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**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 08:36 AM

Betting Recap - Week 15
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 15 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 9-6
Against the Spread 8-6-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 7-8
Against the Spread 6-8-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 10-5

National Football League Year-to-Date Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 123-77-1
Against the Spread 97-115-7

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 118-100-1
Against the Spread 92-120-7

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 109-109-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Falcons (+10, ML +425) at 49ers, 29-22
Jaguars (+7, ML +250) at Raiders, 20-16
Cardinals (+3, ML +140) at Browns, 38-24
Texans (+3, ML +140) at Titans, 24-21

The largest favorite to cover
Ravens (-17) vs. Jets, 42-21
Patriots (-10.5) at Bengals, 34-13
Chiefs (-9.5) vs. Broncos, 23-3
Eagles (-6.5) at Redskins, 37-27
Buccaneeers (-6) at Lions, 38-17

Bad Beat - Part 1

-- The Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) took on the Washington Redskins at FedEx Field, and the game started off harmlessly enough. The Redskins were leading 14-10 at halftime on their home field, looking to spoil the NFC East Division title and playoff dreams of their rivals. The Eagles struck for a touchdown in the third to re-take the lead 17-14. That's when the craziness started.

RB Adrian Peterson scored just seven seconds into the fourth to make it 21-17, and the teams traded touchdowns with TE Zach Ertz going to six to re-take the lead. The Redskins booted a pair of field goals to take a 27-24 lead, and that's how it looked like it might end. At the very least, the Redskins were going to hang on for the home cover. WR Greg Ward Jr. scored with :26 left to make it 31-27, and the Eagles were on their way to a win. However, the scoring wasn't over, as any Redskins side bettor already knows all too well. QB Dwayne Haskins fumbled, and with zeroes left on the clock it was LB Nigel Bradham returning the fumble for 47 yards to make it 37-27.

Bad Beat - Part 2

-- If you had the 'under' (50) in Atlanta Falcons-San Francisco 49ers, my condolences. At 5:15 to go in regulation there were just 36 total points on the board when the Falcons scored a rushing touchdown to cut the lead to 19-17. The 49ers booted a field goal at 1:48 to make it 22-17 in favor of the Niners.

With :02 left, the Falcons scored a touchdown, as QB Matt Ryan hit WR Julio Jones on a 5-yard connection to make it 23-22. Under bettors loved that they didn't even risk a two-point conversion or extra point, should the 49ers block a kick or return a fumble or interception for two points. So game over, right? Well, the 49ers tried a crazy series of lateral that went backwards, and you knew how this one was going. The 49ers chunked it, the Falcons scooped it up at the goal line and cashed in the six to push it over with zeroes on the clock. Two absolutely atrocious beats on the day. If you had the Redskins and the under in this game toge

Total Recall

-- There were five games with a total of 48.5 or greater -- Los Angeles Rams-Dallas Cowboys (48.5), Seattle Seahawks-Carolina Panthers (49), Cleveland Browns-Arizona Cardinals (49), Falcons-49ers (49.5 - see above) and the Houston Texans-Tennessee Titans (50.5). All but the Texans-Titans game ended up going over, and the AFC South battle probably would have gone over, too, if not for a scoreless first quarter. It was close.

The 'over' connected in the final Thursday game of the 2019 season between the New York Jets-Baltimore Ravens (44), with the over/under going 7-7 in the TNF game for the season. The Sunday nighter between the Buffalo Bills-Pittsburgh Steelers (37) was the lowest total on the board, and still wasn't even close to going over. We have the Monday nighter between the Indianapolis Colts-New Orleans Saints (46.5) still pending. The 'over' is just 17-28 (37.8%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Looking Ahead - Division Matchups

-- The Bills and Patriots battle at 4:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. Buffalo is 7-0-1 ATS in the past eight games on the road, and 5-0-1 ATS in the past six as a road underdog. The Patriots are 42-19-3 ATS in their past 63 at Gillette, and 4-0 ATS in the past four appearance on a Saturday. In this series the road team is 20-8-1 ATS in the past 29 meetings, with the Bills 3-1-1 ATS in the past five trips to Foxboro.

-- The Rams and 49ers tangle, and San Francisco looks to recover after their shocking loss to Atlanta dropped them from a first-round bye in the playoffs into a wild-card position and a potential road game to kick off the playoffs. Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in the past six games inside the division, and they're 7-2 ATS in the past nine on the road. They were trampled in Dallas in Week 15, however. San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in the past six against winning teams, but just 7-18-1 ATS in the past 26 as a favorite and 2-7-1 ATS in the past 10 inside the division. The 49ers are 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings with the Rams, however, and the under is 5-1 in the past six meetings in the Bay Area.

-- The Giants and Redskins tangle in D.C. in a game with nothing on the line outside of pride. The bets cash the same, however. New York is 11-3 ATS in the past 14 on the road, while going 10-2 ATS in the past 12 as a road underdog. The Redskins are 2-7 ATS in the past nine at home, although they should have covered in Week 15 (see above). Ugh. The G-Men are 9-4 ATS in the past 13 meetings, while the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past five in this series. The under is also 5-1 in the past six in this series, and 5-2 in the past seven at FedEx Field.

-- The Ravens can clinch the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC with a win over the Browns, who stunningly beat them back on Sept. 29 in Baltimore by a 40-25 score as the 'over' hit. The Ravens are 7-1 ATS in the past eight games overall, and they're 4-0 ATS in the past four on the road. The Browns are still barely alive for a playoff spot, but need to win out with help. The Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in the past four at home, but just 2-8-1 ATS in the past 11 at FirstEnergy Stadium vs. Ravens.

-- The Raiders and Chargers meet in Carson. Soon this will be Las Vegas vs. Los Angeles, which is still weird. The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, with the road team 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meeting. The under is 5-1 in the past six in this series.

-- The Cowboys are 16-5 ATS in the past 21 inside the NFC East, while the Eagles are 4-10 ATS in the past 14 at home while going 1-6 ATS in the past seven at home vs. Cowboys. The Eagles are also 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings overall. With the road team also 11-5 ATS in the past 16 meetings, all trends point to Dallas.

-- The Cardinals are 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven on the road, but just 1-4-1 ATS in the past six against winning teams. The Seahawks are 4-1-1 ATS in the past six overall, but they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven at home. Arizona is 4-0 ATS in the past four trips to Seattle, and 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetings overall. The road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the past 10 meetings overall in the series.

-- The Packers and Vikings meet on Monday night. The Packers are 2-6 ATS in the past eight battles on MNF, while the Vikings are 2-11 ATS in the past 13 on Monday, so something's gotta give. In this series the Packers are 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to the Twin Cities, while the home team is 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. The under is 5-0 in the past five in Minnesota, while going 8-2 in the past 10 meetings overall, including a 21-16 win by the Packers in Week 2 at Lambeau.

**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 08:38 AM

Close Calls - Week 15
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread or total in the fourth quarter last week in Week 15 of the NFL regular season including two late defensive scores that made a great impact.

Baltimore Ravens (-17) 42, New York Jets 21 (44): The Ravens wrapped up this game with a 35-7 edge through three quarters but a blocked punt touchdown in the fourth put the Jets back in the conversation against the heavy underdog spread. A touchdown halfway through the fourth put the Jets within 21 after a successful two-point conversion and New York got the ball back at midfield with still five minutes remaining. On 4th-and-1 a Sam Darnold throw fell incomplete and Baltimore was able to run out the remaining clock with Robert Griffin III in the game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6) 38, Detroit Lions 17 (46): The Buccaneers stormed out to a 21-0 lead in this game but the Lions slowly climbed back in the picture, completing a long touchdown drive on the first play of the fourth quarter to trail by only seven on a spread that climbed as high as +6 by kickoff. Tampa Bay missed a field goal on its next possession as the Lions were a live upset threat but with about five minutes remaining David Blough was intercepted with a 70-yard return for a touchdown. The Lions had to go for it on 4th down short of midfield on its next drive and the Buccaneers added another score to pull away for a somewhat misleading 21-point final margin. Three fourth quarter touchdowns also shifted a possible ‘under’ with 34 points through three quarters to a clear ‘over’.

Philadelphia Eagles (-6½) 37, Washington Redskins 27 (38): The Redskins led at halftime and erased a three-point deficit through three quarters with an early fourth quarter touchdown run from Adrian Peterson for a four-point lead as a home underdog. The fourth quarter would feature 33 points to soar ‘over’ the total and Philadelphia was able to set-up next week’s NFC East clash by going in front with 26 seconds to go, leading by four for the largest lead of the game for the Eagles. That would change with no time on the clock however as in desperation mode just across midfield an attempted lateral wound up going the other way for a late Eagles touchdown to flip the spread result.

Green Bay Packers (-4½) 21, Chicago Bears 13 (40½): After a low-scoring first half the Packers went in front 21-3 with two third quarter scores. The Bears added a field goal early in the fourth and later a touchdown while forcing five consecutive Green Bay punts with only one first down allowed. Down eight the Bears had three late possessions ending in an interception, stopped on downs in Green Bay territory with a failed pass interference challenge, and then delivering an incredible final play that nearly shifted the spread and total results and could have sent the game to overtime. The Bears had one second on the clock from the Green Bay 34-yard-line and opted for a short pass rather than a deep throw to the end zone. Against loose coverage Tarik Cohen had a lateral back to Mitchell Trubisky who sent the ball to Jesper Horsted who rumbled inside the 10-yard-line. Horsted failed to send the ball back one more time even with two Bears with an opening down the sideline in what could have been a score for Chicago to set-up a possible tying two-point conversion.

Houston Texans (+3) 24, Tennessee Titans 21 (50½): The Texans had a 14-0 lead in the huge AFC North contest with some big momentum swings early in this game. Deshaun Watson was intercepted for a touchback on the opening drive but Houston would block a field goal attempt for a scoreless first quarter. The play of the game was a deflected Ryan Tannehill pass to the edge of the end zone deflecting for an interception and an 86-yard return to set-up a Houston touchdown. Up 14-0 Houston stopped the Titans on downs later in the first half but Tennessee managed to score back-to-back touchdowns to tie the game around an interception of Watson in the end zone to thwart another scoring opportunity. Houston would respond with a touchdown on the next drive and later a field goal to lead by 10 but Tennessee added a score just ahead of the two-minute-warning to stay in play while keeping those on the ‘over’ in the mix for a late miracle. The Titans wouldn’t get the ball back until just 17 seconds remained and Ryan Tannehill was sacked to end the threat, narrowly avoiding a potential defensive score.

Seattle Seahawks (-6) 30, Carolina Panthers 24 (49): The Seahawks seemed to be in complete control going up 30-10 with about seven minutes remaining in the game. Those on the ‘over’ and taking the points found late life however with the Panthers scoring with about five minutes remaining on a Christian McCaffrey run while the defense then forced a quick 3-and-out. Just over minute later the Panthers were in the end zone again to send the total ‘over’ while allowing many Carolina tickets to be cashed at +6½. The scoring stopped there as Seattle was able to take a knee to eventually burn over three minutes of clock, moving to the #1 spot in the NFC.

New York Giants (-3½) 36, Miami Dolphins 20 (46½): The Dolphins trailed by one late in the third quarter despite botching two early scoring opportunities with a missed field goal while being stopped on downs at the 10-yard-line as well. A false start pinned Miami deep and a safety followed while the Giants got a good kickoff return and scored a few plays later to turn a one-point edge into a 10-point edge in quick order. Miami’s offense disappeared from there and the Giants pulled away while a 10-7 game at halftime turned into a clear ‘over’ with 39 second half points.

Buffalo Bills (+1) 17, Pittsburgh Steelers 10 (37): The Steelers led 10-7 through three quarters as a very slight favorite but the second of eventually four Devlin Hodges interceptions handed the Bills a field goal to tie the game. Buffalo didn’t have a productive offensive game but Josh Allen led the Bills 70 yards in six plays in the middle of the fourth quarter with Buffalo surviving a fumble in the red zone. Down seven the Steelers had a new set of downs at the Buffalo 26-yard line with three minutes to go but went backwards with a penalty and a sack before a fourth down interception in the end zone. Hodges would be intercepted in the end zone again in the final seconds as the Bills defense came through to send Buffalo into the postseason.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+6½) 20, Oakland Raiders 16 (46½): Oakland appeared to have a good sendoff underway with a 16-3 lead at halftime though settling for three short field goals left the door open. The Jaguars added three in the final seconds of the third quarter to trail by 10 before the Raiders offense faltered in the fourth with a costly sack near midfield forcing a punt and then a missed field goal. The Jaguars would get two touchdowns from Gardner Minshew to Chris Conley with the go-ahead score coming with only 31 seconds to go. Oakland got a 33-yard pass interference call to have a reasonable shot late but the final two deep throws fell incomplete.

Atlanta Falcons (+10) 29, San Francisco 49ers 22 (49): The score was just 13-10 through three quarters in favor of the 49ers with the underdog points and the ‘under’ looking safe. San Francisco would score with 10 minutes remaining but missed the PAT in a key play with +10 a common number late in the week in this game. That wound up not mattering as the Falcons scored a touchdown with five minutes to go and San Francisco added a field goal after the two-minute warning for a five-point margin. Atlanta had a touchdown called back on review in the final seconds but on the final play Matt Ryan hit Julio Jones right at the goal line. Ruled short on the field, review gave Atlanta the score for the win. The Falcons did not add the conversion to lead 23-22 as the ‘under’ held but a disastrous 49ers kickoff return lateral situation after time expired would result in a fumble recovery in the end zone as Atlanta added six more points and the ‘over’ was cleared.

**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 08:39 AM

451LA RAMS -452 SAN FRANCISCO
LA RAMS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=375 yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.

453BUFFALO -454 NEW ENGLAND
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games in the current season.

455HOUSTON -456 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 2 straight overs in the last 2 seasons.

457DETROIT -458 DENVER
DETROIT is 24-8 ATS (15.2 Units) in road games after a loss by 14+ pts. since 1992.

459OAKLAND -460 LA CHARGERS
OAKLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

461JACKSONVILLE -462 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. bad teams (25-40%) over the last 2 seasons.

461JACKSONVILLE -462 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games in the last 2 seasons.

463NEW ORLEANS -464 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

465NY GIANTS -466 WASHINGTON
NY GIANTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.

467PITTSBURGH -468 NY JETS
PITTSBURGH is 70-38 ATS (28.2 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game since 1992.

469CINCINNATI -470 MIAMI
MIAMI is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season since 1992.

471CAROLINA -472 INDIANAPOLIS
CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

473BALTIMORE -474 CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

473BALTIMORE -474 CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game in the last 2 seasons.

475DALLAS -476 PHILADELPHIA
DALLAS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 2 seasons.

477ARIZONA -478 SEATTLE
SEATTLE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

479KANSAS CITY -480 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) in the current season.

481GREEN BAY -482 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 08:39 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Saturday, December 21

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LA RAMS (8 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 3) - 12/21/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 94-125 ATS (-43.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 146-192 ATS (-65.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 74-107 ATS (-43.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS are 72-105 ATS (-43.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LA RAMS are 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
LA RAMS are 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 3-2 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (10 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (11 - 3) - 12/21/2019, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 270-206 ATS (+43.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 270-206 ATS (+43.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 95-68 ATS (+20.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 207-151 ATS (+40.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 199-152 ATS (+31.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 130-88 ATS (+33.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-92 ATS (+27.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-59 ATS (+26.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games this season.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
BUFFALO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (9 - 5) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 7) - 12/21/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 22

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DETROIT (3 - 10 - 1) at DENVER (5 - 9) - 12/22/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 147-185 ATS (-56.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DENVER is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (6 - 8) at LA CHARGERS (5 - 9) - 12/22/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 151-189 ATS (-56.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 37-66 ATS (-35.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 41-85 ATS (-52.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 35-62 ATS (-33.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 4-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (5 - 9) at ATLANTA (5 - 9) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
ATLANTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (10 - 3) at TENNESSEE (8 - 6) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against NFC South division opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 55-30 ATS (+22.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (3 - 11) at WASHINGTON (3 - 11) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-99 ATS (-45.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 93-125 ATS (-44.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 93-125 ATS (-44.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 93-125 ATS (-44.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 26-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (8 - 6) at NY JETS (5 - 9) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (1 - 13) at MIAMI (3 - 11) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
MIAMI is 49-71 ATS (-29.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
MIAMI is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (5 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 7) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 85-58 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (12 - 2) at CLEVELAND (6 - 8) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (7 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (7 - 7) - 12/22/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 9 - 1) at SEATTLE (11 - 3) - 12/22/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 72-43 ATS (+24.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (10 - 4) at CHICAGO (7 - 7) - 12/22/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, December 23

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GREEN BAY (11 - 3) at MINNESOTA (10 - 4) - 12/23/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 71-45 ATS (+21.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 08:41 AM

NFL

Week 16

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Trend Report
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Saturday, December 21

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games
Tampa Bay is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Houston Texans
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road

New England Patriots
New England is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New England is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of New England's last 25 games
New England is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games at home
New England is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New England's last 11 games at home
New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
New England is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
Buffalo is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 9 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing New England
Buffalo is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against New England

San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 15-7-1 SU in its last 23 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams's last 9 games
LA Rams is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
LA Rams is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Rams's last 11 games on the road
LA Rams is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
LA Rams is 7-15-1 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
LA Rams is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
LA Rams is 3-7-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Sunday, December 22

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 8 games
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans's last 13 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games at home
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cleveland is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Baltimore is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games at home
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Indianapolis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
Miami is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games
Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Cincinnati is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Miami
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami

New York Jets
NY Jets is 7-16-1 ATS in its last 24 games
NY Jets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
NY Jets is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
NY Jets is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Jets is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games at home
NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Jets's last 16 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Jets is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 16 games when playing NY Jets
Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

Washington Redskins
Washington is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games
Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Washington is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games at home
Washington is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing NY Giants
Washington is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Washington is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games
NY Giants is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Giants's last 9 games on the road
NY Giants is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Washington
NY Giants is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Washington
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
NY Giants is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington

Denver Broncos
Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Denver's last 23 games
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Denver is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games at home
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Chargers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
LA Chargers is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
LA Chargers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games at home
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing Oakland
LA Chargers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oakland
LA Chargers is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Oakland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Oakland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Oakland is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Seattle's last 23 games
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
Arizona is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Philadelphia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
Chicago is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Kansas City's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago

Monday, December 23

Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 6-12-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Green Bay's last 25 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

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**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 08:42 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Saturday’s games
Texans (9-5) @ Buccaneers (7-7)— Houston beat Titans 24-21 LW to grab one-game lead in AFC South; they host Titans next week. Texans won three of last four games, with all three wins by 6 or less points- they converted 23 of last 46 on 3rd down. Houston is 3-3 SU in true road games; they are underdog in all six games. Last four years, Texans are 0-3-1 as road favorites. Five of heir last seven games went under. Tampa Bay won its last four games, scoring 34.8 ppg; they threw ball for 913 yards last two weeks. Bucs are 2-3 SU at home TY; they’re 7-2 ATS in last nine games as a home dog. Houston won last three series games, all by 10+ points. AFC South non-divisional faves are 6-8 ATS this year, 2-1 on road; NFC South dogs are 10-10 ATS, 4-2 at home.

Bills (10-4) @ Patriots (11-3)—First place in AFC East is on line here. NE picked off four passes, blocked punt for TD in 16-10 (-7) Week 4 win at Buffalo; Patriots only TD drive was 50 yards. Bills outgained Patriots by 151 yards (375-224) but four turnovers are usually fatal. NE won 28 of last 31 series games; Bills are 6-3-1 ATS in last ten visits to Foxboro. Buffalo beat Steelers for first time in 20 years LW; they’re 6-1 SU on road TY, 4-0-1 ATS as a road underdog. Six of their last seven games stayed under. New England split its last six games after an 8-0 start; they’re +17 in turnovers their last nine games. Patriots are 23-11-3 ATS in last 27 games as a home favorite, 3-3 TY. Under is 9-5 in their games this year, 4-2 at home.

Rams (8-6) @ 49ers (11-3)— Rams went 56 yards for TD on first drive, gained 101 yards rest of day in 20-7 home loss to SF in Week 6; Rams had scored 42.7 ppg in winning previous three series games. Underdogs covered four of last five series games played here. LA split its last four games overall, giving up 45-44 points in the losses- they need win to stay alive in playoff hunt. Rams are 4-3 SU in true road games TY- in McVay era, they’re 4-1 ATS as a road underdog, 1-0 TY; seven of their last nine games stayed under. 49ers are coming off last-second home loss to Atlanta; they split their last six games after an 8-0 start. Niners are 5-2 SU at home TY, 3-4 ATS as a home favorite. Six of their last eight games went over the total.

Sunday's Games
Lions (3-10-1) @ Broncos (5-9)— Detroit lost its last seven games; they were outscored 38-3 in 1st half the last two weeks. Under Patricia, Lions are 6-4-1 ATS as road underdogs, 2-2-1 TY- they lost their last five road games SU, scoring 3 TD’s on 36 drives in last three. Over is 8-4 in their last dozen games. Denver is 2-1 with rookie QB Lock starting; they won three of last four home games. Broncos are 2-7-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 1-1 TY; they’ve run ball for 90 or fewer yards in their last four games, were outscored 79-19 in 2nd half of their last five games. Teams split last four series games; favorites covered last three. AFC West non-divisional home favorites are 4-8 ATS; NFC North road underdogs are 3-5.

Raiders (6-8) @ Chargers (5-9)— This is last game Chargers play in their temporary soccer stadium home. Oakland lost its last four games, outscored 78-9 in 2nd half; they’re 1-5 SU in true road games TY, 5-15-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog, 2-3 TY. Four of their five road losses were by 18+ points. Chargers lost four of last five games; they turned ball over seven times in LW’s hideous 39-10 home loss to Minnesota. LA is 2-4 SU at home TY, 2-9 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 0-4 TY. Oakland scored on an 18-yard run with 1:02 left to beat Chargers 26-24 (+1.5) in first meeting, their first series win in last five tries; Raiders had five sacks, two takeaways (+2)- they lost last two visits to Carson, 26-10/30-10.

Jaguars (5-9) @ Falcons (5-9)— Both teams posted upset wins on road last week. Jags scored two TD’s, FG on last three drives to upset Raiders LW after trailing 16-3. Jaguars lost five of last six games, gaining 262 or less TY in LY’s three games- they were outscored 65-6 in first half of last three games. Jacksonville is 4-7-1 ATS in last dozen games as a road dog, 3-3 TY. Falcons won four of last six games, covered five of last seven; they’re 2-5 SU at home TY, 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite, 0-2 TY. Three of their last four games went over. Atlanta won three of last four series games, winning 41-14/21-14 in last two played here. AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 9-5-1 ATS; NFC South favorites are 6-8-1 ATS, 4-7-1 at home.

Saints (11-3) @ Titans (8-6)— Tennessee is tied for last Wild Card slot; Saints are fighting for first round bye in playoffs. NO won nine of last 11 games, winning last five on road; they’re 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite, 2-0 TY. Saints are 8-0 TY when giving up less than 26 points. Tennessee won four of its last five games; they outscored last four foes 101-35 in 2nd half. Titans are 4-3 SU at home TY; they’re 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog. Seven of their last eight games went over the total. Titans won three of last four series games; teams split last two meetings played here. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 6-8-1 ATS, 2-1 on road; AFC South underdogs are 10-10 ATS, 4-2 at home.

Giants (3-11) @ Redskins (3-11)— Giants (-3) outgained Washington 389-176, scored defensive TD in their 24-3 home win in Week 4, when rookie Haskins relieved starter Keenum. Teams split last six series games; Giants won four of last six visits here. Haskins is now the Redskins’ starter, going 2-4 in last six games; Washington scored 23.7 ppg in last three games, scoring 8 TD’s on last 31 drives. Over last 11 years, Skins are 12-21 ATS as a home favorite, 0-1 TY. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Giants snapped a 9-game losing skid LW; they lost their last five road games. Big Blue’s only road win was 32-31 at Tampa Bay when Bucs missed short FG at end. Giants are 14-7 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog, 4-2 TY.

Steelers (8-6) @ Jets (5-9)— Pittsburgh won seven of last nine games after a 1-4 start; they were held to 7-10 points in last two losses. Rookie Hodges is 3-1 as a starter; Pitt allowed 17 or fewer points in last four games- they’re 3-3 SU on road TY, 4-9 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite, 1-1 TY. Jets won four of last six games after a 1-7 start; they’re 5-0 when they score 22+ points, 0-9 when they don’t. Jets scored 30 ppg in winning their last three home games. Over last 11 years. they’re 22-12-2 ATS as a home underdog, 3-2 TY. Steelers won three of last four series games; underdogs won four of last five meetings played here SU. AFC North non-divisional road favorites are 4-2; AFC East underdogs are 11-10-1 ATS, 5-4 at home.

Bengals (1-12) @ Dolphins (3-11)— Redskins/Dolphins favored in same week? Oy. Cincy lost its last two games, outscored 34-9 in 2nd half. Obviously they’re better with Dalton at QB, but he threw four picks vs NE LW. Bengals are 12-4 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog, but they are 0-6 SU in true road games TY. Miami won two of last three home games, covered three of last four; they’re 3-1-2 ATS in last six games as a home favorite (0-0 TY). Dolphins scored only 18 points on last eight red zone drives- they covered seven of last ten games overall. Four of their five games went over. Teams split last eight meetings; Bengals won last two, 27-17/22-7. Teams split last two meetings played here. AFC North non-divisional road underdogs 6-3 ATS.

Panthers (5-9) @ Colts (6-8)— Rookie QB Grier gets first NFL start here, for team that lost its last six games and already fired its coach. Carolina is minus-8 (1-9) in turnovers the last three weeks; QBs making their NFL debut TY are an amazing 9-3-1 ATS. Last four Panther games went over total. Short week for Indy after their no-show in Superdome Monday nite; Colts allowed 9.3/10.2 yards/pass attempt in last two games. Indy allowed 36.3 ppg in last three games; Colts allowed 774 PY in last two games- Winston torched them for 459 yards in Week 15. Carolina won three of last four series games; Panthers won last two visits here, by 8-3 points. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 6-8 ATS; AFC South home favorites are 4-7.

Ravens (12-2) @ Browns (6-8)— Browns (+7) averaged 10.5 yards/pass attempt, upset Ravens 40-25 in Baltimore back in Week 4; Ravens haven’t lost since. Baltimore won its last ten games, covering seven of last eight; they’ve scored 31 TD’s on last 63 drives. Ravens covered four of five games as a road favorite TY; they’re 9-12 ATS in last 21 games as a double digit favorite, 2-2 TY. Browns won their last four home games, are 7-16-1 ATS in last 24 games as a home underdog, 0-1 TY. Cleveland allowed 451-445 TY in last two games; they’re 0-4 giving up 400+ TY. Three of their last four games went over. Cleveland won last two series games, after losing 19 of previous 21 meetings. Ravens won four of last five visits to Cleveland.

Cowboys (7-7) @ Eagles (7-7)— First place in NFC East is on line here. Cowboys are 7-0 when they score 31+ points, 0-7 when they don’t; Dallas ran ball for 263 yards in its easy win over the Rams LW- they ran ball for total of 294 yards in previous three games, all losses. Cowboys are 3-4 SU on road TY, 20-13 ATS in last 33 games as a road underdog, 1-0 TY. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Eagles outscored opponents 47-13 in 2nd half of last two games, both wins; since winning Super Bowl two years ago, Philly is 4-10 ATS as a home favorite, 2-4 TY. Cowboys ran ball for 189 yards, had four takeaways (+3) in 37-10 thrashing of Eagles in Week 7. Cowboys won five of last six series games; they won six of last seven visits to Philly.

Cardinals (4-9-1) @ Seahawks (11-3)— Seahawks are playing to maintain slim lead in NFC West, and first round bye that should come with it. Seattle (-5) won 27-10 at Arizona in Week 4; their fourth straight series win, first of the four that was by more than six points. Cardinals covered last four trips to Seattle, winning three of them SU. Arizona snapped a 6-game skid by beating Browns LW; they’ve covered five of six road games TY, surprising considering they’ve played rookie QB all year. Redbirds are 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall. Seattle won six of its last seven games; they’re 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite, 2-4 TY. Seahawks have 13 takeaways in their last four games (+7). Four of their last six games went over.

Chiefs (10-4) @ Bears (7-7)— Chiefs won/covered their last four games, allowing total of only 28 points in last three; they outscored last three opponents 56-10 in first half. KC is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games as a road favorite, 3-2 TY. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Chicago won three of last four games; they’re in a Packer/Viking sandwich here. Bears won their last three home games, are 10-2-2 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog, 1-0 TY. Six of their last eight games went under. Teams split last four series games; underdogs covered last three. Teams split last four series games played here. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 7-12 ATS, 3-4 on road; NFC North underdogs are 6-7 ATS, 3-2 at home.

Monday's Game
Packers (11-3) @ Vikings (10-4)— Packers clinch NFC North with win here; they’re also going for first round bye in playoffs. Green Bay won its last three games; they’re 9-15-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog, 2-1 TY. Pack allowed 26+ points in its three losses; they’re 11-0 when allowing less than 26. Minnesota won four of its last five games; under Zimmer, they’re 25-9-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-2-1 TY. Five of their last six games stayed under. Green Bay (-3) beat the Vikings 21-16 in Week 2 at Lambeau, despite not scoring in second half; it was their first win in last six series games (1-4-1). Vikings ran ball for 198 yards, but turned ball over four times (-2). Packers lost their last three visits to the Twin Cities, by 7-13-3 points.

**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 08:42 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 16

Saturday, December 21

Houston @ Tampa Bay

Game 455-456
December 21, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
137.963
Tampa Bay
132.366
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
51
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-3); Under

Buffalo @ New England

Game 453-454
December 21, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
136.754
New England
138.257
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 1 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 6 1/2
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+6 1/2); Over

LA Rams @ San Francisco

Game 451-452
December 21, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
134.177
San Francisco
136.555
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 6 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(+6 1/2); Over

Sunday, December 22

Jacksonville @ Atlanta

Game 461-462
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
120.208
Atlanta
137.455
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 17
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 7
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-7); Under

Cincinnati @ Miami

Game 469-470
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
123.290
Miami
120.279
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 3
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
Pick
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
Under

New Orleans @ Tennessee

Game 463-464
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
136.366
Tennessee
138.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 2 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(+3); Over

Carolina @ Indianapolis

Game 471-472
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
122.947
Indianapolis
127.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 4 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 7
46
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+7); Over

Pittsburgh @ NY Jets

Game 467-468
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
131.885
NY Jets
125.493
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 6 1/2
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-3); Under

NY Giants @ Washington

Game 465-466
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
124.891
Washington
122.925
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+2 1/2); Over

Baltimore @ Cleveland

Game 473-474
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
141.859
Cleveland
134.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 7 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 10
48
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+10); Over

Oakland @ LA Chargers

Game 459-460
December 22, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
119.554
LA Chargers
128.202
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 8 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 6
46
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-6); Under

Detroit @ Denver

Game 457-458
December 22, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
121.968
Denver
131.636
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 9 1/2
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 6 1/2
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-6 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Philadelphia

Game 475-476
December 22, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
131.171
Philadelphia
132.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+2 1/2); Under

Arizona @ Seattle

Game 477-478
December 22, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
127.958
Seattle
133.065
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 5
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 10
51
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+10); Under

Kansas City @ Chicago

Game 479-480
December 22, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
142.608
Chicago
130.056
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 12 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 5
45
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-5); Over

Monday, December 23

Green Bay @ Minnesota

Game 481-482
December 23, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
132.967
Minnesota
140.856
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-4 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 08:43 AM

NFL Week 16 opening odds and early action: Cowboys a road favorite for key clash vs Eagles
Patrick Everson

Ezekiel Elliott and Dallas are tied atop the NFC East with Philadelphia, heading into a critical Week 16 contest. The Cowboys opened as 2.5-point road favorites against the division-rival Eagles.

The NFL playoff race shifts into high gear with key divisional battles in Week 16. We check in on opening odds and early action for four Week 16 games, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (+2.5)

Someone’s gotta win the NFC East, and this is the game that will likely decide who that someone is. Dallas put a three-game SU slide in the rearview mirror while climbing back to .500 in Week 15. The Cowboys (7-7 SU, 8-6 ATS) battered the Los Angeles Rams 44-21 as 1-point home underdogs.

Meanwhile, Philadelphia had to scrap and scrounge at three-win Washington, but also found its way back to .500. The Eagles (7-7 SU, 5-9 ATS) got a touchdown with 26 seconds remaining to take a 31-27 lead, then got a scoop-and-score on the final play of the game. That play killed ‘Skins bettors as Philly won 37-27 giving 10 points. It was the only moment all game that the Eagles were covering.

“Everyone will be on Dallas after its performance in the win over the Rams,” Murray said. “The Eagles escaped two weeks in a row against the awful Giants and Redskins. They will need to really up their game to beat Dallas here.”

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-7)

In the offseason, not many would have pegged Buffalo as having a chance to tie for the AFC East lead in Week 16, but that’s most certainly the case. The Bills (10-4 SU, 9-4-1 ATS) bested Pittsburgh 17-10 as 1-point road underdogs in the Sunday nighter and now have the best spread-covering mark in the league.

Defending Super Bowl champ New England halted a two-game SU and three-game ATS skid. The Patriots (11-3 SU, 8-6 ATS) played a lackluster first half at Cincinnati, taking a 13-10 lead just before the break, but went on to a 34-13 victory laying 10.5 points.

“Both teams are now in the playoffs but have playoff positioning to fight for,” Murray said of motiviations for this Saturday showdown. “The Patriots’ offense couldn’t do anything in their first meeting, and it doesn’t seem like much has changed for them on that side of the ball. We will be flooded with teasers and parlays of Patriots to 49ers.”

Per SuperBook policy, this game came off the board before the Bills-Steelers kickoff and will repost Monday morning.

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5)

San Francisco learned how quickly fates can change at this stage of the year, dropping from the NFC’s No. 1 seed to No. 5 on Sunday. The 49ers (11-3 SU, 8-5-1 ATS), coming off a great win at New Orleans, suffered a stunning home loss to Atlanta, 29-22 as healthy 10.5-point favorites.

In a crazy finish, the Niners allowed a TD with two seconds left to fall behind 23-22, then gave up a scoop-and-score while lateraling around on the ensuing kickoff to account for the final score. Which, oh by the way, made Over bettors delirious and Under bettors sick, with a total of 50.

Defending NFC champ Los Angeles did itself more harm than San Fran in Week 15, further wrenching its playoff hopes. The Rams went to Dallas as 1-point favorites and got boatraced 44-21, halting a 3-1 SU and ATS upswing. Sean McVay’s squad is still No. 7 in the NFC, but is two games out in the win column to current wild cards Minnesota and San Francisco.

“San Francisco is really banged up right now and just fell out of first place with a loss to the Falcons,” Murray said. “They need this game to stay in the hunt for a first-round bye. The book will want the Rams outright.”

This is another Saturday matchup, in prime time with an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)

Green Bay will look to remain solo first in the NFC North in the final Monday night game of the season. In Week 15, the Packers (11-3 SU, 9-5 ATS) beat Chicago 21-13 giving 4 points at frigid Lambeau Field, where the current No. 2 seed hopes to spend some time in January.

However, Minnesota can tie its division rival with a victory in this prime-time contest. The Vikings (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS) went off as 1-point road favorites against the Los Angeles Chargers and coasted to a 39-10 victory Sunday.

“The Packers really struggled on offense in their win over the Bears. They’ll need to be much better to beat Minnesota here,” Murray said. “The winner will likely take the division, and the loser will have to go on the road for three rounds in the postseason to get to the Super Bowl.”

**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 08:43 AM

Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 16 odds: Time to tackle the total for Raiders at Chargers
Jason Logan

This total of 47 points is the lowest Over/Under set for a game between Oakland at L.A./San Diego since 2015 and in their eight meetings during that stretch, these divisional foes have produced a 2-6 Over/Under mark.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL Week 16 board.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: DALLAS COWBOYS (-2.5) AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

All the marbles in the NFC East are on the line when the Cowboys come to Philly to face the Eagles in Week 16. After Dallas destroyed the L.A. Rams at home Sunday and Philadelphia fumbled its way to a win over Washington, the public perceptions for these two rivals are heading in opposite directions.

The Cowboys opened as 2.5-point favorites on the road and early money is jumping on the visitor, with some books making a brief move to -3 and other juggling the juice on Eagles +2.5 trying to stir up action on the home side.

If you like Dallas to build on that Week 15 win and take the NFC East title, get it under the key number of a field goal now. Books are expecting to need Philadelphia come kickoff Sunday and this spread could not only climb to -3 but maybe even -3.5 if the public pounds America’s Team.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: LOS ANGELES RAMS (+6.5) AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Both NFC West rivals are coming off bad losses in Week 15, but the Rams’ 44-21 flogging in Dallas looks a little worse than the Niners dropping the ball versus Atlanta. And that’s why this 6.5-point spread will tick toward the home side for Saturday night’s game.

With the 49ers fighting for the No. 1 seed in the NFC and looking to avoid a Wild Card spot, bettors will bank on a bounce back with the team staying in the Bay Area. San Francisco was banged up heading into that matchup with the Falcons and should it return some key bodies, this spread could climb to a touchdown or higher.

Some books opened 49ers -6 and jumped to -6.5, and now we’re seeing that line taxed a little more on the home side as books attempt to cook up action on the Rams. If you like Los Angeles to put in a good fight and try to play spoiler to San Francisco’s postseason plans, then hold off and wait to see how many points this spread will climb.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 47 OAKLAND RAIDERS AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

It was a bad week for California-based NFL teams. Both the Raiders and Chargers lost – as did the Rams and Niners – but at least one will get a “W” in Week 15 (unless we get a tie. Yuck). However, we’re more concerned with the total for this AFC West rivalry.

Oakland botched its farewell game in the Bay Area by scoring only 16 points in a loss to Jacksonville and has averaged just 13.2 points over its last five games, posting a 1-4 Over/Under count in that span. Los Angeles mustered a mere 10 points in a blowout loss to Minnesota, a week removed from hanging 45 points on the Jaguars. Take that high-scoring aberration out of the mix and the Bolts have scored 20 or less in three of their last four.

This total of 47 points is the lowest Over/Under set for a game between Oakland at L.A./San Diego since 2015 and in their eight meetings during that stretch, these divisional foes have produced a 2-6 Over/Under mark. Bookies are already discounting the vig on the Over 47, so a move downward is coming. Take the Under 47 now while you can.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: UNDER 50.5 ARIZONA CARDINALS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

The Seahawks are vying for the top seed in the NFC after a win at Carolina and a 49ers loss to Atlanta in Week 15. Seattle is far from those dominant defensive clubs that stormed the NFL playoffs a few years back, scoring 26.3 points for but allowing 27.3 points against over its last three contests.

The Cardinals come in with the hot hand, putting 38 points on Cleveland at home in Week 15. Arizona has scored 25 or more points in four of its last six games and is a much different team than the one that lost 27-10 to Seattle at home back in Week 4.

The current 50.5-point total is the third-highest Over/Under number on the Week 16 board, after opening as low as 49.5. It has climbed as high as 51 at some sportsbooks and if you think that total is too tall, wait it out and see how high you can get the number before getting down on the Under.

**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 08:44 AM

Hot & Not Report - Week 16

Week of December 16th

After last week's piece dealt with what to expect from the CFB Playoff, it's back to the NFL version of the game this week with only two weeks left.

With the regular season almost complete, plenty of focus will be on the teams trying to grab one of those four remaining playoff spots that have yet to be clinched in the league, and rightfully so. But as is always the case in this league, division matchups during the final two weeks will go a long way in determining who gets those spots, and what seeds everyone ends up with, so that's where I'd like to start for this week's piece.

(Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS)

Who's Hot

Division home favorites are 7-3 ATS and 9-1 SU the past three weeks

It's been quite the run for chalk layers who are at home facing a rival since Week 12 saw teams in that role get blanked (0-3 ATS). Since then it's been a great run for these home favorites in division games, as Tennessee's outright loss vs Houston yesterday was the only time a division home favorite didn't win the game the past three weeks.

The other two ATS losses were the New York Jets 22-21 win over Miami in Houston (NYJ -5) and Philly's 23-17 OT win over the Giants last Monday (Philly -9), but throwing down on those teams on the Money-Line or in a ML parlay still came through. And when you consider that the average margin of victory by the seven home teams that did win SU and ATS the past three weeks clocks in at 16.5 points per game, there is no size of chalk that you shouldn't at least consider backing.

Given that Week 17 is the one where every team is in divisional action, this may be an angle you want to put on the back burner until then, but Week 16 does offer a few spots where this is applicable.

It all starts on with Saturday's triple-header, as the 49ers host a Los Angeles Rams team with San Francisco currently laying -6 in the market. With the Rams playoff hopes all but dashed with that loss to Dallas on Sunday, motivation becomes a big time issue with L.A. this week, and chances are that number is only going to rise. The Rams know their season is all but finished, while the 49ers are looking to get that top spot in the NFC (and NFC West title) back in their grasp. Laying the 6 points now if you like the 49ers is something you should strongly consider.

Prior to that Saturday Night Football game, we've got the New England Patriots laying nearly the identical number (-6.5) at home against the Bills that day. Motivation won't be an issue for either side as the AFC East title is still up for grabs, and both teams have already clinched a playoff spot regardless of what happens the next two weeks. Obviously a win for Buffalo in this game would be huge for their psyche going into the playoffs, never mind the chance to host a playoff game, but recent trends regarding these division home favorites doesn't do them any favors. That being said, if the Patriots are going to be the side you are looking at, it probably doesn't hurt to wait, as this number is more likely to drop then rise. Plus, who knows if it'll come out that the Patriots had staffers doing more filming of opponents for them this past week.

Flipping things over to the rest of Week 16's card, other divisional home favorites include Los Angeles Chargers (-5.5) vs Oakland in a game where both sides likely don't give a crap, Washington (-2.5) vs the New York Giants, Seattle (-9.5) vs Arizona, and Minnesota (-4.5) vs Green Bay on Monday Night Football.

The first two games in that list are ones where you'll probably want to find a few more pieces of supporting evidence to consider backing the Chargers or Redskins, but it's quite conceivable to think that the Giants and Raiders are ready to pack things in for 2019. That's an angle worth considering there as well.

But the latter two games are much more intriguing, as Seattle will know what they need to do based on San Francisco’s result on Saturday, and Minnesota would clinch a playoff spot and still be alive for the NFC North crown with a win over the Packers. Those are two sides with plenty of motivation to grab dominant wins, and as of now, they've be the only way I'd look.

Who's Not

Backing 'Unders' in non-conference games: Only one winning week since Week 5

Non-conference games have long been a spot where 'over' bettors look to cash a few tickets, and for the bulk of this season that's exactly what has happened. Just blindly taking 'overs' when you've got a AFC team going up against a NFC team has produced a 22-17 Over/Under record overall. That's not phenomenally good by any means, but considering every week outside of Week 13's 1-3 O/U record has been at least break-even at worst (ie 1-1 O/U or better and not counting the juice), that's a pretty good angle to at least start with when you begin to break down the week's card.

Week 15's slate saw 'overs' in non-conference games go a perfect 3-0 O/U – with the Indy/New Orleans game pending – and all three of the winners in those games put up at least 36 points. When those winners include the likes of Arizona and the N.Y. Giants putting up that kind of production, you can see that it's an angle that isn't isolated to average or above average teams.

Week 16 is the last week of the year we get these non-conference tilts, so this is the last opportunity to use this approach. Of the teams involved in this angle for Week 16, many of them have nothing to play for this year other then personal pride, but given that statistics do go a long way in terms of contract negotiations for guys, padding numbers for offensive guys in this particular spot is something to consider as well.

This week's games include: Detroit at Denver (38), Jacksonville at Atlanta (45.5), New Orleans at Tennessee (51), Carolina at Indianapolis (46.5), and Kansas City at Chicago (45).

**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 01:20 PM

Best spot bets for the NFL Week 16 odds: Home for the holidays could be bad for Broncos
Jason Logan

Denver doesn’t have a great history when laying the lumber in Mile High, going just 2-7-2 ATS in those spots since 2017, and is a 6.5-point favorite hosting Detroit in a tough schedule spot in Week 16.

Checking off that long Christmas list isn’t the only shopping you should do this week. If you’re betting the NFL odds for Week 16, be on the lookout for good deals going against teams walking into tough situational spots this weekend.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gift wraps his favorite spot bets for Week 16, including his top lookahead, letdown and schedule spots.

LETDOWN SPOT: NEW YORK GIANTS AT WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-2.5, 42)

After an uncomfortable (but necessary) move to replace veteran QB and two-time Super Bowl champ Eli Manning with rookie passer Daniel Jones back in Week 3, the Giants were able to give Eli a proper sendoff last Sunday.

With Jones out with an injury, Manning was thrust back under center and picked up a win over Miami in what could be his final game inside MetLife Stadium. It was a fitting ending to his polarizing career, but the catch is that it isn’t over yet. New York still has two more games to play, starting in Washington this week (then closing versus Philadelphia at home in Week 17).

Jones could return for Sunday but there’s a good chance its Manning again, leaving the rookie to take the reigns the following week in the season finale. It’s strange to find a team ripe for a letdown off a victory against the Dolphins, but with the feel-good finish to last Sunday’s festivities, the G-Men could come into D.C. a little flat. The Redskins are playing their best football of the season with a 3-1 ATS mark over their last four games, including a bad beat for Washington bettors in the dying seconds of Sunday's loss to Philadelphia.

LOOKAHEAD SPOT: ARIZONA CARDINALS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-9.5, 50.5)

When playoff position is changing with every win and loss, it’s tough to single out a proper lookahead spot in Week 16. The Seahawks are our default selection this week, giving almost 10 points to the visiting Cardinals with a massive matchup against the 49ers set for Week 17.

Seattle took over the top seed in the NFC with its win over Carolina and San Francisco’s folly against Atlanta in Week 15. The Seahawks stuck to their trend of making bettors sweat it out a little more than they’d like, beating the Panthers 30-24 as 6-point home chalk (despite holding a 30-10 lead in the fourth quarter). On the season, all but one of Seattle’s 11 victories have come by one score (eight points or less) and four of those have been by a field goal or fewer.

The only comfortable win for Seahawks bettors was a 27-10 victory over Arizona back in Week 4. But with Seattle looking ahead to the 49ers and perhaps pulling some starters if they get up, this big spread opens the backdoor for Cardinals bettors (Seahawks getting outscored 11.3 to 6.7 in the fourth quarter over their last three games). The underdog is also 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine head-to-head meetings between these NFC West rivals.

SCHEDULE SPOT: DETROIT LIONS AT DENVER BRONCOS (-6.5, 38)

Everyone wants to be home for Christmas. Hell, there’s even a classic Xmas song about it. But when it comes to the Broncos return to the Mile High City to play Detroit in Week 16, a trip home could bring with it extra baggage. And, as dear Vegas wiseguy once told me, not all home games are a good thing.

Denver is gassed after being on the road for four of its last five games, including back-to-back away tilts at Houston and Kansas City heading into Week 16. All that time spent in practice, on planes and in hotels makes prepping for the holidays extra tough. With family coming to town, players are arranging accommodations and tickets, and off-field distractions can compound when you have a losing team already frustrated with the way things are operating. Pile on the bad press and media blitz around the Broncos’ future, and Denver could have a Clark Griswold-sized Xmas melt down on Sunday.

The Broncos have been a solid bet at home, going 4-2 ATS as hosts this season, but are rare home favorites to the Lions this Sunday, giving 6.5 points. Denver doesn’t have a great history when laying the lumber in Mile High, going just 2-7-2 ATS in those spots since 2017.

**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 01:36 PM

NFL Betting Stats heading into Wk 16:

Road Teams: 124-94-6 ATS
Home Teams: 94-124-6 ATS

Favorites: 100-118-6 ATS
Underdogs: 118-100-6 ATS
Home Faves: 56-80-5 ATS
Home Dogs: 38-44-1 ATS

Road Faves: 44-38-1 ATS
Road Dogs: 80-56-5 ATS

O/U: 110-114

**Udog** · 12-17-2019, 03:47 PM

NFL's Top ATS Teams:

1. Bills 9-4-1 ATS
t2. Steelers 9-5 ATS
t2. Chiefs 9-5 ATS
t2. Saints 9-5 ATS
t2. Rams 9-5 ATS
t2. Packers5-1 ATS
t7. Niners 8-5-1 ATS

NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

32. Bears 4-10 ATS
31. Chargers 4-8-2 ATS
t30. Jets 5-9 ATS
t30. Bengals 5-9 ATS
t30. Eagles 5-9 ATS
t30. Lions 5-9 ATS
t26. Bucs 5-8-1 ATS
t26. Browns 5-8-1 ATS

**Udog** · 12-18-2019, 07:50 AM

Tech Trends - Week 16
Bruce Marshall

Saturday, Dec. 21

HOUSTON at TAMPA BAY (NFL, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Texans 9-3-1 vs. spread away since early 2018. Bucs have won last 4 SU but 0-5 vs. spread at Tampa TY. Bucs also on 12-3 “over” run since late 2018.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Texans, based on “totals” and team trends.

BUFFALO at NEW ENGLAND (NFL, 4:30 p.m. ET)
Pats are 29-3 SU last 32 in series though Bills have won and covered 3 of last 5 at Gillette Stadium. Bills on 10-4-1 spread uptick since late LY, and 7-1-2 last ten as dog. Buff also “under” 10-3 TY. Note Belichick has had at least one 3-game winless spread streak in 6 of last 7 seasons (including 2019). Belichick “under” 17-5 last 22 reg season.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Bills, based on “totals” and recent trends.

L.A. RAMS at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Rams on 11-5 spread run in reg season since late 2018. Niners, however, 8-5-1 vs. spread TY, and won handily at Coliseum Oct. 13. Rams also “under” 9-5 TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to 49ers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Sunday, Dec. 22

JACKSONVILLE at ATLANTA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags no wins or covers give of last six TY. Jax “over” Falcs on 5-2 spread uptick.
Tech Edge: Falcons, based on recent trends.

NEW ORLEANS at TENNESSEE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Saints have won and covered last five on road TY, now 12-3 vs. spread as visitor since LY. Titans 6-2 SU and vs. line since Tannehill took over at QB, also “over” 7-1 run.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

N.Y. GIANTS at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
G-Men have covered 5 of last 6 meetings including Sept. 29 win at MetLife. NY 10-3 as road dog since LY (4-2 TY). Skins no covers last 3 as chalk dating to 2018. “Unders” 5-1 last six meetings.
Tech Edge: Giants and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

PITTSBURGH at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Steel on 8-3-1 run spread run TY, 3-1-1 last five away. Tomlin also “under” 11-3 TY and 16-5 last 21 since late LY. Jets 3-2 vs. spread last five at MetLife.
Tech Edge: Steelers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

CINCINNATI at MIAMI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cincy 8-2 vs. line last 10 as true visitor, “under” 11-6-2 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: "Under” and Bengals, based on series and “totals” trends.

CAROLINA at INDIANAPOLIS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Panthers fading, 0-6 SU and 1-4-1 vs. line last six TY, no covers last four on road, also on 11-4 “over” run. Though Colts just 1-6 SU last 7 after Saints loss. Indy also “over” 10-6 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Colts and slight to "over," based on team and “totals” trends.

BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Browns have covered last three in series, including 40-25 win at M&T Bank on Sept. 29. Cleveland also has won 4 in a row SU at home (3-0-1 vs. line those games). But Ravens have won 10 in a row SU since and covered 7 of last 8 TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Ravens, based on recent trends.

DETROIT at DENVER (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Lions on 1-8 spread skid, Denver 7-3 last 10 vs. line & 17-6 "under" run.
Tech Edge: Broncos and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

OAKLAND at L.A. CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Last game in Carson! Chargers 4-10 vs. spread TY, 1-7 vs. spread last 8 in Carson. Bolts had won and covered 4 in a row in series before loss at Coliseum on Nov. 7. Raiders however no covers last five TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Raiders, based on team trends.

DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Eagles 11-21-1 vs. spread in reg season since late 2017, have also lost and failed to cover last four vs. Cowboys. Dallas struggling a bit but 5-6 last ten vs. line TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Cowboys, based on team trends.

ARIZONA at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Cards had covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series prior to loss on Sept. 29. Seattle on 15-7 “over” run.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

KANSAS CITY at CHICAGO (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Chiefs 5-2 vs. spread away TY, Bears only 2-8 vs. line last 10 TY. Chicago on 16-5 “under” run since late 2018, Chiefs “under” last 4 TY.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Chiefs, based on “totals” and team trends.

Monday, Dec. 23

GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Series “under” 4-1 last five. Vikes 7-3 vs. spread last ten at US Bank, and have won and covered last 3 as host vs. Pack.
Tech Edge: Vikings and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 16 (Sat., Dec. 21 - Mon., Dec. 23)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 16 (Sat., Dec. 21 - Mon., Dec. 23)

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