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**Udog** · 09-30-2019, 09:12 AM

Betting Recap - Week 5
Joe Williams

College Football Week 5 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 44-11
Against the Spread 25-30

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 37-18
Against the Spread 27-28

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 23-31-1

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 294-50
Against the Spread 171-166-7

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 246-94
Against the Spread 159-174-7

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 161-179-6

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Massachusetts (+8.5, ML +260) vs. Akron, 37-29
Houston (+8, ML +250) at North Texas, 46-25
Arkansas State (+7, ML +230) at Troy, 50-43
Arizona State (+4.5, ML +180) at California, 24-17

The largest favorites to cover
Syracuse (-37.5) vs. Holy Cross, 41-3
Florida (-33) vs. Towson, 38-0
Michigan (-27.5) vs. Rutgers, 52-0
Oklahoma (-27) vs. Texas Tech, 55-16

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)

-- Memphis topped Navy in an game on Thursday night, 35-23. The Midshipmen were leading the Tigers 20-14 at halftime, but the second half was a different story with the Tigers outscoring the Middles 21-3 in the final 30 minutes. It wasn't what would be called a bad beat, but the Tigers scored a 31-yard touchdown from Brady White to Damonte Coxie with 11:27 left to give the Tigers the cover and hit the number for over bettors. ... Cincinnati smashed Marshall, 52-14, hitting the 'over' (46.5) themselves. Luke Fickell's group is now 3-1 SU/ATS, with the only non-cover that 42-0 whitewashing at Ohio State on Sept. 7. The over was the first in four games for the Bearcats. ... Temple scored a nice win for the conference, topping Georgia Tech, 24-2. It was a little revenge against a Power 5 team, after UCF lost at Pitt, an ACC team, last week. ... SMU has quietly opened 5-0 SU/ATS. They wrecked South Florida by a 48-21 score. The Mustangs have rolled up 37 or more points in each of their five games, cashing the 'over' in all five outings.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)

-- Clemson left Kenan Stadium with a 21-20 victory over North Carolina. The Tar Heels scored a late touchdown and elected to go for two, coming up just short. The Tigers were outplayed for most of the game, but most good teams find a way to survive and advance. That's just what they did. ... Duke lost QB Daniel Jones to the NFL this past offseason, and they were expected to be rather middling. Ask Virginia Tech if that's accurate. The Blue Devils humbled the Hokies 45-10 in Blacksburg. Duke is now 3-1 SU/ATS, with their only loss to Alabama in their neutral-site opener. The 'over' has cashed in three in a row, too, as Duke has 41 or more points in each of the outings. ... The Blue Devils will welcome Pittsburgh in their next home game. The Panthers limped to a 17-14 win over FCS Delaware, perhaps a bit of a hangover after a huge win over UCF last week. To be fair, the Blue Hens were ranked No. 19 in the FCS rankings entering the week, so they're no slouch. Still, the Panthers were favored by four touchdowns. ... Those Vegas guys are pretty good sometimes. Syracuse was listed as a 37.5-point favorite over FCS Holy Cross. They ended up winning 41-3. Gordie Lockbaum wasn't walking through that door for the Crusaders today. ... Notre Dame was down at half to Virginia, but they bounced back at Georgia after their loss a week ago. The Irish have now covered three in a row after failing to cover by a point and a half in Louisville on Sept. 2.

BIG TEN

-- Penn State obliterated Maryland by a 59-0 count. Anyone holding an 'over' (59.5) ticket is likely none too pleased with the Terrapins. Since firing out of the box with 142 total points and a 2-0 SU/ATS mark in the first two games, the Terps are 0-2 SU/ATS while being outscored 79-17 in the past two. ... Michigan rebounded from their loss in Madison last week, thumping Rutgers, 52-0. The Wolverines outgained the Scarlet Knights 476-154 in total yards while picking up 28 first downs to 10. ... Wisconsin might have endured a bit of a hangover, too, after their big win over Michigan. The Badgers weren't pretty, especially with those throwback tan pants and 'UW' helmets, but they got it done 24-15 over Northwestern. The Wildcats have been a thorn in the side of Bucky over the years. ... Minnesota went to Ross-Ade Stadium and took care of Purdue by a 38-31 score to move to 4-0 SU. More importantly it was the first cover of the season for the Gophers (1-2-1 ATS). The 'over' has cashed in three in a row for Minny, too. ... Ohio State hammered Nebraska by a 48-7 score, moving to 4-0 ATS over the past four outings. Ohio State has scored 42 or more points in all five of their games.

BIG 12

-- It was a slow week in the Big 12, with a total of just four games, all conference battles, in action. Kansas was back to themselves, and that's not a good thing. TCU roughed up the Jayhawks 51-14, firing out to a 38-0 halftime lead and never looking back. The Horned Frogs are 2-2 ATS and the over/under is 2-2. One consistent thing about the Horned Frogs has been their offense, posting 34 or more points in each outing. They allowed 41 in their loss against SMU on Sept. 21, but they have allowed a total of 34 points in their other thee outings. ... Oklahoma hammered Texas Tech, 55-16. They fired out to a 17-0 start after the first quarter to set the tone early. Oddly enough, with a total of 71, this game pushed at most shops. The Sooners have now covered three in a row. ... Baylor edged Iowa State, 23-21, kicking a last-second field goal for the win. Matt Rhule's bunch is now 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS, covering both home games vs. FBS opponents.

CONFERENCE USA

-- Florida Atlantic hit the road for Charlotte, and they partied like it was 2017. They won 45-27 in the Conference USA road opener, moving to 3-2 SU. The Owls have scored 41 or more points in three consecutive games, too, as the Lane Train is rolling again, halfway to bowl eligibility. ... Middle Tennessee got spanked 48-3 at lowa, as head coach Rick Stockstill is finding life to be difficult after his son graduated. The Blue Raiders were down 24-0 at halftime, and it obviously didn't get much better after that. The Blue Raiders covered the opener at Michigan, but they're 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS over the past three. The 'over' is 3-0-1 in four games for MTSU this season, as they have allowed 40 or more points in three of those contests, all against Power 5 schools, though. ... North Texas fell to Houston 46-25, as the Mean Green fell as six-point favorites at home.

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)

-- Toledo scored a nice win for the conference, topping BYU 28-21 at the Glass Bowl. They entered the fourth quarter down 21-14. It was actually their first win by seven or more points after entering the fourth quarter down by seven or more since Oct. 16, 1971 vs. Western Michigan (down 24-14, won 35-24), according to the Elias Sports Bureau. ... Speaking of Western Michigan, they topped rival Central Michigan 31-15 in Kalamazoo. Officially, this game was a push, as a majority of shops closed at 16. However, some might have gotten this as high as 17.5 and some might have laid just 15. This line differed by as many as two and a half points this week. ... Akron continues to struggle mightily, hitting rock bottom in a 37-29 loss at Massachusetts as 6.5-point favorites. The Zips are now 0-5 SU/ATS, and they have allowed at least 31 points in all five games this season. ... Miami-Ohio booted Buffalo, 34-20, as the 'over' (50) connected. The over is 13-5 in the past 18 for Buffalo, and 8-3 in their past 11 on the road. The over is 5-1 in Miami's past six overall. In this series, the over is 8-1 in the past nine in Oxford, and 6-1 in the past seven battles overall.

MOUNTAIN WEST

-- New Mexico outlasted New Mexico State in a crazy 55-52 victory in Albuquerque. When the Lobos and Aggies hook up there are plenty of points sure to follow. The 'over' is a perfect 3-0 for UNM so far, as they have averaged 36.0 PPG on offense while yielding 46.3 PPG on defense. ... San Jose State scored a huge victory for their program, topping Arkansas by a 31-24 count. It was the first win against a Power 5 opponent since 2006 for the Spartans. The 'under' has cashed in all three games for San Jose State so far, ans they're a respectable 2-1 SU. The cover was their first of the season, too. ... Nevada posted a nice 37-21 road win over UTEP, moving to 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS. The 'over' is also 3-1 in four games for the Wolf Pack. ... Utah State earned the 23-17 victory at San Diego State to move to 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS. ... Boise State remained perfect at 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS after topping Air Force on Friday night by a 30-19 score. After UCF's lost to Pitt, the Broncos are now likely the top Group of Five entrant.
PAC-12

-- There are no more unbeaten teams in the conference after California was tripped up 24-17 in Berkeley by Arizona State. The Bears lost starting QB Chase Garbers (shoulder) in the first half, and backup QB Devon Modster was a train wreck. The Bears will have issues at Oregon next week if Garbers isn't available, and he likely won't be. ... Washington has restored order after their loss to Cal earlier, dropping USC by a 28-14 count. Sure, the Trojans are down to their third-string QB due to injuries, but this one was closer than some thought. USC is 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS at home, and 0-2 SU/ATS on the road. ... UCLA-Arizona was a tussle, as the Bruins lost QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson (ankle) to an injury, while the Wildcats were already without QB Khalil Tate (lower body). The Wildcats hung on for the 20-17 win, but the Bruins covered for the second consecutive road game.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)

-- Texas A&M edged rivals Arkansas 31-27 in a neutral-site battle in Arlington, Tex. The Razorbacks did a good job after an embarrassing loss at home to San Jose State last week, but the results are the same. The Aggies improved to 3-2 SU, and 1-1 in the SEC, but they have failed to cover in each of the past two. ... Florida stepped out of conference for the 38-0 win over FCS Towson in a tune-up for Auburn next time out. ... Speaking of Auburn, they roughed up Mississipp State, and finally got the pass game going. ... Vanderbilt nipped Northern Illinois, 24-18, as the Huskies officially covered at most shops as a 6.5-point underdog. It was Vandy's first win in four games, but they're 0-4 ATS. ... Alabama paddled Mississippi by a 59-31 count in a high-scoring affair at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Rebels grabbed the cover, just their second in five outings this season. Howver, they're 2-0 ATS against SEC opponents.

SUN BELT

-- Texas State won for the second straight weekend, topping FCS Nicholls State 24-3. That doesn't sound terribly impressive, but Nicholls is ranked in the Top 25. ... Arkansas State outlasted Troy by a 50-43 count in the highest scoring game of the entire FBS weekend. The 'over' has hit in each of the past two games for the Red Wolves. ... Louisiana-Lafayette took care of Georgia Southern by a 37-24 score as the 'over' connected. With a total of 54 points on the board, the Ragin' Cajuns picked up a touchdown to push the total over, 37-23, flipping the total from under to over.

Bad Beats

-- On Friday night, Air Force worked over San Jose State, 41-24. The Spartans were down 41-10 with 7:48 left in regulation. They scored a TD with 3:51 left. Falcons bettors, on the right side all night, saw Air Force go for it on fourth and short and miss inside their own territory. The Spartans took over and backup QB Nick Nash hit TE Derrick Deese Jr. for a score with :52 left for the backdoor cover and bad beat. And under (56.5) bettors thought the TD with 3:51 was a bad beat. Nah. The line change inside the final minute was much worse.

-- Also on Friday, Duke scored a touchdown with 3:37 to go, already up 38-10, flipping the total from an under to an over. It wasn't a true 'bad beat', and you probably won't see this one on Scott Van Pelt, but it hurt just the same if you had the under. It looked great all night, with a total of just 27 points on the board with 5:56 to go in the third quarter.

-- In that NIU-Vandy game, with the Huskies down 24-10, the visitors scored a touchdown to make it 24-16, still not covering as 6.5-point underdogs. Much to the delight of side bettors of Northern Illinois, the coach elected to go for two - and got it. If you were laying the 6.5 with Vandy, you likely said a lot of bad words. Still, there was just under 12 minutes to change the result, but that was the final score of the game. Maybe it's not technically a bad beat, but it is a curious decision by the NIU coach at the least, and deserves honorable mention.

**Udog** · 09-30-2019, 09:12 AM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 5
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the fifth big weekend of the college football season to close September.

Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Memphis (-11) 35, Navy 23: Navy wound up a with a pronounced production edge Thursday night against Memphis and the Midshipmen led 20-7 about halfway through the second quarter. Memphis returned the next kickoff 99 yards to get within six by halftime and in the third quarter the Tigers added 14 points including a 73-yard strike to put Memphis up 28-20. Navy added a field goal early in the fourth to boost the chances for the underdog but Memphis answered quickly to reach its greatest lead of the game up by 12. Navy had two late possessions but wasn’t much of a threat to add points.

Air Force (-19½) 41, San Jose State 24: San Jose State scored on its opening drive looking to back up last week’s win over Arkansas. The Spartans were also stopped on downs in Air Force territory on the next two possessions as they had an opportunity for an even better start. Air Force scored touchdowns on three of its first four possessions but had a costly fumble in the red zone just before halftime to lead by only 11 on spread that climbed upward Friday evening. Air Force scored 13 points five minutes into the second half helped by what turned into an accidental wind-aided on-side kick recovery to take a commanding 34-10 edge. After both teams botched scoring opportunities late in the third quarter a lengthy Air Force drive ended in a touchdown to put the Falcons up by 31 about halfway through the fourth quarter. With backup quarterback Nick Nash in the game, the Spartans connected for a 30-yard touchdown pass with fewer than four minutes remaining. Air Force then wound up going for it on 4th-and-short from its own 22 with a 24-point lead and fell short. Handed great field position, Nash put the Spartans into the end zone inside of two minutes to steal the underdog cover.

Arizona State (+4½) 24, California 17: After losing quarterback Chase Garbers just before halftime California managed to take a three-point lead early in the fourth quarter taking advantage of great field position after Jayden Daniels fumbled on a sack. Leaning on the running game Arizona State responded with a lengthy drive to get in front 21-17 with about five minutes to go. Cal failed going for it on 4th down on its next possession but Arizona State only added three to keep the game in play. Devon Modster and the Bears were not able to put together much on a late chance to keep its perfect season going, ultimately winding up with only 245 yards for the game.

Wisconsin (-23) 24, Northwestern 15: The heavy underdog Wildcats hung around vs. Wisconsin but a 68-yard interception return in the fourth quarter suddenly put Wisconsin up by 21 despite the game being just 7-3 late in the third quarter. Northwestern had a 3-and-out to hand the Badgers the ball back with a chance to get past the favorite spread but the punt wasn’t handled as the Wildcats managed to recover the muff and with good field position found the end zone to secure the underdog cover. Northwestern actually adding another touchdown later in the fourth and had a two-point conversion attempt to get back within seven that came up short. It was another cover for the Wildcats in the series, while actually out-gaining Wisconsin and featuring a 21-13 edge in 1st downs but with two Wisconsin defensive scores allowed.

Wake Forest (-4½) 27, Boston College 24: Wake Forest and Boston College were knotted at 17-17 at the break but Wake Forest added a late third quarter field goal and an early fourth quarter touchdown to lead by 10. In that stretch the Demon Deacons survived an interception with a 4th down stop on defense. Boston College climbed back in the game with a touchdown completed from running back David Bailey throwing to get within three and within the underdog spread with just over six minutes to go. Wake Forest used up significant clock on a 12-play drive but couldn’t run it all out as Boston College had a late chance, eventually reaching the midfield on the final play.

Western Michigan (-15½) 31, Central Michigan 15: The spread on this game dipped from as high as -17½ to just -15½ at some outlets by kickoff. With a 24-0 edge through three quarters it didn’t appear to matter but Central Michigan put up a fourth quarter fight with nine early points. A Western Michigan touchdown with about five minutes to go put the Broncos back past the number but the Chippewas quickly answered with a 34-yard strike to score. Down 16 Central Michigan went for two and came up empty in a critical play for those that waited to play the Saturday prices.

Toledo (+2½) 28, BYU 21: BYU broke a 14-14 tie with a touchdown on a short field following a muffed punt to lead by seven as a slight road favorite. Toledo would answer less than a minute into the fourth quarter to tie the game before the teams traded punts and then empty possessions with BYU stopped on downs and Toledo having a fumble at the BYU 20-yard-line. The momentum swung back quickly as BYU quarterback Zach Wilson was intercepted on 1st down with a return all the way down to the 2-yard-line. Toledo punched in the touchdown on the next play and the defense was able to hold off a drive to the Toledo 32 in the final seconds behind BYU back-up quarterback Jaren Hall after Wilson injured his hand on the decisive interception.

Vanderbilt (-7½) 24, Northern Illinois 18: The Commodores jumped out to a 14-0 lead only about six minutes into the game and that score held through halftime. Northern Illinois managed a field goal and a touchdown early in the second half but Vanderbilt seemed to put the game away with a 38-yard touchdown pass late in third quarter. Another score was on the way early in the fourth but in settling for a short field goal, Vanderbilt kept the door open for the underdog. Northern Illinois would score just two minutes later and down eight opted to go for two, successfully trimming the margin to six points in an unexpected play with huge ramifications relative to the spread that was commonly at 6½ before rising to 7½. The six-point margin held with neither side offering much of a scoring threat in the final 10 minutes.

Oklahoma (-27½) 55, Texas Tech 16: Oklahoma’s victory was never in doubt, but the heavy underdog Red Raiders rushed for nearly 200 yards and were in position to cover with the ball back down 32. A fumble near midfield sealed their fate with about nine minutes to go and the Red Raiders came up empty in two late drives that reached well into Oklahoma territory while Oklahoma added one more touchdown to win by 39.

Notre Dame (-10½) 35, Virginia 20: Virginia led 17-14 at halftime and had a significant production edge at that point. In the third quarter the Irish ran 11 plays and the only 1st down they picked up was via a penalty but they wound up with an 11-point lead thanks to three Virginia fumbles, one of which was returned to the two-yard-line and another was brought to the end zone for a defensive score. That margin was right in-between a spread that hit as high as +13 but dropped on game day down to as low as +10. Virginia had two interceptions in the fourth quarter looking to climb back in the game while Notre Dame broke a 30-yard run for a touchdown. Down 18 Virginia opted for a 27-yard field goal with six minutes to go that was of no help to the underdog supporters.

Washington (-12) 28, USC 14: Washington led by 10 at the half and by 14 through three quarters after Michael Pittman had a 44 touchdown to bring USC back in the game. Washington fumbled near midfield to hand USC an opportunity in the fourth quarter but an exchange of punts followed. USC looked likely to earn the underdog cover late reaching 1st-and-goal from the Washington 5-yard-line but the Trojans weren’t able to get in. On its final possession Matt Fink brought USC across midfield and pass interference converted a 4th-and-10 play. The next throw was intercepted however as the Huskies escaped still up 14 after a scoreless final frame.

UCF (-42½) 56, Connecticut 21: The Knights nearly eclipsed this massive spread by halftime with a 42-0 advantage and with nearly six minutes left in the third quarter it was 56-0. The Huskies would score late in the third quarter for the first time and then again in the fourth to get the margin back to 42 and within the hefty underdog number. On its next possession UCF fumbled at the UConn 21-yard-line and then with two minutes remaining the Knights went for it on 4th-and-9 rather than attempting a long field goal. A sack on that play gave the Huskies good field position and Steven Krajewski fired away, getting the Huskies into the end zone with 19 seconds to go to secure the underdog win.

Stanford (-3½) 31, Oregon State 28: Davis Mills led Stanford to an early 21-0 edge but Oregon State made a late charge getting to 21-14 early in the fourth quarter. Stanford would answer to lead by 14 with nine minutes remaining but the Beavers kept the momentum on offense with a six-play touchdown drive to get back within seven with seven minutes to go. Oregon State’s defense forced a 3-and-out and the Beavers went 77 yards to tie the game with fewer than two minutes remaining. It was however enough time for Mills and the Stanford offense thanks to a 43-yard kickoff return as the Cardinal gained 29 more yards and connected from 39 yards for the game-winning field goal, though for many, the Beavers still collected.

Appalachian State (-14½) 56, Coastal Carolina 37: After the big win over North Carolina, Appalachian State found itself in a back-and-forth game with a 21-21 tie late in the second quarter. The Mountaineers managed two touchdowns in the final two minutes before the break to suddenly lead by 14 however. Appalachian State scored first in the second half but by the start of the fourth quarter the 21-point edge had been shrunk to 12. An interception return touchdown put Appalachian State up by 19 and they added another touchdown on a short field with about four minutes remaining. A late Coastal Carolina touchdown wasn’t enough to get back within the number in a game that was much closer in the box score than the scoreboard suggests.

Liberty (-7½) 17, New Mexico 10: Liberty led 17-3 through three quarters and had a significant yardage edge. With a common number of -7 the line did hit -7½ by kickoff and late Flames backers had reason for worry. An interception bailed out Liberty following a missed field goal and the defense again got a big stop as New Mexico went for it on 4th-and-8 early in the fourth quarter. The Lobos would not be denied on their final possession however, converting a big third down with 53 seconds to go and then hitting the end zone with 43 seconds to go to climb within seven for the final margin.

UL-Monroe (-14½) 30, South Alabama 17: The Warhawks led by just seven heading into the fourth quarter but back-to-back touchdown drives pushed the margin to 20 points with about seven minutes to go. South Alabama would go 75 yards in the next four minutes however to get back within the number and UL-Monroe did not make a push to add points late.

**Udog** · 09-30-2019, 09:13 AM

This report may update as gamedays get closer....

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 3

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GA SOUTHERN (1 - 3) at S ALABAMA (1 - 4) - 10/3/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 2-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 2-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEMPLE (3 - 1) at E CAROLINA (3 - 2) - 10/3/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 107-77 ATS (+22.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEMPLE is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Thursday since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, October 4

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UCF (4 - 1) at CINCINNATI (3 - 1) - 10/4/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO (2 - 2) at SAN JOSE ST (2 - 2) - 10/4/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NEW MEXICO is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, October 5

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S FLORIDA (1 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 2) at LOUISVILLE (2 - 2) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA (2 - 3) at GEORGIA TECH (1 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (3 - 1) at W VIRGINIA (3 - 1) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PURDUE (1 - 3) at PENN ST (4 - 0) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALL ST (1 - 3) at N ILLINOIS (1 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 104-75 ATS (+21.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULANE (3 - 1) at ARMY (3 - 1) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against American Athletic conference opponents since 1992.
ARMY is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) at DUKE (3 - 1) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (4 - 0) at KANSAS ST (3 - 1) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 127-93 ATS (+24.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 160-122 ATS (+25.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 132-99 ATS (+23.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 125-90 ATS (+26.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (2 - 2) at RUTGERS (1 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (4 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (2 - 2) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 84-55 ATS (+23.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 128-92 ATS (+26.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENT ST (2 - 2) at WISCONSIN (4 - 0) - 10/5/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (3 - 2) at TOLEDO (3 - 1) - 10/5/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TOLEDO is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TOLEDO is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (4 - 0) at KANSAS (2 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 133-171 ATS (-55.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 133-171 ATS (-55.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 84-120 ATS (-48.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 94-126 ATS (-44.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 123-162 ATS (-55.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 104-135 ATS (-44.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 86-121 ATS (-47.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 59-90 ATS (-40.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 58-88 ATS (-38.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO U (1 - 3) at BUFFALO (2 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (3 - 1) at IOWA ST (2 - 2) - 10/5/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (1 - 3) at OLE MISS (2 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 1-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (2 - 2) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
MARSHALL is 49-72 ATS (-30.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 49-72 ATS (-30.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOWLING GREEN (1 - 3) at NOTRE DAME (3 - 1) - 10/5/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (3 - 2) at GEORGIA ST (2 - 2) - 10/5/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (2 - 2) at OLD DOMINION (1 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLD DOMINION is 2-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
OLD DOMINION is 1-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUBURN (5 - 0) at FLORIDA (5 - 0) - 10/5/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 4) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (1 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (4 - 0) at LA MONROE (2 - 2) - 10/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (4 - 1) at OHIO ST (5 - 0) - 10/5/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 194-148 ATS (+31.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 194-148 ATS (+31.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 126-96 ATS (+20.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 176-133 ATS (+29.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 97-71 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (3 - 1) at LSU (4 - 0) - 10/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (1 - 3) at UTEP (1 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTSA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
UTEP is 41-64 ATS (-29.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOISE ST (4 - 0) at UNLV (1 - 3) - 10/5/2019, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-30-2019, 09:14 AM

NCAAF

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 3

Georgia Southern @ South Alabama
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing South Alabama
Georgia Southern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Alabama
South Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Alabama's last 5 games
South Alabama is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Temple @ East Carolina
Temple
Temple is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
East Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of East Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing Temple

Friday, October 4

Central Florida @ Cincinnati
Central Florida
Central Florida is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Central Florida is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

New Mexico @ San Jose State
New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Mexico's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Mexico's last 9 games
San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 6 games
San Jose State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

Saturday, October 5

Utah State @ Louisiana State
Utah State
Utah State is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
Utah State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 5 games

Tulane @ Army
Tulane
Tulane is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tulane is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Army is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

Texas Christian @ Iowa State
Texas Christian
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Christian's last 5 games when playing Iowa State
Texas Christian is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
Iowa State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Oklahoma @ Kansas
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma

Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
Texas Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games
Texas Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma State

Iowa @ Michigan
Iowa
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Iowa's last 9 games on the road
Michigan
Michigan is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 6 games

Maryland @ Rutgers
Maryland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 7 games on the road
Maryland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Rutgers
Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Rutgers's last 10 games

Purdue @ Penn State
Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Purdue's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games
Penn State
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
Penn State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Purdue

Kent State @ Wisconsin
Kent State
Kent State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Kent State is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wisconsin is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

South Florida @ Connecticut
South Florida
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Florida's last 7 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games

Boston College @ Louisville
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Louisville
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing Boston College
Louisville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston College

Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 18-4 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan
Central Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan

Auburn @ Florida
Auburn
Auburn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Baylor @ Kansas State
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baylor is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas State
Kansas State
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Virginia Tech @ Miami-FL
Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Virginia Tech's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games when playing Miami-FL
Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami-FL's last 8 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech
Miami-FL is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

Texas @ West Virginia
Texas
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
West Virginia
West Virginia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of West Virginia's last 10 games

Illinois @ Minnesota
Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Illinois's last 10 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Air Force @ Navy
Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Air Force's last 7 games when playing Navy
Air Force is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Navy
Navy
Navy is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Navy's last 7 games when playing Air Force

Marshall @ Middle Tennessee
Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Marshall's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games on the road
Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games
Middle Tennessee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Ohio @ Buffalo
Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 6 games on the road
Ohio is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ohio

Ball State @ Northern Illinois
Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ball State's last 8 games on the road
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ball State
Northern Illinois is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ball State

Western Michigan @ Toledo
Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toledo's last 7 games when playing at home against Western Michigan
Toledo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Arkansas State @ Georgia State
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games on the road
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Georgia State's last 11 games
Georgia State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Bowling Green @ Notre Dame
Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Bowling Green's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Bowling Green's last 5 games on the road
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games

Memphis @ Louisiana-Monroe
Memphis
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games at home

Troy @ Missouri
Troy
Troy is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Troy is 10-1-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Missouri
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games at home

North Carolina @ Georgia Tech
North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games at home

Northwestern @ Nebraska
Northwestern
Northwestern is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Northwestern is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Nebraska
Nebraska is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games at home

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games

Western Kentucky @ Old Dominion
Western Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing Old Dominion
Western Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Old Dominion
Old Dominion
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games when playing Western Kentucky

Georgia @ Tennessee
Georgia
Georgia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Georgia is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Georgia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing Georgia

Massachusetts @ Florida International
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 6 games on the road
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida International's last 10 games
Florida International is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home

Rice @ Alabama-Birmingham
Rice
Rice is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Rice is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Vanderbilt @ Mississippi
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
Vanderbilt is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Mississippi
Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Mississippi's last 13 games when playing Vanderbilt
Mississippi is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vanderbilt

Michigan State @ Ohio State
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing Ohio State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games on the road
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Tulsa @ Southern Methodist
Tulsa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tulsa's last 11 games on the road
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

California @ Oregon
California
California is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of California's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oregon
Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oregon is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against California

Pittsburgh @ Duke
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 6 games
Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Liberty @ New Mexico State
Liberty
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Liberty's last 5 games
Liberty is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
New Mexico State
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New Mexico State's last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 7 games

Texas-San Antonio @ Texas El Paso
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Texas-San Antonio's last 16 games on the road
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas El Paso's last 8 games

Oregon State @ California-Los Angeles
Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oregon State's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon State's last 7 games when playing California-Los Angeles
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of California-Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing Oregon State
California-Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oregon State

San Diego State @ Colorado State
San Diego State
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 5 games
Colorado State
Colorado State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado State's last 8 games at home

Washington @ Stanford
Washington
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Stanford is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home

Boise State @ Nevada-Las Vegas
Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boise State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 25 games at home
Nevada-Las Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Appalachian State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-30-2019, 09:15 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5

Thursday’s games
Georgia Southern won/covered all five games with South Alabama, winning 24-9/28-6 in two visits here; Eagles ran ball for 295+ yards in all five games. GSU is 0-3 vs I-A teams this year, giving up 43.4 ppg- since moving to I-A football, they’re 9-8 ATS as road faves. South Alabama gave up 35.5 ppg in losing its first four I-A games; they only lost 35-21 at Nebraska, but in their last three games, USA was outgained, 1,472-815. Since moving to I-A football, Jaguars are 7-11 as home underdogs. Under is 3-0 in GSU’s I-A games, 4-0 in USA’s games.

Temple is 3-1 but lost only road game 38-22 at Buffalo as a 14-point favorite; Owls had been 10-2-1 ATS in previous 13 games as a road favorite. Temple won/covered last five games with East Carolina, taking last three by average score of 40-9. Owls have home wins this year over Maryland, Ga Tech. ECU has two wins over I-AA teams this year (why?); they’re 1-2 vs I-A teams, upsetting ODU last week. Pirates are 3-9 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog. Nationwide, home underdogs are 12-14 ATS in conference games so far this season.

Friday’s games
Central Florida is 4-1 this year, scoring 45.8 ppg in four I-A games; their only loss was 35-34 at Pitt. Knights allowed 865 yards in their last two games. UCF is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite, 1-1 this year. Freshman QB Gabriel (from Hawai’i) is completing 61.7% of his passes, with 14 TD’s, only two INT’s. UCF beat Cincinnati the last three years, by average score of 38-13; Bearcats got crushed at Ohio St, but won their other three games, running for 464 yards in last two games. Cincy is 3-6 ATS in its last nine games as a home underdog.

New Mexico split its first four games but allowed 2,124 yards, including 558 yards (443 PY) to a I-AA team; they scored 14-10 points in losing both road games, falling 17-10 (+7) at Liberty LW. Last five years, Lobos are 8-10-1 ATS as a road underdog. San Jose State won three of last four games with New Mexico; dogs covered three of those four games. San Jose won at Arkansas but lost its other I-A games by 18-17 points; Spartans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Nationwide, home favorites are 31-17 ATS in conference games this year.

Saturday’s top 13 games
Last ten years, Texas is 0-10 ATS the week before they play Oklahoma. Underdogs are 5-2 SU in last seven Texas-West Virginia games; Longhorns won two of last three visits here (favorites 2-1 ATS). Road team won five of last seven series games. Under Herman, Texas is 4-4 ATS as a road favorite (1-0 in ’19), 3-6 as a double digit fave (2-0 in ’19). West Virginia is 3-1 this year, but gave up 89 points in their three I-A games; over last decade, WVU is 5-6-1 ATS as a home underdog. Home teams covered five of first six Big X conference games this year.

Duke scored 86 points in winning its last two games, both on road, when they ran ball for 460 yards; Blue Devils lost four of their last five games with Pitt, which won its last three visits to Durham, by 3-18-7 points. Underdogs covered five of last six series games. Last 4+ years, Duke is 6-12 ATS as a home favorite. Pitt upset UCF two weeks ago, then was life/death to nip I-AA Delaware 17-14 LW; under Narduzzi, Panthers are 13-6 ATS as a road underdog. Three of four Pitt games stayed under the total.

Underdogs covered five of last six Baylor-Kansas State games, including last four meetings here; Bears won two of last three trips to the Little Apple. Baylor is 4-0 after upsetting Iowa St at home LW; Bears are 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog- they won their only road game this year, 21-13 (-27) at Rice. K-State allowed 574 YR in splitting its last two games; they completed only 21-41 passes in those games. Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite, 1-0 this year; they ran for 225+ yards in last four series games.

Texas Tech beat Oklahoma State 41-17 LY, ending a 9-game series skid; Cowboys won their last five visits to Lubbock, scoring 52.6 ppg. Underdogs covered four of last five series games. OSU is 4-1 with road wins at Oregon St/Tulsa; they ran ball for 373 yards in LW’s win over K-State. Last three years, Cowboys are 7-5 ATS as a road favorite. Tech was held to 14-16 points in losing last two games, when they allowed 515 RY; Red Raiders gave up 642 yards to Oklahoma LW, 441 in the air. Tech is 5-6 ATS in its last 11 games as a home underdog.

Arizona won its last three games, holding Texas Tech/UCLA to 14-17 points the last two games; they’ve given up 415 TY in all four of their games this season, including 442 yards (373 PY) to a I-AA opponent. Arizona is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games as a road dog. Wildcats won six of last seven games with Colorado, beating them 42-34/45-42 the last two years; favorites covered four of last six series games. Colorado is 3-1 despite giving up 444+ yards in all four games; they’re 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.

Underdogs covered nine of last 11 San Diego State-Colorado State games; Aztecs won their last five visits to Fort Collins (dogs 4-1 ATS)- teams last met in 2016. San Diego State is 3-1 wth road wins at UCLA/New Mexico State; they’ve held all four opponents under 85 RY. Aztecs are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite- under is 3-0 in their games this year. Rams are 0-4 this year vs I-A teams, giving up 45.5 ppg, 283.5 rushing yards/game. CSU covered six of last nine tries as a home underdog.

Iowa is 4-0, winning its only road game 18-17 at rival Iowa State; they’ve allowed total of only 34 points in four games, but three of them were against stiffs. Hawkeyes are 6-5-1 ATS in last dozen games as a road underdog- they won five of their last six games with Michigan, but teams have met only once since 2013. Faves are 4-0-1 ATS in Iowa’s last five trips to Ann Arbor. Michigan got smoked at Wisconsin, barely beat Army, but whacked Rutgers LW; under Harbaugh, Wolverines are 15-14 ATS as home favorites.

Underdogs covered five of last seven Northwestern-Nebraska games, with Wildcats winning last two; they’ve split eight meetings since Cornhuskers joined the Big 14. Wildcats covered their last four visits to Lincoln. Northwestern is 1-3 this year, held under 300 TY and to 7-10-15 points in the losses; Wildcats covered 15 of last 19 games as a road underdog (1-1 this year). Nebraska got killed at home LW by Ohio State; they’re 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite. Huskers allowed 589 rushing yards in their last two games (they nipped Illinois 42-38).

Home side won last six Air Force-Navy games; Falcons lost six of last seven trips to Annapolis, losing last three, by 3-22-18 points. Underdogs are 14-5-1 ATS in last 20 series games. AFA won three of its first four games, including a win at Colorado; over last 4+ years, Falcons are 2-8 ATS as a road favorite- they ran ball for 382 yard in win over San Jose St LW. Navy slit its first couple I-A games, despite running ball for 606 yards; Middies are 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten games as a home underdog. Mountain West teams are 11-5 ATS in non-conference road games.

TCU is 5-2 Iowa State in Big X play, with underdogs covering last three meetings. Horned Frogs won two of last three visits to Ames. Horned Frogs ran ball for 901 yards in winning two of three I-A games, with only loss 41-38 to local rival SMU; they also threw for 306 yards vs Kansas LW. Over last decade, TCU is 13-5 ATS as a road underdog. Cyclones split their first four games, with losses by total of three points; under Campbell, State is 5-5 ATS as a home favorite. ISU was held under 100 rushing yards in both its losses- they threw for 1,113 yards in last three games.

Arkansas State split its four I-A games, scoring 30+ points in three of the four; they’ve als0 given up 500+ TY in their last three games, one of which was against a I-AA team. ASU won its five games vs Georgia State, winning 31-16/52-10 in two visits here- road teams covered four of the five games. Since 2015, ASU is 10-5 ATS when giving points on the road. Georgia State won at Tennessee, then gave up 94 points in losses at Western Michigan, Texas State. Panthers are 5-10-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog.

Auburn-Florida haven’t met since 2011; Tigers won last three series games- underdogs covered four of last five series games. Auburn is 5-0 this season, with a 28-20 win at Texas A&M, when Tigers were outgained by 92 yards, and a neutral field win over Oregon. Auburn is 6-3-1 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite. Florida is 5-0 but they’ve played two I-AA teams, which isn’t a good idea; their best wins are over Miami on a neutral field and at Kentucky. Florida is playing a backup QB; over last decade, Gators are 3-5 ATS when getting points at home.

Michigan State scored 71 points in winning its first two Big 14 games; their only loss was 10-7 at home to Arizona State, when Spartans outgained ASU 404-216 but lost. MSU covered nine of its last dozen games as a road underdog; they lost last two meetings with Ohio State 48-3/26-6, after they had covered previous six series games. Spartans are 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Ohio State. Buckeyes crushed their first five opponents; their closest win was 45-21 over FAU. OSU is 12-11 ATS in its last 23 games as a home favorite.

13 other college football games……
Boston College beat Louisville the last two years, 38-20/45-42; favorites are 3-3 SU in last six series games. Eagles lost two of last three visits to Louisville; last two were both decided by 3 points. Under Addazio, BC is 12-4-1 ATS as a road underdog; they lost two of last three games overall. Over last decade, Louisville is 19-32 ATS when laying points at home; they they split first two games, with losses by 18-11 points.

Trap game for North Carolina after an emotional 21-20 loss at Clemson; UNC lost its last three games, last two by total of 4 points. Tar Heels are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite. Georgia Tech is 16-5 in its last 21 games with UNC, winning 38-28/33-7 the last two years; Tar Heels lost nine of last ten visits to Atlanta (4-5-1 ATS). Tech lost 24-2 to Temple LW; they’re off to a 1-3 start, with a loss to a I-AA team.

Tulane/Army split their last eight meetings; Green Wave won last two meetings, 21-17/34-31. Underdogs covered five of last seven series games; dogs are 6-2 ATS in Tulane’s last eight trips to West Point. Tulane came from behind to beat Houston last game; they’re 3-2 ATS in last five games as a road favorite. Under Monken, Army is 3-4 ATS when getting points at home; they beat three stiffs and lost 24-21 (+22.5) at Michigan.

Underdogs covered last four Central Michigan-Eastern Michigan games; Eagles lost last three visits to CMU, by 12-7-32 points, with an average total of 62.3. Eastern is 3-2 ATS in last five games as a road favorite; they blocked punt for TD with 0:10 left to nip a I-AA team in their last game. CMU is 5-13 ATS in last 18 games as a home dog; they threw for 330+ yards in two of their last three games.

Miami won four of last five games with Virginia Tech, winning last two 28-10/38-14; Hokies lost last two trips to Miami, 30-20/28-10. Favorites covered four of last five series games. Tech is 8-4 ATS in last dozen games as a road underdog; they’re 3-3 in last six games asa double digit underdog. Miami lost its first two games by total of 7 points, then snuck by CMU 17-12 in last game; Hurricanes are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

UCLA won four of last five games with Oregon State, winning last two 41-0/38-24; teams split last four meetings played here. Beavers are 0-3 vs I-A teams, with last two losses by 3 points each; they’re 10-16-1 ATS in last 27 games asa a road underdog. UCLA lost four of first five games and trailed 49-17 in its one win; they gave up 1,782 TY in last three games. Bruins are 8-15 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite.

Favorites covered last seven California-Oregon games; Golden Bears lost their last five visits to Eugene (0-5 ATS). Ducks ran ball for 588 yards in last two meetings. Cal was 4-0 but lost at home to ASU LW; Golden Bears have wins at Washington, Ole Miss, are 8-3 as road underdogs under Wilcox. Oregon won its last two I-A games, allowing 6-6 points; Ducks are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.

Home side won seven of last eight Washington-Stanford games; Huskies lost their last five trips to The Farm (1-4 ATS). Washington won its last three games, beating USC LW; under Petersen, Huskies are 10-9 ATS as a road fave- they won 45-19 at BYU in their only road game. Stanford lost three of last four games; over last decade, they’re 5-1 as a home underdog (1-0 this year). Cardinal allowed 330+ PY in three of its last four games.

Underdogs covered 10 of last 13 Toledo-Western Michigan games; Broncos lost four of last five visits to Toledo (4-2 ATS in last six). WMU gave up 103 points in losing its two road games, at Michigan St/Syracuse; under Lester, Broncos are 2-5 as road underdogs. Under Candle, Toledo is 10-7 ATS when a home favorite; they won last two games over Colorado St/BYU, despite giving up a total of 1,149 yards.

Home side won last nine Buffalo-Ohio games; Bobcats lost their last four visits to western NY (0-4 ATS). Ohio Is 0-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 481 TY in all three games; Bobcats are 5-4 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.- they gave up 33-45 points in last two games. Buffalo lost three of last four games, with all three losses by 14+ points; under Leipold, Bulls are 9-3 ATS when getting points at home.

Home side won last four Ole Miss-Vanderbilt games; Commodores lost 27-16/57-35 in last two visits to Oxford. Favorites covered four of last six series games. Vandy lost three of first four games; they’re 18-14 ATS in its last 32 games as a road underdog- ‘dores lost 42-24 at Purdue in their only road game this year. Ole Miss gave up 1,006 yards in losing its last two games; they gave up 309 PY to a I-AA team. Rebels are 12-10 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

Western Kentucky (-4) lost 37-34 to Old Dominion LY, their first loss in five games with ODU (3-2 ATS). Hilltoppers won 35-31/55-30 in their two visits to ODU. WKU split its first four games, losing to a I-AA team, running ball for only 58 ypg vs I-A teams- over last 2+ years, they’re 0-5 ATS when laying points on road. ODU is 0-3 vs I-A teams; since moving to I-A, they’re 5-8 ATS when getting points at home.

Tennessee is 0-3 vs I-A teams, losing SEC opener 34-3 at Florida; Vols covered once in their last seven games as a home underdog. Georgia had LW off after beating Notre Dame; they’re 8-4 ATS in last dozen games as a road favorite. Underdogs covered five of last seven Georgia-Tennessee games; Dawgs won last two meetings, 38-12/41-0- they’ve won three of last four visits to Knoxville.

**Udog** · 09-30-2019, 09:15 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 6

Thursday, October 3

Georgia Southern @ South Alabama

Game 303-304
October 3, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
79.612
South Alabama
58.592
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Southern
by 21
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 10
46
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(-10); Under

Temple @ East Carolina

Game 305-306
October 3, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
84.405
East Carolina
69.622
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Temple
by 15
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Temple
by 11
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Temple
(-11); Over

Friday, October 4

Central Florida @ Cincinnati

Game 307-308
October 4, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Florida
98.264
Cincinnati
97.068
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 4
60
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+4); Under

New Mexico @ San Jose St

Game 309-310
October 4, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico
67.151
San Jose St
70.268
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose St
by 3
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose St
by 7
64
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(+7); Over

Saturday, October 5

Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech

Game 331-332
October 5, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
95.839
Texas Tech
88.702
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 7
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 10
63
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(+10); Under

Maryland @ Rutgers

Game 329-330
October 5, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maryland
88.092
Rutgers
68.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 19 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
by 13 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Maryland
(-13 1/2); Over

Utah State @ LSU

Game 393-394
October 5, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
84.769
LSU
117.302
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 32 1/2
84
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 27 1/2
72
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-27 1/2); Over

Tulane @ Army

Game 323-324
October 5, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
89.974
Army
84.090
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulane
by 6
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 3
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(-3); Under

Iowa @ Michigan

Game 355-356
October 5, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa
106.380
Michigan
99.835
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 6 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 3 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(+3 1/2); Under

South Florida @ Connecticut

Game 311-312
October 5, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Florida
69.156
Connecticut
61.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 7 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 11
52
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+11); Over

Kent State @ Wisconsin

Game 333-334
October 5, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
74.361
Wisconsin
103.492
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 29
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 37 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+37 1/2); Over

Oklahoma @ Kansas

Game 369-370
October 5, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
117.265
Kansas
78.909
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 38 1/2
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 32
67
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma
(-32); Over

TCU @ Iowa State

Game 373-374
October 5, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
97.299
Iowa State
96.874
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
Even
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 3 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(+3 1/2); Over

Purdue @ Penn State

Game 319-320
October 5, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Purdue
83.328
Penn State
115.081
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 32
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 27 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(-27 1/2); Under

Boston College @ Louisville

Game 313-314
October 5, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
84.239
Louisville
74.826
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 9 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 7
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+7); Over

Marshall @ Middle Tennessee St

Game 377-378
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
76.055
Middle Tennessee
73.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 2 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 4 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(+4 1/2); Over

Ball State @ Northern Illinois

Game 321-322
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
68.103
Northern Illinois
75.999
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Illinois
by 8
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Illinois
by 4 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(-4 1/2); Under

Virginia Tech @ Miami-FL

Game 337-338
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
78.337
Miami-FL
88.564
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 10
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 14
47
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(+14); Under

Air Force @ Navy

Game 365-366
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
87.680
Navy
81.755
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Air Force
by 6
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 3 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(-3 1/2); Under

Illinois @ Minnesota

Game 357-358
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
80.262
Minnesota
90.071
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 10
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 14
58
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois
(+14); Over

Bowling Green @ Notre Dame

Game 379-380
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
55.263
Notre Dame
103.347
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 48
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 45 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-45 1/2); Over

Western Michigan @ Toledo

Game 367-368
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Michigan
81.671
Toledo
86.566
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 5
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 1
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-1); Over

Arkansas St @ Georgia State

Game 381-382
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
82.229
Georgia State
60.931
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 21 1/2
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 7 1/2
71 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-7 1/2); Under

Ohio @ Buffalo

Game 371-372
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
76.320
Buffalo
76.100
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
Even
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 3 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+3 1/2); Over

Texas @ West Virginia

Game 317-318
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
103.020
West Virginia
94.847
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 8
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 11
60
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(+11); Under

Baylor @ Kansas State

Game 327-328
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
93.508
Kansas State
98.752
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 5
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(-2); Under

Auburn @ Florida

Game 385-386
October 5, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
111.946
Florida
105.302
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 6 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 3
48
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(-3); Over

Memphis @ LA-Monroe

Game 389-390
October 5, 2019 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
87.071
LA-Monroe
74.538
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 12 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 15
64
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Monroe
(+15); Over

Northwestern @ Nebraska

Game 361-362
October 5, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northwestern
87.213
Nebraska
88.050
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
by 1
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 7 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(+7 1/2); Under

Troy @ Missouri

Game 339-340
October 5, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
77.111
Missouri
107.115
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 30
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 24 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(-24 1/2); Over

North Carolina @ Georgia Tech

Game 315-316
October 5, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
87.688
Georgia Tech
79.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 8
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 10 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Tech
(+10 1/2); Under

Arizona @ Colorado

Game 343-344
October 5, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
83.898
Colorado
90.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 6 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
by 3 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-3 1/2); Under

Western Kentucky @ Old Dominion

Game 383-384
October 5, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
73.010
Old Dominion
67.455
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 5 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 3
45
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(-3); Over

James Madison @ Stony Brook

Game 311-312
October 5, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
James Madison
81.543
Stony Brook
71.050
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
James Madison
by 10 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
James Madison
by 14
42
Dunkel Pick:
Stony Brook
(+14); Over

Georgia @ Tennessee

Game 363-364
October 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
111.444
Tennessee
78.159
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 33 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 24 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-24 1/2); Over

Massachusetts @ FIU

Game 387-388
October 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
53.244
FIU
69.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 17
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
by 26 1/2
67
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(+26 1/2); Over

Rice @ UAB

Game 359-360
October 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rice
72.655
UAB
73.924
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 1 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 8 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Rice
(+8 1/2); Over

Tulsa @ SMU

Game 353-354
October 5, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
78.108
SMU
94.132
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 16
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 13
62
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(-13); Over

Vanderbilt @ Mississippi

Game 375-376
October 5, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
82.152
Mississippi
83.708
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi
by 1 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi
by 7
61
Dunkel Pick:
Vanderbilt
(+7); Over

Michigan State @ Ohio State

Game 391-392
October 5, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
97.603
Ohio State
123.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 26
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 20
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-20); Under

Pittsburgh @ Duke

Game 325-326
October 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
89.934
Duke
97.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 7 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 4 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-4 1/2); Over

California @ Oregon

Game 349-350
October 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
California
86.548
Oregon
106.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 20
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 17 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(-17 1/2); Under

TX-San Antonio @ UTEP

Game 395-396
October 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-San Antonio
55.495
UTEP
58.839
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UTEP
by 3 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UTEP
by 1 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UTEP
(-1 1/2); Over

Liberty @ New Mexico St

Game 341-342
October 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Liberty
73.934
New Mexico St
62.383
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 11 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 6
60
Dunkel Pick:
Liberty
(-6); Under

Oregon State @ UCLA

Game 347-348
October 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oregon State
78.226
UCLA
85.759
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCLA
by 7 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCLA
by 5 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UCLA
(-5 1/2); Under

San Diego St @ Colorado State

Game 345-346
October 5, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego St
83.762
Colorado State
74.212
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 11 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 7
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-7); Under

Washington @ Stanford

Game 351-352
October 5, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
105.729
Stanford
88.007
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 17 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 14 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-14 1/2); Over

Boise State @ UNLV

Game 397-398
October 5, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
94.084
UNLV
66.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 27
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 23 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-23 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 10-01-2019, 10:15 AM

College football Week 6 odds: Early bettors back Auburn in SEC battle vs Florida
Patrick Everson

College football heads into October with Week 6, which features a big battle of unbeatens in the Southeastern Conference. We check in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA.

No. 7 Auburn Tigers at No. 8 Florida Gators (+2)

Auburn has been outstanding not only on the field, but against the oddsmakers through the first five weeks, at a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS. In Week 5, the Tigers drubbed Mississippi State 56-23 as 7.5-point home favorites.

Florida hasn’t been as good for bettors, but still enters this Saturday afternoon clash at 5-0 SU (2-3 ATS). The Gators got an easy tuneup in Week 5, rolling over FCS foe Towson State 38-0 while failing to cash as 40-point home faves.

“A pivotal October game, both in terms of the SEC and the College Football Playoff picture, as both teams are staring at minefields for upcoming schedules,” Chaprales said. “Early action landed on Auburn, pushing an opener of -2 up to -3. At that point, there was some buyback on Florida +3. The number will probably bounce around the key number throughout the week.”

No. 14 Iowa Hawkeyes at No. 18 Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)

Michigan finally found a way to cover the number, but needed to face a Big Ten doormat to do so. The Wolverines (3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS) rebounded from a drubbing at Wisconsin by bashing Rutgers 52-0 as 27.5 point Week 5 home favorites.

Iowa heads into this key Saturday contest with a perfect 4-0 SU mark (2-2 ATS). The Hawkeyes blasted Middle Tennessee State 48-3 laying 23.5 points at home in Week 5.

Michigan opened -5.5 and ticked down to -4.5, then back to -5. However, by Monday afternoon, the number dipped to -4. PointsBet USA’s primary operation is as a mobile operator in New Jersey, but it also has a new brick-and-mortar sportsbook at Catfish Bend Casino in Iowa, which will certainly impact action on this game.

“Michigan got the complete effort it needed on Saturday, tuning up with Rutgers,” Chaprales said. “But the Wolverines will face a tough test in an Iowa squad that’s looked good so far, albeit against uninspiring competition. A small adjustment off the opener, and I’m sure more Iowa money will start to flow in at our Catfish Bend property throughout the week – and specifically on game day.”

No. 19 Central Florida Knights at Cincinnati Bearcats (+3)

Central Florida’s 27-game regular-season win streak – and 19-7-1 ATS tear – is in the rearview mirror after a stunning Week 4 outright loss at Pittsburgh. The Knights (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) bounced back in Week 5 by crushing Connecticut 56-21, but fell short as 42-point home favorites.

Cincinnati took a Week 2 beating at Ohio State, losing 42-0, but followed by winning and cashing its next two games. The Bearcats (3-1 SU and ATS) went to Marshall as 4-point faves Saturday and exited with a 52-14 blowout victory.

The Knights won and cashed the last three in this American Athletic Conference rivalry, by margins of 21 points or more each time out.

“Central Florida has dominated this series the past few years, and early action is reflective of that, with a rapid move through 3,” Chaprales said of a line that’s already up to Knights -4.5. “It’s a stand-alone game under the lights on Friday, and we’re going to need Cincinnati. It’s just a matter of how big of a decision it’s going to be.”

No. 16 California Golden Bears at No. 13 Oregon Ducks (+18)

Oregon was dealt a painful Week 1 neutral-site loss to Auburn, in a game the Ducks led for all but the final nine seconds. But Oregon (3-1 SU and ATS) won and cashed three straight since then, including a 21-6 victory at Stanford giving 13 points in Week 4. Oregon had a bye in Week 5.

California was the surprise team of the first month, going unbeaten while posting road victories over Washington and Mississippi. However, the Golden Bears (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) crashed back to earth in Week 5, losing at home to Arizona State 24-17 as 4-point favorites. Cal lost quarterback Chase Garbers to a shoulder injury late in the first half.

“This game is currently off the board due to Garbers’ status,” Chaprales said early Monday morning. “Without Garbers, an already shaky Cal offense is in big trouble.”

By Monday afternoon, PointsBet USA went up with Oregon a hefty 18-point favorite on the assumption that Garbers will not play for Cal.

**Udog** · 10-01-2019, 05:14 PM

Tech Trends - Week 6
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Oct. 3

Matchup Skinny
Edge

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at SOUTH ALABAMA... GS on 13-7 spread run since late 2017 and has won and covered big the past five years vs. USA. Jags 1-3 last four as Mobile dog.
Georgia Southern, based on series and team trends.

TEMPLE at EAST CAROLINA...ECU got rare cover vs. OSU but still struggling, 2-3 vs. line TY, 12-28-1 vs. points since 2016. Temple has won and covered last five meetings since 2014, won big last three all by 24 or more.
Temple, based on series trends.

Friday, Oct. 4

Matchup Skinny
Edge

UCF at CINCINNATI...UCF 8-2 as visiting chalk since 2016. Fickell 2-3 as dog since LY. UCF has won and covered last three (well, counting the 2017 game, when UCF was blowing out Bearcats but game ended prematurely because of weather).
UCF, based on team and series trends.

NEW MEXICO at SAN JOSE STATE... SJS on 10-6 spread uptick. Spartans 13-5-1 as chalk since 2014. Lobos no covers last seven since late 2018, 8-20-1 last 29 on board.
San Jose State, based on team trends.

Saturday, Oct. 5

Matchup Skinny
Edge

SOUTH FLORIDA at UCONN...UConn’s one of two covers LY was vs. USF, and has actually covered last three in series, though just 4-12 vs. spread for Edsall since LY. Charlie Strong 2-6 as chalk since LY and that includes a W vs. South Carolina State on Sept. 14.
UConn, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at LOUISVILLE...Satterfield on 16-4-1 spread run since late 2017 at App & ‘Ville. BC won and covered last two vs. Petrino Cards but only 3-4-1 last eight on board.
Louisville, based on Satterfield marks.

NORTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA TECH...Tech 0-4 vs. line for Collins, 0-7 since late 2018 vs. spread. Paul Johnson did beat Heels last two seasons, however.
Slight to UNC, based on recent trends.

TEXAS at WEST VIRGINIA...Horns just 1-3 as visiting chalk LY. Mounties 9-5-2 vs. spread since LY. Note road team has covered last three in series.
Slight to Texas, based on series trends.

PURDUE at PENN STATE...Brohm 8-4 as dog with Boilers (0-1 TY). James Franklin 15-6-1 at home since mid 2016, 10-3-1 vs. points last 14 as Big Ten host.
Penn State, based on team trends.

BALL STATE at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Cards were 1-7 vs. line on MAC road past two years, 4-9 vs. spread last 13 as visitor (1-0 TY; no count neutral vs. IU). NIU has covered last 7 and won SU last 10 in series.
Northern Illinois, based on series trends.

TULANE at ARMY...Wave has won and covered 4 of last 5 since late 2018. Note road team has covered all four Army games this season, Black Knights just 6-11 vs. line last 17 at Michie since mid 2016.
Tulane, based on team trends.

PITT at DUKE...Pitt has won and covered last four meetings. Narduzzi 7-3 last ten as visiting dog. Duke just 2-6 as home chalk since last season (1-0 2019).
Pitt, based on series trends.

BAYLOR at KANSAS STATE...KSU has covered 4 of last 5 reg season meetings. Rhule was 5-2 as dog last season. Klieman 3-1 SU and vs. line in 2019, Cats on 9-3 spread run since early 2018.
Slight to Kansas State, based on team trends.

MARYLAND at RUTGERS...Road team has covered last three in series. Terps no covers last five as visitor, 1-7 last 8 vs. spread as Big Ten visitor. Ash recently had a 6-game cover streak but has dropped last 3 vs. line. Rutgers was 7-4 as home dog past two seasons.
Slight to Rutgers, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS TECH...Ok State has covered 5 straight and 8 of 9 since late 2018. TT 2-5 vs. number last 7 as Big 12 host. Though Red Raiders have covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series.
Slight to Oklahoma State, based on recent trends.

KENT STATE at WISCONSIN...Badgers have won and covered 4 of last 5 since late 2018, total score 204-32! Wiscy was just 1-5 as Madison chalk LY but was 9–4 overall as chalk as recently as 2017, and 10-5-1 laying DD 2016-17. Golden Flashes 5-4 vs. spread last 9 visiting Power 5, though just 8-10 as DD dog since 2017 (1-1 TY).
Wisconsin, based on recent trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...EMU road mark impresses (2-1 TY after 17-4 previous 3 years away from Ypsilanti), but almost all of that as dog; as road chalk, Eagles 3-2 since 2016. McElwain has covered 4 of first 5 this season, and Chips have covered last 2 meetings.
Slight to Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at MIAMI-FLA...Fuente presiding over what seems a meltdown at VPI, which is 0-4 vs. line TY after Duke debacle, now 7-15 last 22 overall vs. spread. Miami has won and covered 4 of last 5 and 5 of last 7 in series.
Miami, Fl., based on series and team trends.

TROY at MISSOURI...Troy was a good dog in recent years (10-4 in role 2015-18), and has covered last five against Power 5 opposition including SU wins at LSU and Nebraska past 2 years. Barry Odom however has won and covered big the last three TY and 10-2 last 12 as home chalk.
Slight to Missouri, based on recent trends.

LIBERTY at NEW MEXICO STATE...In this home-and-home, NMSU managed to cover both meetings LY, though home side was 2-0 SU. Ags 2-8 vs. spread last 9 at Las Cruces, however.
Slight to Liberty, based on team trends.

ARIZONA at COLORADO...Home field has meant something to Sumlin’s Cats, who are 7-2 vs. spread at Tucson but 1-5 vs. number away. Note “overs” last four in wild rivalry that has seen Cats win SU 6 of last 7. Buffs just 1-4 vs. line last 5 at Boulder (1-1 for Tucker).
"Over" and slight to Arizona, based on series trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at COLORADO STATE...Rams have covered last 3 as home dog for Bobo. Rocky 2-2 vs. line TY after 3-10 mark LY, but is 6-2 vs. spread last 8 on MW road.
Slight to Colorado State, based on recent trends.

OREGON STATE at UCLA...Bruins 5-13 last 18 as Rose Bowl chalk (0-3 in role for Chip). Beavs 4-3 as road dog for Jonathan Smith since LY.
Slight to Oregon State, based on team trends.

CAL at OREGON...Cal has covered last 7 as road dog for Justin Wilcox. Bears also 13-5 as dog for Wilcox. Ducks just 4-5 vs. spread at home for Cristobal, but have won and covered last 2 years vs. Bears.
Cal, based on team trends.

WASHINGTON at STANFORD...Tree no covers since NU opener, Shaw now 1-5 vs. spread last five since late 2018. Stanford was 4-0 as home dog since 2012 entering this season before loss to Ducks. Cardinal no covers last three as dog TY after 10-5 mark previous 15 in role. Huskies have covered last four away from Seattle.
Washington, based on recent trends.

TULSA at SMU...Sonny Dykes rockin’ and rollin’ at 5-0 SU and vs. line, though he hasn’t covered last 2 vs. Tulsa. Hurricane covered first 2 away TY but only 2-4 vs. spread away LY.
Slight to SMU, based on recent trends.

IOWA at MICHIGAN...Ferentz on 14-4-1 spread surge since late 2017, he’s also 7-1-1 vs. points last 9 away from Iowa City. Harbaugh on 1-7 spread skid since late 2018.
Iowa, based on team trends.

ILLINOIS at MINNESOTA...Lovie 4-9 vs. spread last 13 as visitor (0-1 TY), and 6-15 last 21 vs. points in Big Ten play. Though he has covered last 2 vs. Gophers and won big LY. Gophers 0-2 vs. line at home TY but were 4-2 vs. spread as host in 2018.
Minnesota, based on Lovie trends.

RICE at UAB...Rice 6-2 last 8 as visiting dog, 7-2 last 9 getting 20+. UAB 11-2-1 vs. line since 2017 at legion Field.
Slight to Rice, based on team trends.

NORTHWESTERN at NEBRASKA...Pat Fitz had been a great dog in recent years (14-4-1 in role from 2016-18) but 1-2 as dog TY. Road team however has covered last six in this series. Frost just 4-6 vs. spread at Lincoln since LY.
Northwestern, based on team and series trends.

GEORGIA at TENNESSEE...Ga 6-3 vs. spread last nine as SEC visitor, Vols just 4-13 vs. points last 17 at Knoxville but have covered 5 of last 7 in series.
Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at NAVY...Calhoun 18-9-1 as dog since 2014. Navy 6-1 last 7 vs. line and has covered last 3 at Annapolis. Force has covered last three and four of last five meetings.
Air Force, based on team and recent series trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at TOLEDO...WMU 2-8 vs. points last ten away from Waldo Stadium. Also 1-7 last 8 as a dog. UT 8-1 last nine as Glass Bowl chalk. Rockets have won and covered big the past two seasons.
Toledo, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA at KANSAS...OU 4-1-1 vs. spread last 6 away from Norman, though was only 3-6 laying DD LY (2-1 in role TY). Jayhawks covered big price LY but just 1-4 vs. spread last five in series.
Slight to Oklahoma, based on series trends.

OHIO at BUFFALO...Solich 11-6 vs. spread last 17 on MAC team, 13-5 as dog since 2015, and covered last six as MAC dog. Bulls 10-3-1 vs. spread as host since 2017, and host has won and covered last six meetings.
Ohio, based on team trends.

TCU at IOWA STATE...Frogs 2-6 last 8 vs. Big 12 teams away from Fort Worth. Patterson only 6-6 in once solid dog role past three years. Matt Campbell has covered all three vs. TCU since 2016.
Iowa State, based on team and recent series trends.

VANDERBILT at OLE MISS...Derek Mason only 5-12 last 17 as dog. He has covered 3 of last 4 vs. Ole Miss, however, and did cover last three on SEC road in 2018. Rebs on 5-11-1 spread since last season.
Slight to Vanderbilt, based on recent trends.

MARSHALL at MTSU...Herd 10-5 vs. spread last 15 away from Huntington (1-0 TY), though just 3-6 last nine as visiting chalk. MTSU no covers last three at home, only 1-3-1 vs. points last five in series.
Marshall, based on team trends.

BOWLING GREEN at NOTRE DAME...Falcs 1-3 vs. spread in 2019 after 11-25 mark past three seasons. BG 0-3 as DD dog in 2019, 4-13 last 17 in role since 2017.
Notre Dame, based on BG negatives.

ARKANSAS STATE at GEORGIA STATE...Red Wolves 11-5 vs. line last 16 on Belt road (though just 5-5 last ten). GSU just 3-8-1 vs. spread at home since moving into Turner Field/GSU Stadium since 2017.
Arkansas State, based on team trends.

WKU at OLD DOMINION...ODU covered at the two Va schools in Sept and 4-2 last six vs. line since late 2018. If Monarchs chalk note 2-7 mark in role since 2017 (0-1 TY), though they have covered last two in series. If Tops a dog note 5-1-1 mark last seven as visiting dog.
Slight to Western Kentucky, based on team trends.

AUBURN at FLORIDA...Gus 5-0 vs. line TY and has covered in last six since late 2018. Gus also whipped Mullen at MSU the last two times they met in 2016-17.
Slight to Auburn, based on team trends.

UMASS at FIU...Mass 1-6 last 7 as road dog. FIU only 0-4 vs. line out of chute in 2019 after 10-3 mark vs. spread LY.
Slight to FIU, based on team trends.

MEMPHIS at ULM...Tigers 2-1-1 vs. line TY, and 5-2 last 7 as visiting chalk. Warhawks 2-9-1 vs. line last 12 at home.
Memphis, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at OHIO STATE...Dantonio 21-9 as dog since 2011 though just 4-4 in role past two years. Spartans 7-2 vs. spread last nine away, though no covers last two vs. Bucks. Ryan Day 6-2 vs. spread with Buckeyes since interim stint LY.
Slight to Michigan State, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at LSU...Orgeron 3-1 vs. line TY, and 2-1 laying DD TY after 1-4 mark in role in 2018. Tigers 1-6 vs. spread last seven hosting non-SEC. Utags 12-4-1 vs. spread since LY (3-1 TY).
Slight to Utah State, based on team trends.

UTSA at UTEP...Roadrunners no covers last three TY, now on 6-18 spread skid since early 2017. Miners 1-9 vs. spread last ten at Sun Bowl. Road team has covered all six meetings since 2013!
Slight to UTSA, based on series trends.

BOISE STATE at UNLV...Sanchez just 6-11 vs. spread last 17 at Sam Boyd Stadium, Broncos 36-18 as visiting chalk since 2009.
Boise State, based on team trends.

**Udog** · 10-01-2019, 05:19 PM

303GA SOUTHERN -304 S ALABAMA
S ALABAMA is 10-29 ATS (-21.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

305TEMPLE -306 E CAROLINA
E CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

307UCF -308 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

309NEW MEXICO -310 SAN JOSE ST
SAN JOSE ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

311S FLORIDA -312 CONNECTICUT
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off 2 consecutive road losses since 1992.

311S FLORIDA -312 CONNECTICUT
S FLORIDA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

313BOSTON COLLEGE -314 LOUISVILLE
LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. good offenses (>31 PPG) over the last 2 seasons.

315N CAROLINA -316 GEORGIA TECH
N CAROLINA is 22-9 ATS (12.1 Units) in road games off home conference loss since 1992.

317TEXAS -318 W VIRGINIA
TEXAS are 28-13 ATS (13.7 Units) vs poor rushing teams (<120 RYG) since 1992.

319PURDUE -320 PENN ST
PENN ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a road win in the last 3 seasons.

321BALL ST -322 N ILLINOIS
N ILLINOIS are 30-15 ATS (13.5 Units) vs bad teams (25-40%) since 1992.

323TULANE -324 ARMY
TULANE is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.

325PITTSBURGH -326 DUKE
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

327BAYLOR -328 KANSAS ST
KANSAS ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

329MARYLAND -330 RUTGERS
MARYLAND is 23-11 ATS (10.9 Units) against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse since 1992.

331OKLAHOMA ST -332 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 41-20 ATS (19 Units) in home games after an ATS loss since 1992.

333KENT ST -334 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 76-43 ATS (28.7 Units) after going under the total since 1992.

335E MICHIGAN -336 C MICHIGAN
E MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after an ATS loss in the last 3 seasons.

337VIRGINIA TECH -338 MIAMI
MIAMI is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.

339TROY -340 MISSOURI
TROY is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

341LIBERTY -342 NEW MEXICO ST
NEW MEXICO ST is 18-41 ATS (-27.1 Units) off a home loss since 1992.

343ARIZONA -344 COLORADO
COLORADO is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

345SAN DIEGO ST -346 COLORADO ST
SAN DIEGO ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games when the total is 49.5-56 in the last 3 seasons.

347OREGON ST -348 UCLA
OREGON ST is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) vs. poor teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season since 1992.

349CALIFORNIA -350 OREGON
OREGON is 43-13 ATS (28.7 Units) after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.

351WASHINGTON -352 STANFORD
STANFORD is 43-23 ATS (17.7 Units) after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.

353TULSA -354 SMU
TULSA is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) in road games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game since 1992.

355IOWA -356 MICHIGAN
IOWA is 53-33 ATS (16.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse since 1992.

357ILLINOIS -358 MINNESOTA
ILLINOIS are 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

359RICE -360 UAB
RICE is 72-39 ATS (29.1 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.

361NORTHWESTERN -362 NEBRASKA
NEBRASKA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 conference games over the last 2 seasons.

363GEORGIA -364 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) in home games versus excellent defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game since 1992.

365AIR FORCE -366 NAVY
AIR FORCE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

367W MICHIGAN -368 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better since 1992.

369OKLAHOMA -370 KANSAS
KANSAS are 40-68 ATS (-34.8 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

371OHIO U -372 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

373TCU -374 IOWA ST
IOWA ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in October games in the last 3 seasons.

375VANDERBILT -376 OLE MISS
VANDERBILT is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

377MARSHALL -378 MIDDLE TENN ST
MARSHALL is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus terrible rushing defenses - allowing >=5.25 rushing yards/carry since 1992.

379BOWLING GREEN -380 NOTRE DAME
BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

381ARKANSAS ST -382 GEORGIA ST
GEORGIA ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

383W KENTUCKY -384 OLD DOMINION
W KENTUCKY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

385AUBURN -386 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 43-21 ATS (19.9 Units) after a 2 game home stand since 1992.

387MASSACHUSETTS -388 FLA INTERNATIONAL
MASSACHUSETTS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games vs poor rushing def. (>200 RYG) since 1992.

387MASSACHUSETTS -388 FLA INTERNATIONAL
MASSACHUSETTS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

389MEMPHIS -390 LA MONROE
MEMPHIS are 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in road games vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 34 or more points/game since 1992.

391MICHIGAN ST -392 OHIO ST
OHIO ST is 61-35 ATS (22.5 Units) vs. good offenses (>31 PPG) since 1992.

393UTAH ST -394 LSU
UTAH ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

395UTSA -396 UTEP
UTSA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.

397BOISE ST -398 UNLV
BOISE ST is 25-7 ATS (17.3 Units) in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992.

**Udog** · 10-03-2019, 08:21 AM

by: Monte Andrews

A NEW AFFLICTION

A new injury could keep Stanford Cardinal quarterback K.J. Costello off the field for Saturday's game against the Washington Huskies. Costello is dealing with a hand injury that kept him out of last Saturday's game against Oregon State, after he had previously missed time while recovering from a concussion.

Costello has been labeled between questionable and doubtful by Stanford head coach David Shaw, making it likely that Davis Mills will get the start in Costello's place. Mills has completed 62.5 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and one interception so far this season.

The downgrade in quarterback could make a difficult task even tougher for a Cardinal team giving away more than two TDs to the visiting Huskies. Stanford is averaging just 11.5 points in two home games, so we like the Under 17.5 on the team point total.

FROM HERO TO HURT

The hero of Pitt's shocking win over Central Florida might be on the shelf for yet another week. Panthers quarterback Kenny Pickett is still recovering from an undisclosed injury that held him out of last week's victory over Delaware, and head coach Pat Narduzzi could only say "I don't know" when asked earlier this week if Pickett would return.

Pickett, who caught the game-winning touchdown pass for Pitt in a 37-34 triumph over ranked UCF, has thrown for 1,102 yards on the season with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Nick Patti will get the start if Pickett can't go.

Duke comes into this one as a 4-point favorite and while Patti fared well in Pickett's absence, the Blue Devils' 38th-ranked pass defense should make his day difficult. And with Pitt struggling to run the ball, we favor the hosts to cover.

JEFFERSON RETURNING

LSU receiver Justin Jefferson might be back on the field against visiting Utah State this weekend. Jefferson left the Tigers' Septemer 21 triumph over Vanderbilt with an ankle injury, but with LSU enjoying a week off following the victory, the junior wide receiver had plenty of time to rest and heal.

He returned to the team's unpadded practice to start the week and is trending toward returning against the Aggies. Jefferson is having a solid season for the Tigers so far, having hauled in 21 passes for 392 yards and five touchdowns to help lead LSU to a perfect 4-0 start.

With LSU getting another weapon back and enjoying home-field advantage against a USU team that ranks outside the Top 100 in passing yards allowed, the Tigers are a great bet to finish above their team total, which sits at around 50 points.

MOD’S SQUAD

Devon Modster has taken over the reins as starting quarterback for the California Golden Bears. Modster will get the start this weekend against the Oregon Ducks in place of Chase Garbers, who suffered an upper-body injury and is reportedly out for the "long term".

While Garbers was having an up-and-down season – throwing for eight touchdowns against just two interceptions but completing only 59.1 percent of his attempts – Modster was decidedly less stellar in relief, going 6-of-15 for a paltry 39 yards with an interception and a sack in the loss to Arizona State.

Oregon is one of the most dangerous first-half teams in the league (especially at home, where the Ducks average 24.7 first-half points per game) and Cal will struggle to keep up in hostile territory. We favor Oregon -10 on the first-half spread.

**Udog** · 10-03-2019, 09:14 AM

Temple at East Carolina
Joe Nelson

An AAC East contest headlines the Thursday night pairing to open the October college football schedule. Here is a look at Temple and East Carolina, a game featuring one of the lowest totals of the week in a matchup of three-win squads looking for conference win #1.

Temple Owls at East Carolina Pirates
At Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Greenville, North Carolina
Time/TV: Thursday, October 3, (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: Temple -11½, Over/Under 46½
Last Meeting: 2018 At Temple (-10½) 49, East Carolina 6

East Carolina was a bowl fixture in the late 1990s through the mid-2000s. Steve Logan went 67-55 over 11 years for the Pirates with five bowl appearances and a successful transition to Conference USA. He resigned after a disappointing 2002 season and the program fell off a cliff with John Thompson going 3-20 over two seasons before being released. Skip Holtz took over and the program was relevant for five seasons before he jumped to South Florida and Ruffin McNeill was able to mostly sustain that success over six years including the final two years in the move to the American. After going 5-7 in 2015, he was fired and history repeated itself with an ugly short-term run for the Pirates under Scottie Montgomery.

The Pirates hope they have found a stable presence for years to come on the sidelines with Mike Houston. Still relatively young at 47, Houston led successful but brief runs at three different programs, most recently going 37-6 over three season at James Madison, including the 2016 FCS Championship which was the only title miss over the past eight seasons for FCS powerhouse North Dakota State. While his offenses ran the option at the Lenoir-Rhyne and The Citadel, he has employed a spread at James Madison and at East Carolina, with hopes of capturing the high-scoring potential his Dukes teams had. There has been good balance so far with the Pirates rushing about 38 times per game and throwing 31 times per game.

An appealing underdog in the season opener, East Carolina lost 34-6 at NC State in a lopsided contest, but the Pirates have quietly won three of the past four games. Two of those wins were over FCS teams as last week’s narrow 24-21 win at Old Dominion was the first FBS win of the season. Against NC State and Navy, East Carolina lost by a combined score 76-16 while out-gained by 236 and 246 yards respectively, though both of those games were on the road.

Holton Ahlers was named the starting quarterback late in the summer and the sophomore that completed only 48 percent of his passes last season, but had 12 touchdowns and only three interceptions has mostly struggled this season. Ahlers has upped his completion rate to 54 percent but already has five interceptions and has lost a half-yard from last season in yards per attempt. East Carolina is running the ball with 867 yards in five games for 4.5 yards per attempt with Ahlers posting 186 yards on the ground and Demetrius Mauney leading the team with 199 rushing yards. Last season, East Carolina rushed for only 3.6 yards per carry as there has been clear improvement.

East Carolina will host South Florida at the end of the month and will head to Connecticut in November, but the rest of the AAC path is difficult with the Pirates likely to be a double-digit underdog in four of the next five games counting this week’s game. Since 2003, East Carolina is 24-21 in the home underdog role including a handful of power five upsets while on a 10-7 ATS run as a double-digit home underdog, even with those numbers deteriorating significantly in the ugly run the past three years.

Temple had a messy off-season after Geoff Collins left the program after two seasons to take over Georgia Tech. The Owls hired Miami defensive coordinator Manny Diaz, but a few weeks later, he was brought back to Miami after Mark Richt retired. Rod Carey was hired after a successful run at Northern Illinois and is now the fifth coach for the program since 2006, not counting Diaz or interim coach Ed Foley.

Temple hasn’t been thought of as one of the top Group of 5 programs often but since 2015, the Owls are 38-20 S/U and 39-19 ATS for records that few programs can match. Temple is 3-1 this season with wins over a pair of major conference teams but losing by 16 against a MAC team, which has some similarities to last season’s erratic start, opening the season with a loss to FCS Villanova before going on to win eight games. Last season’s game was obviously a big one with Collins returning to face his old team and Temple won 24-2 though with only a minimal production edge, but catching huge turnover breaks with a 74-yard defensive score, a goal line fumble recovery, and a 65-yard interception return.

Carey replaced current NC State head coach Dave Doeren at Northern Illinois at the end of the 2012 season, making his head coaching debut in the Orange Bowl. He ultimately went 52-30 in six-plus seasons with the Huskies though going 0-6 in bowl games but with four division titles and two MAC Championships. Carey’s track record promoted running the ball and stopping the run with the Huskies ranking third nationally in per carry run defense last season. So far this season, Temple has held foes to only 133 rushing yards per game on 3.2 yards per carry but the offense is led by the passing attack.

Junior quarterback Anthony Russo has thrown 151 times in four games and his season line is inflated by posting 409 yards and four touchdowns vs. FCS Bucknell in the opener. Against FBS competition, Russo has completed just 49 percent of his passes and in those three games he has five interceptions and just six touchdowns and just 6.0 yards per attempt. In fairness, he faced Maryland and Georgia Tech teams in two of those games and ultimately led his team to wins in those games despite the marginal numbers though three interceptions vs. Buffalo were certainly a big factor in the upset loss.

This is the AAC opener for Temple and three difficult games will follow this contest with a challenging West draw of Memphis and SMU in back-to-back weeks before hosting UCF. Temple also plays at Cincinnati late in the season as despite a 3-1 start there will be work to do to get to a bowl game. Last season, Temple played UCF about as well as any of the other American squads in a 52-40 loss in Orlando while the Owls were able to beat Navy, Cincinnati, and Houston as this team shouldn’t be ruled out of the AAC East race either.

There aren’t many negative trends for Temple in recent years and the Owls are 11-3 ATS since 2014 as a road favorite while 27-11 ATS in all road games since 2013. Temple is 5-1 in the last six instances as a double-digit road favorite, though losing at -14 at Buffalo in September.

Series History:
Meeting each of the last five years as AAC foes Temple is 5-0 S/U and 5-0 ATS in this series with every win coming by at least 10 points. Temple won 34-10 in 2017 as a slight favorite in the last trip to Greenville while the teams also met regularly in the late 1980s and early 1990s as fellow Independents. Temple is on an 8-1 ATS run in this series since 1989 and historically 7-5 S/U and 8-3-1 ATS in this series since 1986.

There is also a Sun Belt contest Thursday night to kick off the college football week as Georgia Southern visits South Alabama in a division crossover game. Both teams lost their conference openers last week and sit with just one win each on the season through September.

Georgia Southern Eagles at South Alabama Jaguars
At Ladd-Peebles Stadium in Mobile, Alabama
Time/TV: Thursday, October 3, (ESPNU, 7:30 p.m. ET)
Line: Georgia Southern -10½, Over/Under 45½
Last Meeting: 2018 At Georgia Southern (-12) 48, South Alabama 13

Georgia Southern won 10 games last season and finished just behind Appalachian State and Troy in the Sun Belt East race finishing 6-2. In a 1-3 start, the Eagles haven’t had their typical rushing success so far this season. Losing badly to LSU was certainly forgivable and Georgia Southern nearly had an upset at Minnesota as this squad could still emerge as a winning team. Last week vs. a Louisiana-Lafayette at home, Georgia Southern was soundly out-gained turning back to Shai Werts at quarterback but it was a three-point game into the fourth quarter.

Steve Campbell went 33-15 at FCS Central Arkansas and was considered a great hire by South Alabama, though the team did have mixed success over nine years under Joey Jones, including two bowl trips in six years after making the jump to the FBS level and a huge upset over Mississippi State in 2016. Campbell inherited an inexperienced team and the Jaguars mostly struggled in a 3-9 debut season.

At 1-4, the returns have been no better this season though the Jaguars did give Nebraska a scare in the season opener. The only win came vs. FCS Jacksonville State though the only FBS home game was a difficult draw vs. Memphis. While South Alabama scored late to make a 30-10 game 30-17 last week, they were only minimally out-gained and rushed for 263 yards to offer some promise moving forward.

Series History:
Meeting each of the last five years, Georgia Southern is 5-0 S/U and 5-0 ATS in this series with every win coming by at least 15 points. The past two meetings have both been at home with a 24-9 win in 2016 for Georgia Southern in the last visit to Mobile.

**Udog** · 10-03-2019, 09:19 AM

UCF at Cincinnati
Matt Blunt

No. 18 Central Florida at Cincinnati
Venue/Location: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Time/TV: Friday, Oct. 4 (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: UCF -4 ½, Total 60

Recent Meetings:
2018: Central Florida (-6.5) 38 vs. Cincinnati 13, Under 60 ½
2017: Central Florida (-15) 51 at Cincinnati 23, Over 52 ½
2016: Central Florida (-10.5) 24 vs. Cincinnati 3, Under 51 ½
2015: Cincinnati 52 (-26) 52 vs. Central Florida 7, Under 61

The Conference of Champions is taking this Friday night off, as it's the AAC's turn to shine under the bright Friday night lights. The conference is hoping to showcase it's “best” team as the 18th ranked UCF Knights travel north to Cincinnati to try and knock off a 3-1 Bearcats program.

Outside of getting waxed by Ohio State, the Bearcats have looked good, winning by double-digits in all three of their wins, and really who has gone up against the Buckeyes so far in 2019 and not gotten waxed. There is a view that a loss to Pitt, as essentially double-digit road chalk, looks much worse on UCF's resume, but with how the Knights bounced back with a no-nonsense win over Connecticut last weekend, UCF knows they can't afford any more slip-ups.

Can the Bearcats play well enough to help one of those slip-ups happen, or will UCF just be on their way to potentially another long winning streak?

UCF cruised to the 56-21 win over Connecticut last weekend, as a 56-0 lead was established before the Knights called it a day and did so early enough to let Connecticut through the back door for an ATS win. But really -42 was a lofty number to cover after the program's first loss in 27 regular season games, and had UCF decided to play the full 60 minutes, the easy ATS win was there.

A thought like that has to be concerning to the rest of the AAC as league play really begins in earnest, because this UCF team just keeps pushing forward, even after dealing with their first setback in years. What that tells me is that it's going to be tough to ever catch UCF in a flat spot, or a look-ahead spot, at least pregame, the rest of the way. They can flush good and bad efforts just as quickly as one another, and while they probably got caught looking ahead to this primetime showcase in the 4th quarter last week as they watched Connecticut stroll through the back door, that happens here and it won't matter given the spread they've got to cover this week.

Hard to take anything away from Cincinnati's effort this year, although I guess you would have preferred to see a bit more fight and potential production against Ohio State. And while they are currently the only Ohio State opponent that didn't score against the Buckeyes this season, their 42-point deficit in the loss isn't the worst margin of defeat for an Ohio State opponent. Even further had they mustered a safety or FG in that game, they'd have the 2nd smallest margin of defeat by an Ohio State foe at just 39 points. That's how impressive Ohio State has been.

Not as much shame in that loss as it may appear for Cincinnati, and UCF, while good, is still not Ohio State. But the Bearcats defense got absolutely gashed on the ground that day (270 yards, 5.9 average), and UCF's attack is on the ground first. The Knights may not be Ohio State, but they recruit a similar caliber of athlete, and that does not bode well for Cincy's defense either. Sure, holding down Marshall, Miami (Ohio) and UCLA – although UCLA's offense deserves more credit after that Washington State game – to 14 or fewer points is one thing, doing that to the Knights is going to be near impossible. As a program, UCF hasn't scored fewer than 30 points in a single game since their 2016 Bowl loss to Arkansas State (31-13). That's 31 straight games of putting up 30 or more for UCF. Does this Bearcats offense have enough pop to keep up?

I'm not sure that they do, as even Pittsburgh needed a punt return TD, to win the ball control battle by 11+ minutes, and the turnover battle (2-1) to squeak out a 1-point win in the final minute. That's a lot of things going right for one team at home, and with how UCF came out of the gates last week, you know they've learned their lesson about playing sloppy ball. The focus shifted to this game for UCF in the 4th quarter of last week's win, and I don't believe they fall for the second time in three games.

A clean performance from UCF from start to finish has them winning by 10+, leaving plenty of room for error should the game not turn out so spotless for the Knights under the lights. Cincinnati's interior got whitewashed in that Ohio State game, and UCF should be capable of doing something similar. Really thought this line would be closer to a TD, but I guess that recent loss from UCF has popped their invincibility shield.

The Knights haven't lost three in a row against the number since late in the 2017 season - the one where they won the “National Championship”. Two of those three games saw them laying 39 points or more and that's what got them ATS-wise, and that's nothing we have to worry about here. Sorry Cincinnati, it will be the second primetime football loss this week for football teams in your city.

Best Bet: UCF -4 ½

Friday Best Bet YTD Record: 2-3 ATS

**Udog** · 10-03-2019, 10:40 PM

Total Moves - Week 6
October 3, 2019
By Matt Blunt

College Football Week 6 Total Moves

The oddsmakers and I have been passing that broomstick back and forth for the past three weeks, as after Week 3's plays saw me on the wrong side of the broom, last week's plays gave me the upper hand once again. That made it two of the past three weeks that I've been on the right side of these plays sweeping the board, and hopefully this week's plays don't mirror Week 3's results.

Michigan State and Northwestern got so much 'under' love all the way until kickoff that the line actually dropped as low as 35 points. So 38 was far from the best number, but thanks to both teams finding the end zone in the final frame, the two teams managed to finish with 41 points and eclipse every number.

UCF and Pitt managed to prove that that early money on the high side of the 'over' was the correct side all along, as even before Pitt scored that final TD to win in basically walk-off fashion, the two teams had combined for 62 points already. The scoring was that high despite the two teams going a combined 9-for-33 on 3rd downs.

Before we break down the key moves, be sure to check out the top Over-Under schools for bettors.

Best OVER Schools

5-0 - Charlotte, SMU

4-0 - LSU

4-1 - Louisiana-Lafayette, Massachusetts, Miami-Ohio, Mississippi State
Best UNDER Schools
4-0 - Tulsa, San Diego State, Old Dominion, Liberty, East Carolina

4-1 - Arizona State, Arkansas, California, North Carolina State, Pittsburgh, South Alabama, UCLA, Utah

It's on to Week 6's plays though, as just like every week in college football, there have been plenty of total moves already.

YTD: 6-4 ATS

Week 6 Total move to disagree with:

Maryland/Rutgers from 54 to 56
This play is one you can probably wait a bit on, because it's likely to keep climbing, and based on initial 'over' support, it's not coming back much below 56. That's still not a horrible number to go low on, as we've got two below average teams squaring off here. And while both coming off shutout losses in their last game is something that I can get behind for an 'over' look initially, trusting two bad teams to consistently put up points is a lot like trusting a teenager to come home by curfew. You want to believe they'll do it, every time it's an option, but you know it's only going to happen a couple of times out of every 10.

Maryland's offense, which was the toast of the land through the first two weeks, seem to have gotten 'blueprinted' by Temple's defense. That day the Owls really clamped down on the Terrapins attack, and Penn State went next level on it with two weeks of film study in their brains. Rutgers isn't going to have anywhere near that kind of success defensively, but they are more then capable of doing enough, especially if they continue to hurt themselves with turnovers (four in last two games).

Maryland's defense is going to want to have a bounce back effort after getting steamrolled by the Nittany Lions last week, and this is the type of opponent to to just that. Rutgers has a grand total of 16 points in their last 12 quarters of football, and as much as the situational bounce back off a shutout is there, sometimes you've just got to accept when a bad team is a bad team. Bad teams find different ways to not put up points all the time. The Terrapins may have been rolled by Penn State, but they had kept every other opponent to 20 or less before that, and Rutgers has only scored 20 or more points twice going all the way back to the 2018 season opener - 16 games.

As much as teams like this lure you in some weeks that they'll prove to make better decisions, execute better, and be home on time; chances are, some poor decision will lead into another one, and all of a sudden curfew's long gone. This matchup has had less than 56 points scored in it in each of the past three seasons, and Rutgers put up 13 or fewer in two of those games. Yes, a possible return from QB McLane Carter for Rutgers has sparked some of the love for this move, but he's still a little loose with the football and concussions are tough to have completely go away this soon.

Going against the grain is just another added benefit of a game that still probably needs too much to go right for both sides to clear this week's total.

Week 6 Total move to to agree with:

Oklahoma/Kansas from 66 to 67.5
There hasn't been anyone yet who can slow down this Oklahoma attack again this year, as Jalen Hurts transfer to the program as this offense not missing a beat again. However, with the Red River Rivalry with Texas on deck, this could be a spot where Oklahoma loses a bit of focus late once the win is already established.

A look-ahead like their big game vs Texas would typically have more effect on the point spread result for this game and that may very well be. Yet, I actually think because it's Kansas across the field and the likelihood of Oklahoma being up big in the 2nd half is great, the Sooners defense could easily shut things down defensively as they mentally shift to Texas. And given the Sooners history prior to the Red River Rivalry game, chances are we do see some points.

Oklahoma is on a 7-1 O/U run the last eight years in the game before playing Texas, and that includes a run of five straight 'overs' the past five seasons. Oklahoma sports a 5-3 ATS record during that span so it's not all defensive blowups either, and you just need to look to the Sooners putting up 66 in this spot a year ago to see that. But the average total points for Sooners games the week before Texas clocks in at 71.25 points/game during this eight-year run, and only twice in that span were there fewer than 68 points scored.

Kansas has fallen back down to earth after that huge win against Boston College, as Big 12 play has not treated them well so far with an 0-2 SU and ATS record. They were blasted by TCU last week in getting outgained by nearly 500 yards overall (466), and TCU's offense can look prehistoric compared to what Oklahoma brings. As long as the Sooners are focused for at least the first three quarters, them putting up their share of points here (45+) shouldn't be an issue.

It's the ease off the pedal from Oklahoma's defense that I'm expecting to take this 'over' play to the finish line though, as the Sooners have allowed 30+ points in four of the past five years before the Red River Rivalry. Oklahoma opponents have averaged scoring 35.6 points/game themselves during that run, and Kansas likely only needs a bit more then half of that to likely secure an 'over'. That's quite doable if/when Oklahoma shuts things down on defense later in the game, as 70+ points is probably what we see from these two teams this week.

Other Notable Moves

Down
Baylor-Kansas State: 51 to 49
Troy-Missouri: 66.5 to 64.5
Ohio-Buffalo: 54 to 51

Up
Liberty-New Mexico State: 60 to 62
Vanderbilt-Mississippi: 60.5 to 62.5

(Odds Subject to Change)

**Udog** · 10-04-2019, 12:00 PM

by: Monty Andrews

BEARCATS TAKE A PASS

UCF has traditionally been known for being one of the most dangerous offensive teams in college football – but that reputation will be put to the test Friday night as the Knights face the Bearcats in Cincinnati. While Dillon Gabriel leads the AAC with 14 touchdown passes so far this season, he hasn't had to face a Bearcats pass defense that is allowing just 167 yards per game on the season while limiting opponents to a paltry four touchdown passes. And as good as Central Florida has been, it has actually finished below the total in seven of its previous eight road games against teams with winning home records.

The Bearcats can't hope to keep up with this Knights offense, but should be able to contain the pass attack sufficiently to keep things interesting. We like UCF to finish below its team total, which sits at around 33.5 points.

POSITIVE GAME SCRIPT

The San Jose State Spartans know what they're good at – and it puts them in great position to succeed Friday night as they host New Mexico. The Spartans have undergone a complete offensive transformation: after averaging just 324 yards per game in 2018, they're up over 400 this season thanks to a pass offense (284.8 ypg) that ranks fifth-best in the Mountain West Conference. That could spell doom for the visiting Lobos, who have surrendered an average of 380 yards per game through the air; opponents have 13 passing touchdowns against them with just one interception.

With home-field advantage and an opponent that hasn't been able to slow down opposition aerial assaults, San Jose State looks like a terrific cover option in this one despite giving up double-digit points.

PURDUE’S STAR RECEIVER SIDELINED

It's bad news for the Purdue Boilermakers, who will be without star receiver Rondale Moore indefinitely. Moore let last week's 38-31 loss to the Minnesota Golden Gophers on a cart after sustaining a leg injury. He'll miss this week's encounter with the Penn State Nittany Lions, but head coach Jeff Brohm isn't ready to declare Moore out for the season. Moore was one of the top wide receivers in the nation prior to the injury, catching 29 passes for 387 yards and a pair of touchdowns. He joins quarterback Elijah Sindelar (broken collarbone, out indefinitely) on the sidelines.

This has moved by as many as five points in some places – and Penn State still looks like the superior cover option with Purdue down its top two offensive players in hostile territory this weekend.

OREGON GAINS A WEAPON

The Oregon Ducks will likely have one more difference-maker in the lineup for Saturday's game against the rival Cal Golden Bears. Four-star wide receiver Mycah Pittman has been cleared to return to action for the first time since suffering a shoulder injury in preseason camp. Considered one of the top wide receiver prospects in the Pac-12, Pittman joins a Ducks receiving corps that is led by the talented trio of Jacob Breeland (18 receptions, 265 yards, 5 TDs), Johnny Johnson III (22 receptions, 264 yards, 2 TDs) and Jaylon Redd (17 receptions, 149 yards, 3 TDs).

With the Ducks (and quarterback Justin Herbert in particular) officially loaded in the passing game and the Golden Bears starting a backup quarterback this weekend, Oregon looks like a good bet to surpass its team point total despite the tough matchup.

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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (Thur., Oct. 3 - Sat., Oct. 5)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (Thur., Oct. 3 - Sat., Oct. 5)

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