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College Football Picks (& Trends) Week 8

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  • College Football Picks (& Trends) Week 8

    Here are the Top-25 and Double-Digit Favorites Trends breakdown of Week 6:

    Top-25 Teams
    Week 6 SU: 12-6
    Running Total SU: 104-28
    Week 6 ATS: 8-10
    Running Total ATS: 65-64-3

    Double-Digit Spreads (FBS vs FBS)
    Week 6 SU: 20-3
    Running Total SU: 139-15
    Week 6 ATS: 14-9
    Running Total ATS: 84-68-2

    Totals in Games with Double-Digit Spreads (FBS vs FBS)
    Week 6: 8 Overs (longest streak: 2 'Over' games) 15 Unders (longest streak: 4 'Under' games) 0 Pushes
    Thru 10/6: 71 Overs (longest streak: 4 games) 80 Unders (longest streak: 8 games) 3 Pushes

    Overview: Well, it finally happened: The totals finally broke in a decided direction last week, much to my dismay. I had the Over in both late games of heavily favored Boise State and heavily favored Washington. I was betting on the trend that we had observed for the first 5 weeks of the season and it was finally bucked. We'll have to see if the Overs can make some noise or if the Unders continue to cash...

    Note: Lines are according to Covers closing lines. Order of games is determined by time of kick-off. If time of kickoff is the same, I sort by Rotation Number... just to clarify...

    I'll be back with a selection for tonight's slate.
    2019 SEASON
    NCAAF
    42-34-1 +4.30 units

    NFL
    11-11 +2.60 units

  • #2
    OK, so apparently if I hit 'Enter', it will post what I was trying to 'Copy' and 'Paste'...

    Here are the Top-25 and Double-Digit Favorites Trends breakdown of Week 7:

    Top-25 Teams
    Week 7 SU: 14-8
    Running Total SU: 118-36
    Week 7 ATS: 10-10-2
    Running Total ATS: 75-74-5

    Double-Digit Spreads (FBS vs FBS)
    Week 7 SU: 20-3
    Running Total SU: 159-18
    Week 7 ATS: 14-8-1
    Running Total ATS: 98-76-3

    Totals in Games with Double-Digit Spreads (FBS vs FBS)
    Week 7: 9 Overs (longest streak: 3 'Over' games) 13 Unders (longest streak: 4 'Under' games) 1 Push
    Thru 10/13: 80 Overs (longest streak: 4 games) 93 Unders (longest streak: 8 games) 4 Pushes

    Overview: For the second straight week, the Unders dominated in double-digit spread games. Over the last two weeks, there have been 17 Overs, 28 Unders and 1 Push. Double-digit favorites also had another winning week. They've covered more games than not in 5 out of 7 weeks so far... And look what happened last night to kick off Week 8: a double-digit favorite covered and the Under came in. In other words, more of the same...
    2019 SEASON
    NCAAF
    42-34-1 +4.30 units

    NFL
    11-11 +2.60 units

    Comment


    • #3
      Managed to eek out a profit last week despite going 2-5. You've got to hit your big plays. They're the cure-all...

      #306 Arkansas State +5 1/2 1 unit

      Might have a play on the late game. Best of Luck!
      2019 SEASON
      NCAAF
      42-34-1 +4.30 units

      NFL
      11-11 +2.60 units

      Comment


      • #4
        Adding

        #328 Indiana/ Maryland u59 3 units
        #414 North Texas -7 3 units
        #390 Oklahoma State -5 3 units

        Hoping the Ducks can survive up in Seattle somehow... Best of Luck!
        2019 SEASON
        NCAAF
        42-34-1 +4.30 units

        NFL
        11-11 +2.60 units

        Comment


        • #5
          Looks like a bad week. I might have an 0-for brewin'. I'll take a few more shots before calling it a week...

          Adding
          #421 Michigan +7 1/2 2 units
          #421 Michigan +265 1 unit
          2019 SEASON
          NCAAF
          42-34-1 +4.30 units

          NFL
          11-11 +2.60 units

          Comment

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