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**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 04:58 PM

Betting Recap - Week 6
Joe Williams

College Football Week 6 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 33-15
Against the Spread 24-24

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 26-22
Against the Spread 25-23

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 18-30

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 327-65
Against the Spread 195-190-7

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 272-116
Against the Spread 184-197-7

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 179-209-6

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Virginia Tech (+14, ML +425) at Miami-Florida, 42-35
Stanford (+13, ML +425) vs. Washington, 23-13
Texas Tech (+9.5, ML +310) vs. Oklahoma State, 45-35
Georgia State (+6.5, ML +200) vs. Arkansas State, 52-38

The largest favorites to cover
Wisconsin (-35) vs. Kent State, 48-0
Florida International (-27.5) vs. Massachusetts, 44-0
LSU (-27.5) vs. Utah State, 42-6
Missouri (-25) vs. Troy, 42-10

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)

-- Navy surprised Air Force in Annapolis, 34-25, putting a step forward in their pursuit of the Commander's-In-Chief Trophy. The Midshipmen are now 3-1 SU/ATS while scoring at least 34 points in three of their four outings. ... South Florida finally found someone they could beat. The Bulls went to Connecticut and hammered the Huskies 48-22 for their first win against an FBS opponent this season. USF is now 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS, while hitting the 'over' in three consecutive outings. ... One of the best games of the day was the Tulsa-SMU battle in Dallas, well, at least if you weren't holding an 'under' ticket. See bad beats below. The Golden Hurricane led the ranked Mustangs 30-9 after three quarters, but SMU stormed back and forced OT, 30-30. Tulsa missed three field goals and had an extra point blocked, including a missed FG in OT, losing 43-37 in triple-overtime. The Mustangs are already bowl eligible at 6-0 SU, while the non-cover was their first of the season. The 'over' has also hit in all six of their outings. ... UCF lost at Cincinnati, taking their second loss of the season. There will be no national champion talk this season. After opening 3-0 SU/ATS, the Knights are 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS over the past three outings.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)

-- Virginia Tech was all over Miami-Florida like a bad rash, but the Hurricanes wouldn't quit. The Hokies were up 28-0 at one point, but the Hurricanes outscored the Hokies 35-7 to tie the game on a 62-yard touchdown run with 3:16 to go in regulation. Oddly enough, head coach Manny Diaz elected to go for two, down 35-27, making it 35-29 with 4:55 to go. After a touchdown just 1:39 later, all they needed was an extra point to go into the lead and PK Bubba Baxa misfired, keeping the game tied. The Hokies drove down the field in short order for the go-back-ahead TD, and held out at the goalline at the other end for a surprising good game. ... Pittsburgh fired out to a 26-3 lead at Wallace Wade in Durham, but Duke fought all the way back to take a 30-26 lead with 1:29 to go. However, the Panthers answered right back with a 26-yard TD pass to go ahead 33-30 in a great battle. ... North Carolina picked up a 38-22 road victory at Georgia Tech, squaring their record at 3-3 SU, snapping a three-game skid. They're also 4-2 ATS on the season. The Ramblin' Wreck are a great team to fade, as they're 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS.

BIG TEN

-- Michigan held off Iowa 10-3 in a low-scoring battle at the Big House. After opening the season 0-3 ATS, the Wolverines have posted a 2-0 SU/ATS mark while outscoring Rutgers and Iowa 62-3. ... Illinois is on a three-game skid, and they're 1-3 ATS across the past four outings following their 40-17 loss as 14-point underdogs at Minnesota. The Golden Gophers moved to 5-0 SU, and they're 2-0 ATS over the past two after going 0-2-1 ATS in the first three. ... Ohio State continues to thrash all comers. They started off a bit sluggish, but pulled away from Michigan State by a 34-10 score. After failing to cover in their opener against FAU the Buckeyes have covered five straight games. They also allowed 21 points to the Owls in that opener, but just 32 total points over the past five outings since. ... Wisconsin rolled to another shutout win, this time against Kent State. The Badgers are No. 1 in total yards allowed (182.0), passing yards allowed (131.0) and points allowed (5.8), while ranking third in the nation in rushing yards allowed (51.0). More importantly for bettors, they're 4-1 ATS.

BIG 12

-- Oklahoma State was never able to get off on the right foot at Texas Tech. The Cowboys opened the season 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in the first five outings. The 45 points allowed was a season-high, and the 'over' result snapped a 3-0 under run for OSU. ... Head coach Matt Rhule has Baylor off to a 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS start after hammering Kansas State, 31-12. The Bears were one-point favorites, but this result was never in doubt. The 'under' has connected in three in a row for the Bears, too. ... Iowa State rolled up an impressive 49-24 win over TCU, moving to 3-2 SU/ATS. The Cyclones have alternated wins and losses all season, and over and under results. When they win, the game goes over, when they lose, under. If the pattern continues, they'll lose outright and go under at West Virginia next time out.

CONFERENCE USA

-- Old Dominion opened the second quarter with a field goal to take a 3-0 lead against Western Kentucky. After that, the Hilltoppers rattled off the final 20 points for the road win and 'under' result. After a home loss to FCS Central Arkansas, WKU is 3-1 SU/ATS, including 2-0 SU/ATS in two outings on the road. The 'under' is also 2-0 in WKU's two road contests. ... FIU stepped out of conference and routed Massachusetts, 44-0. Apparently the Golden Panthers want to join a conference playing only New England-area teams. They're 2-0 SU against UNH and UMass, and 0-3 SU/ATS against everyone else. ... UAB outlasted Rice 35-20 in a game marred by a lengthy weather delay. The Blazers rebounded from their shocking 20-13 loss at WKU to move to 3-0 SU at home, 2-0 ATS in Birmingham against FBS foes.

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)

-- Toledo held off Western Michigan, 31-24, as the Rockets rolled to 3-0 SU/ATS at home and 1-1 SU/0-2 ATS in two outings on the road. The 'under' is also 3-0 in Toledo's three games at home, and the 'over' is 2-0 in their two road contests. ... Ohio held off Buffalo in overtime, 21-20. While the Bobcats earned the win, Bulls side bettors hung on for the cover. Despite OT, 'under' (51.5) bettors still managed to cash a ticket, too. ... Central Michigan went for a 42-16 win over Eastern Michigan, moving to 3-0 SU/ATS at home, and 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS on the road. The 'over' is also 3-0 in the three home games for the Chips this season.

MOUNTAIN WEST

-- Boise State continues to roll along, staying in the driver's seat in the Group of Five race. They rolled over UNLV by a 38-13 score, barely covering for those who laid as much as 24.5. The good news is that this result was a cover at most shops, although this was a bad beat (see below). The Broncos are 5-0 SU/3-1-1 ATS, with the 'under' cashing in three of the past four. ... San Jose State picked up a 32-21 win over New Mexico, picking up a third win, or halfway to bowl eligibility. More importantly, the Spartans have covered three in a row while the 'under' is 4-1 this season. ... Colorado State fell at home by a 24-10 score to San Diego State, as the Aztecs continue to be road warriors. They're 1-1 SU/0-2 ATS at home, and 3-0 SU/ATS on the road. Total bettors love SDSU, too, as the 'under' is a perfect 5-0 on the season. ...

PAC-12

-- California tumbled in a low-scoring game at Oregon, the conference's only real chance at a playoff team at this point, and even that seems rather remote. The Ducks are 4-0 SU since their lost to Auburn, while the 'under' is 4-1 overall on the season. The Bears opened 4-0 SU, but lost QB Chase Garbers to injury. It's been downhill since, going 0-2 SU. Total bettors love Cal, as the 'under' is 5-1 in their six games overall. ... Oregon State has flown under the radar a bit, but they have a rather powerful offense. They moved to 2-3 SU, but have rattled off four covers in a row, after winning 48-31 at UCLA. The Beavers have scored at least 28 points in all five outings. ... Stanford surprised Washington 23-13, ragging the clock and playing keepaway all evening. The Cardinal have won consecutive games for the first time this season, improving to 3-3 SU, and their cover was the first since a 17-7 win over Northwestern on Aug. 31, a cover that should have never been (remember that bad beat?!?!)

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)

-- Florida might not be getting it done in pretty fashion, but they're getting it done. The struggles of Auburn in the passing offense department finally caught up with them. The Gators won 24-13 in a low-scoring game at The Swamp, as the Gators moved to 6-0 SU/3-3 ATS. They are 0-2 ATS in true road and neutral-site games, but 3-0 SU/ATS in three home games against FBS opponents. The 'under' is 5-1 in six games overall for the Gators. Next up is a trip to LSU, who improved to 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS, including 4-0 ATS in four games against FBS opponents. Their 'under' result on Saturday snapped a 4-0 'over' streak. ... Georgia had a 43-14 win at Tennessee, but it was closer than the score would indicated. It was just 26-14 at halftime, and the Vols were down only 29-14 after three quarters. Then, the fourth quarter happened (see below).

SUN BELT

-- Georgia State won at home as a near-touchdown underdog, topping Arkansas State 52-38. The Panthers are 3-2 SU with one loss in triple-overtime, and they're 2-1-2 ATS overall with four 'over' results. The Panthers are a fun team to bet. ... South Alabama lost 20-17 in overtime against Georgia Southern, covering for the second straight outing. The 'under' has hit in four in a row, and five of the past six for the Jags.

Bad Beats

-- In the UGA-Tennessee game, there were a total of 50 points on the board with less than five minutes to go. The Bulldogs weren't covering a 24.5-point spread until they had a 60-yard fumble return for touchdown with 4:39 to go, making it 43-14. That flipped the total to an 'over' from an 'under', and changed it from a Vols cover to a Dawgs cover. Perhaps it wasn't a textbook bad beat, but one play changed two results late in the game.

-- If you were holding an under ticket, you felt great how the Tulsa-SMU game was going. After three quarters, Tulsa led 30-9. However, SMU tied it up 30-30 to force overtime, and kill under tickets. And, if you were holding a Golden Hurricane moneyline ticket, they missed three field goals, including a chance to win in OT, and they had an extra point blocked in the game, too. Ugly.

-- UNLV scored a touchdown with 1:23 to go, slicing Boise State's lead to 31-13. Just 16 seconds, the Broncos cashed in a six-yard touchdown run to push their lead to 38-13, covering the spread. If you had the Rebels, it was like losing twice.

-- This only involves teasers, but if you had the Air Force-Navy game in a four-teamer, you know. Navy was leading 28-25 with :01 left. A fumble recovery and return for touchdown affected some totals, as Navy won 34-25 for an 'over' on all teasers. Sportsbooks love those.

**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 04:59 PM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 6
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the sixth big weekend of the college football season to open the month of October. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Temple (-12) 27, East Carolina 17: The Owls pulled away in the second half going up 27-10 with a field goal early in the fourth quarter. The defense got a stop after East Carolina moved past midfield but Temple had to punt back to East Carolina shortly after a delay due to the lights going out with just under four minutes remaining. It appeared that the game would effectively end with East Carolina stopped on 4th-and-2 but an offsides call gave the Pirates a new set of downs. A 37-yard gain put East Carolina into scoring range and a defensive holding penalty eventually gave the Pirates 1st-and-goal. With 29 seconds remaining Holton Ahlers hit C.J. Johnson for the spread-spoiling touchdown. Temple failed to recover the onside kick but appeared to score late on defense with time expired to miraculously save those on the favorite and the ‘over’, scooping up a desperate lateral attempt and returning it to the end zone. Officials would eventually controversially rule that the ECU player that made the lateral attempt already had his forward progress stopped as the points were not added.

Louisville (-4) 41, Boston College 39: Louisville was in control most of this game and pushed the lead to nine points early in the fourth quarter. A big run put BC within two early in the fourth however and the Eagles got a big defensive stop to get the ball back midway through the fourth quarter still in range. Boston College spent 13 plays to advance only 52 yards before kicking a go-ahead field goal with just over three minutes to go, leading by one as a slight underdog. Louisville reached a new set of downs from the BC 22-yard-line looking to strike for the win but with just over a minute remaining settled for the go-ahead field goal which was enough to hold the win but kept the Eagles winning against the number.

North Carolina (-9½) 38, Georgia Tech 22: North Carolina led 17-0 at halftime but just 17-7 through three quarters before an explosion of points in the final frame. Georgia Tech trimmed the margin to nine points with a critical two-point conversion success, but the underdog cover disappeared as the Tar Heels scored consecutive touchdowns in the fourth quarter to pull away.

Texas (-10½) 42, West Virginia 31: The Mountaineers led early and trailed by just four through three quarters in this Big XII clash, eventually out-gaining Texas with 463 total yards but also with four turnovers. A pair of interceptions handed Texas a pair of touchdowns on short fields early in the fourth quarter as suddenly the Longhorns were up by 18. West Virginia scored two touchdowns in the final four minutes but Texas also added a third short-field score in the final frame to escape with an 11-point win that was enough for many that supported the road favorite for an undeserved win and cover.

Minnesota (-14) 40, Illinois 17: The Gophers had a 20-point edge but a fumble return touchdown put Illinois back in the game, down just 13 heading into the fourth quarter. Minnesota added an early fourth quarter touchdown to get back past the favorite number, eventually adding a late field goal after getting a pair of defensive stops to avenge an ugly loss vs. the Illini from last season.

Navy (+3) 34, Air Force 25: Navy led 21-9 heading into the fourth quarter for a comfortable edge for the underdog but things went sour in the final frame as Air Force scored 16 consecutive points to lead by four with just over three minutes remaining with a missed field goal and a fumble mixed in for the Midshipmen. Navy regrouped to put together an 11-play touchdown drive to go back in front with just 23 seconds remaining and then with Air Force in desperation mode, the Midshipmen picked up a fumble for a late touchdown as time expired to pad the final scoring margin.

Oklahoma (-32) 45, Kansas 20: Oklahoma allowed 360 yards and didn’t seem likely to cover in this contest with only a 14-point edge at halftime. For just over a minute of game clock the Sooners pushed the margin to 35 points in the fourth quarter but Kansas quickly answered and eventually added a second fourth quarter touchdown to stay within the number.

Memphis (-15) 52, UL-Monroe 33: Memphis pushed the lead to 19 points in the third quarter but UL-Monroe hit a few big plays for back-to-back scores and climbed within six late in the fourth. A 68-yard touchdown run from Memphis ended the upset threat and then an interception return touchdown for the Tigers put Memphis back in front of the road favorite price with about six minutes to go.

Pittsburgh (+3½) 33, Duke 30: In a turnover-filled contest Pittsburgh made the most of its early opportunities taking a 26-3 edge early in the third quarter with several short field scoring drives. On an underdog spread that dipped down to +4 or even +3½, Duke would prove to be a late threat scoring four consecutive touchdowns including a go-ahead score with 1:29 to go. Duke hit one two-point conversion and failed on two others as the lead was exactly four. It wound up not mattering as Kenny Pickett was able to lead a late scoring drive to deliver the win for the Panthers, scoring with 38 seconds remaining.

Liberty (-4) 20, New Mexico State 13: The Aggies managed to tie this game halfway through the fourth quarter but the opportunity for New Mexico State to breakthrough with a win proved short-lived as Liberty answered quickly going 75 yards in only four plays as the Flames escaped Las Cruces with a narrow win and cover.

Georgia (-24) 43, Tennessee 14: Georgia led only 29-14 through three quarters but completed a lengthy scoring drive to go up by 22 and then a few minutes later delivered a 60-yard fumble return for a defensive score to get past the heavy road favorite number. Tennessee looked likely to climb back to cover in the final minute reaching 1st-and-goal but wound up with four consecutive incomplete passes.

Ohio State (-20) 34, Michigan State 10: The Spartans scored 10 points in the final 2:24 of the first half to turn a seven-point edge into a 17-point lead. That margin remained through an empty third quarter that included a missed field goal for the Spartans out of the break. Eventually Michigan State’s underdog cover was erased as Ohio State cashed in with just over 10 minutes remaining in the fourth quarter to lead by 24. Michigan State caught a break with an Ohio State fumble later in the fourth to earn good field position, but Brian Lewerke was intercepted on the very next play.

Boise State (-24) 38, UNLV 13: The Broncos were in control with a 24-0 edge but late in the third quarter UNLV got on the board. Boise State would seal the game with a two-play drive going 70 yards for a touchdown with just over five minutes remaining to lead by exactly 24 where the spread commonly landed. With just over a minute remaining UNLV appeared to spoil that result with a touchdown, though they missed the PAT. The on-side kick attempt went quite wrong as Boise State returned it 39 yards to the six-yard-line and the Broncos went ahead and rushed in for the score with just a minute to go to get in front of the number by a point.

**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 04:59 PM

101APPALACHIAN ST -102 LA LAFAYETTE
APPALACHIAN ST is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better since 1992.

105LA MONROE -106 TEXAS ST
LA MONROE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

107SYRACUSE -108 NC STATE
NC STATE is 34-18 ATS (14.2 Units) after 2 straight unders since 1992.

109VIRGINIA -110 MIAMI
MIAMI is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 or more since 1992.

111COLORADO ST -112 NEW MEXICO
COLORADO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.

113COLORADO -114 OREGON
COLORADO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

115RUTGERS -116 INDIANA
INDIANA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog since 1992.

117TOLEDO -118 BOWLING GREEN
BOWLING GREEN is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games after an ATS loss in the last 3 seasons.

119MICHIGAN -120 ILLINOIS
MICHIGAN is 9-33 ATS (-27.3 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

121LOUISVILLE -122 WAKE FOREST
LOUISVILLE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after going over the total in the last 3 seasons.

123NAVY -124 TULSA
NAVY is 32-10 ATS (21 Units) in road games after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers since 1992.

125OKLAHOMA -126 TEXAS
OKLAHOMA is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

127MEMPHIS -128 TEMPLE
TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.

131GEORGIA TECH -132 DUKE
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a conference game in the last 3 seasons.

133GEORGIA ST -134 COASTAL CAROLINA
GEORGIA ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after 2 conference games in the last 3 seasons.

135MARYLAND -136 PURDUE
MARYLAND is 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

137IOWA ST -138 W VIRGINIA
IOWA ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in October games in the last 3 seasons.

139HAWAII -140 BOISE ST
BOISE ST is 67-32 ATS (31.8 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

141BALL ST -142 E MICHIGAN
BALL ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game in the last 3 seasons.

143OLD DOMINION -144 MARSHALL
MARSHALL is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

145NEW MEXICO ST -146 C MICHIGAN
NEW MEXICO ST is 18-42 ATS (-28.2 Units) off a home loss since 1992.

147WASHINGTON ST -148 ARIZONA ST
ARIZONA ST is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games with 2 weeks+ rest since 1992.

149UTAH -150 OREGON ST
OREGON ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

151WASHINGTON -152 ARIZONA
WASHINGTON is 42-65 ATS (-29.5 Units) in October games since 1992.

153OLE MISS -154 MISSOURI
OLE MISS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a home win in the last 3 seasons.

155S CAROLINA -156 GEORGIA
S CAROLINA is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game since 1992.

157MISSISSIPPI ST -158 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.

159KENT ST -160 AKRON
KENT ST is 7-25 ATS (-20.5 Units) after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game since 1992.

161N ILLINOIS -162 OHIO U
N ILLINOIS are 39-17 ATS (20.3 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992.

163ARKANSAS -164 KENTUCKY
KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after 2 conference games in the last 3 seasons.

167MIAMI OHIO -168 W MICHIGAN
MIAMI OHIO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons.

167MIAMI OHIO -168 W MICHIGAN
MIAMI OHIO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

169BYU -170 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games after 2 conference games since 1992.

171CINCINNATI -172 HOUSTON
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

173CONNECTICUT -174 TULANE
TULANE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

175UNLV -176 VANDERBILT
VANDERBILT is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

177MICHIGAN ST -178 WISCONSIN
MICHIGAN ST is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

179FLORIDA -180 LSU
FLORIDA is 27-13 Under (12.7 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers since 1992.

181SAN JOSE ST -182 NEVADA
SAN JOSE ST is 6-2 Under (3.8 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

181SAN JOSE ST -182 NEVADA
SAN JOSE ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

183ALABAMA -184 TEXAS A&M
ALABAMA is 28-10 ATS (17 Units) in road games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992.

185MIDDLE TENN ST -186 FLA ATLANTIC
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better since 1992.

187UAB -188 UTSA
UTSA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

189NORTH TEXAS -190 SOUTHERN MISS
NORTH TEXAS are 9-28 ATS (-21.8 Units) after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.

191ARMY -192 W KENTUCKY
W KENTUCKY is 23-9 ATS (13.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.

195MASSACHUSETTS -196 LOUISIANA TECH
LOUISIANA TECH is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games vs. bad offenses (<310 TYG) since 1992.

197FRESNO ST -198 AIR FORCE
AIR FORCE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

199USC -200 NOTRE DAME
NOTRE DAME is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more since 1992.

201FLORIDA ST -202 CLEMSON
FLORIDA ST is 12-30 ATS (-21 Units) in road games after playing 3 straight conference games since 1992.

203PENN ST -204 IOWA
PENN ST is 0-17 ATS (-18.7 Units) vs. incredible defensive teams who give up 12 or less points/game since 1992.

205WYOMING -206 SAN DIEGO ST
WYOMING is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after an ATS win in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 05:00 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 9

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APPALACHIAN ST (4 - 0) at LA LAFAYETTE (4 - 1) - 10/9/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-1 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 3-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, October 10

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LA MONROE (2 - 3) at TEXAS ST (2 - 3) - 10/10/2019, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (3 - 2) at NC STATE (3 - 2) - 10/10/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, October 11

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VIRGINIA (4 - 1) at MIAMI (2 - 3) - 10/11/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLORADO ST (1 - 5) at NEW MEXICO (2 - 3) - 10/11/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLORADO (3 - 2) at OREGON (4 - 1) - 10/11/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 39-71 ATS (-39.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO is 45-77 ATS (-39.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, October 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (1 - 4) at INDIANA (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 92-122 ATS (-42.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (4 - 1) at BOWLING GREEN (1 - 4) - 10/12/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (4 - 1) at ILLINOIS (2 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 134-176 ATS (-59.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 134-176 ATS (-59.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 68-97 ATS (-38.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 68-97 ATS (-38.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 91-136 ATS (-58.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (3 - 2) at WAKE FOREST (5 - 0) - 10/12/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NAVY (3 - 1) at TULSA (2 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 176-132 ATS (+30.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 176-132 ATS (+30.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 100-61 ATS (+32.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
NAVY is 83-46 ATS (+32.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 83-46 ATS (+32.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 160-118 ATS (+30.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 111-76 ATS (+27.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (5 - 0) vs. TEXAS (4 - 1) - 10/12/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (5 - 0) at TEMPLE (4 - 1) - 10/12/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
TEMPLE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TEMPLE is 107-78 ATS (+21.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEMPLE is 64-39 ATS (+21.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEMPLE is 72-43 ATS (+24.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEBRASKA (4 - 2) at MINNESOTA (5 - 0) - 10/12/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH (1 - 4) at DUKE (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA ST (3 - 2) at COASTAL CAROLINA (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
GEORGIA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (3 - 2) at PURDUE (1 - 4) - 10/12/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (3 - 2) at W VIRGINIA (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAWAII (4 - 1) at BOISE ST (5 - 0) - 10/12/2019, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
HAWAII is 86-115 ATS (-40.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
HAWAII is 4-20 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
BOISE ST is 150-108 ATS (+31.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 150-108 ATS (+31.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 104-77 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 93-63 ATS (+23.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 84-52 ATS (+26.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 92-66 ATS (+19.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALL ST (2 - 3) at E MICHIGAN (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLD DOMINION (1 - 4) at MARSHALL (2 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 2-0 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 2-0 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 6) at C MICHIGAN (3 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 96-135 ATS (-52.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 44-74 ATS (-37.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (3 - 2) at ARIZONA ST (4 - 1) - 10/12/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 86-51 ATS (+29.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (4 - 1) at OREGON ST (2 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
OREGON ST is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
UTAH is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (4 - 2) at ARIZONA (4 - 1) - 10/12/2019, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 42-65 ATS (-29.5 Units) in October games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 118-152 ATS (-49.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 90-130 ATS (-53.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLE MISS (3 - 3) at MISSOURI (4 - 1) - 10/12/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA (2 - 3) at GEORGIA (5 - 0) - 10/12/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
GEORGIA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 2) at TENNESSEE (1 - 4) - 10/12/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (2 - 3) at AKRON (0 - 5) - 10/12/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 2-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (1 - 4) at OHIO U (2 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 78-48 ATS (+25.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 78-48 ATS (+25.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 104-76 ATS (+20.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS (2 - 3) at KENTUCKY (2 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (3 - 2) at BAYLOR (5 - 0) - 10/12/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 129-92 ATS (+27.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI OHIO (2 - 3) at W MICHIGAN (3 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
W MICHIGAN is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (2 - 3) at S FLORIDA (2 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (4 - 1) at HOUSTON (2 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (1 - 4) at TULANE (4 - 1) - 10/12/2019, 3:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNLV (1 - 4) at VANDERBILT (1 - 4) - 10/12/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 93-132 ATS (-52.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
UNLV is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (4 - 2) at WISCONSIN (5 - 0) - 10/12/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 36-60 ATS (-30.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (6 - 0) at LSU (5 - 0) - 10/12/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (3 - 2) at NEVADA (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (5 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (2 - 3) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (4 - 1) at UTSA (2 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 2-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 2-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTH TEXAS (2 - 3) at SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARMY (3 - 2) at W KENTUCKY (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
ARMY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (2 - 3) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (2 - 3) - 10/12/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 5) at LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 1) - 10/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FRESNO ST (2 - 2) at AIR FORCE (3 - 2) - 10/12/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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USC (3 - 2) at NOTRE DAME (4 - 1) - 10/12/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (3 - 2) at CLEMSON (5 - 0) - 10/12/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PENN ST (5 - 0) at IOWA (4 - 1) - 10/12/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WYOMING (4 - 1) at SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 1) - 10/12/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 05:01 PM

NCAAF

Week 7

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Trend Report
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Wednesday, October 9

APPALACHIAN STATE @ LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
APPALACHIAN STATE
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games when playing Appalachian State

Thursday, October 10

SYRACUSE @ NORTH CAROLINA STATE
SYRACUSE
Syracuse is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Syracuse is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
NORTH CAROLINA STATE
North Carolina State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games

LOUISIANA-MONROE @ TEXAS STATE
LOUISIANA-MONROE
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 12 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas State
TEXAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas State's last 7 games at home
Texas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe

Friday, October 11

VIRGINIA @ MIAMI-FL
VIRGINIA
Virginia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami-FL
Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
MIAMI-FL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 6 games when playing at home against Virginia
Miami-FL is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

COLORADO STATE @ NEW MEXICO
COLORADO STATE
Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico
Colorado State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Mexico
NEW MEXICO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado State
New Mexico is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

COLORADO @ OREGON
COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
OREGON
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Saturday, October 12

SOUTH CAROLINA @ GEORGIA
SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 6 games when playing Georgia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia
GEORGIA
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

MISSISSIPPI STATE @ TENNESSEE
MISSISSIPPI STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
TENNESSEE
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Mississippi State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Mississippi State

OKLAHOMA @ TEXAS
OKLAHOMA
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
TEXAS
Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

MICHIGAN @ ILLINOIS
MICHIGAN
Michigan is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Illinois
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Illinois
ILLINOIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing Michigan

RUTGERS @ INDIANA
RUTGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games on the road
Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games

MARYLAND @ PURDUE
MARYLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games
PURDUE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Purdue's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 6 games

MEMPHIS @ TEMPLE
MEMPHIS
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
TEMPLE
Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Temple is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

TOLEDO @ BOWLING GREEN
TOLEDO
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
BOWLING GREEN
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Bowling Green's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 6 games when playing at home against Toledo

MIAMI-OH @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
MIAMI-OH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami-OH's last 8 games on the road
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

GEORGIA TECH @ DUKE
GEORGIA TECH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing Duke
DUKE
Duke is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games at home

BALL STATE @ EASTERN MICHIGAN
BALL STATE
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Ball State's last 10 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Ball State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan
EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Eastern Michigan's last 10 games when playing Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 6 games when playing at home against Ball State

OLD DOMINION @ MARSHALL
OLD DOMINION
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games when playing Marshall
MARSHALL
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Marshall is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Old Dominion

NEW MEXICO STATE @ CENTRAL MICHIGAN
NEW MEXICO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Mexico State's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Mexico State's last 15 games on the road
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 7 games
Central Michigan is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games

ALABAMA @ TEXAS A&M
ALABAMA
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
TEXAS A&M
Texas A&M is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Texas A&M is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games at home

WASHINGTON STATE @ ARIZONA STATE
WASHINGTON STATE
Washington State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington State is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
ARIZONA STATE
Arizona State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington State
Arizona State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington State

FLORIDA STATE @ CLEMSON
FLORIDA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Clemson
CLEMSON
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

BRIGHAM YOUNG @ SOUTH FLORIDA
BRIGHAM YOUNG
Brigham Young is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brigham Young's last 8 games on the road
SOUTH FLORIDA
South Florida is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Florida's last 6 games

MICHIGAN STATE @ WISCONSIN
MICHIGAN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Michigan State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games on the road
WISCONSIN
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

CINCINNATI @ HOUSTON
CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
HOUSTON
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games

KENT STATE @ AKRON
KENT STATE
Kent State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Akron
AKRON
Akron is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kent State
Akron is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kent State

NORTHERN ILLINOIS @ OHIO
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games
OHIO
Ohio is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Northern Illinois

CONNECTICUT @ TULANE
CONNECTICUT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games
Connecticut is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
TULANE
Tulane is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tulane is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

NEVADA-LAS VEGAS @ VANDERBILT
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS
Nevada-Las Vegas is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 9 games
VANDERBILT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games at home

TEXAS TECH @ BAYLOR
TEXAS TECH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas Tech's last 9 games when playing Baylor
Texas Tech is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing Baylor
BAYLOR
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baylor is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

RHODE ISLAND @ VIRGINIA TECH
RHODE ISLAND
Rhode Island is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Rhode Island is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
VIRGINIA TECH
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Virginia Tech's last 8 games

IOWA STATE @ WEST VIRGINIA
IOWA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Iowa State's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing West Virginia
WEST VIRGINIA
West Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Iowa State
West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iowa State

SAN JOSE STATE @ NEVADA
SAN JOSE STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose State's last 7 games
San Jose State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NEVADA
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose State
Nevada is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Jose State

MIDDLE TENNESSEE @ FLORIDA ATLANTIC
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Middle Tennessee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Florida Atlantic
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home

GEORGIA STATE @ COASTAL CAROLINA
GEORGIA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia State's last 8 games on the road
COASTAL CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Coastal Carolina's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 6 games at home

ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM @ TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM
Alabama-Birmingham is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games at home

MISSISSIPPI @ MISSOURI
MISSISSIPPI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi's last 9 games
Mississippi is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
MISSOURI
Missouri is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

ARMY @ WESTERN KENTUCKY
ARMY
Army is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Army is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
WESTERN KENTUCKY
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Western Kentucky's last 11 games at home
Western Kentucky is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

MASSACHUSETTS @ LOUISIANA TECH
MASSACHUSETTS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 7 games on the road
LOUISIANA TECH
Louisiana Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisiana Tech's last 11 games

FRESNO STATE @ AIR FORCE
FRESNO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Fresno State's last 8 games on the road
Fresno State is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
AIR FORCE
Air Force is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games at home

CHARLOTTE @ FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida International's last 11 games
Florida International is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

NORTH TEXAS @ SOUTHERN MISS
NORTH TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of North Texas's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games when playing Southern Miss
SOUTHERN MISS
Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Miss's last 5 games when playing North Texas

ARKANSAS @ KENTUCKY
ARKANSAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games on the road
KENTUCKY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games at home
Kentucky is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

LOUISVILLE @ WAKE FOREST
LOUISVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Louisville's last 13 games
Louisville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Wake Forest
WAKE FOREST
Wake Forest is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisville
Wake Forest is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

PENN STATE @ IOWA
PENN STATE
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iowa
IOWA
Iowa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Iowa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

NEBRASKA @ MINNESOTA
NEBRASKA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nebraska's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
MINNESOTA
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Nebraska

NAVY @ TULSA
NAVY
Navy is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Navy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tulsa
TULSA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tulsa's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 6 games

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA @ NOTRE DAME
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern California's last 10 games on the road
Southern California is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
NOTRE DAME
Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

FLORIDA @ LOUISIANA STATE
FLORIDA
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
LOUISIANA STATE
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

UTAH @ OREGON STATE
UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Oregon State
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
OREGON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State's last 6 games when playing Utah
Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

HAWAII @ BOISE STATE
HAWAII
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boise State
BOISE STATE
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boise State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii

WYOMING @ SAN DIEGO STATE
WYOMING
Wyoming is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Wyoming is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
SAN DIEGO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego State's last 7 games at home

WASHINGTON @ ARIZONA
WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
ARIZONA
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

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**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 05:03 PM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Wednesday’s games
Appalachian State is 6-0 vs Louisiana, winning 24-0/35-16 in two visits to Lafayette; ASU beat the Ragin’ Cajuns twice LY, 27-17/30-19, with ULL covering both games- the second meeting was in the Sun Belt title game. Mountaineers are 4-0 this year, with a 34-31 win in Chapel Hill in their only road game; ASU covered six of its last seven road games- they also allowed 36.3 in their three I-A wins (average total, 85.0). ULL is 3-1 vs I-A teams with a 38-28 loss to Miss State on a neutral field; Cajuns scored 82 points in winning their last two games, both on the road.

Thursday’s games
UL Monroe won its last three games with Texas State by 6-18-6 points; underdogs covered four of last six series games. WarHawks are 1-3 vs I-A teams this year, allowing 219+ RY in all four games- they also give up 243 RY to a I-AA team. ULM is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games as road favorites- they won two of last three visits to San Marcos. Texas State is also 1-3 vs I-A teams; they beat a I-AA team 24-3 LW. Bobcats allowed 28.5 ppg in their two I-A home games; since 2016, they’re 4-11 ATS as a home underdog.

NC State won six of last seven games with Syracuse, but lost 51-41 (-2.5) in the Carrier Dome LY; underdogs covered seven of last eight series games. Orangemen lost 42-29/33-25 in their last two visits to Raleigh. State lost two of its last three games, allowing 44-31 points; they’re 5-8 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Syracuse split its four I-A games, allowing 200+ YR in last three, when they also allowed 45.7 ppg. Under Babers, Orangemen are 9-4 ATS when getting points on the road. ACC home favorites are 4-5 ATS so far this season.

Friday’s games
Underdogs are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven Virginia-Miami games; Cavaliers lost their last three trips to South Beach, by 16-6-19 points. Virginia is 3-1 vs I-A teams but ran ball for total of only 73 yards in last two games- the team that led at halftime lost all four games. Cavaliers lost last game 35-20 at Notre Dame; under Mendenhall, they’re 10-9 ATS on the road. Miami is 1-3 vs I-A clubs, with all four games decided by 7 or fewer points. ‘canes lost 42-35 to Va Tech LW after they trailed 28-0 just before halftime; their only I-A win was 17-12 over Central Michigan.

Colorado State won its last nine games with New Mexico (7-2 ATS); Rams won their last four trips to Albuquerque, by 3-7-24-4 points, but State is 0-5 vs I-A teams this year, allowing an average of 41.2 ppg; Rams are 9-5 ATS in their last 14 games as road favorites. State was held to 296/235 TY in their last two games. Lobos lost three of four I-A games; they’ve given up 464+ TY in every game this year, even the 39-31 win over a I-AA team. New Mexico is 6-4 ATS in its last ten games as a home underdog.

Colorado lost six of last seven games with Oregon; teams haven’t met since ’16. Favorites are 5-1 ATS in last six series games, but Buffs (+10.5) won their last visit to Eugene, 41-38. Colorado is 3-2 despite allowing 30+ points in all five games; they allowed 444+ TY in all five games. Buffs are 11-7-1 ATS in their last 19 games as road underdogs. Oregon won its last four games after a 27-21 loss to Auburn, allowing 7 or fewer points in all four games; Ducks are 10-14 ATS in their last 24 games as a home favorite. Pac-12 home favorites are 3-7 ATS so far this season.

Saturday’s top 13 games
Navy won/covered its last four games with Tulsa; they won last three visits here, by 10-23-29 points. Middies pulled out a 34-25 win over rival Air Force LW, scoring 13 points in last 0:23 of the game; they lost their only road game this year, 35-23 (+10.5) at Memphis. Navy covered only two of their last seven road games. Tulsa was up 30-9 at unbeaten SMU LW, lost in OT; Golden Hurricane is 10-8 ATS in last 18 home games (0-2 TY)- four of their five games stayed under the total. AAC home teams are 5-4 ATS in conference games so far this season.

Underdogs covered six of last seven Texas-Oklahoma games; Longhorns (+7.5) upset OU 48-45 LY, their third series win in last ten tries. Texas has only three defensive starters back from LY; they gave up 494-463 TY in last two games, both wins- they allowed 340+ PY in three of their five games. Under Herman, Texas is 4-2 ATS as road underdogs. Over is 4-1 in Texas games this year. Oklahoma is 5-0 TY with 49-31 their closest win; under Riley, Sooners are 12-11-1 ATS as a favorite. Oklahoma is averaging 283 RY/game against I-A opponents.

Unbeaten Memphis allowed 547 RY in its last two wins; they gave up 575 TY LW in a 52-33 win over UL-Monroe. Under Norvell, Tigers are 8-4 ATS as road favorites- they scored 94 points in their two road wins TY. Temple is 4-1 despite its -4 turnover ratio. allowing 17 or fewer points in all four wins; Owls covered seven of last eight games as a home underdog. Underdogs covered all four Memphis-Temple games; teams split two games played here- they last met in 2016. Nationwide, home underdogs in conference games are 23-21 ATS.

Washington State allowed 105 points in losing its last two games after a 3-0 start- they fired their DC Sunday. Wazzu won its last two games with Arizona State 37-32/38-24, after losing 10 of previous 11 series games; teams last met in ’16. Favorites covered four of last five series games. Wazzu lost eight of its last ten visits to Tempe. Under Leach, WSU is 16-9 as a road dog, 0-1 this year. ASU is 4-1, allowing 17 or fewer points in all four wins; they allowed 337 PY in a 34-31 home loss to Colorado. Under Edwards, Sun Devils are 2-3 ATS as home favorites.

Washington is 4-2 TY, with two losses as double digit favorites; they split two road games TY, are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite. Huskies were outgained 482-294 at Stanford LW; they were held to 19-13 points in losses. Arizona is 4-1 despite allowing 415+ TY in every game, including giving up 442 TY to a I-AA team; they won last two games by total of 8 points. Under Sumlin, Wildcats are 4-1 as home dogs. Faves covered five of last seven Washington-Arizona tilts; Huskies lost four of last five visits to Tucson- they won 35-28 (-13) in last visit here, in ’16.

Tennessee is 0-4 vs I-A teams, outscored 77-17 in last two games; Vols started a freshman QB vs Georgia LW- he was 14-28/259 passing in the 43-14 loss. Last four years, Tennessee is 1-7 ATS as a home underdog. Mississippi State had LW off after a 56-23 loss at Auburn, their first true road game this year; over last decade, Bulldogs are 13-9-1 ATS as a road favorite. Vols won five of last six games with MSU; teams last met in 2012. Bulldogs lost 34-3/59-21 in their last two visits to Knoxville, but Vols were a lot better team back then.

Kentucky is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games as a home favorite. Arkansas is 1-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 31 points in all three losses; under Morris, Razorbacks are 0-4 ATS as a road underdog, 0-1 TY. Kentucky lost its first three SEC games, giving up 488 RY in last two- they were held to 13-7 points by Miss St/So Carolina last two games. Kentucky won four of last six games with Arkansas (underdogs 4-2 ATS); Razorbacks lost two of last three visits to Lexington, with the win in OT. SEC home favorites are 7-2 ATS in conference games.

Baylor is 5-0 TY, allowing 21 or fewer points in all five games; they outscored I-A foes 73-6 in the first half of games. Bears are 8-12 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite, but 2-0 TY. Texas Tech allowed 1,651 TY in its last three games, 734 on ground; they were outscored 83-30 in pair of road losses, at Arizona/Oklahoma. Red Raiders are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as a road dog. Baylor won six of last eight games with Tech (favorites 5-3 ATS). Teams had been playing at neutral site every year; this is Tech’s first visit to Waco since 2007.

Cincinnati upset UCF at home LW, so letdown possible here; Bearcats won last three games, scoring 38 ppg, since Ohio St crushed them 42-0- they won their other road game 52-14 at Marshall. Cincy is 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite. Houston’s QB (redshirt) took rest of this year off; Cougars are 1-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 485.3 ypg in last three games. Last 6+ years, Houston is 3-0 ATS when getting points at home. Underdogs are 6-3-1 ATS in last ten Cincy-Houston games; Bearcats lost three of last five visits to Houston- teams last met in ’16.

Underdogs covered last five Michigan State-Wisconsin games (4-1 SU); teams split last dozen meetings SU, with Spartans losing four of last six visits to Madison. MSU is 4-2, scoring 7-10 points in its two losses; since 2012, Spartans are 9-4 ATS as road underdogs. State gave up 323 RY in its 34-10 loss at OSU LW. Wisconsin is 5-0 this year with three shutouts; they won their two Big 14 games, 35-14/24-15 over Michigan/Northwestern. Badgers are 3-1 ATS as a home favorite TY. Home favorites are 6-2 ATS in Big 14 conference games this season.

LSU scored 52 ppg in its four I-A wins (4-0 ATS); they’ve thrown ball for 350+ yards in every game this year. LSU’s only close game this year was a 45-38 win at Texas. Under Orgeron, Tigers are 6-6 ATS as a home favorite, 2-0 TY. Florida is 6-0 but has two I-AA wins (why??); they have their #2 QB playing. Gators upset Auburn 24-13 at home LW; they’re 2-4-1 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog. LSU won six of last nine games with Florida; Gators lost three of last four visits to Death Valley. Underdogs covered last three series games.

Penn State won its first five games, winning last two by combined score of 94-7; Nittany Lions are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite- they’re stepping up in class here. Iowa is 4-1, allowing total of 44 points; they lost 10-3 at Michigan LW (TY 267-261 Mich). Over last six years, Hawkeyes are 4-2 ATS as a home underdog. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. PSU won its last five games with Iowa (3-1-1 ATS), winning 21-19/38-14 in its last couple trips to Iowa City. Big 14 home underdogs are 1-6 ATS so far this season.

Wyoming completed less than 50% of its passes in every game TY; they split pair of road games this year, losing 24-21 (+5) at Tulsa. Cowboys covered their last three games as road underdogs. San Diego State won three of four I-A games TY; all four games stayed under total. Aztecs are 7-17 ATS in last 24 games as home favorites. State won three of last four games wth Wyoming; underdogs are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven series games. Cowboys lost six of last eight visits to San Diego. Aztecs ran ball for 242+ yards in four of last five series games.

13 other games
Wake Forest is a surprising 5-0, with three wins by 6 or fewer points; Deacons are 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite. Louisville lost its only road game 35-24 at FSU; they’re 0-5 ATS in last five games as a road underdog. Wake upset Louisville last two years, 56-35/42-32, after losing previous five series games; Deacons covered all five ACC meetings, but are favored here for first time in series. Teams split couple of meetings played here.

Nebraska is 4-2 but scored total of only 17 points in splitting last two games; they’re 2-1 on road, with all three games decided by 4 or fewer points. Minnesota is 5-0, scoring 35+ points in all four I-A games; three of their four I-A wins are by 7 or less points. Nebraska won three of last four games with Minnesota; favorites covered last three meetings. Cornhuskers lost two of last three visits to the Twin Cities. Gophers gained 474-514 TY in last two meetings.

Iowa State is 3-2, with losses by combined total of three points; under Campbell, Cyclones are 3-2 ATS as a road favorite. West Virginia allowed 32.8 ppg in splitting its four I-A games; they allowed 232-216 RY in their two losses. Mountaineers are 1-3-1 ATS in last five games as a home underdog. WVU won four of last five games with Iowa State, winning 20-16/30-6 in last two games played here; ISU upset the Mountaineers 30-14 (+6.5) LY in Ames.

Georgia won its last four games (3-1 ATS) with South Carolina by an average of 21 points; Dawgs averaged 253.8 RY/game in last six meetings. Carolina lost its last three visits to Athens, by 14-32-11 points. Georgia is 5-0, with only one win by less than 24 points; Dawgs snuck by Notre Dame 23-17 (-16) in their last home game- under Smart, they’re 8-11 ATS as a home favorite. Carolina covered six of last seven games as a road underdog.

Underdogs covered seven of last eight Northern Illinois-Ohio U games; Huskies won three of last four series games, but lost two of last three visits to Athens (last visit in ’14). NIU is 0-4 vs I-A teams in Hammock’s first year as coach; their last three games stayed under the total. Ohio U is 1-3 vs I-A teams, winning 21-20 in Buffalo LW; Bobcats are 8-4 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite. MAC home teams are 6-2 ATS so far this season.

UNLV is 0-4 vs I-A teams this year, giving up 41 ppg and 441 TY in all four games; Rebels have a freshman QB playing who completed only 50% of his passes so far- they lost their first two road games, 30-14/53-17. Vanderbilt is 1-4 this year, with only win 24-18 over NIU; they allowed 30+ points in all four losses, gave up 413 RY in their 31-6 loss to Ole Miss LW. Mountain West road underdogs are 8-5 ATS out of conference; SEC home favorites are 13-7.

Nevada won nine of last ten games with San Jose State, covering seven of last eight meetings in Reno; favorites covered four of last five series games. San Jose split its four I-A games, with a win at Arkansas; they allowed 620 RY in last two games, but covered seven of last nine games as a road underdog. Nevada split its four I-A games, losing last game 54-3 at home to Hawaii; under Norvell, Wolf Pack is 9-5 ATS at home.

Texas A&M split its four I-A games, losing 24-10 (+16) at Clemson, 28-20 (-4) at home to Auburn; Fisher is 6-4 ATS in his last ten games as an underdog. Alabama is 5-00 with all five wins by 24+ points, but they covered only once in last four games. Alabama won its last six games with Texas A&M but Aggies covered last two, losing 45-23/27-19; Crimson Tide won its last three visits to Aggieland, by 8-18-7 points.

North Texas lost three of its last four games, losing road games 49-27 at SMU, 23-17 at Cal; Mean Green is 3-5 ATS in their last eight road games. Southern Mississippi have two losses to SEC teams but won their other two I-A games, 47-42 (+3) at Troy, 31-13 (-26) over UTEP. UNT won its last three games with Southern Miss, by 23-15-6 points; Mean Green won two of their last three visits to Hattiesburg.

Army is 2-2 vs I-A teams with an OT loss at Michigan; they gave up 324 RY in their 42-33 home loss to Tulane LW. Over last 11 years, Cadets are 3-8 ATS as a road favorite. Western Kentucky allowed total of 16 points in winning their last two games (UAB, @ ODU); Hilltoppers lost to a I-AA team in their opener, but is 3-1 vs I-A teams, losing 38-21 to Louisville. WKU won its last two games with Army, 21-17/52-24; teams last met in ’14.

Fresno State allowed 31-38 points in its two losses (31-23 at USC, 38-35 to Minnesota); under Tedford, Bulldogs are 7-0-1 ATS as a road underdog, 1-0-1 TY. Air Force gave up 13 points in last 0:23 of a 35-23 loss to rival Navy LW; over last five years, Falcons are 1-4 ATS the week after playing Navy. AF beat Fresno State 31-21/42-14 the last two meetings, with last one in ‘16; underdogs are 3-2 ATS in last five series games. Teams split last two meetings played here.

True frosh QB Slovis (#2 QB) will get start here for USC, who lost both their road games, 30-27 at BYU, 28-14 at Washington; under Helton, Trojans are 1-7 ATS as a road underdog. Notre Dame is 4-1 TY with all four wins by 15+ points, but their best win is Virginia (35-20). ND won five of last seven games with USC (favorites 6-1 ATS); Trojans lost last three visits to South Bend by 35-10-4 points (0-3 ATS).

Florida State scored 35-31 points in winning their last two games; their losses are 36-31 at home to Boise Sate, 31-24 at Virginia. Seminoles are 1-3-1 ATS in last five games as a road underdog. Clemson snuck by North Carolina 21-20 in its last game; curious how they react here. Clemson won its last four games with Florida State, covering last two (59-10/31-14); Seminoles lost last two visits here, by 17-10 points- favorites are 5-1 ATS in last six series games at Clemson.

**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 05:03 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 7

Wednesday, October 9

Appalachian St @ LA-Lafayette

Game 101-102
October 9, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
92.918
LA-Lafayette
91.242
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 1 1/2
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 1 1/2
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(+1 1/2); Over

Thursday, October 10

LA-Monroe @ Texas State

Game 105-106
October 10, 2019 @ 9:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
69.960
Texas State
70.928
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Monroe
by 3 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+3 1/2); Under

Syracuse @ NC State

Game 107-108
October 10, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Syracuse
90.077
NC State
80.751
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 9 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 4 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+4 1/2); Over

Friday, October 11

Virginia @ Miami-FL

Game 109-110
October 11, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
91.342
Miami-FL
84.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 6 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(+2); Under

Colorado State @ New Mexico

Game 111-112
October 11, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado State
69.322
New Mexico
68.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado State
by 1
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado State
by 4
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(+4); Over

Colorado @ Oregon

Game 113-114
October 11, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
86.115
Oregon
103.633
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 17 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 20 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+20 1/2); Over

Saturday, October 12

Memphis @ Temple

Game 127-128
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
91.449
Temple
83.608
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 8
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 6
50
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-6); Over

Rutgers @ Indiana

Game 115-116
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
60.021
Indiana
91.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 31 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 27 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-27 1/2); Over

Michigan @ Illinois

Game 119-120
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
102.985
Illinois
76.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 26
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 21 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(-21 1/2); Under

Oklahoma @ Texas

Game 125-126
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
111.606
Texas
104.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 7 1/2
81
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 11
75 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+11); Over

Toledo @ Bowling Green

Game 117-118
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
86.917
Bowling Green
54.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 32 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 24 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-24 1/2); Under

Mississippi St @ Tennessee

Game 157-158
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
96.554
Tennessee
78.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 17 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 6 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(-6 1/2); Over

South Carolina @ Georgia

Game 155-156
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
89.122
Georgia
116.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 27 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 24 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-24 1/2); Over

Miami of Ohio @ Western Michigan

Game 167-168
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
72.069
Western Michigan
88.420
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 16 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 13
56
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-13); Over

Maryland @ Purdue

Game 135-136
October 12, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maryland
91.607
Purdue
84.078
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 7 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
by 4 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Maryland
(-4 1/2); Over

Georgia Tech @ Duke

Game 131-132
October 12, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
74.296
Duke
93.753
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 19 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 17
48
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-17); Under

Ball State @ Eastern Michigan

Game 141-142
October 12, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
73.133
Eastern Michigan
68.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 5
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ball State
by 1
58
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(-1); Over

Old Dominion @ Marshall

Game 143-144
October 12, 2019 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Old Dominion
65.570
Marshall
73.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 8
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 15
45
Dunkel Pick:
Old Dominion
(+15); Under

New Mexico St @ Central Michigan

Game 145-146
October 12, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
64.141
Central Michigan
73.123
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 9
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 11 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico St
(+11 1/2); Under

Michigan State @ Wisconsin

Game 177-178
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
98.456
Wisconsin
105.767
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 7 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 10 1/2
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(+10 1/2); Over

Alabama @ Texas A&M

Game 183-184
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
117.220
Texas A&M
96.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 20 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 17
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-17); Over

Cincinnati @ Houston

Game 171-172
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
98.367
Houston
85.922
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 12 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 7
55
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-7); Under

Washington St @ Arizona State

Game 147-148
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
86.047
Arizona State
90.372
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 4 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona State
(-2); Under

Brigham Young @ South Florida

Game 169-170
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
84.370
South Florida
75.234
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 9
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 6
51
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-6); Under

Northern Illinois @ Ohio

Game 161-162
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
70.469
Ohio
78.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 8
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 6 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(-6 1/2); Over

Kent State @ Akron

Game 159-160
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
71.586
Akron
51.912
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
by 19 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kent State
by 12
57
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(-12); Over

Florida State @ Clemson

Game 201-202
October 12, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
88.183
Clemson
117.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 30
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 27
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-27); Over

Connecticut @ Tulane

Game 173-174
October 12, 2019 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
53.467
Tulane
91.997
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulane
by 38 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 34 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(-34 1/2); Over

Texas Tech @ Baylor

Game 165-166
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
87.053
Baylor
100.413
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 13 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 9 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(-9 1/2); Under

Rhode Island @ Virginia Tech

Game 207-208
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rhode Island
55.676
Virginia Tech
85.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 29 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 25 1/2
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-25 1/2); Over

San Jose St @ Nevada

Game 181-182
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose St
72.915
Nevada
64.905
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose St
by 8
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 1 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(+1 1/2); Under

UNLV @ Vanderbilt

Game 175-176
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UNLV
67.339
Vanderbilt
78.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vanderbilt
by 11 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vanderbilt
by 14 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
UNLV
(+14 1/2); Under

Iowa State @ West Virginia

Game 137-138
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
104.497
West Virginia
90.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 14
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 10 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(-10 1/2); Under

Middle Tennessee St @ Florida Atlantic

Game 185-186
October 12, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
72.085
Florida Atlantic
84.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 13
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 10
64
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(-10); Over

Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina

Game 133-134
October 12, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
66.361
Coastal Carolina
76.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 10
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 5 1/2
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
(-5 1/2); Under

UAB @ TX-San Antonio

Game 187-188
October 12, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
72.103
TX-San Antonio
63.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 8 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 11
45
Dunkel Pick:
TX-San Antonio
(+11); Over

North Texas @ Southern Miss

Game 189-190
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
77.429
Southern Miss
78.645
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 1
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 4
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Texas
(+4); Over

Army @ Western Kentucky

Game 191-192
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Army
84.067
Western Kentucky
74.905
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 9
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 4
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(-4); Over

Charlotte @ FIU

Game 193-194
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
68.871
FIU
77.571
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 8 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
by 5 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(-5 1/2); Under

Massachusetts @ Louisiana Tech

Game 195-196
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
49.636
Louisiana Tech
76.133
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 26 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 31 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(+31 1/2); Over

Fresno State @ Air Force

Game 197-198
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
87.168
Air Force
83.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 3 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 4
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(+4); Under

Mississippi @ Missouri

Game 153-154
October 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi
86.920
Missouri
106.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 20
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 11
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(-11); Under

Nebraska @ Minnesota

Game 129-130
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
85.911
Minnesota
96.103
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 10
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 7 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-7 1/2); Over

Penn State @ Iowa

Game 203-204
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
114.330
Iowa
103.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 11
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 4
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(-4); Over

USC @ Notre Dame

Game 199-200
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
USC
93.602
Notre Dame
107.100
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 13 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 11
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-11); Over

Navy @ Tulsa

Game 123-124
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
85.832
Tulsa
80.713
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 5
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 1
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(+1); Under

Louisville @ Wake Forest

Game 121-122
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
77.610
Wake Forest
94.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 17
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 6 1/2
66
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(-6 1/2); Over

Arkansas @ Kentucky

Game 163-164
October 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
75.904
Kentucky
84.480
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 8 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 6 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(-6 1/2); Under

Utah @ Oregon State

Game 149-150
October 12, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
99.008
Oregon State
82.801
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 16
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 13 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-13 1/2); Under

Florida @ LSU

Game 179-180
October 12, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
109.779
LSU
110.516
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 1
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 13
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+13); Under

Hawaii @ Boise State

Game 139-140
October 12, 2019 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hawaii
83.745
Boise State
96.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 14
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 11 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-11 1/2); Over

Wyoming @ San Diego St

Game 205-206
October 12, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
81.307
San Diego St
87.652
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 6 1/2
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 3 1/2
39
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-3 1/2); Under

Washington @ Arizona

Game 151-152
October 12, 2019 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
100.865
Arizona
88.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 12 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-6 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 10-07-2019, 07:21 PM

College football Week 7 opening odds: Oklahoma draws early money vs. Texas in Red River Rivalry
Patrick Everson

Jalen Hurts has fit in just fine at Oklahoma, leading his new team to a 5-0 SU start (3-2 ATS). The Sooners opened as 9.5-point neutral-site favorites against Texas, and the line quickly moved to -10.5.

Week 7 of the college football season features the Red River Rivalry and a matchup of unbeatens in the Southeastern Conference. We check in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA.

No. 5 Oklahoma Sooners vs. No. 11 Texas Longhorns (+9.5)

Oklahoma aims to keep its College Football Playoff hopes on track in this neutral-site game, at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. In Week 6, the Sooners (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) gave up the opening touchdown at Kansas, then scored 42 straight points en route to a 45-20 victory as 32-point favorites.

Texas has certainly prepared well for this contest, with a stern Week 2 test in a close loss to Louisiana State and challenging Big 12 games the past two weeks. The Longhorns (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) were challenged through three quarters at West Virginia, then scored 21 points in the fourth to notch a 42-31 victory as 10.5-point faves.

PointsBet USA, with mobile operations in New Jersey and a brick-and-mortar in Iowa, saw some back-and-forth action after posting this line.

“We opened the game Oklahoma -9.5 and saw some early support at that number,” Chaprales said. “We moved it through 10 to 10.5 and got some resistance, resulting in an adjustment back to 10.”

It didn’t take long for the Sooners to go back to -10.5, though, as the line ticked back up by Monday afternoon.

No. 7 Florida Gators at No. 6 Louisiana State Tigers (-13)

Florida threw its hat firmly into the CFP ring with a big Week 6 victory. The Gators (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) closed as 2.5-point home underdogs to previously unbeaten Auburn and took care of business in a 24-13 victory.

LSU got that aforementioned win at Texas, but otherwise hasn’t been challenged much, and Week 6 was no exception. The Tigers (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) pounded Utah State 42-6 laying 27 points at home.

Despite Florida’s strong showing against Auburn, the Gators are catching double digits in this contest.

“Florida garnered sharp support as a home ‘dog vs Auburn last week and won outright, and pros will likely be on the Gators again this week, assuming public LSU money inflates the number,” Chaprales said. “That’s a plausible scenario, as the Tigers have done nothing but cash tickets thus far.”

No. 9 Penn State Nittany Lions at No. 18 Iowa Hawkeyes (+3)

Penn State also hopes to be in the CFP conversation, currently standing at 5-0 SU (3-2 ATS). The Nittany Lions had little trouble in Week 6, dispatching Purdue 35-7 while falling just short as 28.5-point favorites.

Iowa had a great opportunity to bolster its Big Ten resume and remain unbeaten, but couldn’t find the end zone in Week 6. In an extremely low-scoring contest, the Hawkeyes (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) fell to Michigan 10-3 as 4-point road pups.

“Another stiff test for Iowa after a hard-fought loss to Michigan last week,” Chaprales said. “Early action has laid the 3 with Penn State, but it will take more to instigate a move, given the key number at play.”

PointsBet’s book at Catfish Bend Casino in Iowa will likely generate a lot of Hawkeyes action, as it did last week against Michigan.
Southern California Trojans at No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-11.5)

Notre Dame is 4-1 SU and ATS, and arguably its best game this season was the lone loss, 23-17 at Georgia getting 15.5 points in Week 4. The Fighting Irish boatraced Bowling Green 52-0 as massive 45.5-point home favorites in Week 6.

Southern Cal hopes to have true freshman Kedon Slovis back from concussion protocol in time for the trip to South Bend. Slovis was hurt in a Week 3 overtime loss at Brigham Young. The Trojans (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) had a bye in Week 6, after third-string QB Matt Fink and Co. lost at Washington 28-14 catching 12.5 points.

“Notre Dame has gotten the better of this matchup in the recent past and has been steadily covering numbers,” Chaprales said. “Which is to say we’re going to need USC. It’s just a matter of how much.”

**Udog** · 10-08-2019, 11:35 PM

Tech Trends - Week 7
Bruce Marshall

Wednesday, Oct. 10

Matchup Skinny
Edge

APP STATE at UL LAFAYETTE...Cajuns hot, 5-0 vs. line TY, 12-1-2 last 15 reg season since early 2018. App however on 16-4-1 spread run back to late 2017 (3-1 TY). Cajuns covered both vs. App LY including Belt title game.
Slight to ULL, based on team trends.

Thursday, Oct. 11

Matchup Skinny
Edge

ULM at TEXAS STATE...ULM only 1-6 vs. spread last seven on board, 4-11 last 15 vs. points. Spavital finally got a cover vs. Nicholls but Bobcats were 0-4-1 vs. spread the five previous dating to late last season. Road team has covered last three in series.
Slight to ULM, based on series trends.

SYRACUSE at NC STATE...Cuse 7-2 vs. spread last nine on ACC road. Babers however only 2-3 vs. spread TY after 10-3 mark in 2018. Pack no covers last 4 vs. spread.
Slight to Syracuse, based on team trends.

Friday, Oct. 11

Matchup Skinny
Edge

VIRGINIA at MIAMI-FLA...Cavs have now dropped 4 straight vs. line. Mendenhall has covered last two vs. Canes and Hoos 5-2 vs. spread last 7 away from Charlottesville. Miami 2-7 vs points last 9 ACC games, and 1-7 vs. spread last eight as host vs. FBS-level foes.
Virginia, based on team trends.

COLORADO STATE at NEW MEXICO...Bob Davie is 0-7 SU (1-6 vs. line) with Lobos against CSU since he arrived in 2012. Lobos 1-9 vs. spread last ten at Albuquerque.
Colorado State, based on series and team trends.

COLORADO at OREGON...Mel Tucker now 2-0 as dog with Buffs, who were just 3-9-1 getting points the past two seasons. Cristobal just 7-12 vs. spread with Ducks (counts LV Bowl 2017) since taking over (6-7 as chalk). Webfoots only 4-6 vs. spread at Eugene for Cristobal.
Colorado, based on team trends.

Saturday, Oct. 12

Matchup Skinny
Edge

RUTGERS at INDIANA...Scarlet Knights now no covers last four after six-game spread W streak that began late 2018. But Rutgers also now 2-6 vs. spread last 8 as visitor. Hoosiers 7-1 last 8 as Bloomington chalk, and 6-3 last 9 laying DD (2-1 TY).
Indiana, based on team trends.

TOLEDO at BOWLING GREEN...Nearby rivals! Toledo has won last 9 SU in series but BGSU slipping inside some hefty imposts lately, covering 2 of last 3 meetings. Those are among the few recent covers for Falcs, now 12-30 vs. line since Babers left before 2015 bowl game, and 3-16 vs. spread last 19 at Doyt-Perry. UT 6-1 last seven laying DD.
Toledo, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN at ILLINOIS...Harbaugh had dropped 7 straight vs. line before wins last two. Wolves just 1-6 vs. line last seven laying points away. Lovie 11-21 last 32 on board, also just 3-8 as DD dog since LY, and 8-15 vs. points at Champaign-Urbana since 2016.
Slight to Illinois, based on team trends.

LOUISVILLE at WAKE FOREST...Satterfield now 16-5-1 vs. line since late 2017 at App and ‘Ville (3-2 for Cards). Clawson covered all five vs. ‘Ville since Cards joined ACC in 2014. Deacs however just 3-8 vs. points last 11 as host (2-1 TY).
Slight to Louisville, based on Satterfield marks.

NAVY at TULSA...Mids 7-1 vs. spread last eight since late 2018. If dog here note Niumatalolo 20-11 in role as visitor since 2009. Mids have also won and covered all four vs. Tulsa since 2015.
Navy, based on team and series trends.

OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS (At Cotton Bowl, Dallas)...Teams split last season but Horns have covered last six reg season meetings. “Tom Herman as a dog” now 13-3 at UH and Texas since 2015 after LSU loss.
Texas, based on team and series trends.

MEMPHIS at TEMPLE...Tigers were 1-5-1 as chalk away from Liberty Bowl entering this season before 2 wins and covers. If Temple a dog note 17-5 mark in role since 2015 (Rhule, Collins, and 1-0 for Rod Carey).
Temple, based on team trends.

NEBRASKA at MINNESOTA...Frost 0-3 vs. line in Big Ten TY after covering last seven in league play a year ago. These two have taken turns ripping another past two years, host winning and covering each.
Minnesota, based on series trends.

GEORGIA TECH at DUKE...Jackets 0-5 vs. line for Collins TY, no covers last eight since late 2018. Cutcliffe just 2-6 as Durham chalk since LY, but 4-1 SU and 5-0 vs. line last five in series.
Duke, based on series and team trends.

GEORGIA STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA...GSU 4-9-4 vs. spread since last season (four pushes...whew!). Coastal 3-2 vs. line first five TY for Chadwell.
Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on GS negatives.

MARYLAND at PURDUE...Brohm kind of struggling, 2-9 vs. line last eleven since late 2018.
Slight to Maryland, based on recent Purdue trends.

IOWA STATE at WEST VIRGINIA...Last three losses for ISU dating to bowl vs. WSU have been by 2, 1, and 2 points. Matt Campbell still 7-3 vs. spread last ten on Big 12 road. ISU 3-1 as road chalk since 2017.
Iowa State, based on team trends.

HAWAII at BOISE STATE...Rolovich only 5-9 vs. line last 14 on mainland but did blow out Nevada in last game. Boise on 9-3 spread uptick since late 2018. Broncos 18-36 last 54 as blue carpet chalk but have covered last two this season in role.
Slight to Hawaii, based on team trends.

BALL STATE at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Ball has covered first 3 away from Muncie TY and dropped first two vs. line as host. Cards were just 3-9 vs. line away last two seasons. Eagles 5-5-1 since 2017 vs. line at Ypsilanti. EMU has won and covered last three meetings.
Eastern Michigan, based on series trends.

OLD DOMINION at MARSHALL...Dog team 4-1 vs. line in ODU games and 6-1 last 7 dating to late 2018 against FBS-level foes. Herd has won and covered big in last 2 and 4 of last 5 in series, but Doc on 4-12 spread skid last 16 reg-season play.
Slight to ODU, based on recent trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...McElwain has quietly covered last 4 and 5 of 6 this season. Chips 2-0 as home chalk TY after 1-5 mark in role past two years. Ags 3-7 last ten vs. spread as visiting dog.
Central Michigan, based on recent trends.

WASHINGTON STATE at ARIZONA STATE...No covers now four in a row for Leach, though he still is 13-6 last 19 as dog. Last year he was 4-0 SU and vs. line on Pac-12 road. Herm no covers first three at home in 2019, in fact road team 5-0 vs. line in ASU games TY.
Washington State, based on team trends.

UTAH at OREGON STATE...Beavs have covered last four TY. Though 2-10-1 vs. points previous 13 in Pac-12 play, OSU 2-0 TY. OSU 1-6 as home dog since LY for Smith, however.
Slight to Utah, based on team trends.

WASHINGTON at ARIZONA...Huskies 7-2 last 9 overall vs. line. Sumlin 4-1 as Tucson dog since LY.
Slight to Washington, based on recent trends.

OLE MISS at MISSOURI...Matt Luke 3-0 vs. line in SEC play TY after dropping all nine vs. spread in league play LY. Rebs had dropped 7 straight as dog before slipping inside of huge number vs. Bama. Mizzou has won and covered last four TY.
Slight to Ole Miss, based on recent trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA...Muschamp was 6-0 as visiting dog past two years prior to recent loss at Mizzou. Cocks have lost and failed to cover 3 of last 4 vs. Bulldogs. Kirby Smart 3-4 last seven laying 20+.
Slight to South Carolina, based on team trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at TENNESSEE...Pruitt just 6-11 vs. spread with Vols, and UT on 9-19 skid vs. line since 2017. Vols 4-14 vs. points last 17 at Knoxville. Moorhead 9-5 as chalk since taking over Bulldogs LY.
Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.

KENT STATE at AKRON...Nearby rivals! Akron in trouble for Arth, 0-5 SU and vs. line. Golden Flashes have covered last three meetings, though they haven’t beat Zips SU since 2014.
Kent State, based on team trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at OHIO...Solich only 1-4 vs. line TY, but now he’s back in MAC, where he covered 5 of last 7 LY. Solich 0-2 as Peden chalk TY but was 8-3 in role 2017-18.
Slight to Solich and Ohio, based on extended trends.

ARKANSAS at KENTUCKY...Cats hurting, but back at home where they covered first three TY. Home team 5-0 vs. line in UK games to date. Stoops was 0-9 as Lexington chalk past two seasons but covered first two in role in 2019. Hogs no covers last six as visitor (0-5 for Morris).
Slight to Kentucky, based on team trends.

TEXAS TECH at BAYLOR...Red Raiders no covers last five away from Lubbock (0-2 for Matt Wells). Bears were only 1-5 as Waco chalk for Rhule past two years, 1-1 in role TY.
Slight to Baylor, based on recent trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Miami broke 4-game spread L streak in Buffalo win. RedHawks were 5-2 as dog LY. Broncos on 6-14 spread slide since late in 2017.
Slight to Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.

BYU at SOUTH FLORIDA...Bulls on 5-10 spread skid last 15 vs. FBS foes. Also no covers last six at Tampa vs. FBS foes. Cougs have dropped last two vs. spread but Sitake still on 15-8 spread uptick.
BYU, based on USF negatives.

CINCINNATI at HOUSTON...Cincy dropped last three vs. line on AAC road LY. If dog note Holgorsen 3-1 in role TY. Interestingly Holgorsen just 4-10-1 as dog at WVU past four years.
Slight to Houston, based on team trends.

UCONN at TULANE...Wave 5-1 vs. line last five since late LY, including 3-0 as host. Fritz now 4-2 as DD chalk with Wave. Edsall has covered a couple of games TY but Huskies still 4-12 last 15 vs. line.
Tulane, based on team trends.

UNLV at VANDERBILT...Rebs fading but note Sanchez now 5-0 vs. line as road dog vs. Power 5 since 2015. UNLV 15-7 as road dog for Sanchez. Vandy now on 6-game spread L streak since late LY.
UNLV, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at WISCONSIN...Dantonio just 4-5 as dog since 2017 but extended dog marks pretty good (21-10 since 2011). Badgers 3-1 as Madison chalk TY but note 1-6 mark in role LY.
Slight to Michigan State, based on extended trends.

FLORIDA at LSU...Dan Mullen 17-8 as dog with MSU and Fla since 2014. LSU 5-8 last 13 as Baton Rouge chalk.
Slight to Florida, based on team trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at NEVADA...Home team has covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 meetings. Spartans, however, on 7-2 spread surge last nine as road dog. Pack 2-5 vs. spread last seven reg-season.
Slight to SJSU, based on recent trends.

ALABAMA at TEXAS A&M... Saban only 3-4 vs. line against A&M since Ags entered SEC in 2012. Tide has dropped last two vs. line in series. Saban 3-5 vs. spread last 8 as SEC visitor. Jimbo covered 13 of first 16 with Ags but has dropped last 2 vs. line.
Slight to Texas A&M based on team trends.

MTSU at FAU...Lane Kiffin stirring a bit, though curiously the road team is 5-0 vs. line in Owl games TY. Kiffin was 5-1 as Boca Raton chalk in 2017 but 1-6-1 since. MTSU 2-5 last seven vs. line since late LY.
Slight to FAU, based on team trends.

UAB at UTSA... UTSA on 10-18 spread skid since 2017, 5-12 last 17 on board in C-USA. UAB 21-10-1 vs. line since 2017 (3-2 TY).
UAB, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS at SOUTHERN MISS...Seth Littrell 3-0 SU and vs. line against USM.
North Texas, based on series trends.

ARMY at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Tops 7-3-1 as dog since 2018. Army 7-1 vs. number last eight away from Michie.
Slight to Army, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at FIU...Butch Davis 1-4 vs. points to start 2019, though he was 15-6 previous 21 on board.
Slight to Charlotte, based on recent trends.

UMASS at LA TECH...Minutemen 1-7 last 8 as road dog Skip Holtz just 4-8 last 12 as Ruston chalk, 3-5 last 8 as DD chalk.
Slight to La Tech, based on team trends.

FRESNO STATE at AIR FORCE...Fresno 8-0-1 as dog for Tedford since 2017. Note Force just 4-14 vs. spread past nine years in game immediately after Army or Navy.
Fresno State, based on team trends.

USC at NOTRE DAME...Clay Helton 0-2 vs. line away TY, 2-7 last nine vs. spread away. Trojans on 10-22 spread skid since late 2016. SC 1-9 vs. spread last ten against non Pac-12. Irish have covered last three TY, and home side has covered last six in series.
Notre Dame, based on team trends.

FLORIDA STATE at CLEMSON...Dabo has now won last 4 SU in series and covered last 2. Dabo 4-1 vs. points last five as ACC host. FSU has covered last 3 after 4-10 spread slump.
Slight to Clemson, based on extended trends.

PENN STATE at IOWA...Home team 2-0-1 vs. line last three years in series. Ferentz on 14-5-1 spread uptick since late 2017.
Iowa, based on team trends.

WYOMING at SAN DIEGO STATE...Bohl 4-1 vs. line TY, on 9-1 spread run since late 2018. If getting points, note Bohl 16-9 last 25 as dog. Rocky no covers last five as MW host.
Wyoming, based on team trends.

**Udog** · 10-10-2019, 10:52 AM

Syracuse at N.C. State
Joe Nelson

The ACC is back on this week’s national TV contest Thursday night as two quality teams from the ACC Coastal face off in a critical battle as Syracuse and NC State both look for a first conference win of the season.

Neither squad is on pace to match last season’s success and this closely-lined contest will go a long way towards confirming another possible bowl season for the victor.

Syracuse Orange at N.C. State Wolfpack
Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina
Time/TV: Thursday, October 10, 8:00 p.m. ET ESPN
Line: NC State -4½, Over/Under 55
Last Meeting: 2018 at Syracuse (+2) 51, NC State 41

Syracuse and NC State combined for 19 wins last season with both teams in the conversation for the second best team in the ACC behind the eventual national champions. Right now Syracuse and NC State share the basement in the ACC Coastal standings however. With matching 3-2 records both teams have reasonable bowl prospects but the loser of this game will already fall to 0-2 in ACC play.

Challenging remaining schedules are waiting as well though Syracuse already has its loss to Clemson out of the way. The Orange host Pittsburgh next week before facing Florida State ahead of a November run with no easy outs battling through four teams likely alongside these teams in the middle of the ACC picture.

Urgency may be greater for NC State with the next two games on the road albeit with an off week in-between while the home game with Clemson still remains in November.

A decline in quarterback play has been a big factor in the decreased potential of these teams. Ryan Finley had excellent numbers for the Wolfpack last season and made the roster for the Bengals as a 4th round draft pick.

For Syracuse Eric Dungey was one of the top dual-threat quarterbacks in the country last season when he was healthy, though current quarterback Tommy DeVito did see significant action last year as well. DeVito has adequate numbers this season with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions and after taking a hard hit in the last game he is back at practice and expected to play this week with both teams having a bye week last week.

For NC State sophomore Matthew McKay opened the season at quarterback and the numbers were solid in wins over East Carolina and Western Carolina. He struggled in the loss to West Virginia and threw his first interception in the win over Ball State.

He was replaced early in the ugly loss at Florida State to close September and sophomore Bailey Hockman came in relief. Hockman is expected to start this week’s game despite now just 50 pass attempts in his career, 40 of them which came in the Florida State game after his team had fallen behind.

Dave Doeren coached two seasons at Northern Illinois before taking over at NC State in 2013. After a mediocre first four seasons with a 9-23 ACC record, the 2017 and 2018 seasons brought matching 9-4 overall records with winning ACC campaigns as Doeren went from a potential hot seat to being targeted by other programs last winter. It looks like a very difficult road for Wolfpack to turn in another nine-win season however and a sixth straight bowl season isn’t guaranteed at this point.

Dino Babers also came to the ACC after a successful two-year MAC run, winning the 2015 MAC title with Bowling Green. After back-to-back 4-8 seasons but with the big upset over Clemson in 2017, Syracuse broke through with a 10-3 2018 season capped off by a Camping World Bowl win over West Virginia.

At the moment Babers is 21-21 at Syracuse and a second straight bowl trip could hinge on this game with six more potentially closely-lined ACC games ahead to close out the schedule after this road game.

Having played Clemson already this season gives Syracuse a massive strength of schedule edge in comparing these 3-2 teams and also in part accounts for the statistical disparities between these 3-2 teams.

NC State rates dramatically superior defensively, particularly against the run but allowing 612 yards to Clemson weighs on those figures heavily for the Orange. In NC State’s lopsided loss to Florida State they actually had a 370-369 yardage edge but a 3-0 turnover deficit.

Series History:

NC State won a pair of meetings in the late 1990s and meeting in the past six seasons as ACC Coastal foes, NC State has won four of six meetings S/U but going just 2-4 ATS.

NC State won four in a row before falling 51-41 last season at the Carrier Dome as a slight road favorite.

Last Season:

Syracuse started 4-0 last season and they were nearly 7-0 when they eventually hosted NC State in late October. At 5-2 the two losses were a 27-23 loss at Clemson in which the Orange had a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter and then a 44-37 overtime loss at Pittsburgh the following week. NC State entered the Carrier Dome at 5-1 but it was a second straight road game following a brutal 41-7 loss at Clemson that erased the 5-0 start. NC State was still in the top 25 for this matchup last October but early on it appeared clear that wouldn’t last as Syracuse led 24-7 after the first quarter. NC State rallied to get within seven by halftime and was within three in the fourth quarter before a late Orange touchdown after a Finley interception for the game’s only turnover.

Historical Trends:

Since taking over in 2016 Syracuse is 9-4 ATS as a road underdog under Babers with three outright upsets, Both ACC road upsets have come at Boston College with the Orange winning only three ACC road games in 12 tries. NC State is 28-16 S/U and 20-24 ATS at home since 2013 under Doeren. The Wolfpack are 5-10 ATS in the past 15 instances playing as a home favorite while 14-2 S/U at home since 2017.

**Udog** · 10-10-2019, 11:24 AM

Virginia at Miami, Fl.
Matt Blunt

No. 20 Virginia at Miami, Fl.
Venue/Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Fl.
Time/TV: Friday, Oct. 11 (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: Miami -2, Total 44

Recent Meetings:

2018: Virginia (+7) vs. Miami, Fl. 13, Under 46.5
2017: Miami, Fl. (-19.5) 44 vs. Virginia 28, Over 49
2016: Miami, Fl. (-9.5) 34 at Virginia, Under 54.5

Two ranked teams are in action on Friday night, but it's the one that's out on the road that I'm looking at today.

Virginia – fresh off their first loss of the year two weeks ago to Notre Dame – head down to Miami to take on a Hurricanes team that's seemingly already underperformed relative the lofty goals the Hurricanes and their fanbase put on the team every year. At 2-3 SU, Miami fans probably figured their team's record would look much better at this point of the year, but that's clearly not the case. Sometimes a football team just isn't as good as many expected them to be, for a myriad of reasons, and that's the question many handicappers are asking themselves about the Miami Hurricanes this week.

Miami did open as a small favorite for this game and saw some early support to bump the spread up a touch. But after narrowly escaping with a win against Central Michigan as 30-point favorites two games ago, Miami lost again – after having two weeks to prepare – as big favorites, this time laying 14 points to Virginia Tech.

So, is Miami being the favorite and getting some early support warranted? Or will this Hurricanes team that's already 0-3 ATS as favorites against FBS competition be a money burner again?

CFB Odds: Virginia vs Miami (-2.5); Total set at 44

Now that conference play is in full swing across the country, I know there will be talk of games like this each week where we've got an unranked squad like Miami laying points to a ranked team. Generally speaking, there is a theory that laying the points in those situations turns out better then not, but that's the problem with talking in generalities when dealing with specifics.

The specifics for this game is that Miami is a struggling team with much less rest, and probably getting considered more for the program's historical reputation then what they've shown on the football field thus far. The Hurricanes hung tough with Florida on opening day back in late-August, but since then it's really been nothing but downhill for this team against the number. Having played last Saturday and now turning around to play on a Friday – against a team that had last week off – isn't a brutal scheduling spot, but it's not great either.

The time off for Virginia likely negates any sort of hangover effect the Cavaliers may have after suffering their first loss of the year, and it probably humbled them to a degree. Working that much harder during two weeks of practice is probably not a bad thing for a Virginia team that's still ranked in the polls and looking to remain there. And given what film study has shown them the past two weeks, chances are they'll have an edge mentally as well for this game.

Taking the line and the total together as one suggests that points will be at a premium in this game, and that we probably won't get anyone coming back from anything like an early two-TD deficit. Given that Virginia's defense holds edges in nearly every category other then rush yards allowed per attempt and per game, and Miami has allowed at least 24 points to all three Power 5 programs they've faced this season, I believe you've got to favor Virginia's prospects offensively in this game as well.

Rest-wise things line up on Virginia's side, record-wise things line up Virginia's way, and the Cavaliers hold the edge in the majority of statistical categories on both sides of the ball as well. Add it all up and then throw in Miami's underperforming nature this year, and you get a game where it may not be one of those “wrong team is favored” contests per se, but the favorite sure has a lot working against them to get a W.

With the underdog 13-2 ATS in the last 15 meetings between these two games – including 8-1 ATS the last nine – and a perfect 4-0 ATS when the line has been single digits in that span, give me the Cavaliers in this game on Friday night.

**Udog** · 10-10-2019, 11:31 AM

by: Monty Andrews

ORANGE SEEING RED

The Syracuse Orange have already had an interesting season, and it's not even half over. Oddsmakers think the Orange will finally be in a close game, setting them as 4.5-point underdogs for their Thursday night showdown with the N.C. State Wolfpack. Syracuse has been in only one game decided by less than 20 points, and its two losses have come by a combined score of 104-26. But most pressing for Thursday's game: major struggles in the red zone, where the Orange have converted just 73.7 percent of their trips into points (tied for 107th overall). By comparison, the Wolfpack are one of the top red zone teams in the country, having gone 22-for-23 (95.7 percent, 10th in FBS).

With the line for this game so tight, the team that performs better in the red zone will have an enormous ATS advantage – and given recent track records, we're leaning toward the Wolfpack to convert the cover.

A TEXAS-SIZED EDGE?

Texas State stumbled to start the season, but can get back to .500 this week with a home victory over Louisiana-Monroe. The host Bobcats have thrown the ball a ton so far in 2019, with their 60.68-percent pass rate vs. FBS teams ranking them fourth in the country. And they've been relatively successful in that regard, completing 62.4 percent of their attempts (47th) while ranking around league average in yards per game. Look for Texas State to use a similar approach against a Warhawks team that has permitted teams to complete 67.5 percent of their attempts (118th) at a whopping 9.1 yards per pass (117th).

While Texas State has excelled at the short pass, look for the Bobcats to take more shots downfield against a susceptible UL-Monroe secondary. We see the Bobcats as a good Over play on their team total.

ARMANI NOT SUITED TO START

UNLV will once again turn to redshirt freshman Kenyon Oblad as their starting quarterback this weekend against the Vanderbilt Commodores. Junior QB Armani Rogers will not start for the Rebels due to a lingering knee injury that kept him off the field for last week's 38-13 drubbing at the hands of the Boise State Broncos – and while he might see action this week, it won't be in a starting capacity. Oblad finished with decent numbers against the Broncos (262 passing yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT) but needed 55 pass attempts to get there as the Rebels found themselves down by 17 points at the half.

Oblad isn't nearly the rushing threat that Rogers is, which is a major reason why BSU was able to limit UNLV to 2.2 yards per carry last week. And while Vanderbilt is allowing 5.14 YPC on the season, the downgrade in running ability between Oblad and Rogers makes the Rebels a fade as two-TD underdogs vs. the host Commodores.

BRYANT SET TO RETURN?

Missouri quarterback Kelly Bryant says he's "90 percent" sure he'll be able to play this week against Ole Miss. Bryant left last week's victory over the Troy Trojans with what was diagnosed as a left knee sprain, but he has participated in practice this week and told reporters he's good to go for the weekend encounter with the Rebels. While not a true dual-threat quarterback, Bryant has 47 carries for 123 yards and a touchdown on the season to go along with 1,246 passing yards and 11 touchdowns (against three interceptions). More importantly, he has been sacked just eight times through the Tigers' first five games.

It's doubtful that Bryant will be 100 percent when he takes the field this weekend, and that could be a concern against an Ole Miss defense that averages 2.8 sacks per game (24th-best in the country). Whether Bryant plays or not, we like the Rebels to cover as a double-digit road underdog.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-10-2019, 01:04 PM

Total Moves - Week 7
October 10, 2019
By Matt Blunt

College Football Week 7 Total Moves

It was a Saturday of a few nervous moments with the total moves last week, as each of them landed right around the numbers. Maryland/Rutgers finished with 55 points which was good enough to stay 'under' the 56 number at time of writing, while the Oklahoma/Kansas game landed on 65 points when we needed 68. As close as those plays got, a 1-1 record isn't anything horrible.

It's on to Week 7 though, and now that there is a decent data size from all the teams after a month-plus of action, these total moves are nowhere near the range they were a month ago. Gone are the numerous games with 3+ point moves on the total as that's become reserved for just a select few games each week. More data means numbers are getting tighter, which in turn can make it harder to find an edge. So this week's plays aren't necessarily the biggest moves out there, but they are the ones that appear most notable.

YTD: 7-5 ATS

Week 7 Total move to disagree with:

Florida State/Clemson from 61.5 to 59.5

Both of these teams had last week off, and the rest was probably more needed for this Clemson team who survived a serious scare against North Carolina last time out. The Tigers needed to stop a 2-point conversion at the end of the game to escape with a one-point victory that day, in a game they were favored by about 28. And while they nearly got caught, and did drop out of the #1 spot in the CFB rankings, Clemson's still undefeated and continues on their path of making yet another CFB playoff.

For Florida State, the bye week could have come at a better time, as this Seminoles team had started to find something on both sides of the ball. Their much maligned defense that started the year allowing 30+ in three straight games, held Louisville and NC State to 24 and 13 points respectively in double-digit victories. FSU's offense has put up 30+ in four of their five games overall, and you just hope as a Florida State fan that the week off didn't allow them to get complacent, sloppy, and feeling their oats a bit. Chances are that wasn't the case knowing they had Clemson on deck, but when teams are in a groove the last thing they want is time away from the football field.

If that time away does affect FSU, it's likely going to be on the defensive side of things for multiple reasons. One, they are up against Clemson, by far the best team they've faced this year, and getting Clemson off a lackluster performance that resulted in a serious scare can't be ideal for an opposing defense.

Second, FSU's defense only really found something for about two games, compared to their offense being productive in four of the five. If you are going to revert back to your old ways after time away, the 'old' ways of the offense is still putting up 30+, while the 'old' ways of the defense is at least allowing that many. Coupled with the talented offense they are up against, Clemson should be able to put up 40+ in this game.

FSU should be able to hang around for at least a half or most of three quarters in that sense to put up 20+ themselves, and if not, and the game turns into a Clemson rout, that leaves open the possibility of some garbage time TD's from FSU to help the 'over' sneak in the back door.

So while I understand this support for the 'under' here with both teams likely well prepared off a bye week and the last memory of Clemson's offense for most not being good, a total of 60 or less is just too low for these two rivals that have a 10-4-1 O/U record the past 15 meetings. FSU's on a 10-4 O/U overall run themselves dating back to last season, and with 5-1 O/U runs for FSU after a SU win or allowing 19 or fewer points in their last outing, chalk this game up as something like a 48-24 win for Clemson as it sails well 'over' the number.

Week 7 Total move to agree with:

Navy/Tulsa from 52 to 54
Can't imagine this Tulsa defense has too much confidence right now after they blew a 30-9 lead going into the 4th last week against SMU. Tulsa had that game in the bag as big underdogs, before allowing 21 points in the final frame to go to OT, and allowing two more TD's in the extra session to end up on the losing side of things. Those kind of losses can be crushing and may take weeks to fully recover from.

The problem with that is now they have to turn around a week later and deal with Navy's triple-option attack which can be a bitch to deal with in general. It's not unfamiliar to Tulsa being a conference rival of the Midshipmen, but picking themselves off after that tough loss and knowing that their lower-extremities are going to take a beating this week against Navy, can't bring that much enthusiasm.

Therefore, I don't expect Tulsa's defense to be at their best, and may even resemble the one that allowed SMU to walk up and down the field on them in the 4th quarter and beyond. However, with that game being the first 'over' of the year for this Tulsa team, the full body of work still forced this total to come out too low, and even with the move it is probably a point or two short still.

Now, it never feels good betting into a bad number (something I've mentioned a few times before in this section), especially when it crosses through a key number like 53 in this case. But Navy is far from the quality of team they were just a few seasons ago, and defensively I believe they'll have a tough time slowing down Tulsa's attack as well. Navy's allowed an average of 30 points per game over their last two outings – both 'overs' – and you give this Tulsa team that kind of production – they average 24.6 points per game – and in a projected close game with a point spread hovering around pick'em, any number in the low 50's should get surpassed.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-10-2019, 07:40 PM

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SYR at NCST 08:00 PM
SYR +4.5
O 56.0

ULM at TXST 09:15 PM
TXST +3.5
O 60.5

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Wed., Oct. 9 - Sat., Oct. 12)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Wed., Oct. 9 - Sat., Oct. 12)

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