Announcement

**Udog** · 11-14-2019, 10:31 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Semis
David Schwab

Both road underdogs shook things up early in this season’s CFL playoffs. In the first of two division semifinal showdowns on Sunday, Edmonton upended Montreal 37-29 closing as a 2 ½-point underdog on the road. The total in that crossover matchup went well OVER the closing 49 ½-point line.

In a West Division battle later that day, Winnipeg is moving on in the playoffs with a stunning 35-14 road upset against the defending champion Calgary Stampeders. The Blue Bombers were four-point underdogs and the total slipped OVER the 48 ½-point total line.

Sunday, Nov. 17

Edmonton (9-10 SU, 6-12-1 ATS) at Hamilton (15-3 SU, 12-5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Tiger-Cats -6
Total: 50.5

Game Overview

The Eskimos struggled over the second half of the CFL regular season with just two straight-up victories in their previous nine games. They went just 1-7-1 against the spread in that same span. Edmonton improved to 3-6-1 ATS on the road this season with Sunday’s upset in Montreal. The total has gone OVER in three of its last five games. It is 2-5-1 ATS in eight games this season closing as an underdog.

One of the reasons why the Eskimos struggled to win games recently was an injury to quarterback Trevor Harris. He is also the reason why they still have a chance to play in this year’s Grey Cup title game. He completed an amazing 92.3 percent of his 39 passing attempts for 421 yards and a score in Sunday’s win. Even though he missed six regular season games, Harris was second in the CFL in total passing yards with 4,027. He tossed 16 touchdowns against six interceptions.

Hamilton was probably preparing for Montreal in this division final tilt, but it now has to complete a three-game sweep against Edmonton after winning a pair of regular season matchups both SU and ATS. The Tiger-Cats rolled to a 42-12 home victory over the Eskimos on Oct. 4 as seven-point favorites. They failed to cover in a meaningless three-point win over Toronto in the season finale after covering ATS in six previous games. Hamilton brings a SU six-game winning streak into Sunday’s contest.

The Tiger-Cats lost Jeremiah Masoli at quarterback just six weeks into the season. However, Dane Evans took over the starting role in stride. He ended the year sixth on the list in total passing yards with 3,754. He also threw 21 scoring strikes against 13 picks. Another key factor in this game could be Brandon Banks as the CFL’s leading receiver in both yards (1,550) and touchdown catches (13).

Betting Trends

-- With the two SU victories this season, Hamilton has a 4-1 edge against Edmonton SU in the last five meetings. However, the Eskimos are still 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games against the Tiger-Cats. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings overall.

Winnipeg (12-7 SU, 13-6 ATS) at Saskatchewan (13-5 SU, 12-5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Roughriders -3.5
Total: 44

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers came up with a stellar effort against Calgary when they needed it the most. They lost five of their last eight games SU before Sunday’s win. This was actually their third game in a row against Calgary after splitting a season-ending home-and-home series SU. Winnipeg has been able to cover the closing spread in its last four games and in eight of its previous 11 contests. The total has gone OVER in five of its last seven games.

Trailing 14-8 at halftime, the Blue Bombers own the final two quarters by outscoring Calgary 27-0. Both Zach Collaros and Chris Streveler saw action at quarterback in this game. Collaros ended the day with 193 yards passing and one touchdown throw while Streveler was used more for his running ability with a game-high 82 yards and a score on 13 rushing attempts. Winnipeg’s defense deserves a great deal of the credit after holding Calgary to just 116 yards through the air.

Saskatchewan proved itself to be the best team in the competitive West Division all season long. Going all the way back to late July, the Roughriders reeled off 12 SU wins in 14 games while going a profitable 10-3-1 ATS. They split a home-and-home series against Winnipeg SU in early September before winning the season series with a 21-6 win at home on Oct. 5 as 3 ½-point favorites. The total stayed UNDER in each of those three matchups. Saskatchewan is 9-3-1 ATS this season closing as a favorite. It went 5-3-1 ATS at home.

Cody Fajardo took over the starting quarterback position early in the season and went on to lead the CFL in passing yards with 4,302. He completed a solid 71.5 percent of his 473 passing attempts. He posted 18 passing touchdowns while getting picked off eight times. William Powell led the ground game with 1,093 yards rushing and 12 touchdown runs on 215 carries. Fajardo also showed some excellent mobility running the ball with 611 rushing yards and 10 scores on 107 rushing attempts. There is concern for this game given a strained oblique, but he is insisting he will play.

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Bombers have the 4-1 edge ATS in their last five games against Saskatchewan. The total has stayed UNDER in each of those five meetings. The Roughriders have won 17 of their last 21 home games against Winnipeg SU.

**Udog** · 11-14-2019, 10:34 AM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 23

Sunday, November 17

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EDMONTON (9 - 10) at HAMILTON (15 - 3) - 11/17/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in games played on turf this season.
EDMONTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HAMILTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
HAMILTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAMILTON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
HAMILTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (12 - 7) at SASKATCHEWAN (13 - 5) - 11/17/2019, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus division opponents this season.
WINNIPEG is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a division game this season.
WINNIPEG is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf this season.
WINNIPEG is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-4 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-5 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 23

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Trend Report
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Sunday, November 17

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 9 games at home
Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Hamilton is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Edmonton is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Edmonton is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Edmonton's last 15 games on the road
Edmonton is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton

Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 10 games at home
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Saskatchewan's last 12 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 12 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan

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**Udog** · 11-17-2019, 08:40 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 23

Sunday, November 17

Edmonton @ Hamilton

Game 891-892
November 17, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
110.772
Hamilton
120.797
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 10
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 5 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-5 1/2); Under

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan

Game 893-894
November 17, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
117.137
Saskatchewan
123.216
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 6
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-3); Under

**Udog** · 11-17-2019, 08:43 AM

CFL Division Finals preview, odds, picks & predictions: Bet on defensive battle out West
Rohit Ponnaiya

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Saskatchewan Roughriders meet up in the CFL Western Division Final on Sunday with the total set at just 44.

It's the division finals in the CFL and after both underdogs won on the moneyline last week we take a look at two more possible upsets in the making.

Hamilton currently have the best odds to win the Grey Cup and they are 6-point favorites at home against the Edmonton Eskimos. Out west the Saskatchewan Roughriders host the rival Winnipeg Blue Bombers for the right to move on to the Grey Cup.

We break down the odds with analysis and predictions for both CFL playoff games this weekend.

Season Betting Trends

Favorites: 62-21 SU, 38-43-2 ATS
Home teams: 50-33 SU, 40-41-2 ATS
Over/Under: 39-43-1

CFL Division Semifinal Picks: 1-1
Season to date: 40-37-2

EDMONTON ESKIMOS AT HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (-6, 51.5)

Edmonton upset the Alouettes last week thanks to an incredible performance from quarterback Trevor Harris who completed 36 of 39 passes for 421 yards. While the Esks are a much better team with Harris at the helm, he'll have a harder time making his usual quick throws with the Tiger-Cats pass rush in his face. Hamilton racked up 54 sacks during the regular season and held opposing QBs to a league-low 61.9 completion percentage.

The Eskimos also have a terrific pass rush but it did little to slow down the Ti-Cats offense during the regular season. Hamilton rolled up 455 yards and 42 points against the Esks in Week 17, and 417 yards and 30 points two weeks earlier in Edmonton.

The Eskimos have struggled against quality opponents all year going 1-8-1 ATS against teams with a winning record while the Ti-Cats finished the season with a 6-1 ATS mark over their last seven games. The one game they failed to cover? The final game of the season which didn't matter in the least and where they rested most of their starters including QB Dane Evans.

Edmonton had an average scoring margin of plus-0.3 points per game during the regular season, while Hamilton had an average scoring margin of plus-11.5 ppg. Take the Ti-Cats to win and cover.

PICK: Hamilton -6

WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS AT SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (-3, 45)

The Riders are currently at +250 to win the Grey Cup which is wild when you consider they started the season 1-3 with their only win coming against the godawful Argonauts. Since then they've gone 12-2 including 7-0 at home. Saskatchewan quarterback Cody Fajardo has emerged as a Most Outstanding Player finalist after beginning the year as a backup to...drumroll please...current Bombers signal-caller Zach Collaros.

These teams have played three games since September. Saskatchewan won both games in Regina by an average score of 20-11.5, while the Bombers routed the Riders 35-10 in Winnipeg. The Riders have one of the best front sevens in the league and allowed just 18.6 ppg at home this season.

Winnipeg's stop-unit went through an ugly spell towards the end of the year but played with a vengeance against Calgary in the semifinal, absolutely destroying last year's MOP in Bo Levi Mitchell. The Bombers run defense is the best in the CFL while their pass defense had the second-most interceptions in the league and held opposing QBs to the second-lowest completion percentage. Bet the Under.

PICK: Under 44.5

Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Division Finals (Sun., Nov. 17)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Division Finals (Sun., Nov. 17)

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