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**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 12:12 AM

Betting Recap - Week 11
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 11 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 11-2
Against the Spread 8-4-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 8-5
Against the Spread 5-7-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-6

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 100-57-1
Against the Spread 68-86-4

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 85-72-1
Against the Spread 67-87-4

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 80-77-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Falcons (+3.5, ML +165) at Panthers, 29-3
Jets (+1.5, ML +105) at Redskins, 34-17

The largest favorite to cover
Bills (-7) at Dolphins, 37-20
Cowboys (-7) at Lions, 35-27
Rams (-5.5) vs. Bears, 17-7
Saints (-5.5) at Buccaneers, 34-17
Patriots (-4.5) at Eagles, 17-10
Ravens (-4.5) vs. Texans, 41-7

The People Are Champs

-- The Dallas Cowboys (-7) dropped the Detroit Lions at Ford Field in the 1:00 p.m. ET window, and bettors laying the flat seven had the benefit of a coach playing the analytics game. Traditionally, being down eight would mean you kick the extra point and are down just seven. However, 'new school' rules have coaches down eight going for two these days. Head coach Matt Patricia instructed QB Jeff Driskel and his offense to go for two, down 35-27. That's how the game ended, as the two-point conversion failed. Cowboys side bettors can send a thank-you note to Patricia and the new-school analytics guys who have fooled coaches into these decisions. The Cowboys are now 3-2 ATS on the road, and 6-4 ATS overall on the season. The 'over' has hit in three in a row, and five of the past six.

Another favorite team of the betting public, the New England Patriots (-4.5) ended up scratching out a 17-10 road win against the Philadelphia Eagles. You didn't really think the QB Tom Brady and the Patriots were going to lose consecutive games, did you? The Patriots bounced back from a road loss on SNF Nov. 3, and they're now 9-1 SU/7-3 ATS. The 'under' has connected in seven games.

The Cowboys and Patriots meet at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Mass. in Week 12, so the public will have to decide which team they like to back more, and which total trend they're feeling more.

Total Recall

-- The two highest totals on the board Sunday were the Houston Texans-Baltimore Ravens (51.5) and New Orleans Saints-Tampa Bay Buccaneers (50.5). The Ravens certainly did their part, scoring 41 points, but the Texans were only able to post seven points. Over bettors were hurt by Baltimore's defense, as well as a scoreless first quarter which is obviously never good for business.

As far as the Saints were concerned, they rebounded after forgetting how to play offense last week at home against Atlanta. They posted 13 points in the opening quarter, and they had 20 points by half. New Orleans posted seven or more points in each quarter, and that was good enough to overcome two scoreless quarters by the Bucs - just barely. The game cashed by a half-point at most shops.

The next two highest games on the board -- the Atlanta Falcons-Carolina Panthers (49) and Cincinnati Bengals-Oakland Raiders (48) games never really took off. The Falcons defense showed up for a second straight week, allowing single-digit points and zero touchdowns in a 29-3 win. The Bengals and Raiders remembered how to play defense, and totaled just 27 points.

There was only one total on the board under 40, and that was the New York Jets-Washington Redskins (37.5) game. The Jets offense was surprising NFL-caliber, posting 34 points, including a career-high four touchdown passes by QB Sam Darnold. In fact, he is now the youngest quarterback in franchise history to toss four TDs in a game, as Hall of Famer Joe Namath was nine days older when he turned the trick in Nov. 21, 1965.

After a six-game 'over' primetime streak, the 'under' has cashed in each of the first two primetime games of Week 11, with the Monday Night Football contest between the Kansas City-Los Angeles Chargers (53) from Mexico City still pending. The 'over' is just 12-21 (36.4%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs. The 'under' was a perfect 8-0 for Sunday Night Football this season, but the New England Patriots-Baltimore Ravens (44.5) game went over in the SNF game for the second consecutive weekend.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky (hip) reportedly suffered a hip injury late in the loss on the road against the Rams. It's uncertain if he'll miss time, but it's something to watch going forward.

-- Colts RB Marlon Mack (hand) suffered a fractured hand in Sunday's win over the Jaguars. It's uncertain how long he'll be sidelined or if he'll be able to play with a cast, etc.

Looking Ahead - Divisional Battles

-- Thursday's game between the Colts and Texans is an important game between two 6-4 clubs, and it will be interesting to see if Mack is able to play or not. The Texans got licked in Baltimore, so they'll be angry. They also lost 30-23 in the first meeting in Indianapolis back on Oct. 20, so there is the revenge factor, too. Houston enters this one 1-3 ATS in the past four outings, and they're 3-1 SU/1-3 ATS in their four previous home games.

-- The Bucs and Falcons face each other for the first time in six games. The Buccaneers are in a swoon, losing five of the past six while failing to cover six in a row. The one consistent factor for bettors and the Bucs is the 'over', cashing in each of the past eight after two 'under' results to start the season. In fact, the over has hit for the Bucs more often than any other team. It's the opposite for the Falcons, as the 'under' is 7-3 in their 10 games so far. The 'over' has connected in five of the past six meetings in Atlanta, and five of six meetings overall in the series, The home team is also 4-0 ATS in the past four battles with the favorite 11-5-1 ATS in the past 17 meetings.

-- The Panthers and Saints square off in a battle of two teams going in opposite directions. These teams meet for the first of two battles over the final six games. Carolina is 1-3 SU/ATS across the past four outings, and the offense is averaging just 15.5 PPG. For New Orleans, They have posted a 7-1 SU/ATS mark across the past eight. In this series, the over is 6-0 in the past six meetings in New Orleans, and 8-2 in the past 10 overall. Of course, most of those games involved QB Cam Newton, not QB Kyle Allen, although the final meeting of 2018 was, in fact, an Allen start in Week 17. The Panthers won that game 33-14 in NOLA, an 'over' result, but QB Drew Brees didn't play.

-- The Steelers and winless Bengals square off in the Queen City. These teams met in Pittsburgh Sept. 30, with the Steelers winning 27-3 in an 'under' result. This will be QB Ryan Finley's first experience in the rivalry. The offense is averaging just 11.5 PPG in his two starts so far, going 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS. It's expected QB Mason Rudolph will be under center, although it's possible there is still more fallout from 'Helmet-gate', or whatever you want to call the Browns-Steelers brawl last Thursday. Stay tuned.

-- The Jaguars and Titans hook up in the Music City, and QB Nick Foles will make his third start of the season, while QB Ryan Tannehill gets his first start in a Tennessee uni against the Jags. The Jaguars are 3-7-1 ATS in the past 11 against AFC South teams, including 0-1 in Foles' first divisional game in Indianapolis in Week 11. The Titans are 15-33-3 ATS in the past 51 vs. AFC South foes, so something's gotta give. Since taking over as start, the Titans are 3-1 SU/ATS under Tannehill, averaging 26.3 PPG with four consecutive 'over' results. These teams met in Week 3, a 20-7 win by the Jags. But neither of these QBs were under center.

**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 12:13 AM

NFL Week 12 opening odds and early action: Patriots already land $53K bet vs Cowboys
Patrick Everson

Tom Brady has New England tied for the NFL's best SU and ATS records, at 9-1 and 7-3 respectively. The Patriots opened -6.5 at home against the Cowboys in a marquee Week 13 contest.

Week 12 of the NFL season features America’s team against the best team of this millennium. We check in on the opening odds and early action for four games, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots (-6.5)

Defending Super Bowl champion New England regained its winning form after a bye week that followed its first loss of the year. The Patriots (9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS) went off as 4.5-point favorites at Philadelphia and notched a 17-10 victory.

Dallas rebounded from a Week 10 home loss to Minnesota, though Jason Garrett’s troops got a stern test from a Detroit outfit missing Matthew Stafford. The Cowboys (6-4 SU and ATS) claimed a 35-27 win, narrowly cashing as 7.5-point road favorites.

“We opened Patriots -6.5 and are still there, despite taking a bet of $53,500 on New England already,” Murray said. “This will be one of the highest-handle games of the year to date.”

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-4)

Like New England, San Francisco rebounded from its first setback of the season, though Jimmy Garoppolo and Co. got a fight from Arizona. The 49ers (9-1 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) won 36-26, returning a fumble for a touchdown on the game’s last play to push as 10-point home favorites.

Green Bay is coming off its bye week with an 8-2 SU mark, and it’s tied for the league lead at 7-3 ATS. In Week 9, the Packers topped Carolina 24-16 laying 5 points at home.

“The Sunday night game will also be a huge-handle game,” Murray said. “I’m expecting a lot of public support for the ‘dog. The 49ers are very banged up, and the Packers are coming in off their bye. I could see this number drifting closer to pick.”

Indeed, shortly after opening the Niners -4, the line tightened to 49ers -3 (even).

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-3.5)

Indianapolis lost starting quarterback Andrew Luck to a surprise retirement two weeks before the season began. Yet through 11 weeks, the Colts (6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) are tied atop the AFC South after rolling over Jacksonville 33-13 as 2.5-point home faves Sunday.

Houston gave up sole possession of first in the division with a dud of a Week 11 performance. The Texans (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS) mustered only one score – a fourth-quarter TD after trailing 34-0 – in a 41-7 loss at Baltimore catching 4 points.

This battle for the division lead kicks off Week 12, as it's the Thursday night game.

“Our look-ahead line was Texans -5.5, but that was before the Texans got crushed by the Ravens and the Colts put together an impressive win over the Jaguars,” Murray said. “Houston has struggled in this home-favorite role in recent seasons.”

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-9)

Drew Brees missed five games for New Orleans, but his team still owns a three-game lead in the NFC South. In Week 11, Brees and the Saints (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) dumped Tampa Bay 34-17 giving 5 points on the road.

Carolina made a 5-1 SU and ATS run to start turning heads, then dropped two in a row SU and ATS. The Panthers (5-5 SU and ATS) were 3.5-point home favorites Sunday against Atlanta and came up with a mere fourth-quarter field goal in a 29-3 beatdown.

“We opened Saints -9 and quickly moved up to -9.5,” Murray said. “New Orleans will be a very popular public side included in many parlays and moneyline parlays.”

**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 12:13 AM

109INDIANAPOLIS -110 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points since 1992.

251MIAMI -252 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 26-55 ATS (-34.5 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

253DENVER -254 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 46-77 ATS (-38.7 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

255PITTSBURGH -256 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after going under the total in the current season.

257NY GIANTS -258 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 53-27 ATS (23.3 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

259OAKLAND -260 NY JETS
OAKLAND is 18-44 ATS (-30.4 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season since 1992.

261CAROLINA -262 NEW ORLEANS
CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 - 13 in the last 2 seasons.

263TAMPA BAY -264 ATLANTA
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 straight overs in the current season.

265DETROIT -266 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6 yards/play in the second half of the season since 1992.

267JACKSONVILLE -268 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) revenging a loss where team scored less than 14 points since 1992.

269DALLAS -270 NEW ENGLAND
NEW ENGLAND is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

271GREEN BAY -272 SAN FRANCISCO
GREEN BAY is 74-47 ATS (22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

273SEATTLE -274 PHILADELPHIA
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 2 seasons.

275BALTIMORE -276 LA RAMS
BALTIMORE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 12:14 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 12

Thursday, November 21

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INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 4) at HOUSTON (6 - 4) - 11/21/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 109-81 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 5-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 5-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, November 24

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MIAMI (2 - 8) at CLEVELAND (4 - 6) - 11/24/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 61-86 ATS (-33.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (3 - 7) at BUFFALO (7 - 3) - 11/24/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (5 - 5) at CINCINNATI (0 - 10) - 11/24/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (2 - 8) at CHICAGO (4 - 6) - 11/24/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (6 - 4) at NY JETS (3 - 7) - 11/24/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 55-85 ATS (-38.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 41-83 ATS (-50.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (5 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (8 - 2) - 11/24/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CAROLINA is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (3 - 7) at ATLANTA (3 - 7) - 11/24/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
ATLANTA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
ATLANTA is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (3 - 6 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 9) - 11/24/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 146-183 ATS (-55.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DETROIT is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 92-124 ATS (-44.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 92-124 ATS (-44.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 92-124 ATS (-44.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (4 - 6) at TENNESSEE (5 - 5) - 11/24/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 119-157 ATS (-53.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 4-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (6 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (9 - 1) - 11/24/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 134-102 ATS (+21.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 134-102 ATS (+21.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 198-149 ATS (+34.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-89 ATS (+31.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-56 ATS (+29.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GREEN BAY (8 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (9 - 1) - 11/24/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 198-142 ATS (+41.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (8 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 5) - 11/24/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, November 25

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BALTIMORE (8 - 2) at LA RAMS (6 - 4) - 11/25/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 92-123 ATS (-43.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 73-106 ATS (-43.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS are 71-104 ATS (-43.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LA RAMS are 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 12:15 AM

NFL

Week 12

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Trend Report
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Thursday, November 21

Houston Texans
Houston is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games at home
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 15 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
Indianapolis is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indianapolis's last 15 games when playing on the road against Houston

Sunday, November 24

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing NY Giants
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
NY Giants is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Giants's last 14 games when playing Chicago
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
NY Giants is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
New Orleans is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home
New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Buffalo is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Buffalo is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Denver
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Buffalo is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Denver's last 19 games
Denver is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 10 games on the road
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Denver is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 3-14-2 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 8-16-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Cleveland's last 25 games at home
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games
Miami is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Miami is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games on the road
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Cleveland

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 7-12-3 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Washington Redskins
Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games at home
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Washington is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Detroit
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Detroit
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Washington is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Detroit is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Washington
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Detroit is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington

New York Jets
NY Jets is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games
NY Jets is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
NY Jets is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Jets's last 12 games at home
NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Oakland
NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
NY Jets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games
Oakland is 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Oakland is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

Philadelphia Eagles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Philadelphia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 18 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Seattle's last 19 games
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games on the road
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Tennessee Titans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 9 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 6-10-2 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 7-13-2 ATS in its last 22 games
Jacksonville is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
Jacksonville is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Jacksonville is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Jacksonville is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

New England Patriots
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
New England is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New England's last 11 games
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 9 games at home
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England's last 8 games when playing Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing New England

San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
San Francisco is 6-13-3 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Green Bay
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
San Francisco is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Green Bay
San Francisco is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Green Bay
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Green Bay's last 24 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Green Bay is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing San Francisco
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Green Bay is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Green Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Monday, November 25

Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
LA Rams is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 5 games
LA Rams is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Rams's last 9 games when playing Baltimore
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing LA Rams
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 12:16 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Dolphins (2-8) @ Browns (4-6)— Cleveland is 3-0 when it allows 16 or less points, 1-6 when it allows more; they’re without suspended Garrett/Ogunjobi here, which depletes their defensive line. Browns won last two games 19-16/21-7 after a 2-6 start; they’re 6-11-1 ATS as a home favorite, 1-2-1 TY. Three of their last four games went under. Dolphins won two of last three games, covered five of last six; they led four of last five games at halftime. Miami covered three of four road games TY, after being 4-12 ATS on foreign soil the last two years. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Miami won last two series meetings, 30-24/23-10, with last one in 2016; Dolphins lost three of last four visits to Cleveland- underdogs are 3-0-1 ATS in last four.

Broncos (3-7) @ Bills (7-3)— Denver lost three of last four games but covered last three; they’re 0-4 TY in games decided by 4 or fewer points, after blowing 20-0 halftime lead in 27-23 loss at Minnesota LW. Broncos led five of last six games at halftime; they covered five of last seven games as a road underdog (3-1 TY), but they’v converted only 16 of last 77 3rd down plays. Buffalo is 7-0 TY when it scores 17+ points, 0-3 when it doesn’t; Bills are 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite, 1-3 TY. Under is 7-3 in Buffalo games TY. AFC East non-divisional favorites are 7-3 ATS TY, 4-3 at home; AFC West road underdogs are 6-3. Underdogs covered last five Denver-Buffalo games; Broncos lost last two trips to western NY, 26-16/40-14.

Steelers (5-5) @ Bengals (0-10)— Winless Bengals are 0-4 at home, with three losses by 10+ points; they’re 0-4 ATS in last four games as a home underdog, 0-2 TY. Cincy scored two TD’s on 20 drives in Finley’s two starts, turning ball over five times. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Steelers are without suspended C Pouncey here; they’ve won four of last five games, but are 1-3 SU on road, with only win 24-17 (+6.5) at the Chargers. Pitt is 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite (0-0 TY); they’re 4-0 when they allow 17 or fewer points, 1-5 when they allow more. Pitt (-3.5) whacked Cincy 27-3 in Week 4; two of their three TD drives were less than 50 yards. Steelers won last seven series games, winning last five trips to Cincinnati (4-1 ATS).

Giants (2-8) @ Bears (4-6)— Bears are 4-0 when they allow 15 or fewer points, 0-6 when they allow more; they’re 2-3 SU/ATS as a home favorite TY. Is Trubisky hurt or just terrible? Jury is still out. Chicago lost five of its last six games, outscored 54-26 in first half; four of Bears’ five home games, and last four games overall stayed under. Giants lost their last six games (1-5 ATS); they’re 1-3 SU on road, losing by 18-21-5 points. Big Blue is 11-7 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog, 1-3 TY. In their last five games, Giants’ OFFENSE allowed four TD’s, special teams gave up one. Four of those five games went over the total. Underdogs covered six of last eight Bear-Giant games; Giants won two of last three visits here- last one was in 2013.

Raiders (6-4) @ Jets (3-7)— Trap game for Oakland, which has AFC West showdown with Chiefs on deck. Raiders won last three games, covered five of last seven; they’re 1-3 SU in true road games TY, with win 31-24 at Indy- since 2013, Oakland is 4-2-1 ATS as road favorites, 0-0 TY. Six of their last eight games went over. Jets scored 34-34 points in winning last two games after a 1-7 start, but they beat two rookie QB’s. NYJ are 2-3 SU at home, 12-8-2 ATS in last 22 games as a home underdog, 2-2 TY. Five of their last six games went over. Raiders won last two series games, 45-20/34-20; over last 20 years, they’re 0-4 in series games played here. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 6-10 ATS, 2-3 on road.

Panthers (5-5) @ Saints (8-2)— Carolina lost three of last four games after a 4-2 start, and now the owner is whining; could a switch to rookie QB Grier be far behind? Panthers are 16 for last 66 on 3rd down; they had +8 turnover ratio in first eight games, but were minus-6 last two weeks. Carolina is 24-13 ATS in last 37 games as a road underdog, 2-2 TY. Three of their last four road games went over the total. Saints won/covered seven of last eight games, scoring 31+ points in four of last six; they’re 14-19-1 ATS n last 34 games as a home favorite, 2-2 TY. Underdogs covered eight of last nine series games; Carolina lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 10-5-3 points- they won 33-14 (+7.5) here LY.

Bucs (3-7) @ Falcons (3-7)— Atlanta didn’t allow an offensive TD in winning its last two games (26-9/29-3) after a 1-7 start; Falcons outscored last three opponents 42-9 in 2nd half. Under Quinn, Atlanta is 11-19 ATS as a home favorite, 0-1 TY. Falcons’ last four games stayed under the total. In their last five games, Tampa Bay turned ball over 20 times (-14); time to put up or shut up for QB Winston. Bucs lost five of last six games (0-6 ATS); they’re 2-3 SU/ATS in true road games TY, 5-9-4 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog. Atlanta won last four series games, wth three wins by 5 or fewer points; Bucs lost 8 of their last 11 visits here, losing last two, 34-20/34-29. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 11-18 ATS this season.

Lions (3-6-1) @ Redskins (1-9)— Washington is playing rookie QB without their best OT; they lost last four games, scoring two TD’s on last 35 drives, with both TD’s in garbage time vs Jets LW. Redskins are 0-5 SU at home, with all five losses by 9+ points; they’re 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a home underdog, 1-3 TY. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Detroit lost three games in row, six of last seven; looks like injured QB Stafford (back) is done for year- they lost Driskel’s first two starts TY 20-13/35-27- his career W-L record in NFL is 1-7. Lions are 2-3 SU on road TY, with both wins by a FG. Six of their last eight games went over. Detroit won last four series games; they split their only two visits here in last 20 years, with last one in ’13.

Jaguars (4-6) @ Titans (5-5)— Tennessee scored 26.3 ppg in winning three of Tannehill’s first four starts, all of which went over the total- they averaged 7.2+ yards/pass attempt in all four games. Titans won last three home games; their last four games went over. Jacksonville was outscored 59-16 in losing its last two games, giving up 480 RY; they ran ball only nine times in LW’s 33-13 loss at Indy, dropping back to pass 50 times. Jax is 11-20-1 ATS in last 32 games where spread was 3 or fewer points, Tennessee is 6-11-2 ATS in their last 19. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Jaguars (+1.5) beat Tennessee 20-7 in Week 3; Jaguars sacked Mariota nine times. Both teams had different QB’s than they’ll have here.

Cowboys (6-4) @ Patriots (9-1)— New England won all four home games TY by average score of 31-11, covering three of them; they’re 23-9-2 ATS in last 34 games as a home favorite. Patriots are 19-8 ATS in last 27 regular season games vs NFC teams. Dallas won three of last four games; they’ve scored 10+ points in each of last nine halves. Curious to see how they do vs NE defense that held nine of 10 opponents to 14 or fewer points. Dallas is 12-9 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog- this is first time this season they’re an underdog. Five of last six Cowboy games went over. New England won last four series games by average score of 27-12; Cowboys lost last two visits to Foxboro, 20-16/12-0, with last one in ’11.

Jaguars (4-6) @ Titans (5-5)— Tennessee scored 26.3 ppg in winning three of Tannehill’s first four starts, all of which went over the total- they averaged 7.2+ yards/pass attempt in all four games. Titans won last three home games; their last four games went over. Jacksonville was outscored 59-16 in losing its last two games, giving up 480 RY; they ran ball only nine times in LW’s 33-13 loss at Indy, dropping back to pass 50 times. Jax is 11-20-1 ATS in last 32 games where spread was 3 or fewer points, Tennessee is 6-11-2 ATS in their last 19. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Jaguars (+1.5) beat Tennessee 20-7 in Week 3; Jaguars sacked Mariota nine times. Both teams had different QB’s than they’ll have here.

Cowboys (6-4) @ Patriots (9-1)— New England won all four home games TY by average score of 31-11, covering three of them; they’re 23-9-2 ATS in last 34 games as a home favorite. Patriots are 19-8 ATS in last 27 regular season games vs NFC teams. Dallas won three of last four games; they’ve scored 10+ points in each of last nine halves. Curious to see how they do vs NE defense that held nine of 10 opponents to 14 or fewer points. Dallas is 12-9 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog- this is first time this season they’re an underdog. Five of last six Cowboy games went over. New England won last four series games by average score of 27-12; Cowboys lost last two visits to Foxboro, 20-16/12-0, with last one in ’11.

Packers (8-2) @ 49ers (9-1)— Homecoming of sorts for Rodgers, who grew up 150 miles from Bay Area.. Green Bay won nine of last 11 series games, winning last two 33-30/17-3; they won three of last four visits here, with last one in ’15. Packers won five of last six games overall, with only loss to Chargers on previous trip to California, albeit southern Cali. Green Bay hasn’t turned ball over in last four games; Packers are 8-7-1 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog, 2-0 TY. San Francisco allowed 26 ppg in last three games, after giving up average of 11 ppg in first seven games; Niners are 6-14 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite, 2-3 TY; they scored a defensive TD in each of last two games. 49ers’ last four games went over the total.

Seahawks (8-2) @ Eagles (5-5)— Seattle is 8-2 with one win by more than seven points; they won their last two games in OT. Seahawks are 5-0 SU on road, giving up 21.6 ppg (over 3-2); they’re 4-3-1 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite, 1-1 TY. Seahawks covered six of last nine post-bye games. Philly lost three of last five games overall; they’re 3-2 SU at home, Eagles scored only three points on last nine drives vs Patriots LW, losing despite holding NE to only one TD. Three of their last four games stayed under. Seattle won last four series games, all by 10+ points; they won last three visits here. Under Pederson, Philly is 4-3 ATS as a home underdog, 0-1 TY. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 7-9 ATS, 3-3 on road.

Ravens (8-2) @ Rams (6-4)— Explosive Baltimore won its last six games, covered last four; they scored 42.3 ppg in their three post-bye games, scoring 14 TD’s on last 25 drives. Ravens gave up 33-40 points in their two losses (weeks 3-4), giving up 7.9/10.5 yards/pass attempt; Rams need WR Woods to play well here- he missed LW’s game (personal reasons). Baltimore is 4-3 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite,, 2-1 TY. Rams started three rookies on OL in their shaky 17-7 win over Bears LW; LA won three of last four games overall, giving up only 11 ppg (allowed 5 TD’s on last 45 drives). Rams’ last five games stayed under total. Ravens won last three series games, by average score of 25-8. Under McVay, Rams are 4-2 ATS as an underdog, 0-1 at home. Former Ram Peters is a Baltimore CB, figures to be a central figure here.

**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 12:17 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 12

Sunday November 24

Denver @ Buffalo

Game 253-254
November 24, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
131.954
Buffalo
131.026
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 4
37
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+4); Under

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta

Game 263-264
November 24, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
128.983
Atlanta
131.838
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+4 1/2); Over

Seattle @ Philadelphia

Game 273-274
November 24, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
134.428
Philadelphia
133.987
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+1 1/2); Over

NY Giants @ Chicago

Game 257-258
November 24, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
119.710
Chicago
130.241
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 10 1/2
31
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 6
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-6); Under

Carolina @ New Orleans

Game 261-262
November 24, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
128.219
New Orleans
135.045
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 7
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 9 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+9 1/2); Over

Miami @ Cleveland

Game 251-252
November 24, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
120.201
Cleveland
134.650
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 14 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 10 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-10 1/2); Over

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati

Game 255-256
November 24, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
127.627
Cincinnati
124.220
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3 1/2
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 6 1/2
39
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+6 1/2); Under

Oakland @ NY Jets

Game 259-260
November 24, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
131.525
NY Jets
123.961
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 7 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 2 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-2 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Washington

Game 265-266
November 24, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
121.983
Washington
122.638
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ Tennessee

Game 267-268
November 24, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
128.985
Tennessee
128.891
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
Even
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 3
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+3); Under

Dallas @ New England

Game 269-270
November 24, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
133.797
New England
142.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 9
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 6 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-6 1/2); Over

Green Bay @ San Francisco

Game 271-272
November 24, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
134.308
San Francisco
139.640
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 5 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-3); Over

Monday, November 25

Baltimore @ LA Rams

Game 275-276
November 25, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
140.923
LA Rams
140.752
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
Even
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 3 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(+3 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 12:17 AM

Hot & Not Report - Week 12
Matt Blunt

Week of November 18th

Last week's piece touched on a few different live scenarios that were out there in the NFL this past weekend, and for the most part the runs those specific spots were on didn't hold up quite as well. Bad teams coming off a win like Cleveland, Atlanta, and the NY Jets all got their first against the spread (ATS) victories the following week in the past few days, while the offenses that had had a decent time bouncing back after sub-10-point efforts finished the day 1-2 ATS.

Hopefully some of you were able to catch (and play) the friendly reminder on fading teams post-London, as Houston and Jacksonville both got run out of the building in their respective games, to push that situation to a perfect 0-8 ATS this season. And all eight of those losses after a London game come post-bye week as well. Maybe that suggests we all put too much stock into bye weeks as it is, and it will be interesting to see if it holds up for the Chargers and Chiefs in a couple of weeks after their MNF game in Mexico this evening.

This week I'm sticking with the NFL as there are two specific divisions that have generally done well either going against or playing on their teams in non-division games, a situation that you'll see most of them in this week.

So let's get right to it:

Who's Hot

NFC West teams are 19-10 ATS in non-division games overall – on a 11-5 ATS run since October 1st

In what is a loaded NFC conference at the top, it's the NFC West division that leads the way in terms of a depth argument in that conference. San Francisco and Seattle are neck-and-neck right now for the division title, while the defending champion Los Angeles Rams are trying to hold strong to stay in the Wildcard race. With Arizona improving as well, venturing into playing a NFC West opponent has not gone well for most that are outside of the division.

The Cardinals are actually tied with the Rams for the best non-division ATS record in the NFC West at 6-2 ATS, with San Francisco (4-2 ATS) and Seattle (3-4 ATS) coming in behind them. Given that the 49ers and Seahawks each have an ATS loss that's been by a point or less since the start of this great run for the division since October 1st, that number could be sitting much better then it already is.

Heading into Week 12, we've got the Arizona Cardinals off on their bye week, but the rest of this division is all up against non-conference foes. Seattle travels east to face an Eagles team that is trying their best to keep both avenues (division title and wildcard) to the playoffs open as long as possible, while San Francisco and the L.A. Rams both get the NFL prime time treatment at home, with the 49ers hosting the Packers on SNF, and the Rams hosting the Ravens on MNF. All three of these games have lines where the favorite is essentially laying just 3 points or less right now, so they are all expected to be close.

If that's the case, maybe we see this great run for NFC West teams in non-division games hit a bit of a road block. Yet, it will be interesting to see where the support lands on these contests as the week goes on, because one specifically ties into the next streak, and that is...

Who's Not

NFC East teams are 10-18 ATS in non-division games overall – on a 7-11 ATS run since October 1 – Not one of the four teams have a winning ATS record in non-division games in 2019

The NFC East is a division is nothing more then a two-horse race between Dallas and Philadelphia, with the loser likely missing out on the playoffs entirely. The Giants and Redskins are two of the Top 5 worst teams in the league, so fading them as a good thing isn't too surprising, but the fact that this entire division struggles against the rest of the league does say something about how mediocre the level of football this division plays that they pass off as good.

Now to be fair, Philly is one of those two teams fighting for this division crown, and do own the best non-division record in the NFC East at 4-4 ATS. But that's as close to a winning record as any of these four teams get after Week 11, as the Cowboys are 2-4 ATS while Washington and the NY Giants are each 2-5 ATS outside of the division. The records of the latter two teams are likely to continue to get worse before they definitively get better, while the team that does better in their remaining non-division games between the Eagles and Cowboys is likely the one that rides that success to a division crown. But it's Week 12 brings some interesting games for all four of these teams, as they are all stepping outside of the division as well.

The Giants are on the road catching about a TD currently in Chicago and the Redskins are catching a FG at home against the Lions. Both of those teams are facing teams with QB concerns from a health standpoint right now, so it will be interesting to see what kind of movement they end up seeing.

Dallas finds themselves in New England to take on a great Patriots team, a game Eagles fans are hoping New England can win. Dallas finds themselves catching about six points early on, and given that it's under that key number of -7 and this being a spot where fading NFC East teams has been profitable, seeing if the Patriots ever touch -7 again will be interesting as well.

And finally there are the Eagles, at home and laying about two points, to a team that's already been mentioned in this piece; the Seattle Seahawks.

The 2019 history of non-division games for teams from the NFC West and NFC East suggest that backing Seattle against the number is the only way to look here. You are backing the Seahawks in a “hot” role, fading the Eagles in a “cold” role at the same time, and getting points with the better team. Very hard not to like Seattle this week, for many other reasons as well.

And while the other three games featuring NFC East teams will be intriguing from a reactionary standpoint in terms of where their point spreads line up, this Seahawks/Eagles game is one where you've got to be proactive if you are already leaning towards the Seattle side. This line is far more likely to sniff the 'pick'em' range then it will getting to Philly -3, so getting down action on Seattle sooner rather then later is probably the best course of action here.

**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 12:18 AM

Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 12 odds: Now's not the time to bet the Niners
Jason Logan

Books are bracing for underdog money on the Packers Sunday night, so if you like the 49ers you may want to play it cool and see if you can get San Francisco under the key number of a field goal.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL Week 12 board.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: DALLAS COWBOYS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-6, 46)

Being “America’s Team”, the Cowboys always attract action at the window from legions of Dallas backers blindly betting the Boys. And it would seem, even in a matchup with the defending Super Bowl champs, early money is siding with Dallas.

The Cowboys opened as big as +6.5 at New England in Week 12 and books have trimmed that down to +6 at most books. The juice on Patriots -6 is seeing a discount as low as -105 and there’s even a -5.5 on the board as of Monday afternoon.

New England hasn’t been overwhelmingly impressive this season and is coming off an ugly win over Philadelphia this past Sunday. Dallas also took a “fugly” victory over a Stafford-less Detroit squad but the offense is firing on all cylinders – something Tom Brady & Co. can’t say after scoring 20 and 17 points respectively in their last two games. If you like the Cowboys collect the points at the key number of six while it still stands.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: GREEN BAY PACKERS AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-3, 45.5)

According to bookmakers, they expect money on the underdog Packers in this Sunday Night Football showdown. San Francisco hasn’t looked great in its last three games: two near losses to Arizona and a OT defeat at the hands of Seattle. Granted, the 49ers were dealing with dual-threat dynamos, Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson, who amounted for 154 yards rushing on 19 total carries in those three games.

Green Bay gunslinger Aaron Rodgers has plenty of weapons in his arsenal but he’s not as spry as those two QBs. The Cheeseheads are coming off a bye in Week 11, but before that squeaked out a win against Carolina (was McCaffrey in?) and fell to the L.A. Chargers.

San Francisco should get some bodies back in Week 12, with kicker Robbie Gould coming around and TE George Kittle listed at day-to-day. If you’re giving the Niners the nod, wait it out and see how low you can grab them under the key of a field goal.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: OVER 45.5 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT HOUSTON TEXANS

This number has made a significant dive, from as high as 47 to 45.5 points. Now might be the time to strike if you like the Over. For one: this is a primetime game and the public loves to root for high-scoring football in those night games, so action on the Over is expected.

The Colts will lean on the arm of QB Jacob Brissett more with RB Marlon Mack out with a hand injury. Indianapolis runs the ball on 47 percent of snaps but may have to resort to the air more often in this AFC South matchup, lending value to the Over. Brissett did enjoy his best game of the season at home to the Texans in Week 7, passing for three touchdowns on 326 yards - a game that scored 53 total points and topped the 46.5 Over/Under.

Houston just got cracked for 41 points versus Baltimore and hasn’t been that stout a defense in 2019, allowing 30 or more points four times this season. The Texans offense – namely Deshaun Watson – will be eager to shake a stinky 7-point showing in Week 11, in which the QB passed for only 169 yards and an interception. Beat the public to the window and bet this Over now.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 39 PITTSBURGH STEEELERS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS

This total is already on the way down, moving from 39.5 to 39, and I project it going even lower between now and kickoff Sunday. The Steelers mustered only seven points in a short week versus Cleveland last Thursday, which is fresh in everyone’s mind. But before that ugly result, Pittsburgh’s offense was finding its footing, averaging 24 points between Weeks 4 and 10 with second-stringer Mason Rudolph at the wheel.

The Bengals surrendered 27 points in a Week 4 loss at Pittsburgh, managing a lonely field goal in rebuttal. Cincinnati hasn’t been much better ever since, averaging only 15 points per outing in the six games since that dismal Monday night display.

That said, with a total this low, Over bettors may not need much more from Cincy to slide in above the number. The Bengals are notably better on offense at home - 17.5 points per home game versus 12.5 points per away game – and are 6-2-1 Over/Under in their previous nine games inside Paul Brown Stadium. If you like the Over, set your Covers Live App alert and see if you can get something in the 38-point range later in the week.

**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 10:28 AM

Best spot bets for the NFL Week 12 odds: Browns-Steelers brawl bleeds over into schedule
Jason Logan

Both the Browns and Steelers could be falling into spot bets in NFL Week 12 coming off a crazy finish to Cleveland's win last Thursday night.

The schedule can make or break an NFL team at this point in the season. And it can do the same for your wagers. Situational handicapping should always be folded into – or at least considered when sizing up the NFL odds each week.

Senior industry analyst Jason Logan looks at the Week 12 slate and picks out his favorite “Letdown”, “Lookahead”, and “Schedule” spots and how those situations could shake down at the sportsbook.

LETDOWN SPOT: MIAMI DOLPHINS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS (-11, 44)

The Browns had one hell of a Week 10, knocking off rival Pittsburgh on Thursday Night Football and picking up their second straight win. In the midst of all that, standout DE Myles Garrett got into it with Steelers QB Mason Rudolph and tried knocking his head off with his own helmet.

It made for a very messy week in Ohio – a week in which Cleveland should have enjoyed a mini bye and some extra time to tinker before Week 12. However, the added stress and media attention marred what could have been a turning point for the Browns’ 2019 season.

The Week 12 opponent – Miami – is a tough team to get up for in the first place, and this letdown angle comes with a sprinkle of lookahead as well. Next up for the Browns: a trip to Heinz Field to play Pittsburgh in Week 13. Cleveland is currently laying 11 points versus the Dolphins at home this Sunday.

LOOKAHEAD SPOT: PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (+6.5, 39)

Hey, what do you know? The other side of that Thursday’s night dramafest falls into one of our weekly spot bet slots. Pittsburgh can’t wait to get another crack at Cleveland after: 1. Losing to the Browns 21 -7 2. The Garrett incident which equalled a suspension for C Maurkice Pouncey and a fine for Rudolph.

But before the Steelers can exact revenge, they have another AFC North foe from Ohio standing in the way. The winless Bengals are a main ingredient for a lookahead spot, having cracked the 20-point plateau just twice all season. The last time Pittsburgh played Cincinnati, it rolled to a 27-3 victory on Monday Night Football in Week 4.

Oddsmakers are giving the host Bengals 6.5 points and that spread has already flirted with a touchdown at some markets, instantly taking money on Cincinnati and sliding the line back under the key number. According to our Covers Consensus, 70 percent of the early ticket count is on Pittsburgh so expect a move to Steelers -7 before kickoff.

SCHEDULE SPOT: OAKLAND RAIDERS AT NEW YORK JETS (+3, 45.5)

People love to play against West Coast teams coming east for an early 1 p.m. ET start, which is 10 a.m. PT back home. While blindly betting against those qualifying teams is a bad decision, the Raiders have played into this notion in recent years.

Heading into a 1 p.m. ET kickoff in East Rutherford, Oakland is 2-6 SU and ATS in its last eight 1 p.m. ET kickoffs. This season, the Silver and Black have done a few of these early wakeups, losing SU and ATS at Minnesota in Week 3, winning and covering in Indianapolis in Week 4, winning and covering versus Chicago in London in Week 5, and losing and coming up short ATS at Green Bay in Week 7.

The Raiders played a road-heavy stretch of schedule during that span but have enjoyed three straight home games before this matchup with the Jets. Oakland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 away games overall – regardless of start time – and the home team has been the hot bet when these teams clash, with hosts going 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

**Udog** · 11-19-2019, 04:42 PM

NFL's Top ATS Teams:

t1. Patriots 7-3 ATS
t1. Packers 7-3 ATS
t1. Saints 7-3 ATS
t1. Rams 7-3 ATS
t1. Cardinals 7-3-1 ATS
6. Bills 5-3-1 ATS
t7. Cowboys 6-4 ATS
t7. Raiders 6-4 ATS
t7. Steelers 6-4 ATS
t7. Broncos 6-4 ATS

NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

32. Buccaneers 2-8 ATS
t29. Redskins 3-7 ATS
t29. Giants 3-7 ATS
t29. Bears 3-7 ATS
t27. Browns 3-6-1 ATS
t27. Chargers 3-6-2 ATS
t22. Bengals, Jets, Lions, Falcons, Eagles 4-6 ATS

**Udog** · 11-20-2019, 10:54 AM

Tech Trends - Week 12
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Nov. 21

INDIANAPOLIS at HOUSTON (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Indy 1-3 vs. line last 4 TY, but won alst week, and Colts are 7-3 vs. line last ten on road. Also won and covered last 3 vs. Texans. Houston just 1-4 vs. spread last five at NRG Stadium.
Tech Edge: Colts, based on team and recent series trends.

Sunday, Nov. 24

MIAMI at CLEVELAND (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Dolphins have covered 5 of last 6 TY ith Fitzpatrick at QB including three straight on road. Browns still just 3-6-1 vs. spread this season after Steelers win and 1-4-1 last six vs. line.
Tech Edge: Dolphins, based on recent trends.

DENVER at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Broncos have covered 5 of last 6 TY, Bills just 3-3 as chalk. Denver on 15-4 “under” run, Buffalo “under” 9-4 last 13, 16-8 since early 2018.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Broncos, based on “totals” and team trends.

PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Steel still 6-2 last 8 vs. line after Browns loss. Steel “under” 6-2 last 8 TY and “under” 12-5 last 17 since late 2018. Cincy 0-4 vs. line at home TY, 1-9 last 10 vs. spread at Paul Brown. Bengals “under” 9-4-2 last 14 since late 2018. Steel 6-2 vs. spread last 8 in series and has covered 4 of last 5 at Cincy.
Tech Edge: Steel and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

N.Y. GIANTS at CHICAGO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
G-Men 1-5 vs. spread last six TY, though have covered 2 of last 3 as road dog, and 8-3 in role since LY. NY “over” 12-6 last 18 since mid 2018. Bears 3-8 last 10 vs. spread, “under” 14-3 last 17 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: Giants, based on team trends.

OAKLAND at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Raiders have covered 5 of their last 7 in 2019, also “over” 6-4 TY. Interestingly only three games as chalk since LY (2-1 in role). Jets “over” last 4 TY.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Raiders, based on “totals” and team trends.

CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Panthers 5-3 vs. line last eight TY (though 0-2 L2), 2-2 as road dog TY after 0-3 mark in role LY. Saints have won and covered seven of last eight this season. Note last five meetings “over” at Superdome.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

TAMPA BAY at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bucs no covers last six TY, also “over” 9-2 since late 2018. Falcs have covered last three TY after five Ls in a row prior. Home team has covered last four meetings. “Overs” 5-1 last six in series.
Tech Edge: “Over” and Falcons, based on “totals” and series trends.

DETROIT at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions no covers last 5 TY, though Skins only 2-8 vs. line since late 2018. Skins “under” 6-1 last seven TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

SEATTLE at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Seahawks 5-0 SU and 4-1 vs. line away TY. Hawks 10-1-1 last 12 as dog. Eagles 4-10-1 last 15 reg season vs. line at Linc.
Tech Edge: Seahawks, based on team trends.

JACKSONVILLE at TENNESSEE (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Jags 3-2 vs. line as visitor TY, though have lost and failed to cover last four at Nashville. Home team has now covered last five Titans games TY (Tenn 3-0 last 3 at home). Titans “over” last 4 TY, Jags “over” last 4 as visitor.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

DALLAS at NEW ENGLAND (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Dallas 7-6 vs. spread away in reg season since LY, also “over” 8-3 last 11 reg season. Belichick on 16-4 spread run at Gillette Stadium, and 15-4 “under” run in reg season.
Tech Edge: Patriots and slight to “under,” based on team and Belichick “totals” trends.

GREEN BAY at SAN FRANCISCO (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Pack 7-3 vs. line TY, 3-1 vs. spread away. Pack 2-0 as dog TY. Niners only 3-4-1 vs. spread last eight TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Pack, based on team trends.

Monday, Nov. 25

BALTIMORE at L.A. RAMS - (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Ravens 4-1 SU and vs. line away TY, 7-1 vs. spread last eight away. Also “over” 4-1 away. Rams 3-6 vs. spread last 9 at Coliseum.
Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends.

**Udog** · 11-20-2019, 02:44 PM

by: Josh Inglis

COLTS CONTROL THE LINE

The Indianapolis Colts’ Marlon Mack fractured his hand last Sunday and will be out for Thursday’s game against the Houston Texans. Coach Frank Reich told reporters that Nyheim Hines will stick with his passing role as either Jordan Wilkins or Johnathan Williams will take over the early-down work. The lead spot should be Williams’ as Wilkins was inactive in Week 11 with an ankle injury, a DNP on the team’s estimated practice report on Monday and limited on Tuesday.

The Colts ran for a robust 264 yards versus the Texans as Williams passed the century mark in his fill-in role on just 13 touches. Indy’s offensive-line has been dominating the line of scrimmage of late and all year as they are rushing for an average of 170.7 yards in the last three games (second-most) and 172.2 yards per game on the road (second-most).

Houston gave up 264 rushing yards last week to the best rushing team in the league but have also surrendered the ninth-most yards per rush this year and the third-most over the last three weeks.

We are banking on the Colts’ running game and feel this is a plus matchup for Williams in a divisional game that will decide an AFC South leader. Even if Wilkins dresses, we still like the Colts to feature the run and hand out double-digit rushes to Williams. Take Williams’ rushing total on any number below 65 yards.

CHECK DOWN VALUE

Nick Foles got his job back last week and fell short in a 33-13 loss to the Colts. The Jaguars QB padded his stats in garbage time and fell in love with his checkdowns as he averaged just 6.3 yards per pass attempt — that’s Mason Rudolph and Mitch Trubisky territory. Still, Foles attempted 47 passes and completed 33 which makes us think there is some value in Jacksonville’s receivers' reception totals for their Week 12 matchup against a Tennessee Titans 22nd-ranked pass defense.

The object of Foles’ attention last week was receiver D.J. Chark. Chark was the most targeted receiver in the league last week catching eight of his 15 targets while seeing 36 targets in his last three matches. If Foles is afraid to take his shots, Chark could easily surpass a reception total of 4 or 5.

We will take the Over on any total below six for Chark’s reception total.

PRIMETIME 3-TEAM TEASER

Here is a three-team, six-point teaser for this week’s primetime games that pays out +160.

IND +9.5 @ HOU: As mentioned above, the Colts could dominate this game on the ground and control the tempo versus a Texans team is 1-3 ATS as the favorite this year. DeShaun Watson is also just 1-2 versus the Colts over his career losing by seven this year, winning by three in Indianapolis in 2018 and losing by a field goal at home in Week 13 last year.

GB @ SF +3: San Francisco will look to ride the momentum from last week’s come-from-behind win and will get to do so on Sunday Night Football versus Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. The Packers let a terrible Panthers team hang around and escaped with a win in Week 10 before hitting their bye in Week 11. Rodgers hasn’t looked great in his last two starts, going 40 for 64 for just 394 yards and one TD since Week 9. We don’t see GB winning by more than thre

BAL +3 @ LAR: Baltimore may be the best team in football but the fact that they are only three-point favorites versus a team led by a quarterback who is 27th in QBR — just ahead of Andy Dalton and Mitch Trubisky — is disrespect to Lamar Jackson. Goff may have more passing weapons back for the Monday nighter, but the Rams have averaged just nine points per game against top-10 DVOA defenses since Week 3.

BYE THE BOOK

Since Week 4, teams coming off their bye week are 9-15 against the spread. Of those games, favorites are 5-5 ATS but the dogs are having the most problems going 4-10 ATS to date. This week has four teams coming out of their bye week, with three of those four being underdogs.

Seattle (+1.5) will probably be a popular public pick this week and we don’t blame backers as that Eagles' offense isn’t threatening with a receiving core that featured Jordan Matthews last week.

The Giants (+6.5) could roll into Chicago and surprise a team that doesn’t know who will be starting at quarterback thanks to a mysterious hip-pointer injury to Mitch Trubisky. If Daniel Jones and the offense can limit turnovers (2.5 per game), then the Giants have a good shot at covering and bucking the trend.

Green Bay (+3) is our favorite bye team to not cover this week. The Packers’ struggling passing offense will be in for a battle versus San Fran’s No. 2 pass defense. The Niners are tightening things up even more at home as they are giving up just 132 yards through the air at Levi’s Stadium — the lowest mark in the league. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS on spreads less than six points.

NO TDS IN 10 QUARTERS

No defense is hotter than Atlanta Falcons’. The former bottom-five defense has held opponents to 13 points a game over the last three weeks and will look to make it a natural clean sweep against divisional opponents as they entertain the Buccaneers on Sunday.

Atlanta held the Saints’ No.8 offense to just nine points (three field goals) on the road and embarrassed the Panthers by giving up just a field goal last week. Now they get to tee off on a quarterback who has six interceptions, two fumbles and has been sacked six times in his last two games. Look for the Falcons’ pass rush to bully Jameis Winston all day after sacking Drew Brees six times in Week 10 and Kyle Allen five times in Week 11.

We are betting on a surging defense that hasn’t allowed a TD in their last 10 quarters while at the same time fading a quarterback who could lose his job at any moment. Take the Buccaneers’ team total Under 23.5.

**Udog** · 11-20-2019, 02:50 PM

NFL Betting Stats heading into Week 12:

Road Teams: 90-68-4 ATS
Home Teams: 68-90-4 ATS

Favorites: 69-89-4 ATS
Underdogs: 89-69-4 ATS

Home Faves: 41-62-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 27-28 ATS

Road Faves: 28-27 ATS
Road Dogs: 62-41-4 ATS

O/U: 79-83

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 12 (Thur., Nov. 21 - Mon., Nov. 25)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 12 (Thur., Nov. 21 - Mon., Nov. 25)

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