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**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 11:55 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 19
David Schwab

Friday’s betting action in the CFL kicked things off in Week 18 of the regular season with Toronto getting past Ottawa 28-21 to cover as a 2 ½-point home favorite. Later that night, Calgary outlasted Saskatchewan 30-28 but the Stampeders failed to cover as 3 ½-point favorites at home.

In the second half of games on Saturday, Winnipeg upended Montreal 35 to 24 as a four-point home favorite and Edmonton secured the final CFL playoff spot with its 19-6 victory at home against British Columbia closing as a 2 ½-point underdog.

Friday, Oct. 18

Toronto Argonauts (3-12 SU, 6-7-2 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (8-7 SU, 9-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -10 ½
Total: 53

Game Overview

Toronto’s tight victory against Ottawa snapped a straight-up three-game losing streak. The Argonauts are an even 2-2-2 against the spread in their last six games. The total went OVER 48 points in Friday’s win and it has gone OVER in seven of their last nine contests. They are 2-4-1 ATS this season in seven previous road games. McLeod Bethel-Thompson connected with SJ Green 12 times in Friday’s win for 170 yards and he tossed two touchdown throws to Armanti Edwards in the winning effort.

The Alouettes beat Toronto on the road 28-22 in late August, but they could not cover as seven-point favorites. Saturday’s loss to Winnipeg dropped Montreal to 2-3 SU in its last five games but it is 4-1 ATS during that same span. The total has gone OVER in three of the five games. This weekend’s highlights include Mario Alford’s punt return for a touchdown but quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. had one of his errant passes returned for a score. He ended the day with two touchdown throws and four interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- The Alouettes have won five of their last six games against Toronto at home both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in 18 of the last 23 meetings in this East Division rivalry and it has stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 13 meetings in Montreal.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS) at British Columbia (5-11 SU, 7-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -2
Total: 47

Game Overview

Friday’s loss dropped Saskatchewan into a tie for first in the West Division standings. This was just its second SU loss in its last 11 games. The Roughriders have been able to cover in their last three games and the total has gone OVER in three of their last four outings. They have a 5-2 record ATS on the road their season. Cody Fajardo went 20-for-32 with 209 yards passing and one touchdown but he was burned on an interception for a score in Friday’s crucial loss. He also led the team in rushing with 67 yards on 10 carries.

The Lions will be trying to avoid the season sweep after losing a home-and-home series against Saskatchewan both SU and ATS in late July. The total went OVER in each of those games. BC was eliminated from the postseason with Saturday’s lost and adding injury to insult is the loss of quarterback Mike Reilly with an apparent broken wrist. Danny O’Brien took his place and completed just 12 of his 23 passes for 103 yards and an interception. John White rushed for 84 yards on 11 carries in the losing effort.

Betting Trends

-- The Roughriders bring a five-game winning streak over the Lions both SU and ATS into Friday’s matchup. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings at BC Place but overall it has stayed UNDER in 17 of the last 25 matchups.

Saturday, Oct. 19

Ottawa RedBlacks (3-12 SU, 5-10 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (12-3 SU, 10-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -17
Total: 51

Game Overview

The season continues to spiral downward for the RedBlacks in the midst of a SU eight-game losing streak while going 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. The total went OVER 48 points in the loss to Toronto after staying UNDER the closing line in five of Ottawa’s previous seven outings. Will Arndt got the start in Friday’s loss at quarterback and he completed 28 of his 42 passing attempts for 288 yards. He tossed two touchdown throws but he was also picked off three times. The RedBlacks gained just 59 yards running the ball on 12 rushing attempts.

The Tiger-Cats come off a bye week with seven SU wins in their past eight games. They have covered the spread in their last four games as part of a 5-2-1 record ATS in that same span. Hamilton is 7-3-1 closing as a favorite this season and it has a 5-1-1 record ATS in seven previous home games this year. Dane Evans has started 11 games at quarterback and he has 2,923 passing yards while completing 70.5 percent of his 336 passing attempts. He has thrown 16 touchdowns against 11 interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- Hamilton snapped a SU five game losing streak to Ottawa earlier this season but it is 0-5 both SU and ATS in its last five home games against the RedBlacks. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings at Tim Hortons Field.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-6 SU, 10-6 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (10-5 SU, 5-9-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -7
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers are just a half game off the pace in the West with a game in hand after Saturday’s win. This was just their second SU win in the last six games while going an even 3-3 ATS. The total went OVER 46 ½ points against Montreal after staying UNDER in four of their previous five games. Winnipeg got a big effort from Andrew Harris running the ball in that win with 166 yards rushing and one score on 24 carries. Quarterback Chris Streveler added another 64 yards on nine rushing attempts to go with his 174 yards passing.

With five SU victories in their last six games, the Stampeders are closing in on another West Division title. They remain a tough team to bet on with a 2-4-1 record ATS over their last seven games. Calgary is 2-6 ATS at home this season and 1-8-1 ATS closing as a favorite. Bo Levi Mitchell completed 23 of his 29 passes Friday night for 298 yards and two scores. He completed passes to seven different players led by Reginald Begelton with six receptions for 90 yards. Two of Hergy Mayala’s five catches went for scores.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won 19 of the last 23 games against Winnipeg SU, but it lost to the Blue Bombers on the road earlier this season. The Stampeders are 16-2 SU in their last 18 home games against their division rivals. Overall, the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings.

**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 11:57 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 18

Friday, October 18

Toronto @ Montreal

Game 681-682
October 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
103.816
Montreal
111.047
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 7
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
by 10 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+10 1/2); Over

Saskatchewan @ BC Lions

Game 683-684
October 18, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
118.156
BC Lions
114.563
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 7
47
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+7); Over

Saturday, October 19

Ottawa @ Hamilton

Game 685-686
October 19, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
95.880
Hamilton
122.827
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 27
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 17 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-17 1/2); Under

Winnipeg @ Calgary

Game 687-688
October 19, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
112.139
Calgary
121.970
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 10
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 7
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-7); Under

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 18

Friday, October 18

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TORONTO (3 - 12) at MONTREAL (8 - 7) - 10/18/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996.
TORONTO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
MONTREAL is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 5) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 11) - 10/18/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 19

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OTTAWA (3 - 12) at HAMILTON (12 - 3) - 10/19/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
HAMILTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAMILTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
HAMILTON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (10 - 6) at CALGARY (10 - 5) - 10/19/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CALGARY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 19

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 18

Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Montreal is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Montreal is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Montreal's last 23 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Montreal's last 13 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 6-11-2 ATS in its last 19 games
Toronto is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Toronto is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Toronto's last 23 games when playing Montreal
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing on the road against Montreal

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of British Columbia's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games at home
British Columbia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of British Columbia's last 25 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of British Columbia's last 19 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Saskatchewan is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Saskatchewan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saskatchewan's last 25 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Saskatchewan's last 19 games when playing on the road against British Columbia

Saturday, October 19

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Hamilton is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton

Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 13 games
Calgary is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games at home
Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Calgary is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Calgary is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games
Winnipeg is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 6-11-2 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Calgary
Winnipeg is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Winnipeg is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Winnipeg is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 9 games when playing on the road against Calgary

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**Udog** · 10-17-2019, 10:18 PM

CFL Week 19 preview, odds, picks & predictions: Don't count out Winnipeg on the road
Rohit Ponnaiya

Andrew Harris and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers are 7-point underdogs on the road against the Calgary Stampeders on Saturday night.

It's Week 19 in the CFL and there are just three weeks left in the regular season. We break down the odds (provided by 10bet.com) for all the games on this weekend's schedule, highlighted by a Saturday night clash between a pair of 10-win teams in the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Calgary Stampeders.

We've got all the betting notes, analysis and predictions you need before wagering on the CFL.

Season Betting Trends

Favorites: 51-18 SU, 31-36-2 ATS
Home teams: 43-26 SU, 35-32-2 ATS
Over/Under: 32-36-1

Week 18 Picks: 3-1
Season to date: 29-30-2

TORONTO ARGONAUTS AT MONTREAL ALOUETTES (-10.5, 53)

The Alouettes might be headed to the playoffs but they've often had to play catch up in games. We faded them in the first half last week and made some money with Montreal continuing their season-long trend of playing awful in the opening half.

Over their last nine games Montreal is 5-4 SU but has trailed at halftime in eight of those contests. They have a first-half scoring margin of minus-6.2 ppg in that span.

These teams tangled back on August 25 and Toronto had a 16-6 lead going into halftime before Montreal came from behind to win. Take Toronto to keep things relatively close early and back them on the 1H spread.

PICK: First Half Toronto +6.5

SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS AT BC LIONS (+7, 47)

Oof, the BC Lions must know exactly how Charlie Brown felt when Lucy pulled the football away at the last second. Just when it looked like things were finally starting to go the Lions' way, they lose star quarterback Mike Reilly for the rest of the season with a broken wrist. Reilly and WR Bryan Burnham were really the only bright spots for BC and Burnham will be hard-pressed to continue his success with backup Danny O'Brien throwing the ball.

The Riders are 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS over their last 11 games and have held opponents to just 19.9 ppg over that span. Back Saskatchewan to win and cover against a deflated Lions squad.

PICK: Saskatchewan -7

OTTAWA REDBLACKS AT HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (-17.5, 51)

This might be a matchup of the league's best team against the worst, as the 12-3 Ti-Cats face the 3-12 Redblacks. The Redblacks are just 1-12 in their last 13 games and have been getting stomped early. In their last six games they have a first-half scoring margin of minus-11.8 ppg, and have trailed by more than 10 points at halftime in four of them.

Hamilton, on the other hand, has been hammering opponents early. In their last four games the Ti-Cats have a first-half scoring margin of plus-13.5 and those contests were against strong teams like Calgary, Winnipeg and Edmonton. A 17.5-point spread is tough to swallow but taking Hamilton on the first half spread seems like a more reasonable wager.

PICK: First Half Hamilton -10

WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS AT CALGARY STAMPEDERS (-7, 50.5)

Winnipeg snapped a three-game losing streak with a big win against the Als last week. The Blue Bombers are 10-6 but three of those defeats were by two or fewer points. The Stamps are 10-5 but only four of those victories came by more than seven points.

Seven points is quite simply too much to spot a Bombers team that is second-best in the league in both points scored and points allowed. With Calgary just 2-6 ATS at home this season (and both of those ATS wins coming against the Eskimos), back the road 'dogs on the spread.

PICK: Winnipeg +7

Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 19 (Fri., Oct. 18 - Sat., Oct. 19)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 19 (Fri., Oct. 18 - Sat., Oct. 19)

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