Announcement

**Udog** · 10-02-2019, 09:05 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 17
David Schwab

Hamilton helped it cause in winning the East Division title with Friday night’s 33-13 upset over Winnipeg as a five-point road underdog. In the first of three Saturday games on the Week 16 CFL schedule, Edmonton got past Ottawa 21-16, but it could not cover as seven-point favorites on the road.

In the third of four CFL inter-division tilts this past weekend, Saskatchewan rolled over Toronto 41-16 as a 6 ½-point road favorite. British Columbia kept things rolling for the West by beating Montreal 25-23, but it could not cover giving six points at home.

Friday, Oct. 4

Edmonton Eskimos (7-7 SU, 4-10 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (11-3 SU, 9-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -6
Total: 46 ½

Game Overview

The Eskimos were able to even their record and improve their playoff chances with Saturday’s win. They also snapped a straight-up four-game losing streak that included a 30-27 loss to Hamilton at home as slight 1 ½-point underdogs. Edmonton has failed to cover against the spread in seven of its last eight games with the total going OVER in four of its last six outings. Logan Kilgore threw a 17-yard game winning scoring strike to Tevaun Smith in the closing minutes to get past Ottawa.

Hamilton has clinched a playoff spot and its lead over Montreal for the East title is now four and a half games. The Tiger-Cats are a perfect 6-0 SU at home this season with a 4-1-1 record ATS. They are 6-3-1 ATS when closing as favorites. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games. Dane Evans continues to get the call at quarterback and he threw for 359 yards and three scores against Winnipeg last Friday. Brandon Banks caught eight balls for 113 yards and a score in that game.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last five road games against the Tigers-Cats with a 5-1-1 record ATS in its last seven trips to Hamilton. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings overall.

Saturday, Oct. 5

Calgary Stampeders (9-4 SU, 5-7-1 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (7-6 SU, 8-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -1 ½
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview

Calgary returns from its bye week tied with Saskatchewan for first place in the West Division standings. The Stampeders have won their last four games SU with a 2-1-1 record ATS. Back on Aug. 17, they lost to Montreal 40-34 as five-point home favorites. The total went way OVER 49 ½ points in that game, but it has stayed UNDER in three of four games since that loss. Bo Levi Mitchell is a big reason for Calgary’s current winning streak. Overall, he has thrown for 1,732 yards and eight touchdowns in six previous starts.

Saturday’s loss to BC kept Montreal from clinching its first playoff berth since 2014, but it only needs one more win in its last five games to earn a spot in the East. With Vernon Adams Jr. serving a one-game league suspension, Matt Shiltz got the start at quarterback for the Alouettes. He went 10-for-19 for 177 yards. Adams should be back in the lineup this Saturday. He is fifth in the CFL in total passing yards (2,953) with 15 touchdown throws verse eight interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- Montreal has won four of its last five home games against Calgary SU while covering in all five contests. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last 11 matchups in this inter-division clash.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (9-5 SU, 9-5 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -6
Total: 47

Game Overview

Winnipeg slipped out of first place in the West with Friday’s loss. This was its third SU loss in its last four games. This includes a SU home-and-home split against Saskatchewan with each team coming away with a win on its home field. The total stayed UNDER in both contests. The Blue Bombers are still forging on without Matt Nichols under center. In his place, Chris Streveler threw for 304 yards with one touchdown in Friday’s losing cause. He was also picked off twice.

The Roughriders’ only SU loss in their last nine games was on the road to Winnipeg. They have failed to cover in three of their last four games, but they are 6-3 ATS in nine games closing as favorites. Cody Fajardo turned in another strong effort at quarterback in Saturday’s win with 278 yards passing and three touchdown throws against no interceptions. He also ran for 80 yards and a score on 11 carries. Saskatchewan rushed for 147 total yards in that game.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has a SU 8-4 edge in its last 12 games against the Roughriders and it is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The total has gone OVER in nine of the last 11 meetings in Saskatchewan.

Toronto Argonauts (2-11 SU, 5-6-2 ATS) at British Columbia (4-10 SU, 6-8 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -9 ½
Total: 51

Game Overview

The Argonauts continue to ride out the string with just one SU win in their last six games. They lost to BC 18-17 early in the season as eight-point home underdogs. Toronto is 2-3-1 ATS in six previous road games this season. It is easy to see why this team has only won two games this year. The offense is averaging 19.7 points per game to complement a defense that is ranked last in the league in points allowed (33.0). James Franklin was back under center in Saturday’s loss.

It may be too little, too late, but the Lions have strung together three SU wins. Even after failing to cover against Montreal, they are 5-2 ATS over their last seven outings. The total stayed UNDER 49 points in that latest win and it has now stayed UNDER in BC’s last six contests. Mike Reilly completed 30 of his 34 passing attempts on Saturday for 309 yards and a score. He is currently second in the CFL in total passing yards with 3,615. Reilly has tossed both 15 touchdowns and interceptions this season.

Betting Trends

-- BC has won 10 of its last 14 home games against Toronto SU, but the Argonauts have a 4-1 edge ATS in the last five meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight matchups in this inter-division tilt.

**Udog** · 10-02-2019, 09:06 AM

CFL Week 17 preview, odds, picks & predictions: Bombers Defense will bounce back
Rohit Ponnaiya

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have held the the Roughriders to 14.5 points per game in two contests this year, but are 6-point underdogs against Saskatchewan on Saturday.

Week 17 in the CFL is highlighted by a battle between the Roughriders and Blue Bombers. The Bombers are smarting after their embarrasing loss at home to Hamilton last week and will look to get their defense back on track against a Riders offense they have stuffed this season.

We break down the odds (provided by 10bet.com) for that game and more as we bring you our best bets and predictions for all the CFL games this weekend.

Season Betting Trends

Favorites: 45-16 SU, 26-33-2 ATS
Home teams: 35-26 SU, 28-31-2 ATS
Over/Under: 27-33-1

Week 16 Picks: 2-2
Season to date: 26-29-2

EDMONTON ESKIMOS AT HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (-6, 46.5)

No Masoli, no matter. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats clinched first place in the Eastern Division with five weeks left in the regular season despite losing their star quarterback Jeremiah Masoli to a season-ending injury in July. They are riding high after a 20-point victory on the road in Winnipeg and return home for a tilt against the Eskimos who have lost four of their last five games.

The Esks will once again be missing their own star QB in Trevor Harris who was moved to the six-game IL last weekend. Even with Harris, Edmonton had struggled in the red zone and despite leading the league with 403 yards per game is averaging only 21.3 points per game over thier last 10 contests.

With the Ti-Cats the No. 1 team in the league in both points scored (29.8 ppg) and points allowed (19.7 ppg), back them to win and cover the spread.

PICK: Hamilton -6

CALGARY STAMPEDERS AT MONTREAL ALOUETTES (+2, 51)

The Stamps are coming off their bye week and are tied for the best record in the West. The Als lost on the road to the Lions in Week 16 but had to play that game without their talented QB Vernon Adams Jr who was serving a one-game suspension.

These teams played each other on August 17 and Montreal pulled off a 40-34 road upset thanks to Adams who scored a pair of touchdowns on the ground while throwing for another two scores. The Stamps have an interesting recent history of struggling this month; they're 0-8 ATS and 2-6 SU over their last eight games in October. They also don't generally play well in Montreal going just 0-5 ATS and 1-4 SU in their previous five games at Molson Stadium.

If the Als win they clinch a playoff spot in the East so they should be extremely motivated to make those trends continue. Take the home dogs.

PICK: Montreal +2

WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS AT SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (-6, 47)

Two of the best teams in the CFL tangle for the third time this season. The Riders are 6-1 at home, including a 19-17 win over the Bombers in Week 12. However, the Bombers bounced back to throttle the Riders 35-10.

The Bombers coming off back to back losses, while the Riders have won eight of their last nine games and crushed the Argos by 25 points last week.

That said, Saskatchewan has only scored a total of 29 points in two games against Winnipeg this year. And despite the Bombers defense being uncharacteristically exposed the last two weeks they still hold opponents to just 21.4 points per game on the year. Expect Bombers defensive coordinator Richie Hall to make the necessary adjustments for Saturday and take the Riders team total Under 26.

PICK: Team Total - Saskatchewan Under 26.5

TORONTO ARGONAUTS AT BC LIONS (-9, 51)

The Lions have now won three games in a row after beginning the year 1-9. Their only victory through the first ten games of the season came against Toronto on July 6, when they eked out a 18-17 win on a missed field goal (a missed FG that goes through the endzone is a single point in the CFL).

BC's recent success might be a bit of a mirage though. Two of those three victories came against the Ottawa Redblacks who have been the worst team in the league since July and the other win was by just two points at home against an Alouettes side that was playing their backup QB. Laying nine points is just too much for a mediocre team like the Lions. Take the visitors.

PICK: Toronto +9

**Udog** · 10-02-2019, 09:11 AM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 17

Friday, October 4

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EDMONTON (7 - 7) at HAMILTON (11 - 3) - 10/4/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
EDMONTON is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HAMILTON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
HAMILTON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAMILTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 5

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CALGARY (9 - 4) at MONTREAL (7 - 6) - 10/5/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
MONTREAL is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (9 - 5) at SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 4) - 10/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 130-96 ATS (+24.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-4 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (2 - 11) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 10) - 10/5/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 16

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 4

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Hamilton's last 10 games
Hamilton is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games at home
Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Hamilton is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Hamilton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Edmonton's last 12 games
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games on the road
Edmonton is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Edmonton is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing on the road against Hamilton

Saturday, October 5

Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Montreal is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games at home
Montreal is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games when playing Calgary
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games on the road
Calgary is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games when playing Montreal
Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal

Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Saskatchewan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Saskatchewan's last 11 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games
Winnipeg is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 11 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games
British Columbia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
British Columbia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games at home
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
British Columbia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of British Columbia's last 8 games when playing Toronto
British Columbia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
British Columbia is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Toronto
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 5-10-2 ATS in its last 17 games
Toronto is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Toronto is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Toronto is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing British Columbia
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Toronto is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against British Columbia

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**Udog** · 10-03-2019, 09:43 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 17

Friday October 4

Edmonton @ Hamilton

Game 681-682
October 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
107.871
Hamilton
120.188
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 12 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 6
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-6); Over

Saturday, October 5

Calgary @ Montreal

Game 683-684
October 5, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
118.566
Montreal
113.601
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 5
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-2); Over

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan

Game 685-686
October 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
116.936
Saskatchewan
118.209
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 1 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 5 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+5 1/2); Over

Toronto @ BC Lions

Game 687-688
October 5, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
108.098
BC Lions
114.165
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 6
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 9
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+9); Over

Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Fri., Oct. 4 - Sat., Oct. 5)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Fri., Oct. 4 - Sat., Oct. 5)

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