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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Thur., Oct. 15 - Sat., Oct. 17)

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    Week 7


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, October 15 - Saturday, October 17

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    College Football Odds This Week: Opening Lines & Odds Movement
    Patrick Everson

    Najee Harris and No. 2 Alabama got all they could handle in Week 6 at Mississippi, and they now host No. 3 Georgia in Week 7. FanDuel Sportsbook has the Crimson Tide as 6.5-point favorites.

    College football odds for Week 7 are on the betting board and already getting action, highlighed by arguably the biggest game of the season so far. No. 2 Alabama plays host to No. 3 Georgia in a big Southeastern Conference battle

    FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 7 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

    College football Week 7 odds

    These are the current College football Week 7 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of October 12.



    Pittsburgh vs (12) Miami Odds

    Opening line

    Miami -9.5, Over/Under 52.5

    Why the line moved
    By Monday morning, Miami was already up a point and through a key number at FanDuel, moving from -9.5 to -10.5.


    (14) Auburn at South Carolina odds

    Opening line

    South Carolina +2.5, Over/Under 50.5

    Why the line moved
    Auburn has already made a few trips to -3.5 at FanDuel and seemed to stick there by Monday night. The Tigers are taking 88 percent of early tickets and 71 percent of early money on the spread.


    (6) North Carolina at Florida State odds

    Opening line

    Florida State +11.5, Over/Under 61.5

    Why the line moved
    This line fluctuated wildly in the early going at FanDuel, from North Carolina -11.5 to -8.5 within minutes, then rising all the way to -13.5 by Monday evening. Through Monday, the Tar Heels were seeing 79 percent of tickets and 73 percent of money.


    (1) Clemson at Georgia Tech odds

    Opening line
    Georgia Tech +26.5, Over/Under 59.5

    Why the line moved
    Save for a few minutes Sunday evening at -27.5, Clemson stuck on the opener of -26.5 at FanDuel. Not surprisingly, the Tigers were attracting 84 percent of bets/71 percent of money through Monday night.


    Kentucky at (17) Tennessee odds

    Opening line
    Tennessee -6.5, Over/Under 49.5

    Why the line moved
    The Vols dropped a point early at FanDuel, going from -6.5 to -5.5 Monday. Tennessee was drawing 67 percent of tickets and 59 percent of cash on the spread through Monday night. The total was also down a point to 48.5, with 65 percent of bets/90 percent of money on the Under.


    (11) Texas A&M at Mississippi State odds

    Opening line

    Mississippi State +5.5, Over/Under 54.5

    Why the line moved
    Coming off its upset win over Florida, Texas A&M moved from -5.5 to -6.5 early at FanDuel, but there's definitely interest in coach Mike Leach and Mississippi State. While the Aggies were attracting 87 percent of tickets through Monday night, the Bulldogs were getting 58 percent of money. And moneyline bettors also took early shots on the Bulldogs, who were landing 56 percent of bets/87 percent of money to win outright.


    (10) Cincinnati at Tulsa odds

    Opening line
    Tulsa +4.5, Over/Under 48.5

    Why the line moved
    Cincinnati dropped to -2.5 Monday at FanDuel, then rebounded to -3.5, getting almost all the early attention, at 94 percent of spread bets and 84 percent of spread cash. The total plunged from 48.5 to 45.5, with 71 percent of bets/88 percent of money on the Under, through Monday night.


    Louisville at (4) Notre Dame Odds

    Opening line
    Notre Dame -16, Over/Under 63.5

    Why the line moved
    Notre Dame was already up 1.5 points to 17.5 by Monday evening at FanDuel, getting 69 percent of tickets, but money is closer to two-way play. The Fighting Irish were landing 56 percent of early spread money The total is already up a point to 64.5, with ticket count running 2/1 and 71 percent of money on the Over.


    LSU at (9) Florida odds

    Opening line
    Florida -9.5, Over/Under 69.5

    Why the line moved
    Both these teams are coming off upset road losses, Florida to Texas A&M and LSU to Missouri. This line was another big early mover at FanDuel, with the Gators bolting all the way out to -15 before dialing down to -12.5 Monday night. Point-spread ticket count was dead even through Monday, but the underdog Tigers were drawing 68 percent of early dollars. The total leapt from 69.5 Sunday night to 73.5 Monday afternoon, with the Over grabbing 84 percent of tickets/92 percent of money.


    (3) Georgia at (2) Alabama odds

    Opening line
    Alabama -7.5, Over/Under 56.5

    Why the line moved
    It's the Game of the Day, no question, so it's rightly a prime-time matchup. The Crimson Tide went from -7.5 to -6.5 right away Sunday afternoon and actually dropped to -4.5 Sunday night at FanDuel, then crept back to -6.5 Monday.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-14-2020, 01:07 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Tech Trends - Week 7
      Bruce Marshall

      Week 7 of the College Football season kicks off on Wednesday, October 14 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

      We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

      Wednesday, Oct. 14

      COASTAL CAROLINA at UL LAFAYETTE (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)


      Note that ULL only 1-5 vs. line last six for Billy Napier since late 2019 (also no covers last 4 as chalk), all after 16-4-2 spread run prior.
      Teams have split last two years with road team winning and covering each.
      Chants actually 6-1 last seven as dog since early 2019.

      Tech Edge: Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on recent trends.


      Thursday, Oct. 15

      GEORGIA STATE at ARKANSAS STATE (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)


      GSU on 1-7-3 spread skid as road dog since 2018, though did win and cover at home vs. ASU in 2019.

      Tech Edge: Slight to Arkansas State, based on team trends.


      Friday, Oct. 16

      SMU at TULANE (ESPN, 6:00 p.m.)


      SMU has won outright last five meetings, covering four of those.
      Ponies 8-1 vs. spread in first five games of season since LY.
      Though Wave 5-0 as home dog since 2018.

      Tech Edge: Slight to SMU, based on series trends.


      BYU at HOUSTON (ESPN, 9:30 p.m.)

      UH finally on the board in 2020 with win over Tulane.
      Though BYU is 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line, it was 0-5 as visiting chalk LY before winning 2020 opener at Navy.

      Tech Edge: Slight to Houston, based on extended trends.


      Saturday, Oct. 17

      BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA TECH (ACC, 8:00 p.m.)


      BC is 3-0 as dog for Hafley, and Eagles now 17-5-1 as short since 2017.
      BC has won last two and covered last three in series.
      VPI has covered four straight in Blacksburg but had dropped 8 of previous 10 vs. spread at Lane Stadium.

      Tech Edge: BC, based on team and series trends.


      PITT at MIAMI-FLORIDA (ACC, 12:00 p.m.)

      Panthers were 4-1 vs. line as visitor in 2019, though failed on road last week at BC.
      Miami has won and covered last two and four of last five in series.
      Canes had won and covered first three in 2020 before running into Clemson.

      Tech Edge: Miami, based on series trends.


      SOUTH FLORIDA at TEMPLE (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)

      Owls were 6-1 vs. line at Linc last season in Carey debut, now 9-2 last 11 vs. points as host.

      Tech Edge: Temple, based on team trends.


      NAVY at EAST CAROLINA (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)

      Navy was 5-0 as chalk away from Annapolis in superb 2019, but already lost big in that role at AFA.
      Teams haven’t met every year lately, but Mids have won and covered big last three since 2015, including 42-10 romp LY.
      Pirates 2-0 as dog this season, 7-2 last nine in role for Mike Houston since early 2019.

      Tech Edge: Slight to Navy, based on team trends.


      DUKE at N.C. STATE (RSN, 2:30 p.m.)

      Cutcliffe only 5-5-1 as dog since 2019 but is 3-1 in role thus far in 2020, and recall 25-12-1 mark as short from 2013-18.
      These long-standing Tobacco Road rivals haven’t played since 2013!
      NCS is 3-1 vs. spread early in 2020 but still just 5-12 last 17 on board since late 2018.

      Tech Edge: Duke, based on extended trends.


      VIRGINIA at WAKE FOREST (ACC, 3:00 p.m.)

      Bronco Mendenhall on 18-12 spread uptick since 2018 (2-1 TY).
      Cavs also 5-3 last 8 vs. number as ACC visitor.
      Teams haven’t met since 2016.

      Tech Edge: Slight to Virginia, based on team trends..


      AUBURN at SOUTH CAROLINA (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)

      Muschamp 7-4-1 vs. line last 12 as SEC host.
      Gamecocks also 13-7 as dog since 2017.
      First meeting since 2014.

      Tech Edge: SC, based on team trends.


      NORTH CAROLINA at FLORIDA STATE (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

      UNC is 6-0 SU and 5-1 vs. line its last five dating to late 2019.
      Noles broke six-game spread skid at ND, but still on 14-26-2 skid vs. spread since 2017.
      First meeting since 2016.

      Tech Edge: UNC, based on team trends.


      KANSAS at WEST VIRGINIA (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)

      KU was destroyed in first three TY, now SU and spread skid at 5 since late 2019.
      Road team has actually covered last six in series, but Les Miles teams at LSU & KU now on 7-17 spread skid last 24 since late 2015.
      WVU had dropped last four vs. line as Big 12 host prior to Baylor win.

      Tech Edge: WVU, based on recent Miles marks.


      LIBERTY at SYRACUSE (RSN, 12:00 p.m.)

      Hugh Freeze 4-1 last five as dog with Liberty.
      Also 5-2 last seven vs. points away from Lynchburg.
      Babers only 4-8 last 12 on board since mid 2019.
      Orange did beat Flames in opener LY.

      Tech Edge: Liberty, based on recent trends.


      CLEMSON at GEORGIA TECH (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)

      Dabo is 10-2-1 vs. spread last 13 against ACC foes away from Death Valley.
      Clemson has won last five meetings, 4-0-1 vs. line in those vs. GT.
      Even after ‘Ville win, Collins just 2-7 vs. line at Bobby Dodd Stadium since LY.

      Tech Edge: Clemson, based on team and series trends.


      KENTUCKY at TENNESSEE (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)

      Earlier than usual on calendar for this border war.
      Remarkably, UK has only beaten UT twice since 17-12 win for Jerry Claiborne in 1984.
      Vols have covered 7 of last 8 meetings.
      UT saw 8-game SU win streak snapped at Georgia but still 8-3 last 11 on board.
      Mark Stoops was 8-4 as dog past two years before falling short vs. Auburn in opener.

      Tech Edge: Tennessee, based on series trends.


      TEXAS STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)

      USA on 8-3 spread uptick since mid 2019.
      Jags have covered last two meetings though Bobcats did win outright LY.

      Tech Edge: Slight to USA, based on recent trends.


      WESTERN KENTUCKY at UAB (FSN, 12:30 p.m.)

      WKU on 0-5-1 spread skid since late 2019.
      Tops however did win and cover last year vs. UAB, and WKU 6-4 as dog for Helton since LY (0-2 TY).
      Blazers only 1-3 vs. line early in 2020 but were 9-2-1 vs. spread at home vs. C-USA foes entering this season.

      Tech Edge: UAB, based on extended trends.


      OLE MISS at ARKANSAS (ESPN2, 2:30 p.m.)

      Lane Kiffin FAU & Ole Miss teams 12-5 vs. line since LY.
      Rebs also on 10-4-1 spread uptick since LY.
      Hogs had covered six straight in series prior to 2019 and have started 3-0 vs. line for Sam Pittman.

      Tech Edge: Slight to Arkansas, based on extended trends.


      TEXAS A&M at MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC, 3:00 p.m.)

      If Leach a dog note 15-9 mark last 24 in role dating to Wazzu days.
      MSU had won and covered three straight in series prior to 49-30 loss at A&M LY.

      Tech Edge: Mississippi State, especially if dog, based on recent trends.


      CINCINNATI at TULSA (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)

      Tulsa now on 6-2 spread uptick since mid 2019, including 5-1 last six as dog.
      Covered last year at Cincy. Bearcats only 3-6 last nine as chalk.

      Tech Edge: Tulsa, based on recent trends.


      UCF at MEMPHIS (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)

      UCF only 4-9 last 13 on board, though Ryan Silverfield now 0-3 vs. line as Memphis coach.
      Tigers also no covers last four at Liberty Bowl and lost last four outright to Knights (Memphis 1-2-1 vs line in those games, though teams didn’t play in 2019).

      Tech Edge: Slight to UCF, based on series trends.


      ARMY at UTSA (CBSSN, 1:30 p.m.)

      Improved Roadrunners 3-0 as dog TY and have actually covered 8 of last 9 in role.
      Army just 1-5 vs. spread last six away from West Point, though did win and cover 31-13 at Alamodome early LY.

      Tech Edge: UTSA, based on team trends.


      LOUISVILLE at NOTRE DAME (NBC, 2:30 p.m.)

      No covers last 3 in 2020 (0-2-1) now for ‘Ville after GT loss.
      Satterfield 4-5-1 as dog with Cards though did cover in opener last year vs. ND.
      Irish 10-5 last 15 vs. spread since early 2019, and 7-4 last 11 as South Bend chalk.

      Tech Edge: Notre Dame, based on recent trends.


      LSU at FLORIDA (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)

      Note Orgeron is 8-1 as dog since 2017, he’s also 2-2 SU vs. Gators.
      Dan Mullen had covered 7 straight in Gainesville prior to non-cover vs. South Carolina.

      Tech Edge: Slight to LSU, based on team trends.


      NORTH TEXAS at MIDDLE TENNESSEE (FSN, 4:00 p.m.)

      After Charlotte loss, UNT now on 5-20 spread skid since early 2018.
      Also no covers last nine as C-USA visitor.
      Stockstill 6-2 vs. spread last eight as C-USA host.

      Tech Edge: MTSU, based on team trends.


      FIU at CHARLOTTE (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m.)

      Charlotte favored here, but 49ers have been better lately in dog role (5-1 last six).
      FIU just 3-4 as dog since LY but was 6-1 previous 7 in role for Butch Davis.
      Panthers have won five straight in series but have only covered last two meetings.

      Tech Edge: Slight to FIU, based on team trends.


      MARSHALL at LA TECH (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)

      Note Skip Holtz 20-9 mark in dog role since arriving at Ruston in 2014 (1-1 TY).
      Herd has covered first three this season after 4-9 mark vs. points in 2019.

      Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team trends.


      GEORGIA at ALABAMA (CBS, 8:00 p.m.)

      Kirby Smart had covered five straight as a dog prior to losing SEC title game vs. LSU last December.
      Dawgs 7-2 vs. line last 9 vs. SEC foes away from Athens.
      Saban only 2-3 vs. spread last five vs. SEC at Bryant-Denny.
      These two haven’t met in reg season since 2015, though have faced in FCS title and SEC title games in recent years.

      Tech Edge: Georgia, based on team trends.


      SOUTHERN MISS at UTEP (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)

      USM had dropped six in a row SU and vs. line before UNT win.
      Golden Eagles have won last five in series, covered 3 in a row from 2016-18.
      UTEP off to 3-2 SU break from gate (that’s good for Miners!) though just 1-6 vs. spread last 7 at Sun Bowl as C-USA host.

      Tech Edge: Slight to USM, based on series trends.


      UMASS at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)

      UMass opener! Minutemen 0-5-1 as road dog LY in midst of overall 2-9-1 spread effort.
      GSU is 7-2 last 9 as Statesboro chalk.

      Tech Edge: GSU, based on team trends.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-14-2020, 01:09 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        105GEORGIA ST -106 ARKANSAS ST
        GEORGIA ST is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.

        107SMU -108 TULANE
        TULANE is 11-33 ATS (-25.3 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game since 1992.

        109BYU -110 HOUSTON
        HOUSTON is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

        111BOSTON COLLEGE -112 VIRGINIA TECH
        VIRGINIA TECH is 31-15 ATS (14.5 Units) after a game where they forced no turnovers since 1992.

        113PITTSBURGH -114 MIAMI
        PITTSBURGH is 28-12 ATS (14.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

        115S FLORIDA -116 TEMPLE
        S FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.

        117NAVY -118 E CAROLINA
        E CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

        119DUKE -120 NC STATE
        NC STATE is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) off road conference win since 1992.

        121VIRGINIA -122 WAKE FOREST
        VIRGINIA is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game since 1992.

        123AUBURN -124 S CAROLINA
        S CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival since 1992.

        125N CAROLINA -126 FLORIDA ST
        FLORIDA ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better in the last 3 seasons.

        127KANSAS -128 W VIRGINIA
        KANSAS are 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) versus excellent defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game since 1992.

        129LIBERTY -130 SYRACUSE
        LIBERTY is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1992.

        131CLEMSON -132 GEORGIA TECH
        GEORGIA TECH is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog since 1992.

        133KENTUCKY -134 TENNESSEE
        TENNESSEE is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games vs good rushing def. (<120 RYG) since 1992.

        135TEXAS ST -136 S ALABAMA
        S ALABAMA is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse since 1992.

        137W KENTUCKY -138 UAB
        UAB is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

        139OLE MISS -140 ARKANSAS
        OLE MISS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

        143TEXAS A&M -144 MISSISSIPPI ST
        TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

        145OKLAHOMA ST -146 BAYLOR
        OKLAHOMA ST is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1992.

        147CINCINNATI -148 TULSA
        CINCINNATI is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in road games after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992.

        149UCF -150 MEMPHIS
        MEMPHIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival since 1992.

        151ARMY -152 UTSA
        ARMY is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored since 1992.

        153LOUISVILLE -154 NOTRE DAME
        LOUISVILLE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals in the last 3 seasons.

        155LSU -156 FLORIDA
        FLORIDA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games after a close loss (<=6 pts) since 1992.

        155LSU -156 FLORIDA
        FLORIDA is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in home games vs poor rushing teams (<120 RYG) since 1992.

        157NORTH TEXAS -158 MIDDLE TENN ST
        NORTH TEXAS are 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

        159FLA INTERNATIONAL -160 CHARLOTTE
        FLA INTERNATIONAL is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) after 2 straight overs since 1992.

        161MARSHALL -162 LOUISIANA TECH
        MARSHALL is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.

        163VANDERBILT -164 MISSOURI
        VANDERBILT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

        165GEORGIA -166 ALABAMA
        GEORGIA is 74-45 ATS (24.5 Units) in road games vs. winning teams since 1992.

        167SOUTHERN MISS -168 UTEP
        UTEP is 18-41 ATS (-27.1 Units) vs terrible teams (<25%) since 1992.

        169COASTAL CAROLINA -170 LA LAFAYETTE
        LA LAFAYETTE is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse since 1992.

        173MASSACHUSETTS -174 GA SOUTHERN
        MASSACHUSETTS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-14-2020, 01:11 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF
          Dunkel

          Week 7


          Wednesday, October 14

          Coastal Carolina @ LA-Lafayette

          Game 169-170
          October 14, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Coastal Carolina
          81.856
          LA-Lafayette
          94.646
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          LA-Lafayette
          by 13
          67
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          LA-Lafayette
          by 7
          56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          LA-Lafayette
          (-7); Over


          Thursday, October 15

          Georgia State @ Arkansas St


          Game 105-106
          October 15, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Georgia State
          71.337
          Arkansas St
          83.900
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Arkansas St
          by 12
          77
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Arkansas St
          by 5
          72 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Arkansas St
          (-5); Over


          Friday October 16

          SMU @ Tulane


          Game 107-108
          October 16, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          SMU
          91.796
          Tulane
          80.192
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          SMU
          by 11 1/2
          66
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          SMU
          by 6 1/2
          68
          Dunkel Pick:
          SMU
          (-6 1/2); Under

          Brigham Young @ Houston


          Game 109-110
          October 16, 2020 @ 9:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Brigham Young
          95.331
          Houston
          94.192
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Brigham Young
          by 1
          74
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Brigham Young
          by 4 1/2
          61 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Houston
          (+4 1/2); Over


          Saturday, October 17

          Kentucky @ Tennessee


          Game 133-134
          October 17, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Kentucky
          93.452
          Tennessee
          101.030
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Tennessee
          by 7 1/2
          53
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Tennessee
          by 5 1/2
          49 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Tennessee
          (-5 1/2); Over

          Clemson @ Georgia Tech


          Game 147-148
          October 17, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Clemson
          112.307
          Georgia Tech
          87.239
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Clemson
          by 25
          63
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Clemson
          by 27
          60
          Dunkel Pick:
          Georgia Tech
          (+27); Over

          Kansas @ West Virginia


          Game 127-128
          October 17, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Kansas
          68.285
          West Virginia
          97.880
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          West Virginia
          by 29 1/2
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          West Virginia
          by 22 1/2
          51
          Dunkel Pick:
          West Virginia
          (-22 1/2); Over

          Pittsburgh @ Miami-FL


          Game 113-114
          October 17, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Pittsburgh
          89.850
          Miami-FL
          89.850
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Pittsburgh
          Even
          50
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Miami-FL
          by 9 1/2
          52
          Dunkel Pick:
          Pittsburgh
          (+9 1/2); Under

          Liberty @ Syracuse


          Game 129-130
          October 17, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Liberty
          78.281
          Syracuse
          78.852
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Syracuse
          by 1
          51
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Liberty
          by 3
          56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Syracuse
          (+3); Under

          Navy @ East Carolina


          Game 117-118
          October 17, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Navy
          82.517
          East Carolina
          70.903
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Navy
          by 11 1/2
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Navy
          by 2 1/2
          61
          Dunkel Pick:
          Navy
          (-2 1/2); Under

          South Florida @ Temple


          Game 115-116
          October 17, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          South Florida
          62.927
          Temple
          81.305
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Temple
          by 18 1/2
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Temple
          by 10
          52 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Temple
          (-10); Over

          Cincinnati @ Tulsa


          Game 147-148
          October 17, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Cincinnati
          96.914
          Tulsa
          90.499
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Cincinnati
          by 6 1/2
          44
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Cincinnati
          by 4
          49
          Dunkel Pick:
          Cincinnati
          (-4); Under

          Texas State @ South Alabama


          Game 135-136
          October 17, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas State
          72.340
          South Alabama
          61.968
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Texas State
          by 10 1/2
          53
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          South Alabama
          by 2 1/2
          57
          Dunkel Pick:
          Texas State
          (+2 1/2); Under

          Auburn @ South Carolina


          Game 123-124
          October 17, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Auburn
          101.832
          South Carolina
          93.394
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Auburn
          by 8 1/2
          52
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Auburn
          by 3
          50
          Dunkel Pick:
          Auburn
          (-3); Over

          Western Kentucky @ UAB


          Game 137-138
          October 17, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Western Kentucky
          69.008
          UAB
          86.901
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          UAB
          by 18
          49
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          UAB
          by 12
          44 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          UAB
          (-12); Over

          Army @ TX-San Antonio


          Game 151-152
          October 17, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Army
          79.465
          TX-San Antonio
          74.862
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Army
          by 4 1/2
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Army
          by 7 1/2
          51 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          TX-San Antonio
          (+7 1/2); Over

          Jacksonville St @ North Alabama


          Game 000-000
          October 17, 2020 @ 2:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Jacksonville St
          55.141
          North Alabama
          49.775
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Jacksonville St
          by 5 1/2
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Jacksonville St
          No Line
          N/A
          Dunkel Pick:
          Jacksonville St
          N/A

          Central Arkansas @ Missouri St

          Game 000-000
          October 17, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Central Arkansas
          61.458
          Missouri St
          59.818
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Central Arkansas
          by 1 1/2
          65
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Central Arkansas
          No Line
          N/A
          Dunkel Pick:
          Central Arkansas
          N/A

          Louisville @ Notre Dame

          Game 153-154
          October 17, 2020 @ 2:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Louisville
          84.390
          Notre Dame
          97.870
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Notre Dame
          by 13 1/2
          56
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Notre Dame
          by 16
          63 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Louisville
          (+16); Under

          LSU @ Florida


          Game 155-156
          October 17, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LSU
          95.251
          Florida
          111.969
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Florida
          by 16 1/2
          72
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida
          by 14
          68
          Dunkel Pick:
          Florida
          (-14); Over

          Mississippi @ Arkansas


          Game 139-140
          October 17, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Mississippi
          96.137
          Arkansas
          88.837
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Mississippi
          by 7 1/2
          51
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Mississippi
          by 3 1/2
          76
          Dunkel Pick:
          Mississippi
          (-3 1/2); Under

          Duke @ NC State


          Game 119-120
          October 17, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Duke
          85.108
          NC State
          92.373
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          NC State
          by 7 1/2
          65
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          NC State
          by 3 1/2
          62 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          NC State
          (-3 1/2); Over

          Central Florida @ Memphis


          Game 149-150
          October 17, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Central Florida
          95.549
          Memphis
          88.127
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Central Florida
          by 7 1/2
          77
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Central Florida
          by 2 1/2
          74 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Central Florida
          (-2 1/2); Over

          Eastern Kentucky @ Troy


          Game 171-172
          October 17, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Eastern Kentucky
          59.665
          Troy
          80.170
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Troy
          by 20 1/2
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Troy
          by 27 1/2
          60
          Dunkel Pick:
          Eastern Kentucky
          (+27 1/2); Under

          Texas A&M @ Mississippi St


          Game 143-144
          October 17, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas A&M
          92.234
          Mississippi St
          93.969
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Mississippi St
          by 1 1/2
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Texas A&M
          by 6 1/2
          54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Mississippi St
          (+6 1/2); Over

          Virginia @ Wake Forest


          Game 121-122
          October 17, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Virginia
          90.221
          Wake Forest
          80.338
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Virginia
          by 10
          61
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Virginia
          by 2 1/2
          64
          Dunkel Pick:
          Virginia
          (-2 1/2); Under

          Massachusetts @ Georgia Southern


          Game 173-174
          October 17, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Massachusetts
          46.505
          Georgia Southern
          73.181
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia Southern
          by 26 1/2
          72
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Georgia Southern
          by 28
          61 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Massachusetts
          (+28); Over

          North Texas @ Middle Tennessee St


          Game 157-158
          October 17, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          North Texas
          59.237
          Middle Tennessee
          68.291
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Middle Tennessee
          by 9
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Middle Tennessee
          by 6 1/2
          67 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Middle Tennessee
          (-6 1/2); Under

          Marshall @ Louisiana Tech


          Game 161-162
          October 17, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Marshall
          92.730
          Louisiana Tech
          76.720
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Marshall
          by 16
          48
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Marshall
          by 13
          53 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Marshall
          (-13); Under

          North Carolina @ Florida State


          Game 125-126
          October 17, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          North Carolina
          92.011
          Florida State
          84.626
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          North Carolina
          by 7 1/2
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          North Carolina
          by 10
          62 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Florida State
          (+10); Under

          Vanderbilt @ Missouri


          Game 163-164
          October 17, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Vanderbilt
          78.845
          Missouri
          89.335
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Missouri
          by 10 1/2
          44
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Missouri
          by 18 1/2
          49
          Dunkel Pick:
          Vanderbilt
          (+18 1/2); Under

          Southern Miss @ UTEP


          Game 167-168
          October 17, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Southern Miss
          67.913
          UTEP
          69.373
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          UTEP
          by 1 1/2
          41
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Southern Miss
          by 4
          54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          UTEP
          (+4); Under

          Georgia @ Alabama


          Game 165-166
          October 17, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Georgia
          114.768
          Alabama
          112.694
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia
          by 2
          82
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Alabama
          by 5
          56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Georgia
          (+5); Over

          Boston College @ Virginia Tech


          Game 111-112
          October 17, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Boston College
          87.584
          Virginia Tech
          91.320
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Virginia Tech
          by 4
          51
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Virginia Tech
          by 10 1/2
          59 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Boston College
          (+10 1/2); Under

          FIU @ Charlotte


          Game 159-160
          October 17, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          FIU
          73.805
          Charlotte
          75.825
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Charlotte
          by 2
          60
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Charlotte
          by 6 1/2
          57 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          FIU
          (+6 1/2); Over
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-14-2020, 01:12 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF
            Long Sheet


            Thursday, October 15

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            GEORGIA ST (1 - 1) at ARKANSAS ST (2 - 2) - 10/15/2020, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            GEORGIA ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
            GEORGIA ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
            ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Friday, October 16

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SMU (4 - 0) at TULANE (2 - 2) - 10/16/2020, 6:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SMU is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
            TULANE is 99-132 ATS (-46.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SMU is 2-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
            SMU is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BYU (4 - 0) at HOUSTON (1 - 0) - 10/16/2020, 9:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Saturday, October 17

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 8:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
            BOSTON COLLEGE is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
            BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) at MIAMI (3 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
            MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            S FLORIDA (1 - 3) at TEMPLE (0 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            TEMPLE is 112-81 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            TEMPLE is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
            TEMPLE is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TEMPLE is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
            TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NAVY (2 - 2) at E CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NAVY is 185-136 ATS (+35.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
            NAVY is 185-136 ATS (+35.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            NAVY is 87-48 ATS (+34.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
            NAVY is 87-48 ATS (+34.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
            NAVY is 57-31 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            NAVY is 167-121 ATS (+33.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
            NAVY is 117-77 ATS (+32.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            NAVY is 77-42 ATS (+30.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
            NAVY is 43-19 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
            NAVY is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            NAVY is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DUKE (1 - 4) at NC STATE (3 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 3:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            VIRGINIA (1 - 2) at WAKE FOREST (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 4:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            WAKE FOREST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            AUBURN (2 - 1) at S CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            N CAROLINA (3 - 0) at FLORIDA ST (1 - 3) - 10/17/2020, 7:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            FLORIDA ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            FLORIDA ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            KANSAS (0 - 3) at W VIRGINIA (2 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            KANSAS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
            KANSAS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            KANSAS is 88-124 ATS (-48.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
            KANSAS is 53-85 ATS (-40.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
            KANSAS is 53-85 ATS (-40.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
            KANSAS is 98-130 ATS (-45.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            KANSAS is 127-167 ATS (-56.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
            KANSAS is 90-124 ATS (-46.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
            KANSAS is 63-92 ATS (-38.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
            KANSAS is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
            KANSAS is 61-90 ATS (-38.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
            W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LIBERTY (3 - 0) at SYRACUSE (1 - 3) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LIBERTY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
            LIBERTY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            LIBERTY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
            SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CLEMSON (4 - 0) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CLEMSON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEMSON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEMSON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
            GEORGIA TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
            CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            KENTUCKY (1 - 2) at TENNESSEE (2 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            KENTUCKY is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
            TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TEXAS ST (1 - 4) at S ALABAMA (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            S ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
            S ALABAMA is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            W KENTUCKY (1 - 3) at UAB (3 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 1:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            UAB is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
            UAB is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            UAB is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after a bye week since 1992.
            UAB is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
            W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            OLE MISS (1 - 2) at ARKANSAS (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 3:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
            OLE MISS is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TEXAS A&M (2 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 4:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            TEXAS A&M is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
            MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
            MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 0) at BAYLOR (1 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            OKLAHOMA ST is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
            OKLAHOMA ST is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
            BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CINCINNATI (3 - 0) at TULSA (1 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 12:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
            CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            UCF (2 - 1) at MEMPHIS (1 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 3:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MEMPHIS is 1-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
            UCF is 2-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ARMY (4 - 1) at UTSA (3 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 1:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
            ARMY is 1-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
            0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LOUISVILLE (1 - 3) at NOTRE DAME (3 - 0) - 10/17/2020, 2:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LOUISVILLE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
            LOUISVILLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
            NOTRE DAME is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
            NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LSU (1 - 2) at FLORIDA (2 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 3:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LSU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
            FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NORTH TEXAS (1 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 4) - 10/17/2020, 5:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NORTH TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
            NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 8:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
            FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MARSHALL (3 - 0) at LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 6:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MARSHALL is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
            MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            VANDERBILT (0 - 3) at MISSOURI (1 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            VANDERBILT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            VANDERBILT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            VANDERBILT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
            VANDERBILT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            VANDERBILT is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
            VANDERBILT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
            VANDERBILT is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
            VANDERBILT is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            VANDERBILT is 2-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
            MISSOURI is 1-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            GEORGIA (3 - 0) at ALABAMA (3 - 0) - 10/17/2020, 8:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            GEORGIA is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
            GEORGIA is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
            GEORGIA is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
            ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 3) at UTEP (3 - 2) - 10/17/2020, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            UTEP is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
            UTEP is 139-175 ATS (-53.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
            UTEP is 139-175 ATS (-53.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
            UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
            UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
            UTEP is 42-68 ATS (-32.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
            SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 0) at GA SOUTHERN (2 - 1) - 10/17/2020, 4:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MASSACHUSETTS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            MASSACHUSETTS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
            MASSACHUSETTS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
            MASSACHUSETTS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
            MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
            GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-14-2020, 01:13 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAF

              Week 7


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Thursday, October 15

              Georgia State @ Arkansas State
              Georgia State
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games when playing Arkansas State
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games
              Arkansas State
              Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Georgia State
              Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


              Friday, October 16

              Southern Methodist @ Tulane
              Southern Methodist
              Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulane
              Southern Methodist is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tulane
              Tulane
              Tulane is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
              Tulane is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

              Brigham Young @ Houston
              Brigham Young
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brigham Young's last 6 games on the road
              Brigham Young is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
              Houston
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
              Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games


              Saturday, October 17

              Kentucky @ Tennessee
              Kentucky
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
              Tennessee
              Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

              Clemson @ Georgia Tech
              Clemson
              Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
              Clemson is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
              Georgia Tech
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games at home

              Kansas @ West Virginia
              Kansas
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games on the road
              West Virginia
              West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of West Virginia's last 8 games

              Pittsburgh @ Miami-FL
              Pittsburgh
              The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games on the road
              Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              Miami-FL
              Miami-FL is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh
              Miami-FL is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

              Liberty @ Syracuse
              Liberty
              Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Liberty is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
              Syracuse
              Syracuse is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 7 games

              Navy @ East Carolina
              Navy
              Navy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing East Carolina
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Navy's last 7 games when playing East Carolina
              East Carolina
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of East Carolina's last 8 games
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games when playing Navy

              South Florida @ Temple
              South Florida
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Florida's last 7 games
              South Florida is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
              Temple
              Temple is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
              Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

              Cincinnati @ Tulsa
              Cincinnati
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
              Cincinnati is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
              Tulsa
              Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games

              Texas State @ South Alabama
              Texas State
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 5 games on the road
              Texas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
              South Alabama
              South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
              South Alabama is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

              Auburn @ South Carolina
              Auburn
              Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Auburn's last 6 games when playing South Carolina
              South Carolina
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 6 games when playing Auburn
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games at home

              Western Kentucky @ Alabama-Birmingham
              Western Kentucky
              Western Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              Western Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
              Alabama-Birmingham
              Alabama-Birmingham is 21-1 SU in its last 22 games at home
              Alabama-Birmingham is 17-5-1 ATS in its last 23 games at home

              Army @ Texas-San Antonio
              Army
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Army's last 8 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Army's last 5 games
              Texas-San Antonio
              Texas-San Antonio is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 10 games

              Louisville @ Notre Dame
              Louisville
              The total has gone OVER in 8 of Louisville's last 9 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 6 games on the road
              Notre Dame
              Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

              Louisiana State @ Florida
              Louisiana State
              Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              Louisiana State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games
              Florida
              Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Florida is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

              Mississippi @ Arkansas
              Mississippi
              Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arkansas
              Arkansas
              Arkansas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Mississippi
              Arkansas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Mississippi

              Duke @ North Carolina State
              Duke
              Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
              Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State
              North Carolina State
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 7 games
              North Carolina State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Duke

              Central Florida @ Memphis
              Central Florida
              Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
              Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
              Memphis
              Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games

              Eastern Kentucky @ Troy
              Eastern Kentucky
              Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
              Troy
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games
              Troy is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

              Texas A&M @ Mississippi State
              Texas A&M
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games on the road
              Mississippi State
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games at home
              Mississippi State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas A&M

              Virginia @ Wake Forest
              Virginia
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games
              Virginia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
              Wake Forest
              Wake Forest is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Virginia
              Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

              Massachusetts @ Georgia Southern
              Massachusetts
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 6 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 7 games on the road
              Georgia Southern
              Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games

              North Texas @ Middle Tennessee
              North Texas
              The total has gone UNDER in 13 of North Texas's last 16 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games
              Middle Tennessee
              Middle Tennessee is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
              Middle Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

              Marshall @ Louisiana Tech
              Marshall
              Marshall is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games on the road
              Louisiana Tech
              Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              Louisiana Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

              North Carolina @ Florida State
              North Carolina
              North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              North Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida State
              Florida State
              Florida State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing North Carolina
              Florida State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

              Vanderbilt @ Missouri
              Vanderbilt
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Missouri
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vanderbilt's last 11 games
              Missouri
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Missouri's last 8 games

              Oklahoma State @ Baylor
              Oklahoma State
              Oklahoma State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma State's last 7 games
              Baylor
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baylor's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
              Baylor is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma State

              Southern Miss @ Texas El Paso
              Southern Miss
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 5 games on the road
              Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
              Texas El Paso
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games when playing Southern Miss
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games at home

              Georgia @ Alabama
              Georgia
              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Georgia's last 11 games
              Georgia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
              Alabama
              Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia
              Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

              Boston College @ Virginia Tech
              Boston College
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games on the road
              Virginia Tech
              Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games

              Florida International @ Charlotte
              Florida International
              Florida International is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
              Charlotte
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Florida International


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-14-2020, 01:15 AM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAF
                Armadillo's Write-up

                Week 7


                Wednesday’s game
                Coastal Carolina (3-0) @ Louisiana (3-0)

                — Coastal scored 38-52 points in its I-A wins over Kansas/Arkansas State.
                — Chanticleers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                — Coastal has 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Coastal has a redshirt freshman QB with 3 career starts.
                — Chanticleers are 6-1 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog.

                — Louisiana won its first two Sun Belt games by total of 5 points; they also pulled a 31-14 upset at Iowa State.
                — Under Napier, ULL is 6-5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
                — Ragin’ Cajuns have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — ULL has 101 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Cajuns have a senior QB with 20 career starts.

                — Road team with both series games; Coastal (+3.5) won 30-28 in its visit here.

                Thursday’s game
                Georgia State (1-1) @ Arkansas State (2-2)

                — Georgia State split its first two games, losing in OT at Louisiana.
                — This is the Panthers’ first road game this season.
                — GSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Panthers have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Georgia State’s redshirt freshman QB has started twice.
                — Panthers are 2-6-3 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.

                — Arkansas State is already playing its 5th game; they’re 1-2 vs I-A teams.
                — Red Wolves gave up 227-217 rushing yards in their losses to Coastal Carolina, Memphis- they pulled an upset at Kansas State.
                — ASU has 9 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                — Red Wolves have 128 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — ASU’s plays two QB’s, who have a combined 17 starts.
                — Under Anderson, Red Wolves are 18-12 ATS as a home favorite.

                — Arkansas State won five of last six series games, but lost 52-38 to GSU last year- Panthers ran the ball for 340 yards, had 722 total yards.
                — Panthers lost last three visits to Jonesboro, by 16-14-2 points.

                Friday’s games
                SMU (4-0) @ Tulane (2-2)

                — SMU scored 42 ppg in winning its three games vs I-A opponents.
                — Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                — SMU has 92 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Mustangs’ senior QB has started 33 games.
                — SMU is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games as a road favorite.

                — Tulane split its first four games; they blew a 24-0 lead in one of their losses.
                — Green Wave’s last three games went over the total.
                — Tulane had a +5 turnover ratio LW, still lost 49-31 in Houston.
                — Tulane has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Green Wave has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Tulane’s senior QB has started 13 games.
                — Green Wave covered its last five games as a home underdog.

                — SMU won five in row, eight of last nine series games, with three of last four wins by 4 or fewer points.
                — Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
                — SMU won three of last four visits here, last two by 27-23/35-31 scores.

                BYU (4-0) @ Houston (1-0)
                — BYU won its first four games, scoring an average of 43.8 ppg.
                — BYU has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — BYU has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — BYU’s junior QB has started 20 games.
                — Under Sitake, BYU is 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.

                — Houston beat Tulane 49-31 in its opener LW, despite its minus-5 turnover ratio.
                — Houston has 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                — Houston has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Houston’s junior QB has started 10 games.
                — Houston is 1-3 ATS in last four games as a home underdog.

                — BYU won last two series games, 33-25/47-46; Houston covered both games, which were back in 2013-14.

                13 of Saturday’s best games
                Boston College (3-1) @ Virginia Tech (2-1)

                — BC won three of its first four games; their last three games were decided by a total of 8 points.
                — Eagles won their only road game 26-6 at Duke.
                — Bulldogs have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                — MSU has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — BC’s QB is a Notre Dame transfer with four starts.
                — Eagles covered eight of last ten games as a road underdog.

                — Virginia Tech ran ball for 299.3 yards/game in its 2-1 start.
                — Hokies gave up 399 YR in their 56-45 loss at North Carolina LW.
                — Hokies have 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
                — Tech has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Hokies’ junior QB has started 8 games; he’s completed only 23-50 passes this year.
                — Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite.

                — Boston College won last two meetings, 35-28/31-21.
                — Teams split last two meetings in Blacksburg.

                Pittsburgh (3-2) @ Miami (1-2)
                — Pitt lost last two games by one point each, after a 3-0 start.
                — Panthers allowed 794 passing yards the last two games.
                — Pitt has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Panthers have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Pitt has a senior QB who has started 32 games
                — Panthers are 14-7 ATS in last 21 games as a road dog.

                — Miami is 3-1 already, but got waxed 42-17 at Clemson last week.
                — Hurricanes’ three wins are all by 13+ points.
                — Hurricanes have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Miami has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Miami’s senior QB has started 23 games, 19 now them at Houston.
                — Miami is 8-6 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

                — Miami won 12 of last 14 series games, winning 24-3/16-12 last two years.
                — Panthers lost five of last six visits here, losing 24-3/51-28 in last two.

                Duke (1-4) @ NC State (3-1)
                — Duke won at Syracuse LW, their first win in five games this year.
                — Three of Duke’s four losses are by 14+ points.
                — Blue Devils have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Duke has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Duke has a junior QB with five career starts.
                — Blue Devils are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.

                — NC State won three of first four games; their last three games were on road.
                — Wolfpack scored 30+ points in all three of their wins.
                — State has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Wolfpack has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — State’s soph QB has started nine games.
                — Wolfpack is 8-10 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

                — Duke won last two series games, 38-20/49-28.
                — Blue Devils lost three of last four visits to Raleigh- their last win here was in ‘09.

                Virginia (1-2) @ Wake Forest (1-2)
                — Virginia allowed 41-38 points in losing its last two games.
                — Average total in Virginia’s games: 60.3.
                — Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Virginia has 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Virginia changed QB’s during game LW; this will be Stone’s career start- he was 30-54/240 yards with three TD’s last week vs NC State.
                — Under Mendenhall, Virginia is 2-2 ATS as a road favorite.

                — Wake Forest allowed 37-45 points in losing its two ACC games; they beat a I-AA chump in their last game.
                — Deacons have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Virginia has 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Wake’s sophomore QB has started 12 games.
                — Deacons are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog.

                — Wake Forest (-3) won last series games 27-20, four years ago.

                Auburn (2-1) @ South Carolina (1-2)
                — Auburn won two of its first three games; they allowed 879 yards in last two games.
                — Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Auburn has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Tigers have a soph QB who has started 11 games.
                — Auburn is 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.

                — South Carolina hammered Vandy LW, after losing first two games.
                — Gamecocks allowed total of only 156 YR in last two games.
                — Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                — Gamecocks have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Carolina’s senior QB came with the new OC from Colorado State.
                — Gamecocks are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

                — These teams have not met in the last five years.

                North Carolina (3-0) @ Florida State (1-3)
                — North Carolina won its first three games, scoring 37.7 ppg.
                — Tar Heels allowed 260 YR in its 56-45 win over Va Tech last week.
                — Tar Heels have 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — UNC has a soph QB with 16 career starts.
                — Tar Heels are 8-5 ATS as a road favorite.

                — Seminoles are 0-3 vs I-A opponents, giving up 36.7 ppg.
                — FSU gave up 353 rushing yards in its 42-26 loss at Notre Dame LW.
                — Seminoles have 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
                — Florida State has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — FSU’s junior QB has started 26 games.
                — Seminoles are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

                — UNC (+10.5) upset Florida State 37-35 in last meeting, in 2016.

                Liberty (4-0) @ Syracuse (1-3)
                — Liberty is 3-0 vs I-A teams this year, scoring 30-36-40 points.
                — All three of their I-A games went over the total.
                — Flames have 5 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
                — Liberty has 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Flames have junior QB who was at Auburn for two years; he has four career starts.
                — Liberty is 2-2 ATS as a road favorite.

                — Syracuse lost three of first four games; they gave up 638 YR in last two games.
                — Orangemen have 7 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
                — Syracuse has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — SU’s junior QB has 12 career starts.
                — Syracuse is 6-8 ATS in its last 14 games as a home underdog

                — Syracuse was 19-point favorite at Liberty LY; they blanked the Flames, 24-0.

                Kentucky (1-2) @ Tennessee (2-1)
                — Kentucky beat Miss State 24-2 LW, after giving up 71 points in first two games.
                — Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Kentucky has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Kentucky’s senior QB has 18 career starts.
                — Wildcats are 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.

                — Tennessee lost 44-21 at Georgia LW, snapping its 8-game win streak.
                — Volunteers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Vols’ senior QB has started 28 games.
                — Tennessee is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

                — Tennessee won 21 of last 23 series games.
                — Kentucky lost its last 11 visits to Knoxville (1-5 ATS in last six)
                — Underdogs covered last four series games.

                Ole Miss (1-2) @ Arkansas (2-1)
                — Ole Miss lost two of first three games, giving up 51.7 ppg.
                — All three Rebel games went over the total.
                — Ole Miss has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Rebels have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Ole Miss has a sophomore QB with 7 career starts.
                — Last 4+ years, Rebels are 0-4 ATS as a road favorite.

                — Arkansas is 1-2 this year; they lost 21 of last 22 SEC games, but appear to be improved with Florida transfer Franks at QB.
                — Razorbacks have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                — ISU has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Razorbacks’ senior QB has started 27 games, 24 of them at Florida.
                — Arkansas is 4-4 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

                — Underdogs covered seven of last eight series games.
                — Ole Miss won last two meetings, 31-17/37-33.
                — Underdogs covered last four series games played here.

                Texas A&M (2-1) @ Mississippi State (1-2)
                — Texas A&M won 2 of first 3 games; their wins are by total of eight points.
                — Aggies has 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                — A&M has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Aggies have a senior QB with 37 career starts.
                — Texas A&M is 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.

                — Mississippi State lost last two games, scoring total of 16 points- they changed QB’s twice in their 24-2 loss at Kentucky LW.
                — Bulldogs have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — MSU has 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Bulldogs have a senior QB with 28 career starts, 25 at Stanford.
                — MSU is 4-3 ATS in its last seven games as a home underdog.

                — Miss State won three of last four series games.
                — Home side won six of last seven series games; favorites covered five of last six.
                — Aggies lost last three visits to Starkville, by 15-7-17 points.

                Cincinnati (3-0) @ Tulsa (1-1)
                — First road game for Cincy squad that allowed total of 17 points in beating, Army, USF in its two I-A games.
                — Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                — Cincy has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Bearcats have a junior QB who has started 28 games.
                — Cincinnati is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite.

                — Tulsa split its first two (road) games (7-16 at Okla State, 34-26 at South Florida)
                — Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
                — Tulsahas 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Tulsa’s senior QB has 24 career starts.
                — Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as a home underdog.

                — Home side won all four series games, with Cincy going 3-1- they lost 40-37 (+22) in last visit here, four years ago.

                Central Florida (2-1) @ Memphis (1-1)
                — Central Florida won two of first three games, scoring 42 ppg.
                — Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — UCF has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Gators have a sophomore QB with 15 career starts.
                — UCF is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite.

                — Memphis split its first two games; they’ve played once in last five weeks.
                — Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Memphis has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Tigers’ senior QB has started 30 games.
                — Since 2012, Memphis is 9-4 ATS as a road favorite.

                — UCF is 13-0 SU vs Memphis, 3-4-1 ATS in last eight.
                — Knights are 4-0 SU, 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
                — Average total in last four series games: 81.3.

                Georgia (3-0) @ Alabama (1-1)
                Line dropped 3 points when it was announced that Nick Saban has COVID
                — Georgia won its first three games, by a combined score of 108-37.
                — Dawgs are allowing average of 236.7 yards/game.
                — Dawgs have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Georgia has 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Dawgs have a junior QB who started twice.
                — Last 10 years, Georgia is 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.

                — Nick Saban’s absence makes this an odd game.
                — Alabama won first three games, scoring 51 ppg; they’ve allowed 1,097 yards in last two games.
                —Crimson Tide has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Alabama has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Bama’s junior QB has made four starts.
                — Alabama is 15-12-1 ATS in its last 28 games as a home favorite.

                — Alabama won last five series games; last two were postseason games.
                — This is Georgia’s first visit to Alabama since 2007.
                Last edited by Udog; 10-15-2020, 08:34 AM.

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                • #9
                  SMU vs. Tulane Week 7 Odds, Preview
                  Jonathan Willis

                  SMU has picked up right where it left off last year. Sonny Dykes led the Mustangs to their first 10-win season since the program received the death penalty, and they have built off that success with a 4-0 start and a top 20 ranking in both polls coming into Friday night’s game with the Tulane Green Wave.

                  A win over Tulane this week would set up an enormous AAC battle with No. 8 Cincinnati next Saturday.

                  BETTING RESOURCES

                  Week 7 Matchup: AAC
                  Venue: Yulman Stadium
                  Location: New Orleans, LA
                  Date: Friday, October 16, 2020
                  Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
                  TV: ESPN

                  Line Movements

                  Spread: SMU -6.5
                  Money-Line: SMU -215, Tulane +185
                  Total: 64.5

                  QB Shane Buechele and SMU will look to improve to 5-0 on Friday when they visit Tulane for a conference game. (AP)

                  HOW TO HANDICAP SMU-Tulane

                  The Green Wave are looking for their first conference win of the season. Tulane lost at home to Navy as a six-point favorite back on September 19, and they were blasted by Houston last Thursday. Their two wins came against South Alabama and Southern Miss, but they are just 1-3 ATS as their only cover came in the 66-24 demolition of Southern Miss.

                  Tulane has yet to play an under game this year. The first game for the Green Wave ended up as a push, but their three most recent games have all gone over the total by at least a touchdown. There were a combined 170 points in Tulane’s last two games, leading to oddsmakers raising the total on Friday night.

                  A narrow 31-24 win over Texas State as a 24.5-point favorite in Week 1 led to some discounting SMU. However, the Mustangs roared back to smash North Texas and Stephen F. Austin in consecutive weeks, covering the spread with wins of 30 and 43 points.

                  SMU knocked off defending AAC champions Memphis in its first AAC game two weeks ago, squeaking out a 30-27 victory as a short favorite to move to 3-1 ATS on the year.

                  SMU is known for its high-octane offense, so the total has been set in the 70s for three of the Mustangs’ previous four games. However, the under has cashed in three of those four games, as SMU’s wins against Texas State, Stephen F. Austin, and Memphis saw a combined score between 55 and 57 points.

                  BETTING ANALYSIS – Mustangs

                  Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

                  Overall: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U

                  Shane Buechele led SMU’s renaissance last season, and he is the best quarterback in the AAC. Buechele has been fantastic this year, completing 68.6 percent of his passes for 9.5 YPA with ten touchdowns and two interceptions. He has shown some mobility too, carrying the ball 11 times for 84 yards and a touchdown.

                  The Mustangs had one of the best wide receivers in the nation in Reggie Roberson Jr. Roberson averaged 15.4 YPC in 2018, 18.7 YPC in 2019, and he posted 21.5 YPC this season thanks to a monster game against Memphis on October 3.

                  Unfortunately, he suffered a season-ending knee injury, so sophomore Rashee Rice and JUCO transfer Danny Gray will look to replace that production.

                  Tight end Kylen Grayson was a Preseason First Team All-AAC pick, so he should be more involved going forward as well.

                  Freshman Ulysses Bentley IV has been a home run hitter when he carries the ball, averaging 8.4 YPC thanks to huge games against North Texas and Stephen F. Austin. He was the back-up to T.J. McDaniel coming into the season, but Bentley will carry the load going forward after McDaniel suffered a season-ending injury against Memphis.

                  This offense is ranked 18th in offensive SP+, but the defense is once again a subpar unit coming in at 78th in defensive SP+. SMU is conceding 5.7 yards per play, and they haven’t been able to get to the quarterback as much as they would like with 11 sacks this season.

                  UCLA grad transfer Brandon Stephens is one of the national leaders in passes defensed though, with seven break-ups on the season.

                  BETTING ANALYSIS - Green Wave

                  Overall: 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 3-1 O/U

                  It wasn’t going to be easy to replace Justin McMillan in HC Willie Fritz’s system, and Tulane has struggled to find the same production out of a quarterback.

                  Keon Howard started the season under center for the Green Wave, but he was benched after completing just 42.1 percent of his passes for 5.2 YPA.

                  Freshman Michael Pratt replaced the senior in Tulane’s victory over Southern Miss, and he has been a little better, but he is only completing 45.5 percent of his passes for 6.4 YPA.

                  However, Pratt isn’t as mobile of a quarterback as Howard. Pratt has been sacked six times and is averaging 1.5 YPC, while Howard is averaging 4.4 YPC.

                  While Fritz will tell you that he doesn’t run the option, he does like to run the ball more than any other program that doesn’t run the option, running the ball on 62.3 percent of plays so far in 2020.

                  Along those lines, Tulane uses a stable of running backs. Four different players have at least 25 carries this season, led by Cameron Carroll and Tyjae Spears. Those four backs have combined to average 6.1 YPC on the year, but Spears suffered a season-ending knee injury so Amare Jones and Stephon Huderson will see more action.

                  The Green Wave don’t throw the ball much, so the only player with at least 100 receiving yards is sophomore Jha’Quan Jackson. No one on Tulane has more than eight receptions, making it impossible for defenses to key on just one guy.

                  Tulane is ranked 82nd in defensive SP+ coming into Friday’s game. The Green Wave have done a solid job stopping the run, allowing just 3.0 YPC, but the pass defense has been a mess. Opponents are averaging 9.0 YPA against this secondary through four games.

                  Preseason First Team All-AAC DE/LB Patrick Johnson has been a force with five sacks on the year, and DE Cameron Sample has played well alongside him.

                  HISTORICALLY SPEAKING

                  HEAD-TO-HEAD


                  The all-time record between these two teams is 13-13. SMU has never been ahead in this series, but the Mustangs have won five straight and can take the lead over the Green Wave for the first time ever in 2020. The last seven games in this series have seen at least 50 points scored.

                  LAST SEASON

                  SMU capitalized on Tulane mistakes to beat the Green Wave 37-20 in last year’s season finale. The Green Wave had two fumbles, a missed field goal, and turned the ball over on downs four times to lose by 17 points despite outgaining the Mustangs 465-377.

                  Tulane ran the ball 53 times for 223 yards and two touchdowns on this defense, while Justin McMillan completed 22 of 37 passes for 242 yards. Buechele didn’t put up gaudy numbers, completing just 15 of 27 passes for 180 yards with three touchdowns and an interception, but it was enough to get the victory.

                  NOTABLE BETTING TRENDS

                  -- SMU is just 1-5 ATS in its last six road games

                  -- The under has cashed in four straight games when Tulane has been a home underdog

                  -- The road team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 games between these two programs
                  Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2020, 12:00 PM.

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                  • #10
                    BYU vs. Houston Week 7 Odds, Preview
                    Joe Nelson

                    After Sun Belt games Wednesday and Thursday in college football this week, Friday night offers a matchup with more national relevance as BYU visits Houston in a big non-conference game in a year where there won’t actually be many non-conference games.

                    Houston won its long-awaited opener last Thursday night while independent BYU is 4-0 and climbing the national rankings. Here is a look at a big Friday night non-conference game between two undefeated national long shots.

                    BETTING RESOURCES

                    Week 7 Matchup: Non-Conference
                    Venue: TDECU Stadium
                    Location: Houston, TX
                    Date: Friday, October 16, 2020
                    Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
                    TV: ESPN

                    Line Movements

                    Spread: BYU -4.5
                    Money-Line: BYU -200, Houston +175
                    Total: 62.5

                    The BYU defense has looked very impressive this season, holding opponents to 11 points per game this season. (AP)

                    HOW TO HANDICAP BYU-Houston

                    BYU has outscored its opposition 175-44 this season but it has not been a formidable path. BYU will now be on the road for the first time since the Labor Day blowout win at Navy to start the season.

                    BYU is 3-1 ATS with the only miss last week’s 27-20 win over UTSA as a nearly five-touchdown favorite. BYU was just 2-5 ATS on the road last season, losing S/U in four of those games.

                    Houston had a 5-0 turnover deficit in a sloppy opening effort last week after a series of cancellations in September. Houston still won and covered however, coming back from an early 24-7 deficit to win by 18 vs. Tulane with a dominant production edge.

                    Last year in Dana Holgorsen’s first season back at Houston they surprisingly went 1-4 S/U & ATS at home with a combined total of 173 points allowed in four FBS home games.

                    NATIONAL IMPLICATIONS?

                    BYU has only one other road game on the schedule this season with a November trip to Boise State. The BYU Cougars are a serious threat to finish undefeated as that is likely the only game that they could possibly be an underdog in.

                    If the current schedule holds and BYU finished 10-0, they likely wouldn’t have the weight to be considered for a national playoff spot but undefeated teams are already scare in 2020 as it isn’t completely out of the question.

                    Houston will have several difficult AAC games coming up and three of the four biggest games will be on the road. A win here would certainly catapult the Houston Cougars to the forefront of the conference and into the national rankings next week.

                    The AAC has several quality teams this season including two top 17 squads in the current rankings as the national opportunity for a team running the table in the American is likely better than in a standard schedule season.

                    BETTING ANALYSIS – BYU

                    Overall: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U

                    The numbers are very impressive for BYU with 859 rushing yards in four games, averaging 5.0 yards per rush with sophomore Tyler Allgeier leading the way.

                    Junior quarterback Zach Wilson has already thrown for 1,241 yards with eight touchdowns, averaging a whooping 12.3 yards per attempt as big plays have been common. Wilson is completing passes at an over 81 percent rate so far this season and his 208.6 QB Rating ranks third nationally.

                    BYU is fifth nationally in allowing just 251 yards per game and that average was significantly stronger before allowing 359 yards last week to UTSA. Two touchdowns against BYU and significant yardage did come in the fourth quarter which BYU entered leading 21-6, but the Cougars did have their worst showing of the season last week.

                    BYU is still allowing only 2.5 yards per rush this season with a veteran linebacker corps that has been impressive.

                    Kalani Sitake took over for Bronco Mendenhall starting in the 2016 season. BYU was 9-4 that season and then reversed that record for a rare losing season in Provo in 2017.

                    The past two seasons BYU has finished 7-6 as Sitake is 31-25 S/U and 29-27 ATS in his career. BYU is 11-13 S/U on the road under Sitake but 15-9 ATS, including 10-2 ATS as a road underdog, but just 6-6 S/U and 5-7 ATS as a road favorite.

                    BETTING ANALYSIS - Houston

                    Overall: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U

                    In his first season at Houston Dana Holgorsen fell well short of expectations finishing 4-8 despite a significant buzz after what felt like a coup getting him to leave the Big XII for the AAC. A tough schedule, needing to change quarterbacks with D’Eriq King opting to transfer, and the normal challenges of a transition season added up.

                    Houston was a successful rushing team last season posting more than 2,200 yards on 4.8 yards per carry. Surprisingly in the opener the ground game was somewhat bottled up, posting 157 yards but on 43 carries, though with four rushing touchdowns.

                    Clayton Tune took over last season at quarterback with mixed results and his 2020 opener offered the same. He threw for 319 yards and hit several big plays but had three turnovers, two of which led to defensive touchdowns in the first six minutes of the game.

                    As expected, Marquez Stevenson was the team’s top receiver last week with a strong 2020 debut and his 97-yard kickoff return touchdown will be an impressive addition to his NFL draft reel. Tune was sacked four times as the offensive line is likely a work in progress after losing its leader Josh Jones to the NFL last spring.

                    Knowing that 14 of the 31 points allowed to Tulane were directly off turnovers, the 2020 debut of the Houston defense looks impressive. Houston held Tulane to only 211 yards and 1.6 yards per rush. Tulane did feature an inexperienced quarterback that struggled however as the jury may still be out given that Houston allowed 34 points per game last season.

                    HISTORICALLY SPEAKING

                    HEAD-TO-HEAD


                    These programs have met twice with similar results in a pair of meetings in 2013 and 2014. BYU won at Houston the first year 47-46 and at home the second year 33-25, falling short of a double-digit favorite spread in both instances.

                    NOTABLE BETTING TRENDS

                    -- BYU is 6-6 S/U and 5-7 ATS as a road favorite under Sitake including 1-5 ATS since the start of last season.

                    -- BYU is 31-38 ATS as a road favorite since 1997 and just 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games as a favorite in any venue since the start of last season.

                    -- Houston is just 11-39 S/U and 22-28 ATS as a home underdog since 1993, including going 0-4 S/U and 1-3 ATS last season.

                    -- Holgorsen went just 3-13 S/U and 5-9-2 ATS as a home underdog at West Virginia.

                    -- Houston is on a 21-8 ATS run as an underdog since 2013, but most of that success was in road games.
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2020, 12:01 PM.

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                    • #11

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