Announcement

**Udog** · 10-29-2019, 01:17 PM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 21
David Schwab

Heading into the final round of games in the CFL regular season, Winnipeg was able to close out its 18-game schedule with an impressive 29-28 upset over Calgary last Friday night as a three-point home underdog. The Blue Bombers have a Week 21 bye.

In the first of three Saturday games in Week 20, Hamilton kept rolling along with a 38-26 road victory against Montreal as a 2 ½-point favorite. Toronto hammered Ottawa 39-9 as a six-point favorite at home and Saskatchewan is one step closer to the West Division title with a 27-24 road win against Edmonton to cover as a 2 ½-point favorite.

Friday, Nov. 1

Montreal Alouettes (9-8 SU, 9-8 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (3-14 SU, 5-13 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -9 ½
Total: 51

Game Overview

Montreal is locked into a first-round playoff matchup against Edmonton as a crossover team from the West regardless of this week’s results. The Alouettes split the first two games against Ottawa both straight-up and against the spread with the road team getting the win. The total went OVER in each contest. With Saturday’s loss, they are 2-3 (SU and ATS) over their last five games with the total staying UNDER in three of the five outings. Montreal gave up close to 400 yards passing and four touchdown throws in the loss to Hamilton.

The RedBlacks have been riding out the string for quite some time in the midst of a SU 10-game losing streak. They have also failed to remain competitive in most of those losses with a 2-8 record ATS. Ottawa is 2-6 ATS at home and 5-8 ATS when closing as an underdog. The RedBlacks were held to 261 yards of total offense in Saturday’s loss. Will Arndt got the start at quarterback and he completed 21-of-32 passing attempts for 194 yards and a score.

Betting Trends

-- With the 1-1 split against Montreal in the season series, Ottawa has gone 11-3 SU in the last 14 meetings with a 10-4 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last nine games between the two East Division rivals.

Saturday, Nov. 2

Edmonton Eskimos (8-9 SU, 5-12 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (12-5 SU, 12-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -7 ½
Total: 47 ½

Game Overview

With the loss (SU and ATS) in the frontend of this home-and-home series, Edmonton is 2-6 SU over its last eight outings with a costly 1-7 record ATS. The total went OVER 47 points in Saturday’s loss and it has gone OVER in six of the Eskimos’ last nine games. They are 2-6 ATS in eight previous road games this season. Edmonton lost the first game against Saskatchewan on a 43-yard field goal in the closing seconds. Trevor Harris returned to action at quarterback and threw for 321 yards on 27 completions. He tossed one touchdown and two interceptions.

The Roughriders are one win away from clinching the West Division and a first round bye in the playoffs. This was their fifth SU win in their last six games while covering the closing spread in their last five outings. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games. Edmonton had no answer for stopping Cody Fajardo in Saturday’s loss. He completed 25 of his 35 passing attempts for 429 yards and two scores. Saskatchewan added 100 more yards on the ground on 14 rushing attempts.

Betting Trends

-- The Roughriders have won four of their last six games against the Eskimos SU and they have a 6-2 edge ATS in the last eight matchups in this West Division clash. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings.

Toronto Argonauts (4-13 SU, 8-7-2 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (14-3 SU, 12-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -13 ½
Total: 53 ½

Game Overview

Toronto started this season with a 64-14 loss to the Tiger-Cats as a four-point home underdog. It also lost an early September road game against its East Division rivals as an 11-point underdog in a game that ended as a PUSH. The total went OVER in each meeting. The Argonauts have a 3-4-1 record ATS on the road this year. Three different quarterbacks saw action in Saturday’s win. Dakota Prukop got a chance to start the third quarter and he threw a pair of touchdowns to blow the game wide open.

The Tiger-Cats are set as the top seed in the East, so it is hard to say how they will approach this game. They have won nine of their last 10 games SU with a 6-0-1 record ATS over their last seven outings. The total went OVER 52 ½ points in the win against Montreal and it has gone OVER in three of their last five games. Hamilton is 6-1-1 ATS at home and it has a 9-3-1 record ATS when closing as favorites. Dane Evans completed 80.6% of his 36 passing attempts in Saturday’s win for 379 yards and four scores.

Betting Trends

-- Hamilton has won nine of its last 10 home games against Toronto SU with a 6-1-1 record ATS in the last eight meetings at Tim Hortons Field. The total has gone OVER in the last five games between these two East Division rivals.

Calgary Stampeders (11-6 SU, 5-11-1 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (5-12 SU, 7-10 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -6 ½
Total: 46

Game Overview

Calgary did not do itself any favors with Friday’s loss in its quest to repeat as West Division champs. Now, it needs a win this game and get some help to secure the title. The Stampeders have really been tough to bet on lately with a 0-5-1 record ATS over their past six games. The total has gone OVER in their last three outings. They blew a 10-point lead heading into the fourth quarter of last Friday’s game. You cannot blame Bo Levi Mitchell for that setback. He finished the game with 350 passing yards and four touchdown throws.

The Lions come off last week’s bye with a 1-3 record ATS in their last four games while going 2-2 SU. Going back to a loss to Winnipeg on the road in mid-August, the total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last nine games. BC is 3-5 ATS at home this season and the total has stayed UNDER in four of its last five home games. Quarterback Mike Reilly is done for the season due to injury. In his place, Danny O’Brien was under center in the Lions’ 27-19 loss to Saskatchewan on Oct. 18. He threw for 171 yards with one touchdown throw and one interception.

Betting Trends

-- With a win at home earlier in the season, Calgary is 8-1 SU in its last nine games against BC. The Stampeders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games against the Lions and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings overall.

**Udog** · 10-29-2019, 01:17 PM

CFL Week 21 preview, odds, picks & predictions: Stampeders' motivation drives this bet
Rohit Ponnaiya

Bo Levi Mitchell and the Calgary Stampeders are 7-point favorites on the road against the B.C. Lions in Week 21 of the CFL season.

It's the final week of the CFL regular season and with the playoff picture almost completely set, most teams have little to play for. But we're digging deep to break down the odds (provided by 10bet.com) and find betting value for every game on the Week 21 schedule.

Season Betting Trends

Favorites: 58-19 SU, 36-39-2 ATS
Home teams: 48-29 SU, 38-37-2 ATS
Over/Under: 36-40-1

Week 20 Picks: 2-2
Season to date: 36-35-2

MONTREAL ALOUETTES AT OTTAWA REDBLACKS (+9.5, 51)

Montreal wasn't supposed to do much this season but will host a playoff game thanks to quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. who might win the Most Outstanding Player Award.

Montreal was winning against first-place Hamilton last week before coach Khari Jones pulled Adams in the second quarter. After that they collapsed. Adams is the focal point of the Als offense and without him they struggle. If last week is any indication don't expect to see much of Adams on Friday as they continue to rest him for the playoffs.

The Redblacks have the worse offense in the league, producing just 16.5 points per game. That number has dropped to just 11.7 ppg in their last six contests. Expect both teams to have a hard time moving the ball and bet the Under.

PICK: Under 51

EDMONTON ESKIMOS AT SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (-7.5, 47.5)

Edmonton squandered a first-half lead against the Riders last week and lost 27-24. On the flip side they played much better with Trevor Harris back under center. Harris was the league's leading passer before an injury to his throwing arm made him miss Edmonton's last four games.

In terms of yards, the Esks had one of the highest-rated offenses and defenses in the league before the Harris injury. While on the surface this game might not mean much, you can be sure that Edmonton will want to enter the postseason with some momentum after losing six of their last eight games. Back the Eskimos to keep things close and take them and the points.

PICK: Edmonton +7.5

TORONTO ARGONAUTS AT HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (-13, 53.5)

Hamilton is 14-3 and this game means little to them. But frankly, they wrapped up first place in the Eastern Conference, a bye and home-field advantage in the playoffs, weeks ago and have still played hard. Not only do they have the best straight up record in the league, they also have the best record ATS going 12-3-2.

At home the Ti-Cats are 8-0 with an average scoring margin of plus-14.4 ppg. While the Argos are 1-7 on the road with an average scoring margin of minus-15 ppg.

Argos coach Corey Chamblin has said that backup QBs Dakota Prukop and Michael O'Connor will get plenty of snaps in this game. Going up against Hamilton's elite defense which has produced 52 sacks and 22 sacks could spell trouble for the young signal-callers. Take the Ti-Cats to cover.

PICK: Hamilton -13

CALGARY STAMPEDERS AT B.C. LIONS (+7, 46)

The Stamps actually have something to play for in this contest. If they lose they would have to travel to Winnipeg for the West Divison Semifinal but a victory would give them home-field advantage in that matchup with the Blue Bombers. While the Stamps will be motivated to win, they might not necessarily be motivated enough to run up the score against a toothless Lions side that sits at 5-12 and doesn't have star QB Mike Reilly.

Expect Calgary to come out fired up and take an early lead, although they might take the foot off the pedal in the second half and rest some of their starters. Back them on the 1H spread.

PICK: First Half Calgary -4

**Udog** · 10-29-2019, 01:18 PM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 21

Friday, November 1

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MONTREAL (9 - 8) at OTTAWA (3 - 14) - 11/1/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
OTTAWA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, November 2

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EDMONTON (8 - 9) at SASKATCHEWAN (12 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
EDMONTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game this season.
EDMONTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf this season.
EDMONTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (4 - 13) at HAMILTON (14 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996.
HAMILTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games this season.
HAMILTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAMILTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
HAMILTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games this season.
HAMILTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
HAMILTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALGARY (11 - 6) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 12) - 11/2/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 21

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Trend Report
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Friday, November 1

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Montreal is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games on the road
Montreal is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa

Saturday, November 2

Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games at home
Saskatchewan is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Edmonton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Edmonton's last 13 games on the road
Edmonton is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
Edmonton is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Saskatchewan
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Edmonton is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Hamilton is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
Hamilton is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
Toronto is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Toronto is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Toronto is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Toronto is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
British Columbia is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of British Columbia's last 9 games
British Columbia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
British Columbia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games at home
British Columbia is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
British Columbia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Calgary is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games on the road
Calgary is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Calgary is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Calgary is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia

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**Udog** · 10-31-2019, 09:50 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 21

Friday, November 1

Montreal @ Ottawa

Game 811-812
November 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
111.222
Ottawa
93.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 17 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
by 9
51
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(-9); Over

Saturday, November 2

Edmonton @ Saskatchewan

Game 813-814
November 2, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
108.689
Saskatchewan
120.922
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 12
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 9 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-9 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Hamilton

Game 815-816
November 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
105.662
Hamilton
123.074
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 17 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 11 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-11 1/2); Over

Calgary @ BC Lions

Game 817-818
November 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
119.542
BC Lions
110.489
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 9
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 7 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-7 1/2); Over

Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 21 (Fri., Nov. 1 - Sat., Nov. 2)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 21 (Fri., Nov. 1 - Sat., Nov. 2)

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