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**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 12:36 PM

Betting Recap - Week 11
Joe Williams

College Football Week 11 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 31-18
Against the Spread 17-32

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 31-18
Against the Spread 20-29

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 25-23-1

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 521-142
Against the Spread 332-320-11

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 429-230
Against the Spread 318-330-11

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 317-340-12

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Nevada (+17, ML +700) at San Diego State, 17-13
Tulsa (+16, ML +575) vs. UCF, 34-31
Illinois (+15.5, ML +550) at Michigan State, 37-34
California (+9, ML +275) vs. Washington State, 23-20
Miami-Ohio (+7, ML +230) at Ohio, 24-21
Minnesota (+6.5, ML +210) vs. Penn State, 31-26
Appalachian State (+6, ML +200) at South Carolina, 20-15

The largest favorites to cover
Ohio State (-42.5) vs. Maryland, 73-14
Clemson (-35) at N.C. State, 55-10
Army (-34.5) vs. Massachusetts, 63-7
Cincinnati (-34) vs. Connecticut, 48-3
Mississippi (-28) vs. New Mexico State, 41-3
Florida (-27) vs. Vanderbilt, 56-0

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)
-- Cincinnati entered the weekend as the highest ranked team among the Group of Five candidates, and they did nothing to hurt their chances with a 48-3 whitewashing of Connecticut. The Bearcats covered the 34-point number, their first cover outings after opening the season 5-1 ATS. ... SMU was involved in another shootout, as they held off East Carolina by a 59-51 count in Dallas. The 'over' is now 9-0-1 in 10 games for the Mustangs this season. After opening the season 5-0 ATS, they're just 1-4 ATS across the past five, including non-covers in the past three. ... Tulsa entered Friday's game against UCF with nothing to play for but pride, as they have been eliminated from bowl contention. They showed tremendous pride in dealing the Golden Knights a 34-31 loss. While the Golden Hurricane entered on a five-game losing streak, they're now 3-1 ATS across the four outings. Looks like there will be no national championship claims this season in Orlando.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)
-- Miami dumped Louisville by a 52-27 score, perhaps their most impressive showing of the season. The Hurricanes have won and covered a season-best three in a row after opening 3-4 SU/ATS, and they're now bowl eligible. ... Duke opened the season with a 4-2 SU/ATS mark, but they're on a three-game skid after falling at home to Notre Dame by a 38-7 count. They're also 0-3 ATS during the slid, and their offense has dried up. They're averaging just 12.7 PPG across the past three after opening with 40.4 PPG in a five-game span from Sept. 7-Oct. 12. ... Virginia held off Georgia Tech by a 33-28 score, as the Cavaliers moved to 7-3 SU. However, after opening 2-0 ATS, they're just 2-5-1 ATS across the past eight. The Yellow Jackets opened 0-6 ATS, but they're not quitting down the stretch, going 2-1 ATS across the past three. They're a friend to total bettors, too, as the 'over' is 4-1 in the past five contests. ... N.C. State has given Clemson some trouble in the past, including a straight-up victory at Carter-Finley Stadium back on Nov. 19, 2011, a game which I attended. The Pack won 37-13 that night as 7 1/2-point underdogs. There was no such trouble on Saturday. The Tigers mowed down the Pack 55-10 in chilly Raleigh. Remember when everyone was writing off the Tigers after their near-miss at UNC? Yeah, they're not going anywhere anytime soon.

BIG TEN
-- Illinois looked like the same old Illini on Saturday - for three quarters. They entered the fourth quarter down 31-10 at Michigan State, but this installment of the Illini is different. They really do fight. They outscored Sparty 27-3 in the final quarter, earning bowl eligibility in style with a 37-34 win. Remember all of those calls for Lovie Smith's job the past couple of seasons. He is safe now, and the calls are for Mark Dantonio's job in East Lansing these days. ... The big news in the Big Ten was the eligibility issue and suspension of DE Chase Young, the Heisman Trophy candidate. He reportedly took a small loan from a close family friend to fly his girlfriend out to the Rose Bowl to see him play. He paid the load back in the spring. Sounds harmless enough, but this is the archaic and selective punishing NCAA we're talking about here. Was Ohio State distracted? Nah. They embarrassed Maryland by a 73-14 score, their second time hitting the 70-point plateau this season. They were ranked No. 1 in the first official College Football Playoff rankings released this past Tuesday, but likely will slip due to LSU's win over Alabama in the SEC. ... Another playoff hopeful likely to tumble is Penn State, as they were ranked No. 4. They went to Minnesota, a team which received knocks because they "haven't played anybody", and lost to the Golden Gophers by a 31-26 score in an entertaining game. P.J. Fleck's rowed the boat at Western Michigan, and now he's rowing it in the Twin Cities. The Gophers are 6-0 ATS across the past six.

BIG 12
-- Iowa State gave Oklahoma all they could handle in a 42-41 loss in Norman. Inside the final minute HC Matt Campbell elected to go for two and the win after a late touchdown, but the attempt was picked off to avert disaster for the Sooners. The Cyclones have lost to both Oklahoma schools in the past two games, and they're still not yet eligible for a bowl at 5-4 SU with three to play. ... Texas held off Kansas State by a 27-24 score, although the Wildcats grabbed the cover. It was a rather curious line with K-State catching more than a touchdown against the skidding Longhorns. The Wildcats have covered four in a row, and the 'under' is 5-1 across their past six, as they have been a friend to bettors. Overall they're 7-2 ATS in nine outings. ... Baylor won a crazy game in TCU, 29-23 in overtime. This was not just a bad beat, but perhaps the worst one of the 2019 season (see below). The Bears improved to 9-0 SU, but they're just 5-4 ATS, while the 'over' is 3-1 across the past four. The over is 6-1 in TCU's past seven, too, although it probably shouldn't have hit. Again, see below.

CONFERENCE USA
-- Florida Atlantic won the Shula Bowl, which is the annual meeting with South Florida rival Florida International. The Owls won 37-7, topping FIU for the 13th time in 17 meetings. More importantly to bettors, Lane Kiffin's Owls are 7-3 SU heading into a bye, temporarily in sole possession of first place in the East Division of C-USA. They're 7-1 SU across the past eight, and 5-1 ATS over the past six. They're still the only team to cover the spread against No. 1 Ohio State, too, and only team to score more than twice against the Buckeyes in a game this season. ... UAB is suddenly in freefall, as they were blasted 37-2 by Southern Miss. The Blazers opened 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS, but they're 0-2 SU/ATS over the past two with the 'under' hitting in both since they're averaging 4.5 PPG during the skid. ... Texas-San Antonio stole one at Old Dominion, winning 24-23. The Roadrunners are now 3-0 ATS and they have hit the 'over' in three straight, too. ... Louisiana Tech spanked North Texas, 52-17, as the Mean Green slipped to 4-6 SU, needing to win both of their final games to become bowl eligible. They're just 1-5 ATS in the past six, too.

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)
-- All three mid-week MAC games saw the underdog go 3-0 ATS, with Miami-Ohio winning outright at Ohio, 24-21. The 'over' covered in the pair of Tuesday battles, too, while Wednesday's Miami-Ohio contest hit the under thanks to a scoreless first quarter. ... If you had an 'under' ticket in the Ball State-Western Michigan game (myself included), you elected to receive your bad beat a few days early. See below.

MOUNTAIN WEST
-- There were four games in the Mountain West, and all four were decided by four or fewer points, with the Wyoming-Boise State game going to overtime. The Cowboys were using a backup quarterback, as were the Broncos, so that explained the low-scoring affair. Even overtime wasn't enough to bail out 'over' bettors in this one. ... Nevada pulled off a surprising 17-13 road win against San Diego State, who, honestly, have been living rather dangerously. The Aztecs slipped to 1-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite, and perhaps a 17-point spread was a gift to bettors since the Aztecs have failed to scored more than 27 points in every game except at New Mexico State back on Sept. 14. The 'under' is 3-0 in the past three, and 8-1 in their nine games overall. For the Wolf Pack, they attained bowl eligibility with the win, and they're now 6-4 SU while winning outright twice as double-digit 'dogs this season. ... San Jose State headed to the islands and lost an entertaining 42-40 game at Hawaii. The Spartans have dropped two in a row despite averaging 41.0 PPG, and they're 3-0 ATS in the past three, while going 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight overall.

PAC-12
-- There were just four total games in the Pac-12, with three games on Saturday. USC-Arizona State was an entertaining battle, as the Trojans won 31-26 in Tempe, just narrowly missing a 5.5-point cover. After opening 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS on the road, the Trojans are 2-0 SU/0-1-1 ATS in the past two away from home. The 'over' is also 3-0 in the past three games following a 5-0 'under' run for the Men of Troy. ... Colorado snapped a five-game losing skid, rallying for a gutsy 17-13 win over Stanford. The Buffaloes still need to win their final two for bowl eligibility, and they have Washington and Utah remaining. Good luck with that! Speaking of Washington, they won 19-7 on Friday night against Oregon State, nearly shutting them out. In fact, the defense did not allow any points, as the Beavers scored their only TD on a pick-six.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)
-- Arkansas ended up closely as short 'dogs at home against a Conference USA team, Western Kentucky. It gets worse. The Hogs were thrashed by the Hilltoppers by a 45-19 score, and the QB for WKU was a former Arkansas signal caller. It doesn't appear head coach Chad Morris is going to be employed much longer in Fayetteville, if he even lasts the week. ... Of course, the most highly-anticipated game of the season was LSU-Alabama. A lot of talk about Minnesota was "they haven't played anybody", but really, who has 'Bama played? Duke? New Mexico State? Ole Miss? A&M? None of the teams they played previously were in the rankings this week. LSU was ranked No. 2 in the College Playoff rankings, and they opened a 33-13 lead at halftime before hanging on for the 46-41 victory in Tuscaloosa. Alabama is 4-5 ATS this season, and they have yet to cover in consecutive games this season. ... Tennessee went up to Kentucky and it seemed like old times. They rallied for a 17-13 win after falling behind 13-0 after one quarter, and the Vols have now won three in a row and moved within one game of bowl eligibility. More importantly they're 5-0 ATS across the past five after going 1-4 ATS to start.

SUN BELT
-- South Carolina paid Appalachian State to come to Columbia to play. They didn't know they'd be getting an angry Mountaineers side after losing at home to Georgia Southern last week. App State pulled off a road win for the second time against a Power 5 team, just the seventh team to do that since 2001. ... Spreaking of Southern, they failed to cover over the momentum from their big win. They went to Troy and were handled, 49-28 as field-goal favorites. The Eagles slipped to 5-4 SU, and still need a win to attain bowl eligibility. The 'over' is 5-2 across the past seven outings. ... Georgia State was another field-goal favorite on the road to struggle, falling at Louisiana-Monroe by a 45-31 count, snapping a four-game winning streak. It was a rare non-cover for the Panthers, too, as they entered 5-1-2 ATS in the first eight outings.

Bad Beats

-- Perhaps the most raw beat of the season happened on the Baylor-TCU total. If you had an 'under' (48) ticket, you were on the right side. In fact, there were no touchdowns at all in regulation. The game went to overtime, and should have still cashed the under with just 18 total points on the board. However, the teams exchanged touchdowns in the first overtime, they extended touchdowns in the second OT, too, and you were already done with 46 on the board, regardless of what happened in triple. Baylor ended up winning 29-23, adding salt to the wound of anyone hold a TCU side ticket. The Horned Frogs probably should have covered in regulation, 9-6, but the Bears hit a clutch 51-yard field goal with :36 left to force OT.

-- As mentioned, the mid-week MAC game between Ball State and Western Michigan was a tough pill to swallow for 'under' bettors. The total was 64.5, and entering the fourth there were just 38 points on the board. Western Michigan took a 28-24 lead with 5:21 to go, and you were still in good shape. Ball State replied quickly re-taking a 31-28 lead with 3:24 to go. With just 1:05 remaining in regulation, the Broncos struck for a touchdown to win 35-31, flipping the total to 'over'.

-- The Florida State-Boston College (64.5) game was a rough one for 'under' bettors, too. Aren't they all? BC tied it up 24-24 with 2:33 to go. FSU answered with a 60-yard touchdown to re-take the lead, 31-24. This game did NOT go to overtime, yet under bettors still lost. Yes, a touchdown was scored by FSU with 1:03 to go, and then BC had a touchdown with just 14 seconds left to flip the total over. There were 41 points on the board with 2:34 to play. There were 28 points scored in the final 2:33. Ouch.

**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 12:37 PM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 11
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the 11th weekend of the college football.

Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Toledo (-3) 35, Kent State 33: The line on this game crashed from -7½ to just -3 but Toledo led 14-0 nine minutes into the game and maintained a 28-17 edge at halftime. Kent State climbed back in the game and after a late third quarter touchdown the Flashes kicked the PAT to trail by just one. Toledo would answer less than five minutes later to go up by eight but Kent State completed a 15-play drive to find the end zone with just over five minutes remaining. That score put the Flashes in position to cover but the two-point conversion attempt to make things even more interesting came up short.

Miami, OH (+7) 24, Ohio 21: The Bobcats never led in this game but the scoring traded off throughout the game and was tied twice in the fourth quarter as overtime was realistic to keep all spread outcomes in play. With about four minutes remaining Miami connected on Sam Sloman’s 53-yard field goal to take a 3-point lead and Ohio mangled its possession, winding up needing to go for it on 4th-and-23 while having a costly penalty and burning two timeouts.

Illinois (+16) 37, Michigan State 34: The Spartans seemed to be in complete control leading 28-3 early and still 31-10 through three quarters. Illinois would score a pair of touchdowns early in the fourth quarter to get back in the game and then got a 76-yard interception return touchdown. The PAT was missed as the Illini weren’t able to tie the game. Michigan State had to settle for a field goal however and the Illini put together a 13-play drive to go 75 yards in the final three minutes for the upset.

Purdue (-1) 24, Northwestern 22: The dormant Northwestern offense exploded for two first quarter touchdowns but Purdue would take a 21-16 lead by the end of the third quarter. Northwestern went back in front in the fourth but up by one, failed on the two-point try in what lurked as potentially big play relative to the spread with the Wildcats a slight favorite much of the week. Northwestern missed a field goal with 2:30 remaining in the game to leave the door open for Purdue to steal the win late. With about a minute remaining Aidan O’Connell was intercepted in Northwestern territory on 4th down but the play was wiped out with a pass interference call, handing Purdue a new set of downs 15 yards closer. The Boilermakers only gained two more yards and J.D. Dellinger connected from 39 yards for the Purdue win.

Texas San Antonio (+3) 24, Old Dominion 23: The Monarchs had a 23-10 lead through three quarters at home but allowed an 85-yard touchdown drive early in the fourth quarter to wind up in a one-score game. The Roadrunners forced a punt and then put together perhaps their best drive of the season with a 14-play drive that included three 3rd down conversions. The touchdown with fewer than three minutes remaining tied the game and the PAT was good for the lead. Old Dominion approached midfield on its final drive but wound up fumbling on a sack as UTSA got the win.

USC (-5½) 31, Arizona State 26: This line climbed as it became clear that Arizona State quarterback Jayden Daniels wouldn’t play. USC scored four touchdowns in the first quarter but Arizona State would battle back, climbing within eight in the third quarter before a USC field goal made it an 11-point margin heading into the fourth quarter. The Sun Devils struck early in the fourth to trail by five with a two-point conversion try coming up short in a key play relative to the number. USC continued to fail to pick up first downs managing only three points in the final three quarters but the defense got an interception in the final minute to thwart a promising late drive from the Sun Devils. The fourth quarter touchdown from Arizona State put the scoring at 57, even with a common number during the week but past the late week total that fell to as low as 54½ with the quarterback change.

Mississippi (-28) 41, New Mexico State 3: The Rebels led just 17-3 before getting a touchdown in the final minute before halftime. Adding just seven in the third quarter the margin was right near the spread with a 31-3 edge into the fourth quarter. Mississippi completed a 98-yard drive to slip past the number early in the fourth and then added a late field goal for good measure.

Texas (-7) 27, Kansas State 24: A 14-0 Wildcats lead made the favorite cover for the Longhorns unlikely but Texas scored the next 24 points to lead by 10 early in the fourth quarter. After that short field touchdown drive Kansas State returned the kickoff 98 yards for a touchdown to get back within three however. Texas was held to a 3-and-out and Kansas State got a huge 3rd-and-long unsportsmanlike conduct penalty on its drive. That gain put Kansas State in field goal range and the game was tied at the 6:45 mark. Texas quickly approached the edge of field goal range and then found itself with 1st-and-goal from the Kansas State 2-yard line with a minute and a half to go. Texas did its best to burn the entire remaining clock instead of trying to score a touchdown but on 3rd and goal Sam Ehlinger had enough space to scamper into the end zone but an illegal formation play erased it. Texas eventually kicked a 26-yard field goal that was good and Kansas State didn’t get the ball again. Those laying points on the Longhorns with a spread that jumped from -5½ to -7 didn’t see Tom Herman’s late-game logic quite the same way.

UL-Monroe (+2½) 45, Georgia State 31: This game was tied 24-24 at halftime without consecutive scores for either team. UL-Monroe would take over with a 3-play 82-yard drive to lead by seven but Georgia State answered to leave the game knotted 31-31 through three quarters. A fumble, and two fourth down failures filled the next three Panthers possessions as the Warhawaks would add two touchdowns to pull away.

Wisconsin (-7½) 24, Iowa 22: The Badgers scored a touchdown just before halftime and then again late in the third quarter to emerge with a 21-6 edge. Iowa would put up a great late fight however with 10 points in the first six minutes of the fourth quarter around a Jack Coan interception as some familiarities to the Illinois collapse for Wisconsin emerged. On its field goal Iowa’s kicker was run into but the Hawkeyes opted to keep the points and stay down five rather than going for it on 4th-and-short down eight. The Badgers would burn a big chunk of clock but ultimately couldn’t put the game away, settling for a 29-yard field goal that was barely good. Iowa connected for a 75-yard touchdown pass on its first play and lined up for the tying two-point conversion. Quarterback Nate Stanley ran up the middle and was stopped just short. Wisconsin would reach the Iowa 11-yard-line before ultimately taking a knee in the final minute without adding points.

Baylor (-1½) 29, TCU 23: TCU led 9-0 at halftime looking to end Baylor’s undefeated run but the Bears would hit two field goals to trail 9-6 early in the fourth quarter, the second of which came on a 1-yard drive after inheriting great field position with an interception. Five straight punts followed before Baylor put together a late drive aided by a pass interference call, while also having an interception called off with a false start. The Bears went backwards from the TCU 22 and had to make a 51-yard field goal to force overtime as regulation didn’t feature a touchdown. Overtime would feature five straight touchdowns with Baylor going up by six leading the third session but unable to get the required two-point conversion. That score sealed an unfortunate ‘over’ despite 18 points in regulation. Max Duggan seemed to rush into the end zone to tie the game but on review he was ruled out at the 3-yard-line. TCU went backwards from there and eventually on 4th-and-goal the Baylor defense secured the win with an interception, getting the favorite cover as well while remaining at the front of the Big XII race.

Oklahoma (-14½) 42, Iowa State 41: Oklahoma led 35-14 at halftime and still led by 21 through three quarters. Iowa State got back within the number with a touchdown on the first play of the fourth quarter. Oklahoma fumbled to give the ball right back but Iowa State was unable to score from 1st-and-goal. The defense forced a quick punt and went 80 yards in four plays to suddenly put the game back in play. Facing 3rd-and-7 Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts seemed to be trying to throw the ball away but wound up intercepted in bounds to give the Cyclones great field position. Brock Purdy led a touchdown drive and Matt Campbell made the call to go for the win with 24 seconds to go. Pressure came and Purdy made a throw on the money but egregious pass interference was ignored by the officials as the Sooners escaped.

Hawai’i (-9½) 42, San Jose State 40: The line on the late night game had a late jump to as high as -9½ from -7 to -8 most of the week. That appeared to matter with Hawai’i up nine early in the fourth quarter. San Jose State connected for a 40-yard touchdown pass to get within two but the Warriors burned more than five minutes for a 12-play touchdown drive to go back up by nine. The Warriors had a chance to hold that margin but on 4th-and-7 San Jose State converted in its own territory and a few plays later struck the end zone again with fewer than two minutes on the clock to confirm the underdog cover.

**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 12:45 PM

301E MICHIGAN -302 AKRON
AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

301E MICHIGAN -302 AKRON
E MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

303W MICHIGAN -304 OHIO U
W MICHIGAN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a win in the last 3 seasons.

305BOWLING GREEN -306 MIAMI OHIO
MIAMI OHIO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 conference games over the last 2 seasons.

307N ILLINOIS -308 TOLEDO
N ILLINOIS are 40-18 ATS (20.2 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992.

313N CAROLINA -314 PITTSBURGH
N CAROLINA is 23-9 ATS (13.1 Units) in road games off home conference loss since 1992.

315LOUISIANA TECH -316 MARSHALL
MARSHALL is 19-5 ATS (13.5 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

317FRESNO ST -318 SAN DIEGO ST
FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

319W VIRGINIA -320 KANSAS ST
W VIRGINIA is 53-75 ATS (-29.5 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. since 1992.

321VIRGINIA TECH -322 GEORGIA TECH
VIRGINIA TECH is 29-12 ATS (15.8 Units) as a road fav. of <=7 since 1992.

323TULANE -324 TEMPLE
TULANE is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.

325INDIANA -326 PENN ST
INDIANA is 10-41 ATS (-35.1 Units) after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

327CINCINNATI -328 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

329SYRACUSE -330 DUKE
DUKE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

331OHIO ST -332 RUTGERS
OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite in the current season.

333LOUISVILLE -334 NC STATE
NC STATE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game over the last 2 seasons.

335MINNESOTA -336 IOWA
IOWA is 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game since 1992.

337WAKE FOREST -338 CLEMSON
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game over the last 2 seasons.

339C MICHIGAN -340 BALL ST
BALL ST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after going over the total in the last 3 seasons.

341LA MONROE -342 GA SOUTHERN
LA MONROE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.

343MASSACHUSETTS -344 NORTHWESTERN
NORTHWESTERN is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 34 or more points/game since 1992.

345TROY -346 TEXAS ST
TROY is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992.

347NEW MEXICO -348 BOISE ST
NEW MEXICO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up losses in the last 3 seasons.

349UCLA -350 UTAH
UTAH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.

351AIR FORCE -352 COLORADO ST
AIR FORCE is 31-12 ATS (17.8 Units) in road games after allowing <=14 pts. since 1992.

355APPALACHIAN ST -356 GEORGIA ST
GEORGIA ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 in the last 3 seasons.

357NAVY -358 NOTRE DAME
NOTRE DAME is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.

359ARIZONA ST -360 OREGON ST
OREGON ST is 41-23 ATS (15.7 Units) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

361USC -362 CALIFORNIA
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in November games in the last 3 seasons.

363ARIZONA -364 OREGON
ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after 2 conference games in the last 3 seasons.

365COASTAL CAROLINA -366 ARKANSAS ST
COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

367UTEP -368 UAB
UAB is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

369S CAROLINA -370 TEXAS A&M
S CAROLINA is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game since 1992.

371GEORGIA -372 AUBURN
AUBURN is 15-1 ATS (13.9 Units) in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game since 1992.

373LA LAFAYETTE -374 S ALABAMA
LA LAFAYETTE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

373LA LAFAYETTE -374 S ALABAMA
Billy Napier is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers (Coach of LA LAFAYETTE)

377TEXAS -378 IOWA ST
TEXAS are 48-28 ATS (17.2 Units) in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

379TCU -380 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in home games after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers since 1992.

381OKLAHOMA -382 BAYLOR
OKLAHOMA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse since 1992.

383MEMPHIS -384 HOUSTON
MEMPHIS are 22-4 Under (17.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

387MICHIGAN ST -388 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN ST is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games off a loss vs. the conference since 1992.

389FLORIDA -390 MISSOURI
MISSOURI is 42-21 ATS (18.9 Units) after a blowout loss (>17 pts) since 1992.

391HAWAII -392 UNLV
HAWAII is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

393RICE -394 MIDDLE TENN ST
RICE is 64-34 ATS (26.6 Units) vs. poor kickoff return teams, less than 19 yards per return since 1992.

397ALABAMA -398 MISSISSIPPI ST
ALABAMA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry in the last 3 seasons.

399WISCONSIN -400 NEBRASKA
WISCONSIN is 32-14 ATS (16.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

401LSU -402 OLE MISS
OLE MISS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after playing a game at home in the last 3 seasons.

403STANFORD -404 WASHINGTON ST
STANFORD is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival since 1992.

**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 12:46 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 12

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E MICHIGAN (4 - 5) at AKRON (0 - 9) - 11/12/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
AKRON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games this season.
AKRON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
AKRON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
AKRON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses this season.
AKRON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W MICHIGAN (6 - 4) at OHIO U (4 - 5) - 11/12/2019, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Wednesday, November 13

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BOWLING GREEN (3 - 6) at MIAMI OHIO (5 - 4) - 11/13/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (3 - 6) at TOLEDO (6 - 3) - 11/13/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 79-50 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 79-50 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, November 14

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BUFFALO (5 - 4) at KENT ST (3 - 6) - 11/14/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 8 days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA (4 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 3) - 11/14/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, November 15

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LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 1) at MARSHALL (6 - 3) - 11/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FRESNO ST (4 - 5) at SAN DIEGO ST (7 - 2) - 11/15/2019, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, November 16

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W VIRGINIA (3 - 6) at KANSAS ST (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 176-140 ATS (+22.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 176-140 ATS (+22.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 96-68 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 96-68 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 131-94 ATS (+27.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 164-123 ATS (+28.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 129-91 ATS (+28.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 96-68 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 3) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 7) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULANE (6 - 3) at TEMPLE (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TEMPLE is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TULANE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANA (7 - 2) at PENN ST (8 - 1) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 83-113 ATS (-41.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
PENN ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (8 - 1) at S FLORIDA (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (3 - 6) at DUKE (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OHIO ST (9 - 0) at RUTGERS (2 - 7) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
OHIO ST is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 78-51 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 78-51 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
OHIO ST is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
RUTGERS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
RUTGERS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
RUTGERS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISVILLE (5 - 4) at NC STATE (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (9 - 0) at IOWA (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WAKE FOREST (7 - 2) at CLEMSON (10 - 0) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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C MICHIGAN (6 - 4) at BALL ST (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA MONROE (4 - 5) at GA SOUTHERN (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA MONROE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
LA MONROE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 9) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 8) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TROY (4 - 5) at TEXAS ST (3 - 6) - 11/16/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO (2 - 7) at BOISE ST (8 - 1) - 11/16/2019, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 151-111 ATS (+28.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 151-111 ATS (+28.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 94-65 ATS (+22.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 85-54 ATS (+25.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCLA (4 - 5) at UTAH (8 - 1) - 11/16/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
UCLA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
UTAH is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (7 - 2) at COLORADO ST (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WYOMING (6 - 3) at UTAH ST (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-1 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 1) at GEORGIA ST (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NAVY (7 - 1) at NOTRE DAME (7 - 2) - 11/16/2019, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 179-133 ATS (+32.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 179-133 ATS (+32.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 101-61 ATS (+33.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 85-46 ATS (+34.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 85-46 ATS (+34.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 162-119 ATS (+31.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in November games since 1992.
NAVY is 81-45 ATS (+31.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
NAVY is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (5 - 4) at OREGON ST (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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USC (6 - 4) at CALIFORNIA (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 5) at OREGON (8 - 1) - 11/16/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 141-180 ATS (-57.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 141-180 ATS (-57.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 118-156 ATS (-53.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) in November games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
OREGON is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COASTAL CAROLINA (4 - 5) at ARKANSAS ST (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTEP (1 - 8) at UAB (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA (4 - 6) at TEXAS A&M (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (8 - 1) at AUBURN (7 - 2) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (7 - 2) at S ALABAMA (1 - 8) - 11/16/2019, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAFAYETTE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
LA LAFAYETTE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (3 - 6) at OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 136-172 ATS (-53.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 136-172 ATS (-53.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 52-84 ATS (-40.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 52-84 ATS (-40.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 97-127 ATS (-42.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 126-163 ATS (-53.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 89-122 ATS (-45.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 95-69 ATS (+19.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (6 - 3) at IOWA ST (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (4 - 5) at TEXAS TECH (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 131-94 ATS (+27.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (8 - 1) at BAYLOR (9 - 0) - 11/16/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a home underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
BAYLOR is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (8 - 1) at HOUSTON (3 - 6) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENTUCKY (4 - 5) at VANDERBILT (2 - 7) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
VANDERBILT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
VANDERBILT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (4 - 5) at MICHIGAN (7 - 2) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 36-63 ATS (-33.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA (8 - 2) at MISSOURI (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HAWAII (6 - 4) at UNLV (2 - 7) - 11/16/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 95-133 ATS (-51.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 1-1 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RICE (0 - 9) at MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 6) - 11/16/2019, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SOUTHERN MISS (6 - 3) at UTSA (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTSA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.
UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTSA is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (8 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WISCONSIN (7 - 2) at NEBRASKA (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEBRASKA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
NEBRASKA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 1-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (9 - 0) at OLE MISS (4 - 6) - 11/16/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 2-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (4 - 5) at WASHINGTON ST (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
STANFORD is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 12:47 PM

NCAAF

Week 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday, November 12

Eastern Michigan @ Akron
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Akron
Eastern Michigan is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Akron
Akron
Akron is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games

Western Michigan @ Ohio
Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 6 games when playing Ohio
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ohio
Ohio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio's last 6 games when playing Western Michigan
Ohio is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Western Michigan

Wednesday, November 13

Bowling Green @ Miami-OH
Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Bowling Green's last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 6 games when playing Miami-OH
Miami-OH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games when playing Bowling Green
Miami-OH is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Northern Illinois @ Toledo
Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games
Toledo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Toledo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Thursday, November 14

Buffalo @ Kent State
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kent State
Kent State
Kent State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Kent State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

North Carolina @ Pittsburgh
North Carolina
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
North Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing North Carolina

Friday, November 15

Louisiana Tech @ Marshall
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Marshall
Marshall is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Marshall's last 12 games

Fresno State @ San Diego State
Fresno State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games when playing San Diego State
San Diego State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 5 games when playing Fresno State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Diego State's last 10 games

Saturday, November 16

Alabama @ Mississippi State
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Mississippi State's last 12 games when playing Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi State's last 10 games

Florida @ Missouri
Florida
Florida is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Florida is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Missouri's last 8 games
Missouri is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida

Alabama State @ Florida State
Alabama State
Alabama State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Alabama State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida State's last 7 games
Florida State is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games

VMI @ Army
VMI
VMI is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Army
Army is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Army is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Massachusetts @ Northwestern
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Massachusetts's last 8 games
Massachusetts is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 6 games
Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Kansas @ Oklahoma State
Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Oklahoma State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas

Texas Christian @ Texas Tech
Texas Christian
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Christian's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 6 games when playing Texas Tech
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas Christian
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games

Indiana @ Penn State
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Penn State
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Penn State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Michigan State @ Michigan
Michigan State
Michigan State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Michigan State's last 17 games
Michigan
Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Wisconsin @ Nebraska
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games
Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nebraska's last 8 games when playing Wisconsin
Nebraska is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Tulane @ Temple
Tulane
Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tulane's last 7 games
Temple
Temple is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games

Texas El Paso @ Alabama-Birmingham
Texas El Paso
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games when playing Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas El Paso
Alabama-Birmingham is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

Navy @ Notre Dame
Navy
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Notre Dame
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Navy
Notre Dame is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games

Idaho State @ Brigham Young
Idaho State
Idaho State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Idaho State is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games
Brigham Young
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 6 games
Brigham Young is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State
Coastal Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Coastal Carolina's last 7 games
Coastal Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games

Louisiana-Monroe @ Georgia Southern
Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 7 games

Troy @ Texas State
Troy
Troy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Troy's last 10 games
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games
Texas State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games

Georgia @ Auburn
Georgia
Georgia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games
Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 6 games when playing Georgia
Auburn is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games

Kentucky @ Vanderbilt
Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kentucky's last 7 games when playing Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 7 games when playing Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games

Wake Forest @ Clemson
Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 7 games
Wake Forest is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech

Texas @ Iowa State
Texas
Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa State
Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Texas

West Virginia @ Kansas State
West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 5 games when playing Kansas State
West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas State
Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 5 games when playing West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 6 games

Ohio State @ Rutgers
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Rutgers
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Rutgers's last 15 games
Rutgers is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games

Memphis @ Houston
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Memphis

Central Michigan @ Ball State
Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
Central Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Ball State
Ball State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Ball State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Central Michigan

Syracuse @ Duke
Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games
Syracuse is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Duke's last 8 games
Duke is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Iowa
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Iowa
Iowa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games

Wyoming @ Utah State
Wyoming
Wyoming is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wyoming's last 8 games
Utah State
Utah State is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
Utah State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Wyoming

Hawaii @ Nevada-Las Vegas
Hawaii
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hawaii's last 10 games when playing Nevada-Las Vegas
Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games
Nevada-Las Vegas is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii

Incarnate Word @ New Mexico State
Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games
New Mexico State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Stanford @ Washington State
Stanford
Stanford is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington State
Stanford is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington State
Washington State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Stanford
Washington State is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games

Rice @ Middle Tennessee
Rice
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games
Rice is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

Louisiana-Lafayette @ South Alabama
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
South Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Alabama's last 7 games
South Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Southern Miss @ Texas-San Antonio
Southern Miss
Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Miss's last 6 games
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas-San Antonio is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

Louisiana State @ Mississippi
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games

Air Force @ Colorado State
Air Force
Air Force is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Colorado State
Air Force is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Colorado State's last 12 games when playing Air Force
Colorado State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Cincinnati @ South Florida
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
South Florida
South Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 7 games

South Carolina @ Texas A&M
South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Carolina's last 7 games
South Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Arizona State @ Oregon State
Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona State's last 12 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 6 games
Oregon State
Oregon State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Oregon State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Arizona State

Oklahoma @ Baylor
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Oklahoma is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing Baylor
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma

Louisville @ North Carolina State
Louisville
Louisville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina State
Louisville is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Louisville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 6 games

Appalachian State @ Georgia State
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia State
Appalachian State is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
Georgia State
Georgia State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

California-Los Angeles @ Utah
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of California-Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing Utah
California-Los Angeles is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

New Mexico @ Boise State
New Mexico
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games
New Mexico is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boise State
Boise State
Boise State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Mexico
Boise State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Arizona @ Oregon
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Oregon
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Southern California @ California
Southern California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern California's last 5 games when playing California
Southern California is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing California
California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games when playing Southern California
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of California's last 18 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 12:48 PM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Tuesday’s games
Akron is 0-9 SU/ATS, was outscored 131-9 in their last four games; they gained less than 200 yards in last three games. Zips won five of last seven games with Eastern Michigan, but lost 27-7 (+11) to the Eagles LY. EMU lost four of its last five games; they’ve given up 33.8 ppg in eight games vs I-A opponents, are 2-3 SU on road TY, with win at Illinois. Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over last 11 years, EMU is 3-3 ATS as a road favorite, 1-1 TY. MAC home underdogs are 7-3 ATS in conference games TY.

Western Michigan is 6-0 at home, 0-4 on road, with both MAC road losses by 7 points, with totals of 55-61. Broncos ran ball for 781 yards in last two games, both home wins; they’re 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road dog- under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Ohio U is 3-2 in MAC; road teams won four of five games SU. Bobcats 0-4 ATS as home favorites TY, after being 8-3 the last two years. WMU won six of last eight series games but lost 59-14 at home to Ohio LY, thanks to a -6 turnover ratio.

Wednesday’s games
Bowling Green is 2-6 vs I-A teams, 2-3 in MAC, losing road games 62-20/49-10; they’ve been outscored 215-30 in their four road games overall. Falcons are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog, 0-4 TY; four of their last five games stayed under the total. Road team won last four BG-Miami games; Falcons won their last four trips to Oxford SU. Miami is 4-1 in MAC after a 76-5 loss to Ohio State; Redhawks won their last three games, by 3-7-3 points; they’re 5-7 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite. This is first I-A game Miami has been favored in TY.

Northern Illinois is 2-6 vs I-A teams TY, splitting last four games; underdogs covered five of their six road games TY. Huskies are 20-8 ATS in last 28 games as a road underdog, 3-1 TY- their last four games went over the total. NIU won seven of last nine games with Toledo, taking three of last four visits here- they gained 427+ TY in last three meetings. Toledo is 6-3, scoring 32.8 ppg while winning all four I-A home games; Rockets ran ball for 655 yards their last two games- they’re 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a HF. Last three Toledo games went over.

Thursday’s games
Buffalo won its last three games by combined score of 107-34, need one more win to be eligible for a bowl; they were held to 20 or less points in all four losses. Under Leipold, Bulls are 7-5 ATS as road favorites, 2-2 TY- four of their last six games went over the total. Buffalo won last two games with Kent State, 48-14/27-13; favorites covered four of last five series games. Kent gave up 103 points in losing its last three games while allowing 507 TY/game, 269 of it on ground; under Lewis, they’re 3-1 ATS as a home underdog, 0-0 TY.

North Carolina won its last six games with Pittsburgh, winning last three by total of 7 points; they were underdogs in last two. Tar Heels won their last four visits to the Steel City. UNC is 4-5; eight of there nine games were decided by 7 or fewer points- they need two wins to go bowling, but play a I-AA team next week. Tar Heels are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog, 0-1 TY; three of their last four games went over. Pitt won five of its last six games; they’re 4-3-1 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite- four of Panthers’ last five games stayed under.

Friday’s games
Louisiana Tech won its last eight games after an opening loss at Texas; Bulldogs scored 42+ points in last four games- they won last three road games, by 28-3-21 points- three of their last four games went over total. Tech is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games as a road underdog; they lost 26-23 to Marshall in 2014, teams’ only meeting in last 20 years. Thundering Herd won its last four games after a 2-3 start; Marshall is 4-12 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite, 0-3 TY- five of their last seven games went over.

Fresno State lost three of last five games; they allowed 38.7 ppg in last three, giving up 500+ TY in all three. Bulldogs split their four road games TY- under Tedford, they’re 5-2-2 ATS as a road favorite, 0-1 TY. Bulldogs’ last five games went over the total. San Diego State was ranked #24 in country LW, then lost at home to Nevada, snapping the Aztecs’ 4-game win streak. San Diego St is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games as a home favorite, 1-1 TY; seven of their eight games went under the total. Mountain West road favorites are 7-2 ATS this year.

Saturday’s top 13 games
Last four years, Penn State is 2-11 ATS coming off a SU loss. Nittany Lions are 0-3-1 ATS as a home favorite this year- five of their last seven games stayed under. Indiana is ranked in top 25 for first time in 25 years; Hoosiers won their last four games, scoring 35.3 ppg- they covered their last four games as a road underdog- they’re 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as a double digit dog. PSU won 17 of last 18 games with Indiana, winning last five, covering three of last four; Nittany Lions covered last four series home games. Big 14 home favorites are 14-12 ATS this year.

Minnesota scored 39.3 ppg in winning its three road games TY; under Fleck, they’re 4-5-1 ATS as a road underdog. 1-0 TY. Minnesota is 9-0 for first time since 1940- six of their last eight games went over the total. Iowa lost three of last five games after a 4-0 start; Hawkeyes covered seven of last ten games as a home favorite, are 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a double digit favorite. Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Iowa won 14 of last 18 games with Minnesota, winning last four; Golden Gophers are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight visits to Kinnick Stadium.

Wyoming lost its last three road games, by 3-4-3 points; under Bohl, Cowboys are 14-11 ATS as a road underdog. Wyoming held six of last eight opponents under 100 RY. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Utah State was held to total of 27 points in its last three losses; they threw ball for 782 yards in last two games. Aggies are 11-4-1 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite, 1-2 TY. USU won five of last seven games with Wyoming; favorites covered seven of last nine series games. Cowboys covered once in their last four visits to Logan.

Oregon State split its first six Pac-12 games, with road team winning all six; Beavers’ Pac-12 home losses are by 3-45-12 points- under Smith, they’re 1-8 ATS as a home underdog, 1-3 TY. Arizona State allowed 31.3 ppg in losing its last three games after a 5-1 start; Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in last six games as a road favorite. ASU gave up 300+ PY in three of their four losses. Three of their last four games went over. ASU won its last two games with Oregon State, 52-24/40-24, running ball for 682 yards; Sun Devils lost five of their last six visits to Corvallis.

California (+4.5) upset USC 15-14 LY, ending a 14-game series losing skid; Trojans won their last seven visits to Berkeley (6-1 ATS). USC won three of last four games overall but lost three of its four road games, with only win 35-31 at Colorado; their last two wins were by total of 9 points. Under Helton, Trojans are 5-4 ATS as a road favorite, 0-2 TY. Cal snapped a 4-game skid by upsetting Wazzu LW; Bears scored 17 or fewer points in all four of their losses. Six of their eight lined games stayed under total; Trojans’ last three games went over.

Texas A&M won its last three games after a 3-3 start, scoring 94 points the last two weeks; under Fisher, Aggies are 7-5 ATS as a home favorite, 2-4 TY. Three of their last four games went over total. South Carolina lost three of last four games; they’re 0-6 SU when allowing more than 17 points. Gamecocks covered seven of last eight games as a road underdog (1-1 TY). Five of their last seven games went under. A&M won its last five games with Carolina, covering only one of last four; Aggies ran ball for 216+ yards in three of last four meetings.

Georgia won 11 of last 14 games with Auburn, covering seven of last nine; Dawgs covered twice in last six visits here. Georgia won its last three games overall, outscoring foes 73-17; under Smart, Dawgs are 9-4 ATS as a road favorite, 2-0 TY. Seven of their last eight games stayed under the total. Auburn split its last four games after a 5-0 start; they were held under 300 TY in both losses- under Malzahn, Tigers are 6-2 ATS as a home underdog (0-0 TY). Three of their last four games stayed under. SEC home underdogs are 7-7 ATS this year.

Texas split its last four games, with last two wins by total of five points; Longhorns allowed 435+ TY in five of their last six games- under Herman, Texas is 5-4 ATS as a road favorite, 2-0 TY. Six of their nine games went over total. Iowa State lost its last two games, giving up 76 points, after a 5-2 start; Cyclones are coming off of LW’s 42-41 loss at Oklahoma. ISU is 8-3-1 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog, 1-0 TY. Texas won 13 of last 15 games with ISU, covering four of last six visits to Ames. Longhorns Big 14 home underdogs are 7-11 ATS this year.

TCU lost four of its last five games; they’re 0-4 TY in games decided by 7 or fewer points. Horned Frogs are 6-5 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite, 1-1 TY. Six of their last seven games went over. Texas Tech is 4-0 TY when they score 38+ points, 0-5 when they don’t; Red Raiders lost five of last seven games- they’re 4-6 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog, 0-1 TY. Road team won last four Texas Tech-TCU games; Horned Frogs won 27-3/55-52 in their last two visits to Lubbock. Both teams are 4-5, need a 2-1 finish to be bowl eligible.

Baylor is 9-0, with four of last six wins by 6 or fewer points; they won their last three home games by total of 8 points- under Rhule, they’re 5-4 ATS as a home underdog, 5-4 as a double digit dog. Three of Baylor’s last four games went over. Oklahoma allowed 89 points, 903 TY in its last two games; under Riley, Sooners are 3-7-1 ATS as a road favorite, 1-3 TY. Oklahoma has a minus-7 turnover ratio in its last five games. Baylor lost their last four games with Oklahoma, giving up 51 ppg, but Sooners covered only once in their last nine visits to Waco.

Memphis is 8-1 but allowed 89 points in its last two games, wins by total of 7 points- their only loss was 30-28 at Temple. Last six Memphis games went over the total. Under Norvell, Tigers are 8-4 ATS as a road favorite, 2-2 TY. Houston lost three of its last four games; they’re 5-1 ATS in last six games as a home dog, 2-1 TY. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Underdogs covered five of last six Memphis-Houston games, winning 4 of 6 SU; Tigers lost three of last four trips to Houston, but covered five of last seven. Average total in last four seres games is 81.

Michigan State lost its last four games; they lost to Illinois LW after leading 31-10 in 4th quarter. Spartans are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog, 0-2 TY. Three of their last four games stayed under. Michigan scored 83 points in winning its last two games; they’re 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 2-2 TY- five of their last seven games went over. Road team won last four Michigan-MSU games, with Wolverines winning two of last three, after losing seven of previous eight meetings. Spartans covered their last three visits to Ann Arbor.

Washington State lost five of last six games after a 3-0 start, with first loss when they blew a 49-17 3rd quarter lead to UCLA; Coogs are 12-7 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite, 2-1 TY- three of their last four games went over. Stanford lost three of its four road games, losing by 25-18-3 points; they scored total of 35 points in their last three losses. Cardinal is 1-5 ATS in last six games as a road underdog, 0-2 TY. Wazzu won its last three games with Stanford, by 3-3-26 points; Cardinal won four of last five visits to Pullman, losing last one 24-21 (+2) in ’17.

**Udog** · 11-11-2019, 12:49 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 12

Tuesday, November 12

Eastern Michigan @ Akron

Game 301-302
November 12, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
63.694
Akron
50.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 13 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 17
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(+17); Over

Western Michigan @ Ohio

Game 303-304
November 12, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Michigan
81.828
Ohio
77.888
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 4
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 1 1/2
61
[B]Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(+1 1/2); Over

Wednesday, November 13

Northern Illinois @ Toledo

Game 307-308
November 13, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
71.036
Toledo
75.042
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 4
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 2 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-2 1/2); Under

Bowling Green @ Miami of Ohio

Game 305-306
November 13, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
58.955
Miami of Ohio
79.842
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 21
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 17
50
Dunkel Pick:
Miami of Ohio
(-17); Under

Thursday November 14

Buffalo @ Kent State

Game 311-312
November 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
78.368
Kent State
75.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 3
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 6
56
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+6); Over

North Carolina @ Pittsburgh

Game 313-314
November 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
88.633
Pittsburgh
88.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
Even
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(+4 1/2); Over

Friday, November 15

Louisiana Tech @ Marshall

Game 315-316
November 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
78.586
Marshall
86.608
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 8
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 5 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(-5 1/2); Under

Long Island @ Villanova

Game 1281-1282
November 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Long Island
32.424
Villanova
69.542
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Villanova
by 37
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Villanova
by 33 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Villanova
(-33 1/2); Under

Fresno State @ San Diego St

Game 317-318
November 15, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
80.611
San Diego St
77.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 3
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fresno State
Pick
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
Under

Saturday, November 16

TCU @ Texas Tech

Game 379-380
November 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
97.402
Texas Tech
91.196
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 6
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 3
56
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(-3); Under

Kansas @ Oklahoma State

Game 375-376
November 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas
85.564
Oklahoma State
98.857
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 13 1/2
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 17
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(+17); Over

Alabama St @ Florida State

Game 405-406
November 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama St
47.769
Florida State
84.238
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 36 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 40 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama St
(+40 1/2); Under

Tulane @ Temple

Game 323-324
November 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
89.846
Temple
80.383
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulane
by 9 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 5 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(-5 1/2); Over

Wisconsin @ Nebraska

Game 399-400
November 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
103.337
Nebraska
84.232
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 19
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 14
51
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-14); Over

Massachusetts @ Northwestern

Game 343-344
November 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
37.644
Northwestern
81.704
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northwestern
by 44
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 41
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(-41); Over

Indiana @ Penn State

Game 325-326
November 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
92.476
Penn State
110.261
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 18
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 14 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(-14 1/2); Over

Florida @ Missouri

Game 389-390
November 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
102.923
Missouri
98.901
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 4
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 7
51
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(+7); Over

Alabama @ Mississippi St

Game 397-398
November 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
112.372
Mississippi St
9.2107
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 20 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 17 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-17 1/2); Under

Michigan State @ Michigan

Game 387-388
November 16, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
94.476
Michigan
105.648
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 11
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 14
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(+14); Over

UTEP @ UAB

Game 367-368
November 16, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UTEP
57.490
UAB
72.834
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 15 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 17
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UTEP
(+17); Under

Navy @ Notre Dame

Game 357-358
November 16, 2019 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
94.395
Notre Dame
99.147
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 5
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 7 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(+7 1/2); Under

Troy @ Texas State

Game 345-346
November 16, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
78.749
Texas State
64.531
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 14
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 6 1/2
63
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(-6 1/2); Over

Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas St

Game 365-366
November 16, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coastal Carolina
69.200
Arkansas St
78.154
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 9
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 13 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
(+13 1/2); Over

LA-Monroe @ Georgia Southern

Game 341-342
November 16, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
72.911
Georgia Southern
81.372
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Southern
by 8 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 6 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(-6 1/2); Over

Wake Forest @ Clemson

Game 337-338
November 16, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
88.307
Clemson
118.974
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 30 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 34 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(+34 1/2); Under

Texas @ Iowa State

Game 377-378
November 16, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
99.057
Iowa State
100.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 2
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 7
66
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+7); Over

West Virginia @ Kansas State

Game 319-320
November 16, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
86.831
Kansas State
97.950
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 11
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 14
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(+14); Under

Kentucky @ Vanderbilt

Game 385-386
November 16, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
91.737
Vanderbilt
74.410
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 17 1/2
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 10
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(-10); Under

Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech

Game 321-322
November 16, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
88.205
Georgia Tech
84.165
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 4
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 6
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Tech
(+6); Under

Georgia @ Auburn

Game 371-372
November 16, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
111.340
Auburn
106.027
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 5 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 2 1/2
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-2 1/2); Over

Ohio State @ Rutgers

Game 331-332
November 16, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio State
129.216
Rutgers
65.894
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 63 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 52 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-52 1/2); Over

Central Michigan @ Ball State

Game 339-340
November 16, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
73.980
Ball State
78.563
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 4 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ball State
by 2 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(-2 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Houston

Game 383-384
November 16, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
94.661
Houston
82.842
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 12
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 10
69
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-10); Under

Syracuse @ Duke

Game 329-330
November 16, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Syracuse
78.041
Duke
83.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 6
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 10 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+10 1/2); Under

Incarnate Word @ New Mexico St

Game 407-408
November 16, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Incarnate Word
53.345
New Mexico St
56.752
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Mexico St
by 3 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Mexico St
by 7 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Incarnate Word
(+7 1/2); Over

Wyoming @ Utah State

Game 353-354
November 16, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
78.877
Utah State
87.713
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 9
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 5 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Utah State
(-5 1/2); Over

Hawaii @ UNLV

Game 391-392
November 16, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hawaii
75.703
UNLV
72.588
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hawaii
by 3
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hawaii
by 7
74
Dunkel Pick:
UNLV
(+7); Over

Minnesota @ Iowa

Game 335-336
November 16, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
104.407
Iowa
102.554
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 3 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+3 1/2); Under

Rice @ Middle Tennessee St

Game 393-394
November 16, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rice
66.491
Middle Tennessee
74.802
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 8 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 14 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Rice
(+14 1/2); Over

Stanford @ Washington St

Game 403-404
November 16, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
85.233
Washington St
88.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington St
by 3
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington St
by 11
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(+11); Under

LA-Lafayette @ South Alabama

Game 373-374
November 16, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
94.490
South Alabama
61.906
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 32 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 28
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(-28); Over

Southern Miss @ TX-San Antonio

Game 395-396
November 16, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
82.729
TX-San Antonio
63.128
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 19 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 16 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(-16 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ South Florida

Game 327-328
November 16, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
90.845
South Florida
79.721
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 11
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 14
47
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(+14); Under

Air Force @ Colorado State

Game 351-352
November 16, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
93.566
Colorado State
80.649
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Air Force
by 13
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 10
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(-10); Over

LSU @ Mississippi

Game 401-402
November 16, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LSU
116.170
Mississippi
91.729
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 24 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 21 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-21 1/2); Over

Arizona State @ Oregon State

Game 359-360
November 16, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
89.670
Oregon State
84.273
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 5 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 2 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona State
(-2 1/2); Under

Louisville @ NC State

Game 333-334
November 16, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
83.687
NC State
75.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 8
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 3 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(-3 1/2); Over

Appalachian St @ Georgia State

Game 355-356
November 16, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
90.725
Georgia State
77.943
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 13
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 17
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(+17); Under

South Carolina @ Texas A&M

Game 369-370
November 16, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
91.475
Texas A&M
98.089
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 6 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 11 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(+11 1/2); Under

Oklahoma @ Baylor

Game 381-382
November 16, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
110.679
Baylor
96.222
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 14 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 10 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma
(-10 1/2); Under

UCLA @ Utah

Game 349-350
November 16, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UCLA
90.856
Utah
106.366
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 15 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 21 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
UCLA
(+21 1/2); Under

New Mexico @ Boise State

Game 347-348
November 16, 2019 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico
64.218
Boise State
88.462
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 24
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 28
59
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(+28); Under

Arizona @ Oregon

Game 363-364
November 16, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
81.676
Oregon
106.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 24 1/2
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 27
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+27); Over

USC @ California

Game 361-362
November 16, 2019 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
USC
94.154
California
85.837
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 8 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 6
48
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(-6); Under

**Udog** · 11-12-2019, 02:00 PM

Tech Trends - Week 12
Bruce Marshall

Tuesday, Nov. 12

Matchup Skinny
Edge

EASTERN MICHIGAN at AKRON...Akron in a bad way this season, 0-9 SU and vs. spread, now on 4-16 skid vs. spread at home since 2016. EMU 2-2-1 vs. line on road TY and just 3-3 last six as road chalk, but 18-6-1 vs. spread away from Ypsilanti since 2016.
Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at OHIO...Solich only 2-7 vs. line TY and now no covers last six at home. Though WMU 0-4 vs. spread away TY and 1-8 vs. spread last nine away from Waldo.
Slight to Western Michigan, based on team trends.

Wednesday, Nov. 13

Matchup Skinny
Edge

BOWLING GREEN at MIAMI-OHIO...BG maintaining the roughly 33% vs. line for Loeffler (3-6 TY) that it had for the preceding Jinks/Pelini era (11-25 vs. spread 2016-18). Chuck Martin’s Miami again closing fast, now 20-7 vs. spread in last half of reg season since 2015 (3-0 TY). Road team however has covered last three meetings.
Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at TOLEDO...NIU was 12-4 as visiting dog 2013-18, 2-2 TY in role for Hammock. Home team 2-0-1 vs. spread last three meetings. Note home teams are 7-1-1 vs. line in Toledo games TY (Rockets 3-1-1 at Glass Bowl vs. spread).
Slight to Toledo, based on team and recent series trends.

Thursday, Nov. 14

Matchup Skinny
Edge

BUFFALO at KENT STATE...Buffalo surging with four spread Ws in a row and has won and covered last two in series.
Buffalo, based on team trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at PITT...Mack Brown 3-1 as dog TY, Heels 12-4-1 as dog since late 2017. Pitt 2-3 vs. spread at Heinz Field TY, Narduzzi 12-18-1 vs. spread as host since 2015. Heels 6-0 SU, 5-1 vs. line last six meetings.
UNC, based on team and series trends.

Friday, Nov. 15

Matchup Skinny
Edge

LA TECH at MARSHALL...La Tech has won last 8 SU TY, 6-1 vs. spread last 7 in 2019. Skip 17-6-1 as dog since 2014 (1-1 TY). Herd 0-5 vs. spread at home TY, no covers last six as host.
La Tech, based on team trends.

FRESNO STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Tedford 23-11-3 vs. line with Fresno since 2017 (though 3-5-1 TY). Bulldogs 2-1 as road dog TY, 8-1 as dog away from home since 2017. Aztecs just 2-9 vs. line at home since LY. Dog team has covered last three in series.
Fresno State, based on team and series trends.

Saturday, Nov. 16

Matchup Skinny
Edge

WEST VIRGINIA at KANSAS STATE...K-State 7-2 vs. line TY for Klieman, Cats 9-2 vs. spread since late 2018. Mounties 3-7-2 vs. points since late 2018.
Kansas State, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at GEORGIA TECH...Hokies stirring a bit with covers in four of last five TY. Jackets 2-6-1 vs. line in debut for Collins, 0-4 at home. Paul Johnson had covered last three in series for GT, however.
Virginia Tech, based on recent trends.

TULANE at TEMPLE...Wave on 6-1 spread uptick, 8-2 vs. points last 10 since late 2018. Though Owls 4-1 vs. spread at home TY.
Slight to Tulane, based on team trends.

INDIANA at PENN STATE...Hoosiers on 5-1 SU and spread uptick TY, covered last 4 as Big Ten road 'dog. James Franklin no covers last 3 at Happy Valley TY.
Indiana, based on recent trends.

CINCINNATI at SOUTH FLORIDA...Bearcats 3-1 as visiting chalk since LY, though USF has covered last four in series. USF just 3-9 vs. spread last 12 at Tampa after Temple loss.
Slight to Cincinnati, based on team trends.

SYRACUSE at DUKE...Cuse has sagged TY, no covers last five or 7 of last 8 in 2019. Though Cutcliffe just 7-9-1 as chalk since 2017.
Duke, based on recent ‘Cuse woes.

OHIO STATE at RUTGERS...Buckeyes on 8-game cover streak, ‘Gers 0-6 vs. spread in Big Ten TY. Bucks have won and covered all five in series since Scarlet Knights joined Big Ten, no margin less than 32. Last three years combined score 166-3! Last four years 215-10!
Ohio State, based on team and series trends.

LOUISVILLE at NC STATE...’Ville only 2-4 vs. spread last six TY but Satterfield teams still 18-7-1 vs. line at App & with Cards since late 2017. Wolfpack on 1-7 spread skid TY.
Louisville, based on team trends.

MINNESOTA at IOWA...Floyd of Rosedale! Gophers on quite a roll, 11-0 SU since late 2018, covered last six in a row. Iowa however has won last four Floyds and 2-0-1 vs. line in those. Ferentz 7-4 as home chalk since LY and has won SU in last 8 Floyd fights at Iowa City.

Iowa, based on series trends.
vs.

WAKE FOREST at CLEMSON...Clawson 10-3 as road dog since 2016, 15-8-1 overall as dog since 2016. Wake has covered 4 of last 5 meetings (though Clemson won 63-3 LY). Dabo 6-1 vs. spread in ACC TY, 12-1-1 vs. line last 14 league games!
Slight to Wake Forest, based on extended series trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at BALL STATE...McElwain 7-1 vs. spread last eight TY. Ball has covered 5 of last 6 after WMU result. But Cards just 3-6 vs. spread last nine at Muncie.
Central Michigan, based on team trends.

UL MONROE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...ULM on 3-8 spread skid since late 2018 but has covered last three vs. Eagles (dating to 2014). Warhawks better lately on road however where they are 4-3 vs. line last seven. Eagles no covers last three Sun Belt games at home.
Slight to ULM, based on team and series trends.

UMASS at NORTHWESTERN...UMass 1-9 vs. line TY and no covers five on road. Cats however no covers last six at Evanston and Pat Fitz no covers last eight as chalk.
Slight to Northwestern, based on UMass woes.

TROY at TEXAS STATE...Chip Lindsey just 3-6 vs. spread in Troy debut, though Spavital just 1-7-1 vs. spread in his TSU debut. Trojans have covered 3 of last 4 meetings (though not LY). Bobcats 1-5-1 vs. spread last seven as Belt host.
Slight to Troy, based on team and series trends.

NEW MEXICO at BOISE STATE...Davie has had some success vs. Boise, covering 5 of last 7 meetings including last three on blue carpet. Though Lobos only 10-24 last 34 vs. line since late 2016. Broncos 19-37 as blue carpet chalk since late 2010.
Slight to New Mexico, based on extended series trends.

UCLA at UTAH...Bruins rallying with wins and covers in last three TY. Utes however have won and covered last five in 2019 and have won and covered last three in series.
Slight to Utah, based on recent series trends.

AIR FORCE at COLORADO STATE...Rams rallying with covers last three and five of last six TY. Dog team has covered last five meetings.
Slight to Colorado State, based on recent trends.

WYOMING at UTAH STATE...Bohl on 11-3 spread uptick, 5-1 last six vs. line away. Wyo has covered last three in series. Utags 2-4 vs. spread last six TY.
Wyoming, based on team and series trends.

APP STATE at GEORGIA STATE...App 6-3 vs. line TY and 19-6-1 since late 2017 vs. spread. App 5-2 vs. spread last 7 on Belt road. GSU 3-0-1 as dog TY. Road team 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings.
Slight to App State, based on team trends.

NAVY at NOTRE DAME...Navy on 10-2 spread uptick, still an outside shot at New Year’s Six. Mids 4-1 last five as dog and 6-3-1 in role since LY. Navy has covered last three in series and have covered 12 of last 14 at South Bend.
Navy, based on team and series trends.

ARIZONA STATE at OREGON STATE...Herm only 3-8 vs. spread last 11 since late 2018. Though Sun Devils have won and covered last two meetings. Beavs 6-2 vs. spread last 8 TY after U-Dub loss.
Slight to Oregon State, based on recent trends.

USC at CAL...Bears snapped 14-game SU losing streak to SC in LY’s 15-14 win at Coliseum. Underdog team 8-1 vs. line in Cal games TY, 12-2-1 last 15 since late LY.
Slight to California, based on recent trends.

ARIZONA at OREGON...Cats 3-1 SU and vs. line last four reg season meetings (though Ducks won 2014 Pac-12 title game). But Sumlin no covers last four and 7 of 9 TY (2-3 as dog). Webfoots only 2-3 vs. spread at Autzen TY and 5-7 last 12 vs. spread at home.
Slight to Oregon, based on recent trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA at ARKANSAS STATE...Coastal 3-1 vs. line away TY though just 5-4 vs. spread. ASU 4-1 vs. points last five as Belt host. Red Wolves big wins and covers vs. Chants past two years.
Arkansas State, based on series trends.

UTEP at UAB...UTEP 6-3 vs. spread last 9 on road. Blazers 11-1-1 vs. points at Legion Field vs. FBS foes since returning in 2017.
UAB, based on team trends.

GEORGIA at AUBURN...Kirby Smart 3-0 vs. line away TY, 6-0 last six vs. spread reg season away from Athens (counts LY’s SEC title game). Kirby has also won and covered last two vs. Malzahn and Dawgs 5-1 SU and vs. line last six meetings. Malzahn however is 8-2 vs. line last 10 since late 2018 and has covered both as a dog TY.
Slight to Georgia, based on series trends.

UL-LAFAYETTE at SOUTH ALABAMA...Ragin’ Cajuns keep rollin’, now 8-1 vs. line TY after Coastal romp, 16-2-2 vs. spread last 20 reg season games for Billy Napier. USA a bit better lately with covers in 4 of last 5.
ULL, based on recent trends.

KANSAS at OKLAHOMA STATE...Gundy had crucified KU three meetings previous to LY when OSU did not cover huge price in 55-40 win. Les Miles 2-1 as road dog Ty and 3-1 last four vs. spread. Gundy on 8-2 spread uptick since late LY and 10-4-1 last 15 as DD chalk.
Slight to Oklahoma State, based on team trends.

TEXAS at IOWA STATE... Tom Herman 14-4 as dog since 2015 at Houston & UT. ISU only 3-6 as home chalk since LY, and Matt Campbell 0-3 vs. line against Horns.
Texas, based on team trends.

TCU at TEXAS TECH...Tech has covered 3 of last 4 meetings, and Red Raiders 7-3 vs. spread last 10 at Lubbock (3-1 TY). Patterson 0-3 vs. line on Big 12 road TY, 1-6 last seven in role.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA at BAYLOR...OU 0-3-1 vs. spread last four as Big 12 visitor. Sooners have covered 3 of last 4 meetings vs. Bears, though Rhule 9-2 last 11 as dog.
Slight to Baylor, based on team trends.

MEMPHIS at HOUSTON...Memphis 1-3 vs. line last four TY, no covers last three on American road. UH has covers as DD dog its last two TY but Tigers have covered last four meetings.
Slight to Memphis, based on series trends.

KENTUCKY at VANDERBILT...Derek Mason on 1-9 spread skid since late 2018, 3-8 vs. line last 11 as SEC host. Stoops has won last thee SU vs. Dores and 7-4 vs. line last eleven since late LY.
Kentucky, based on recent trends.

MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE...Dantonio no covers last five or 6 of last 7 TY, 2-10 last 12 vs. spread in reg season. MSU 0-3 as dog TY and just 4-7 in formerly-good role since 2017, but Dantonio 10-1 vs. spread last 11 in series. Harbaugh has covered 5 of last 6 TY.
Slight to Michigan State, based on extended series trends.

FLORIDA at MISSOURI...Dan Mullen on 9-4 spread uptick since late 2018. He’s 15-8 vs. spread with Gators since LY, 4-2 vs. spread as SEC visitor. Mizzou no covers last four TY but has won and covered big last two in series.
Slight to Florida, based on recent trends.

HAWAII at UNLV...Sanchez 6-11 vs. spread since late 2016 at Sam Boyd. Rolovich has covered 3 of last 4 as MW visitor.
Hawaii, based on recent trends.

RICE at MTSU... Owls no covers last 4 or 6 of last 8 TY. Rice was 6-2 as road dog for Bloomgren before dropping last two in role. MTSU 7-2 last 9 as C-USA host.
Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at UTSA...Roadrunners 2-11 vs. line last 13 at Alamodome vs. FBS foes.
Southern Miss, based on team trends.

ALABAMA at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Moorhead 3-7 vs. line since late 2018. MSU 0-3 as dog TY and 1-6 in role since Moorhead arrived LY. Saban 4-1 last 5 vs. line as SEC visitor, 1-3 vs. line after last 4 SU losses.
Alabama, based on team trends.

WISCONSIN at NEBRASKA...Huskers no covers last six TY, 1-8 overall vs. line. Paul Chryst 12-4 as visiting chalk with Badgers since '15, and Badgers have beaten Huskers 6 in a row SU (4-2 vs. line).
Wisconsin, based on recent and series trends.

LSU at OLE MISS...Tigers have covered 2 of last 3 after facing Bama. LSU has covered last five away from Baton Rouge and Coach O 3-0 SU and vs. line against Rebs. Ole Miss 5-1 vs. line L6 TY.
Slight to LSU, based on series trends.

STANFORD at WASHINGTON STATE... Tree no covers last five away from Farm, and 2-3 as dog since LY after Shaw 12-4-1 previously in role. Leach has won last 3 and covered last 4 meetings.
Washington State, based on team and series trends.

**Udog** · 11-13-2019, 05:26 PM

by: Monty Andrews

ROOM TO ROAM

The Toledo Rockets might be only slight favorites for Wednesday night's MAC tilt with visiting Northern Illinois, but they have a significant advantage in at least one area – and it could turn this one into a bit of a laugher. The Rockets come into the game with the nation's No. 12 rushing offense, averaging nearly 251 yards per game on the ground – and they've been especially dominant over their previous two games, racking up a combined 664 rushing yards in narrow victories over Eastern Michigan and Kent State. The Huskies, meanwhile, are coming off getting routed 48-10 to Central Michigan in which the Chippewas posted 327 rushing yards.

An edge like this makes Toledo a terrific option in a variety of different bet scenarios; we recommend buying a few points in their favor and taking an alternate line of -6.5.

MIAMI (OH) FOR 3

The Miami (OH) Redhawks should have little trouble filling the board Wednesday night as they host a Bowling Green defense that ranks among the worst in the nation in points allowed. But while the Falcons have surrendered a mind-boggling 33.8 points per game so far this season, the Redhawks might not necessarily be headed for a parade to the end zone. Miami (Ohio) has one of the worst touchdown-to-field-goal ratios in the country coming into Week 12, having scored 22 TDs compared with 16 FGs – six of those coming over the course of their current three-game winning streak.

Miami (Ohio) is a big-time favorite here, and is a good bet to open the scoring given BGSU's 2.5 first-half-points-per-game average on the road this season. We like the Redhawks FG to kick off the point parade.

GILBERT GETTING BACK

Kansas State's premier rushing threat might be back on the field this weekend. Wildcats senior James Gilbert practiced on Tuesday and is trending in the right direction as he recovers from an undisclosed ailment that kept him out of last week's 27-24 loss to the Texas Longhorns. It was originally thought that Gilbert would be in the lineup vs. Texas, but he was a late exclusion – and Kansas State struggled in his absence, finishing with a paltry 51 rushing yards on 26 attempts. Gilbert ranks ninth in the Big 12 Conference in rushing yards (558) while adding five touchdowns on the ground.

Gilbert's return would invigorate a Kansas State rush attack that has a favorable matchup against a West Virginia defense allowing 173 rushing yards per game. We recommend the hosts ATS if Gilbert is deemed fit to return.

WAKING NIGHTMARE

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have seen their season take a terrible turn with word that standout wide receiver Sage Surratt will miss the remainder of 2019 with an undisclosed injury. Wake Forest head coach Dave Clawson confirmed Tuesday that Surratt, who wasn't featured on the team's depth chart ahead of its Week 12 encounter with Clemson, would be out for the rest of the season – though he wouldn't specify what was wrong with the star wideout. Surratt finishes the year with 1,001 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns on 66 receptions as the premier target for quarterback Jamie Newman.

The absence of Surratt should give bettors even less of a reason to bank on Wake Forest, which has seen the line shift as far as four points in Clemson's favor. Look for the Tigers to keep the undermanned Deacons below their team total.

**Udog** · 11-14-2019, 09:31 AM

North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Joe Nelson

A key ACC Coastal contest is lined up for the ESPN game Thursday night with a tight division battle ahead for the right to face Clemson in December.

Here is a look at North Carolina and Pittsburgh, a series with a run of eight consecutive meetings decided by seven or fewer points.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers
Venue: Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Time/TV: Thursday, November 14, 8:00 p.m. ET ESPN
Line: Pittsburgh -4½, Over/Under 50½
Last Meeting: 2018 at North Carolina (+3) 38, Pittsburgh 35

North Carolina only won once in ACC play last season and oddly enough that victory came vs. Pittsburgh, the 2018 ACC Coastal champion. Mack Brown has brought some life back to the football program in Chapel Hill but ultimately the Tar Heels are just 4-5 with Brown, taking over for Larry Fedora who had a 45-43 record over seven seasons with the program.

The Tar Heels won the ACC Coastal in an 11-3 2015 season, going 8-0 in ACC play before giving Clemson a tough game in the conference championship. Back-to-back 1-7 ACC campaigns the last two years sparked the change however and the 68-year old Brown was a great fit to bring some enthusiasm back to the program. Despite leading the great 2005 national championship team ,his 158-58 run at Texas had grown stale and after being off the sidelines for five seasons and doing TV work, Brown returns to the school that he took from 1-10 to 10-1 in his ten seasons at North Carolina from 1988 to 1997.

Brown’s stature helped the cause in the Tar Heels landing highly regarded freshman quarterback Sam Howell who had originally committed for Florida State. Howell has shown his youth at times this season and is completing just 58 percent of his passes, but with 26 touchdowns and only five interceptions while also providing a flare for the dramatic on the big stage, leading comeback wins in his first two games.

While only 4-5 overall, the Tar Heels have three ACC wins and split a pair of difficult non-conference games. They also had to play Clemson unlike most Coastal teams, and didn’t just play the defending national champions, they put a big scare into the national playoff race by falling a two-point conversion short of the upset. All five losses for North Carolina have come by seven or fewer points including a six-OT loss to Virginia Tech but three of the four wins have come by four or fewer points.

Pittsburgh is 3-2 in the ACC but like North Carolina, one of those losses is to Virginia, who at worst will finish 5-3. Multi-team tiebreaker scenarios are possible if Virginia Tech winds up beating Virginia and the Panthers have a shot to win the division outright in that scenario if they can win out, drawing the Hokies next week. Pittsburgh was a surprise Coastal champion despite being 3-4 in mid-October last season having lost three non-conference games. A 1-2 start this season has also been erased as Pittsburgh will be back in the postseason.

Pat Narduzzi has gone 34-27 in now his fifth season at Pittsburgh, coming from several years as a defensive assistant at Michigan State. The Panthers might have trouble filling the seats Thursday night despite having another successful season as the shared tenant at Heinz Field has a national TV game as the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Cleveland Browns.

Only Clemson has allowed fewer points than Pittsburgh in ACC play this season with just 106 surrendered but that is also the exact amount the Panthers have scored. North Carolina, with one additional game under its belt, has scored 178 points but has allowed 166. North Carolina ranks 29th nationally posting 446 yards per game while gaining a full yard more per play than Pittsburgh.

Neither team has rushed the ball very effectively this season but the Panthers stand out on run defense, eighth nationally allowing just over 91 yards per game, while sixth nationally allowing just 2.8 yards per rush for a dramatic improvement compared to last season. Even as the rushing ability of the offense has declined, Pittsburgh has out-gained six different foes by at least 70 rushing yards including three straight ACC foes. The Panthers are also third nationally behind Wisconsin and Clemson in holding opposing quarterbacks to just over 48 percent completions.

The Pittsburgh offense is led by junior Kenny Pickett who has modest numbers in managing this offense. In ACC play he has thrown eight interceptions in five games but ultimately has been a winner for the program and he sat out the FCS win over Delaware to miss an opportunity to improve his totals. Pittsburgh has lost twice at home this season however and in four of five Heinz field games the Panthers haven’t even topped 20 points.

Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in FBS games this season and despite the modest offensive numbers they Panthers haven’t lost the yardage battle in any game since the season opening loss to Virginia in August. North Carolina will still be favored to get to 6-6 and a bowl bid even with a loss this week as they face FCS Mercer next before a winnable rivalry game down the road at NC State. Neither team played last week as both teams should have good preparation in order for this showcase opportunity.

Series History:

North Carolina is 8-2 S/U & ATS in this series going back to 1982 and is 6-0 S/U and 5-1 ATS in the six consecutive meetings as ACC division foes. All six of those games and eight consecutive games between these teams including a 2009 bowl game have been decided by seven or fewer points.

Last Season:

This game occurred in late September and was the first home game for North Carolina, who started 0-2 last season. The Tar Heels were supposed to host UCF the previous week but that game was cancelled due to the storm. Pittsburgh won its ACC opener the previous week over Georgia Tech to shake off a 51-6 loss to Penn State and the trip to Chapel Hill was the team’s first road game of the season. The Panthers led 28-21 at halftime but North Carolina scored 17 points in the third quarter to take control. Pittsburgh climbed within three with a late touchdown but never got the ball back as the slight home underdog got the win. Pittsburgh had a rushing edge in the game but the Tar Heels gained 10.1 yards per pass attempt behind Nathan Elliott.

North Carolina Trends:

The October win at Georgia Tech is the only road win for North Carolina the past two years with the previous win at Pittsburgh in 2017, 34-31. North Carolina is 3-11 S/U and 6-7-1 ATS on the road since the start of the 2017 season, going 1-2 S/U and ATS this season. North Carolina is on an 11-4-1 ATS run in the past 16 games as an underdog including going 3-1 getting points this season.

Pittsburgh Trends:

Pittsburgh is 21-10 S/U at home under Narduzzi since 2015 but just 12-18-1 ATS including a 4-12-1 ATS record as a home favorite. The Panthers are 2-3-1 ATS as a favorite of seven or fewer points at home under Narduzzi as this is a surprisingly unusual price in recent years at Heinz Field, with Pittsburgh an underdog in nearly half of its home games the past four seasons. Since last November Pittsburgh is on a 5-2 ATS run as a favorite however to break a losing run for much of the previous few years.

**Udog** · 11-14-2019, 10:39 AM

By: Monty Andrews

COLD COMFORT

Fans at Dix Stadium had better bring their extra-thick jackets for Thursday's MAC encounter between Kent State and visiting Buffalo. The mercury is expected to dip below 30 degrees by kickoff, which could mean an added emphasis on the run game on both sides.

If that's the case, the Bulls come in with an overwhelming advantage: They rank second in the conference and 17th in the nation in rushing yards per game (224.4) while limiting opposing teams to just 85 yards per game on the ground (sixth in the country). On the flip side, only three teams in the nation are allowing more rushing yards than the Golden Flashes (256.1).

This line has already shifted as much as two points in Buffalo's favor, and with both teams likely to stick to the ground in bitter cold temperatures, we see the Bulls as a terrific option to cover the spread.

PREPARE FOR PIT PRESSURE

The North Carolina Tar Heels might need to work extra-hard to keep their quarterback upright Thursday night as they visit the Pittsburgh Panthers in a marquee ACC matchup. The Tar Heels come in having allowed 29 sacks through nine games, with their 3.22 sacks-per-game average ranking 119th in the country.

That number could skyrocket Thursday against a host Panthers defensive unit that has racked up 40 sacks in its first nine games, second only to the Ohio State Buckeyes. Pittsburgh also has a whopping 30 non-sack tackles that have resulted in a loss of yardage this season.

With the Panthers' run defense humming as well (85.9 yards allowed per game, 8th-best in FBS), North Carolina could be in all kinds of trouble. The Under on the Tar Heels' team total is a strong play here.

HOW TO BET BAMA WITHOUT TUA

The Alabama Crimson Tide aren't prepared to risk Tua Tagovailoa's long-term health – which is why the NFL draft prospect is considered a game-time decision for Saturday's encounter with Mississippi State.

Tagovailoa is still dealing with the lingering effects of an ankle injury that required surgery, and head coach Nick Saban says he might not make a decision on his star QB's status until close to kickoff. Mac Jones would likely get the call under center if Tagovailoa can't go. The Heisman Trophy candidate threw for 418 yards and four touchdowns in last week's 46-41 loss to LSU.

The Crimson Tide are 17.5-point favorites as of the middle of the week – and even if Tagovailoa sits this one out, they'll need to be dominant from here on out to ensure a spot in the College Football Playoff. We like Alabama to cover regardless.

DUAL THREAT

The Memphis Tigers are set to feature a 1-2 punch at running back for Saturday's showdown with host Houston. Patrick Taylor Jr. has practiced the past two days, and while head coach Mike Norvell isn't ready to declare Taylor fit to play, the senior standout is trending in the right direction.

Taylor hasn't suited up since since suffering a leg injury in the Tigers' season-opening 15-10 win over the Ole Miss Rebels. Taylor's return gives Memphis a devastating two-headed running back monster, with Kenneth Gainwell having racked up more than 1,500 yards and 15 scores this season.

This is a big problem for a Cougars team allowing more than 460 yards per game; Look for Memphis to use Taylor and Gainwell to control the tempo early and convert the first-half cover.

**Udog** · 11-14-2019, 11:24 AM

Fresno State at San Diego State
Matt Blunt

Venue/Location: SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, California
Time/TV: Friday, Nov. 15 (ESPN2, 9:30 p.m. ET)
Line: Pick 'em, Total 43.5

There is a big time Mountain West showdown this Friday, as the defending conference champions (Fresno State) hope that the can go out on the road and play spoiler to a San Diego State team that hopes it's there name beside the conference champion moniker by this year's end.

A win by the Aztecs would put them in the driver's seat in the West division before their big trip to Hawaii next week, while a loss would only add more tension and pressure. Feeling tension and pressure are two things not commonly associated with touching down on the islands of Hawaii, but should San Diego State fall this week to Fresno, it might be the beginning of the end for San Diego State's conference title dreams in 2019.

And after last week's play on the 'under' in the Washington/Oregon State game brought a no-sweat winner, hopefully the move over to the Mountain West conference this week can bring the same results.

Betting Odds: Fresno State vs San Diego State (pick'em); Total set at 43

This line has already seen significant movement on the side and total, as the total's come down from it's opener of 44.5, while it appears that there aren't many in the market looking to back the Aztecs, as their opener of -2.5 has only gone against them. And given that San Diego State struggled to get by UNLV as a -10 favorite two weeks ago, and then lost outright to Nevada (17-13) as -17 home chalk, it's not hard to see the reasoning behind wanting to go against San Diego State. After all, this is a team that averages just 20.8 points per game on offense this year, and winning consistently in college is rather hard with that type of point production.

For Fresno State, this was always going to be a type of “reloading” year for the program after they had so many valuable and talented upperclassmen lead them to a conference championship a year ago. The Bulldogs came into 2019 as a very young team, and having alternated wins with losses the past six games, the inconsistency in putting together a strong 60 minutes on a weekly basis is a sign of a young team. Following that patter would suggest a win for Fresno State this week, but at 3-5-1 ATS this year, it's not like they've been world beaters against the number either.

In terms of the total, the move downwards is always going to be expected for San Diego State games given how low scoring they tend to be. The Aztecs have only cashed one 'over' ticket in eight tries this year, and that game finished with just 48 total points. Yet, given the Fresno State love, this total going low isn't exactly correlated with that side, as Fresno's 7-2 O/U on the season and has only had one total close lower then 50 on the year. With all the Fresno State love that's already come in, you'd expect to see more support for the 'over', and that's just not the case. Therefore, from a side perspective, can San Diego be trusted to get the job done given that oddsmakers do expect their style of play to be the main form of action given the lower total?

If you are going to do one thing in college football, you'd better be able to do it good, and San Diego State's defense is THAT good. Yes, the results have looked rather ugly the past two weeks, but it's three straight weeks of holding foes to just 17 points, and they've held opponents at/below that threshold in seven of their nine games this year. The Aztecs are 6-1 SU in those seven games, so clearly they are doing something right, even with an offensive unit that's hard to watch at times. 20 points per game on offense has been good enough to go 7-2 SU overall so far, and with where the line is now, you've just got to worry about picking the winner.

One of the toughest situations for young programs like Fresno is always going up against a stout defense. The college game is built on higher scoring, back-and-forth type play because of talent mismatches, coaching mismatches, and/or more schematic breakdowns by younger guys still learning the game. San Diego State's defense just doesn't have those schematic breakdowns that opponents can count on to put up points and keep themselves in the game. That puts Aztecs opponents in a tough spot if San Diego isn't mistake prone themselves on offense, and I'm not sure this 2019 Fresno State team will be able to take advantage of that scenario.

Sure, San Diego State could look awful on offense at times, but if this game does turn out to be a 20-17 or 23-20 type game, who would you rather trust in that situation: Fresno State or San Diego State?

I believe you've got to back the Aztecs defense in that scenario every time out, and coming off an embarrassing loss as three-score home favorites, I do like the Aztecs chances to bounce back offensively as well. This Fresno State team is used to playing games where the first to 35 points win, and that's quite far from the realm of how this game plays out that the lack of comfort Fresno State will have because of it will start to show up early on.

San Diego State is already 1-0 SU and ATS after their other outright loss this year, and that 24-10 win over Colorado State was arguably their most complete win of the season. The Aztecs scored points in every quarter that day, and let the defense do what they do in quarters 2, 3, and 4 while San Diego State's offense put up majors in each frame to build a 24-3 lead. A garbage time score was conceded after that, and this week's home game vs Fresno should have a very similar script when it's all said and done.

**Udog** · 11-15-2019, 02:26 PM

by: Monty Andrews

TECH-NICAL DIFFICULTIES

Louisiana Tech is enjoying a sensational season – but a big test became massive as the Bulldogs visit the Marshall Thundering Herd in a battle of Conference USA elite on Friday night.

Senior starting quarterback J'Mar Smith, junior wide receiver Adrian Hardy and senior outside linebacker James Jackson have been suspended due to an athletic department policy violation, according to a statement the school released Thursday night and will miss the game against Marshall.

Redshirt freshman Aaron Allen will get the start at quarterback for Louisiana Tech. Allen has thrown just nine passes this season, but has completed eight of them for 114 yards with a touchdown and a pick.

TRAMPLED BY THE HERD?

Marshall boasts one of the most imposing defensive units in the country, coming into Week 12 ranked sixth in the nation in sacks per game (3.56). But while the Bulldogs have faced lesser opposition en route to an 8-1 SU mark, their offensive line has fared well, allowing just 18 sacks through their first nine games while limiting opponents to just 4.56 tackles for loss per game – the 18th-best rate in the country.

That unit will have to be at the top of their game if they want to make life easy for their redshirt freshman quarterback in this one.

Louisiana Tech was rolling, having won eight straight games while covering the previous four and averaging better than 38 points per game on the season. But it's hard to see them getting to their team total of 24.5 while missing those key pieces on offense.

TOO LOW?

The total for Friday's Mountain West encounter between Fresno State and host San Diego State looks awfully low – and that might mean profit potential for Over bettors. The Bulldogs head to SDCCU Stadium riding a five-game Over stretch during which they've seen an average of 74.6 points scored, and should make things difficult on an Aztecs defense ranked in the top-10 in total defense (277.2 yards allowed per game), run defense (65.4) and scoring defense (14.4 points per game against). Fresno State has also struggled to get to the quarterback (12 sacks in nine games), which should bolster SDSU's scoring chances.

San Diego State might be one of the top Under options in the country (1-8 O/U), but Fresno State is talented enough on offense and mediocre enough on defense to lead this one past the number.

"WAIT AND SEE" ON WAN'DALE

The Nebraska Cornhuskers might have to go into Saturday's daunting home encounter with Wisconsin without one of their top offensive options. Running back Wan'Dale Robinson suffered an undisclosed injury in the Huskers' Nov. 2 loss to Purdue, and he remains in doubt even with Nebraska coming off a bye week. Huskers offensive coordinator Troy Walters says the team is in "wait and see mode" on Robinson, and the freshman might ultimately be a game-time decision. Robinson ranks third on the team in rushing yards (326) and second in receiving yards (453) while racking up five touchdowns.

Nebraska is already in tough against one of the stoutest defenses in the nation – and with Robinson's status unclear, we're leaning even more heavily toward the Under on the Cornhuskers' team total.

TROJANS ON THE MEND

A pair of USC running backs are nearing a return to action. Both Vavae Malepeai and Stephen Carr returned to practice this week; Malepeai hasn't played since mid-October after undergoing knee surgery, while Carr has missed the previous three games while dealing with a hamstring injury. While their return to practice is a positive step, it's unclear whether either player will be in uniform for the Trojans' Saturday tilt with the host Cal Golden Bears. The Trojans have gone 2-1 SU in their past three games despite the absences of Malepeai and Carr, but are averaging just 3.46 yards per carry in that span.

The return of either Malepeai or Carr (or both) will assuredly bolster USC's sagging run game, which would coincide nicely with the Golden Bears' defense struggling to contain opposing offenses. We favor the Trojans to cover in this one.

**Udog** · 11-16-2019, 11:17 AM

Saturday's Essentials - Week 12
Tony Mejia

Here’s a look at what must be considered before wagering on Saturday's slate in select FBS vs. FBS matchups:

Afternoon Delights

Georgia (-3/42) at Auburn, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS: The Tigers hope Jordan-Hare can help produce victories over the Dawgs and Crimson Tide this month, but need to get more out of freshman Bo Nix, who has had an uneven first season at the controls. If Gus Malzahn’s impressive streak of regular-season wins coming off a bye reaches 12, he’ll need to find a way to solve a Georgia defense that has blanked two of their last three opponents and should be ready for its toughest remaining challenge until a potential SEC Championship matchup with LSU. The week off gave RB JaTarvious “Boobee” Whitlow time to heal up from arthroscopic knee surgery so he’s expected close to 100 percent. DE Marlon Davidson and safety Jeremiah Dinson will also be available, so the Tigers are as healthy as they’ve been all season. Georgia is pretty healthy too, and has kept QB Jake Fromm from being sacked more effectively than any team in the country with the exception of Air Force.

Texas at Iowa State (-7/65), 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS: The Cyclones have lost four games by a combined margin of 11 points and are heavily favored over the Longhorns despite back-to-back losses. This spread is definitely a bit of an eyebrow raiser when you consider the athletes Tom Herman has recruited to Austin and the fact they’re still firmly in the mix for a Big 12 Championship game berth. The Longhorns will have to overcome Jalen Green’s suspension for targeting in the first half and are hoping Chris Brown can return from an arm injury to help offset that absence. Brock Purdy has been terrific after a slow start and has now thrown 20 touchdowns on the season and should eclipse 3,000 yards for the season here. Texas QB Sam Ehlinger helped beat K-State 27-24 with a 13-play game-winning drive last week and should be a handful for a Cyclones defense that just had to deal with Jalen Hurts for four quarters.

Minnesota at Iowa (-3/44.5), 4 p.m. ET, ABC: The Hawkeyes have come up 0-for-3 against ranked opponents but have mate late pushes in games against Michigan, Penn State and Wisconsin, so they haven’t worn down physically. They’re favored over the Gophers despite losing 51-14 in Minneapolis last season. The Gophers are looking to avoid a fifth straight loss in the series and haven’t won since in Iowa City since 1999, dropping eight consecutive matchups there. Coming off an upset of Penn State in which QB Tanner Morgan completed 90 percent of his passes in a national coming out party, Minnesota will need to run the football effectively against Iowa to win back the Floyd of Rosedale in one of the day’s biggest games.

Primetime Matchups

LSU (-21.5/66) at Ole Miss, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN: The Tigers hit the road again looking to avoid a letdown after last week’s immense conquest of Alabama. The home team has won five of six in the series, but LSU has won the last three matchups by a combined margin of 123-61. Ed Orgeron has dominated against his former employer and has the best offense he’s had by a wide margin with Heisman frontrunner Joe Burrow dominating and separating himself as the nation’s top quarterback after 457 yards and three scores in Tuscaloosa. After being treated like heroes upon their return to Baton Rouge, it will be interesting to see how the Tigers handle a trip to Oxford. Ole Miss snapped a three-game losing streak with a 41-3 rout of New Mexico State and will be playing their final home game of the season. In order to reach a bowl, the Rebs have to pull off this upset and win the Egg Bowl in Starkville on Thanksgiving night. Freshman John Rhys Plumlee took most of the snaps at QB last week and appears to have moved far ahead enough of redshirt freshman Matt Corral that most anticipate he’ll wind up transferring..

Oklahoma (-10.5/68) at Baylor, 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC: The Sooners and Bears may meet again in the Big 12 Championship, but it’s Oklahoma that most needs this win. Despite a loss at Kansas State to close out October, Oklahoma remains ahead of unbeaten Baylor in the CFP rankings and will look to get back into the national title race despite their hiccup. Last week’s 42-41 win over Iowa State saw the Sooners outscored 20-0 in the fourth quarter so there is no chance they’ll arrive in Waco overconfident. More offensive line changes are likely to be necessary since tackle Adrian Ealy is uncertain to play. Safety Robert Barnes is questionable and standout tight end Grant Calcaterra remains out. Baylor QB Charlie Brewer is fun to watch and competes hard, so hopefully he’s able to hold up physically through this one. In senior WR Denzel Sims, he’ll have one of the nation’s most dynamic receivers to try and do damage. Oklahoma scored 66 points in last year’s win, doubling up the Bears. Baylor’s last win in the series came in 2014.

UCLA at Utah (-21/52), 8 p.m. ET, FOX: With a visit to Arizona and a home game against Colorado on tap after this one, the Utes look like a good bet to finish as Pac-12 South Division champs if they can get past the Bruins here. That means USC is stuck pulling for its rival since it owns the head-to-head tiebreaker with Utah and would therefore control its own destiny in next week’s matchup. UCLA has won three straight games and can get back to .500 after opening 0-3 and dropping five of their first six. The Bruins are 2-1 against ranked opponents and coming in off a bye week but haven’t beaten a Top-10 team since 2010. Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown multiple touchdown passes in each of his team’s last three wins but will need to make plays with his legs to keep drives alive against the stingy Utes. UCLA WR Kyle Phillips is expected to play but Theo Howard has been lost for the season, so we’ll see if the Bruins have enough depth at the skill positions to flirt with an upset. Bruins RB Joshua Kelley leads the Pac-12 in rushing yards per game (107.6). Utah leads the country in rushing defense (56.0) and has allowed just 12.2 points per contest. Temperatures are supposed to be in the 40s throughout this one.

Late Night Snacks

Arizona at Oregon (-27.5/68), 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN: The Ducks can only take care of the business in front of them and hope it ends up rewarded with a CFP invite since they close against the ‘Cats, Sun Devils and Beavers. They’ll be heavy favorites in all three games and will get either Utah or USC in the Pac-12 Championship, so style points would serve them well. The Wildcats are nearly a four-touchdown underdog despite winning last year’s meeting 44-15 in Tucson. Khalil Tate has only finished one of his last four starts and has thrown eight interceptions, which is one reason Kevin Sumlin has given freshman Grant Gunnell more time. The Ducks are preparing to see both and will have RBs CJ Verdell and Cyrus Habibi-Likio in the lineup behind Justin Herbert. Oregon has averaged over 44 points per game over its last four games. The ‘over’ has connected in their last three contests.

USC (-4.5/47.5) at California, 11 p.m. ET, FS1: The big news here is the Bears getting QB Chase Garbers after being sidelined for the past month-plus due to an upper body injury. Cal’s offense has been difficult to watch without Garbers, who had thrown for nearly 1,000 yards and eight touchdowns prior to being injured against Arizona State. Garbers was at the helm for last season’s 15-14 upset of the Trojans that ended a 14-game losing streak for the Bears in the series. USC won in Berkeley 30-20 in 2017 and will lean on freshman QB Kedon Slovis, who threw for 297 yards and four touchdowns in a quarter against Arizona State last week and has really gotten great chemistry going with his talented receiving corps. Senior Tyler Vaughns is listed as questionable. Cal is playing its final home game of the season. Last year’s team lost their finale at Memorial Stadium to Stanford.

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 12 (Tues., Nov. 12 - Sat., Nov. 16)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 12 (Tues., Nov. 12 - Sat., Nov. 16)

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