three quarters, Purdue had a pair of late touchdowns to climb within seven hosting the Golden Gophers last season.

                            Purdue appeared to make the stop it needed with an incomplete pass on 3rd down, set to get the ball back with still almost three minutes remaining but pass interference effectively handed Minnesota the win.

                            Minnesota has won the past two meetings in this series including a 41-10 win in the last meeting in Minneapolis in 2018 when Purdue was a double-digit road favorite.

                            P.J. Fleck did lose to Jeff Brohm in 2017 in West Lafayette in the first season for both head coaches in the Big Ten. Minnesota has now won six of the past seven meetings in this series.

                            Purdue is 2-1 this season but is coming off a tough loss hosting Northwestern last week, a game that could have put the Boilermakers in the division lead. Minnesota was humiliated last week hosting Iowa, losing 35-7 with the shutout spoiled with 14 seconds to go.

                            Minnesota draws the two remaining undefeated Big Ten West teams in the next two weeks as this contest now looms as one of the only remaining opportunities for another win in a steep crash for the program in 2020. Purdue can still put together a respectable season as they will have home games vs. losing teams the next two weeks and had their matchup with top West threat Wisconsin cancelled.

                            Quarterback Corner

                            After a breakthrough 2018 season led by David Blough, Purdue struggled with lesser quarterback play last season as Jack Plummer, Aidan O’Connell, and Elijah Sindelar shared the snaps.

                            O’Connell won the job this season over Plummer and has a fine season line, though a near flawless outing vs. a marginal Illinois defense has padded the numbers.

                            The junior has completed nearly 65 percent of his passes and is likely to eclipse last season’s marks in yardage and touchdowns this week.

                            Originally recruited by Fleck to Western Michigan, Tanner Morgan emerged as the Minnesota starter as a freshman in 2018.

                            He delivered a huge campaign last season with 30 touchdowns and only seven interceptions, passing for over 3,000 yards on 10.2 yards per attempt with a lot of big plays. Despite great talent in the receiving corps and a veteran offensive line, Morgan’s numbers have fallen off a cliff this season, dropping his completion rate by 8.5 percent and losing nearly three yards per attempt.

                            Betting Analysis – Purdue

                            2020:
                            2-1 S/U, 1-2 ATS, 0-3 O/U

                            While last week Purdue competed well in a defensive grind with now 4-0 Northwestern, the Boilermakers have been bested in yardage in all three games despite being 2-1. The win over Iowa in the opener featured a comeback late in the fourth quarter while outgained by 74 yards while Purdue had to hold off a comeback bid from Illinois to reach 2-0.

                            Purdue trailed 27-13 in the fourth quarter last week and in all likelihood had the game with Wisconsin been played, the Boilermakers would be entering this game at 2-2 with lesser numbers and not likely sitting as a road favorite.

                            Purdue was actually -11 at Minnesota in November 2018 before losing 41-10 and has lost ATS the past three instances when laying points in Minneapolis.

                            Brohm was targeted by Louisville after back-to-back bowl seasons that included the 49-20 win over Ohio State in 2018. He opted to stay put and now finds himself at 19-22 in his career and looking to avoid a third straight losing season.

                            The offense has posted only 5.2 yards per play but has allowed only 5.4 yards per play as while the offense may be at a slight disadvantage in this game, the defense has been much more reliable than Minnesota’s defense.

                            Betting Analysis - Minnesota

                            2020: 1-3 S/U, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U

                            Fleck led a great turnaround in four years at Western Michigan going from 1-11 in 2013 to 13-1 in 2016. He appeared to be a year ahead of schedule after 5-7 and 7-6 seasons, breaking through to 11-2 last season for the Gophers.

                            Minnesota did have a few suspect results with three close games in non-conference play but the enthusiasm for the program climbed to heights not seen in decades, reaching a peak winning a November showdown with Penn State in a pairing of undefeated teams.

                            The Gophers would lose two of the final three Big Ten West games and Wisconsin represented the division in the Big Ten title game but a nice win over Auburn in the Outback Bowl capped off a great season.

                            Expectations were elevated for Fleck and the Gophers heading into 2020 particularly with a veteran offensive line along with Morgan, Bateman and running back Mohamed Ibrahim, who was a productive complement to Rodney Smith last season.

                            Minnesota is 1-3 however and the losses haven’t been particularly competitive. Minnesota has scored 116 points in four games but opponents have averaged nearly 36 points per game against the Gophers. The Gophers are allowing 7.8 yards per play to sit as one of the nation’s worst defenses statistically.

                            There has been a slight home field edge for the Gophers in the Fleck era with a 15-8 S/U mark having gone 12-11 ATS since he took over in 2017, though only 8-8 S/U & 8-8 ATS in Big Ten home games, now dropping each of the past three as home underdogs including both instances this season.

                            Historically Speaking

                            Head-to-Head


                            Minnesota has a 39-33 historical edge in this series including winning six of the past seven meetings.

                            Purdue has not won in Minneapolis in any of the past five trips, last winning at the Metrodome in 2007, as the Boilermakers have never won at TCF Bank Stadium.

                            Minnesota has scored at least 31 points in each of the past seven home meetings in this series.

                            Last Meeting - 2019 (Minnesota 38, Purdue 31)

                            Notable Betting Trends

                            -- Under Brohm, Purdue is 10-6 ATS on the road including covering in all four Big Ten road games last season.

                            -- Purdue is 6-11 ATS as a road favorite since 2007, with a 4-4 ATS mark under Brohm.

                            -- Minnesota is 5-5 ATS as a home underdog under Fleck, losing each of the past three instances.

                            -- Since 2018 Minnesota is 9-7 ATS when getting points in any venue, on a current 7-4 ATS run since October 2018.
                            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-20-2020, 01:26 PM.

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                            • #15
                              Washington State vs. Stanford canceled

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