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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (Thur., Oct. 31 - Sat., Nov. 2)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (Thur., Oct. 31 - Sat., Nov. 2)

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    Week 10


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, October 31 - Saturday, November 2

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Betting Recap - Week 9
    Joe Williams

    College Football Week 9 Results

    WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 41-17
    Against the Spread 31-26-1

    WAGER Home-Away
    Straight Up 36-22
    Against the Spread 36-21-1

    WAGER Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 29-28-1

    YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 452-113
    Against the Spread 287-267-11

    YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
    Straight Up 381-180
    Against the Spread 276-274-11

    YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 268-294-9

    The largest underdogs to win straight up
    Kansas State (+23.5, ML +1100) vs. Oklahoma, 48-41
    Colorado State (+14, ML +450) at Fresno State, 41-31
    Oklahoma State (+11, ML +320) at Iowa State, 34-27
    Illinois (+9.5, ML +280) at Purdue, 24-6
    Kentucky (+9.5, ML +300) vs. Missouri, 29-7
    San Jose State (+9.5, ML +300) at Army, 34-29
    Rutgers (+7.5, ML +260) vs. Liberty, 44-34

    The largest favorites to cover
    Clemson (-35) vs. Boston College, 59-7
    Alabama (-32) vs. Arkansas, 48-7
    Western Michigan (-27) vs. Bowling Green, 49-10
    Northern Illinois (-22) vs. Akron, 49-9
    Utah (-21) vs. California, 35-0

    AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)

    -- SMU stayed unbeaten with a 34-31 victory Thursday night at Houston. The Mustangs entered with a 7-0 record on the 'over', but this game officially pushed at most shops. They're still 8-0 SU, and they will face off against Memphis in a nationally-televised game on ABC at 7:30 p.m. ET. ... The Tigers almost made ABC's decision look like a bad one, as Tulsa had them on the ropes. The Golden Hurricanes were set up for the short, game-winning field goal and the upset as 9.5-point underdogs. However, the kicked shanked it left and disaster was averted for Memphis. Tulsa is 2-6 SU this season, but they've had several near-misses, including their OT loss at SMU after carrying a big lead into the fourth quarter. While they're on a four-game skid, they're 3-1 ATS during the span with the 'over' 3-1. ... South Florida rolled to a 45-20 win at East Carolina, as the Bulls have turned things around after a 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS start. They're 3-1 SU/ATS over the past four, and now just two wins from bowl eligibility. The 'over' is 4-1-1 in the past six for USF, too.

    ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)

    -- North Carolina held off rival Duke, getting an interception at the goal line in the final few seconds at Kenan. Officially the 20-17 decision was a push at most shops (see below). ... Miami-Florida picked up the road win at Pittsburgh by a 16-12, keeping Coastal chaos alive and well. The Hurricanes were without their leading rusher RB Deejay Dallas, and QB N'Kosi Perry wasn't close to 100 percent, but they got the win. Miami is 4-4 SU/ATS and the 'over/under' is 4-4. In other words, they're one of the hardest teams to figure. ... Virginia opened the season with a 4-0 SU/2-1-1 ATS record, but they are just 1-3 SU over their past four and 1-4 ATS across the past five outings. Louisville topped them 28-21, keeping the Cavaliers from attaining bowl eligibilty. The Cardinals are now 5-3 SU/ATS so far. ... Remember when everyone thought Clemson was done, or not one of the best teams in the country? They spanked Boston College by a 59-7 score, covering the largest spread in a BCS game this week, -35. The Tigers hit the 'over' themselves, too. Clemson has covered three in a row, and five of the past six.

    BIG TEN

    -- It was a sloppy day all over in the Big Ten, with torrentials rains in games in Ann Arbor, East Lansing and West Lafayette, among others. You have to love the fall and real football weather. Illinois continues to surprise, winning 24-6 on the road at Purdue, following up their surprising win over Wisconsin last week. The Illini are 4-4 SU, and they have covered three in a row. ... Minnesota posted the impressive 52-10 win over Maryland, improve to 8-0 SU for the first time since 1941. After starting out 0-2-1 ATS, the Golden Gophers have covered their past five in a row. All eyes are on their matchup with Penn State in two weeks. ... Speaking of the Nittany Lions, the battled the rain and slop, turning aside Michigan State by a 28-7 score. Surprisingly, this game nearly hit or at least pushed the total (42), but a scoreless fourth quarter splashed cold water on that, pun totally intended. ... Michigan annihilated rival Notre Dame in a driving rain for a good chunk of Saturday's game, winning 45-14. It is the last scheduled battle between these rivals until 2033. ... Last, but certainly not least, Ohio State steamrolled Wisconsin by a 38-7 count. The Badgers entered the day having yielded just 29 points in the first six games, but now they have allowed 62 total points in the past two weeks, losing consecutive games for the first time since 2016. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes have won eight in a row to start, and they haven't allowed anyone to score more than two times in a single since the opener against FAU of all teams. Ohio State has covered seven in a row since that game against Lane Kiffin's Owls, too.

    BIG 12

    -- The Texas memes and snipes at Tom Herman were spreading like wildfire in the Twitterverse following their 37-27 loss at TCU. The Longhorns barely scraped by last week, and suddenly they're 5-3 SU and just 2-3 ATS over the past five outings. ... Texas Tech went to Kansas and lost in one of the strangest ways possible. In the closing seconds, Kansas lined up for the game-winning field goal. They had it blocked, and the Red Raiders attempted to return it. They subsequently fumbled, Kansas got the ball back with just :01 left on the clock, getting another chance at the field goal. They buried this time, and won 37-34 to move to 3-5 SU. Suddenly it's en vogue to back the Jayhawks, too, as they're a perfect 3-0 ATS over the past three with the 'over' 5-1 in the past six. ... Oklahoma State posted a 34-27 win on the road as 11-point underdogs against Iowa State. The Cowboys slapped the brakes on a two-game skid, and 0-2 ATS run, improving to 5-3 SU/6-2 ATS. ... Of course, the big story of the day was the win by Kansas State over Oklahoma, 48-41. The Wildcats improved to 5-3 SU/ATS, and tossed a monkey wrench into the CFP picture, allowing plenty of teams to shoehorn back into the conversation.

    CONFERENCE USA

    -- Florida Atlantic atoned for a loss last week by going to Old Dominion and throttling the Monarchs, 41-3. The Owls have now posted a 5-3 SU/ATS record, and they haven't failed to cover in back-to-back game this season. The Owls did lose their leading passer, QB Brian Robinson, and leading rusher, RB Malcolm Davidson, so that's something to watch going forward. ... Next up for FAU is a battle with Western Kentucky, a team which fell 26-23 at Marshall. Despite the loss, the Hilltoppers picked up their fifth consecutive cover. ... Middle Tennessee posted a surprising 50-17 victory against Florida International, snapping a three-game winning streak for the Golden Panthers.

    MID-AMERICAN (MAC)

    -- Western Michigan topped Bowling Green by a 49-10 count, easily covering a 27-point number. Under bettors weren't happy with this result, though (see below). ... Kent State fell at home to Miami-Ohio by a 23-16 score, as the Redhawks have won and covered consecutive games this season, and they're also 3-1 SU/ATS across the past four. ... Akron was blasted yet again, falling 49-0 at Northern Illinois. The Zips are now 0-8 SU/ATS on the season, the only team in FBS yet to cover this season. ... Buffalo topped Central Michigan by a 43-20 count as the 'over' connected. The Bulls have covered three in a row, too. ... Eastern Michigan slipped in overtime at Toledo, 37-34. The Eagles are now just 1-4 ATS across the past five outings.

    MOUNTAIN WEST

    -- San Diego State isn't wowing people with big offensive totals, but they keep on winning. They topped UNLV by a 20-17 score, moving to 7-1 SU/5-3 ATS with the 'under' also 7-1. ... San Jose State headed east and won another game on the road. They topped Arkansas earlier this season, and this weekend they stunned Army, 34-29. The Spartans are 4-4 SU this season, and an impressive 4-1-1 ATS over the past six outings. ... Air Force picked up a 31-7 win over Utah State, running the ball down their throats. The Falcons have won and covered a season-high three in a row heading into their non-conference rivalry game with Army next week. ... Hawaii returned to the mainland and oicked up the 45-31 victory in New Mexico. The Warriors improved to 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS. The 'over' has cashed in each of the past three for Hawaii.

    PAC-12

    -- The best game of the day was easily the Washington State-Oregon battle in Eugene. It was a seesaw battle that lasted four hours and some change. Wazzu took a 35-34 lead with exactly one minute remaining, but QB Justin Herbert drove the Ducks down the field for the game-winning field goal as time expired, keeping the playoff hopes alive for the Ducks and the Pac-12. ... USC escaped with a 35-31 win at Colorado. The banged up Trojans earned the four-point win, their first on the road this season. They're also 1-3 ATS away from home. ... UCLA pulled off the 42-32 win over Arizona State, and they technically can still go to the conference title game if they win out. The Bruins have won and covered consecutive games for the first time this season, and the 'over' is 3-0 in the past three outings.

    SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)

    -- LSU held off Auburn by a 23-20 score. The Tigers have a huge battle at Alabama on Nov. 9. ... Speaking of 'Bama, it was no Tua and no problem for the Crimson Tide. They topped lowly Arkansas by a 48-7 score even without star signal caller Tua Tagovailoa (ankle). The Tide are 8-0 SU, but just 4-4 ATS this season and they have yet to cover in consecutive outings. ... Kentucky surprised Missouri in Lexington by a 29-7 count. The Tigers were in first place in the SEC East at one point, but they have dropped two in a row and failed to cover the past three. ... Tennessee topped South Carolina by a 41-21 score, covering for the third consecutive outing. The Vols have had a disastrous season, but they're 3-5 SU and still technically alive for a bowl berth if they can win three of the final four against UAB, Kentucky, Missouri and Vanderbilt.

    SUN BELT

    -- Georgia Southern topped New Mexico State 41-7, as total bettors were feeling some fourth-quarter pain in this one (see below). ... Georgia State managed an impressive 52-33 win over Troy, moving to 6-2 SU and 5-1-2 ATS. The Panthers are now bowl eligible, too. ... Appalachian State earned the 30-3 win at South Alabama, keeping their hopes alive for that New Year's Day bowl game. The 'under' has cashed in three in a row for the Mountaineers, but they're four-game cover streak came to a close, just barely - by a half-point.

    Bad Beats

    -- Duke drove inside the 2-yard line and could have won outright. A trick play inside the 2-yard line in the final seconds was thwarted at the goal line, killing those holding a Blue Devils side ticket and a moneyline ticket.

    -- New Mexico was trailing 45-17 with five minutes to go and a total of 71. They scored two touchdowns without a minute, closing to 45-31 and pushing the total over.

    -- New Mexico State was down 41-7 through three quarters wit ha total of 53.5. That's exactly how the game ended, so if you had an over ticket it's not necessarily a bad beat as it is bad luck, but anyway...this happened twice on the day.

    -- In the MAC, Western Michigan was up 49-10 through three quarters with a total of 65.5 in the game against Bowling Green. After a scoreless fourth quarter, that's how things ended, too. Ugly.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-29-2019, 01:10 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      4th Quarter Covers - Week 9
      Joe Nelson

      Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the ninth big weekend of the college football season to close October.

      Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

      Toledo (-2½) 37, Eastern Michigan 34:
      This MAC contest had major momentum swings going from 10-0 to 10-10 by halftime before Toledo scored three touchdowns in the first six minutes of the third quarter to lead 31-10. Eastern Michigan would take over the game with three consecutive touchdowns, the third of which tied the game with 2:35 to go. Toledo fumbled deep in its own territory on the next possession to seemingly hand the Eagles the game but the Eagles would miss a 33-yard field goal. Going first in overtime Eastern Michigan would settle for another field goal and made it but on a 3rd-and-10 Toledo would find the end zone for the win and narrow cover.

      Southern Miss (-10) 20, Rice 6:
      Rice got on the board with a touchdown with six minutes to go in the third quarter to trail by only seven after missing the PAT. The Owls wound up with only 139 yards in the game but were in position to cover with Southern Miss missing a field goal in the fourth that would have put the Golden Eagles up by 10. Looking to run the clock out Southern Miss converted a 3rd down near midfield and Rice called timeout with 1:24 remaining. The Owls got a stop on 1st down but on 2nd down Kevin Perkins broke through for 38 yards and a touchdown, slipping past the spread with 32 seconds to go.

      Hawai’i (-10) 45, New Mexico 31:
      The outcome in Albuquerque was not in doubt for long with a 35-3 halftime lead for the Warriors. New Mexico broke a 67-yard run in the third quarter to find the end zone but Hawai’i added 10 more points to lead 45-10 with nine minutes remaining. New Mexico would score three consecutive touchdowns to become a late backdoor cover threat and they had the ball back with more than three minutes to go. The offense moved the ball and had a new set of downs at the Hawai’i 28-yard-line with a score looking inevitable, but an interception would save Warriors backers with 2:25 to go.

      Marshall (-3½) 26, Western Kentucky 23:
      The line on this game fell throughout the week but Marshall took command early up 23-7 with a field goal midway through the third quarter. Western Kentucky would score near the end of the third to climb within 10 but missed on the PAT. The Hilltoppers quickly were a threat to score again but settled for a short field goal from 1st-and-goal. Up seven Marshall stalled near midfield and had to punt and Ty Storey led Western Kentucky quickly down the field, tying the game at the 6:19 mark. After an exchange of punts, overtime looked likely as a dormant Marshall offense had just over a minute to work with but the Herd inched their way down the field going 51 yards in 10 plays to have a late shot, with kicker Justin Rohrwasser winning the game after an icing attempt by hitting from 53 yards, though those on the favorite were hoping for overtime.

      Appalachian State (-28) 30, South Alabama 3:
      The Mountaineers couldn’t have been much more in control of this game but through three quarters the lead was just 23-0 on a spread that was as low as -24½ early in the week and climbed to close at -28. With just over five minutes remaining South Alabama would hit a field goal to avoid the shutout and seemingly secure the underdog cover but about a minute later Appalachian State broke a 67-yard touchdown run to get there for early week wagers on the Mountaineers.

      North Carolina (-3) 20, Duke 17:
      North Carolina led 14-3 early in the third quarter after a four-play touchdown drive out of halftime. Duke scored two touchdowns in 20 seconds of game clock in the middle of the third aided by an interception to suddenly take the lead. The eventful third quarter continued with a tying field goal from the Tar Heels before a run of five consecutive punts with only one combined first down. North Carolina would go in front with a 40-yard field goal at the 7:00 minute mark, right even with the closing spread though much of the week UNC was at -3½. Duke couldn’t answer and it appeared the Tar Heels would put the game away after they converted a 4th down in the red zone and had 1st-and-goal. On the next play a fumble was recovered by Duke and Quentin Harris would lead an epic late drive that included two fourth downs. Duke eventually had 1st-and-goal at the 3 in the final minute and inched closer with a pass interference call. The clock wound down to just 18 seconds before an inexplicable trick play went horribly wrong for Duke as after a handoff Deon Jackson leaped into the air and attempted a pass that went right to a pair of Tar Heel defenders, intercepted by former quarterback Chazz Surratt.

      Navy (-5) 41, Tulane 38:
      Navy stormed out to a 24-0 lead and still led 31-14 at halftime. Tulane made some adjustments and benefited from good field position to add two touchdowns in the third quarter to get back in the game, trailing by only three. With 10 minutes to go Tulane tied the game with a field goal with Navy held to nine net yards on its first three second half drives. The Midshipmen made a bold decision to go for it on 4th-and-1 from their own 34 and got it and then converted another 4th-and-1 a few plays later still on their own side of the 50. Two plays later Navy was in the end zone and back up by seven with about five minutes remaining. Tulane converted its own 4th down on a 12-play 77-yard drive to tie the game with about a minute to go. Not known for big plays or quick scores Navy was able to get into field goal range and Bijan Nichols was good from 48 for the win, though Tulane held the underdog cover.

      Miami, FL (+4½) 16, Pittsburgh 12:
      The Panthers had a severe production edge in this game but had three turnovers and settled for three field goals as Miami led 10-9 through three quarters with Miami’s scoring drives coming on 30 and 17 yards respectively. Pittsburgh was in position to take the lead midway through the fourth quarter but back-to-back penalties pushed the Panthers from the 1-yard-line to the 11 and they kicked the field goal to go up by just two. Getting the ball back with fewer than four minutes remaining a Miami offense that had produced 154 net yards in the game didn’t seem like a great threat for a game-winning drive but a 4th down was converted near midfield and Jarren Williams hit K.J. Osborn for a 32-yard touchdown with 58 seconds to go.

      Charlotte (+3½) 39, North Texas 38:
      The Mean Green led by 14 entering the fourth quarter but Charlotte would hit a big play to climb within eight and failed going for two. The 49ers would block a North Texas field goal attempt with just over six minutes to go to stay in the game and they quickly added another touchdown but again were unable to come up with the conversion. On its next drive North Texas kicker Ethan Mooney hit from 51 to push the lead to five with just over a minute remaining, a huge kick for those involved on the spread. It wound up not mattering however as Charlotte’s offense again wouldn’t be stopped, going the distance and finding the end zone with 18 seconds to go for the win.

      LSU (-12½) 23, Auburn 20:
      LSU led just 16-13 through three quarters despite a substantial production edge, missing a few opportunities to get ahead further in the third quarter. An 11-play drive that was completed early in the fourth quarter put LSU up by 10 before six consecutive punts as LSU was unable to pull away. Auburn would add a late touchdown for get within three despite a 508-287 yardage edge for LSU.

      Memphis (-9½) 42, Tulsa 41:
      Memphis led 14-0 quickly in this game and still was ahead 35-24 late in the third quarter. Tulsa would rally however with a touchdown late in the third, a quick Memphis punt, and a 14-play, 85-yard touchdown drive that put the Hurricane in front. Memphis would fumble to hand the ball right back but Tulsa had to settle for a field goal to lead by six. A nice kickoff return put the Tigers in good field position and three plays later Memphis was back in front by one. Tulsa delivered a great final drive but kicker Jacob Rainey missed from only 29 yards as the Tigers escaped to set-up next week’s big AAC West showdown with SMU.

      Kansas (+6½) 37, Texas Tech 34:
      Texas Tech led 27-14 late in the third quarter but Kansas would connect for a 65-yard touchdown, getting within seven after the PAT was blocked. The Jayhawks hit another big play in the fourth quarter with a 70-yard pass play to tie the game. Texas Tech answered just a few plays later with a long strike of its own to go back up by seven, just past the common spread. After a pair of punts Kansas delivered a 10-play touchdown drive to tie the game with about five minutes to go and the Jayhawks would force a quick punt on defense. Carter Stanley led an effective drive that chewed up the remaining time and Kansas lined up for a field goal with 13 seconds to go. The kick was blocked and recovered by Texas Tech but fumbled back to Kansas on an ill-advised lateral attempt. Two seconds remained on the clock and with the change of possession it was first down and Kansas kicked in the game-winner on the retry.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-29-2019, 01:12 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        303GA SOUTHERN -304 APPALACHIAN ST
        APPALACHIAN ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.

        307NAVY -308 CONNECTICUT
        NAVY is 52-24 ATS (25.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse since 1992.

        309NC STATE -310 WAKE FOREST
        WAKE FOREST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games with 2 weeks+ rest since 1992.

        311LIBERTY -312 MASSACHUSETTS
        MASSACHUSETTS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after allowing >=37 pts. in the last 3 seasons.

        313OLD DOMINION -314 FLA INTERNATIONAL
        OLD DOMINION is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after allowing >=37 pts. since 1992.

        315TROY -316 COASTAL CAROLINA
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

        317PITTSBURGH -318 GEORGIA TECH
        GEORGIA TECH is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) off a road upset win since 1992.

        319NEBRASKA -320 PURDUE
        NEBRASKA is 22-8 ATS (13.2 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. since 1992.

        321HOUSTON -322 UCF
        UCF is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=450 yards/game since 1992.

        323MICHIGAN -324 MARYLAND
        MICHIGAN is 10-34 ATS (-27.4 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

        325NORTHWESTERN -326 INDIANA
        INDIANA is 31-16 ATS (13.4 Units) in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

        327AKRON -328 BOWLING GREEN
        AKRON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

        329RUTGERS -330 ILLINOIS
        ILLINOIS are 33-59 ATS (-31.9 Units) in home games after playing their last game on the road since 1992.

        331CINCINNATI -332 E CAROLINA
        E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog of 21.5-31 in the last 3 seasons.

        333BOSTON COLLEGE -334 SYRACUSE
        SYRACUSE is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after 2 consecutive game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.

        335BUFFALO -336 E MICHIGAN
        E MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

        339BYU -340 UTAH ST
        UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

        341VIRGINIA TECH -342 NOTRE DAME
        VIRGINIA TECH is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) off an upset win since 1992.

        343OREGON -344 USC
        OREGON is 101-69 ATS (25.1 Units) after playing a game at home since 1992.

        345COLORADO -346 UCLA
        COLORADO is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

        347KANSAS ST -348 KANSAS
        KANSAS are 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since 1992.

        349TEXAS ST -350 LA LAFAYETTE
        LA LAFAYETTE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games vs. poor teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season since 1992.

        351VANDERBILT -352 S CAROLINA
        S CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

        353N ILLINOIS -354 C MICHIGAN
        N ILLINOIS are 45-26 ATS (16.4 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

        355MARSHALL -356 RICE
        RICE is 72-40 ATS (28 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.

        357UNLV -358 COLORADO ST
        COLORADO ST is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6.25 yards/play since 1992.

        359SMU -360 MEMPHIS
        SMU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 2 conference games in the last 3 seasons.

        361UTSA -362 TEXAS A&M
        UTSA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

        363ARMY -364 AIR FORCE
        ARMY is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games vs good passing QB's (>8 PYA) in the last 3 seasons.

        365OREGON ST -366 ARIZONA
        ARIZONA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

        367UAB -368 TENNESSEE
        TENNESSEE is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games versus excellent defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game since 1992.

        371GEORGIA -372 FLORIDA
        GEORGIA is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

        373TCU -374 OKLAHOMA ST
        OKLAHOMA ST is 23-9 ATS (13.1 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.

        375UTEP -376 NORTH TEXAS
        NORTH TEXAS are 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

        377TULSA -378 TULANE
        TULSA is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in road games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game since 1992.

        379MISSISSIPPI ST -380 ARKANSAS
        ARKANSAS are 21-7 ATS (13.3 Units) off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992.

        381MIDDLE TENN ST -382 CHARLOTTE
        CHARLOTTE is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

        383FLA ATLANTIC -384 W KENTUCKY
        W KENTUCKY is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

        385ARKANSAS ST -386 LA MONROE
        LA MONROE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.

        387MIAMI -388 FLORIDA ST
        FLORIDA ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

        389NEW MEXICO -390 NEVADA
        NEW MEXICO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up losses in the last 3 seasons.

        391UTAH -392 WASHINGTON
        WASHINGTON is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

        393BOISE ST -394 SAN JOSE ST
        BOISE ST is 39-18 ATS (19.2 Units) after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games since 1992.

        395FRESNO ST -396 HAWAII
        FRESNO ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-29-2019, 01:13 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF
          Long Sheet


          Thursday, October 31

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          GA SOUTHERN (4 - 3) at APPALACHIAN ST (7 - 0) - 10/31/2019, 8:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          APPALACHIAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
          APPALACHIAN ST is 1-1 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          W VIRGINIA (3 - 4) at BAYLOR (7 - 0) - 10/31/2019, 8:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
          W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Friday, November 1

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          NAVY (6 - 1) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 6) - 11/1/2019, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CONNECTICUT is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
          CONNECTICUT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
          NAVY is 178-133 ATS (+31.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
          NAVY is 178-133 ATS (+31.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
          NAVY is 84-46 ATS (+33.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
          NAVY is 84-46 ATS (+33.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
          NAVY is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          NAVY is 113-77 ATS (+28.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          NAVY is 75-42 ATS (+28.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
          NAVY is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in November games since 1992.
          NAVY is 40-19 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
          NAVY is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Saturday, November 2

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NC STATE (4 - 3) at WAKE FOREST (6 - 1) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NC STATE is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
          WAKE FOREST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
          WAKE FOREST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after a bye week since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
          WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LIBERTY (5 - 3) at MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 7) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MASSACHUSETTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
          MASSACHUSETTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
          MASSACHUSETTS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          MASSACHUSETTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
          MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OLD DOMINION (1 - 7) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
          FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TROY (3 - 4) at COASTAL CAROLINA (3 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 3:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          TROY is 2-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PITTSBURGH (5 - 3) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
          GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEBRASKA (4 - 4) at PURDUE (2 - 6) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEBRASKA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
          NEBRASKA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
          NEBRASKA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
          PURDUE is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          HOUSTON (3 - 5) at UCF (6 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          HOUSTON is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
          HOUSTON is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
          UCF is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MICHIGAN (6 - 2) at MARYLAND (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
          MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NORTHWESTERN (1 - 6) at INDIANA (6 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NORTHWESTERN is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
          NORTHWESTERN is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
          NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          NORTHWESTERN is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          NORTHWESTERN is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
          NORTHWESTERN is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
          NORTHWESTERN is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          AKRON (0 - 8) at BOWLING GREEN (2 - 6) - 11/2/2019, 2:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games this season.
          AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
          AKRON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
          AKRON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
          AKRON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
          AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
          AKRON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses this season.
          BOWLING GREEN is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
          BOWLING GREEN is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
          BOWLING GREEN is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          BOWLING GREEN is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
          BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          BOWLING GREEN is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          BOWLING GREEN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          BOWLING GREEN is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
          BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          RUTGERS (2 - 6) at ILLINOIS (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ILLINOIS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
          ILLINOIS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
          ILLINOIS is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
          ILLINOIS is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
          ILLINOIS is 93-136 ATS (-56.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
          ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CINCINNATI (6 - 1) at E CAROLINA (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points over the last 3 seasons.
          E CAROLINA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          E CAROLINA is 40-66 ATS (-32.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          E CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
          E CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 4) at SYRACUSE (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BOSTON COLLEGE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
          SYRACUSE is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BUFFALO (4 - 4) at E MICHIGAN (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
          BUFFALO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
          BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          VIRGINIA (5 - 3) at N CAROLINA (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 7:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BYU (3 - 4) at UTAH ST (4 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 10:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UTAH ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
          BYU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
          BYU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          UTAH ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
          UTAH ST is 2-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 2) at NOTRE DAME (5 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 2:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NOTRE DAME is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
          NOTRE DAME is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
          NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OREGON (7 - 1) at USC (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          OREGON is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          COLORADO (3 - 5) at UCLA (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 9:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          COLORADO is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
          UCLA is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          KANSAS ST (5 - 2) at KANSAS (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          KANSAS ST is 129-94 ATS (+25.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          KANSAS ST is 162-123 ATS (+26.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          KANSAS ST is 133-100 ATS (+23.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          KANSAS ST is 127-91 ATS (+26.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
          KANSAS is 87-120 ATS (-45.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
          KANSAS is 126-162 ATS (-52.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          KANSAS is 89-121 ATS (-44.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
          KANSAS is 60-88 ATS (-36.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
          KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TEXAS ST (2 - 5) at LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 5:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA LAFAYETTE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
          LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          VANDERBILT (2 - 5) at S CAROLINA (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 7:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          S CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
          S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          N ILLINOIS (3 - 5) at C MICHIGAN (5 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          N ILLINOIS is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
          N ILLINOIS is 79-49 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
          N ILLINOIS is 79-49 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
          N ILLINOIS is 106-77 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          N ILLINOIS is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
          N ILLINOIS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
          C MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MARSHALL (5 - 3) at RICE (0 - 8) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MARSHALL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          MARSHALL is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
          MARSHALL is 50-73 ATS (-30.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
          MARSHALL is 50-73 ATS (-30.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
          MARSHALL is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
          MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
          MARSHALL is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
          MARSHALL is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
          MARSHALL is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
          RICE is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
          RICE is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
          RICE is 65-35 ATS (+26.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
          RICE is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
          RICE is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
          RICE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
          RICE is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          UNLV (2 - 6) at COLORADO ST (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UNLV is 95-132 ATS (-50.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          UNLV is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
          UNLV is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
          COLORADO ST is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SMU (8 - 0) at MEMPHIS (7 - 1) - 11/2/2019, 7:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SMU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
          MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          UTSA (3 - 4) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TEXAS A&M is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ARMY (3 - 5) at AIR FORCE (6 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
          ARMY is 2-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OREGON ST (3 - 4) at ARIZONA (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 4:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          OREGON ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
          OREGON ST is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 141-179 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 141-179 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 60-94 ATS (-43.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 118-155 ATS (-52.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 90-133 ATS (-56.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
          ARIZONA is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
          ARIZONA is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          UAB (6 - 1) at TENNESSEE (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UAB is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          UAB is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          UAB is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
          UAB is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
          UAB is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
          TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
          TENNESSEE is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OLE MISS (3 - 5) at AUBURN (6 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          AUBURN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
          AUBURN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
          AUBURN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          AUBURN is 1-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
          AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          GEORGIA (6 - 1) vs. FLORIDA (7 - 1) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          FLORIDA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
          FLORIDA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
          FLORIDA is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
          GEORGIA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          GEORGIA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          GEORGIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
          GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TCU (4 - 3) at OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TCU is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
          TCU is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          UTEP (1 - 6) at NORTH TEXAS (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UTEP is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
          UTEP is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
          UTEP is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
          NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          NORTH TEXAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          NORTH TEXAS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
          NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
          NORTH TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TULSA (2 - 6) at TULANE (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TULSA is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
          TULANE is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TULANE is 2-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
          TULANE is 2-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 5) at ARKANSAS (2 - 6) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ARKANSAS is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
          MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 5) at CHARLOTTE (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CHARLOTTE is 2-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
          MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 3) at W KENTUCKY (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
          FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ARKANSAS ST (4 - 4) at LA MONROE (3 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA MONROE is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          LA MONROE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
          LA MONROE is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
          ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MIAMI (4 - 4) at FLORIDA ST (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          FLORIDA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
          MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEW MEXICO (2 - 6) at NEVADA (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 10:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEW MEXICO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          NEW MEXICO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          UTAH (7 - 1) at WASHINGTON (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UTAH is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
          WASHINGTON is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
          WASHINGTON is 3-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BOISE ST (6 - 1) at SAN JOSE ST (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 10:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BOISE ST is 151-109 ATS (+31.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 151-109 ATS (+31.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 72-47 ATS (+20.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 72-47 ATS (+20.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) in November games since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          FRESNO ST (3 - 4) at HAWAII (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 11:59 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          FRESNO ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          FRESNO ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          FRESNO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
          FRESNO ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          FRESNO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          FRESNO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
          HAWAII is 87-117 ATS (-41.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
          FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-29-2019, 01:14 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF

            Week 10


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Thursday, October 31

            West Virginia @ Baylor
            West Virginia
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games
            West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baylor
            Baylor
            Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Baylor is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

            Georgia Southern @ Appalachian State
            Georgia Southern
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games when playing Appalachian State
            Georgia Southern is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
            Appalachian State
            Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


            Friday, November 1

            Navy @ Connecticut
            Navy
            Navy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
            Navy is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
            Connecticut
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 9 games


            Saturday, November 2

            Texas-San Antonio @ Texas A&M
            Texas-San Antonio
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 9 games
            Texas A&M
            Texas A&M is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
            Texas A&M is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games at home

            Boston College @ Syracuse
            Boston College
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing on the road against Syracuse
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Syracuse
            Syracuse
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games when playing Boston College

            North Carolina State @ Wake Forest
            North Carolina State
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 7 games
            North Carolina State is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
            Wake Forest
            Wake Forest is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against North Carolina State
            Wake Forest is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

            Liberty @ Massachusetts
            Liberty
            Liberty is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            Liberty is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            Massachusetts
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Massachusetts's last 10 games at home

            Michigan @ Maryland
            Michigan
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 6 games
            Maryland
            Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games at home

            Nebraska @ Purdue
            Nebraska
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nebraska's last 10 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 6 games
            Purdue
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Purdue's last 9 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing Nebraska

            Old Dominion @ Florida International
            Old Dominion
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games when playing Florida International
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Old Dominion's last 9 games
            Florida International
            Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games when playing Old Dominion

            Houston @ Central Florida
            Houston
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 15 games
            Central Florida
            Central Florida is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home
            Central Florida is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

            Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan
            Buffalo
            Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Eastern Michigan
            Eastern Michigan
            Eastern Michigan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 7 games when playing Buffalo

            Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan
            Northern Illinois
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Illinois's last 9 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 6 games when playing Central Michigan
            Central Michigan
            Central Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
            Central Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois

            Akron @ Bowling Green
            Akron
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Akron's last 7 games when playing Bowling Green
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games on the road
            Bowling Green
            Bowling Green is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Akron
            Bowling Green is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Akron

            Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame
            Virginia Tech
            Virginia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games on the road
            Notre Dame
            Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Notre Dame is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games

            Troy @ Coastal Carolina
            Troy
            Troy is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
            Troy is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
            Coastal Carolina
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Coastal Carolina's last 7 games at home

            Georgia @ Florida
            Georgia
            Georgia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games
            Florida
            Florida is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
            Florida is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

            Miami-FL @ Florida State
            Miami-FL
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami-FL's last 8 games when playing Florida State
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami-FL's last 7 games on the road
            Florida State
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida State's last 8 games when playing Miami-FL

            Army @ Air Force
            Army
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Air Force
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Army's last 5 games on the road
            Air Force
            Air Force is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing Army

            Kansas State @ Kansas
            Kansas State
            Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
            Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas
            Kansas
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas's last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas State

            Texas Christian @ Oklahoma State
            Texas Christian
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 5 games on the road
            Oklahoma State
            Oklahoma State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            Oklahoma State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

            Rutgers @ Illinois
            Rutgers
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rutgers's last 6 games on the road
            Rutgers is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            Illinois
            Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

            Nevada-Las Vegas @ Colorado State
            Nevada-Las Vegas
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Colorado State
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 7 games
            Colorado State
            Colorado State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nevada-Las Vegas
            Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nevada-Las Vegas

            Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte
            Middle Tennessee
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Middle Tennessee's last 8 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Middle Tennessee's last 10 games
            Charlotte
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games

            Marshall @ Rice
            Marshall
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Marshall's last 8 games on the road
            Rice
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games when playing Marshall

            Texas El Paso @ North Texas
            Texas El Paso
            Texas El Paso is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
            Texas El Paso is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
            North Texas
            North Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games at home

            Arkansas State @ Louisiana-Monroe
            Arkansas State
            Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
            Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
            Louisiana-Monroe
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games when playing Arkansas State
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 10 games

            Mississippi State @ Arkansas
            Mississippi State
            Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Mississippi State's last 12 games when playing Arkansas
            Arkansas
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arkansas's last 12 games when playing Mississippi State

            Utah @ Washington
            Utah
            Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
            Washington
            Washington is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games at home
            Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah

            Wofford @ Clemson
            Wofford
            Wofford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
            Wofford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Clemson
            Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

            Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech
            Pittsburgh
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
            Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
            Georgia Tech
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 7 games at home
            Georgia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

            Florida Atlantic @ Western Kentucky
            Florida Atlantic
            Florida Atlantic is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Florida Atlantic is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Western Kentucky
            Western Kentucky
            Western Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
            Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

            Tulsa @ Tulane
            Tulsa
            Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games when playing Tulane
            Tulane
            Tulane is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Tulane is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

            Oregon State @ Arizona
            Oregon State
            Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oregon State's last 12 games on the road
            Arizona
            Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games

            Texas State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
            Texas State
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas State's last 10 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 7 games on the road
            Louisiana-Lafayette
            Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas State
            Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas State

            Mississippi @ Auburn
            Mississippi
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi's last 10 games when playing Auburn
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Mississippi's last 12 games on the road
            Auburn
            Auburn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
            Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

            Alabama-Birmingham @ Tennessee
            Alabama-Birmingham
            Alabama-Birmingham is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
            Alabama-Birmingham is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Tennessee
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home
            Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

            Northwestern @ Indiana
            Northwestern
            Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
            Northwestern is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
            Indiana
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games at home
            Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

            Cincinnati @ East Carolina
            Cincinnati
            Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing East Carolina
            East Carolina
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of East Carolina's last 8 games
            East Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

            Vanderbilt @ South Carolina
            Vanderbilt
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vanderbilt's last 12 games when playing South Carolina
            South Carolina
            South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
            South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt

            Virginia @ North Carolina
            Virginia
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Virginia's last 8 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing North Carolina
            North Carolina
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Carolina's last 8 games when playing at home against Virginia
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Virginia

            Southern Methodist @ Memphis
            Southern Methodist
            Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Southern Methodist's last 8 games
            Memphis
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
            Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

            Oregon @ Southern California
            Oregon
            Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 6 games when playing Southern California
            Southern California
            Southern California is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California's last 6 games when playing Oregon

            Colorado @ California-Los Angeles
            Colorado
            Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing California-Los Angeles
            Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California-Los An
            California-Los Angeles
            California-Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games

            Brigham Young @ Utah State
            Brigham Young
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games when playing Utah State
            Brigham Young is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Utah State
            Utah State
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games
            Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

            Boise State @ San Jose State
            Boise State
            Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
            Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
            San Jose State
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose State's last 10 games

            New Mexico @ Nevada
            New Mexico
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games when playing Nevada
            Nevada
            Nevada is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games when playing New Mexico

            Fresno State @ Hawaii
            Fresno State
            Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hawaii
            Fresno State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Hawaii
            Hawaii
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Hawaii's last 10 games at home
            Hawaii is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

            Kent State @ Toledo
            Kent State
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kent State's last 9 games
            Kent State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toledo
            Toledo
            Toledo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
            Toledo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

            Ball State @ Western Michigan
            Ball State
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games when playing Western Michigan
            Western Michigan
            Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 5 games at home

            Miami-OH @ Ohio
            Miami-OH
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-OH's last 5 games when playing Ohio
            Miami-OH is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
            Ohio
            Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami-OH
            Ohio is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-29-2019, 01:15 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAF
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Week 10


              Thursday’s games
              Appalachian State is 7-0 with a win at North Carolina; they outscored last three opponents 99-17, running ball for 615 yards in last two games. Mountaineers are 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite, 2-1 TY. Georgia Southern won first three Sun Belt games, winning twice by 3 points; Eagles ran ball for 1,020 yards in those three games. Under Lunsford, GSU is 2-1 as a road underdog, 1-1 TY. ASU (-10) got upset 34-14 at Georgia Southern LY, its first loss in last four series games; Eagles lost their last two visits to ASU 27-6/31-13. Favorites covered four of five series games.

              7-0 Baylor has Big X home wins by 2-3 points; they threw ball for 664 yards in last two games. Under Rhule, Bears are 2-6 ATS as a home favorite, 1-1 TY. West Virginia lost its last three games, allowing 132 points while running for only 62.7 yards/game. Mountaineers are 8-10 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog, 0-2 TY; they lost two of three road games, winning 29-24 (-4.5) at Kansas. Four of their last five games went over the total. WVU won last three series games, scoring 96 points in last two meetings; home side won six of seven series games- WVU lost two of three visits to Waco, Underdogs are 4-3 ATS in series games.

              Friday’s game
              Navy won its last four games, scoring 38.8 ppg; they’ve run ball for 402.3 ypg in their last three games. Middies split their two road games, with only loss 35-23 at 7-1 Memphis; Navy gave up 477 TY in LW’s 41-38 win over Tulane, when they survived blowing a 31-14 halftime lead. Navy was 0-3 as a road favorite LY, after being 7-2 from 2015-17. Four of Navy’s last five games went over. UConn got its first I-A win in seven tries when they waxed UMass 56-35 LW; Huskies are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games as a home underdog, 2-1 TY. Navy won last three series games, by 24-10-4 points; teams last met in 2016.

              Saturday’s top 13 games
              NC State is 4-0 at home, 0-3 on road, losing away games by 17-18-21 points; Wolfpack gave up 429 RY in their last game, 45-24 loss at Boston College. State is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog, 0-1 TY- three of their last four games stayed under the total. Wake Forest is 6-1, with four wins by 6 or fewer points; Deacons allowed average of 500.7 yds/game in their last three games. Wake is 5-4 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite. Favorites covered four of last five series games, with Wake winning last two, 27-23/30-24; Wolfpack lost seven of last eight visits to Winston-Salem (1-7 ATS).

              Underdogs covered five of six Nebraska-Purdue games, with Cornhuskers winning four of six meetings, two of three here. Nebraska lost three of last four games overall, giving up 72 points in their last two games; they’re 6-4 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite, 0-2 TY- three of last four games for both teams stayed under the total. Huskers lost two of three road games TY, with only win 42-38 win at Illinois, Purdue lost five of last six games; they scored 40+ points in their two wins (Vandy/Maryland); under Brohm, they’re 4-2 ATS as a home underdog, 1-1 TY.

              Underdogs are 7-2 SU in last nine Boston College-Syracuse games, with Orangemen winning six of the nine games; teams split last four meetings in the Carrier Dome. Road team won last three series games. BC has injury issues at QB; they completed only 12-33 passes last two games, are 12-3-1 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog, 1-1 TY. Eagles lost last game 59-7 at Clemson. Over is 5-2 in BC games this year; last four SU games stayed under. Syracuse lost its last three games, scoring total of only 47 points; under Babers, Syracuse is 4-7 ATS as a home underdog, 0-2 TY.

              Favorites covered seven of last nine Virginia-North Carolina games, with Cavaliers winning last two, 31-21/20-14; UVa lost three of lat four visits to Chapel Hill. Virginia lost three of last four games overall, with all three losses on road; favorites covered all four of their road games TY. Under Mendenhall, Cavaliers are 7-8 ATS as a road underdog, 0-2 TY; they’ve run ball for less than 80 yards in four of last five games. North Carolina is 4-4 with seven of the games decided by 6 or fewer points; Tar Heels’ four losses are by a total of 12 points. UNC is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite, 3-0 this year.

              BYU upset Boise State in its last game, ending a 3-game skid; Cougars are 3-4, with all three wins by three points. Underdogs covered five of their last six games; under Sitake, BYU is 10-2-1 ATS as a road underdog. BYU scored 28+ points in its three wins; they’re 0-4 when scoring less than 28. Three of their last four games went over. Utah State gave up 448 RY in its 31-7 loss at Air Force LW; Aggies won their two I-A home games TY by 10-26 points- their last five games stayed under. Aggies are 11-3-1 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite. Utah State won its last two games with BYU, 45-20/40-24; dogs are 8-3 ATS in last 11 series games.

              Favorites covered four of last five Oregon-USC games; teams split last six meetings played here- this is first series meeting since ’16. Average total in last six series games: 79.8. Oregon won its last seven games after an opening loss to Auburn, winning last two 35-31/37-35; they gave up 406 PY to Wazzu LW. Under Cristobal, Ducks are 4-1 ATS as road favorites. USC has started three QB’s already; #2 QB Slovis, a true frosh is starting now. Trojans scored 41-35 points in winning their last two games; five of their last six games stayed under. Since 2013, USC is 3-0 ATS as a home underdog, 1-0 TY.

              Trap game for 5-2 Kansas State squad coming off upset of Oklahoma LW; Wildcats split pair of road games, despite being outgained by 364 yards; three of their last four games stayed under. Last four years, State is 0-3 ATS as a road favorite. Kansas snapped a 4-game skid with a 37-34 home win over Texas Tech LW; they threw ball for 725 yards in two games since changing OC’s. Jayhawks allowed 200+ RY in each of their last four games; five of their last six games went over. Kansas is 2-1 ATS as a home underdog TY. K-State won last ten series games but Jayhawks covered last three; this is first time since ’10 that this game has a single digit spread.

              SMU is 8-0, scoring 34+ points in every game; two of their three road wins were by 3 points, at TCU/Houston- seven of their eight games went over the total. Mustangs allowed 500+ TY in two of last three games; they’re 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 games as road underdogs, 2-0 TY. Memphis is 7-1; they beat Tulsa 42-41 LW when Tulsa missed a 29-yard FG on last play- Tulsa gained 584 yards. Tigers allowed 256+ RY in three of last five games; they scored 42+ points in six of last seven games- their last five games went over. Memphis won/covered last five series games, with all five wins by 10+ points.

              Favorites won/covered last four Florida-Georgia games, with Dawgs winning last two years, 36-17/42-7; Georgia held Gators to 275 or fewer TY in last three meetings. Georgia struggled to beat Kentucky 21-0 in rain last game after getting upset by South Carolina the week before; under Smart, they’re 18-7 ATS away from Athens, 2-0 TY- four of their last five games stayed under. Florida gave up 435 RY in last two games, winning 38-27 at So Carolina after they lost 42-28 at LSU. Gators are 3-0-1 ATS in last four games as an underdog, 1-0-1 TY. This game is at the neutral Jacksonville site, while the Jaguars play in London.

              Underdogs won last four TCU-Oklahoma State games SU; Horned Frogs won last two meetings 31-24/44-31- they lost three of four visits to Stillwater. TCU beat rival Texas 37-27 LW but lost last two road games, at Iowa St/K-State; over last 11 years, Frogs are 14-5 ATS as road underdogs, 1-0 TY- four of their last five games went over the total. OSU trailed four of its last five games at halftime; they split first four Big X games, winning home games over Kansas (51-14), Texas (37-27). Cowboys are 13-13-1 ATS in last 27 games as a home favorite- four of their last six games stayed under.

              Mississippi State allowed 40.3 ppg in losing its last four games, all by 10+ points; they’re 0-2 on SEC road TY, losing 56-23 at Auburn, 20-10 0t Tennessee. Bulldogs are 4-3-1 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite, 0-1 TY. MSU was -6 in turnovers their last two games. State won four of last five series games; underdogs covered four of last five; Bulldogs won their last three visits here, by 7-1-7 points. Arkansas lost its last five games, losing last two by combined score of 99-17, when they were blanked in first half of both games; under Morris, Hogs are 3-2 ATS as home underdogs, 0-1 TY.

              Underdogs covered three of last four Miami-Florida State games, with Hurricanes winning last two, 28-27/24-20. Miami lost three of last four visits here; dogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight series games played in Tallahassee. Both teams are down this year; Miami is 4-4, will start Williams at QB here after he rallied ‘canes to 16-12 win at Pitt LW. Miami is 17-9 ATS in last 26 games as a road dog, 1-0 TY. Florida State won its last four home games, covering last three; Seminoles are 9-10 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite, 3-2 TY- their last five games stayed under. FSU gained 449-487 TY in last two games; they’re 0-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.

              Utah won its last four games, allowing total of 20 points; Utes are 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite, 2-1 TY- their last six games stayed under the total. Utah allowed total of only 219 TY in last two games; they faced Cal’s #3 QB LW. Only game Utah lost this year was 30-23 at USC, when Trojans threw for 368 yards. Underdogs covered five of last seven Utah-Washington games; Huskies held Utah to total of 10 points in pair of wins LY, beating Utes 10-3 in Pac-12 title game. Washington has only two defensive starters back from LY; they’re 5-3, losing two of last three games- this is first time in four years they’re a home underdog.
              Last edited by Udog; 11-02-2019, 08:59 AM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAF
                Dunkel

                Week 10


                Thursday, October 31

                West Virginia @ Baylor


                Game 305-306
                October 31, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                West Virginia
                88.216
                Baylor
                100.732
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Baylor
                by 12 1/2
                60
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Baylor
                by 18
                55 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                West Virginia
                (+18); Over

                Georgia Southern @ Appalachian St


                Game 303-304
                October 31, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Georgia Southern
                81.357
                Appalachian St
                94.016
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Appalachian St
                by 12 1/2
                49
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Appalachian St
                by 15 1/2
                44 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Georgia Southern
                (+15 1/2); Under


                Friday, November 1

                Navy @ Connecticut


                Game 307-308
                November 1, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Navy
                91.809
                Connecticut
                59.514
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Navy
                by 32 1/2
                52
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Navy
                by 27 1/2
                55
                Dunkel Pick:
                Navy
                (-27 1/2); Under


                Saturday, November 2


                Michigan @ Maryland

                Game 323-324
                November 2, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Michigan
                107.617
                Maryland
                81.768
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Michigan
                by 26
                59
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Michigan
                by 21
                56
                Dunkel Pick:
                Michigan
                (-21); Over

                Nebraska @ Purdue


                Game 319-320
                November 2, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Nebraska
                84.783
                Purdue
                85.478
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Purdue
                by 1
                64
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Nebraska
                by 3
                58
                Dunkel Pick:
                Purdue
                (+3); Over

                Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan


                Game 353-354
                November 2, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Northern Illinois
                77.565
                Central Michigan
                70.951
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Northern Illinois
                by 6 1/2
                59
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Northern Illinois
                by 1
                50 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Northern Illinois
                (-1); Over

                TX-San Antonio @ Texas A&M


                Game 361-362
                November 2, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                TX-San Antonio
                63.461
                Texas A&M
                98.245
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Texas A&M
                by 35
                63
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Texas A&M
                by 39
                53 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                TX-San Antonio
                (+39); Over

                Boston College @ Syracuse


                Game 333-334
                November 2, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Boston College
                81.015
                Syracuse
                86.237
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Syracuse
                by 5
                64
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Syracuse
                by 3
                60
                Dunkel Pick:
                Syracuse
                (-3); Over

                Old Dominion @ FIU


                Game 313-314
                November 2, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Old Dominion
                55.025
                FIU
                74.464
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                FIU
                by 19 1/2
                59
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                FIU
                by 17
                48 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                FIU
                (-17); Over

                Liberty @ Massachusetts


                Game 311-312
                November 2, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Liberty
                70.286
                Massachusetts
                43.870584
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Liberty
                by 26 1/2
                78
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Liberty
                by 23 1/2
                69 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Liberty
                (-23 1/2); Over

                Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan


                Game 335-336
                November 2, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Buffalo
                78.718
                Eastern Michigan
                72.344
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Buffalo
                by 6 1/2
                47
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Buffalo
                by 1
                50
                Dunkel Pick:
                Buffalo
                (-1); Under

                Houston @ Central Florida


                Game 321-322
                November 2, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Houston
                83.661
                Central Florida
                99.567
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Central Florida
                by 16
                74
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Central Florida
                by 22
                71
                Dunkel Pick:
                Houston
                (+22); Over

                Akron @ Bowling Green


                Game 327-328
                November 2, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Akron
                48.148
                Bowling Green
                57.090
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Akron
                by 9
                46
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Bowling Green
                by 5 1/2
                49 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Bowling Green
                (-5 1/2); Under

                Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame


                Game 341-342
                November 2, 2019 @ 2:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Virginia Tech
                84.144
                Notre Dame
                97.940
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Notre Dame
                by 14
                54
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Notre Dame
                by 17 1/2
                57 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Virginia Tech
                (+17 1/2); Under

                Troy @ Coastal Carolina


                Game 315-316
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Troy
                74.860
                Coastal Carolina
                71.518
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Troy
                by 3 1/2
                57
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Troy
                by 1
                61
                Dunkel Pick:
                Troy
                (-1); Under

                Army @ Air Force


                Game 363-364
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Army
                76.248
                Air Force
                88.329
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Air Force
                by 12
                42
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Air Force
                by 15 1/2
                45 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Army
                (+15 1/2); Under

                Marshall @ Rice


                Game 355-356
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Marshall
                76.609
                Rice
                69.468
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Marshall
                by 7
                42
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Marshall
                by 10 1/2
                47
                Dunkel Pick:
                Rice
                (+10 1/2); Under

                Middle Tennessee St @ Charlotte


                Game 381-382
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Middle Tennessee
                79.220
                Charlotte
                69.803
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Middle Tennessee
                by 9 1/2
                61
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Middle Tennessee
                by 3
                65
                Dunkel Pick:
                Middle Tennessee
                (-3); Under

                UTEP @ North Texas


                Game 375-376
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                UTEP
                57.319
                North Texas
                72.894
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                North Texas
                by 15 1/2
                68
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                North Texas
                by 23 1/2
                59 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                UTEP
                (+23 1/2); Over

                TCU @ Oklahoma St.


                Game 373-374
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                TCU
                96.831
                Oklahoma St.
                97.022
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                TCU
                Even
                55
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Oklahoma St.
                by 3
                59
                Dunkel Pick:
                TCU
                (+3); Under

                Georgia @ Florida


                Game 371-372
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Georgia
                106.288
                Florida
                108.342
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Florida
                by 2
                39
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Georgia
                by 6 1/2
                44 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Florida
                (+6 1/2); Under

                Kansas State @ Kansas


                Game 347-348
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Kansas State
                98.743
                Kansas
                88.717
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Kansas State
                by 10
                51
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Kansas State
                by 6
                54 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Kansas State
                (-6); Under

                Miami-FL @ Florida State


                Game 387-388
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Miami-FL
                88.272
                Florida State
                89.911
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Florida State
                by 1 1/2
                51
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Florida State
                by 3 1/2
                46 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Miami-FL
                (+3 1/2); Over

                Arkansas St @ LA-Monroe


                Game 385-386
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Arkansas St
                78.311
                LA-Monroe
                70.368
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Arkansas St
                by 8
                72
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Arkansas St
                by 2
                67 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Arkansas St
                (-2); Over

                UNLV @ Colorado State


                Game 357-358
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                UNLV
                73.667
                Colorado State
                78.570
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Colorado State
                by 5
                61
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Colorado State
                by 8 1/2
                65
                Dunkel Pick:
                UNLV
                (+8 1/2); Under

                Rutgers @ Illinois


                Game 329-330
                November 2, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Rutgers
                67.823
                Illinois
                90.248
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Illinois
                by 24 1/2
                46
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Illinois
                by 20 1/2
                49
                Dunkel Pick:
                Illinois
                (-20 1/2); Under

                Tulsa @ Tulane


                Game 377-378
                November 2, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Tulsa
                81.415
                Tulane
                86.732
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Tulane
                by 5 1/2
                67
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Tulane
                by 10 1/2
                61
                Dunkel Pick:
                Tulsa
                (+10 1/2); Over

                Florida Atlantic @ Western Kentucky


                Game 383-384
                November 2, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Florida Atlantic
                82.309
                Western Kentucky
                78.672
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Florida Atlantic
                by 3 1/2
                55
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Florida Atlantic
                by 1
                50
                Dunkel Pick:
                Florida Atlantic
                (-1); Over

                Mississippi St @ Arkansas


                Game 379=380
                November 2, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Mississippi St
                89.200
                Arkansas
                75.190
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Mississippi St
                by 14
                61
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Mississippi St
                by 7 1/2
                57 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Mississippi St
                (-7 1/2); Over

                Utah @ Washington


                Game 391-392
                November 2, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Utah
                104.909
                Washington
                104.193
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Utah
                by 1
                60
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Utah
                by 3 1/2
                47 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Washington
                (+3 1/2); Over

                Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech


                Game 317-318
                November 2, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Pittsburgh
                89.422
                Georgia Tech
                79.684
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Pittsburgh
                by 10
                40
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Pittsburgh
                by 7
                44
                Dunkel Pick:
                Pittsburgh
                (-7); Under

                Wofford @ Clemson


                Game 397-398
                November 2, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Wofford
                71.968
                Clemson
                113.456
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Clemson
                by 41 1/2
                64
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Clemson
                by 47 1/2
                59 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Wofford
                (+47 1/2); Over

                Oregon State @ Arizona


                Game 365-366
                November 2, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Oregon State
                83.582
                Arizona
                82.674
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Oregon State
                by 1
                66
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Arizona
                by 5 1/2
                70 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Oregon State
                (+5 1/2); Under

                Texas State @ LA-Lafayette


                Game 349-350
                November 2, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Texas State
                64.916
                LA-Lafayette
                90.421
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                LA-Lafayette
                by 25 1/2
                53
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                LA-Lafayette
                by 22
                55 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                LA-Lafayette
                (-22); Under

                Texas State @ LA-Lafayette


                Game 349-350
                November 2, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Texas State
                64.916
                LA-Lafayette
                90.421
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                LA-Lafayette
                by 25 1/2
                53
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                LA-Lafayette
                by 22
                55 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                LA-Lafayette
                (-22); Under

                Mississippi @ Auburn


                Game 369-370
                November 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Mississippi
                87.986
                Auburn
                110.763
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Auburn
                by 23
                48
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Auburn
                by 19 1/2
                52 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Auburn
                (-19 1/2); Under

                Cincinnati @ East Carolina


                Game 331-332
                November 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Cincinnati
                96.707
                East Carolina
                69.448
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Cincinnati
                by 27 1/2
                46
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Cincinnati
                by 23 1/2
                48
                Dunkel Pick:
                Cincinnati
                (-23 1/2); Under

                Northwestern @ Indiana


                Game 325-326
                November 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Northwestern
                79.002
                Indiana
                95.113
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Indiana
                by 16
                59
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Indiana
                by 12
                45 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Indiana
                (-12); Over

                UAB @ Tennessee


                Game 367-368
                November 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                UAB
                77.551
                Tennessee
                92.158
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Tennessee
                by 14 1/2
                44
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Tennessee
                by 11 1/2
                48
                Dunkel Pick:
                Tennessee
                (-11 1/2); Under

                SMU @ Memphis


                Game 359-360
                November 2, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                SMU
                92.735
                Memphis
                91.969
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                SMU
                by 1
                74
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Memphis
                by 6
                70
                Dunkel Pick:
                SMU
                (+6); Over

                Vanderbilt @ South Carolina


                Game 351-352
                November 2, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Vanderbilt
                77.198
                South Carolina
                95.030
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                South Carolina
                by 18
                55
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                South Carolina
                by 15 1/2
                50 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                South Carolina
                (-15 1/2); Over

                Virginia @ North Carolina


                Game 337-338
                November 2, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Virginia
                87.961
                North Carolina
                91.969
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                North Carolina
                by 4
                45
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                North Carolina
                by 2 1/2
                47
                Dunkel Pick:
                North Carolina
                (-2 1/2); Under

                Oregon @ USC


                Game 343-344
                November 2, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Oregon
                104.471
                USC
                97.424
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Oregon
                by 7
                67
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Oregon
                by 4 1/2
                62 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Oregon
                (-4 1/2); Over

                Colorado @ UCLA


                Game 345-346
                November 2, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Colorado
                80.410
                UCLA
                90.345
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                UCLA
                by 10
                67
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                UCLA
                by 6 1/2
                64 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                UCLA
                (-6 1/2); Over

                Brigham Young @ Utah State


                Game 339-340
                November 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Brigham Young
                85.779
                Utah State
                86.947
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Utah State
                by 1
                47
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Utah State
                by 3 1/2
                50
                Dunkel Pick:
                Brigham Young
                (+3 1/2); Under

                New Mexico @ Nevada


                Game 389-390
                November 2, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                New Mexico
                65.031
                Nevada
                65.154
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                New Mexico
                Even
                62
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Nevada
                by 3 1/2
                58 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                New Mexico
                (+3 1/2); Over

                Boise State @ San Jose St


                Game 393-394
                November 2, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Boise State
                87.236
                San Jose St
                72.862
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Boise State
                by 14 1/2
                62
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Boise State
                by 17 1/2
                59 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                San Jose St
                (+17 1/2); Over

                Fresno State @ Hawaii


                Game 395-396
                November 2, 2019 @ 12:00 am

                Dunkel Rating:
                Fresno State
                80.513
                Hawaii
                79.499
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Fresno State
                by 1
                76
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Hawaii
                by 2
                69 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Fresno State
                (+2); Over
                Last edited by Udog; 10-30-2019, 06:10 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  College football Week 10 opening odds and early action: Bettors hit Georgia first vs Florida
                  Patrick Everson

                  Georgia can't afford another loss, and neither can Florida in a Week 10 neutral-site clash at Jacksonville. The Bulldogs opened 3.5-point favorites, then moved to -4 on some early action.

                  Week 10 is the last one to make an impression on the first College Football Playoff rankings of the season. We check in on opening odds and early action for a quartet of key games, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA in New Jersey.

                  No. 7 Georgia Bulldogs vs. No. 6 Florida Gators (+3.5)

                  Georgia put itself in a must-win position for this game by severely stubbing its toe in Week 7, losing outright at South Carolina as 20.5-point chalk. The Bulldogs (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) rebounded by blanking Kentucky 21-0 as 23.5-point Week 8 favorites, then had a bye in Week 9.

                  Florida’s lone loss also came in Week 7, though in much more respectable fashion at Louisiana State, where it stuck around throughout before succumbing late, 42-28. The Gators (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) then did what Georgia couldn’t, winning at South Carolina 38-27 as 3.5-point Week 8 faves. Florida also had a bye in Week 9.

                  Per usual, Jacksonville’s TIAA Bank Field hosts this neutral-site game, long dubbed the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.

                  “This is obviously the biggest game of the week and a de facto play-in for the SEC title game,” Chaprales said, before noting the line uptick to Bulldogs -4. “The first move was toward Georgia, but we’re expecting smart money to take the points with Florida. It should be good two-way action, regardless.”

                  By Monday night, Florida bettors had more points to take, as the line shot to Georgia -6. PointsBet USA's trading team said sharp Bulldogs action and market movement led to the big adjustment.

                  No. 8 Oregon Ducks at Southern California Trojans (+4.5)

                  Oregon is the Pac-12’s best hope for a CFP bid, with its lone loss a quality one in a neutral-site Week 1 setback against Auburn. But the Ducks (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) barely stayed in that playoff conversation in Week 9, needing a final-seconds field goal to beat Washington State 37-35 laying 14 points at home.

                  Likewise, Southern Cal was a double-digit Week 9 favorite and barely got the job done. The Trojans (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) were giving 10.5 points at Colorado on Friday night and trailed much of the game, but nabbed the 35-31 win on a late touchdown.

                  “A potential preview of the Pac-12 championship game, neither of these teams impressed in victory as double-digit chalk this past weekend,” Chaprales said. “That said, we’ve seen more Oregon interest this year, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see this number grow.”

                  No. 14 Southern Methodist Mustangs at No. 23 Memphis Tigers (-3.5)

                  Southern Methodist is in the rare air of perfection, sitting at 8-0 SU and a solid 6-2 ATS through nine weeks. The Mustangs got all they could handle at Houston last Thursday, hanging on for a 34-31 victory as 12-point road favorites.

                  Memphis is also having a solid year in the American Athletic Conference, at 7-1 SU (5-3 ATS). Much like SMU, though, the Tigers got a tough Week 9 road test, scoring a touchdown with 4:26 remaining to snare a 42-41 victory over Tulsa as 10-point faves.

                  “All quiet so far, but given that both teams have overachieved relative to market expectations, and this is a nationally televised prime-time game, it will be interesting to see how the public gets involved,” Chaprales said.

                  By Monday afternoon, someone got involved, as the line jumped to Memphis -4.5, and by Monday night, the Tigers were up to -5.5.

                  No. 10 Utah Utes at Washington Huskies (+2)

                  Utah is a longer shot to make the CFP, but a win this week would certainly help keep it in the conversation. The Utes (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) won and cashed their last four outings, including a 35-0 bashing of California as 21-point home favorites in Week 9.

                  Washington was thought to be a preseason CFP contender, but already has three losses. In Week 8, the Huskies (5-3 SU and ATS) held a 28-14 lead over Oregon early in the third quarter, but gave it back in a 35-31 loss catching 3 points at home. Washington had a bye in Week 9.

                  “We opened Utah -2 and took a few bets at that number, and then a bit more following an initial move to 2.5, pushing it up to 3. That figures to be the resistance point,” Chaprales said.

                  As it turned out, 3 wasn’t quite the resistance point. PointsBet USA moved Utah to -3.5 by Monday afternoon.
                  Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-30-2019, 02:26 AM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Tech Trends - Week 10
                    Bruce Marshall

                    Thursday, Oct. 31

                    Matchup Skinny
                    Edge

                    GEORGIA SOUTHERN at APP STATE...App State 5-2 vs. line TY, now 18-5-1 vs. spread since late 2017. GSU on a bit of an uptick too (4-0-1 vs. line last 5). App has won SU last five meetings, covering four. Mounties 10-1 vs. spread last 11 away form Boone.
                    App State, based on team and series trends.


                    WEST VIRGINIA at BAYLOR...WVU beginning to struggle, no wins or covers last three TY. Bears are 7-0 SU but only 4-3 vs. line, Rhule 1-3 laying DD in 2019. Rhule just 2-7 as Waco chalk since 2017 (1-2 TY).
                    Slight to West Virginia, based on extended trends.



                    Friday, Nov. 1

                    Matchup Skinny
                    Edge

                    NAVY at UCONN...Midshipmen 5-2 vs. line TY, now on 9-1 spread run since late 2018. Huskies a bit better 4-4 vs. line TY but still 6-14 vs. points since LY, 7-17 last 24 vs. spread at Pratt & Whitney.
                    Navy, based on team trends.



                    Saturday, Nov. 2

                    Matchup Skinny
                    Edge

                    NC STATE at WAKE FOREST...Pack struggling, just 1-5 vs. line last six TY. No covers last five away from Raleigh. Home team 10-2 vs. spread last 12 meetings.
                    Wake Forest, based on team and series trends.


                    LIBERTY at UMASS
                    ...Flames have won five of last six SU and have covered 4 of last 6 TY. UMass 1-7 vs. spread in 2019 for Walt Bell.
                    Liberty, based on recent trends.


                    OLD DOMINION at FIU
                    ...Road team is 7-1 vs. line in ODU games TY (Monarchs 3-1 vs. line away). Butch Davis just 2-8 last 10 as home chalk. Road team 2-0-1 vs. spread last three meetings.
                    Slight to Old Dominion, based on team trends.


                    TROY at COASTAL CAROLINA
                    ...Trojans only 2-5 vs. line TY, and have won and covered big last two vs. Coastal. Chants no covers last six at home vs. FBS opposition.
                    Troy, based on team and series trends.


                    PITT at GEORGIA TECH
                    ...Pitt has covered first three on road this season, and Panthers have covered last six as visitor, GT might be rallying with a push and cover last two after 8 straight spread Ls, but still just 2-7 vs. number last 9 at home.
                    Pitt, based on team trends.


                    NEBRASKA at PURDUE
                    ...Huskers struggling, no covers last 5 or 7 of 8 TY. Meanwhile, Brohm has covered three in a row, and Boilermakers have covered 4 of last 5 meetings.
                    Purdue, based on team trends.


                    HOUSTON at UCF
                    ...Knights have cooled a bit with 1-4 spread mark last five after 13-4 spread run prior. UCF still 7-4 vs. spread last 11 at Orlando, however. Cougs just 4-9 vs. line last 13 away from home.
                    Central Florida, based on team trends.


                    MICHIGAN at MARYLAND
                    ...Harbaugh has destroyed Maryland, winning and covering big the last four meetings. But Wolves 1-7 vs. line last 8 laying points away from Ann Arbor. Terps have actually covered 4 of last 5 as host (3-1 TY), but 3-6 as dog since LY (1-1 for Locksley TY) and just 2-4 last 6 vs. line in 2019.
                    Slight to Michigan, based on series trends.


                    NORTHWESTERN at INDIANA
                    ... Pat Fitz dog marks taking a bit of a hit TY, but on road they’ve been better (17-2 last 19 as dog away from Evanston!). Hoosiers however 8-1 as Bloomington chalk since ‘17 for Tom “Mr. Intensity” Allen!
                    Slight to Northwestern, based on team trends.


                    AKRON at BOWLING GREEN
                    ...Zips an imperfect 0-8 vs. line this season, Falcs not much better at 2-6. Road dog however has won and covered last three meetings!
                    Slight to Bowling Green, based on Akron woes.


                    RUTGERS at ILLINOIS
                    ...Gers no wins or covers six of last seven this season, Ash long gone, hard to believe Scarlet Knights had covered six previous games. Road team however has covered last three meetings in series. Lovie not so bad 5-6 as chalk with Illini (1-2 TY) and has covered 4 of 5 vs. line at Champaign-Urbana in 2019.
                    Illinois, based on recent trends.


                    CINCINNATI at EAST CAROLINA
                    ...Fickell 5-2 vs. line TY including 2-0 as road chalk. ECU however has covered three of last four this season as Pirates make some progress (at least before last week) under Mike Houston. Home team has won and covered last three meetings.
                    Slight to Cincy, based on team trends.


                    BOSTON COLLEGE at SYRACUSE
                    ...If BC a dog note 11-3-1 mark last 15 in role for Addazio, and Eagles have covered 4 of last 5 TY. Road tam has covered last three meetings.
                    Boston College, based on recent and series trends.


                    BUFFALO at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Leipold just 1-5 vs. spread last six away form home, but has covered 3 of last 4 TY. EMU no covers first two at home this season and has not been as tough vs. line at home (5-6-1 since 2017 vs. points) as on road past few years.
                    Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.


                    VIRGINIA at NORTH CAROLINA...For all of the Mack hullabaloo at Chapel Hill, Heels just 2-4 SU and 2-3-1 vs. spread last six TY. Cavs have won and covered last two in series, though only 1-5 last six vs. spread TY.
                    Slight to Virginia, based on series trends.


                    BYU at UTAH STATE...Utags have won and covered big in series last two years. Cougs 9-3 however last 12 as dog, 10-2 last 12 as road dog. Utags however 8-1-1 vs. line last 10 at Logan.
                    Slight to Utah State, based on team and recent series trends.


                    VIRGINIA TECH at NOTRE DAME...Dog team has actually covered in last eight VPI games (7-0 TY). Hokies 2-0 as dog this term but only 2-5 vs. spread overall. Irish 4-1 vs. line last five at South Bend.
                    Slight to Notre Dame, based on team trends.


                    OREGON at USC...Trojans 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line at home this season, but Ducks 4-1 as visiting chalk for Cristobal. Helton 2-1 as dog TY after 2-10 mark previous 12 in role.
                    Slight to Oregon, based on team trends.


                    COLORADO at UCLA
                    ...Buffs now 3-9 vs. line last 12 as true visitor. But CU has covered 5 of last 6 vs. Bruins. UCLA no covers 5 of last 7 at home, but have won and covered two in row for first time under Chip.
                    Colorado, based on series trends.


                    KANSAS STATE at KANSAS...Bill Snyder owned this series and won all ten vs. KU after his return in 2009, though note Jayhawk have covered last 3 meetings. Note K-State no covers last ten as Big 12 chalk.
                    Kansas, based on team and recent series trends.
                    .

                    TEXAS STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE...Spavital just one cover in 2019 (1-5-1) for Bobcats, who have lost and failed to cover last six vs. ULL. Ragin’ Cajuns 13-2-2 vs. spread last 17 reg-season games!
                    ULL, based on team and series trends.


                    VANDERBILT at SOUTH CAROLINA...Muschamp has owned Derek Mason, won and covered last three meetings, and SC has won and covered last four vs. Vandy. Gamecocks 10-0 SU last ten in series. Dores broke 7-game spread skid with recent win vs. Mizzou.
                    South Carolina, based on series trends.


                    NORTHERN ILLINOIS at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...McElwain is hot as CMU on 6-1 spread run and 7-2 vs. line TY. Chips have also covered last five in series.
                    Central Michigan, based on recent and series trends.


                    MARSHALL at RICE...Herd 3-7 last ten as road chalk, also just 6-14 last 20 on board.
                    Rice, based on MU negatives.


                    UNLV at COLORADO STATE...Rebs 1-6 vs. line last seven on MW road, no covers last three vs. CSU. Bobo just 2-7 as home chalk in new stadium since 2017, but on current 4-1 spread run.
                    Colorado State, based on team and series trends.


                    SMU at MEMPHIS...Tigers have now covered nine in a row vs. AAC foes at Liberty Bowl! Memphis has also won and covered last five vs. SMU. Ponies however are 6-2 vs. line TY.
                    Memphis, based on team and series trends.


                    UTSA at TEXAS A&M...Jimbo has covered five straight and Ags six straight as non-SEC host. Ags 8-2 as DD chalk since LY (both Ls vs. Arkansas). Roadrunners 3-10 last 13 as DD dog since LY (0-4 TY).
                    Texas A&M, based on team trends.


                    ARMY at AIR FORCE...Army has cooled vs. line, dropping last five and six of eight this season. Falcs have lost last two SU in series but 4–1-1 last six vs. West Point. Force covered last 3 vs. non-MW at home and on current 3-game win and cover streak.
                    Air Force, based on recent trends.


                    OREGON STATE at ARIZONA...Surging Beavs have covered 5 of last 6 TY and have covered all 3 on road. Sumlin 2-6 vs. line TY and no covers last three as chalk.
                    Oregon State, based on recent trends.


                    UAB at TENNESSEE...Vols 0-2 as chalk TY, 2-9 vs. line in role since 2017. Also no covers last 5 and 1-7 last 8 vs. spread against non-SEC FBS foes. UAB covering again (three in a row and 5 of 6) and Bill Clark 13-6 as dog with Blazers.
                    UAB, based on team trends.


                    OLE MISS at AUBURN...Malzahn has covered 8 of last 9 since late 2018. Though Ole Miss has covered 3 of last 4 TY. Road team has covered last five meetings.
                    Slight to Ole Miss, based on series trends.


                    GEORGIA vs. FLORIDA (at Jacksonville)...UGa only 3-5 last 8 vs. line since late LY, though has covered 4 of last 6 away from Athens. Dan Mullen on 7-3 upswing vs. line. Bulldogs have won and covered last two meetings but Gators took preceding three.
                    Slight to Florida, based on team trends.


                    TCU at OKLAHOMA STATE...Frogs 1-5 vs. spread last six as Big 12 visitor. TCU also on 5-11 skid vs. line in reg season play. Patterson 3-3 as dog since LY. Gundy did have six covers in a row until dropping 2 of last 3. Frogs beat OSU last two years but Cowboys 4-3 vs. line last seven in series.
                    Slight to Oklahoma State, based on team trends.


                    UTEP at NORTH TEXAS..How about this...UTEP 5-2 vs. line last 7 away! Miners covered 4 of last 5 in series. UNT on 2-12 spread skid.
                    UTEP, based on team and series trends.


                    TULSA at TULANE
                    ...Road team 7-1 vs. spread in Tulsa games TY. Though Tulane 4-0 vs. line at home TY. Wave has won and covered last two vs. Golden Hurricane.
                    Tulane, based on recent series trends.


                    MISSISSIPPI STATE at ARKANSAS
                    ...Hogs yet to win an SEC game outright for Chad Morris (0-12 SU), though Moorhead no covers last 4 or 5 of last 6 TY, plus MSU 1-8 last 9 vs. line away from Starkville.
                    Slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.


                    MTSU at CHARLOTTE
                    ...49ers have cooled with no covers four of last five TY. Stockstill 4-1 vs. spread last five on C-USA road and has covered 3 of last 4 in series.
                    MTSU, based on team trends.


                    FAU at WESTERN KENTUCKY
                    ...Hilltoppers have covered last 5 and 6 of last 7 this season. Though Kiffin has covered his six on road. Owls 3-0-1 vs. line last 4 in series.
                    Slight to FAU, based on team trends.


                    ARKANSAS STATE at ULM
                    ...Red Wolves just 3-6 last 9 vs. spread. But they have covered 5 of last 7 as visitor. Series has been all Ark State, winning and covering last nine. Matt Viator on 6-15 spread skid since late 2017.
                    Arkansas State, based on series and team trends.


                    MIAMI-FL at FLORIDA STATE
                    ...Road team has covered last five meetings. Taggart 8-12 vs. spread with Noles.
                    Miami, based on series and team trends.


                    NEW MEXICO at NEVADA
                    ...Jay Norvell 8-2 vs. spread last 10 vs. MW foes at Reno. Bob Davie on 10-23 spread skid since late 2016 (though not as bad at 6-7 last 13 as road dog).
                    Nevada, based on team trends.


                    UTAH at WASHINGTON
                    ...Huskies won and covered both LY, though Utes 5-2 vs. spread last 7 as visitor. If Utes a dog note Whittingham 13-6 last 19 in role, Utah 21-9-1 vs. line away since 2014. U-Dub 3-1 as home chalk TY after 1-5 mark in role LY.
                    Utah, especially if dog, based on team trends.


                    BOISE STATE at SAN JOSE STATE
                    ...SJSU 8-3 last 12 as DD dog, though Boise 7-2 vs. spread last nine on MW road. Broncos 37-17 as visiting chalk since 2009.
                    Slight to Boise State, based on team trends.


                    FRESNO STATE at HAWAII
                    ...Tedford only 2-4-1 vs. line TY after 20-6-2 past two seasons. But FSU still 13-4-2 vs. line away since 2017. Bulldogs 3-0-1 vs. line last 4 in series. Hawaii just 2-9-1 vs. spread last 12 as MW host.
                    Fresno State, based on team and series trends.
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-30-2019, 02:27 AM.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      West Virginia at Baylor
                      Joe Nelson

                      Thursday night college football moves to the Big XII this week, a conference that was in the spotlight last week for a few notable upsets.

                      Baylor sits on top of the standings with an undefeated record and this will be the first chance for a national audience to view the Bears as they host West Virginia in prime time Halloween night.

                      West Virginia Mountaineers at Baylor Bears
                      Venue: At McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas
                      Time/TV: Thursday, October 31, 8:00 p.m. ET ESPN
                      Line: Baylor -17½, Over/Under 57
                      Last Meeting: 2018, at West Virginia (-14½) 58, Baylor 14


                      There has been good reason that Baylor hasn’t climbed too high in the national rankings despite a perfect start out of the Big XII, now 7-0 and ranked #12. The Bears played an incredible weak non-conference slate and even struggled in an eight-point win at Rice. Baylor narrowly slipped by Iowa State in the conference opener while also having just a three-point escape hosting Texas Tech but the road wins have been impressive with convincing results at Kansas State and at Oklahoma State. Both of those teams helped Baylor with upsets in the Big XII picture last week as the Bears are all alone on top of the standings.

                      Baylor is a heavy favorite this week but then will face a tough gauntlet in November playing TCU, Oklahoma, and Texas in succession before closing at Kansas. Next week’s game in Fort Worth will be a difficult road game but Oklahoma and Texas are visiting Waco. The Sooners are 4-1 in Big XII play but Baylor is in a great position to finish in the top two in the Big XII for a championship game spot with every other team in the conference with at least two losses and the Bears with wins over two of the remaining four two-loss teams.

                      Charlie Brewer has been a steady quarterback for Baylor with 66 percent completions and 9.5 yards per attempt. He has only three interceptions in nearly 200 attempts. Baylor has posted an average of more than 200 rushing yards per game on 5.4 yards per carry this season for good offensive balance. Baylor is in the third season under Matt Rhule who stepped into a mess in 2017 and went 1-11 before last season’s turnaround to 7-6.

                      The defense will be what separates Baylor in the Big XII should they stay in contention, allowing just 19.1 points per game overall and just 22.5 points per game in conference play in a league not known for quality defense. Baylor is 23rd nationally in yards per play allowed with good numbers against both the run and the pass. The Baylor schedule checks in ranking 73rd nationally by Sagarin compared to the 8th ranked slate for West Virginia as there are concerns about whether the Bears will be able to keep this pace going in November.

                      West Virginia was a serious Big XII and national contender much of last season, reaching 8-1 before losing the final two Big XII games narrowly to miss out on the Big XII Championship game. West Virginia lost to Syracuse in the Camping World Bowl last December with star quarterback Will Grier opting not to play and then head coach Dana Holgorsen surprised many by departing for Houston after eight relatively successful seasons.

                      Neal Brown doesn’t have direct West Virginia ties but he did coach at Texas Tech for three years while also spending two years at Kentucky before becoming a head coach at Troy in 2015. He went 35-16 in four seasons at Troy including two 10-win seasons and an 11-2 2017 season, with three consecutive bowl wins as well. It was clear he was stepping into a bit of a rebuild with heavy personnel losses from last season for West Virginia and at 3-4 overall and 1-3 in the Big XII a winning season will be a surprise through the remaining schedule.

                      West Virginia has been outscored 156-88 in Big XII play with the only win narrowly at Kansas. The Mountaineers did beat NC State in non-conference play and have already played Texas, Iowa State, and Oklahoma, the three teams most considered the top conference contenders ahead of the season.

                      Replacing Will Grier was going to be a challenge and junior quarterback Austin Kendall has adequate numbers for the Mountaineers though with a low 6.4 yards per attempt average and seven interceptions. He played minimally in the Iowa State game but was back for the team’s most recent game, a 52-14 loss at Oklahoma. Running the ball has been a challenge for the offense as Kennedy McKoy leads the team with only 188 rushing yards through seven games with the team averaging fewer than 100 yards per game on 3.1 yards per carry, 118th nationally.

                      Next on the schedule is a home game with Texas Tech for the Mountaineers, arguably the most favorable remaining opportunity on the season with three of the final five on the road. Baylor is at TCU next Saturday as while winning this week may not provide much of a boost in the rankings, the Bears will have an opportunity to get more attention in the coming weeks and potentially keep national playoff sleeper hopes alive. Cool windy conditions are possible for Thursday night which presumably would favor the home favorite’s superior rushing attack.

                      Last season:

                      Off a bye week and a close road loss in Austin Baylor went to Morgantown last October on a Thursday night vs. the #13 Mountaineers and fell behind 41-0 by halftime. The Bears would score twice in the third quarter to save some face but the 58-14 final was a convincing result for a West Virginia squad that entered the game off a bye week and the season’s first loss in the previous game at Iowa State. West Virginia had a 568-287 yardage edge and a 4-0 turnover edge. Quarterback Charlie Brewer had a terrible start and left the game early after just one completion while Will Grier kept his name in the Heisman race with a big game.

                      Series History:

                      West Virginia is 5-2 S/U but 2-5 ATS in this series since joining the Big XII in 2012. Baylor has covered in all three home meetings in the series with two S/U wins though West Virginia has won S/U in the past three meetings in this series including the 2017 meeting in Waco. Eight is the smallest spread in the seven meetings in this series with six spreads of 12 or more over the years with heavy favorite prices in both directions.

                      Historical Trends for Baylor:

                      Baylor is 24-19 as a home favorite since 2011 but the Bears had a huge run in that role from 2011 to 2014 and are only 10-17 ATS since 2015. Since 2011 Baylor is 27-22 as a double-digit favorite but is just 3-13 ATS in the past 16 instances since October 2015. Matt Rhule is a bit of an ATS legend with a 35-16 ATS mark in his four seasons at Temple and he is 16-16 ATS at Baylor since 2017 even with a rough start in a very difficult transition.

                      Historical Trends for West Virginia:

                      Since 1980 West Virginia is 48-38-1 ATS as a road underdog but only 5-9 ATS since 2012, the year the program joined the Big XII. West Virginia has just two outright road underdog wins in conference play since joining the Big XII. West Virginia has gone 3-4 ATS with one S/U upset (at home) as an underdog of 17 or more points since 2012. In four seasons at Troy Neal Brown posted a 27-21-3 ATS record going 9-3-2 ATS as an underdog and 17-6-2 ATS in road games.
                      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-30-2019, 02:29 AM.

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                      • #12
                        Navy at Connecticut
                        Matt Blunt

                        Navy at Connecticut
                        Venue/Location: Renschler Field, Storrs, CT
                        Time/TV: Friday, Nov. 1 (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)
                        Line: Navy -27.5, Total 55


                        Visibility on the national stage is one of the greatest recruitment tools there is for any college football program, and that may be the nicest thing I can say about the excitement level for Friday's showcase game between Navy and Connecticut.

                        The American Conference as a whole would definitely prefer to see two of their other programs take center stage in the stand alone spot on Friday night, but they do get center stage in prime time on Saturday with Memphis hosting SMU on national television. Everyone's got to start somewhere though and for this weekend, we get this Navy/Connecticut game with the Midshipmen as nearly four-TD road favorites.

                        Navy will never turn down a showcase spot, but recruitment isn't a huge issue for them given their uniqueness as a program – on and off the field. At 6-1 SU, this is a great spot for them to showcase their winning ways, but I can't imagine there is too much intrinsic motivation to be at their best in a game they are expected to win big.

                        Conversely, Connecticut football fans probably didn't know that words like “national television”, “stand alone prime time game” and “Friday night lights” would ever be applied to their team. This Huskies team hasn't had a winning season since 2010, and with a 7-29 SU record over the past three years, and coming into this week at 2-6 SU, they've really done little to deserve this showcase spot.

                        Yet here they are, under the lights in a game that's got to intrinsically feel like a Bowl game for them with all the ESPN camera crews around. They'll take whatever time they can get nationally to showcase the university, and hopefully, from their standpoint at least, it isn't a complete and utter embarrassment.

                        So after connecting on the 'over' in the USC/Colorado game last Friday night, can we find a winner in a game like this that really isn't all that intriguing at all?

                        There is no argument that Navy is by far the better football team in this game and in all likelihood should come away with a relatively easy win on the scoreboard. Connecticut gives up 37.8 points per game as it is, and with that essentially being the exact same number Navy's offense has put up per game this season (37.9), Navy should spoil the party early for home fans looking to be witnesses to a shocking upset.

                        However, laying that kind of chalk on the road with a Navy team that's just 1-1 SU and ATS on the road this year is not something I'm interested in even entertaining as a betting option given the circumstances. The Midshipmen have a bye coming up after this game before the finish of their year gets exponentially harder - at Notre Dame, vs SMU, at Houston, and then vs Army – with those first two up on the board being ranked foes currently. Focus levels aren't likely to be 100% for Navy here in a game they know they'll win, and with the style they play that shortens games already, being expected to win by this big of a margin is a tough wager to get behind.

                        We also can't forget about Connecticut likely treating this prime time spot at home as their Bowl game, and coming off a 56-35 win over a much worse Massachusetts team a week ago, it's not like the confidence meter is empty for the Huskies coming into this one. They know they are a bad team overall, but bad teams cover numbers too, and getting this many points at home his highly intriguing on the surface, without the extra situational stuff that is generally positive for Connecticut as well.

                        The Huskies have covered the number two straight weeks, and hung tough at home two weeks ago when Houston was in town and laying a similar number. In fact, Connecticut's worst loss at home this year was by just 26 points (vs USF), with the other two coming by just single digits.

                        Navy is on a 1-5 ATS run on the road against a team with a losing record at home which does suggest there will be some complacency on their side in this game, and barring Connecticut shooting themselves in the foot on numerous drives, if both teams use a heavy dose of the running attack on offense, there might not be enough time or possessions for Navy to stay clear of this number.

                        Service academies aren't ones to generally step out of their comfort zone and try many new things in terms of the passing game, but given who's on tap for Navy down the road, it wouldn't hurt them to try a few more passes here to at least get that stuff on film and force the Notre Dame's and SMU's of the world to be prepared for it.

                        There is no better game to try that stuff then one you are expected to win easily, and if they were to do so here, it could play into the Huskies hands in regards to staying within this number simply because the execution may not be where it should be. Remember, Navy's got two weeks after this game to prepare for the Irish, and what they put on film in the passing game here may look a lot worse then it does down the road.

                        A final score of something like 38-14 in favor of Navy is where this game likely ends up, as the lack of energy from there perspective will show up on defense, compared to Connecticut's desire to not get embarrassed on this type of stage. There aren't many in the market who want to have their money riding with a team as bad as Connecticut is, but in this case it's the only way to go in my opinion.
                        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-01-2019, 02:21 PM.

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                        • #13
                          by: Monty Andrews


                          MONEY MARTINEZ

                          Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez is inching closer to a return. Martinez has missed the Cornhuskers' previous two games with a left knee injury suffered against Northwestern but told reporters Tuesday that he "expects to go" this weekend versus the Purdue Boilermakers.

                          Martinez will be looking to rebound from what has been a rough season, at least through the air. He has completed just 60.6 percent of his passes to date with seven touchdowns and five interceptions but has added 341 yards and three scores on the ground. Nebraska has lost both games in Martinez's absence.

                          The Boilermakers are dealing with major injury absences of their own on offense and, while Martinez is having an uneven season, the offense is averaging 31.8 points with him and 19 points without him. We like visiting Nebraska to cover as 3-point road chalk.


                          WORK FOR WHITLOW?

                          Now that he's shaken off the rust, JaTarvious Whitlow is no doubt ready to carry more of the load for the Auburn Tigers, but it won't happen right away.

                          Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn is suggesting that Whitlow isn't quite at full strength yet, and will likely see limited action against the Ole Miss Rebels this weekend. Whitlow returned from left knee surgery last week and had three carries for eight yards out of the Wildcat in a loss to LSU. Expect to see a few more snaps for Whitlow, who has 553 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on 113 carries for Auburn this season.

                          Even a little more Whitlow is a great thing for an Auburn offense that has scored 20 or fewer points in two of its past three games. With the Tigers’ running game strengthened and Ole Miss terrible versus the pass, we like the Over 37.5 points on Auburn’s team total.


                          JARREN’S JOB

                          The Miami Hurricanes' starting quarterback battle appears to have taken another turn. Jarren Williams took the first-team snaps during Tuesday's practice, suggesting he has the upper hand over N'Kosi Perry in the battle for the starting job against rival Florida State this Saturday.

                          Williams entered last week's game against Pittsburgh after Perry struggled and promptly led the Hurricanes on the game-winning drive. Williams started the first five games of the season before suffering a shoulder injury, resulting in Perry taking over the starting role and performing admirably in Williams' absence.

                          This ACC rivalry has all the makings of a close game. The Hurricanes pulled out a 28-27 win in last year's meeting, and all three of their true road games in 2019 have been decided by four points or fewer. We suggest taking the 1-6 margin of victory on either side, which is priced at Miami +375 and FU +350.


                          PERKINS PROBLEM

                          Virginia quarterback Bryce Perkins is hopeful of a return to action against host North Carolina Saturday. Perkins suffered a knee injury in last week's 28-21 loss to Louisville and was noticeably less than 100 percent by the end of the game.

                          Perkins told reporters his knee is feeling much better and is expecting to take the field this weekend. He struggled against the Cardinals (24 of 41, 233 yards, one TD, one INT) and has thrown just one touchdown pass over his previous three games. The senior signal-caller has added 119 rush attempts for 275 yards and five scores on the ground.

                          We have a hard time believing Perkins will be fully healthy by the weekend, and with North Carolina on quite a roll (3-1 ATS in the past four), the Tar Heels are looking like a strong cover play at -2.5.
                          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-30-2019, 02:15 PM.

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                          • #14
                            by: Monty Andrews


                            NOT A GREAT MATCHUP

                            The West Virginia Mountaineers had an extra week to prepare for this week's encounter with the host Baylor Bears – but not even that might cure what ails them. The Mountaineers enter Thursday's matchup with one of the worst rush attacks in the nation, averaging a paltry 2.9 yards per carry on 213 attempts. And they'll get no relief from a Bears defense that has punished opposing backfields, limiting them to just 3.6 yards per attempt so far this season. West Virginia's pass protection will also face a major test from a Baylor defensive unit that leads the Big 12 in sacks with 25 despite having played just seven games.

                            You could bet on the Mountaineers having figured out its ground game, or you could acknowledge that West Virginia could find itself struggling to score against the Bears in hostile territory. Either way, we like Baylor to cover the spread here.


                            GO LOW, THEN GO LOWER

                            What happens when two run-heavy teams with stout ground defenses face off against one another? We'll find out Thursday night as Georgia Southern brings its sixth-ranked rush attack into Appalachian State for a showdown with the Mountaineers. App State ranks 14th in the country in rushing yards per game, setting the stage for what should be a whole lot of handoffs. But both teams have defended the run well this season, with the visiting Eagles having limited opponents to just 133.0 yards per game (3.46 YPC) and Appalachian State having been just as proficient defensively (118.5 YPG, 3.51 YPC in conference play).

                            Both teams should be able to move the ball, but not nearly as efficiently as they have for the majority of the season. The total for this game is already three points lower than its opener, and that's still not low enough. We favor the under.


                            TAYLOR A GAMETIME DECISION

                            The Memphis Tigers might have another stud running back in the fold for this week's pivotal AAC showdown with visiting SMU. Patrick Taylor Jr. suffered a leg injury in the Tigers' season opener against Ole Miss on Aug. 31 and hasn't played since – but has been practicing in a non-contact jersey this week and is a game-time decision against the Mustangs. His return would give Memphis an incredible 1-2 punch in the backfield; Taylor racked up 128 rushing yards and a score vs. the Rebels, while freshman Kenneth Gainwell has compiled 979 yards and 11 touchdowns in Taylor's absence.

                            Memphis is already looking at a total in the high-30s for this one, but if Taylor returns, we'll feel a whole lot better about taking the Over. Keep an eye on Taylor's status, and act accordingly.


                            HAMMERIN' HANK SET TO RETURN

                            The Boise State Broncos are hoping to have their No. 1 quarterback on the field this weekend against host San Jose State. Hank Bachmeier missed last week's 28-25 loss at BYU – the Broncos' first defeat of the season – with a lower-body injury. But the freshman was seen throwing passes to Boise State receivers in practice earlier this week, though the team hasn't updated his status. Bachmeier has been one of the top first-year quarterbacks in the country so far, throwing for more than 1,500 yards with nine touchdowns, three interceptions and a rushing score.

                            The Broncos' offense looked out-of-sync against the Cougars, especially through the air (185 total yards, 5.8 yards per attempt). Bachmeier's return, coupled with SJSU's dismal run defense, should make Boise State a solid option to go Over its team total.
                            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-31-2019, 02:18 PM.

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                            • #15
                              by: Monty Andrews


                              NO EARLY MERCY

                              The Navy Midshipmen are in great position to continue their lengthy unbeaten run Friday night as they face off against the host UConn Huskies. Navy comes in armed with the No. 1 rushing offense in the nation at more than 350 yards per game, and should feast on a Huskies run defense ranked outside the top 100 this season and coming off a last-place FBS finish a season ago. And Navy hasn't exactly eased into games this season; the Midshipmen own the No. 7 first-half scoring mark in the country against fellow FBS programs, having averaged 23.7 points prior to the break.

                              Navy looks like a New Year's 6 Bowl candidate, while UConn looks like it's already focused on 2020. We like the Midshipmen to put this one away early, making good on the first-half cover.


                              NO ORANGE CRUSH

                              Is this the week the Syracuse Orange's beleaguered offensive line gets some relief? Bettors will be curious to see as the Orange look to shake out of their offensive doldrums Saturday against visiting Boston College. Syracuse comes into this one having allowed an NCAA-high 42 sacks through the first eight games; only eight schools allowed 40+ sacks all of last season. But the Eagles are equally inept when it comes to getting to the quarterback, having compiled just eight sacks through eight games (sixth-fewest in the country). It's a big reason why Boston College allows nearly 300 passing yards per game.

                              With the BC passing game in tatters and Syracuse averaging 37.7 points over its previous three home games, we like the Orange to exert its superiority on offense and convert the cover.


                              THAT LITTLE EXTRA

                              The Illinois Fighting Illini have plenty working in their favor as they bring a two-game winning streak into Saturday's meeting with visiting Rutgers. And while they failed to cover the only other time they were favored by 20+ points since 2016, they should see a few extra possessions this weekend – and that should make the cover easier. Illinois has forced an incredible 19 turnovers on the season, second-most in the country, and its plus-9 turnover margin ranks sixth overall. Rutgers, on the other hand, has turned it over a staggering 15 times in eight games with a minus-9 turnover differential.

                              If those trends continue this weekend, the Illini will find themselves in prime position to put six points on the board via a fumble recovery or interception – so the defensive/special teams TD is worth a look here at +200.


                              TROJANS IN TROUBLE

                              There's another game featuring a potential turnover mismatch, and this one's taking place out West as the USC Trojans host the Oregon Ducks in a pivotal Pac-12 showdown Saturday night. The Ducks have gone without a turnover in five of their previous six games while boasting an impressive +11 turnover differential for the season (tied for third-best in FBS). The Trojans have been better at the turnover game in recent weeks but are still among the worst teams in the country with a minus-6 turnover margin. USC also has just three interceptions, while the Ducks have thrown only one pick all season.

                              The Trojans have been a formidable home opponent this season, but with oddsmakers calling for this game to be a close one, even one extra possession can make a huge difference. We're leaning toward Oregon to cover.
                              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-01-2019, 02:19 PM.

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