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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Thur., Dec. 5 - Mon., Dec. 9)

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  • NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Thur., Dec. 5 - Mon., Dec. 9)

    Commercial Photography

    NFL Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 5 - Monday, December 9

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Betting Recap - Week 13
    Joe Williams

    Overall Notes

    National Football League Week 13 Results

    Wager Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 8-7
    Against the Spread 6-9

    Wager Home-Away
    Straight Up 7-8
    Against the Spread 7-8

    Wager Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 7-8

    National Football League Year-to-Date Results
    Wager Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 102-67-1
    Against the Spread 81-102-5

    Wager Home-Away
    Straight Up 102-85-1
    Against the Spread 81-102-5

    Wager Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 92-95-1

    The largest underdogs to win straight up
    Redskins (+10.5, +450) at Panthers, 29-21
    Dolphins (+10, +425) vs. Eagles, 37-31
    Bills (+6.5, +250) at Cowboys (Thu.), 26-15
    Broncos (+4.5, +190) vs. Chargers, 23-20

    The largest favorite to cover
    Chiefs (-11) vs. Raiders, 40-9
    Saints (-7) at Falcons (Thu.), 26-18
    Packers (-6.5) at Giants, 31-13
    Buccaneers (-3) at Jaguars, 28-11

    It's Happening Again!

    -- The Miami Dolphins (+10) posted a 37-31 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., and the Washington Redskins (+10.5) were able to run all over the Carolina Panthers, securing a 29-21 victory. We had a pair of double-digit underdogs win outright back in Week 10 when the Dolphins and the Atlanta Falcons posted outright wins as underdogs of 11 or more points. It was the first time that had happened in the NFL since Oct. 15, 2017. Now, it has happened within the past month on two occasions. The Kansas City Chiefs (-11) were the only other double-digit favorite in the NFL in Week 13, and they humbled the visiting Oakland Raiders by a 40-9 score at Arrowhead.

    Total Recall

    -- The two highest totals on the board Sunday were the Raiders-Chiefs (49.5) and Los Angeles Rams-Arizona Cardinals (47.5), both of which went 'under'. In fact, there were six games listed with totals of 46.5, and just one of those games cashed to the 'over', and that was the New England Patriots-Houston Texans (47) game on Sunday Night Football.

    On the flip side, all games with totals closing at 39.5 or less ended up hitting the 'over', sometimes rather easily. In the Thanksgiving Day early game between the Chicago Bears-Detroit Lions (37), we saw third-string QB David Blough get off to a hot start before fizzling at the end. Even so, the teams combined for 44 points and an easy 'over'. In Charlotte, the Redskins-Panthers (39) was expected to a defensive slog with rather choppy offense. However, the Redskins posted a 29-21 win for 50 total points, ending up tied as the second-highest scoring game on Sunday. Not much offense was expected in Sunday's AFC West Division slugfest between the Los Angeles Chargers-Denver Broncos (38.5). It ended up being tied late at 20-20, and a field goal at the buzzer didn't make much difference, as the over was already in the bag.

    The Cleveland Browns-Pittsburgh Steelers (40) was a defensive battle which saw the home side prevail 20-13. If you're scoring at home that's four straight under results for the Yinzers, and the under is 6-1 over their past seven and 9-3 in their 12 games overall, including 2-0 vs. Cleveland this season. In addition, the Steelers are now 6-2-2 ATS across their past 10 games, and they haven't failed against the spread in consecutive weeks since opening with a pair of losses and non-covers.

    The 'over' connected in the primetime matchup Sunday against New England Patriots-Houston Texans (47), and is 1-1 for the weekend pending the result of Monday's contest between the Minnesota Vikings-Seattle Seahawks. The 'over' is just 14-25 (35.9%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

    Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

    In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

    In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

    In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

    In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

    Injury Report

    -- Panthers TE Greg Olsen (concussion) is in the league's mandated concussion protocol after being knocked from Sunday's game vs. Washington.

    Looking Ahead -- The Cincinnati Bengals picked up a win in Week 13, assuring them of not becoming the third NFL team to finish with an 0-16 record over a full season. The last team to do it was the 2017 Cleveland Browns, their opponent for Week 14. The Bengals will be on the road at FirstEnergy Stadium, and they're 8-2 ATS across their past 10 away from home. The Browns, meanwhile, are 7-3 ATS in their past 10 inside the division, although they failed to cover in a 20-13 win at Pittsburgh in Week 12. The Bengals opened as an eight-point underdog, and they're 8-1 ATS in the past nine meetings and 5-0 ATS in the past five trips to Cleveland. As such, they're seeing a lot of early action.

    -- The Minnesota Vikings will host the Lions in the second of two divisional meetings. The Vikings pasted the Lions 42-30 at Ford Field back in Week 7, easily covering a 2.5-point number as the 'over' (43.5) came in. The Vikings are an impressive 35-15-1 ATS in the past 51 at home, and 15-7-1 ATS in the past 23 vs. losing sides. The Lions have failed to cover the past four meetings, with the favorite 4-0 ATS in the past four. The under is 9-3 in the past 12 meetings in this series, and 6-0 in the past six battles in the Twin Cities.

    -- The Panthers and Falcons do battle for the second time this season, squaring off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Falcons surprised the Panthers 29-3 in Week 11 at Charlotte as 3.5-point underdogs as the 'under' (49) easily connected. The under is 5-1 in the past six for the Falcons, and 10-2-1 in the past 13 in this series, too. Carolina is 0-4 ATS in the past four battles overall, and 5-16-2 ATS in the past 23 trips to Georgia's capital.

    -- The Jets and Dolphins meet in New Jersey, and Miami is looking for the season sweep. They're 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings with the Jets, and the under is 7-2 in the past nine meetings at Met Life Stadium.

    -- The Seahawks and Rams lock horns in SoCal, with Seattle looking to improve on a 6-1 ATS mark in their past seven on the road. The Rams are 12-5 ATS in the past 17 games overall, and 10-2 ATS in the past 12 vs. NFC foes. In this series the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five, the underdog has hit in four of the past five and the Seahawks are just 2-5 ATS in the past seven trips to SoCal. The over is 4-0 in the previous four battles, too.

    -- On Monday the New York Giants travel to meet the Eagles, reeling after a shocking loss in Miami. The G-Men are a solid 10-3 ATS in the past 13 on the road, and 7-0 ATS in their past seven on a natural grass surface. While the Eagles are just 4-9 ATS in the past 13 at home, and 2-5 ATS in the past seven overall, they are an impressive 7-3 ATS in the past 10 appearances on MNF. The under is also 7-2 in the past nine meetings at Lincoln Financial Field.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2019, 06:10 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NFL Week 14 opening odds and early action: 49ers draw support vs Saints
      Patrick Everson

      The NFL season rolls into its final month, with Week 14 featuring high-profile matchups in each conference. We check in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

      San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (-3.5)

      New Orleans can move atop the entire NFC with a win in this clash of teams with the best record in the conference. The Saints (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) come off the mini-bye, having topped Atlanta 26-18 as 7-point road favorites on Thanksgiving Day.

      San Francisco also sports a 10-2 SU mark (7-4-1 ATS), but is on the road for a second straight week against a second straight solid opponent. The 49ers gave Baltimore a good go Sunday, but fell short on a final-seconds field goal 20-17 as 5.5-point underdogs.

      “We opened Saints -3.5 and are down to -3 (-120),” Murray said. “This is the best game of the week and a possible NFC Championship Game preview. Tough spot for the 49ers. They just had a war of a game in Baltimore and now have to go on the road again.”

      Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (-3)

      Like San Francisco, New England went into Week 13 with one loss and exited with two, losing its claim to the AFC’s No. 1 seed in the process. The Patriots (10-1 SU, 7-4 SU) were 3-point favorites at Houston, but got going too late in a 28-22 loss.

      Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City got a much-needed bye in Week 12 and came out rolling in Week 13. The Chiefs (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) pounded Oakland 40-9 as 11-point home favorites Sunday to take a two-game lead in the AFC West.

      “We opened Patriots -3 and took it off the board when the Sunday night game kicked,” Murray said. “I expect it to come lower when it reopens (Monday morning). The Patriots are smoke and mirrors, 10-2 because of a great coach and a super easy schedule.”

      Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (+6)

      Baltimore is scorching hot, peeling off eight wins in a row, but its five-game spread-covering streak came to an end in a tough Week 13 matchup. The Ravens (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) needed a final-seconds field goal to edge San Francisco 20-17 laying 5.5 points at home.

      By virtue of winning a tiebreaker with New England, John Harbaugh’s outfit is now the top seed in the AFC playoff race.

      Buffalo continues to be one of the bigger surprises of this NFL season, on the field and for bettors, with marks of 9-3 SU and 8-3-1 ATS. On Thanksgiving Day, the Bills went off as 6.5-point pups at Dallas and had little trouble in a 26-15 upset.

      “We opened Ravens -6 and are now at -5.5,” Murray said. “The Bills have struggled to stop the run. The Ravens won’t have any problem going on the road in inclement weather.”

      Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (+2.5)

      Seattle is among the hottest teams in the league, winning four in a row and seven of eight, but still has Week 13 work to do, hosting Minnesota in the Monday night game. The Seahawks (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS) topped Philadelphia 17-9 as 1-point Week 12 road favorites, their third straight cover.

      Defending NFC champion Los Angeles has been wildly inconsistent as it tries to stay in the NFC playoff picture. The Rams (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) got housed at home by Baltimore 45-6 in Week 12, then went to Arizona as 2.5-point favorites and put the hammer down, 34-7.

      “This will come off the board when the Monday night game kicks,” Murray said. “The Rams looked great today. Don’t be surprised if this drifts closer to pick if the Seahawks struggle with the Vikings.”
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2019, 06:10 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        101DALLAS -102 CHICAGO
        CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in the current season.

        131BALTIMORE -132 BUFFALO
        BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

        133WASHINGTON -134 GREEN BAY
        WASHINGTON is 18-4 ATS (13.6 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6 yards/play in the second half of the season since 1992.

        135DENVER -136 HOUSTON
        HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1992.

        137SAN FRANCISCO -138 NEW ORLEANS
        NEW ORLEANS are 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

        139CINCINNATI -140 CLEVELAND
        CLEVELAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.

        141CAROLINA -142 ATLANTA
        CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

        143DETROIT -144 MINNESOTA
        MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 2 seasons.

        145MIAMI -146 NY JETS
        MIAMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

        147INDIANAPOLIS -148 TAMPA BAY
        TAMPA BAY is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse since 1992.

        149LA CHARGERS -150 JACKSONVILLE
        LA CHARGERS are 30-6 ATS (23.4 Units) against the AFC South since 1992.

        151KANSAS CITY -152 NEW ENGLAND
        NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 in the last 2 seasons.

        153PITTSBURGH -154 ARIZONA
        ARIZONA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

        155TENNESSEE -156 OAKLAND
        OAKLAND is 30-64 ATS (-40.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.

        157SEATTLE -158 LA RAMS
        SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

        157SEATTLE -158 LA RAMS
        SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 in the last 2 seasons.

        159NY GIANTS -160 PHILADELPHIA
        NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 10 pts. in the last 2 seasons.

        159NY GIANTS -160 PHILADELPHIA
        Pat Shurmur is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 10 pts. (Coach of NY GIANTS)
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2019, 06:15 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NFL
          Long Sheet

          Week 14


          Thursday, December 5

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          DALLAS (6 - 6) at CHICAGO (6 - 6) - 12/5/2019, 8:20 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DALLAS is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
          CHICAGO is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
          CHICAGO is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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          Sunday, December 8

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          BALTIMORE (10 - 2) at BUFFALO (9 - 3) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BALTIMORE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
          BALTIMORE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          BALTIMORE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
          BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          WASHINGTON (3 - 9) at GREEN BAY (9 - 3) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          GREEN BAY is 198-143 ATS (+40.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
          GREEN BAY is 70-44 ATS (+21.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
          GREEN BAY is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
          WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          DENVER (4 - 8) at HOUSTON (8 - 4) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DENVER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
          HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 2) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
          NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
          NEW ORLEANS is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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          CINCINNATI (1 - 11) at CLEVELAND (5 - 7) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CINCINNATI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
          CINCINNATI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          CINCINNATI is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
          CLEVELAND is 2-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          CAROLINA (5 - 7) at ATLANTA (3 - 9) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          CAROLINA is 121-90 ATS (+22.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
          CAROLINA is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
          CAROLINA is 85-57 ATS (+22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
          ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
          ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
          ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
          ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          DETROIT (3 - 8 - 1) at MINNESOTA (8 - 4) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DETROIT is 48-74 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
          MINNESOTA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
          MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          MIAMI (3 - 9) at NY JETS (4 - 8) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MIAMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          MIAMI is 77-104 ATS (-37.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
          MIAMI is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
          MIAMI is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
          MIAMI is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
          NY JETS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
          MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 7) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TAMPA BAY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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          LA CHARGERS (4 - 8) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 8) - 12/8/2019, 4:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA CHARGERS are 128-95 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
          LA CHARGERS are 128-95 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
          LA CHARGERS are 103-74 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          LA CHARGERS are 30-6 ATS (+23.4 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LA CHARGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
          JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          KANSAS CITY (8 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 2) - 12/8/2019, 4:25 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEW ENGLAND is 269-205 ATS (+43.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
          NEW ENGLAND is 269-205 ATS (+43.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
          NEW ENGLAND is 134-103 ATS (+20.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
          NEW ENGLAND is 134-103 ATS (+20.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
          NEW ENGLAND is 206-150 ATS (+41.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          NEW ENGLAND is 198-151 ATS (+31.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          NEW ENGLAND is 129-87 ATS (+33.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
          NEW ENGLAND is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
          NEW ENGLAND is 129-91 ATS (+28.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
          NEW ENGLAND is 91-58 ATS (+27.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
          NEW ENGLAND is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
          KANSAS CITY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          KANSAS CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
          NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          PITTSBURGH (7 - 5) at ARIZONA (3 - 8 - 1) - 12/8/2019, 4:25 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ARIZONA is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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          TENNESSEE (7 - 5) at OAKLAND (6 - 6) - 12/8/2019, 4:25 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TENNESSEE is 121-157 ATS (-51.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          OAKLAND is 55-85 ATS (-38.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
          OAKLAND is 37-64 ATS (-33.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
          OAKLAND is 35-60 ATS (-31.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
          OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          SEATTLE (10 - 2) at LA RAMS (7 - 5) - 12/8/2019, 8:20 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA RAMS are 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
          SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
          SEATTLE is 72-42 ATS (+25.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
          SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          LA RAMS are 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
          LA RAMS are 145-191 ATS (-65.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          LA RAMS are 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
          LA RAMS are 73-107 ATS (-44.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
          LA RAMS are 71-105 ATS (-44.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
          LA RAMS are 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
          LA RAMS is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          Monday, December 9

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          NY GIANTS (2 - 10) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 7) - 12/9/2019, 8:15 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NY GIANTS are 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
          NY GIANTS are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NY GIANTS is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasonse last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2019, 06:19 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NFL

            Week 14


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
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            Chicago Bears
            Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
            Chicago is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
            Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
            Chicago is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Dallas
            Dallas Cowboys
            Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
            Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 15 games
            Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Chicago

            Green Bay Packers
            Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
            Green Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
            Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            Green Bay is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
            Green Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Washington
            Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
            Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
            Washington Redskins
            Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
            Washington is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games
            Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
            Washington is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Green Bay
            Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
            Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
            Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

            Houston Texans
            Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
            Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
            Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
            Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Denver
            Denver Broncos
            Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Denver is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 21 games
            Denver is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
            Denver is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 11 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Houston

            Minnesota Vikings
            Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
            Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
            Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
            Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
            Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing Detroit
            Minnesota is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Detroit
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
            Detroit Lions
            Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
            Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
            Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Detroit is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
            Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
            Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing Minnesota
            Detroit is 4-8-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
            Detroit is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

            New Orleans Saints
            New Orleans is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
            New Orleans is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
            New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
            New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            New Orleans is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
            New Orleans is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
            New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
            New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
            The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New Orleans's last 19 games when playing at home against San Francisco
            San Francisco 49ers
            San Francisco is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
            San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
            San Francisco is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
            San Francisco is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing New Orleans
            San Francisco is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing New Orleans
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
            San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
            The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Francisco's last 19 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

            Atlanta Falcons
            Atlanta is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
            Atlanta is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
            Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
            Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
            Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
            Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Carolina
            Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
            Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Carolina
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
            Carolina Panthers
            Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
            Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games
            Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            Carolina is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
            Carolina is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
            Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
            Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
            Carolina is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

            Buffalo Bills
            Buffalo is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
            Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home
            Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
            Baltimore Ravens
            Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Baltimore is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
            Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Buffalo

            Cleveland Browns
            Cleveland is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
            Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
            Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
            Cleveland is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
            Cleveland is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
            Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
            Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
            Cincinnati Bengals
            Cincinnati is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Cincinnati is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
            Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
            Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
            Cincinnati is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
            Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
            Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
            Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

            New York Jets
            NY Jets is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games
            NY Jets is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
            NY Jets is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
            NY Jets is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games at home
            NY Jets is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
            NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
            NY Jets is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
            NY Jets is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Miami
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Jets's last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
            Miami Dolphins
            Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
            Miami is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
            Miami is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
            Miami is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
            Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Jets
            Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Jets
            Miami is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

            Tampa Bay Buccaneers
            Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
            Tampa Bay is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
            Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
            Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
            Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
            Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
            Indianapolis Colts
            Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
            Indianapolis is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
            Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
            Indianapolis is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 7 games on the road
            Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
            Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

            Jacksonville Jaguars
            Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
            Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
            Jacksonville is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
            Jacksonville is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Jacksonville's last 11 games at home
            Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
            Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Chargers
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Jacksonville's last 10 games when playing LA Chargers
            Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
            Los Angeles Chargers
            LA Chargers is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games
            LA Chargers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 11 games
            LA Chargers is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
            LA Chargers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            LA Chargers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
            LA Chargers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 10 games when playing Jacksonville
            LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

            Oakland Raiders
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
            Oakland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
            Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oakland's last 18 games at home
            Oakland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tennessee
            Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tennessee
            Tennessee Titans
            Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
            Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
            Tennessee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland

            Arizona Cardinals
            Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            Arizona is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
            Arizona is 1-7-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
            Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
            Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
            Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
            Pittsburgh Steelers
            Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
            Pittsburgh is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
            Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
            Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Arizona
            Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona

            New England Patriots
            New England is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
            New England is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 17 of New England's last 24 games
            New England is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games at home
            New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England's last 10 games at home
            New England is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kansas City
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
            New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
            New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas City
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City
            Kansas City Chiefs
            Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
            Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
            Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 12 of Kansas City's last 16 games on the road
            Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing New England
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing New England
            Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
            Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New England
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing on the road against New England

            Los Angeles Rams
            LA Rams is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
            LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games
            LA Rams is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 7 games at home
            LA Rams is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
            LA Rams is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing Seattle
            LA Rams is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
            LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle
            Seattle Seahawks
            Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 21 games
            Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games on the road
            Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
            Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing LA Rams
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
            Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
            Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Rams

            Philadelphia Eagles
            Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
            Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
            Philadelphia is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
            Philadelphia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
            Philadelphia is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing NY Giants
            Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
            Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing NY Giants
            Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing at home against NY Giants
            New York Giants
            NY Giants is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
            NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
            NY Giants is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
            NY Giants is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Giants's last 8 games on the road
            NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
            NY Giants is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Philadelphia
            NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
            NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia


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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2019, 06:20 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NFL
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Week 14


              Cowboys (6-6) @ Bears (6-6)
              — Both teams played on Thanksgiving, had full week to prepare. Dallas lost three of last four games; they have no takeaways in last three (-4 TO’s)- they’re 3-3 SU on road TY, 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road favorite, 3-2 TY. In their last two games, Cowboys have two TD’s on 21 drives. Three of their last four road games went over. Chicago won its last two games after a 1-5 skid; they’re 3-3 SU at home TY, 9-2-2 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog (0-0 TY). Five of their last six games stayed under. Dallas won last two series games, 41-28/31-17, with last meeting in ’16. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 4-13 ATS, 1-6 on road; NFC North underdogs are 5-6 ATS, 2-1 at home.

              Ravens (10-2) @ Bills (9-3)
              — Baltimore won its last eight games, covering five of last six; in their last five games, they scored 22 TD’s on 40 drives. In their last three games, Ravens ran ball for 242 yards/game. Buffalo won three in row, six of last eight games; they’ve run ball for 178.7 ypg the last three weeks. Under McDermtt, Bills are 4-5 ATS as a home underdog, 1-0 TY- two of their three losses TY came at home. Four of their last five games stayed under. Home side won last seven Baltimore-Buffalo games; Ravens waxed Bills 47-3 in LY’s season opener- they lost last two trips to western NY, 23-20/19-14, with last visit here in 2013. AFC North non-divisional favorites are 4-8-1 ATS, 2-1 on road; AFC East underdogs are 10-7-1 ATS,, 5-3 at home.

              Redskins (3-9) @ Packers (9-3)
              — Washington won its last two games after a 1-9 start; they ran ball for 248 yards LW in their upset win at Carolina. Redskins have 8 takeaways (+5) in their last three games, 13 sacks in last two; they’re 14-10 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog, 3-2 TY. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Green Bay split its last four games; they’re 24-14-2 ATS in last 40 games as a home favorite, 4-2 TY. Three of their last four games went under. Underdogs covered three of last four series games; Redskins lost last four visits to Lambeau, with 3 of 4 losses by 18+ points. NFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 8-3 ATS TY; NFC North home favorites are 6-7 ATS.

              Broncos (4-8) @ Texans (8-4)
              — Denver split its last eight games (4-4 ATS) after an 0-4 start; rookie QB Lock got a win in his first NFL start LW, now makes his first road start. Broncos are 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog, 3-2 TY- three of their last four games went over the total. Houston won six of its last eight games; they converted 12 of last 23 third down plays. Texans are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a road favorite, 1-4 TY. Houston allowed 30+ points in three of their four losses. Four of their last five games went under. Favorites covered five of last seven series games; Denver split its last two visits here, wth last one here in ’13. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 8-5 ATS, 5-4 on road; AFC South underdogs are 9-6 ATS, 2-2 at home.

              49ers (10-2) @ Saints (10-2)
              — 49ers split their last four games after an 8-0 start, with both losses by a FG;.under Shanahan- they lost field position by 10+ yards in both losses, Niners are out of first place in NFC West for first time TY; they’re 11-7 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog, 4-0 TY. SF is 4-0 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points. New Orleans won its last three games, scoring 31.3 ppg; they were held to 9 points in both their losses TY. Saints are 10-14 ATS in last 24 games as a home favorite, 2-3 TY. Road team won three of last four series games; 49ers won two of last three visits to Bourbon Street. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 4-7 ATS, 3-6 at home; NFC West underdogs are 12-1 ATS, 10-1 on road.

              Bengals (1-11) @ Browns (5-7)
              — Cincy got first win of the year LW with Dalton back under center; they covered last three games. In their last five games, Bengals were outscored 47-14 in 2nd half; they’re 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog, 4-1 TY. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. This is *************** dot com. Cleveland won three of last four games; they’ve outscored opponents in 2nd half only once in their last eight games (1-5-2). Browns are 2-2-1 ATS TY as a home favorite. Three of their last four games went under. Browns swept Cincy LY, 35-20/26-18, after losing previous six series games. Bengals won four of last five trips to the Dawg Pound. Remember that Browns’ defensive star Garrett is suspended for rest of season.

              Panthers (5-7) @ Falcons (3-9)
              — Atlanta (+5.5) picked Allen off four times, stuffed the Panthers 29-3 in Charlotte three weeks ago; Falcons won eight of last ten series games. Carolina lost its last four visits to Atlanta, by 7-12-15-7 points. Carolina lost its last four games overall, giving up 29 ppg; they’ve allowed 12 TD’s on last 42 drives, have converted only 12 of last 43 third down plays. Panthers are 14-8 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog, 3-2 TY; they’re 7-10-1 ATS in last 18 games on artificial turf, 1-0 TY. Six of their last eight games went over. Atlanta gave up 61 points in losing its last two games; they lost their last four home games, are 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite, 0-2 TY. Five of their last six games stayed under.

              Lions (3-8-1) @ Vikings (8-4)
              — Short week for Minnesota after its Monday night loss in Seattle. Under Zimmer, Vikings are 25-9-1 ATS as a home favorite, 3-2 TY. Vikings (-2.5) won 42-30 in Detroit in Week 7, running ball for 166 yards in game that was 21-all at half. Detroit lost six of last nine series games, but won two of last three visits to the Twin Cities. Vikings split their last four games, despite scoring 27 ppg; they’ve converted 18 of last 26 third down plays. Six of their last seven games went over. This is first road start for rookie 3rd string QB Blough, who was 22-38/259 in LW’s 24-20 home loss to Chicago, his NFL debut. Under Patricia, Lions are 6-4 ATS as a road underdog, 2-2 TY; five of their last seven games went over.

              Dolphins (3-9) @ Jets (4-8)
              — Miami won three of its last five games after an 0-7 start; they covered six of their last eight games, are 3-2 ATS as a road underdog TY. Dolphins allowed 20+ points in first half in each of their last three games, but they play hard for 60:00 and Fitzpatrick has given them a competitive spark. Four of their last five games went over. Jets (-3) lost 26-18 in Miami in Week 9, scoring 10 points on three trips to red zone; Dolphins won six of last seven series games, taking two of last three series games played here. Jets won three of last four games but laid an egg in Cincy LW; they won three of last four home games, are 1-4 ATS in last five games as a home favorite, 0-1 TY. Jets didn’t allow a play of 20+ yards in their last two games.

              Colts (6-6) @ Buccaneers (5-7)
              — Colts lost four of last five games after a 5-2 start; they’re 2-3 SU on road TY, with all five games decided by 6 or fewer points. Under Reich, Indy is 7-2 ATS as a home favorite, 4-0 TY. Veteran K Vinatieri has missed 14 kicks (6 PAT, 8 FG) TY- they gave up a TD on a blocked FG when score was tied with 6:00 left in pivotal loss to Titans LW. Tampa Bay won three of last four games after a 2-6 start; Bucs lost three of their four home games, are 4-16 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite, 0-3 TY. Indy won three of last four series games; teams split last two meetings played here. AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 10-6 ATS, 8-4 on road; AFC South favorites are 4-7 ATS, 1-1 at home.

              Chargers (4-8) @ Jaguars (4-8)
              — Chargers find weird ways to lose; all eight of their losses are by 7 or fewer points- their last four road games (1-3) were decided by total of nine points. LA turned ball over eight times in their last three games (-6); they’re 1-6 when they allow more than 16 points. Chargers are 2-5 SU away from home, and were favored in 4 of 7 games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Jaguars lost last four games, allowing 32.3 ppg, with all four losses by 17+ points. Jags are 9- ATS in last 16 games as a home underdog, 1-2 TY. Bolts won six of last seven series games, losing 20-17 (+5.5) in last visit here, two years ago. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 6-11 ATS, 2-4 on road; AFC South underdogs are 10-6 ATS, 2-2 at home.

              Chiefs (8-4) @ Patriots (10-2)
              — Chiefs scored 71 points in two games vs New England LY but lost both of them, losing AFC title game 37-31 in OT at Arrowhead. Chiefs lost five of last seven visits to Foxboro; underdogs covered last four series games. Chiefs scored 30.5 ppg in winning three of last fur games overall; under Reid, they’re 14-8 ATS as a road underdog (0-0 TY). Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. New England split its last four games after an 8-2 start; they’re 31-15-3 in last 49 games as a home favorite, 3-2 TY. Under is 8-4 in their games this season. AFC West non-divisional underdogs are 7-6 ATS, 5-4 on road; AFC East favorites are 8-7 ATS, 5-5 at home. Patriots are behind Baltimore now in race for #1 seed in the AFC.

              Steelers (7-5) @ Cardinals (3-8-1)
              — Steelers won six of last seven games after a 1-4 start; they are 2-0 in Hodges’ starts, +10 in turnovers- they outscored last six opponents 63-26 in 2nd half. Pitt is 2-3 SU on road, 3-9 ATS n last dozen games as a road favorite, 0-1 TY. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Arizona lost its last five games, but covered six of last eight; they’re 1-4-1 SU at home, with only win 34-33 over Atlanta in Week 6. Over last 11 years, Cardinals 22-15-1 ATS as a home underdog, 3-2 TY. Three of their last four games went over. Pitt won four of last five series games, splitting last two meetings played here. AFC North non-divisional favorites are 4-8-1 ATS, 2-1 on road; NFC West underdogs are 12-1 ATS, 2-0 at home.

              Titans (7-5) @ Raiders (6-6)
              — Tennessee won five of its last six games after a 2-4 start; they’re tied for last Wild Card slot. Titans are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite, 0-1 TY- they split six road games SU this year. Oakland was a playoff contender, then lost last two games, 34-3/40-9; they scored one TD on last 20 drives, with five turnovers (-4). Raiders won four of their five home games, with only loss 28-10 (+7) to KC in Week 2- they’re 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog, 2-1 TY. Raiders won last three series games, by 3-7-10 points; this is Titans’ first visit to Oakland since ’13. AFC South non-divisional favorites are 5-7 ATS, 1-1 on road; AFC West underdogs are 8-5 ATS, 3-1 at home.

              Seahawks (10-2) @ Rams (7-5)
              — Zuerlein missed 41-yard FG with 0:02 left in Rams’ 30-29 loss in Seattle in Week 5, just third series win for Seahawks in last ten meetings, last four of which were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Seattle won its last five games, covered last four; they’re 6-0 SU on road TY, 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite, 0-1 TY. Three of their last four games went over. Rams split their four post-bye games, scoring 17 or fewer points in three of them; they’re 2-3 SU at home TY, 1-6-1 ATS n last eight games as a home underdog, 0-1 TY. Six of their last seven games went under. Seahawks are 10-2, but six of their 10 wins were by 4 or less points, or in OT. Seattle is 6-3-1 ATS in last 10 games wth spread of 3 or less points.

              Giants (2-10) @ Eagles (5-7)
              — Philly lost its last three games, blowing two-TD lead to 3-9 Miami LW; they led two of those three games at halftime. Eagles are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite, 2-3 TY- they’re 7-13-1 ATS in last 21 games as a divisional home favorite. Philly has six takeaways in its last seven games (-7); Three of their last four games went under. Giants lost their last eight games (2-6 ATS); they were outscored 122-53 in 2nd half of those games. NYG is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog, 3-3 TY. Big Blue is minus-13 in turnovers TY; Four of their last five games went over. Eagles won four in row, 10 of last 11 series games; Giants lost last five visits here, last two by 25-22/27-24 scores.
              Last edited by Udog; 12-04-2019, 09:56 AM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NFL
                Dunkel

                Week 14



                Thursday, December 5

                Dallas @ Chicago


                Game 101-102
                December 5, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Dallas
                1329.514
                Chicago
                130.944
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Chicago
                by 1 1/2
                46
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Dallas
                by 3
                42 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Chicago
                (+3); Over


                Sunday, December 8

                Baltimore @ Buffalo


                Game 131-132
                December 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Baltimore
                143.525
                Buffalo
                140.869
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Baltimore
                by 2 1/2
                46
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Baltimore
                by 6
                43 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Buffalo
                (+6); Over

                Washington @ Green Bay


                Game 133-134
                December 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Washington
                121.306
                Green Bay
                136.800
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Green Bay
                by 15 1/2
                40
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Green Bay
                by 13
                42
                Dunkel Pick:
                Green Bay
                (-13); Under

                Denver @ Houston


                Game 135-136
                December 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Denver
                127.981
                Houston
                138.324
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Houston
                by 10 1/2
                38
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Houston
                by 8
                42 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Houston
                (-8); Under

                San Francisco @ New Orleans


                Game 137-138
                December 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                San Francisco
                136.409
                New Orleans
                141.411
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                New Orleans
                by 5
                49
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                New Orleans
                by 2 1/2
                4 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                New Orleans
                (-2 1/2); Over

                Cincinnati @ Cleveland


                Game 139-140
                December 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Cincinnati
                123.210
                Cleveland
                134.025
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Cleveland
                by 11
                49
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Cleveland
                by 8 1/2
                40 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Cleveland
                (-8 1/2); Over

                Carolina @ Atlanta


                Game 141-142
                December 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Carolina
                127.285
                Atlanta
                125.900
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Carolina
                by 1 1/2
                45
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Atlanta
                by 3
                48
                Dunkel Pick:
                Carolina
                (+3); Under

                Detroit @ Minnesota


                Game 143-144
                December 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Detroit
                124.433
                Minnesota
                135.413
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Minnesota
                by 11
                40
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Minnesota
                by 13
                43
                Dunkel Pick:
                Detroit
                (+13); Under

                Miami @ NY Jets


                Game 145-146
                December 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Miami
                120.871
                NY Jets
                128.144
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                NY Jets
                by 7 1/2
                38
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                NY Jets
                by 5 1/2
                45
                Dunkel Pick:
                NY Jets
                (-5 1/2); Under

                Indianapolis @ Tampa Bay


                Game 147-148
                December 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Indianapolis
                129.817
                Tampa Bay
                134.241
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Tampa Bay
                by 4 1/2
                43
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Tampa Bay
                by 2 1/2
                47
                Dunkel Pick:
                Tampa Bay
                (-2 1/2); Under

                LA Chargers @ Jacksonville


                Game 149-150
                December 8, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                LA Chargers
                123.867
                Jacksonville
                125.901
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Jacksonville
                by 2
                45
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                LA Chargers
                by 3
                43
                Dunkel Pick:
                Jacksonville
                (+3); Over

                Kansas City @ New England


                Game 151-152
                December 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Kansas City
                138.493
                New England
                138.549
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Kansas City
                Even
                53
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                New England
                by 3
                48 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Kansas City
                (+3); Over

                Pittsburgh @ Arizona


                Game 153-154
                December 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Pittsburgh
                133.100
                Arizona
                123.464
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Pittsburgh
                by 9 1/2
                31
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Pittsburgh
                by 2 1/2
                43 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Pittsburgh
                (-2 1/2); Under

                Tennessee @ Oakland


                Game 155-156
                December 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Tennessee
                136.561
                Oakland
                123.168
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Tennessee
                by 13 1/2
                44
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Tennessee
                by 2 1/2
                47
                Dunkel Pick:
                Tennessee
                (-2 1/2); Under

                Seattle @ LA Rams


                Game 157-158
                December 8, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Seattle
                135.662
                LA Rams
                136.393
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                LA Rams
                by 1
                53
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Seattle
                by 1
                48
                Dunkel Pick:
                LA Rams
                (+1); Over



                Monday, December 9

                NY Giants @ Philadelphia


                Game 159-160
                December 9, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                NY Giants
                120.595
                Philadelphia
                128.144
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Philadelphia
                by 7 1/2
                48
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Philadelphia
                by 9
                46
                Dunkel Pick:
                NY Giants
                (+9); Over
                Last edited by Udog; 12-04-2019, 09:54 AM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Trends to Watch - December
                  Marc Lawrence

                  HOME TEAMS

                  Keep an eye on (Good): 5-Teams

                  Carolina 31-20 ATS - Cincinnati 41-25 ATS - Green Bay 37-22 ATS
                  New England 36-21 ATS - Seattle 41-21 ATS

                  The Panthers will be home on the odd numbers Sunday's beginning with Washington (12/1), which is winnable. However, games against Seattle (12/15) and New Orleans (12/29) will be harder.

                  If Miami can beat the Jets (12/1) at home, so can Cincinnati. The Bengals against New England (12/15) will be more challenging. Cincy closes with Cleveland (12/29) having played them three weeks prior.

                  Green Bay's cold weather edge will be slightly diminished facing cold weather opponents Chicago (12/15) and Washington (12/8).

                  New England will have an anticipated showdown with Kansas City (12/8), plus, divisional games with Buffalo (12/21) and Miami (12/29).

                  The Seahawks slate is anything but simple home and away. At CenturyLink Field they have Minnesota on the first Monday of the month and later Arizona (12/22) and San Francisco (12/29).
                  Keep an eye on (Bad): Cleveland 15-26 ATS - L.A. Rams 22-34 ATS
                  Cleveland’s trying to fight back and concludes with the Bengals (12/8) in the first of two and two weeks later versus Baltimore (12/29).

                  The Rams have a rugged road schedule along with home games against the Seahawks (12/8) and Cardinals (12/29).

                  AWAY TEAMS

                  Keep an eye on (Bad): 5-Teams
                  Dallas 26-39 ATS - Houston 15-24 ATS - Miami 21-33 ATS
                  Oakland 21-39 ATS - San Francisco 23-39 ATS

                  If the Cowboys blow it like usual on the road at Chicago (12/5) and at Philadelphia (12/22), they might not reach the playoffs.

                  Off a trio of home contests, Houston hits the road for Tennessee (12/15) and Tampa Bay (12/21), hoping that does screw up their postseason plans.

                  In a manner of speaking, everything will be new for Miami away from home. (and chilly)
                  With trips two trips to New Jersey to take on the New York Jets (12/8) and New York Giants (12/15), followed by two weeks later to face New England.

                  With all three AFC West teams having made one last visit to Oakland, the Raiders will make stops in K.C. (12/1), Carson (12/22) at a Mile High (12/29).

                  With how improved San Francisco is, one might imagine they would have the same problems of the past. Then you find that the Niners will be unwelcome guests at Baltimore (12/1), at New Orleans (12/8) and at the Seahawks and now it sure looks harder.

                  FAVORITES

                  Good: Seattle - 43-21 ATS
                  The Seahawks are sensational in this role this month, but how often is hard to say with their schedule. For sure Seattle will be the favorite at home against Arizona (12/22) and now versus Minnesota (12/2). However, at the L.A. Rams (12/8) at Carolina (12/15) and home against San Fran (12/29) will be TBD.

                  Keep an eye on (Good): Green Bay 56-29 ATS
                  The Packers have been impervious to the cold in December and usually are playing their best football. They will be dishing out the digits at the Giants (12/1) and home against Washington (12/8) and Chicago (12/15). The season finale at Detroit is the only unknown.

                  Bad: Miami - 24-49 ATS
                  The Dolphins might have cost themselves the No.1 overall pick in season where the front office did all but everything to lose. Though Miami will play the Jets and Giants, both are in New Jersey, setting up Cincinnati (12/22) as the lone possible favorite role.

                  Keep an eye on (Bad): 3-Teams
                  Cleveland 6-11 ATS - Dallas 25-38 ATS
                  N.Y. Jets 18-28 ATS

                  Cleveland's season has not turned out as expected and they hope not to make to worse with two games against the Bengals (12/08 and 12/29) and possible as favorite at Arizona (12/15).

                  Most seasons, the last thing Dallas is clutch and a money-maker this month. They will have two chances not to make it worse against the Rams (12/15) and the Redskins (12/29).

                  Could the Jets possibly be favored at Cincy (12/1)? Yes, it turned out to be. Otherwise, they'll be smallish home faves with revenge against the Dolphins (12/8).

                  UNDERDOGS

                  Keep an eye on (Good): 3-Teams
                  Carolina 34-19 ATS - Seattle 43-22 ATS
                  Pittsburgh 20-12 ATS
                  Both Carolina and Seattle have been outstanding underdogs this month, but what we don't know who will be in what role when they meet in Charlotte on the 15th. Stayed tuned.

                  The Panthers will be a smaller dog at Indianapolis on the 22nd and we’ll have to wait and see on Atlanta.

                  The Seahawks might catch a point or two at the Rams (12/8), but not for sure.

                  Right now, one would presume Pittsburgh will be favored at Arizona (12/8) and Jets (12/22), however, they will be underdogs to close the regular season at Baltimore, unless the Ravens are resting players.

                  Keep an eye on (Bad): 3-Teams
                  Chicago 27-42 ATS - L.A. Rams 22-43 ATS
                  Oakland 27-48 ATS

                  Chicago has been a bad dog, like one tearing up Christmas packages, late in the season and that could continue. The Bears have Dallas (12/5) at home a week after they played on Thanksgiving. Then 17 days later at Soldier Field versus the Chiefs, plus away battles at the Packers (12/15) and Vikings (12/29).

                  The Rams sure look like underdogs at Dallas (12/15) and at Frisco (12/21) and as mentioned, their home game with Seattle (12/8) could be a TBD matchup.

                  Though Oakland is in thick of the playoff chase, they are all but certain to be a division road underdog at Kansas City (12/1), at Carson (12/22) and depending where everything is, maybe at Denver (12/29).

                  DIVISION

                  Because we don't want to keep repeating basically the same information over and over for this article, which you have already read about these teams, we are listing their record and who they are playing only.

                  Keep an eye on (Good):
                  Carolina 30-19 ATS - @ Atlanta (12/8) and New Orleans (12/29)
                  New England 35-21 ATS - Buffalo (12/21) and Miami (12/29)

                  Keep an eye on (Bad):
                  Cleveland 12-21 ATS - @ Pittsburgh (12/1), Cincinnati (12/8), Baltimore (12/22) and @ Cincinnati (12/29)
                  Miami 23-39 ATS - @ N.Y. Jets (12/8) and @ New England (12/29)
                  Oakland 24-37 ATS - @ Kansas City (12/1) @ L.A. Chargers and @ Denver (12/29)
                  Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2019, 06:23 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Tech Trends - Week 14
                    Bruce Marshall

                    Thursday, Dec. 5

                    DALLAS at CHICAGO (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)

                    Cowboys had covered 4 of last 5 prior to Thanksgiving loss to Bills. Dallas has covered last 3 on road in 2019. Bears just 3-9 vs. spread this season, also “under” 15-4 since late in 2018.
                    Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Cowboys, based on “totals” and team trends.



                    Sunday, Dec. 1

                    BALTIMORE at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                    Ravens have won last 6 SU and covered 7 of last 8 in 2019. Also 7-1 vs. spread last 8 on road. Bills 4-0-1 vs. spread last five TY and 4-0-1 last five as dog since late LY. Buffalo also “under” 9-3 this season.
                    Tech Edge: Slight to “under” and Ravens, based on “totals” and team trends.


                    WASHINGTON at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                    Redskins have actually covered 4 of last 6 TY. Skins also 8-5 “under” since late 2018.
                    Tech Edge: Slight to Skins, based on tream trends.


                    DENVER at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                    Broncos 6-2 vs. spread last eight TY. Texans only 2-4 vs. spread last six TY, and 2-4 vs. points at NRG Stadium. Denver on 16-5 “under” run since mid 2018, Houston “under” 12-5 at hoem sicne late 2017.
                    Tech Edge: “Under” and Broncos, based on “totals” and recent trends.


                    SAN FRANCISCO at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                    Niners 5-1 SU and vs. line on road in 2019, also 4-0 as a dog. Saints no covers last two at Superdome TY, 2-7 last 9 vs. spread as host.
                    Tech Edge: 49ers, based on recent trends.


                    CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                    Browns have won last 3 SU at home but still just 2-3-1 vs. spread as host this season and 4-7-1 vs. line overall. Bengals actually 4-1 vs. spread as true visitor in 2019 and a shocking 8-1 vs. points last nine in role (not counting London vs. Rams). Bengals have also won and covered last five at Cleveland. Cincy “under” 11-4-2 since late 2018.
                    Tech Edge: Bengals and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                    CAROLINA at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                    Falcons 4-7-1 vs. line TY, 6-13-1 since mid 2018 against spread. Atlanta though has won and covered last four in series including 29-3 win at Charlotte on November 17. Panthers 5-2 vs. line last seven away from home. “Unders” 5-1 last six in series.
                    Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.trends.


                    DETROIT at MINNESOTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                    Lions broke 6-game spread L streak on Thanksgiving but still no covers last three on road TY, while Vikings no covers last 2 at US Bank Stadium after opening with three wins and covers at home. Minn is 5-0 SU as host TY. Vikings have also won and covered last 4 in series, including win at Ford Field on October 20.
                    Tech Edge: Vikings, based on series trends.


                    MIAMI at NY JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                    J-Men won and covered 3 in a row TY, Cincy 0-4-1 vs. line at home TY, 1-9-1 last 11 vs. spread at Paul Brown, Bengals “under” 10-4-2 since late 2018.
                    Tech Edge: Slight to Jets and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                    INDIANAPOLIS at TAMPA BAY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                    If Colts a dog note 6-2 mark last 8 in role. Indy also 7-2 vs. line last 9 away. Bucs only 2-6 vs. spread last eight in 2019, 0-4 vs. spread as host TY. Tampa Bay also on 10-3 “over” run since late 2018.
                    Tech Edge: Colts and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                    L.A. CHARGERS at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
                    Bolts only 3-9 vs. line TY, also “under” 15-7 since early 2018. Chargers 2-5 vs. spread away TY after great road marks previous (10-3-2 vs. line reg season outside of LA city limits previous two years). But Jags no covers last 4 or 6 of last 8 TY.
                    Tech Edge: Chargers and “under,” based on extended and “totals” trends.


                    KANSAS CITY at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
                    KC 0-2 SU and 1-1 vs. line against Pats in wild games LY. But Andy Reid 8-2 last 10 as dog (1-1 TY). Belichick 16-5 vs. number last 21 at Gillette Stadium, also “under” 16-5 last 21 reg season games, though last three “over” vs. Chiefs since 2017.
                    Tech Edge: Slight to Patriots and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                    PITTSBURGH at ARIZONA (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
                    If dog, Tomlin 4-2 in roleTY, 8-2 since 2018. Cards 4-2-1 vs. spread last 7 TY, also “over” 3-1 L4. Steel “under” 14-5 since late 2018 (8-3 “under” in 2019).
                    Tech Edge: Steelers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                    TENNESSEE at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
                    Titans 5-1 SU and vs. line last 5 (since switch to Tannehill at QB), also “over” last six this season. Raiders no covers last three in 2019. But Oak has won and covered last three ins series (2015-17).
                    Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.


                    SEATTLE at L.A. RAMS (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
                    Seahawks 6-0 SU and vs. line on road TY and have covered 5 of last 6 vs. Rams. Last four “over” in series. Rams 3-8 vs. line last 11 reg season at Coliseum. Last four “over” in series.
                    Tech Edge: Seahawks and “over,” based on team and series trends.



                    Monday, Dec. 9

                    N.Y. GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)

                    G-Men 9-3 as road dog since LY. NY has covered last 2 at Linc. Birds 10-20-1 vs. spread in reg season games since late 2017, 3-10 last 13 vs. number at Linc.
                    Tech Edge: Giants, based on team trends.
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2019, 06:23 PM.

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                    • #11
                      Best spot bets for the NFL Week 14 odds: Texans tackling 'letdown' as big favorites
                      Jason Logan

                      The Texans entered the 2019 season with the hardest slate of games, as ranked by strength of schedule. So, it’s no surprise that Houston has been a mainstay of this weekly spot bet showcase and makes its fifth appearance in Week 14.

                      Plenty of times when NFL bettors get hit with a result they didn’t see coming, they instantly wonder, “What did I miss?” And often, the underlying X-factor in that final score fits the mold of the situational spot.

                      Letdowns, lookaheads, and schedule spots are just part of the puzzle when it comes to capping the weekly NFL odds, and sometimes that puzzle piece is bigger than you’d imagine. *********** Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan is a big fan of situational capping and gives his favorite spot bets for the NFL Week 14 odds.


                      LETDOWN SPOT: DENVER BRONCOS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-9.5, 41.5)

                      The Texans entered the 2019 season with the hardest slate of games, as ranked by strength of schedule. So, it’s no surprise that Houston has been a mainstay of this weekly spot bet showcase and makes its fifth appearance in Week 14.

                      The Texans are coming off a huge win over the New England Patriots last Sunday and now take on the Denver Broncos as big home faves. Houston was as big as 10-point chalk but has been bet down as low as -9 with early money recognizing this tricky spot for the Texans. No only is the letdown off the victory over New England possible but Houston could also get caught looking ahead to what is now an important road game in Tennessee next week.

                      The Broncos are coming off a last-second victory over the Chargers at home in Week 13 and have been raking in the Rocky Mountain money for Denver bettors, covering in six of their previous eight games. Houston, on the other hand, is 2-4 ATS inside NRG Stadium and is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven games following an ATS winner.


                      LOOKAHEAD SPOT: TENNESSEE TITANS AT OAKLAND RAIDERS (+3, 47.5)

                      Staying in the AFC South and piggybacking on the Texans' sandwich spot in Week 14, we have red-hot Tennessee traveling across the country to face the Oakland Raiders as a field-goal favorite. The Titans have won three in a row behind a suddenly-sizzling offense, averaging 36 points during this winning streak.

                      That run has Tennessee back in the divisional hunt and hot on the heels of Houston in the final four games of the season. The Titans, at 7-5 SU, could get caught looking ahead to that Week 15 showdown versus the Texans at home. Oakland has looked terrible the past two games, getting outscored 74-12 in road losses to the Jets and Chiefs, but is back in the Bay Area where the Silver and Black are 4-2 ATS on the season and 7-2 ATS in their last nine homestands.

                      Tennessee could also find itself dining at the situational sandwich shop this Sunday, chewing back a letdown spot after that huge win at Indianapolis and washing it down with a cool drink of schedule spot, playing in its second straight road game.


                      SCHEDULE SPOT: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-2.5, 44.5)

                      The Niners are no doubt blowing through the ice packs and Advil (or stronger) the week following a very physical matchup with the Baltimore Ravens last Sunday (Bonus trend: teams are 4-7 ATS immediately following a game vs. Baltimore this season). San Francisco doesn’t get much time to lick those wounds, traveling to the Big Easy for an important NFC game.

                      The 49ers opened as 3-point underdogs versus the Saints in Week 14 and early money on San Francisco has moved this spread under the key number to NOLA -2.5. This will the Niners’ second straight road game, a situation that hasn’t been historically kind to the franchise: going 5-10 SU and 6-8-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games since 2014.

                      Now, this 2019 edition of the 49ers is much different than past San Fran teams but there’s no denying this sticky schedule spot, which also sees the opponent – New Orleans – well rested off a mini bye due to playing (and beating) the Falcons on Thanksgiving Thursday. Sean Payton and his staff were able to sit back and watch that 49ers-Ravens game, giving them extra prep time. New Orleans is a solid 14-8 ATS with the edge in rest since 2010.
                      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2019, 06:25 PM.

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                      • #12
                        Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 14 odds: Chase the Chiefs before this big line move
                        Jason Logan

                        The Chiefs' stock is soaring after a big win over Oakland and now early action is dropping Kansas City under the key number in New England this Sunday. Get K.C. +3 while you can.

                        Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

                        Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

                        Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL Week 14 board.

                        SPREAD TO BET NOW: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-3, 49)

                        The Chiefs’ 2019 stock has never been higher after a thrashing of rival Oakland at home in Week 13. And, the 2019 stock on the Patriots has never been lower, after a losing effort at Houston this past Sunday night. Those contrasting results has the line for this AFC Championship Game rematch trending toward the visitor.

                        Kansas City opened as high as +3.5 for this trip to Foxborough and that half-point hook didn’t last long, quickly getting bet down to a field goal. Some online markets opened K.C. +3 and action on the Chiefs moved it to +2.5 before buyback on Belichick’s boys pushed it back to three.

                        As it stands, with those Week 13 results still fresh out of the oven, plenty of books are moving to New England -2.5. So, if you like Kansas City in this revenge spot on the road, take K.C. now at +3. The “Pats off a loss” trends will make their rounds later in the week (41-16 ATS off a loss since 2003), so if you did miss out on a field goal there’s a slight chance it may pop back up.


                        SPREAD TO BET LATER: DENVER BRONCOS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-10, 41.5)

                        Nothing inflates a number like a win over New England. The Texans are riding high off a very impressive showing versus the Patriots on Sunday night, and that has pushed the opening spread for this matchup with Denver from Houston -8 (set before SNF) to -10.

                        If you’re not sold on the Texans or are buying into a letdown spot, hold your horses and see if this creeps over the key number of 10. Denver is coming off a last-second win over the Chargers, thanks to a late pass interference call that set up a game-winning field goal. But, the Broncos have a rookie QB at the helm in Drew Lock, who makes his first road start in NRG Stadium this Sunday.

                        Denver has been one of the sneaky-good bets in the second half of the schedule, going 6-2 ATS in its last eight outings. The Texans have been a bad bet at home (2-5 ATS last seven at home) and are inconsistent in their efforts, with a 1-6 ATS record in their last seven when covering the spread the game before.


                        TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 43 DALLAS COWBOYS AT CHICAGO BEARS

                        If you’re planning on an uneventful Thursday night matchup between the Boys and Bears, you may want to get down on the Under now. The total for the mid-week showcase opened as high as 44 and has been chopped down a full point and likely will keep ticking down before kickoff.

                        The Cowboys are coming off an embarrassing effort versus the Bills at home on Thanksgiving, scoring just 15 points a week after being limited to only nine in a bad-weather game at New England. Dallas comes to Chicago, where game-time temperatures will hover around freezing and winds could reach gusts of up to 20 mph. Star receiver Amari Cooper is nursing a knee injury and there are also rumblings that he’s planning to bolt from Dallas this offseason. Hmmm…

                        Chicago, on the other hand, is THE Under team in the NFL. Save for a sudden outpouring from the Lions’ third-string QB on Thanksgiving, the Bears have played Under the total in eight of their dozen games this season, including a 1-5 O/U mark inside Soldier Field. The defense is especially stingy in the Windy City, allowing only 16 points against on home soil.


                        TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 43 PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT ARIZONA CARDINALS

                        A lone touchdown from Kyler Murray was all Arizona could muster in a blowout loss to Los Angeles in Week 13. That awful offensive effort is skewing the total for Week 14’s home date with the Steelers and should have fans of the Over pushing pause on their action until this number dips lower.

                        The total for Sunday opened at 43.5 and is starting to dwindle with money coming in on the Under, sitting at 43 points at some books. Pittsburgh isn’t lighting up the scoreboard by any means, but the offense looks a little more dangerous with “Duck” Hodges under center and the Cardinals “stop unit” is that in name only: giving up scores of 30, 36 and 34 in its last three games.

                        The Cardinals offense is much better than whatever that was in Week 13, averaging almost 23 points per game since Week 5. Pittsburgh's defense is playing well - giving up just 18.8 points per contest on the season - but has benefited from a home-friendly stretch, that saw the Steelers in Heinz Field in four of their last six outings. Arizona has gone Over the total in four of its six homestands and won’t need much from either team to top this total, especially after it drops lower throughout the week.
                        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2019, 06:25 PM.

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                        • #13
                          NFL Betting Stats heading into Week 14:

                          Road Teams: 106-82-4 ATS
                          Home Teams: 82-106-4 ATS

                          Favorites: 83-105-4 ATS
                          Underdogs: 105-83-4 ATS

                          Home Faves: 47-70-4 ATS
                          Home Dogs: 35-36 ATS

                          Road Faves: 36-35 ATS
                          Road Dogs: 70-47-4 ATS

                          O/U: 92-100
                          Last edited by Udog; 12-05-2019, 01:33 PM.

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                          • #14
                            By: Josh Inglis



                            SHADING THE MVP

                            The Buffalo Bills' hype-train is chugging along after a convincing win in Dallas with the country watching in Week 13. But things will get much more difficult this week with the Baltimore Ravens traveling to New Era Field.

                            This game will feature the first and fourth-best rushing quarterbacks (rush yards/game) in Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen. Jackson is nearly impossible to game plan against because no teams can mimic Jackson in practice - except the Bills.

                            The Bills defense is used to practicing against a mobile QB and if any team in the league is prepared to slow down Jackson, the Bills stand the best chance. The same can be said with Allen as he will see a defense that faces an elite QB rushing talent in practice every week.

                            We think there’s a chance that the Allen and Jackson (not to be confused with the rugged country singer) rushing markets could be overvalued with all the attention they have been getting after Week 13. We are going to fade both dual-threat quarterbacks, taking the Under on Jackson’s rushing total of 75.5 yards and the Under on Allen’s on 39.5 yards.


                            DUCK DYNASTY

                            The Arizona Cardinals may be 4-1-1 ATS at home this year but their opponents have enjoyed success on the offensive side of the ball in the desert. The Cardinals are giving up the second-most TDs at home (3.8) and have allowed their opponents to score 30 or more points in four straight weeks. Even the L.A. Rams scored 34 points versus Arizona last week after averaging just 11.6 points a game from Weeks 10 through 12.

                            The Pittsburgh Steelers under Devlin Hodges have scored in seven of their last 16 drives and are putting up 5.5 points a quarter. Not incredible numbers but facing the league’s 28th-ranked red-zone defense will make things easier. Getting center James Pouncey back from suspension certainly helps and if James Connor can suit up, the Steelers have a good chance at eclipsing their team total, even if JuJu Smith-Schuster is out.

                            We’re riding the Over on the Steelers’ total of 22.5 and are waiting for TE Vance MacDonald’s prop market to open as he faces the league’s worst TE-defending team.


                            PRIMETIME SIX-POINT TEASER TIME

                            Dallas (+3) is lucky it plays in the worst division in football this year. Nobody wants to win the NFC East but Dallas may have more motivation after getting shown up on Thanksgiving and Jerry Jones basically saying Jason Garrett will not be back next year. Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears are also due for a dud. Cowboys +3

                            The Rams decided to run up the score last week which hopefully gives that offense and their full slate of receivers some confidence ahead of their matchup versus the Seahawks. Seattle sits sixth in points per play while its defense is allowing 24.4 average points against. Take the Over 42.

                            Over their last three games, the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants are averaging 52 points combined. The Giants offense will be forced to put up some points on Monday night as their defense is allowing the second-most points on the road. New York is also 5-1 O/U on totals of 41 or higher over its last six games. Take the Over 41.


                            FIRST-HALF CIRCUIT BAKER

                            The Cincinnati Bengals have the 31st DVOA first-half defense and are giving up 14.3 first-half points on the road this year. The Bengals have won their last two first halves against the Steelers and the Jets and this week may be a great time to fade Cincy in the first half as it recovers from a victory hangover.

                            Cleveland Browns QB Baker Mayfield will be good to go for Sunday and feasted on the Bengals last year. In his two games against Cincy, the former No.1 pick has thrown for seven TDs and completed 73 percent of his passes.

                            Cleveland will take out its frustrations on its division rivals. Take the Browns first-half spread of -4.


                            TOM TERRIBLE

                            Kansas City’s defense is amped up to play the Patriots and their anemic offense. We won’t put all the blame on Brady as that receiving corps has been a revolving door this year and there’s a serious lack of experience outside of Julian Edelman.

                            The Chiefs have six interceptions over their last two games and if Patrick Mahomes and the offense get up in New England, they will force Brady to pass - something the 42-year-old QB hasn’t been very good at. Brady is just 17th in QBR, between Ryan Tannehill and Jameis Winston.

                            Brady has only one interception at home this year but threw eight at Gillette Stadium last season. Aided by the eye test, we are putting our money on the Over 0.5 INTs for Tom Terrific.
                            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2019, 02:52 AM.

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                            • #15
                              NFL's Top Over Teams:

                              1. Buccaneers 9-3 O/U
                              t2. Panthers 8-4 O/U
                              t2. Lions 8-4 O/U
                              t4. Seahawks, Ravens, Vikings, Chiefs, Titans, Cowboys, Colts, Cardinals, and Giants tied at 7-5 O/U


                              NFL's Top Under Teams:

                              t1. Bills 9-3 U/O
                              t1. Steelers 9-3 U/O
                              3. Bengals 8-3-1 U/O
                              t4. Patriots 8-4 U/O
                              t4. Rams 8-4 U/O
                              t4. Bears100 8-4 U/O
                              t4. Chargers 8-4 U/O
                              t4. Falcons 8-4 U/O
                              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2019, 02:52 AM.

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