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**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 10:01 AM

Betting Recap - Week 14
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 14 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 11-4
Against the Spread 8-6-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 8-7
Against the Spread 5-9-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-8

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 113-71-1
Against the Spread 89-108-6

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 110-92-1
Against the Spread 86-111-6

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 99-103-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Broncos (+8, ML +350) at Texans, 38-24
Bears (+3, ML +145) vs. Cowboys (Thu.), 31-24
Chiefs (+3, ML +140) at Patriots, 23-16

The largest favorite to cover
Vikings (-12) vs. Lions, 20-7
Browns (-6.5) vs. Bengals, 27-19
Ravens (-6) at Bills, 24-17

It's a LOCK!

-- The Denver Broncos (+8) have turned the keys over to rookie QB Drew Lock and he led the biggest upset of the weekend with a surprising 38-24 win on the road over the Houston Texans. It was a surprise going by pregame preview, and the line, only. If you watched the game, it was a thorough beatdown in favor of the visitors. The Broncos fired out to a 21-0 lead with 11:24 to go in the second quarter, as the Broncos had two TD passes for Lock and a 70-yard fumble recovery for touchdown. They took a surprising 38-3 lead at halftime, and they held a 38-3 lead at 9:15 of the third quarter before the Texans found the end zone midway through the third. The Broncos are 2-0 SU/ATS with Lock under center, and they're 5-1 ATS across the past six with the over 4-1 in the past five outings. Denver is also 7-2 ATS across the past nine contests.

Total Recall

-- There were three games with totals of 48 or greater -- Kansas City Chiefs-New England Patriots (49), Carolina Panthers-Atlanta Falcons (48) and the Sunday Night Football game between the Seattle Seahawks-Los Angeles Rams (48). Only one of those games managed to go 'over', as the Falcons beat up on the Panthers 40-20. Atlanta led just 3-0 after 15 minutes, but the Falcons ended up posting 10 or more points in each of the final three quarters, and the Panthers also hit double digits in the second and fourth. The Chiefs and Patriots appeared headed for a high-scoring affair, totaling 27 points in the first half, but there were a total of just 12 points in the final 30 minutes. The same held true in the Seahawks-Rams affair, with 24 total points on the board at halftime, but just 16 total points in the final two quarters.

There were three games at 42.5 or lower on Sunday, with Denver Broncos-Houston Texans (42.5), Los Angeles Chargers-Jacksonville Jaguars (42) and Washington Redskins-Green Bay Packers (42) saw the over hit in two of the outings, with the Chargers taking care of business themselves, 45-10. We mentioned the Broncos, and their prolific offensive effort above. Only the Redskins and Packers hit the under, totaling just 35 points. The Packers fired out of the chute at 14-0 after one quarter, but we had just two touchdowns and three field goals the rest of the way.

The Pittsburgh Steelers-Arizona Cardinals (43.5) ended up with 23 points in the first half, but just 17 points in the second half. A turnover in the end zone in the second half by QB Kyler Murray was rather costly, and he made some real rookie mistakes in this one which likely prevented this game from going over. That's five straight under results for the Steelers, seven in the past eight, and 10-3 in their 13 games overall this season.

The 'over' connected in the Thursday game between the Dallas Cowboys-Chicago Bears (43), while the Seahawks-Rams game on SNF went 'under'. We still have the New York Giants-Philadelphia Eagles (45) game to go. The 'over' is just 16-26 (38.1%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Looking Ahead - Division Matchups

-- The Eagles and Redskins tangle in D.C., a rematch of their Week 1 affair. The Eagles won that opener by a 32-27 at Lincoln Financial Field, failing to cover a 10-point number as the 'over' (44) easily hit. The Redskins saw the 'over' hit in their first three games this season, but the 'under' is 8-2 across the past 10, including 3-1 in the previous four at home.

-- The Texans and Tennessee Titans square off in a key AFC South Division battle, and it got that much more important following Houston's complete failure at home against the lowly Broncos. The Texans are just 2-5 ATS across the past seven games overall, and they're 3-9 ATS in the past 12 against teams with a winning overall mark. The Texans are also 1-4 ATS in the past five inside the division. For the Titans, they have covered four in a row, they're 3-0-1 ATS in the past four at home and they're 4-0-1 ATS in the past five as a favorite.

-- The Broncos and Chiefs do battle on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium at 1:00 p.m. ET, and suddenly Denver looks alive and well with Lock under center. The Chiefs looked alive and well going on the road and exacting revenge for their AFC Championship Game loss, topping the Patriots at Gillette. While Denver has been hot lately, they're still just 4-10 ATS in the past 14 games inside the division. The under is also 8-1-1 in the past 10 games inside the division. Denver is 1-7 ATS in the past eight meetings with the Chiefs, but 7-3 ATS in their past 10 trips to Kansas City. The over is 5-2-2 in the past nine meetings, including 3-0-1 in the past four at Arrowhead.

-- The Bears and Packers renew acquaintances at Lambeau Field. They met back in Week 1 on Thursday night with the Packers scratching out a 10-3 win in a defensive battle. The under is 3-3 at home, and 3-3 on the road, for the Packers so far this season, so not much to glean there. The under is 8-5 for the Bears this season, with the over/under at 3-3 on the road. The Bears have cashed in just two of the past nine overall, but they did cover at home as three-point 'dogs against the Cowboys on TNF last week. Still, they're 0-4 ATS in the past four on the road. The Packers are 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a winning record, but they're just 3-8 ATS in the past 11 inside the division.

**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 10:02 AM

NFL Week 15 opening odds and early action: Rams-Cowboys line could quickly tighten
Patrick Everson

The Rams and Cowboys, both trying to gain spots in the NFC playoff field, square off Sunday. Dallas opened as 3-point home chalk, but SuperBook director John Murray expects that line to tighten.

With three weeks remaining in the regular season, playoff pursuits are heating up in the NFL. We check in on the opening lines and early action for four Week 15 matchups, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Dallas is flailing about after two straight losses from the favorite’s role, yet somehow still leads the NFC East at 6-7 SU (7-6 ATS). In the Week 14 Thursday nighter, the Cowboys dug themselves into a 24-7 hole at Chicago and couldn’t come all the way back, losing 31-24 as 3-point favorites.

Los Angeles is the defending NFC champion, but hasn’t lived up to that status this season. That said, the Rams (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) notched one of their most impressive wins of the season under the Sunday night spotlight, dumping Seattle 28-12 giving 1 point at home.

“We had this game Cowboys -3 before the Sunday night game, but the Rams looked so good that I think this line should reopen less than 3,” Murray said, noting the Rams-Cowboys line was taken off the board during the Sunday night game and will go back up Monday morning. “There will be a lot of support for both sides this week.”

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-3)

Houston is kind of like the Dallas of the AFC South, given ample opportunity to seize the division and consistently failing to do so. The Texans (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS) went off as 8-point home favorites against a four-win Denver team, but trailed 31-3 at halftime and fell 38-24.

That loss allowed Tennessee to stay right with Houston in the AFC South race. The Titans (8-5 SU and ATS) were 3-point favorites at Oakland on Sunday and turned a 21-21 halftime tie into a 42-21 victory, moving to 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games.

“The Titans have been on a roll lately, and the line already moved from -3 (even) to -3 (-110),” Murray said. “The Texans laid an egg Sunday, but they have been much better on the road.”

Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers (-1)

Pittsburgh is among the biggest surprises of the year, after Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown moved on in the offseason, and Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) was lost for the season in Week 2. In Week 14, the Steelers (7-5, 6-4-2) topped Arizona 23-17 laying 2.5 points on the road, their sixth win in the last seven games.

Likewise, Buffalo is arguably a surprise playoff contender, although its three-game SU and ATS upswing ended in Week 14. The Bills (9-4 SU, 8-4-1 ATS) fell to Baltimore 24-17 catching 6 points at home.

“We opened Steelers -1 and have been pushed up to -1.5,” Murray said. “The public will be all over the Steelers here. We will need the Bills.”

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-5.5)

Green Bay hardly looked impressive in Week 14, but Aaron Rodgers and Co. did enough to remain atop the NFC North. The Packers (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS) held off Washington 20-15 as hefty 13-point home favorites.

Chicago has fallen off in a huge way from its 2018-19 form, when it went 12-4 SU and a league-leading 12-4 ATS. However, the Bears (7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS) have won three in a row and four of five to climb above .500. And Chicago gets the benefit of a mini-bye this week, after beating Dallas 31-24 as 3-point home underdogs in the Week 14 Thursday nighter.

“We opened this game Packers -5.5 and are down to -5,” Murray said. “The Packers didn’t look good at all Sunday, and the Bears are always a popular public side, so there should be support for both in this game.”

**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 10:02 AM

301NY JETS -302 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game in the last 3 seasons.

305TAMPA BAY -306 DETROIT
DETROIT is 7-25 ATS (-20.5 Units) vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game since 1992.

307PHILADELPHIA -308 WASHINGTON
PHILADELPHIA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season in the second half of the season since 1992.

309CHICAGO -310 GREEN BAY
GREEN BAY is 38-14 ATS (22.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

311NEW ENGLAND -312 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game over the last 2 seasons.

313HOUSTON -314 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

315SEATTLE -316 CAROLINA
SEATTLE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

317DENVER -318 KANSAS CITY
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 2 seasons.

319MIAMI -320 NY GIANTS
NY GIANTS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

319MIAMI -320 NY GIANTS
Pat Shurmur is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return (Coach of NY GIANTS)

321BUFFALO -322 PITTSBURGH
BUFFALO is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

323JACKSONVILLE -324 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 15-44 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games vs. losing teams since 1992.

325CLEVELAND -326 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

327ATLANTA -328 SAN FRANCISCO
ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons.

327ATLANTA -328 SAN FRANCISCO
ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game in the last 2 seasons.

329LA RAMS -330 DALLAS
LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) with <=6 days rest in the current season.

331MINNESOTA -332 LA CHARGERS
LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 in the last 2 seasons.

333INDIANAPOLIS -334 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games in the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 10:02 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

Thursday, December 12

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NY JETS (5 - 8) at BALTIMORE (11 - 2) - 12/12/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 15

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TAMPA BAY (6 - 7) at DETROIT (3 - 9 - 1) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 147-184 ATS (-55.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (5 - 7) at WASHINGTON (3 - 10) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (7 - 6) at GREEN BAY (10 - 3) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 115-84 ATS (+22.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 198-144 ATS (+39.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (10 - 3) at CINCINNATI (1 - 12) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 269-206 ATS (+42.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 269-206 ATS (+42.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-97 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-97 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 206-151 ATS (+39.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 198-152 ATS (+30.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-88 ATS (+32.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 67-45 ATS (+17.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (8 - 5) at TENNESSEE (8 - 5) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 122-157 ATS (-50.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (10 - 3) at CAROLINA (5 - 8) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 72-43 ATS (+24.7 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (5 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (9 - 4) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 5-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (3 - 10) at NY GIANTS (2 - 10) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (9 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 5) - 12/15/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (4 - 9) at OAKLAND (6 - 7) - 12/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 37-65 ATS (-34.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 41-84 ATS (-51.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 35-61 ATS (-32.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (6 - 7) at ARIZONA (3 - 9 - 1) - 12/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
ARIZONA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ATLANTA (4 - 9) at SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 2) - 12/15/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA RAMS (8 - 5) at DALLAS (6 - 7) - 12/15/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 94-124 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 146-191 ATS (-64.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 2-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (9 - 4) at LA CHARGERS (5 - 8) - 12/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
LA CHARGERS are 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, December 16

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INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 7) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 3) - 12/16/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 110-82 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 10:03 AM

NFL

Week 15

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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 12

Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Jets
Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Jets
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Jets is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games on the road
NY Jets is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Baltimore
NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
NY Jets is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore

Sunday, December 15

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Green Bay is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 18 games
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 22 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 12 games on the road
Denver is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Houston
Tennessee is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
Houston is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 9 games
Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games at home
Carolina is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 22 games
Seattle is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Seattle is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing New England
Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of New England's last 25 games
New England is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
New England is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 8 games on the road
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
New England is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

Detroit Lions
Detroit is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit

New York Giants
NY Giants is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
NY Giants is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home
NY Giants is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Miami is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing NY Giants

Washington Redskins
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Washington is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Washington's last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 18 games when playing on the road against Washington

Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Jacksonville is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Arizona is 1-8-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games
LA Chargers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 12 games
LA Chargers is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
LA Chargers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers

San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
San Francisco is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta
San Francisco is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 15 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Atlanta is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Atlanta is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta's last 15 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas's last 16 games
Dallas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games
LA Rams is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams's last 8 games
LA Rams is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
LA Rams is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Monday, December 16

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
New Orleans is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Indianapolis is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 10:04 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Jets (5-8) @ Ravens (11-2)— Baltimore won its last nine games, covering six of last seven; Ravens are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite, 1-4 TY. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Baltimore was held under 300 yards in last two games (vs 49ers/Bills), converting only 6-21 on 3rd down. Jets won four of their last five games, after a 1-7 start; Gang Green gave up only two TD’s on 32 drives their last three games, but Miami tried eight FG’s against them LW. Ravens won 7 of last 8 series games, with favorites 7-1 ATS; Jets won last meeting 24-16 (-2) three years ago, lost last five visits here (1-4 ATS), with last visit in ’13. AFC North non-divisional home favorites are 2-9-1 ATS; AFC East road underdogs are 5-4-1 ATS.

Buccaneers (6-7) @ Lions (3-9-1)— Detroit lost its last six games; they’re 1-6-1 ATS in last eight games. Under Patricia, Lions are 5-5 ATS as home underdogs, 3-2 TY- they lost four of six home games SU TY. Tampa Bay won three of their last four games after a 2-6 start; they’re 4-3 SU in true road games. Over last 11 years. Bucs are 2-4-1 ATS as a road favorite, 1-0 TY. Underdogs are 8-3 ATS in last 11 series games; Bucs won four of their last six visits to the Motor City- road team won 7 of last 10 series games. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 4-8 ATS, 1-1 on road; NFC North underdogs are 6-6 ATS, 3-1 at home, Winston is expected to play QB for Bucs, despite a hairline fracture in his right (passing) thumb.

Eagles (6-7) @ Redskins (3-10)— Philly (-10) beat Redskins 32-27 at home in season opener, converting 11-17 on 3rd down in game Skins led 20-7 at the half; Eagles won last five series games (4-1 ATS). Teams split last eight series games played here. Short week for Iggles after they rallied back from 17-3 halftime deficit to bat Giants in OT, snapping their 3-game skid; Philly lost four of six road games, but won SU at Green Bay/Buffalo, two playoff teams. Under Pederson, Eagles are 5-8 ATS as a road favorite, 0-2 TY- four of their last five games went under. Washington won two of last three games, covered five of last seven; they’re 6-8 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog, 2-3 TY. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Bears (7-6) @ Packers (10-3)— Chicago won last three games, scoring 8 TD’s on 20 drives in its last two games; they’re 3-2 SU in true road games TY, losing by 8 at Philly, 10 at LA Rams. Under Nagy, Bears are 2-2 ATS as a road underdog, 0-2 TY. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Green Bay won seven of last nine games; they were shut out in first half of both losses; Packers are 24-15-2 ATS in last 41 games as a home favorite, 4-3 TY. GB won field position last two weeks, by 12-13 yards. Four of their last five games went under. Green Bay (+3) won first meeting 10-3 in Week 1 road opener; teams combined to convert 5-27 3rd down plays. Packers won 19 of last 23 series games, are 7-4 ATS in last 11 series games played here.

Patriots (10-3) @ Bengals (1-12)— New England lost its last two games, vs Texans/Chiefs, have tenuous lead over KC for AFC #2 seed and 1st round bye. Patriots have a +19 turnover ratio, but they’ve trailed four of last five games at the half. NE is 23-11-3 ATS in last 37 games as a home favorite, 3-3 TY. Cincy covered three of its last four games; they’re 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog, 2-2 TY- they’re better team with Dalton back at QB. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Under is 9-4 in their games this season. NE won six of last seven series games; teams last met in 2016; teams split last four meetings played here. Underdogs are 6-3 ATS in last nine series games.AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 9-5 ATS, 3-2 at home.

Texans (8-5) @ Titans (8-5)— Battle for first place in AFC South. These teams play here, and again in Houston in Week 17. Favorites covered eight of last ten series games; Texans lost last three visits to Nashville, by 7-11-3 points. Favorites covered 8 of last 10 series games. Houston got smoked by Denver LW, after upsetting Patriots- they’re 2-3 SU in true road games, are 14-17 iATS in last 31 games as a road underdog, 2-3 TY. Last three weeks, Houston has converted 18-36 on 3rd down; they’re Four of their last six games stayed under. Tennessee won six of its seven games since Tannehill became their QB; they scored 42-31-42 points in three games since their bye, scoring 14 TD’s on their last 31 drives. Titans’ last seven games went over total.

Seahawks (10-3) @ Panthers (5-8)— Seattle had its 5-game win streak snapped in LA LW, fell out of 1st in NFC West; Seahawks won field position by 9+ yards in four of their last six games- they’re 6-1 SU on road TY, 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite, 1-1 TY. Three of their last four games went under. Carolina is a go-against team rest of way, after they fired competent, well-liked Rivera; Panthers lost their last five games, are 2-3 SU at home; they’re 7-3 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog, 0-0 TY. Seven of their last nine games went over the total. Seattle won six of last seven series games, winning last four visits here, all by 5 or fewer points; underdogs covered 7 of last 10 series games.

Broncos (5-8) @ Chiefs (9-4)— Chiefs whacked the Broncos 30-6 in Week 7, their 7th straight series win; KC won field position by 14 yards, held Flacco-led Broncos to 1-13 on third down. Denver covered four of its last six visits to Arrowhead. Broncos are on 3rd QB of season; they won rookie QB Lock’s first two NFL starts, scoring 23-38 points (6 TD’s on 19 drives)- they’re 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog, 4-2 TY. Four of their last five games went over the total. Chiefs won/covered their last three games, allowing 4 TD’s on foes’ last 31 drives, with 8 takeaways (+5); KC is 12-8 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite, 3-2 TY. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games.

Dolphins (3-10) @ Giants (2-11)— Short week for Giants after OT loss to Eagles when their defense was on field for 85 plays. Dolphins are in Swamp Stadium for 2nd week in row after LW’s last-second loss to the Jets. Giants won last three series games, by 7-3-3 points. Miami covered seven of its last nine games; they scored on seven of 10 drives here against the Jets LW, but didn’t score a TD- they tried eight FG’s. Dolphins are 4-2 ATS as a road underdog TY. Three of their last four games went over. Giants lost last nine games (3-6 ATS); they’ve been outscored 50-10 in second half of last three games. Manning was 15-30/202 LW in his first start since Week 2, but Giants didn’t score in 2nd half, after leading Eagles 17-3 at halftime.

Bills (9-4) @ Steelers (8-5)— Pittsburgh is 3-0 with Hodges at QB; they won seven of last eight games after a 1-4 start- they can jump to #5 seed in AFC with win here. Steelers are 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite, 1-2 TY. Pitt held last four opponents under 300 TY; only one of last eight opponents ran for more than 106 yards. Seven of their last eight games stayed under. Buffalo won three of last four games; they slip to #6 seed in AFC wth loss here. Buffalo is 7-0 when they score 20+ points, 2-4 when they don’t; Bills are 5-1 SU on road TY, 3-0-1 ATS- they’re 20-12-4 ATS in last 36 games as a road dog. Five of their last six games went under. Steelers won last six series games (5-1 ATS); Buffalo lost last two visits here, 23-10/26-3 (0-2 ATS).

Jaguars (4-9) @ Raiders (6-7)— This is Raiders’ last-ever game in Oakland. Two fading teams; Jaguars lost their last five games, all by 17+ points (NFL record is 7)- they were outscored 99-41 in 2nd half of those games. Jags are 3-6-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog, 2-2 TY- they gained 242/252 TY in last two games, scored 13 or fewer points in four of last five. Three of their last four games went over. Raiders lost last three games, outscored 116-33; they allowed a defensive TD in all three games. Oakland is 4-2 SU at home TY; they’re 9-8 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite, 2-2 TY. Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Oakland won last three series games, by 3-10-17 points. Jaguars covered two of last three visits to Oakland.

Browns (6-7) @ Cardinals (3-9-1)— Cleveland won four of its last five games after a 2-6 start; they lost last four road games SU. Since 2013, Browns are 1-5 ATS as a road favorite, 1-2 TY. Browns coach Kitchens was a Cardinal assistant for 11 years (2007-17). Arizona lost its last six games, but covered six of last nine; they’re 1-5-1 SU at home, with only win 34-33 over Atlanta in Week 6. Over last 11 years, Cardinals 22-16-1 ATS as a home underdog, 3-3 TY. Arizona won last three series games, by 6-3-14 points; Browns lost last three visits here, by 8-6-3 points. AFC North non-divisional faves are 6-10-1 ATS, 4-1 on road; NFC West underdogs are 12-2-2 ATS. Alarming for Arizona; they averaged 3.5/3.1/4.7 yards/pass attempt in their last three games. Mayfield transferred out of Texas Tech when Kingsbury was coach there; now they meet again.

Falcons (4-9) @ 49ers (11-2)— 49ers are back atop NFC West; they won three of last four games, but also allowed 25+ points in four of last six games, after allowing an average of 11 ppg in first seven games. Under Shanahan, Niners are 5-6 ATS as a home favorite, 3-3 TY- they scored 36+ points in three of last four games. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Atlanta is 4-2 when it scores 24+ points, 0-7 when it doesn’t; they’re 3-9 ATS in last dozen games as a road underdog, 2-3 TY. Falcons have 10 takeaways in their last four games (+5), after having only four takeaways (-12) in first nine games. Falcons won five of last seven series games; teams last met in ’16. Underdogs covered last five series games played here.

Rams (8-5) @ Cowboys (6-7)— Rams allowed one TD on 20 drives in winning last couple of games since 45-6 debacle vs Ravens in Week 12. LA also ran ball for 132/162 yards in last two games, converting 15-28 on third down. Rams are 4-2 SU in true road games TY; under McVay, they’re 14-8 ATS in true road games. Seven of Rams’ last eight games went under. Dallas lost its last three games, is tied with Eagles atop NFC East; they’re 12-10-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite, 3-3 TY. Six of their last nine games went over. Teams split last eight series games; Rams (-7) beat Dallas 30-22 in LY’s playoffs- they won here 35-30 (+6) in ’17, their first win in last four trips to Dallas. NFC West teams are 14-4 ATS in non-divisional road games TY.

Vikings (9-4) @ Chargers (5-8)— Minnesota won seven of last nine games; they were outgained in four of last five; Vikings are #6 seed in NFC right now, have showdown with Packers up next. Vikings are 3-4 SU on road TY, are 12-6 ATS in last 18 games as a road favorite, 2-0 TY. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Under Lynn, Chargers are 5-12 ATS as a home favorite, 0-4 TY; this is their first home game since Week 9. Three of their last four games went over. Home side won last four series games; Underdogs covered three of the four games- Vikings lost 34-17/42-28 in last two visits to San Diego. NFC North non-divisional favorites are 9-13-1 ATS, 3-4-1 on road; AFC West underdogs are 11-6, 3-2 at home.

Colts (6-7) @ Saints (10-3)— Indy lost four of its last five games; three of losses were by 4 or fewer points; Colts are 2-4 SU on road, with all four losses by 3 or less points, or in OT- under Reich, they’re 7-2-1 ATS as a road underdog, 4-0-1 TY. Three of their last four games went over. New Orleans scored 46 points LW but lost; they’re 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite, 2-4 TY. Saints are +7 in turnovers in their last four games. Three of their last four games went over. Saints won last three series games; Indy lost two of last three visits here, losing 62-7 in last trip here, in 2011. AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 8-4 ATS; NFC South home favorites are 3-7. Indy gave up 467 PY to Winston LW; what will Brees do here?

**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 10:05 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 15

Thursday, December 12

NY Jets @ Baltimore

Game 301-302
December 12, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
125.103
Baltimore
148.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 23
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 14 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-14 1/2); Over

Sunday, December 15

Seattle @ Carolina

Game 315-316
December 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
134.094
Carolina
11.918
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 12
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 6
49
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-6); Under

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 307-308
December 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
128.532
Washington
125.123
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 6
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+6); Under

Houston @ Tennessee

Game 313-314
December 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
135.570
Tennessee
134.944
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 3
50
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+3); Over

Miami @ NY Giants

Game 319-320
December 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
118.923
NY Giants
125.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 6 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 3
48
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-3); Under

Denver @ Kansas City

Game 317-318
December 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
129.735
Kansas City
144.509
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 15
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 10
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-10); Under

Chicago @ Green Bay

Game 309-310
December 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
131.071
Green Bay
132.987
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 5
41
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+5); Under

Tampa Bay @ Detroit

Game 305-306
December 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
133.254
Detroit
124.090
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 9
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-3 1/2); Over

New England @ Cincinnati

Game 311-312
December 15, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
135.533
Cincinnati
128.014
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 7 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 10
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+10); Over

Jacksonville @ Oakland

Game 323-324
December 15, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
117.977
Oakland
121.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 4
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 7
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+7); Over

Cleveland @ Arizona

Game 325-326
December 15, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
127.230
Arizona
129.070
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3
48
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+3); Over

Minnesota @ LA Chargers

Game 331-332
December 15, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
136.667
LA Chargers
130.791
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 6
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-2 1/2); Over

Atlanta @ San Francisco

Game 327-328
December 15, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
132.267
San Francisco
140.576
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 8 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 11
47
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+11); Under

LA Rams @ Dallas

Game 329-330
December 15, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
131.961
Dallas
135.387
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 3 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 1 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+1 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ Pittsburgh

Game 321-322
December 15, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
132.145
Pittsburgh
136.494
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
36 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-1 1/2); Under

Monday, December 16

Indianapolis @ New Orleans

Game 333-334
December 16, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
127.704
New Orleans
139.244
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 11 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 8 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-8 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 10:07 AM

Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 15 odds: Wait for the Brady bashing to begin before betting this total
Jason Logan

Tom Brady and the Patriots are struggling to meet their lofty standards this season, averaging only 17 points over their last three games.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL Week 15 board, so download the new Covers Live App and punch these odds into your line alerts.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: CHICAGO BEARS AT GREEN BAY PACKERS (-5, 41)

These NFC North rivals do battle at Lambeau Field, with the Packers opening at the dead number of -5 hosting a Bears team on a three-game winning streak. While Chicago has feasted on a high-fat diet during this span, it did dominate Dallas last Thursday night.

The big turnaround is the offense, which is averaging 5.7 yards per play during this streak – a full yard higher than the Bears’ season average. Chicago has scored 19, 24, and 31 points in those wins, picking up steam ahead of this important divisional game.

Some books have already moved to Green Bay -4.5 while others are discounting the juice on Packers -5. If you like the Bears, grab them now because bookmakers will move through the dead numbers much faster and we could see this sitting -4 or -3.5 by Sunday.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: HOUSTON TEXANS AT TENNESSEE TITANS (-3, 49.5)

The Titans are the hottest team in the NFL with a sudden surge on offense since Week 10. Tennessee has won four in a row with a combined 150 points scored in that span. To put that uptick into perspective, the Titans scored a combined 169 points from Week 1 to Week 9, and 43 of those points came in a Week 1 win over Cleveland.

Houston’s roller-coaster ride continues, following a big win over New England with a pure stinker versus Denver. The Texans rank 25th in defensive DVOA at FootballOutsiders and hit the road for the first time since Week 11 for what will be the first of two meetings with Tennessee over the next three weeks.

If you like Houston here, take your time and see if you can get that oh-so valuable half-point hook at +3.5. The Titans are turning heads and while some books are taking money on the underdog, there could be a heavy public push closer to the weekend. If you're skeptical, take the field goal now. If you're greedy, wait for the hook.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 37 BUFFALO BILLS AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS

Two of the better defenses in the NFL butt heads on Sunday Night Football with these teams each vying for a Wild Card ticket to the postseason in the AFC. Books opened the Over/Under at 37 points and early money is coming in on the Under, pushing the total down to 36.5 at some books.

This total sits among the lowest of the 2019 season, but for good reason The Bills just checked the high-powered Ravens to only 24 points and that defense gave them a chance to win the game in the final minutes. They didn’t pull it off but that effort proved this Buffalo stop unit is for real after crushing some cupcake foes earlier in the year.

The Steelers have seen a subtle upgrade on offense with Devlin “Duck” Hodges under center but the backbone of this squad is the stop unit, which has limited its last five opponents to an average of only 12.8 points per game. If you like the Under, jump in the pool now and collect as many points as you can.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 40.5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS

Boy, the Patriots offense has fallen off. But no matter how bad things are for Tom Brady & Co. they should still be able to hang a healthy dose of scoring on the Bengals' 31st-ranked defense. Hell, even if Brady and the offense don’t find the end zone much, this New England defense is no stranger to paydirt and Cincy has coughed the ball up 23 times this season.

The Bengals, on the other hand, have enjoyed a slight resurgence with veteran QB Andy Dalton back at the helm. Cincinnati has scored 19 and 22 points the past two games after posting efforts of 10, 10, 13 and 10 points in the four games prior.

If you like the Over, pump the breaks on your bet and see if you can get something a little lower. A few books have discounted the juice on the Over, with early play on the Under so a move to 40 or 39.5 could be on the way, especially with the media making a big fuss over Brady’s fall from grace.

**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 10:11 AM

Tech Trends - Week 15
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Dec. 12

N.Y. JETS at BALTIMORE (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Ravens have covered 6 of last 7 this season, though are only 2-4 vs. line at home. Jets have won 4 of last 5 outright but still just 5-8 overall vs. number this term.
Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends.

Sunday, Dec. 15

TAMPA BAY at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
One-time old NFC Central rivals! Bucs have won last 3 outright in 2019 although they';ve only covered 2 of last 9 against the number. Bucs also now on 11-3 “over” run since late 2018. Lions on 1-7 spread skid, also “over” 8-5 this season.
Tech Edge: "Over” and slight to Bucs, based on “totals” and team trends.

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Birds had covered 4 straight in series before falling short in opener. Philly though has won SU last five meetings.After Monday vs. G-Men, Eagles only 10-21-1 vs. spread in regular season since late in 2017 campaign. Skins have covered 5 of last 7 this season. Philly 11-4 “over” last 15 on regular-season road.
Tech Edge: Slight to “over” and Redskins, based on “totals” and team trends.

CHICAGO at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bears had dropped 7 of 8 vs. number prior to last Thursday’s win over Dallas. Chicago 1-5 vs. spread away from Solider Field this season. Pack 4-3 vs. spread at Lambeau this season and won opener at Soldier Field, as teams have split last 8 meetings vs. spread. Though “over” last two in 2019, Bears still “under” 15-5 last 20 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

NEW ENGLAND at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cincy has lost seven games by 8 points or fewer this season, which is why its spread mark (5-7-1) isn’t as bad as its SU mark (1-12). Bengals only 1-4-1 vs. points at home in 2019 but have dropped just one of last four vs. line. Pats only 1-4 vs. spread last five. Cincy “under” 11-5-2 since late 2018, Belichick “under” 17-5 last 22 in regular season.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

HOUSTON at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Texans 8-3-1 vs. line last 12 away from NRG Stadium. Titans 6-1 SU and vs. line since Ryan Tannehill took over at QB, also “over” 7-0 in those games. Houston “over” 7-1 last 8 as true visitor. Note home team has covered last six in series.
Tech Edge: Titans and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

SEATTLE at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Seahawks have been solid on road, 6-1 SU and 5-2 vs. line this season. Hawks also 3-1 vs. line last 4 overall this year. Panthers 0-5 SU last five TY, on 2-5 spread slide since late October. Carolina “over” 10-4 since last 2018, Seattle “over” 15-7 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: Seahawks and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

DENVER at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
KC now on 8-game SU series win streak, with 7-1 spread mark in those games. Chiefs have only covered 2 of last 7 at Arrowhead but the last two have been wins. Broncos have covered 7 of last 9 this season, however, and “under” 16-6 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to Broncos and “under,” based on recent and “totals” trends.

MIAMI at N.Y. GIANTS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Back-to-back weeks for Dolphins at MetLife! Miami on uptick with covers in 7 of last 9 this season, including covers 4 of last 5 on road. G-Men 1-5 vs. line at home this season, 1-7 last 8 vs. number at MetLife since late 2018, and 2-6-1 last 9 as chalk. G-Men also on 13-8 “over” run.
Tech Edge: Dolphins and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

MINNESOTA at LA CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Bolts 1-6 vs. spread last 7 at Carson since late 2018. Chargers also “under” 10-5 last 15 in reg season.
Tech Edge: Vikings and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

JACKSONVILLE at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Last Raiders’ game in the Coliseum. Jags have been cold, losing and failing to cover last five this season, not closer than 17 in process. Raiders no covers last four this season but had covered 5 of 6 previously.
Tech Edge: Slight to Raiders, based on recent Jags woes.

CLEVELAND at ARIZONA (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Brownies 0-4 SU and vs. line last four on road this season, also surprising “under” 5-1 away in 2019. Cards 5-3-1 vs. spread last 9 TY but have lost last six SU.
Tech Edge: Slight to Cards and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

ATLANTA at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Falcons a bit better lately with four covers in last six games. Atlanta “under” 8-5 this season and 13-8 since mid 2018. Niners 8-4-1 vs. spread in 2019 though just 3-4-1 as chalk.
Tech Edge: Slight to Falcons and “under,” based on recent and “totals” trends.

L.A. RAMS at DALLAS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Cowboys have lost last 3 SU but still 7-6 vs. line this season. Dallas “over” 9-5 in regular season since late 2018. Rams actually on 11-4 uptick vs. spread in regular season since late 2018 and 7-1 vs. spread last 8 regular season away from Coliseum. LA also on 12-6 “under” run in reg season since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Rams and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

BUFFALO at PITTSBURGH (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Now the Sunday night game. Bills on nice uptick with 4-1-1 spread mark last six this season, also 5-0-1 vs. spread away from Orchard Park. Steel however on 8-2-1 spread run this season. Buffalo “under” 10-3 in 2019, 12-4 “under” since late 2018, while Pitt “under” 15-5 last 20 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Rams and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Monday, Dec. 16

INDIANAPOLIS at NEW ORLEANS (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Colts have only won and covered 2 of last 7 this season, but are 7-3 last 10 as dog. Indy also 7-1 last 8 away in regular season. Saints only 3-8 vs. spread last 11 at Superdome.
Tech Edge: Colts, based on team trends.

**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 10:52 AM

Best spot bets for the NFL Week 15 odds: Lookahead could clip Eagles' wings
Jason Logan

The Eagles haven't covered in four straight games and could get caught looking past Washington this Sunday and to a huge showdown in Dallas in Week 16.

Only three games remain for each NFL team and by this point in the schedule, bookies know the league inside out. That’s why you’ve got to fight dirty when it comes to gaining an edge versus their odds, and part of that battle is singling out the best situational spots.

Senior industry analyst Jason Logan picks apart the Week 15 slate and gives you his top spot bets: letdowns, lookaheads, and schedule spots heading into the weekend.

LETDOWN SPOT: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS AT DETROIT LIONS (-3.5, 47.5)

The Buccaneers are riding high off a victory versus Indianapolis in Week 14, extending their winning streak to three games. Tampa Bay high steps into Motown to take on the lost Lions, who haven’t won since Week 11 and are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games, including a 1-1 ATS mark with backup David Blough under center.

Tampa Bay got good news on QB Jameis Winston – if you want to call it that – concerning his injured thumb, and he’s cleared to play this Sunday a week removed from his fourth game with three or more interceptions. However, Winston’s top target WR Mike Evans will sit out Week 15 after suffering a hamstring injury last weekend.

The Bucs could not only get caught in a letdown at Detroit but might also face a sandwich spot with a possible lookahead to Houston at home on the short week next Saturday. Tampa Bay is also in a rare spot as a road favorite, having gone 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games when giving the points as a visitor.

LOOKAHEAD SPOT: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT WASHINGTON REDSKINS (+6, 40.5)

The Eagles finally got one up on the Dallas Cowboys, escaping with a comeback win at New York on Monday Night Football in Week 14. Philadelphia was missing opportunities to catch the Cowboys in the NFC East standings, with both teams unable to pick up wins in recent weeks.

The Eagles now sit tied with Dallas at 6-7 and have a huge matchup in Arlington next Sunday, but first face the Redskins in D.C. in Week 15. Washington has been playing well – or at least well enough to cover three straight spreads and take victories over Detroit and Carolina before losing a tight game with Green Bay last Sunday.

Philadelphia has come up short for spread bettors in four straight games and is just 2-5 ATS as a favorite. This line opened Eagles -6 and some early action has pushed it to -5.5 at some books. As we’ve seen in outright losses to the Miami Dolphins, this team is not above falling flat on its face.

SCHEDULE SPOT: MIAMI DOLPHINS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (-3, 48)

If you bailed on betting the Dolphins after that dismal September, you missed out on one of the best bets in the NFL over the past two and a half months. With oddsmakers piling on the points and the public pushing those spreads even higher with money fading the Fins, Miami has cruised to a 7-2 ATS mark in its last nine games with big cushions at the sportsbook.

Miami faces a tough schedule spot in Week 15, making the trip to East Rutherford to face the Giants as field-goal pups. This is the second straight road game for the Dolphins – staying in MetLife Stadium for a second straight week after losing a field-goal fest to the Jets in Week 14. This is also Miami’s third stop in the past four weeks and its sixth road test in the last nine games.

The G-Men showed some teeth against the Eagles Monday night, at least for the first half. Eli Manning will be back under center for what is likely his farewell tour and with a rematch with Philadelphia at home in Week 17, this might be his best chance to win one more in front of the Big Apple faithful.

**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 04:19 PM

NFL's Top ATS Teams:

t1. Steelers 9-4 ATS
t1. Rams 9-4
t3. Bills 8-4-1 ATS
t3. Niners 8-4-1
t5. Chiefs 8-5 ATS
t5. Broncos 8-5
t5. Saints 8-5
t5. Packers 8-5
t9. Titans 7-5-1 ATS
t9. Cardinals 7-5-1

**Udog** · 12-10-2019, 05:03 PM

NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

t31. Bears 4-9 ATS
t31. Eagles 4-9
30. Bucs 4-8-1 ATS
29. Chargers 4-7-2 ATS
t23. Lions 5-8 ATS
t23. Falcons 5-8
t23. Giants 5-8
t23. Bengals 5-8
t23. Jets 5-8
t23. Jaguars 5-8

**Udog** · 12-11-2019, 10:08 AM

by: Josh Inglis

RECENCY BIAS

Two weeks ago, we missed the Darius Slayton Over by six yards and stayed away with Uncle Eli under center on Monday. Big mistake. Slayton saw a team-high eight targets and accounted for 75.9 percent of his team’s total air yards even with Golden Tate and Sterling Shepard in the lineup.

This week, Eli Manning and the Giants host the Miami Dolphins, who are giving up 292 yards passing a game over the last three weeks - the league’s third-worst mark. Slayton has averaged over six catches for 96.5 yards in his last four outings, which is almost one-third of the Giants’ entire season to date.

We don’t mind backing Slayton's quarterback in a match that we think will have a welcoming New York crowd at MetLife Stadium for their former starter. We will back Slayton’s receiving total of 69.5 yards and taking the Over.

DIVISIONAL FIRST-HALF

The Green Bay Packers pace the league in first-half points scored at home at 16.7 per game. Lambeau’s inhabitants have won each of their last three first halves as hosts (3-0 ATS) and are 5-2 ATS versus the first-half spreads at home this year. Green Bay just runs a better offense at home as it has the fifth-best offense (yards per game) at home but rank 31st in yards per game on the road.

The Chicago Bears will stroll into the Cheese Factory on Sunday with their 29th-ranked road offense (yards per game). Mitch Trubisky & Co. are scoring 7.3 first-half points on the road this year and have put up just 10 points over their last three road first halves - zero points in two of those three contests.

We’re backing the Pack and taking Green Bay first-half spread at -3.

RAVENS TO REST LATE?

Coming off a big win in Buffalo last week, the Baltimore Ravens will take on the New York Jets who could be without their best player, safety Jamal Adams. The Ravens have some bumps and bruises they need to tend to in the short week as well. Lamar Jackson is dealing with a quad injury but will start while TE Mark Andrews returned to practice on Tuesday but is still banged up.

There’s a real chance that the Ravens jump out to a big lead and hold out some of their players later in the game versus the Jets. Baltimore leads the league in first-quarter and first-half points scored, so the table could be easy to set.

The Jets aren’t scaring anyone these days as they have played the four-worst DVOA defenses in five of their last seven games and have seen five of the bottom-seven DVOA offenses over that time as well. But the Jets haven’t played the league’s worst offense this year because that would be impossible. That prestigious title belongs to the J-E-T-S themselves.

We are taking the first-half as the highest-scoring half in this Ravens-Jets matchup, as we hope the Ravens will rest players heading into the second half on the short week versus an inferior opponent.

RUNAWAY MAGIC

Do you know which quarterback had the most rushing yards last week? Obviously, it was Ryan Fitzpatrick, who ran for 65 yards on seven carries and led his team in rushing. The Miami QB has rushed for 167 yards and three TDs since Week 7 and topped 22 yards rushing in three of his last five games.

In their last four games, the New York Giants are allowing opposing QBs to take off 4.5 times a game and have given up two rushing TDs. Miami is throwing the ball nearly 40 times a game over its last three as the Dolphins’ running game is pretty much nonexistent, giving Fitzpatrick plenty of chances to gain a few yards on the ground.

We’re waiting for the Fitzpatrick rushing total to open and will pounce on the Over on any number below 26 yards and may sprinkle the rushing TD as well.

THE THIN RECEIVING LINE

There’s thin, and then there’s the Philadelphia Eagles’ WR depth thin. Alshon Jeffrey has been put on the IR leaving Nelson Agholor, J.J. Arcega-Whiteside and Greg Ward as their only receivers and Agholor isn't guaranteed to dress for Sunday’s game against the Washington Redskins with a foot issue.

Washington is allowing 376 yards at home this year which has translated to 25.7 points per game, but recently Bill Callahan has whittled those numbers down to 328 yards per game and 19 points since Week 12. This game could feature a run-heavy approach from both offenses which cut into each teams’ total plays.

With just as many tight ends as receivers, we are going to fade the Eagles’ team total and hit the Under on 23.5 - a number Washington hasn’t allowed an opponent to top in three straight games.

**Udog** · 12-11-2019, 10:10 AM

NFL Betting Stats Heading Into Week 15:

Road Teams: 116-87-5 ATS
Home Teams: 87-116-5 ATS

Favorites: 91-112-5 ATS
Underdogs: 112-91-5 ATS

Home Faves: 51-76-5 ATS
Home Dogs: 36-40 ATS

Road Faves: 40-36 ATS
Road Dogs: 76-51-5 ATS

O/U: 100-108

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thur., Dec. 12 - Mon., Dec. 16)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thur., Dec. 12 - Mon., Dec. 16)

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