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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (Thur., Oct. 8 - Sat., Oct. 10)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (Thur., Oct. 8 - Sat., Oct. 10)

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    Week 6


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, October 8 - Saturday, October 10

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Last edited by Udog; 10-06-2020, 12:12 PM.

  • #2
    College Football Odds This Week: Opening Lines & Odds Movement
    Patrick Everson

    The Red River Rivalry resumes Saturday when Sam Ehlinger and Texas take on Oklahoma at the Cotton Bowl. FanDuel opened Oklahoma -2.5 and moved to -1.5 by Monday afternoon.

    College football odds for Week 6 are on the betting board and already getting action, with a few key games dotting the schedule. No. 1 Clemson plays host to No.7 Miami under the Saturday night lights, and No. 12 Tennessee travels to No. 3 Georgia.

    FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 6 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

    College football Week 6 odds

    These are the current College football Week 6 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of September 28.



    (7) Miami at (1) Clemson odds

    Opening line
    Clemson -16, Over/Under 65.5

    Why the line moved
    Clemson is already down to -14.5 on Monday night at FanDuel, where early bettors are jumping on the underdog. Miami is taking 73 percent of tickets and money on the spread, and the Hurricanes have even greater support on the moneyline, at 77 percent of bets/97 percent of dollars. And the total plunged from 65.5 to 60.5 Monday, despite a large majority of tickets and money on the Over.


    (18) Virginia Tech at (9) North Carolina odds

    Opening line
    North Carolina -3.5, Over/Under 60.5

    Why the line moved
    This line was volatile early, jumping from Tar Heels -3.5 to -6.5 in a matter of minutes Sunday, then receding to -4.5 by lunch hour Monday. Through Monday night, Carolina is taking 62 percent of tickets and 54 percent of money on the spread. The total went from 60.5 to 61.5, then fell to 57.5 Monday afternoon, and it looks like there's some sharp play here: 75 percent of tickets are on the Over, but 63 percent of money is on the Under.


    (12) Tennessee at (3) Georgia odds

    Opening line
    Georgia -14, Over/Under 44.5

    Why the line moved
    By Monday afternoon, Georgia had already dialed down to -12.5 at FanDuel on two-way action. Through Monday night, Tennessee is taking 57 percent of bets, while Georgia is getting 58 percent of dollars.


    (22) Texas vs Oklahoma Odds

    Opening line
    Oklahoma -2.5, Over/Under 70.5

    Why the line moved
    The eye-popping total stands out most for the neutral-site rekindling of the Red River Rivalry, at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. The total is already up to 72.5 at FanDuel, with 89 percent of bets and 97 percent of money on the Over. On the spread, Oklahoma is down to -1.5 Monday night, although early tickets and money are both running about 2/1 on the Sooners.


    Texas Tech at (24) Iowa State Odds

    Opening line
    Iowa State -13.5, Over/Under 62.5

    Why the line moved
    Iowa State is down a point to -12.5 at FanDuel, and betting splits through Monday night indicate why: 62 percent of tickets and 53 percent of dollars are on Texas Tech. And early moneyline bettors apparently expect a letdown from the Cyclones, who as 7-point home underdogs upended Oklahoma 37-30 on Saturday. Texas Tech is attracting 54 percent of moneyline bets and 98 percent of moneyline cash.


    (2) Alabama at Ole Miss odds

    Opening line
    Mississippi +23.5, Over/Under 73.5

    Why the line moved
    Big favorite Alabama is up a point Monday to -24.5 at FanDuel, with ticket count 2/1 and money 4/1 in favor of the Crimson Tide. And, like Oklahoma-Texas, a huge total already has heavily tilted action to the Over, at 87 percent of tickets and 98 percent of money through Monday.


    Arkansas at (13) Auburn odds

    Opening line
    Auburn -15.5, Over/Under 51.5

    Why the line moved
    Auburn is up to -16.5 Monday night at FanDuel, taking 58 percent of early tickets and 66 percent of early money on the spread. The total is already down to 48.5, thanks to 83 percent of tickets/92 percent of money showing on the Under.


    Missouri at (16) LSU odds

    Opening line
    LSU -18.5, Over/Under 53.5

    Why the line moved
    Louisiana State is already up 2 points at FanDuel, sitting at -20.5 Monday night. Sixty-three percent of bets are on the Tigers, but money is closer to two-way, with LSU garnering 54 percent of early cash.


    (3) Florida at (20) Texas A&M odds

    Opening line
    Texas A&M +5.5, Over/Under 57.5

    Why the line moved
    Early bettors don't think much of A&M's home field, with Florida taking more than 90 percent of early point-spread tickets and money. That prompted FanDuel to move the Gators to -7.5 early Monday, before moving back to -6.5.


    Florida State at (5) Notre Dame odds

    Opening line
    Notre Dame -21.5, Over/Under 53.5

    Why the line moved
    Notre Dame is down a point Monday night to -20.5 at FanDuel, but the Fighting Irish are taking 87 percent of early tickets and 94 percent of early dollars. Similarly, the total is down 2 points to 51.5, despite the Over attracting 83 percent of bets and 85 percent of cash.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-06-2020, 12:13 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      4th Quarter Covers - Week 5
      Joe Nelson

      Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games.

      Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the first weekend of October in college football.

      Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

      Florida (-15½) 38, South Carolina 24

      This game was tie 14-14 well into the second quarter but the Gators would score the next 24 points to lead 38-14 with just under five minutes to go in the third quarter. South Carolina would earn a long field goal at the end of the third and then got an early fourth quarter interception.

      A pass interference call put the Gamecocks in range to score again and while they had to convert two 4th downs before cashing in, they eventually delivered to cut the margin to 10 points with just over 10 minutes remaining. Florida wouldn’t threaten while South Carolina would convert two more 4th downs to compile 74 yards on its final drive but without adding points.

      West Virginia (+2) 27, Baylor 21

      Baylor scored with just over a minute remaining to force overtime with a 14-14 tie in a rare defensive battle in the Big XII. Turnovers were a factor in keeping points off the board more than great defense however. In overtime West Virginia went first and opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 rather than kicking field goal, with that decision paying off with a touchdown on the next play.

      Baylor scored on its first play to match the Mountaineers at 21-21. The 2nd OT drive for Baylor lasted just one play as well with Charlie Brewer intercepted. West Virginia needed only four plays to find the end zone to complete the minor upset, posting a solid production edge but surviving four turnovers.

      TCU (+10½) 33, Texas 31 (62)

      The Horned Frogs delivered another upset in this series but there was late drama for many on the total with a price that swung anywhere from 59½ to 63½ depending when and where it was played. In a back-and-forth 4th quarter the Frogs went up by four with four minutes to go putting the scoring at 62.

      Texas appeared ready to take the lead but would eventually fumble on 1st-and-goal from the TCU 1-yard-line to wind up still short on the scoreboard.

      TCU was in a dangerous position but got a huge run on 3rd-and-7 for some breathing room. TCU would face a 4th down still pinned deep and opted to take a safety after running the clock out, putting the scoring from 62 to 64.

      SMU (-2) 30, Memphis 27

      SMU went from the underdog to the favorite in this game and that shift appeared accurate with a 24-3 edge early in the second quarter. Memphis would rally with back-to-back long touchdown drives and a 56-yard field goal before halftime to trail by only four. SMU would have to settle for a short field goal on its first possession in the second half and Memphis was able to tie the game with an 87-yard touchdown drive completed late in the third.

      SMU appeared poised to go back in front, but the Mustangs fumbled in the red zone. The offenses disappeared from there with each team having consecutive punts.

      Memphis eventually crossed midfield with under three minutes to go but Brady White fumbled on a sack and SMU was able to convert a 3rd-and-11 to set-up a field goal with nine seconds left.

      Kansas State (+1) 31, Texas Tech 21

      Kansas State led 17-7 late in the third quarter, flipped from a slight favorite to a closing line underdog coming off last week’s big win over Oklahoma. Texas Tech put together back-to-back long touchdown drives to lead 21-17 with 11 minutes to go but Kansas State needed only three plays to go back in front with a 24-21 edge at the 10-minute mark.

      The Red Raiders were a threat to answer but Henry Colombi was intercepted in the end zone. Both teams had to punt on subsequent possessions and facing 3rd down with just over two minutes remaining Kansas State connected for a 70-yard touchdown to put the game away.

      Texas Tech had a significant yardage edge in a game where both teams had to replace their injured starting quarterbacks.

      Florida Atlantic (-5) 21, Charlotte 17

      The Owls trailed 10-0 at halftime but scored three touchdowns in a span of just over six minutes in the third quarter to lead 21-0. Charlotte would convert a 4th down and add a touchdown early in the fourth quarter to trail by only six and then stopped FAU going for it on 4th-and-1 in the red zone.

      Looking for a late score to win the 49ers reached the FAU 16-yard-line in the final minute but took back-to-back sacks and came a few yards short on 4th-and-15 to end the game.

      Iowa State (+7½) 37, Oklahoma 30

      Looking to bounce back from last week’s upset the Sooners had a 17-6 lead not even 20 minutes into this game. Iowa State would complete a long drive before halftime to stay in it and then was in front by the end of the third quarter 23-20.

      The Sooners appeared to get it together scoring the first 10 points of the final frame to lead by seven on a spread that bounced between 7 and 7½. A huge kickoff return for the Cyclones changed that equation and after a pass interference call Iowa State was in the end zone to tie the game.

      Oklahoma and new quarterback Spencer Rattler looked rattled with an ugly drive that included a penalty and a sack and the Sooners had to punt with six minutes to go and the score tied.

      The Cyclones took full advantage of their rising momentum with a four-play touchdown drive to lead by seven. Oklahoma would have a new set of downs with about a minute to go from the Iowa State 34 but for the second straight week, Rattler suffered a late interception as the Sooners are now 0-2 in the Big XII.

      Western Kentucky (-7) 20, Middle Tennessee State 17

      This game was tied at 10-10 at halftime and the Hilttoppers took a 13-10 lead late in the third quarter with a 53-yard field goal. A productive MTSU drive across midfield ended in a punt for a touchback and after matching 3-and-outs Tyrrell Pigrome led a great drive for Western Kentucky taking more than six minutes off the clock in a 13-play effort.

      A 4th down conversion was included as Pigrome eventually connected for a touchdown pass to put the Hilltoppers up 10 and past the favorite spread with six minutes remaining.

      Asher O’Hara and the Blue Raiders have disappointed this season but after getting a 4th down conversion via penalty and another on an O’Hara rush, the Bluer Raiders punched in the spread-stealing score with just over two minutes to go.

      LSU (-21) 41, Vanderbilt 7

      LSU rebounded with a 21-7 edge at halftime but the underdog stayed in the game as the Tigers settled for two 3rd quarter field goals, leading by 20.

      Another field goal seemed possible before Myles Brennan hit a 29-yard touchdown strike to put the Tigers past the number. Vanderbilt was in position to answer reaching the LSU 6-yard-line with a new set of downs but on 2nd down Ken Seals was intercepted in a crushing blow for those taking the points. With relative ease and still throwing often with a big lead, LSU went down the field to make it a 41-7 game, where the final score held, keeping a total of right around 50 just ‘under’ as well.

      Georgia Southern (-18½) 35, UL-Monroe 30

      Neither the spread or the total was impacted with a wild finish in this Sun Belt clash but it was a noteworthy final few seconds, and surely a few people had attractive moneyline tickets on the big underdog. Georgia Southern led 35-17 late in the third but back-to-back scores put the Warhawks within five, missing a PAT on the first of those two touchdowns.

      Down five, UL-M would have the ball back with about two minutes remaining and Colby Suits would lead the team into scoring range. He converted a 4th-and-6 with his legs and then on the game’s final play he scampered to the goal line stopped just short.

      Time ticked away and the offense wasn’t able to clock it in time to continue while no review was called for.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-06-2020, 12:14 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        303TULANE -304 HOUSTON
        HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

        303TULANE -304 HOUSTON
        Dana Holgorsen is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry (All games)

        305LOUISVILLE -306 GEORGIA TECH
        LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals in the last 3 seasons.

        307MISSISSIPPI ST -308 KENTUCKY
        MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

        309DUKE -310 SYRACUSE
        SYRACUSE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog since 1992.

        311PITTSBURGH -312 BOSTON COLLEGE
        PITTSBURGH is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

        313NC STATE -314 VIRGINIA
        VIRGINIA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game since 1992.

        315E CAROLINA -316 S FLORIDA
        E CAROLINA is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) as a road dog of <=7 since 1992.

        317MIAMI -318 CLEMSON
        MIAMI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.

        319VIRGINIA TECH -320 N CAROLINA
        N CAROLINA is 47-26 ATS (18.4 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

        321TENNESSEE -322 GEORGIA
        GEORGIA is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) in home games after an ATS win since 1992.

        323OKLAHOMA -324 TEXAS
        TEXAS are 44-25 ATS (16.5 Units) in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

        325TEXAS TECH -326 IOWA ST
        TEXAS TECH is 29-13 ATS (14.7 Units) after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.

        327ALABAMA -328 OLE MISS
        OLE MISS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

        329ARKANSAS -330 AUBURN
        ARKANSAS are 26-13 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game since 1992.

        331MISSOURI -332 LSU
        LSU is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

        333FLORIDA -334 TEXAS A&M
        FLORIDA is 57-33 ATS (20.7 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.

        337S CAROLINA -338 VANDERBILT
        VANDERBILT is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

        339TEXAS ST -340 TROY
        TROY is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after going under the total since 1992.

        341LA MONROE -342 LIBERTY
        LA MONROE is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

        343UTSA -344 BYU
        BYU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

        347TEMPLE -348 NAVY
        TEMPLE is 23-7 ATS (15.3 Units) vs. poor passing teams averaging 150 or less passing yards/game. since 1992.

        349MIDDLE TENN ST -350 FLA INTERNATIONAL
        FLA INTERNATIONAL is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

        351UTEP -352 LOUISIANA TECH
        UTEP is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) on the road when the total is 52.5-56 since 1992.

        353FLORIDA ST -354 NOTRE DAME
        FLORIDA ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when the total is 49.5-56 in the last 3 seasons.

        355CHARLOTTE -356 NORTH TEXAS
        NORTH TEXAS are 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

        357MARSHALL -358 W KENTUCKY
        MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. poor kickoff return teams, less than 19 yards per return since 1992.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-06-2020, 12:15 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF
          Dunkel

          Week 6


          Thursday, October 8

          Tulane @ Houston

          Game 303-304
          October 8, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tulane
          80.192
          Houston
          90.188
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Houston
          by 10
          71
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Houston
          by 5
          58
          Dunkel Pick:
          Houston
          (-5); Over


          Friday, October 9

          Louisville @ Georgia Tech


          Game 305-306
          October 9, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Louisville
          85.465
          Georgia Tech
          74.164
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Louisville
          by 11 1/2
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Louisville
          by 5 1/2
          64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Louisville
          (-5 1/2); Under


          Saturday, October 10

          LA-Monroe @ Liberty


          Game 341-342
          October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LA-Monroe
          54.452
          Liberty
          78.447
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Liberty
          by 24
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Liberty
          by 19
          60
          Dunkel Pick:
          Liberty
          (-19); Under

          South Carolina @ Vanderbilt


          Game 337-338
          October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          South Carolina
          94.910
          Vanderbilt
          73.329
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          South Carolina
          by 21 1/2
          41
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          South Carolina
          by 12
          49
          Dunkel Pick:
          South Carolina
          (-12); Under

          Virginia Tech @ North Carolina


          Game 319-320
          October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Virginia Tech
          88.648
          North Carolina
          101.684
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          North Carolina
          by 13
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          North Carolina
          by 5 1/2
          60
          Dunkel Pick:
          North Carolina
          (-5 1/2); Over

          Florida @ Texas A&M


          Game 333-334
          October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida
          101.337
          Texas A&M
          98.867
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Florida
          by 2 1/2
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida
          by 6 1/2
          56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Texas A&M
          (+6 1/2); Over

          Coastal Carolina @ LA-Lafayette


          Game 363-364
          October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Coastal Carolina
          00.000
          LA-Lafayette
          00.000
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Coastal Carolina

          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Coastal Carolina

          Dunkel Pick:
          Coastal Carolina
          N/A

          Texas @ Oklahoma

          Game 323-324
          October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas
          99.432
          Oklahoma
          93.557
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Texas
          by 6
          73
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Oklahoma
          by 2 1/2
          70
          Dunkel Pick:
          Texas
          (+2 1/2); Over

          NC State @ Virginia


          Game 313-314
          October 10, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          NC State
          79.524
          Virginia
          97.070
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Virginia
          by 17 1/2
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Virginia
          by 9 1/2
          59 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Virginia
          (-9 1/2); Under

          Duke @ Syracuse


          Game 309-310
          October 10, 2020 @ 12:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Duke
          79.365
          Syracuse
          84.595
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Syracuse
          by 5
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Duke
          by 1 1/2
          51
          Dunkel Pick:
          Syracuse
          (+1 1/2); Over

          The Citadel @ Army


          Game 359-360
          October 10, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          The Citadel
          49.826
          Army
          87.624
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Army
          by 38
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Army
          by 31 1/2
          50 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Army
          (-31 1/2); Over

          Mercer @ Jacksonville St


          Game 000-000
          October 10, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Mercer
          47.228
          Jacksonville St
          55.619
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Jacksonville St
          by 8 1/2
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Jacksonville St
          No Line
          N/A
          Dunkel Pick:
          Jacksonville St
          N/A

          TX-San Antonio @ Brigham Young

          Game 343-344
          October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          TX-San Antonio
          66.373
          Brigham Young
          107.820
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Brigham Young
          by 41 1/2
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Brigham Young
          by 33
          64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Brigham Young
          (-33); Under

          Texas Tech @ Iowa State


          Game 325-326
          October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas Tech
          79.603
          Iowa State
          99.062
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Iowa State
          by 19 1/2
          60
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Iowa State
          by 13
          62 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Iowa State
          (-13); Under

          Tennessee @ Georgia


          Game 321-322
          October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tennessee
          96.346
          Georgia
          113.453
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia
          by 17
          40
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Georgia
          by 14
          45
          Dunkel Pick:
          Georgia
          (-14); Under

          Central Arkansas @ Arkansas St


          Game 361-362
          October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Central Arkansas
          62.097
          Arkansas St
          83.261
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Arkansas St
          by 21
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Arkansas St
          by 17
          57 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Arkansas St
          (-17); Under

          Texas State @ Troy


          Game 339-340
          October 10, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas State
          71.425
          Troy
          81.085
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Troy
          by 9 1/2
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Troy
          by 7
          61
          Dunkel Pick:
          Troy
          (-7); Over

          Middle Tennessee St @ FIU


          Game 349-350
          October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Middle Tennessee
          61.776
          FIU
          74.319
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          FIU
          by 12 1/2
          51
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          FIU
          by 5
          53 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          FIU
          (-5); Under

          Florida Atlantic @ Southern Miss


          Game 345-346
          October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida Atlantic
          79.693
          Southern Miss
          80.913
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Southern Miss
          by 1
          67
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida Atlantic
          by 3 1/2
          64
          Dunkel Pick:
          Southern Miss
          (+3 1/2); Over

          Arkansas @ Auburn


          Game 329-330
          October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Arkansas
          91.839
          Auburn
          98.830
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Auburn
          by 7
          46
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Auburn
          by 16 1/2
          51
          Dunkel Pick:
          Arkansas
          (+16 1/2); Under

          Pittsburgh @ Boston College


          Game 311-312
          October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Pittsburgh
          89.605
          Boston College
          81.828
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Pittsburgh
          by 8
          49
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Pittsburgh
          by 4 1/2
          43 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Pittsburgh
          (-4 1/2); Over

          Kansas State @ TCU


          Game 335-336
          October 10, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Kansas State
          96.067
          TCU
          94.368
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Kansas State
          by 1 1/2
          50
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          TCU
          by 10
          53 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Kansas State
          (+10); Under

          Temple @ Navy


          Game 347-348
          October 10, 2020 @

          Dunkel Rating:
          Temple
          77.700
          Navy
          80.122
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Navy
          by 2 1/2
          57
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Temple
          by 3
          47
          Dunkel Pick:
          Navy
          (+3); Over

          Alabama @ Mississippi


          Game 327-328
          October 10, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Alabama
          113.583
          Mississippi
          95.248
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Alabama
          by 18 1/2
          77
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Alabama
          by 24
          71
          Dunkel Pick:
          Mississippi
          (+24); Over

          East Carolina @ South Florida


          Game 315-316
          October 10, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          East Carolina
          68.879
          South Florida
          70.951
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          South Florida
          by 2
          76
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          South Florida
          by 4
          56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          East Carolina
          (+4); Over

          Mississippi St @ Kentucky


          Game 307-308
          October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Mississippi St
          93.098
          Kentucky
          94.323
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Kentucky
          by 1
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Kentucky
          by 3
          57
          Dunkel Pick:
          Mississippi St
          (+3); Under

          Florida State @ Notre Dame


          Game 353-354
          October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida State
          83.212
          Notre Dame
          100.285
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Notre Dame
          by 17
          56
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Notre Dame
          by 21
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Florida State
          (+21); Over

          Marshall @ Western Kentucky


          Game 357-358
          October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Marshall
          90.637
          Western Kentucky
          75.101
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Marshall
          by 15 1/2
          46
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Marshall
          by 5
          54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Marshall
          (-5); Under

          UTEP @ Louisiana Tech


          Game 351-352
          October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          UTEP
          67.591
          Louisiana Tech
          78.502
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Louisiana Tech
          by 11
          43
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Louisiana Tech
          by 15
          54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          UTEP
          (+15); Under

          Miami-FL @ Clemson


          Game 317-318
          October 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Miami-FL
          94.486
          Clemson
          117.671
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Clemson
          by 23
          57
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Clemson
          by 15
          64
          Dunkel Pick:
          Clemson
          (-15); Under

          Charlotte @ North Texas


          Game 355-356
          October 10, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Charlotte
          70.354
          North Texas
          70.708
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          North Texas
          Even
          75
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Charlotte
          by 2 1/2
          67 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          North Texas
          (+2 1/2); Over

          Missouri @ LSU


          Game 331-332
          October 10, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Missouri
          86.736
          LSU
          112.210
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          LSU
          by 25 1/2
          45
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          LSU
          by 20
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          LSU
          (-20); Under
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-06-2020, 12:16 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF
            Long Sheet


            Thursday, October 8

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TULANE (2 - 1) at HOUSTON (0 - 0) - 10/8/2020, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            TULANE is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
            HOUSTON is 1-1 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Friday, October 9

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LOUISVILLE (1 - 2) at GEORGIA TECH (1 - 2) - 10/9/2020, 7:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
            GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Saturday, October 10

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 1) at KENTUCKY (0 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
            KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DUKE (0 - 4) at SYRACUSE (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 12:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DUKE is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
            SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PITTSBURGH (3 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
            BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NC STATE (2 - 1) at VIRGINIA (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NC STATE is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
            NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            E CAROLINA (0 - 2) at S FLORIDA (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 7:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MIAMI (3 - 0) at CLEMSON (3 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CLEMSON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEMSON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEMSON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 0) at N CAROLINA (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
            VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TENNESSEE (2 - 0) at GEORGIA (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            TENNESSEE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
            TENNESSEE is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
            TENNESSEE is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
            GEORGIA is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
            GEORGIA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
            GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            OKLAHOMA (1 - 2) vs. TEXAS (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            OKLAHOMA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TEXAS is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
            OKLAHOMA is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TEXAS TECH (1 - 2) at IOWA ST (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
            IOWA ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ALABAMA (2 - 0) at OLE MISS (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 6:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            ALABAMA is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
            ALABAMA is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
            ALABAMA is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
            ALABAMA is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
            ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ARKANSAS (1 - 1) at AUBURN (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            AUBURN is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
            AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MISSOURI (0 - 2) at LSU (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 9:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MISSOURI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
            MISSOURI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            MISSOURI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            FLORIDA (2 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            TEXAS A&M is 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            KANSAS ST (2 - 1) at TCU (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            KANSAS ST is 180-143 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
            KANSAS ST is 180-143 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            KANSAS ST is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
            KANSAS ST is 135-95 ATS (+30.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            KANSAS ST is 168-125 ATS (+30.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
            KANSAS ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
            KANSAS ST is 132-93 ATS (+29.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
            KANSAS ST is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
            KANSAS ST is 75-47 ATS (+23.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
            TCU is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            S CAROLINA (0 - 2) at VANDERBILT (0 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            VANDERBILT is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            VANDERBILT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            VANDERBILT is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
            VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
            VANDERBILT is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            S CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
            S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TEXAS ST (1 - 3) at TROY (1 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
            TROY is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA MONROE (0 - 4) at LIBERTY (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LA MONROE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            LA MONROE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            LA MONROE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
            LA MONROE is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
            LIBERTY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            UTSA (3 - 1) at BYU (3 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 3:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 0) at SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 3) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
            FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TEMPLE (0 - 0) at NAVY (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 6:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NAVY is 184-136 ATS (+34.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
            NAVY is 184-136 ATS (+34.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            NAVY is 102-63 ATS (+32.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
            NAVY is 56-31 ATS (+21.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            NAVY is 166-121 ATS (+32.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
            NAVY is 116-77 ATS (+31.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            NAVY is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
            TEMPLE is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            TEMPLE is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
            TEMPLE is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
            TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 4) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 4:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
            FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            UTEP (3 - 1) at LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 1) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            UTEP is 138-175 ATS (-54.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
            UTEP is 138-175 ATS (-54.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            UTEP is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
            UTEP is 97-129 ATS (-44.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
            LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            FLORIDA ST (1 - 2) at NOTRE DAME (2 - 0) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            FLORIDA ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            FLORIDA ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            NOTRE DAME is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
            NOTRE DAME is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
            NOTRE DAME is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
            NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CHARLOTTE (0 - 2) at NORTH TEXAS (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 8:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
            NORTH TEXAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CHARLOTTE is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
            CHARLOTTE is 1-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MARSHALL (2 - 0) at W KENTUCKY (1 - 2) - 10/10/2020, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MARSHALL is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
            MARSHALL is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
            MARSHALL is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
            MARSHALL is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
            W KENTUCKY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
            MARSHALL is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-06-2020, 12:17 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAF

              Week 6


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Thursday, October 8

              Tulane @ Houston
              Tulane
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing Houston
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 7 games
              Houston
              Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tulane
              Houston is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Tulane


              Friday, October 9

              Louisville @ Georgia Tech
              Louisville
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 8 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games on the road
              Georgia Tech
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games at home


              Saturday, October 10

              South Carolina @ Vanderbilt
              South Carolina
              South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
              South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
              Vanderbilt
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games when playing at home against South Carolina
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games at home

              Texas @ Oklahoma
              Texas
              Texas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma
              Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              Oklahoma
              Oklahoma is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
              Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas

              Virginia Tech @ North Carolina
              Virginia Tech
              Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
              Virginia Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing North Carolina
              North Carolina
              North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech

              Louisiana-Monroe @ Liberty
              Louisiana-Monroe
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games on the road
              Liberty
              Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

              Texas State @ Troy
              Texas State
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 5 games on the road
              Texas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
              Troy
              Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas State
              Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas State

              North Carolina State @ Virginia
              North Carolina State
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 7 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games on the road
              Virginia
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games

              Duke @ Syracuse
              Duke
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 7 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 10 of Duke's last 15 games
              Syracuse
              Syracuse is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 7 games

              The Citadel @ Army
              The Citadel
              The Citadel is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
              The Citadel is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games
              Army
              Army is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
              Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

              Texas Tech @ Iowa State
              Texas Tech
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
              Iowa State
              Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
              Iowa State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech

              Central Arkansas @ Arkansas State
              Central Arkansas
              Central Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
              Central Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
              Arkansas State
              Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games at home

              Texas-San Antonio @ Brigham Young
              Texas-San Antonio
              Texas-San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
              Brigham Young
              Brigham Young is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              Brigham Young is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

              Tennessee @ Georgia
              Tennessee
              Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
              Georgia
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia's last 5 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Georgia's last 11 games

              Florida @ Texas A&M
              Florida
              Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
              Texas A&M
              Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games

              Arkansas @ Auburn
              Arkansas
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games when playing Auburn
              Auburn
              Auburn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas
              Auburn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas

              Kansas State @ Texas Christian
              Kansas State
              Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
              Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
              Texas Christian
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Christian's last 6 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 5 games when playing Kansas State

              Florida Atlantic @ Southern Miss
              Florida Atlantic
              Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              Southern Miss
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Southern Miss's last 10 games
              Southern Miss is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

              Middle Tennessee @ Florida International
              Middle Tennessee
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Florida International
              Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida International
              Florida International
              Florida International is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games when playing Middle Tennessee

              Pittsburgh @ Boston College
              Pittsburgh
              The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games on the road
              Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              Boston College
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

              Alabama @ Mississippi
              Alabama
              Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games on the road
              Alabama is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
              Mississippi
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing Alabama
              Mississippi is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Alabama

              Temple @ Navy
              Temple
              Temple is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Navy
              Temple is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Navy
              Navy
              Navy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
              Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

              East Carolina @ South Florida
              East Carolina
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of East Carolina's last 8 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against South Florida
              South Florida
              South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
              South Florida is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing East Carolina

              Mississippi State @ Kentucky
              Mississippi State
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Mississippi State's last 7 games on the road
              Mississippi State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kentucky
              Kentucky
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games
              Kentucky is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home

              Texas El Paso @ Louisiana Tech
              Texas El Paso
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games on the road
              Texas El Paso is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisiana Tech
              Louisiana Tech
              Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
              Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

              Marshall @ Western Kentucky
              Marshall
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games when playing Western Kentucky
              Marshall is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
              Western Kentucky
              Western Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Marshall
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games when playing Marshall

              Miami-FL @ Clemson
              Miami-FL
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami-FL's last 5 games when playing Clemson
              The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Miami-FL's last 21 games on the road
              Clemson
              Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              Clemson is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games

              Florida State @ Notre Dame
              Florida State
              The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida State's last 11 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 7 games
              Notre Dame
              Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

              Charlotte @ North Texas
              Charlotte
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
              Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
              North Texas
              North Texas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 7 games at home

              Missouri @ Louisiana State
              Missouri
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Missouri's last 8 games
              Louisiana State
              Louisiana State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games
              Louisiana State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-06-2020, 12:18 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Tech Trends - Week 6
                Bruce Marshall

                Week 6 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 8 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

                We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

                Thursday, Oct. 8

                TULANE at HOUSTON (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)


                Houston hopes to play after three postponements!
                Cougars were 0-2 as chalk LY for Holgorsen.
                Tulane has covered 3 of 4 meetings since head coach Willie Fritz arrived in 2016.
                Fritz on 11-6 spread uptick.

                Tech Edge: Tulane, based on team trends.


                Friday, Oct. 9

                LOUISVILLE at GEORGIA TECH (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)


                Louisville is 4-1 as chalk for Satterfield since mid 2019.
                Also 14-4-1 as chalk since late 2017 at previous gig - App State.
                After recent spread losses, head coach Geoff Collins struggling
                Jackets just 4-10-1 vs. number since arriving at GT in 2019.

                Tech Edge: Louisville, based on team trends.


                Saturday, Oct. 10

                MISSISSIPPI STATE at KENTUCKY (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)


                Rebels coach Mike Leach made bright debut at Miss State.
                Remember he was only 4-11 ATS his previous 15 vs. line at Wazzu.
                Also, he lost last week vs. Arkansas.
                Leach though is 15-8 as an underdog last 23 in role with WSU & MSU.
                Home team has won and covered last five meetings.
                Mark Stoops was 6-2 vs. points at Lexington in 2019 before last week’s loss to Ole Miss.

                Tech Edge: Slight to Kentucky, based on series home trends.


                DUKE at SYRACUSE (ACC, 12:30 p.m.)

                Head coach David Cutcliffe lost this game 49-6 to ‘Cuse LY.
                One of his worst efforts with Duke.
                Cutcliffe now on 9-15-2 ATS skid.

                Tech Edge: Syracuse, based on recent Duke woes.


                PITT at BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC, 4:00 p.m.)

                Panthers were 4-1 vs. line as visitor in 2019.
                BC 2-0 as dog for Hafley, 16-5-1 as short since 2017.
                Last year’s meeting was first since 2004 when both still in Big East!

                Tech Edge: Slight to Boston College, if underdog, based on extended trends.


                NC STATE at VIRGINIA (ACC, 12:00 p.m.)

                Even after win at Pitt, NCS 3-11 spread skid since early 2019.
                Wolfpack also no covers eight of last nine away from home.

                Tech Edge: Virginia, based on NCS woes.


                EAST CAROLINA at SOUTH FLORIDA (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

                USF has won last five outright in series and 4-1-1 last six vs. line against ECU.
                But Bulls only 4-8 vs. spread last 12 at Tampa.
                Note Pirates on 6-2 uptick as underdog since mid 2019 for coach Mike Houston.

                Tech Edge: Slight to East Carolina, based on recent team trends.


                MIAMI-FL. at CLEMSON (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

                Canes hot 3-0 SU and vs. line to begin 2020.
                Note Dabo has won last two vs. Miami by combined 96-3 score (2015 & 2017 ACC title game).
                Though Clemson has failed to cover mountainous numbers first three this season, Dabo was 11-4 vs. line laying mostly big points last year.
                And was 19-5-1 vs. spread last 25 entering this season.
                Dabo had also covered seven straight as ACC host before non-cover vs. Virginia.

                Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on Dabo trends.


                VIRGINIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)

                UNC coach Mack Brown 5-0 SU, 4-1 vs. line last five since late 2019.
                Tar Heels have lost last four SU in series though it took 6 OTs last season.
                V-Tech head coach Justin Fuente 4-0 as dog with Hokies in 2019.

                Tech Edge: Slight to Virginia Tech, based on team and series trends.


                TENNESSEE at GEORGIA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)

                Vols on an 8-game SU win streak (and 8-2 last ten vs. line).
                UT has lost last 3 SU vs. Georgia and not closer than 26 in any of those games.
                Jeremy Pruitt has covered five straight as 'dog for Vols.
                Dawgs just 1-5 as Athens chalk in 2019 before win over Auburn last week.

                Tech Edge: Tennessee, based on recent trends.


                OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS at Dallas (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)

                UT coach Tom Herman 3-0 vs. line in reg season vs. Oklahoma.
                He’s 16-4 as a dog since 2015 at Houston.
                Longhorns have covered six straight in reg season vs. Sooners.
                OU just 10-18-1 last 29 on board.

                Tech Edge: Texas, based on team and series trends.


                TEXAS TECH at IOWA STATE (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)

                Matt Campbell’s ISU 4-11 last 15 as chalk.
                Campbell 1-3 vs. line last four after facing OU, but is 4-0 SU and vs. line against Texas Tech.
                Coach Matt Wells just 3-5 as dog with Red Raiders.

                Tech Edge: Iowa State, based on series trends.


                ALABAMA at OLE MISS (ESPN, 6:00 p.m.)

                Nick Saban is 20-0 SU against former assistants.
                Lane Kiffin 1-1 vs. line with Rebs after 10-4 mark last year vs. spread at FAU.
                Saban 62 PPG last 3 vs. Ole Miss, though only 2-1 vs. line those games.
                'Bams just 5-7 last 12 as SEC visiting chalk.
                Rebs were 5-1-1 as 'dog last year for Matt Luke and 1-1 in role thus far with Kiffin.

                Tech Edge: Slight to Ole Miss, based on team trends.


                ARKANSAS at AUBURN (SEC, 4:00 p.m.)

                Auburn coach Gus Malzahn has won and covered last four in this special rivalry (for him).
                All of those wins by 31 or more.
                Malzahn 8-3 last 11 as reg season chalk.

                Tech Edge: Auburn, based on series trends.


                MISSOURI at LSU (ESPN, 9:00 p.m.)

                Even in championship 2019 season, LSU only 2-2 as Baton Rouge SEC chalk, now 2-4 last six in role.
                Tigers coach Eli Drinkwitz now 4-1 as dog (3-0 App, 1-0 Mizzou) since last year at App State, and 10-6 overall vs. spread.
                This is the first meeting since 2016.

                Tech Edge: Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.


                FLORIDA at TEXAS A&M (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)

                After covering 13 of his first 16 with Aggies, head coach Jimbo Fisher has now dropped 8 of last 12 on board with A&M.
                Dan Mullen, meanwhile, is 6-2 vs. spread as SEC visitor since taking over Gators in 2018.

                Tech Edge: Florida, based on team trends.


                KANSAS STATE at TCU (FOX, 4:00 p.m.)

                Horned Frogs are 5-15-1 as Fort Worth chalk since 2016, and have lost and failed to cover 4 of last 5 vs. K-State.
                Wildcats coach Chris Klieman 7-2 as 'dog since 2019 with Cats.
                K-State Now 22-7 as dog since 2016 dating to the last years of the Bill Snyder era.

                Tech Edge: Kansas State, based on team and series trends.


                SOUTH CAROLINA at VANDERBILT (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)

                Since arriving in Columbia, coach Will Muschamp has owned Vandy, winning and covering all four with SC vs. Dores.
                Vandy coach Derek Mason 4-11 spread slump since late 2018.

                Tech Edge: South Carolina, based on series trends.


                TEXAS STATE at TROY (ESPN+, 3:30 p.m.)

                Much-improved Texas State has been more active than most teams and improving vs. number (3-1), also has covered last four as dog since late 2019.
                Troy on 5-11 reg season spread skid (5-9 for Lindsey) though Trojans have won and covered last three in series.

                Tech Edge: Texas State, based on recent trends.


                ULM at LIBERTY (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)

                Things not going well at ULM, 0-4 SU and1 1-3 vs. line, now 9-20 vs. points since late 2017 for coach Matt Viator.

                Tech Edge: Liberty, based on team trends.


                UTSA at BYU (ESPN2, 2:30 p.m.)

                Note UTSA has covered 7 of last 8 as dog since mid 2019.
                Coach Kalani Sitake off quickly in 2020 at 3-0 for BYU but remember just 4-9 vs. line last season.

                Tech Edge: UTSA, based on team trends.


                FLORIDA ATLANTIC at SOUTHERN MISS (Stadium, 4:00 p.m.)

                FAU finally made debut on Oct. 3 after 10-4 vs. line for Lane Kiffin last year.
                Though after non-cover vs. Charlotte, coach Willie Taggart just 8-14-1 vs. spread since 2018 at FSU and now FAU.
                USM won at UNT last week, breaking six-game SU and spread skid.

                Tech Edge: FAU, based on recent trends.


                TEMPLE at NAVY (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)

                Owls were 3-0 SU, 2-0-1 vs. line against Mids from 2016-18.
                Note Navy 3-0-1 vs. line last four years after facing Air Force and has covered 6 of last 7 in Annapolis.
                Owls were 8-5 vs. line for coach Rod Carey LY but only 2-4 outside of Philly and yet to play in 2020!

                Tech Edge: Slight to Navy, based on team trends.


                MTSU at FIU (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)

                Home side has covered last four in this series.
                Brent Stockstill, however, is 8-5 vs. line last 13 as visitor (1-1 in 2020) for MT.
                FIU coach Butch Davis only 2-5 as chalk since last season.

                Tech Edge: Slight to Florida International, based on series home trends.


                UTEP at LA TECH (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)

                UTEP 3-1 SU (2-2 vs. line), taking advantage of soft early slate.
                Remember Miners were 10-25-1 vs. spread previous three seasons.
                Road team has also covered last four in series.
                Skip Holtz was 3-7 as Ruston chalk in 2017-18 but 3-2 in role LY.

                Tech Edge: Slight to Louisiana Tech, based on extended trends.


                FLORIDA STATE at NOTRE DAME (NBC, 7:30 p.m.)

                Noles skidding 13-26-1 vs. line since 2017 (0-2 TY).
                Also 4-10 as underdog since 2017.
                Irish 6-3 vs. spread at South Bend since 2019, also on 6-1 uptick vs. points.

                Tech Edge: Notre Dame, based on recent trends.


                CHARLOTTE at NORTH TEXAS (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)

                UNT on 5-19 skid last 24 vs. spread since mid 2018.
                49ers however only 3-5 vs. spread last eight away from home.

                Tech Edge: Slight to Charlotte, based on recent UNT negatives.


                MARSHALL at WESTERN KENTUCKY (Stadium, 7:30 p.m.)

                Series has slanted to WKU, which has covered last six meetings.
                Though Hilltoppers on 0-4-1 spread skid since late 2019.
                Herd is 11-4 last 15 as dog.

                Tech Edge: Western Kentucky, based on series trends.
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-08-2020, 12:44 AM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  NCAAF
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Week 7


                  Thursday’s game

                  Tulane (2-1) @ Houston (0-0)

                  — Tulane is 2-1; they blew a 24-0 halftime lead in their loss to Navy.
                  — Green Wave has run ball for 299.3 yards/game.
                  — Tulane has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                  — Green Wave has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Tulane’s senior QB has started 12 games.
                  — Green Wave os 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.

                  — This is Houston’s season opener.
                  — Cougars have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                  — Cougars have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Houston’s junior QB has started nine games.
                  — Since 2017, Cougars are 8-5 ATS as a home favorite.

                  — Tulane beat Houston 38-31 LY; both teams ran ball for 300+ yards.
                  — Home team won last four series games.
                  — Tulane lost 7 of last 8 visits here, losing 48-17/30-18 in last two.

                  Friday’s game

                  Louisville (1-2) @ Georgia Tech (1-2)

                  — Louisville lost its first two ACC games, giving up 70 points.
                  — Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                  — Louisville has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Louisville’s junior QB has started 17 games.
                  — Since 2014, Cardinals are 10-7 ATS as a road favorite.

                  — Georgia Tech upset Florida State, then lost next two games, 49-31/37-20.
                  — Tech has 9 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
                  — Yellow Jackets have 123 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Tech’s freshman QB has started three games.
                  — Jackets are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.

                  — Georgia Tech (-5) waxed Louisville 66-31 in their last meeting, in 2018.

                  13 of Saturday’s best games

                  Mississippi State (1-1) @ Kentucky (0-2)

                  — State was upset by Arkansas LW, after they upset LSU; Bulldogs are minus-4 in turnovers.
                  — MSU threw ball for 623 yards at LSU, 313 against the Razorbacks.
                  — Bulldogs have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                  — MSU has 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Bulldogs have a senior QB who has 27 starts (25 at Stanford)
                  — Since 2017, MSU is 1-6 ATS as a road underdog; Leach is 18-8 ATS in his last 26 games as a road dog.

                  — Kentucky lost its first two games, giving up 71 points; they lost 42-41 in OT to Ole Miss LW.
                  — Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                  — Kentucky has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Wildcats’ senior QB has started 17 games.
                  — Kentucky is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games as a home favorite.

                  — Home side won last five series games.
                  — Miss State won nine of last 11 series games, but lost 40-38/28-7 in last two visits here.

                  Duke (0-4) @ Syracuse (1-2)
                  — Duke lost its first four games, giving up 38-38 points in last two games.
                  — Duke has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                  — Blue Devils have 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Duke has a junior QB who has started four games
                  — Since 2013, Duke is 7-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.

                  — Syracuse won its home opener 37-20 LW, after losing road games 31-6/21-10.
                  — Orangemen have 7 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
                  — Syracuse has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Syracuse’s junior QB has started 14 games.
                  — Under Babers, Syracuse is 5-8 ATS as a home underdog.

                  — Road team won last two series games; Syracuse won 49-6 at Duke LY.

                  Pitt (3-1) @ Boston College (2-1)
                  — Pitt won two of first three ACC games, all at home; they gained 503 TY in their 30-29 loss to NC State LW. This is their first road game.
                  — Pitt has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                  — Panthers have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Pitt has a senior QB with 31 career starts.
                  — Since 2016, Panthers are 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.

                  — BC split its first two ACC games, losing 26-22 to UNC here last week- they’ve run ball for only 70.3 yards/game.
                  — Eagles have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                  — BC has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Eagles’ QB is a Notre Dame transfer; he is 80-117 for 823 yards so far.
                  — Since 2017, Boston College is 8-1-1 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog.

                  — Pitt won four of last five series games; they lost 26-19 to BC last year.
                  — Panthers won 30-20/24-13 in their last two visits to Chestnut Hill.

                  NC State (2-1) @ Virginia
                  — NC State has won two of three games, splitting two road tilts.
                  — Average total in State’s games: 71.7.
                  — Wolfpack has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                  — State has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Wolfpack has a sophomore QB with 8 career starts.
                  — Since 2017, NC State is 3-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.

                  — Virginia lost 41-23 at Clemson, after beating Duke 38-20 here.
                  — Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                  — Virginia has 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Cavs’ sophomore QB has started two games.
                  — Since 2017, Virginia is 9-7 ATS as a home favorite.

                  — Virginia (+6) lost 35-21 at NC State in their last meeting, two years ago.

                  Miami (3-0) @ Clemson (3-0)
                  — Miami won its first three games, scoring 43.3 ppg.
                  — Hurricanes have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                  — Miami has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Hurricanes have a senior QB who has started 22 games., 19 at Houston.
                  — Since 2015, Miami is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.

                  — Clemson won its first two ACC games, 37-13 over Wake, 41-23 over Virginia.
                  — Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                  — Tigers have only 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Clemson’s junior QB has started 29 games.
                  — Since 2017, Tigers are 12-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.

                  — Clemson won last two series games, 38-0/58-3.

                  Virginia Tech (2-0) @ North Carolina (2-0)
                  — Virginia Tech won its first two games, scoring 83 points.
                  — Hokies have 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
                  — Tech has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — VT has a junior QB with seven career starts, five at Oregon.
                  — Under Fuente, Hokies are 5-2 ATS as a road underdog.

                  — North Carolina won its first two games, scoring 57 points- they stopped BC on a game-tying 2-point conversion in last minute LW.
                  — Tar Heels have 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                  — UNC has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — UNC’s sophomore QB has started 15 games.
                  — Tar Heels are 2-4 ATS in last six games as a home favorite.

                  — Virginia Tech beat Carolina 43-41 in six OT’s LY; they won last four series games.
                  — Hokies won 22-19/34-3 in last two visits to Kenan Stadium.

                  Tennessee (2-0) @ Georgia (2-0)
                  — Tennessee won its first two games, scoring 31-35 points; they’ve won eight games in a row, going back to last year.
                  — Volunteers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                  — Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Vols have a senior QB with 27 career starts.
                  — Under Pruitt, Tennessee is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog.

                  — Georgia won its first two games this year, by 27-21 points.
                  — Dawgs have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                  — Georgia has 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Georgia’s junior QB is a former walk-on who started his first game LW, but he’s played well in his 1.5 games. Quite the Cinderella story.
                  — Since 2015, Dawgs are 11-19 ATS as a home favorite.

                  — Georgia is 8-2 in last ten series games, winning last three, by 12-2-26 points.
                  — Vols lost five of last six visits to Athens; underdogs covered five of those six games.
                  — Underdogs are 10-5 ATS in last fifteen series games.

                  Oklahoma (1-2) @ Texas (2-1)
                  — Oklahoma has lost consecutive regular season games for first time since 1999.
                  — Sooners lost first two Big X games, 38-35/37-30.
                  — Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                  — Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — New QB for Oklahoma this season; he is 69-94/977 yards with 10 TD’s, four INT’s.
                  — Sooners are 9-13-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road favorite.

                  — Texas lost 33-31 at home to TCU LW, after scoring 122 points in their first two wins.
                  — Texas allowed 898 yards in splitting its first two Big X games.
                  — Longhorns have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                  — Texas has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Longhorns’ senior QB has started 36 games.
                  — Under Herman, Texas is 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.

                  — Oklahoma won 8 of last 11 series games; they lost 48-45 to Texas LY.
                  — Underdogs covered six of last seven series games.
                  — Average total in last four series games: 74.3.

                  Texas Tech (1-2) @ Iowa State (2-1)
                  — Texas Tech lost its first two Big X games, 63-56 OT/31-21.
                  — Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                  — Red Raiders have 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Tech has a sophomore QB with 13 career starts.
                  — Since 2015, Red Raiders are 11-8 ATS as a road underdog.

                  — Iowa State won its first two Big X games, 37-34/37-30, after they got upset at home by Louisiana.
                  — Cyclones have 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                  — ISU has 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — ISU’s junior QB has started 24 games.
                  — Cyclones are 3-9 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite.

                  — Iowa State won last four series games, all by 9+ points.
                  — Tech lost 40-31/66-10 in their last two visits to Ames.

                  Arkansas (1-1) @ Auburn (1-1)
                  — Arkansas upset Miss State LW, snapping their 20-game SEC losing streak.
                  — Arkansas has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                  — Razorbacks have 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Hogs have a senior QB with 26 career starts, 24 of them at Florida.
                  — Since 2017, Arkansas is 3-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.

                  — Auburn lost 27-6 at Georgia LW, after beating Kentucky 29-13 in their opener.
                  — Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                  — Auburn has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Tigers have a sophomore QB with 10 career starts.
                  — Since 2015, Auburn is 11-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.

                  — Auburn won six of last seven series games, winning last four by an average score of 48-9.
                  — Arkansas hasn’t won or covered any of its last three visits to the Plains.

                  Florida (2-0) @ Texas A&M (1-1)
                  — Florida won its first two games, scoring 89 points- they gave up 613 yards in their 51-35 win at Ole Miss.
                  — Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                  — Florida has 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Gators have a senior QB with 12 career starts.
                  — Under Mullen, Florida is 6-1 ATS as a road favorite.

                  — A&M lost 52-24 at Alabama, after edging Vanderbilt 17-13 at home.
                  — Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                  — A&M has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Aggies’ senior QB has started 36 games.
                  — Since 2017, A&M is 1-6 ATS as a home underdog.

                  — Texas A&M (+2.5) beat Florida 19-17 in Gainesville, in teams’ last meeting three years ago.

                  Kansas State (2-1) @ TCU (1-1)
                  — K-State won its first two Big X games 38-35/31-21, after losing at home to Arkansas State.
                  — Wildcats’ QB Thompson got hurt last week, is ??? to play here.
                  — Wildcats have 3 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                  — K-State has only 2 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Wildcats have a senior QB who started 30 games.
                  — Since 2016, K-State is 14-4 ATS as a road underdog.
                  — K-State is doing well; their coach got his contract extended this week.

                  — TCU split its first two games, which were decided by total of five points.
                  — TCU has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                  — Horned Frogs have 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — TCU’s sophomore QB has made 12 starts.
                  — Since 2016, Frogs are 4-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.

                  — TCU won four of last six series games- they lost 24-17 in Manhattan LY.
                  — Wildcats split their last four visits to Fort Worth.
                  — Underdogs covered four of last six series games.

                  Marshall (2-0) @ Western Kentucky (1-2)
                  — Marshall beat Appalachian State 17-7 in its only I-A so far this year.
                  — Thundering Herd has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
                  — Marshall has 126 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Marshall has a junior QB who has started 24 games.
                  — Since 2016, Thundering Herd is 4-8 ATS as a road favorite.

                  — WKU snuck by Middle Tennessee 20-17 after losing its first two games.
                  — Hilltoppers have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                  — WKU has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Hilltoppers’ senior QB has 10 career starts, 7 of them at Maryland.
                  — WKU is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games as a home underdog.

                  — Marshall won last three series games, by 3-7-7 points- underdogs covered all three games.
                  — Thundering Herd split its last two visits to WKU.
                  Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-08-2020, 12:11 PM.

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                  • #10
                    Tulane vs. Houston Week 6 Odds, Preview
                    Joe Nelson

                    College Football has not been able to keep many of the planned Thursday night games in the early going this season but this week the AAC will aim to open up the football weekend as Tulane visits Houston.

                    Houston will be playing its first game of the season after a series of cancellations while Tulane is off to a 2-1 start overall though losing in its only American game so far this season.

                    BETTING RESOURCES

                    Week 6 Matchup: AAC
                    Venue: TDECU Stadium
                    Location: Houston, Texas
                    Date: Thursday, October 8, 2020
                    Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
                    TV: ESPN

                    TULANE-HOUSTON BETTING ODDS

                    Line Movements


                    Spread: Houston -6.5
                    Money-Line: Houston -250, Tulane +210
                    Total: 59

                    Houston coach Dana Holgorsen and the Cougars will be making their 2020 regular season debut on Thursday versus Tulane. (AP)

                    HOW TO HANDICAP TULANE-HOUSTON

                    Tulane is 2-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS this season with some big swings in its games.

                    The Green Wave won 27-24 in its opener at South Alabama but trailed 24-6 in that game. Tulane then had a 24-0 halftime lead vs. Navy at home but lost 27-24 on a field goal as time expired.

                    In its most recent game in late September Tulane trailed 21-14 at Southern Miss before putting up 52 points in the final 37 minutes to win 66-24.

                    Houston is yet to play this season with postponed games vs. Rice, Baylor, and North Texas in September.

                    BETTING ANALYSIS – GREEN WAVE

                    Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

                    Overall: 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-0-1 O/U

                    Willie Fritz isn’t a household name but he has compiled now 179 wins in his career mostly at lower level programs. After a long run at Central Missouri he led Sam Houston State for four seasons, twice competing for the then Division I Championship. He led Georgia Southern to a 17-7 record as a Sun Belt newcomer and he has led improvement at Tulane now in his fifth season, coming off back-to-back 6-6 regular seasons capped off by bowl wins.

                    Fritz has been a strong spread performer at 30-22-1 ATS at Tulane, though most of that success has come at home in a favorite role. His Georgia Southern teams also went 16-8 ATS in his two seasons as few head coaches can rival his over 60 percent cover rate, even if at Tulane he is still a few games below .500 S/U overall.

                    Georgia Southern and Tulane ran the option for Fritz but that changed slightly with offensive coordinator Will Hall who joined the program last season. The emphasis is on playing up-tempo while still featuring some option elements but also spreading receivers out as well. Running the ball is a priority and the Green Wave have nearly netted 900 rushing yards in the first three games on 6.5 yards per carry.

                    Quarterback play has been shaky with Southern Miss transfer Keon Howard completing only 42 percent of his passes so far and without a touchdown pass. Howard played sparingly last season behind Justin McMillan who threw for 2,400 yards while also leading Tulane in rushing.

                    The up-tempo pace for the Wave has certainly been a big factor in the roller coaster style of games in which the Wave has been a part of this season. Tulane has also had to replace its top running back and top two receivers from last season but so far the Wave already have four different rushers hitting triple-digit yardage through three games.

                    Tulane was a middle-of-the-pack scoring team in AAC play last season, actually even at 252-252 in going 3-5 in conference games. Memphis and SMU beat Tulane handily by 30 and 17 respectively but the Wave also had a pair of three-point losses to Navy and UCF.

                    Tulane’s rushing presence coupled with a run defense that so far has allowed only 2.8 yards per rush makes for attractive underdog traits. Tulane has allowed 8.8 yards per pass attempt however as big plays against the Wave in the air are possible. Senior DE Patrick Johnson is considered a mid-round NFL draft prospect for 2021 and he has four sacks already as a player to watch on defense.

                    BETTING ANALYSIS - COUGARS

                    Overall: 0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS, 0-0 O/U

                    Head Coach Dana Holgorsen surprised many by leaving West Virginia after the 2018 season to take over at Houston, moving from the Big XII to the AAC. Holgorsen was the OC at Houston in 2008-09 before a one-year run at Oklahoma State before moving to Morgantown, somewhat contentiously taking over for Bill Stewart.

                    Holgorsen went 61-41 at West Virginia but never matched the success the team had in an Orange Bowl run in his first season in 2011, the final season as a Big East team. West Virginia did go 10-3 in 2016 and in seven of eight seasons with the program West Virginia had a winning record for Holgorsen.

                    His first season at Houston fell well short of expectations finishing 4-8. Most notably star quarterback D’Eriq King opted to sit out the rest of the season after a 1-3 start, eventually transferring and now leading Miami this season.

                    His replacement Clayton Tune is back this season and he held off Holgorsen’s son Logan for the starting quarterback job for 2020. Tune had marginal numbers last season completing just 59 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions.

                    Houston was a successful rushing team last season posting more than 2,200 yards on 4.8 yards per carry, with Tune offering some mobility. Seniors Kyle Porter and Texas transfer Mulbah Car are expected to lead the ground game with Porter offering elusive quickness while Car is a physical force in goal line situations.

                    Potential late round NFL draft pick Marquez Stevenson is back as the leading receiver for Houston in 2019 as the offense is experienced after scoring more than 30 points per game last season. The offense lost Tackle Josh Jones, a third round NFL draft pick to Arizona, who will be difficult to replace.

                    Houston won only twice in AAC play last season and surprisingly went 1-4 S/U and ATS at home in 2019, with the only S/U win coming vs. FCS Prairie View. Houston allowed 176 points in its four AAC home losses, though in fairness they did face three of the conference’s top teams in those games. Houston was outscored 230-286 last season in league play and 368-408 overall, numbers indicative of a closer to .500 record than the Cougars produced.

                    In a major transition and replacing one of the program’s most productive players of all-time, Houston wound up with three one-score losses and the schedule overall was difficult, playing Oklahoma and Washington State in non-conference play and drawing both Cincinnati and UCF from the East division crossover games.

                    HISTORICALLY SPEAKING

                    HEAD-TO-HEAD


                    Houston leads the all-time series 17-7 (13-9 ATS) going back to 1968 but these teams have a lot of recent history as regular Conference USA foes in the late 1990s and 2000s and now playing annually as AAC foes since 2014.

                    Houston won and covered in this series 10 consecutive years from 2003 to 2012 but the series but the Cougars are 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS since 2014 with the host winning S/U each of the past four years.

                    Last season was the first time Houston was an underdog in this series since 2003 and many of the ATS wins for Houston came as a heavy favorite in a difficult stretch for the Tulane program.

                    LAST SEASON

                    This was a mid-September Thursday night game last season and it lived up to the TV spotlight. Houston, in what would be King’s final game, led 28-14 at halftime but Tulane would tie the game early in the fourth quarter after Houston was held to back-to-back punts to start the second half. The Cougars missed a field goal with about 10 minutes remaining and Tulane broke the 28-28 tie with a 44-yard kick at the 6:10 mark.

                    Houston used nearly all the remaining clock on a 16-play drive but couldn’t get in the end zone, eventually settling for a 24-yard field goal with 21 seconds to go, seemingly forcing overtime.

                    The Wave hit a solid gain to near midfield on first down and then McMillan hit Jalen McClesky down the field at about the 25-yard-line where two Houston defenders collided and a third wasn’t able to make the tackle as The Wave would score with three seconds remaining for a stunning finish, also covering as a 4.5-point home favorite.

                    Houston had a 533-511 yardage edge and both teams had a single turnover. The box score was nearly identical with both teams eclipsing 300 rushing yards on similar averages while completed passes were rare with Tulane’s big plays late boosting its per attempt average to 9.3 yards per pass. Most of the key players on both offenses will be different this time around with the exception of Porter and Stevenson for Houston.

                    NOTABLE BETTING TRENDS

                    -- Houston is 14-18 ATS as a home favorite since 2014, though surprisingly the Cougars were not a home favorite in a FBS game last season at all.

                    -- The Cougars are 28-10 S/U at home since 2014 but just 17-21 ATS.

                    -- Tulane is just 8-18 S/U on the road under Fritz since 2016, going 12-14 ATS, with two of those S/U wins this season.

                    -- Tulane is only 6-10 ATS as a road underdog since 2016.
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-08-2020, 12:13 PM.

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                    • #11
                      Satch,

                      If your Pbluemarlin email is still active, check it.

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                      • #12

                        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-10-2020, 10:26 AM.

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                        • #13
                          Mississippi St - RB Kylin Hill (head) is probable today versus Kentucky

                          Texas Tech
                          - QB Alan Bowman (ankle) & QB Donovan Smith (undisclosed) are questionable today versus Iowa St.

                          Kansas St
                          - QB Skylar Thompson (shoulder) is probable today versus TCU.

                          Liberty
                          - QB Malik Willis (elbow) is probable today versus UL-Monroe.

                          Temple
                          - QB Anthony Russo (muscle pull) is probable today versus Navy.

                          Flordia St
                          - QB Chubba Purdy (collarbone) is doubtful, QB Jordan Travis will start today versus Notre Dame

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