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**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 10:11 AM

Betting Recap - Week 4
Joe Williams

College Football Week 4 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 47-11
Against the Spread 30-27-1

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 37-21
Against the Spread 26-31-1

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 29-27-2

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 250-39
Against the Spread 146-136-7

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 209-76
Against the Spread 132-146-7

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 138-148-5

The largest underdogs to win straight up
San Jose State (+20, ML +800) at Arkansas, 31-24
UCLA (+18, ML +700) at Washington State, 67-63
Buffalo (+14, ML +450) vs. Temple, 38-22
Pittsburgh (+10, ML +320) vs. UCF, 35-34
Colorado (+7.5, ML +295) vs. Arizona State, 34-31
SMU (+7.5, ML +240) at TCU, 41-38

The largest favorites to cover
Clemson (-41.5) vs. Charlotte, 52-10
Ohio State (-38.5) vs. Miami-Ohio, 76-5
Alabama (-37) vs. Southern Miss, 49-7
Wake Forest (-30) vs. Elon, 49-7
Indiana (-27.5) vs. Connecticut, 38-3
LSU (-24) at Vanderbilt, 66-38

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)

-- The big story in the AAC was in the Steel City, as UCF was tripped up by Pittsburgh, 35-34. As such, the Knights saw their 25-game regular-season win streak dating back to Nov. 2016 snapped. Not only was it the first loss for UCF, it was their first non-cover, too. The 'over' has hit in their past two after two 'under' results to start. ... SMU picked up a nice 41-38 road victory against TCU, as the Mustangs moved to 4-0 SU for the first time since 1984, and they also improved to 4-0 ATS with the 'over' 4-0. ... Tulsa didn't cover, but they were able to top Wyoming, 24-21. They're 2-2 SU/ATS, which is rather inconsistent, but the 'under' has connected in each of their four outings to make them a favorite of total bettors. ... Tulane opened the week with a 38-31 victory over Houston, improving to 3-1 SU/ATS. It also started the weekend off with the first bad beat (see below).

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)

-- Appalachian State picked North Carolina up the 34-31 win at Kenan Stadium, blocking a potential game-tying field goal to secure the road win. After opening 2-0 SU/ATS, the Tar Heels are 0-2 SU/ATS across the past two. ... Florida State posted a much-needed 35-24 victory against Louisville. While it still wasn't a complete game, as the Seminoles blew a 21-0 lead after 15 minutes, they were able to come back in the fourth quarter for their first cover of the season after opening 0-2-1 ATS. It was also FSU's first 'under' result after three overs. ... N.C. State held off Ball State, 34-23 in a game which saw the total end as a bit of a bad beat (see below). ... It wasn't quite a bad beat, but Clemson topped Charlotte, 52-10. With just over six minutes to go, leading 45-10, the Tigers scored a touchdown to not only flip the side to Clemson -41.5, but the total of 60.5 also went over. ... Miami-Florida survivied a scare from Central Michigan, winning a low-scoring 17-12 game. As such, the Hurricanes are 2-2 SU/ATS and the total is 2-2 as well. The Canes are the picture of mediocrity.

BIG TEN

-- Ohio State roughed up Miami-Ohio by a 76-5 score after shaking off the Redhawks. It was just 7-5 after 15 minutes, but the Buckeyes scored 42 points in the second quarter to blow it wide open. The Buckeyes have managed at least 42 points in each of their four outings, and they have covered three in a row since failing to cover against FAU in the opener. The 'over' is also 2-0 in the past two, thanks to 127 points of offense. ... After a dismal offensive performance last week Michigan State was able to bounce back, winning at Northwestern, 31-10. The Spartans defense has been stingy, allowing just 11.0 PPG through for outings. ... In the marquee game of the day in the conference it was Wisconsin humbling the so-called great Jim Harbaugh and Michigan, 35-14. The Wolverines fell behind 28-0 at halftime and were never really in the game. The Badgers are 3-0 SU/ATS. On a positive note for the Wolverines, they were the first team to score against the Badgers in 2019 after 10 consecutive scoreless quarters to begin the season.

BIG 12

-- Kansas was back to their losing ways, falling to West Virginia by a 29-24 score. However, the Jayhawks put up a strong fight and proved their no longer going to be an easy out. KU has scored 24 or more points in three of their four outings. ... Oklahoma State picked up a cover at most shops with their 36-30 loss at Texas, but the Longhorns were able to pick up the much-needed marquee win. It won't get any easier for the Longhorns, as they visit Morgantown next week before their annual Red River Rivalry game against Oklahoma. ... Iowa State smashed Louisiana-Monroe by a 72-20 count. The Cyclones were impressive on offense, posting at least 13 points in every quarter, while outscoring the visitors 45-7 in the second half. ... It wasn't impressive, but Baylor topped Rice 21-13 in a low-scoring battle. The Bears might be 3-0 SU, but they're 1-2 ATS so far. It was their first 'under' result after a pair of overs to start. In fact, the Bears entered averaging 59.5 PPG. They're allowing just 14.7 PPG through three games.

CONFERENCE USA

-- Florida Atlantic socked around FCS Wagner at FAU Stadium by a 42-7 count. This game featured a little bit of a bad beat for total bettors (see below). ... UAB went for a 35-3 victory against South Alabama, picking up the eary cover. While it wasn't a bad beat, over bettors (48) were a little unhappy with the result. There were 31 points on the board at halftime, but a total of just seven points in the third quarter and no points in the fourth. ... Old Dominion fired out to a 10-0 lead after 15 minutes at Virginia, and they held a 17-7 victory at the break. It was shades of ODU's win last season against Virginia Tech. However, the Cavaliers outscored the Monarchs 21-0 in the final 30 minutes, covering a 14-point second-half line while the 'under' came in for the game and the second half. ... Louisiana Tech picked up a 43-31 win against Florida International. Perhaps the biggest surprise in this game was the 'over' (51) cashing after a scoreless first quarter. FIU, picked to finish second in C-USA preseason polls, is now 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. This was also a good ol' fashioned C-USA bad beat (see below).

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)

-- It was a rough week for the MAC, as the league went 3-6 SU in games against non-league opponents. However, Toledo was able to pick up and impressive road win at Colorado State, 41-35. However, the Rockets just missed the cover at both shops by a half-point. ... Kent State hammered Bowling Green in the conference opener for both. The Golden Flashes entered the game with a total of 49 points in their first three outings. Their cover was the first since Aug. 29, their opener. The 'over' has cashed in the past two for Kent State, too. ... Buffalo earned a little bit of respect back for the league with a 38-22 win over Temple as 14-point underdogs. It was their first cover after opening 0-3 ATS.

MOUNTAIN WEST

-- New Mexico outlasted New Mexico State in a crazy 55-52 victory in Albuquerque. When the Lobos and Aggies hook up there are plenty of points sure to follow. The 'over' is a perfect 3-0 for UNM so far, as they have averaged 36.0 PPG on offense while yielding 46.3 PPG on defense. ... San Jose State scored a huge victory for their program, topping Arkansas by a 31-24 count. It was the first win against a Power 5 opponent since 2006 for the Spartans. The 'under' has cashed in all three games for San Jose State so far, ans they're a respectable 2-1 SU. The cover was their first of the season, too. ... Nevada posted a nice 37-21 road win over UTEP, moving to 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS. The 'over' is also 3-1 in four games for the Wolf Pack. ... Utah State earned the 23-17 victory at San Diego State to move to 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS. ... Boise State remained perfect at 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS after topping Air Force on Friday night by a 30-19 score. After UCF's lost to Pitt, the Broncos are now likely the top Group of Five entrant.

PAC-12

-- The game of the day might have been in Pullman. Well, if you like offense, that is. Washington State was comfortably ahead by a 49-17 score midway through the third quarter, and UCLA looked dead in the water. However, the Bruins, who scored 42 total points over their first three games, and exactly 14 points in each, rattled off 50 points in the final 22 minutes to outlast the Cougs 67-63. It was an unbelievable game, and QB Anthony Gordon of Washington State tossed a school record nine touchdown passes and lost. ... California stayed unbeaten with a road victory at Mississippi, 28-20. It was a controversial ending, as it appeared the Rebels scored to cut the lead to 28-26. However, the receiver looked to have two feet down in the end zone and the play wasn't even reviewed. The Rebels were stuffed on the next play and time ran out, handing the Rebels a tough loss on their home field. ... Colorado outlasted Arizona State, 34-31, despite the fact they lost star WR Laviska Shenault to an injury early on, as well as pro prospect DT Mustafa Johnson. The Buffaloes are now 3-1 SU/ATS, bouncing back from their overtime loss against Air Force.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)

-- Tennessee was hammered by their rivals in Florida, 34-3. It was rather surprising since the Gators were down to their backup quarterback after losing QB Feleipe Franks last week. The Gators are now 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS, and the 'under' has cashed in three of their four outings. ... One of the more overlooked games, it seems, was Auburn-Texas A&M. The Tigers fired out to a 14-0 lead and held on for the 28-20 win over the Aggies as the total pushed at most shops. The Tigers are now an impressive 4-0 ATS, and their offense still hasn't started to hit on all cylinders. ... Alabama posted the 49-7 win over Southern Miss, earning the late cover. How late? See bad beats below, as the Tide were involved for the second straight week. ... Georgia-Notre Dame was the game everyone was talking about, and the battle actually lived up to the hype. The Irish had their chances late, but they fell 23-17 in between the hedges. The Bulldogs have allowed just 10.0 PPG, and the 'under' is 3-1 in four games for UGA, and 3-0 in their three outings vs. FBS opponents.

SUN BELT

-- Georgia State spiked the ball as time ran out in regulation, and Texas State celebrated on the field. They thought they won 27-24, but after review, it was determined they had :01 left. They booted the field goal to send the game to overtime. With a total of 62.5, OT was the last thing under bettors wanted to see. GSU scored a TD to take a 34-27 lead, and they just needed defense for the cover and under. Neither happened, as the Bobcats scored to tie it 34-34. After a missed field goal by TSU, the Panthers had a chance to win it and missed their field goal, too. In 2 OT, the Panthers again misfired, while the Bobcats sunk them to win 37-34. It was a push at most shops. ... Troy notched a 35-7 road victory against Akron. The Trojans have scored at least 35 points in all three of their games, but this was their first cover and 'under' result. The Trojans have scored at least 35 points in all three of their games, but this was their first cover and 'under' result. The Zips are now 0-4 SU/ATS.

Bad Beats

-- In the Ball State-N.C. State game, there was a total of 59. At 34-16, the Cardinals scored a touchdown at 4:49 to go, making it 34-23. They recovered the onside kick and appeared to be in business. They drove inside the red zone with less than three minutes to go, but their QB forced one into coverage, it was tipped and picked off. Instead of a sure field goal to make it 34-26, and a one-possession game, and more importantly, 'over', the 'under' came through.

-- The Crimson Tide were leading 42-7 with 5:43 to go in the third period, and that score held up for the next 19 minutes. The Crimson Tide, favored by 37, appeared like they were going to win by 35. However, they ended up punching in a touchdown with 1:37 to go to get the late cover. For the second straight week the Tide were involved in a bad beat in the final moments of a blowout.

-- In the Wagner-FAU game, the Owls held a 42-7 lead late. The Seahawks got the ball down inside the FAU 5-yard line. They were stuffed several times and ended up turning the ball over on downs, failing to get it into the end zone. A touchdown would have pushed the total over (55.5), but the game ended up with a total of 49 points on the board.

-- In that Houston-Tulane game, the Green Wave were favored by four points. The game was tied 31-31 with less than 10 seconds left, and appeared headed for overtime. However, Tulane struck for a 53-yard touchdown with :03 remaining to win it 38-31, sinking those holding Cougars tickets.

-- The end of the FIU-Louisiana Tech game was gross if you were a Golden Panthers backer, catching six or seven. FIU scored a touchdown with :51 left to cut the Bulldogs lead to 36-31. It appeared you were in line for a nice backdoor cover, and a bad beat if you were a Louisiana Tech side bettor. However, just five seconds later the Bulldogs scooped up the onside kick and returned it 30 yards for the touchdown. It was like losing twice if you held an FIU ticket.

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 10:12 AM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 4
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the fourth big weekend of the college football season. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Tulane (-4½) 38, Houston 31: The Thursday night underdog certainly looked promising in AAC action as D’Eriq King sparked Houston to a 28-7 edge just a few minutes into the second quarter. Tulane answered to get within 14 where the margin held past halftime. Tulane hit a 48-yard pass play to close to within seven early in the third quarter and then early in the fourth, the Green Wave tied the game by completing a 93-yard drive while Houston had a pair of punts and the team’s second missed field goal of the game to start the second half. Tulane added three with about six minutes remaining to take the lead while Houston put together a lengthy drive looking for the win in regulation. The Cougars reached the Tulane 4-yard-line with 30 seconds remaining but ultimately had to settle for a short tying field goal with 21 seconds remaining. A fake kneel-down from Tulane led to an 18-yard gain to give the Wave a chance for a late score and Jalen McClesky made a catch in traffic around the 25-yard-line and scampered into the end zone in the final seconds as Tulane improbably won the game and slid past the favorite spread in a dramatic finish.

Louisiana Tech (-7) 43, FIU 31: With James Morgan back in action, FIU’s offense finally clicked and this game turned into a shootout in the second half after a 13-10 Bulldogs lead at the break. Louisiana Tech still led by just three heading into the fourth quarter after these squads traded leads in the third quarter. FIU’s defense held Louisiana Tech to three consecutive field goals to fall behind by 12, but they didn’t add points of its own until the final minute, scoring what looked like the underdog covering score with 51 seconds to go for a five-point margin. The ensuing on-side kick attempt went awry however as it was caught and returned for a short kickoff return touchdown for the Bulldogs to give the favorite the cover right back.

Syracuse (-3½) 52, Western Michigan 33: The production in this game wound up nearly even and the score was close to that as well late in third quarter as back-to-back Western Michigan scores turned a 38-19 Orange edge into a 38-33 margin heading into the fourth quarter. The Broncos forced an early fourth quarter punt and had the ball approaching midfield before a huge swing as they were stopped going for it on 4th-and-1 from the their own 41. Syracuse needed only a few plays to find the end zone inheriting great field position, pushing the lead to 12. The Broncos reached Syracuse territory on the next possession, but failed on 4th-and-10 from the Syracuse 28. Syracuse added another touchdown with about three minutes remaining in the game to pad the final score.

New Mexico (-4) 55, New Mexico State 52: These rivals were tied at 31-31 at halftime, but New Mexico took charge in the third quarter with three scoring drives to lead by 10 heading into the final frame, a lead the Lobos extended to 17 early in the fourth quarter. The Aggies didn’t mail it in by scoring a touchdown halfway through the fourth and then getting back in the game with an interception. New Mexico State added a quick touchdown to trail by only three in the final minutes, a score that shifted the spread outcome. New Mexico had to covert a 4th down to close out the game before eventually taking knee inside the New Mexico State 10-yard-line.

California (+3) 28, Mississippi 20: Pac-12 officials added another chapter to their infamous legacy in this non-conference game at Ole Miss. The Bears were in control and had a 28-13 edge well into the fourth quarter despite a big yardage edge for the Rebels. Mississippi made a late charge with an 88-yard touchdown drive to get within a single score with 4:29 remaining. Cal opted to punt on 4th-and-1 near midfield as the Rebels had the ball back with an opportunity to tie. Without timeouts, John Rhys Plumlee engineered a great drive and the pivotal play occurred on 3rd-and-goal from the Cal 3-yard-line. Plumlee hit Elijah Moore who turned to the ball with his feet in the end zone before being tackled. The official spotted the ball short of the end zone and there was not a stoppage for a review on what certainly looked like a potential touchdown. With only seconds on the clock, Mississippi scrambled to the line to run a play and a disorganized 4th down sneak was stuffed as time expired and the Bears held on the for the win, avoiding the possibility of overtime.

Alabama (-36½) 49, Southern Miss 7: If Nick Saban wants fans to stay all four quarters of Alabama games, he just needs to make sure they have action on the spread as another Tide game featured a very late spread-result shifting score. Southern Miss trailed just 28-7 at the half, but Alabama pushed the margin to 42-7 by the fourth quarter, not quite enough on the heavy favorite number. Southern Miss burned substantial clock on a fourth quarter drive, but facing 4th-and-14 near midfield, they simply opted to punt. Alabama didn’t seem likely to go the length of the field in that situation, but Jaylen Waddle returned the punt 41 yards to put the Tide in great field position with still seven minutes remaining. Alabama opted to go for it on 4th-and-5 and Taulia (not Tua) Tagovailoa hit a 20-yard pass for the first down and a few plays later Jerome Ford rushed into the end zone to flip the spread result inside of two minutes.

West Virginia (-5) 29, Kansas 24: The Mountaineers led by only three heading into the fourth quarter, but managed to pull away with a pair of long drives, though resulting in only nine points with a short field goal and a touchdown but with a missed two-point try. That 12-point margin loomed large on the potential spread outcome on a line that landed right at -5. Kansas would indeed get a touchdown with about two minutes remaining to hit that five-point margin and the Jayhawks defense forced a punt to at least get the ball back though with only 32 seconds and no timeouts. Kansas picked up two modest gains and on the final play delivered a lateral play that for a moment had a chance, ultimately reaching the West Virginia 12-yard-line before the Mountaineers were able to clinch the win.

Florida State (-6½) 35, Louisville 24: Florida State jumped out to a 21-0 lead in this contest, but early leads have consistently melted away for the Seminoles this season. Louisville would score the next 24 points to lead by three as an underdog early in the fourth quarter. With Wisconsin-transfer Alex Hornibrook in the game, the Seminoles struck a 60-yard pass play for the go-ahead score halfway through the final frame. The Florida State defense stepped up with a three-and-out and a 15-yard penalty helped the cause to give the Seminoles great field position. Florida State eventually opted to kick a field goal from 4th-and-1 but a roughing the kicker call gave the Seminoles 1st-and-goal at the one and a potential 6-point lead became an 11-point margin. On its last possession, Louisville’s offense reached the Florida State 39 before running out of time.

Clemson (-41) 52, Charlotte 10: Charlotte’s numbers vs. Clemson were certainly better than some have posted vs. the Tigers, but the 49ers still trailed 31-0 before the halfway point of the second quarter. Down 45-3 in the third, Charlotte got a muffed punt to get the ball at the Clemson 12 and they cashed in, bringing the margin to 35 points. Clemson backup quarterback Taisum Phommachanh was picked off on the next drive to end a scoring threat as the 49ers had a chance to hold on to the cover but late in the game a Phommachanh pass got 15-yards added to it with a penalty and Michel Dukes broke free for a 24-yard touchdown run to inch past the spread.

Texas State (-3) 37, Georgia State 34: Texas State broke a 17-17 tie with a field goal late in the third quarter before an exciting finish in this Sun Belt opener. Georgia State had a 13-play touchdown drive to take the lead with about eight minutes to go, but Texas State answered with a touchdown drive completed on a 20-yard rush to go back up by three. Georgia State had a shot to win in regulation reaching 1st-and-goal form the 2-yard-line, but an untimely false start pushed the team back. Pass interference on Texas State gave that yardage back, but cost time and ultimately that proved to be the issue as the Panthers had to settle for the tying kick. After matching touchdowns in the first overtime, both teams would miss mid-40s field goals in the second overtime and Georgia State would do it again to start the third round. Despite a combined -20 yards from both teams in the second and third overtimes, Texas State kicker Joshua Rowland finally nailed the fourth field goal attempt of overtime from 35-yards as Texas State got its first win and the game finished on the number.

Oregon (-12½) 21, Stanford 6: Oregon’s high scoring offense was held in check in this game, but they took a 14-3 lead into halftime after getting a touchdown on a drive with two 3rd-and-long conversions while a Stanford drive into Oregon territory ended empty before halftime. The Ducks went ahead 21-3 in the fourth quarter following an interception while Stanford only answered with a field goal to trail by 15, not quite enough on the double-digit underdog spread. The Ducks had a bad snap on a field goal attempt to cost the team three points, but on two late possessions, Stanford was unable to spoil the cover despite holding Ducks to minimal production and having a nearly 2-to-1 edge on the ground.

Texas (-7) 36, Oklahoma State 30: Texas appeared to have a 21-13 edge heading into halftime, but the Longhorns muffed a punt return with 45 seconds to go ultimately handing the Cowboys a touchdown to get within one. The lead for Texas was five through three quarters, but early in the fourth the Longhorns took control with a touchdown drive and a successful two-point conversion for a 13-point edge. That should have been the final margin, but again Texas fumbled on a punt reception and with fewer than four minutes remaining Oklahoma State was handed great field position. Oklahoma State converted a 3rd-and-10 for 33 yards on a scramble from freshman quarterback Spencer Sanders and the Cowboys got the spread-stealing score with 1:37 remaining. Texas was in danger of having to give the ball back after barely recovering the on-side kick attempt and needed a Sam Ehlinger bootleg scramble to pick up the win-sealing 3rd down.

Nevada (-13½) 37, UTEP 21: Nevada and UTEP were tied 21-21 late in the third quarter before a field goal put the Wolf Pack ahead by three heading into the fourth quarter. Nevada added two fourth quarter scores to slip past the hefty road favorite number with the first score coming on a short field off an interception.

Toledo (-5½) 41, Colorado State 35: Following a missed Colorado State field goal, Toledo extended an eight-point lead to 11 points with a fourth quarter field goal with only about six minutes remaining in the game. Colorado State answered going 71 yards in fewer than two minutes and with a successful two-point conversion the Rams only trailed by three. Facing 4th-and-1 from its own 45-yard-line, Toledo broke a 35-yard-run and a penalty was tacked on to hand the Rockets 1st-and-goal. Colorado State still had a timeout as Toledo wasn’t able to drain all of the remaining time and ultimately wound up kicking a short field goal to lead by six with 31 seconds to go. On 1st down, Colorado State went 29 yards and spiked the ball to give themselves a shot, on the final play of the game Rams receiver EJ Scott was stopped at the 2-yard-line as Toledo held on.

UCLA (+18) 67, Washington State 63: Only a 100-yard kickoff return touchdown hallway through the second quarter slowed the bleeding for UCLA trailing 35-17 at halftime and then watching the Cougars score a pair of touchdowns to lead by 32 with fewer than 22 minutes remaining in the game. Headed for an 0-4 start, the Bruins didn’t fold and took advantage of a fumble to add back-to-back touchdowns to bring the margin back to 18. After holding Washington State to its first of only two punts on the night, UCLA went 94 yards on 1st down to trim the deficit to 11 points. Washington State fumbled again and Bruins scored in four plays to close to within three. After trading touchdowns, the second punt of Washington State’s night went 69 yards for a return touchdown as the Bruins had the lead. Washington State quarterback Anthony Gordon then connected for his ninth touchdown of the game to put the Cougars back in front and the Washington State defense got a stop on 4th down in the red zone with just over two minutes remaining. Incredibly on 1st down, a 14-yard gain for Washington State resulted in another fumble and UCLA used the short field to take the lead back with just over a minute remaining. A sack on 1st down led to another Cougars fumble for the sixth turnover of the day helping to propel the astonishing Bruins comeback.

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 10:13 AM

This report may update (top trends sections) as gamedays get closer....

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 26

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NAVY (2 - 0) at MEMPHIS (3 - 0) - 9/26/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
NAVY is 175-131 ATS (+30.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 175-131 ATS (+30.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 99-60 ATS (+33.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 83-45 ATS (+33.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 83-45 ATS (+33.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-1 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, September 27

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DUKE (2 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 1) - 9/27/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PENN ST (3 - 0) at MARYLAND (2 - 1) - 9/27/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN JOSE ST (2 - 1) at AIR FORCE (2 - 1) - 9/27/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 32-60 ATS (-34.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA ST (3 - 1) at CALIFORNIA (4 - 0) - 9/27/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, September 28

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NORTHWESTERN (1 - 2) at WISCONSIN (3 - 0) - 9/28/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 85-57 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 85-57 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WAKE FOREST (4 - 0) at BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (1 - 2) at UCF (3 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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C MICHIGAN (2 - 2) at W MICHIGAN (2 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (4 - 0) at S FLORIDA (1 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (2 - 2) at MIAMI OHIO (1 - 3) - 9/28/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH (1 - 2) at TEMPLE (2 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (3 - 1) at FLORIDA ST (2 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
FLORIDA ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (2 - 1) at BAYLOR (3 - 0) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (2 - 2) at TOLEDO (2 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TOLEDO is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AKRON (0 - 4) at MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 4) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (1 - 2) at MICHIGAN (2 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (3 - 0) at PURDUE (1 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 1) at GA SOUTHERN (1 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 2) at IOWA (3 - 0) - 9/28/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNLV (1 - 2) at WYOMING (3 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 93-130 ATS (-50.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (3 - 1) at UTAH (3 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (1 - 2) at NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 4) - 9/28/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 95-134 ATS (-52.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAWAII (3 - 1) at NEVADA (3 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (1 - 3) at OREGON ST (1 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
STANFORD is 67-45 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
STANFORD is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OREGON ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (3 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (3 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 81-113 ATS (-43.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
INDIANA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points since 1992.
INDIANA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEMSON (4 - 0) at N CAROLINA (2 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (2 - 2) at S CAROLINA (1 - 3) - 9/28/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLE MISS (2 - 2) at ALABAMA (4 - 0) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OLE MISS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OLE MISS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 2-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (1 - 2) at VANDERBILT (0 - 3) - 9/28/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 77-48 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 77-48 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 103-75 ATS (+20.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (2 - 2) at TCU (2 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 133-170 ATS (-54.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 133-170 ATS (-54.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 84-119 ATS (-46.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 51-83 ATS (-40.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 51-83 ATS (-40.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 94-125 ATS (-43.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 123-161 ATS (-54.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 44-73 ATS (-36.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 86-120 ATS (-46.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 59-89 ATS (-38.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 58-87 ATS (-37.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TCU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (3 - 0) at OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 127-92 ATS (+25.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 160-121 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 1) at AUBURN (4 - 0) - 9/28/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (2 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (3 - 0) - 9/28/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (2 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (2 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 1-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA (4 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (2 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COASTAL CAROLINA (3 - 1) at APPALACHIAN ST (3 - 0) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (2 - 1) at MARSHALL (2 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (2 - 2) at OLD DOMINION (1 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLD DOMINION is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (2 - 1) at LIBERTY (2 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
NEW MEXICO is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LIBERTY is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
LIBERTY is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (2 - 2) at TROY (2 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (1 - 3) at LA MONROE (1 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-1 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTEP (1 - 2) at SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 1) at RICE (0 - 4) - 9/28/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 64-34 ATS (+26.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (3 - 0) at W KENTUCKY (1 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO ST (1 - 3) at UTAH ST (2 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
UTAH ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (4 - 0) at NEBRASKA (3 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 193-148 ATS (+30.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 193-148 ATS (+30.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 175-133 ATS (+28.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
OHIO ST is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (1 - 3) at NORTH TEXAS (2 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS (2 - 2) vs. TEXAS A&M (2 - 2) - 9/28/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 50-73 ATS (-30.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (3 - 1) at WASHINGTON (3 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (1 - 3) at ARIZONA (2 - 1) - 9/28/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
ARIZONA is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 60-93 ATS (-42.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 117-151 ATS (-49.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 10:14 AM

NCAAF

Week 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 26

Navy @ Memphis
Navy
Navy is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Friday, September 27

Duke @ Virginia Tech
Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 6 games when playing Virginia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games when playing Duke

Penn State @ Maryland
Penn State
Penn State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Maryland
Maryland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games at home

San Jose State @ Air Force
San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose State's last 8 games on the road
Air Force
Air Force is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Air Force is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Arizona State @ California
Arizona State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games when playing California
California
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of California's last 7 games at home
California is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona State

Saturday, September 28

Texas A&M @ Arkansas
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas
Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arkansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games
Arkansas is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games

Northern Illinois @ Vanderbilt
Northern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 6 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Vanderbilt is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Holy Cross @ Syracuse
Holy Cross
Holy Cross is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Holy Cross is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Syracuse
Syracuse is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games at home

Brigham Young @ Toledo
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Brigham Young is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 6 games
Toledo is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home

Kansas @ Texas Christian
Kansas
Kansas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas Christian
Kansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas
Texas Christian is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma
Texas Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas Tech's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Middle Tennessee @ Iowa
Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Iowa
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Rutgers @ Michigan
Rutgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rutgers's last 5 games when playing Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Rutgers's last 8 games on the road
Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Rutgers
Michigan is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Northwestern @ Wisconsin
Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games when playing Wisconsin
Northwestern is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games when playing Northwestern

Buffalo @ Miami-OH
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami-OH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Miami-OH
Miami-OH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami-OH's last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

Central Michigan @ Western Michigan
Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
Central Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Western Michigan's last 9 games

Delaware @ Pittsburgh
Delaware
Delaware is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Delaware is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Mississippi @ Alabama
Mississippi
Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 7 games
Alabama
Alabama is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games at home
Alabama is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games

Southern California @ Washington
Southern California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern California's last 6 games when playing Washington
Southern California is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Iowa State @ Baylor
Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Iowa State's last 11 games on the road
Iowa State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baylor is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Wake Forest @ Boston College
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Wake Forest's last 9 games when playing Boston College
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston College's last 9 games when playing Wake Forest
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games at home

Clemson @ North Carolina
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing Clemson
North Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Georgia Tech @ Temple
Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Temple
Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Temple is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Akron @ Massachusetts
Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Akron's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Akron's last 12 games
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 5 games
Massachusetts is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Indiana @ Michigan State
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

Minnesota @ Purdue
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Purdue
Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Purdue's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games at home

Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games

Virginia @ Notre Dame
Virginia
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Virginia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games

Coastal Carolina @ Appalachian State
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Coastal Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Towson @ Florida
Towson
Towson is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Towson is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Southern Methodist @ South Florida
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
South Florida
South Florida is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 6 games

Cincinnati @ Marshall
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
Marshall
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games

New Mexico @ Liberty
New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Mexico's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Mexico's last 8 games
Liberty
Liberty is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Liberty's last 7 games

East Carolina @ Old Dominion
East Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games
East Carolina is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Old Dominion
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 6 games
Old Dominion is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Georgia Southern
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Georgia Southern is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Arkansas State @ Troy
Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 5 games on the road
Arkansas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Troy
Troy
Troy is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Troy is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games

Mississippi State @ Auburn
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Mississippi State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi State's last 7 games when playing Auburn
Auburn
Auburn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Stanford @ Oregon State
Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games on the road
Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oregon State's last 9 games when playing at home against Stanford

Kansas State @ Oklahoma State
Kansas State
Kansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Louisiana Tech @ Rice
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rice
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana Tech's last 8 games on the road
Rice
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Rice's last 8 games when playing Louisiana Tech
Rice is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Texas El Paso @ Southern Miss
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas El Paso's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games when playing Southern Miss
Southern Miss
Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso

Alabama-Birmingham @ Western Kentucky
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama-Birmingham is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Western Kentucky's last 10 games at home
Western Kentucky is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

Nicholls State @ Texas State
Nicholls State
Nicholls State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Nicholls State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas State's last 11 games

Connecticut @ Central Florida
Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing Central Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Central Florida
Central Florida is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games at home
Central Florida is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games

South Alabama @ Louisiana-Monroe
South Alabama
South Alabama is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
South Alabama is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games

Kentucky @ South Carolina
Kentucky
Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing Kentucky
South Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

North Carolina State @ Florida State
North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida State
North Carolina State is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Florida State
Florida State
Florida State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games

Ohio State @ Nebraska
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Nebraska
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Ohio State

Colorado State @ Utah State
Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 7 games when playing Utah State
Colorado State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah State
Utah State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Fresno State @ New Mexico State
Fresno State
Fresno State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Fresno State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Mexico State
New Mexico State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Mexico State's last 7 games when playing Fresno State
New Mexico State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Fresno State

Houston @ North Texas
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games
North Texas
North Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of North Texas's last 15 games

Nevada-Las Vegas @ Wyoming
Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wyoming
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 14 games when playing Wyoming
Wyoming
Wyoming is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nevada-Las Vegas
Wyoming is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Washington State @ Utah
Washington State
Washington State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Utah
Washington State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Utah
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Washington State

California-Los Angeles @ Arizona
California-Los Angeles
California-Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
California-Los Angeles is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Hawaii @ Nevada
Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games when playing Nevada
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games on the road
Nevada
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 5 games when playing Hawaii
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 10:15 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5

Thursday’s game
Underdogs covered all four Navy-Memphis games, with Middies winning three of four- last two were decided by total of four points. Teams split last two meetings here. Navy has played only one I-A game this year, running for 315 yards in a 42-10 win over ECU; over last decade, Navy is 20-10 ATS as a road underdog, 10-7 as a double digit dog. Memphis allowed total of 16 points in winning pair of I-A games; Tigers covered nine of last ten games as a home favorite- they’re 10-4 n last 14 games as a double digit favorite.

Friday’s games
Underdogs covered eight of last 11 Duke-Virginia Tech games; Blue Devils won two of last three visits to Blacksburg, with the two wins by total of five points, but those are Duke’s only wins in last 15 series games. Blue Devils covered five of their last six games as a road underdog; they split pair of I-A games, losing 41-3 to Alabama, winning 41-18 at MTSU. Virginia Tech lost its opener 35-28 at BC, then beat a couple of stiffs, sneaking past a I-AA team 24-17; under Fuente, Hokies are 9-6 ATS when laying points at home.

First road game for Penn State squad that hung on to beat Pitt 17-10 LW, giving up 372 passing yards- they allowed total of 23 points in pair of I-A wins. Last three years, Nittany Lions are 7-4 ATS as a road favorite- they’re 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games as a Big 14 single digit fave. Maryland crushed Syracuse, but then got upset at Temple; Terrapins are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog- they allowed 607 PY in their two I-A games this year. Since 2011, Maryland is 7-12 ATS as a conference home dog.

San Jose State (+20.5) stunned Arkansas 31-24 LW, throwing for 402 yards; Spartans lost 34-16 at home to Tulsa the week before- they allowed total of 1,026 yards in two I-A games. San Jose is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog. Air Force lost 30-19 at Boise LW, after upsetting Colorado the week before; Falcons are 6-8 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite, 2-6 ATS in last eight Mountain West games. Air Force ran ball for 531 yards in their two I-A games, but they also threw double digit passes in both games.

Under Herm Edwards, Arizona State covered six of eight games as an underdog; ASU split its last two games, both decided by a FG- they’ve run ball for average of only 92.7 yards/game, and they play a true freshman QB. Sun Devils lost five of last seven games with California, losing six of last seven visits to Berkeley (2-5 ATS). 4-0 Golden Bears are Pac-12’s only unbeaten team, with wins at Washington, Ole Miss; all three of their I-A games were decided by 8 or fewer points- under Wilcox, Cal is 1-5-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Saturday’s top 13 games
Road team won last five Wake Forest-Boston College games; Deacons won three of last four visits to Beantown. Underdogs are 9-6 ATS in last 15 series games. Wake is off to a 4-0 start, running ball for 423 yards in last two I-A wins; under Clawson, they’re 0-3-1 ATS as a road favorite. BC is +7 in turnovers vs I-A foes; they’ve gained 431+ TY in all three of their I-A tilts, but QB Brown has completed only 53.5% of his passes this year. Eagles are 4-1-1 in last six game as a home underdog.

Georgia Tech gave up 320 RY in a 27-24 loss to a I-AA team that runs the option, after Clemson ran ball for 411 yards against them; Yellow Jackets are 8-4-1 in last 13 games as a road dog, 0-1 this year. Tech is making drastic change away from option attack- it’ll take time. Temple lost as a 14-point road favorite LW in Buffalo, after upsetting Maryland the week before; Owls are 3-6 in last nine games as a home favorite. AAC teams are 17-10 ATS in last 27 games vs ACC teams.

NC State beat Florida State 47-28/27-21 the last two years; underdogs are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 series games. Wolfpack is 6-2-1 ATS in their nine visits to Tallahassee. NCS lost its only road game 44-27 at West Virginia- they beat up on two stiffs; under Doeren, they’re 6-9-1 ATS as a road underdog. FSU split its first four games, giving up 33.8 ppg; they allowed 44-24 points in their wins, gave up 410+ TY in all four games. Seminoles are 13-17 ATS in last 30 games as a home favorite.

Underdogs covered three of last four Iowa State-Baylor games; Cyclones won last two meetings, 28-14/23-13. ISU lost four of last five visits to Waco; under Campbell, they’re 3-1 ATS as a road favorite- this is their first road game this year. Cyclones outgained rival Iowa by 105 yards but lost 18-17 at home- they crushed UL-Monroe LY. Baylor beat up on three stiffs to start season; QB Brewer is completing 71% of his passes. Under Rhule, they’re 3-2 as a home underdog.

How will Washington State react after giving up 50 points in 2nd half of LW’s 67-63 loss to UCLA (they led 49-17)? Coogs won only road game 31-24 at Houston; Wazzu is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games as a road underdog, but they gave up 507 PY to UCLA LW. Utah is coming off a loss at USC LW; over last three years, they’re 9-5 ATS coming off a loss. Utes covered eight of last 11 games as a home favorite. Utah outgained Trojans by 76 yards LW but gave up 368 PY.

Stanford lost its last three games, all by 15 points; they gave up 90 points in losing both road games, at USC, UCF, were held to 234 TY in LW’s home loss to Oregon. Cardinal is 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog; they won their last nine games vs Oregon State (6-2-1 ATS), covering three of last four visits to Corvallis. OSU gave up 52-31 points in losing both its I-A games, including a 31-28 loss at Hawai’i- they beat a I-AA team 45-7 LW. Under Smith, Beavers are 0-6 ATS as a home underdog.

Kentucky won its last five games with South Carolina; they were underdog in three of the games. Wildcats are 8-1-1 ATS in last ten series games, 4-1 in last five visits to Columbia. Kentucky lost its first two SEC games, giving up 438-421 TY; they’re 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a road dog. Gamecocks are 0-3 vs I-A teams this year, losing last two games by 20-24 points, giving up 35 ppg; they’re 7-14 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite. Carolina covered four of last five games, Kentucky covered five of last seven games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Underdogs covered nine of last 12 Kansas State-Oklahoma State games; Wildcats covered last five visits to Stillwater. K-State was outgained 352-269 in its 31-24 win at Miss State LW; they are 11-3 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog. Coach Klieman has won 26 games in a row, dating back to his I-AA days. Oklahoma State was outgained 498-494 in its 36-30 loss to Texas LW; Cowboys scored 122 points in their three I-A games- since 2012, they’re 21-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Mississippi State-Auburn split their last eight games; underdogs are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games. Bulldogs lost four of last five visits to Auburn (2-3 ATS). MSU ran ball for 200+ yards in all four games of its 3-1 start; they’re 0-4 in last four tries as a road underdog, 4-2 in last six games as a double digit underdog. Auburn is already 4-0, with wins over Auburn, Texas A&M; Tigers were outgained by 92 yards, held to 106 PY by A&M LW. Auburn are 2-0 as a HF this year, after being 6-16-1 from 2015-18.

Notre Dame (-12.5) ran for 253 yards, won 34-27 at Virginia three years ago; total yardage was 460-416, ND in teams’ only meeting in last 20 years. Virginia is 4-0 this year with a win at Pitt, home win over Florida State; Cavaliers gained only 244 TY in a 28-17 win over ODU last week- they ran for only 69 yards. Virginia is 10-3-1 in last 14 games as a road underdog. Notre Dame lost 23-17 at Georgia LW, running ball for only 46 yards; last three years, Irish are 6-4 ATS coming off a loss- they’re 7-6 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

Cincinnati sandwiched a 42-0 loss at Ohio State with home wins over UCLA, Miami OH; since 2015, Cincy is 2-5 ATS as a road favorite. Under Fickell, Bearcats are 8-6 ATS coming off a win; they have a big AAC game with UCF on deck next Friday. Marshall had last week off after a 33-31 win over Ohio U, when the Bobcats ran ball for 223 yards. since 2011, Thundering Herd is 6-5 ATS as a home underdog- they were outgained 437-172 in a 14-7 loss at Boise State in their other I-A game. Marshall (+4) won 38-21 at Cincinnati in teams’ last meeting two years ago.

Looks like 3rd-string QB Fink (20-31/351 yards, 3 TD, one INT) gets the start for USC, against a Washington squad that Trojans beat in three of last four meetings, winning 26-13 (+7.5) in last visit here in 2016. Underdogs covered eight of last ten series games. USC upset Utah at home LW, after losing in OT at BYU the week before; since 2012, Trojans are 3-12 ATS when getting points on the road. USC allowed 430 TY in three of its four games this season. Huskies crushed couple of stiffs after getting upset by Cal at home; Washington covered twice in last eight games as a home favorite.

0-3 UCLA was down 49-17 late in 3rd quarter at Wazzu LW, before rallying for incredible 67-63 win; Bruins scored 50 points in the 2nd half!!! UCLA allowed 111 points in its last two games; they threw ball for 507 yards LW. Under Kelly, Bruins are 4-3 ATS as a road underdog- they won six of last seven games with Arizona, beating Wildcats 31-30 (-10) LY. Average total in last four series games is 74. Arizona had LW off after beating Texas Tech 28-14 here; Wildcats are 3-1-1 ATS in last five games as a home favorite.

Notes on 13 other college games for today……
Underdogs covered four of last five Northwestern-Wisconsin games; Wildcats are 3-4-1 ATS in last eight visits to Madison, 14-4 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog. Wisconsin won its first three games this year by a combined 145-14; they were up 35-0 on Michigan LW, outgaining Wolverines 487-299. Badgers are 12-15-1 in last 28 games as a home favorite. 2-0 this year.

South Florida won its last three games with SMU by 1-24-8 points; teams last met in 2016. SMU is off to a 4-0 start behind Texas transfer QB Buechele, scoring 37+ points in all four games- they covered twice in last seven games as a road favorite. South Florida was outscored 63-10 in losing its two I-A game; they killed a I-AA stiff LW. Bulls covered once in their last five games as a home underdog.

Favorites covered nine of last 11 Buffalo-Miami games; Bulls are 3-5 ATS in their last eight visits to Miami. Buffalo covered four of last five games as a road favorite- they’re 0-2 on road this year, losing last one 35-17 (-6) at Liberty. Red Hawks are 0-3 vs I-A teams this year, with all three losses by 22+ points; they lost 76-5 at Ohio State LW, are 5-7 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite.

Minnesota won five of last six games with Purdue; Gophers ran for 200+ yards in all six games. Favorites covered last five series games played here. Minnesota is 3-0 this year, allowing 88 points, with no wins by more than 7 points. Purdue allowed 92 points in its 1-2 start; under Brohm, Boilers are 8-7 ATS at home. Purdue threw for 932 yards in its first two games, but only 181 in their 34-13 home loss to TCU in their last game.

Road team won both Louisiana-Georgia Southern games; Ragin’ Cajuns (+7.5) won 33-26 here two years ago. ULL won its first road game 45-25 (+3) at Ohio LW; Cajuns are 5-1-2 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. GSU lost its last game 35-32 at Minnesota (outgained 382-198), week after they struggled to beat I-AA Maine 26-18; Eagles are 5-4-1 as home underdogs.

Middle Tennessee lost its two I-A games 40-21/41-18, to Michigan/Duke; they beat a I-AA stiff 45-26 in between, but allowed 200+ rushing yards in all three games. MTSU is 9-13-1 ATS in its last 23 games as a road underdog. Iowa plays Michigan/Penn State the next two weeks, is likely looking past this game; Hawkeyes covered six of their last eight games as a home favorite- they are 7-2 in last nine games as a double digit favorite.

Wyoming is 8-3 in last 11 games vs UNLV, losing 69-66 (-7.5) on the Strip LY. UNLV allowed 490 RY, 73 points in losing its two I-A games; they lost first road game 30-14 at Northwestern. Rebels completed only 27-52 passes in those games. Under Sanchez, UNLV is 15-7 ATS as a road underdog. Last 3+ years, Wyoming is 6-2 ATS when laying points at home; Cowboys are 2-1 vs I-A teams, despite allowing 354+ PY in all three games.

Michigan State won nine of last ten games with Indiana, which hasn’t even covered a spread in its last seven visits to East Lansing. Hoosiers are 3-1 with a 51-10 loss at Ohio State; they’re 13-20 ATS in their last 33 games as a road underdog. MSU covered once in its last six games as a home favorite; they got upset 10-7 by Arizona St in their last home tilt. Spartans are 32-1 this year, with all three wins by 21+ points.

Northern Illinois was outscored 79-25 in losing its two road games; Huskies are 18-8 ATS in last 26 games as a road underdog, but they’ve got new coach this year. Vanderbilt lost its first three games, allowing 138 points; they allowed 927 PY in last two games. Under Mason, Commodores are 8-9 as a home favorite, 5-7 outside the SEC. Last three years, MAC squads are 9-7 ATS when playing an SEC opponent.

Kansas (+13.5) upset TCU 27-26 at home LY, there first win over the Horned Frogs in 21 years; Jayhawks covered two of last three visits to Fort Worth. Kansas is 1-2 vs I-A, with both losses by five points; they won SU as 19-point underdogs at Boston College. TCU (-7.5) got upset here by local rival SMU LW; Horned Frogs are 3-13-1 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite. TCU has completed only 24-60 passes in its two I-A games.

UAB won its two games with Western Kentucky by total of 7 points; teams last met in 2014. Blazers won their first two I-A games this year by 11-32 points, scoring 31-35 points; under Clark, UAB is 4-4 ATS when laying points on the road. Over last decade, WKU is 13-6 as a home underdog, but they’re 10-18 SU in last 28 games; Hilltoppers were outrushed 361-141 in splitting their two I-A games.

Ohio State won its first four games, last three by combined score of 169-15; over last 10+ years, Buckeyes 16-19-1 ATS as a road favorite- they’re 13-11 ATS in last 24 games when laying double digits. OSU won last four games vs Nebraska, but struggled in 36-31 (-18) home win LY. Huskers outgained Illinois 690-299 LW but won only 42-38; since 2010, Nebraska is 2-6 ATS as a home underdog.

Houston QB King is red-shirting after Cougars’ 1-3 start; unsure how much chaos that throws the Cougars’ program into. Houston allowed 118 points in losing all three of its I-A games; they are 8-1-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog. Since 2011, North Texas is 17-11 ATS when laying points at home. Last four years, AAC teams are 12-8 ATS when playing a C-USA foe. These teams last met in 2012.

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 10:15 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 5

Thursday, September 26

Navy @ Memphis

Game 103-104
September 26, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
80.425
Memphis
94.401
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 14
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 10 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-10 1/2); Under

Friday, September 27

Duke @ Virginia Tech

Game 105-106
September 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
84.438
Virginia Tech
89.561
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 5
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 2 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-2 1/2); Under

Penn State @ Maryland

Game 107-108
September 27, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
103.410
Maryland
99.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 3 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 7
60
Dunkel Pick:
Maryland
(+7); Over

San Jose St @ Air Force

Game 109-110
September 27, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose St
72.915
Air Force
86.033
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Air Force
by 13
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 19
56
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(+19); Under

Arizona State @ California

Game 111-112
September 27, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
88.196
California
89.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
California
by 1 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
California
by 5
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona State
(+5); Over

Saturday, September 28

Northwestern @ Wisconsin

Game 113-114
September 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northwestern
84.786
Wisconsin
105.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 21
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 24
45
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(+24); Over

Holy Cross @ Syracuse

Game 205-206
September 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Holy Cross
51.026
Syracuse
91.089
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 40
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 37 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(-37 1/2); Over

Brigham Young @ Toledo

Game 131-132
September 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
87.312
Toledo
83.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 3 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 1 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-1 1/2); Over

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma

Game 169-170
September 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
85.687
Oklahoma
109.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 24
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 27 1/2
72
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(+27 1/2); Over

Buffalo @ Miami of Ohio

Game 123-124
September 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
74.553
Miami of Ohio
78.616
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 4
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 1 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Miami of Ohio
(+1 1/2); Over

Rutgers @ Michigan

Game 135-136
September 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
73.711
Michigan
94.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 21
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 27 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+27 1/2); Over

Northern Illinois @ Vanderbilt

Game 161-162
September 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
74.615
Vanderbilt
82.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vanderbilt
by 8
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vanderbilt
by 6
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vanderbilt
(-6); Over

Central Michigan @ Western Michigan

Game 119-120
September 28, 2019 @

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
64.919
Western Michigan
85.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 21
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 17
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-17); Over

Middle Tennessee St @ Iowa

Game 141-142
September 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
75.486
Iowa
103.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 28
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 23
53
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(-23); Over

Kansas @ TCU

Game 163-164
September 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas
89.062
TCU
91.546
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 2 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 16
49
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(+16); Over

Arkansas @ Texas A&M

Game 199-200
September 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
71.501
Texas A&M
101.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 30 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 23
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(-23); Over

Delaware @ Pittsburgh

Game 207-208
September 28, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Delaware
69.730
Pittsburgh
92.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 23
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 28
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Delaware
(+28); Over

Wake Forest @ Boston College

Game 115-116
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
96.423
Boston College
82.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 14
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 6 1/2
69 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(-6 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ Purdue

Game 137-138
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
86.506
Purdue
88.892
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Purdue
by 2 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 1
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Purdue
(+1); Over

Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte

Game 171-172
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
78.532
Charlotte
75.831
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 2 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 1
65
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(+1); Over

USC @ Washington

Game 201-202
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
USC
93.945
Washington
107.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 12 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 10
59
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-10); Under

Mississippi @ Alabama

Game 159-160
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi
79.204
Alabama
120.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 41 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 35 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-35 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Michigan State

Game 153-154
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
84.160
Michigan State
100.214
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 16
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 14
44
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-14); Under

Akron @ Massachusetts

Game 133-134
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
57.246
Massachusetts
47.910
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Akron
by 9 1/2
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Akron
by 6 1/2
63
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(-6 1/2); Over

Clemson @ North Carolina

Game 155-156
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
116.528
North Carolina
94.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 22 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 27
61
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(+27); Under

Georgia Tech @ Temple

Game 125-126
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
76.420
Temple
81.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Temple
by 5
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Temple
by 9 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Tech
(+9 1/2); Over

Coastal Carolina @ Appalachian St

Game 175-176
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coastal Carolina
75.257
Appalachian St
94.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 19
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 15 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(-15 1/2); Over

Virginia @ Notre Dame

Game 173-174
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
93.090
Notre Dame
101.599
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 8 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 12 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(+12 1/2); Over

Iowa State @ Baylor

Game 129-130
September 28, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
95.307
Baylor
95.574
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
Even
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 3
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(+3); Over

SMU @ South Florida

Game 121-122
September 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SMU
90.791
South Florida
75.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 15 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 7
61
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(-7); Under

Towson @ Florida

Game 209-210
September 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Towson
74.816
Florida
104.999
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 30
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 37
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Towson
(+37); Over

Cincinnati @ Marshall

Game 177-178
September 28, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
91.072
Marshall
83.050
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 8
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-3 1/2); Over

Arkansas St @ Troy

Game 183-184
September 28, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
79.347
Troy
80.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 1 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 7
61
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(+7); Under

East Carolina @ Old Dominion

Game 179-180
September 28, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
68.278
Old Dominion
69.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Old Dominion
by 1
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Old Dominion
by 3
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(+3); Under

New Mexico @ Liberty

Game 181-182
September 28, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico
67.557
Liberty
71.529
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 4
79
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 7 1/2
71 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(+7 1/2); Over

LA-Lafayette @ Georgia Southern

Game 139-140
September 28, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
90.785
Georgia Southern
80.069
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 10 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 3 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(-3 1/2); Under

Connecticut @ Central Florida

Game 117-118
September 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
55.305
Central Florida
101.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 46
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 43
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(-43); Over

Stanford @ Oregon State

Game 151-152
September 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
89.703
Oregon State
76.530
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 13
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 4
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(-4); Under

Louisiana Tech @ Rice

Game 189-190
September 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
80.253
Rice
68.535
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 11 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 8 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(-8 1/2); Under

Kansas State @ Oklahoma State

Game 165-166
September 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
103.208
Oklahoma State
96.382
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 7
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 5
60
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(+5); Under

UTEP @ Southern Miss

Game 187-188
September 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UTEP
53.912
Southern Miss
82.328
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 28 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 26 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(-26 1/2); Over

UAB @ Western Kentucky

Game 191-192
September 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
78.131
Western Kentucky
68.303
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 10
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 2 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(-2 1/2); Under

Miss Valley St @ Auburn

Game 167-168
September 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miss Valley St
101.205
Auburn
106.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 5
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 12
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miss Valley St
(+12); Under

South Alabama @ LA-Monroe

Game 185-186
September 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
59.156
LA-Monroe
68.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Monroe
by 9 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Monroe
by 16 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
(+16 1/2); Under

Ohio State @ Nebraska

Game 195-196
September 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio State
112.473
Nebraska
98.945
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 13 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 18
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nebraska
(+18); Under

Kentucky @ South Carolina

Game 157-158
September 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
95.059
South Carolina
89.543
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 5 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina
by 3
51
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(+3); Under

NC State @ Florida State

Game 127-128
September 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC State
85.535
Florida State
84.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 1
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 6
60
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(+6); Over

Colorado State @ Utah State

Game 193-194
September 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado State
70.694
Utah State
98.287
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 27 1/2
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 23 1/2
71 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah State
(-23 1/2); Over

UNLV @ Wyoming

Game 143-144
September 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UNLV
71.661
Wyoming
79.636
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 8
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wyoming
by 10
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UNLV
(+10); Under

Fresno State @ New Mexico St

Game 147-148
September 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
90.014
New Mexico St
59.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 30 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fresno State
by 17 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(-17 1/2); Under

Houston @ North Texas

Game 197-198
September 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
82.086
North Texas
80.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Texas
by 7 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+7 1/2); Under

Washington St @ Utah

Game 145-146
September 28, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
91.306
Utah
92.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 5
56
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(+5); Under

UCLA @ Arizona

Game 203-204
September 28, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UCLA
81.974
Arizona
91.683
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 9 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 7 1/2
72
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-7 1/2); Under

Hawaii @ Nevada

Game 149-150
September 28, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hawaii
72.692
Nevada
77.959
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 5 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Nevada
(-2); Over

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 04:30 PM

College football Week 5: Early bettors hammer Ohio State odds vs Nebraska
Patrick Everson

Ohio State has throttled four straight opponents, and bettors expect more of the same in Week 5. The Buckeyes opened as 14.5-point favorites at Nebraska and were quickly bet up to -17.5.

Week 5 of the college football season has already seen a big move in a Big Ten game. We check in on the opening odds and early action for that contest and three others, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA.

No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers (+14.5)

Ohio State has yet to be challenged so far this season, winning all its games in blowout fashion, none more so than in Week 4. The Buckeyes (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) throttled Miami-Ohio by the highly unusual score of 76-5 as 38.5-point home favorites Saturday.

Nebraska’s first month has been up and down, as it came away with a 3-1 SU mark but was 1-3 ATS. The Cornhuskers went off as 13-point favorites at Illinois on Saturday and trailed by 14 on multiple occasions – including 14-0 less than halfway through the first quarter – but rallied for a 42-38 victory.

Oddsmakers and early bettors expect the Huskers to struggle at home in a Saturday night clash.

“Already a sizable adjustment on this game, from 14.5 to 17.5, with all the early support squarely behind the Buckeyes,” Chaprales said of a big early move at PointsBet. “For evidence, look no further than Nebraska needing a second-half comeback to slip past a poor Illinois team, and Ohio State looking every part the national title contender it’s been pegged.”

No. 25 Southern California Trojans at No. 17 Washington Huskies (-9)

Washington was dealt an at-the-time stunning loss by California in Week 2, but bounced back strong the past two weeks. On Saturday at Brigham Young, the Huskies (3-1 SU and ATS) put up three touchdowns in both the first and third quarters, breezing to a 45-19 win laying 6.5 points.

Southern Cal is suffering quarterback attrition, losing JT Daniels (ACL) for the season in Week 1, then having true freshman Kedon Slovis suffer a likely concussion on the first possession against Utah on Friday night. But in stepped third-string Matt Fink, leading the Trojans (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) to a 30-23 victory as 3.5-point home underdogs.

Slovis’ status for a Saturday afternoon kick isn’t yet clear, but bettors are taking an early position against USC, with Washington already up a point to -10.

“Despite beating Utah outright as home ‘dogs, USC’s roller-coaster season took another turn after losing Slovis,” Chaprales said. “Fink performed well in relief, but the market likely won’t be too bullish on his prospects heading on the road to play a Washington squad whose one loss isn’t looking so bad now.”

Indeed, Cal is now 4-0 SU after winning at Mississippi on Saturday.

No. 18 Virginia Cavaliers at No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-11)

Notre Dame had a better showing than many expected on its trip between the hedges in Southeastern Conference country. The Fighting Irish (2-1 SU and ATS) gave Georgia all it could handle, losing 23-17 but cashing as 15.5-point pups Saturday.

Virginia is off to a 4-0 SU start (2-1-1 ATS) but struggled early against Conference USA’s Old Dominion on Saturday. The Cavaliers trailed 17-0 in the second quarter, but didn’t give up another score the rest of the way, winning 28-17 as hefty 27-point home faves.

“We’re not anticipating too much support for a ranked Virginia team that struggled to beat Florida State and Old Dominion in the past two weeks,” Chaprales said. “Particularly facing an Irish squad that was in it until the very end at Georgia, in the most high-profile game of the week.”

Mississippi State Rebels at No. 7 Auburn Tigers (-10.5)

Auburn spent the first month of the season getting it done on the field and against the oddsmakers, with a 4-0 SU and ATS mark, including a solid Week 4 win. The Tigers went to Texas A&M as 4-point ‘dogs Saturday and led by double digits much of the way while posting a 28-20 victory.

After an upset home loss to Kansas State, Mississippi State bounced back with a victory to open SEC play. The Bulldogs (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) coasted past Kentucky 28-13 giving 5.5 points at home Saturday.

“No early movement or notable positions here yet, an indicator that the number is about right,” Chaprales said. “We’re expecting the public to back Auburn after an impressive win at Texas A&M.”

Some of that support may have come in a little later Monday, as PointsBet ticked Auburn up to -11.

**Udog** · 09-24-2019, 11:22 AM

Tech Trends - Week 5
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Sept. 26

Matchup Skinny
Edge

NAVY at MEMPHIS ...Mids have played Memphis tough, 3-1 SU and 4-0 vs. line since joining AAC in 2014. Navy 20-10 as visiting dog since 2009, 13-6-1 last 20 as dog overall.
Navy, based on series and team trends.

Friday, Sept. 27

Matchup Skinny
Edge

DUKE at VIRGINIA TECH...Hokies have covered last 2 and won last 3 SU in series. Though Fuente 0-3 vs. line TY and 7-14 last 21 on board. If Cutcliffe a dog note 24-12-1 mark in role since 2013.
Duke, based on team trends.

PENN STATE at MARYLAND...Locksley 2-0 vs. line at home this season, now 7-2 vs. spread last nine as host. But James Franklin has been merciless with three big wins and covers in a row vs. Terps, the last two by combined 104-6 scoreline! Franklin 7-4 as visiting chalk since 2016.
Penn State, based on series trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at AIR FORCE...Spartans are 6-2 last eight as a road dog and 9-3 last 11 as DD dog. Calhoun 4-2 last six as DD chalk though only 6-7 vs. line as host since 2016.
Slight to San Jose State, based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at CAL...If Herm a dog note his 6-3 mark in role since joining ASU last year. Cal 1-7-1 last 9 as chalk (0-2 TY), and these teams “under” a combined 6-2 this season.
Arizona State and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Saturday, Sept. 28

Matchup Skinny
Edge

NORTHWESTERN at WISCONSIN...Cats 14-6-1 as dog since 2016, and NU has covered last ten as Big Ten road dog! Also covered last two vs. Badgers. Wiscy has covered last four since late 2018.
Slight to Northwestern, based on team and recent series trends.

WAKE FOREST at BOSTON COLLEGE...Punishing series, road team has won and covered last four meetings and won outright last five. Clawson 6-2-1 vs. spread last nine away from home. If BC is a dog note 5-1-1 mark last seven at home in role though Addazio just 1-4-1 last six on board since late LY.
Wake Forest, based on series and team trends.

UCONN at UCF...Huskies 3-12 vs. line since LY (1-2 TY). UConn 1-6 as visiting dog since LY and 1-6 last 7 getting 20 or more. Teams haven’t played since 2017 though note UConn had covered 3 of last 4 to that point! Knights have covered last 6 of last 7 and 8 of last 10 reg season games and 9-3 last 12 as DD chalk (4-2 last six laying 20 or more).
UCF, based on team trends.

SMU at SOUTH FLORIDA...Sonny Dykes off to 4-0 SU and spread start in 2019. Charlie Strong 1-9 vs. points last ten at home vs. FBS-level foes.
SMU, based on recent trends.

BUFFALO at MIAMI-OHIO... Miami no covers first four TY, though Chuck Martin has tended to play in streaks (RedHawks had covered last 3 and 8 of last 9 in 2018). UB was 4-0 as visiting chalk LY but dropped first chance in role TY at Liberty.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.

GEORGIA TECH at TEMPLE...Collins game! Not so good thus far for GT, 0-3 vs. line, now 5-13 vs. points dating to the later portion of the Paul Johnson era. Collins was 6-4 as dog at Temple. Carey was just 6-9 as chalk the past two years with NIU before moving to Owls.
Slight to Temple, based on recent trends.

NC STATE at FLORIDA STATE...Taggart just 5-10-1 vs. line with FSU since LY, Noles on 9-17-3 spread skid since 2017. Pack has won SU last two and covered last three in series.
N.C. State, based on team and recent series trends.

IOWA STATE at BAYLOR...ISU has won SU last two meetings and covered 3 of past 4. Matt Campbell 17-8-1 as dog since 2016 with Cyclones. Also 11-3 vs. spread last 14 away from Ames. Rhule 2-4 vs. spread last six as Big 12 host at Waco.
Iowa State, based on team trends.

BYU at TOLEDO...Sitake on 15-7 spread uptick since late 2017. If Cougs are dogs they’re 10-2 on road in role since 2016. Rockets 8-3 vs. spread last 11 at Glass Bowl.
Slight to BYU, if dog, based on team trends.

AKRON at UMASS...Both 0-4 vs. line to start season, UMass now on 4-11 spread skid since early 2018. Zips were 4-3 vs. line away LY before losing first two away in 2019.
Slight to Akron, based on team trends.

RUTGERS at MICHIGAN...Harbaugh now no covers last seven since late 2018, though Mich still 5-3 as Ann Arbor chalk since LY. Harbaugh has beaten Rutgers all four meetings none by fewer than 21 points. Ash 2-5 last seven as visiting dog.
Slight to Michigan, based on series trends.

MINNESOTA at PURDUE...Fleck 0-2-1 vs. line TY, 6-11-1 vs. line in Big Ten since 2017. Home team has won outright last 3 in series. Purdue 1-4 as home chalk, 3-1 as home dog since 2017.
Purdue, especially if dog, based on team trends.

UL-LAFAYETTE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...Cajuns 7-1-1 vs. line away from Lafayette for Billy Napier (since LY). GSU however 11-5 vs. spread since last season, 6-1 last 7 vs. spread at home.
Slight to ULL, based on team trends.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE at IOWA...Stockstill 7-3 vs. line last ten vs. Power 5. Ferentz 7-2 laying DD since 2017, 13-4-1 vs. spread last 18 on board. Also 5-1 last six vs. line hosting non-Big Ten.
Slight to Iowa, based on team trends.

UNLV at WYOMING...Bohl on 7-1 spread run, Rebs 1-4 vs. points last five on MW road.
Wyoming, based on team trends.

WASHINGTON STATE at UTAH...Utes no covers last three TY, 1-6 last seven vs. spread. Leach 13-5 last 18 as dog and has won and covered last two vs. Utes.
Washington State, based on team and series trends.

FRESNO STATE at NEW MEXICO STATE...Old PCAA/Big West battle! Ags 1-8 vs. spread last nine at Las Cruces, 5-14 overall last 19 vs. line. Fresno 13-1-2 vs. line away from home since Tedford arrived in 2017.
Fresno State, based on team trends.

HAWAII at NEVADA...Bows have lost five in a row SU at Reno and failed to cover last three at Mackay Stadium. Rolovich only 4-9 vs. spread last 13 on road. Pack 9-4 vs. spread last 13 at home for Jay Norvell.
Nevada, based on team trends.

STANFORD at OREGON STATE...Tree has won 11 in a row SU vs. Beavs and 4-2 vs. line last six. Stanford was 5-1 vs. line on reg season road LY but has dropped three in a row away from Farm vs. number. Shaw still 8-3 as visiting chalk since 2016. OSU 0-6 as home dog for Smith.
Stanford, based on team and series trends.

INDIANA at MICHIGAN STATE...IU 4-9 as dog since 2017 and has lost and failed to cover 5 of last 6 vs. MSU (Hoosiers 1-9 SU last 10 in series). But Spartans just 1-9 vs. spread last ten at East Lansing.
Slight to Michigan State, based on series trends.

CLEMSON at NORTH CAROLINA...Dabo 7-1-1 last nine as chalk away from Death Valley. Clemson 11-1-1 vs. line last 13 vs. ACC. Mack 2-1 as dog in 2019, though Heels just 5-7 as Chapel Hill dog since 2014.
Clemson, based on team trends.

KENTUCKY at SOUTH CAROLINA...Stoops 5-1 last six vs. line since late 2018, 10-6 as dog away from Lexington since 2016. UK has also won last 5 SU and covered last 6 vs. Cocks.
Kentucky, based on team trends.

OLE MISS at ALABAMA...Saban has run up the score the past two years on Rebs by combined 128-10! Previously, Tide had dropped 3 straight vs. line in series, losing outright in 2014 & ‘15. Ole Miss no covers last four on SEC road. Saban however 2-5 vs. spread since late last season.
Alabama, based on series trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at VANDERBILT...NIU 13-6 as visiting dog since 2013 (1-1 for Hammock this year), Huskies 6-5-1 vs. spread against Power 5 since 2014. Derek Mason however has covered last six hosting FBS non-SEC teams since 2015.
Vanderbilt, based on team trends.

KANSAS at TCU...KU surprising 6-1 vs. spread last seven vs. TCU! Patterson 3-14-1 as Fort Worth chalk since 2016.
Kansas, based on team and series trends.

KANSAS STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE...Klieman picking up where Snyder left off as a dog, K-State now 16-5 getting points since 2016 (1-0 Klieman). Snyder had fared well vs. Gundy, covering 7 of last 8 meetings. OSU just 3-6-1 last ten as Big 12 host.
Kansas State, based on team and series trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at AUBURN...Moorhead just 1-2 as dog last season, and MSU just 1-4 vs. points last five on SEC road. Malzahn has won and covered first four this season.
Auburn, based on team trends.

TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA...Kingsbury was 10-5 as visiting dog past four seasons. Wells only 6-11 as dog last three years with Utags, though his teams are still 11-4-1 vs. spread since 2018. Lincoln Riley 5-2 last seven as Big 12 host. Home team has covered last five in series.
Oklahoma, based on team trends.

FAU at CHARLOTTE...Lane Kiffin has covered first two on road TY after 2-4 spread mark away in 2018. FAU 1-0 as chalk TY but was 1-6-1 in role last season. 49ers on 7-4 spread uptick since mid 2018 and has covered last three vs. Owls.
Charlotte, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA at NOTRE DAME...Cavs were 5-1 as dog LY, also 6-2 vs. spread last 8 away from home. Brian Kelly just 3-5 vs. line last 8 at South Bend.
Virginia, based on team trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA at APPALACHIAN STATE...Chants rallying for Chadwell, covering 3 of first 4 after UMass win. But App on 15-4-1 spread run after UNC win (2-1 Drinkwitz) . Road team has covered last two in series.
Slight to App State, based on team trends.

CINCINNATI at MARSHALL...If Cincy a dog, note Fickell was 7-4 in role entering this season before loss at Buckeyes. Though Bearcats just 2-6 vs. points last 8 away from Nippert. If Herd chalk note 4-11 mark in role at home since 2016 (0-2 TY).
Cincinnati, if dog, based on team trends.

EAST CAROLINA at OLD DOMINION...ECU still playing at a sub-33% clip vs. line (11-28-1 since 2016; 1-3 TY) since 2011. Pirates 3-14-1 vs. line away since 2016 (0-2 TY). ODU 6-3 as dog since LY.
Old Dominion, based on ECU negatives.

NEW MEXICO at LIBERTY...Davie supposed to return for this game! Lobos 8-20 last 28 vs. line, and just 4-6 in once-solid dog role since 2017. Flames won 52-43 at Albuquerque LY.
Liberty, based on team trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at TROY...Ark State 12-5 vs. points on Belt road since 2015 (though 3-3 last six). Trojans now 13-6-1 last 20 on board. Road team covered last two meetings (2016 & ‘17).
Slight to Arkansas State, based on team trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at LOUISIANA MONROE... USA 4-7 vs. spread last 11 away after UAB loss. But Matt Viator just 5-12 last 17 on board after ISU loss. Home team has won and covered last three meetings.
Slight to ULM, based on series trends.

UTEP at SOUTHERN MISS...USM has covered last three and won last four SU in series by similar scorelines, all wins by 21 or more. Golden Eagles 7-3 last ten as DD chalk.
Southern Miss, based on series trends.

LA TECH at RICE... Tech has won big last five meetings, covering four of those. Skip 7-3 last ten as visiting chalk.
La Tech, based on series trends.

UAB at WESTERN KENTUCKY...UAB covering again, now 20-9-1 vs. spread since 2017 after USA win. WKU 3-6-1 last ten on board since mid 2018 (1-2 for Helton).
UAB, based on team trends.

COLORADO STATE at UTAH STATE...CSU 2-9 vs. spread last 11 away from Fort Collins though Rams have covered three straight in series. Utags on 12-3-1 spread run since LY (3-0 for Andersen TY).
Slight to Utah State, based on team trends.

OHIO STATE at NEBRASKA...Ryan Day now 5-2 vs. line as OSU HC counting interim LY. Huskers 7-1 last 8 vs. line Big ten, and Frost teams at UCF & Huskers now 7-2 last nine as dog.
Slight to Nebraska, based on team trends.

HOUSTON at NORTH TEXAS...UNT on 2-8 spread skid since mid 2019, but has covered last two. UH was 5-11 as road chalk the past three years.
Slight to North Texas, based on team trends.

ARKANSAS vs. TEXAS A&M (at Jerry Jones Stadium, Arlington)...Hogs covered this one in 2018 but have lost 7 in a row SU vs. Ags. Porkers 1-5 vs. spread away from home under Morris. Jimbo 13-4 vs. spread with Ags.
Texas A&M, based on team trends.

USC at WASHINGTON...SC 2-7 vs. points last nine away from home. Even with recent wins, Helton just 10-21 last 31 on board. SC was 3-13 last 16 as dog prior to Utah upset. Petersen 2-1 as Seattle chalk TY after subpar 1-5 mark in role last year.
Washington, based on team trends.

UCLA at ARIZONA...Bruins 6-1 SU last seven meetings but have not covered last two. Chip 6-10 vs. line with Bruins, who are 24-42 overall vs. spread since 2014. Sumlin has covered last five vs. FBS foes at Tucson.
Arizona, based on team trends.

**Udog** · 09-25-2019, 10:18 AM

Dunkel index is posted in reply #7.

**Udog** · 09-25-2019, 10:49 AM

Navy at Memphis
Joe Nelson

After an exciting finish last Thursday in the AAC West, the division will be in the spotlight again this week to open up the final college football weekend of September. Memphis and Navy played to a one-point game last season before divergent paths the rest of the way and this will be a big division test between still undefeated teams.

Navy Midshipmen at Memphis Tigers
At Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee
Time/TV: Thursday, September 26, (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: Memphis -10½, Over/Under 54
Last Meeting: 2018, at Navy (+6½) 22, Memphis 21

With a run of six straight bowl seasons heading into the 2018 season there was little reason to expect that Navy wouldn’t bounce back from an opening week loss at Hawai’i, falling 59-41 last September in the run vs. pass non-conference test. Navy did just that with a 22-21 escape hosting Memphis but that would be the highlight of a stunning 3-10 season for the Midshipmen.

Ken Niumatalolo is 89-58 in his career at Navy since taking over Navy for the 2007 bowl game and since moving to AAC play the squad is 21-12 in conference games including 1-0 this season with a 42-10 win over East Carolina on September 14. Climbing back to the postseason looks realistic for Navy though there are not many soft spots in a deep American Athletic Conference path while non-conference games with Air Force, Notre Dame, and Army remain.

Senior quarterback Malcolm Perry has led the offense in both passing and rushing with 254 passing yards in two games for more than is usually expected from the option attack. Perry saw the field significantly in most games last season and he was the primary quarterback in the Memphis game with 36 rushes for 166 yards as well as a pair of completions. At 5’9” he is certainly among the smallest FBS quarterbacks in the nation.

Memphis started last season 4-4 coming off a 10-win season in 2017. The Tigers would rally for four straight November wins in conference play to claim a second consecutive AAC West title (shared with Tulane and Houston last season), where they lost for a second straight season to UCF in the championship game in Orlando. The Tigers are 29-14 under Mike Norvell who started in 2016, including a 3-0 start this season, but Memphis has not yet won a bowl game in his tenure.

Norvell was a discussed coaching candidate for some major conference openings last off-season and starting this season he notched his first win over Mississippi for the Tigers with a 15-10 opening result. That win will help keep the Tigers in the top Group of 5 bid conversation if they remain perfect even if a banner year for Ole Miss doesn’t look likely. Memphis won’t have to play UCF in the regular season this year but the East draw is difficult with a road game ahead at Temple plus games at South Florida and home against Cincinnati in the season finale as Navy ironically is in the ‘West’ division despite being among the easternmost programs in the nation.

Memphis has a chance for a great season with junior quarterback Brady White back and off to a productive start while the Tigers have 681 rushing yards in three games. The difference this season for Memphis could be on defense with great returning experience and so far positive early returns with only 40 points allowed in three games. Last year Memphis allowed more than 27 points per game in conference play and nearly 32 points per game overall.

Navy has outrushed foes by nearly 600 yards so far this season but Memphis is one of the few teams that can keep pace with the Midshipmen on the ground with Navy only having a 264-233 edge in rushing in last season’s meeting with Henderson’s big runs leading to 9.7 yards per attempt for the Tigers in that game. Memphis has had at least 177 rushing yards in all three games including putting up 312 in the last contest vs. South Alabama.

Last season:

Navy led 9-7 at halftime getting a touchdown with seven seconds remaining in the half but failing going for two. Memphis took over in the third quarter with a pair of long runs from Darrell Henderson who went for 78 and 59 for scores as the Tigers led 21-9. Perry added his second touchdown run early in the fourth quarter as Navy climbed within five on a short-field score after a fumble.

The Navy defense forced a 3-and-out and the Midshipmen turned in a 13-play 56-yard touchdown drive to take the lead with just over two minutes to go. After Navy missed again on the two-point try, Memphis only needed a late field goal and White led the Tigers to the Navy 34-yard-line before the drive stalled and the Tigers came up short on 4th down. Memphis had a 378-316 edge in yards but a 4-1 deficit in turnovers.

Historical Trends:

-- Navy is 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS in this series as division opponents since 2015.

-- Historically few teams have been as good as Navy in the road underdog role with an amazing 84-42-1 ATS mark since 1980 including a 56-23 ATS record since 1994 and a 23-12 ATS mark under Niumatalolo.

-- When getting 10 or more points as a road underdog Navy is 30-11 ATS since 1994 (9-4 under Niumatalolo since 2008), though splitting last season in that role.

-- Under Norvell, Memphis is 20-4 S/U and 14-10 ATS at home including going 6-1 S/U and ATS at home last season.

-- Since 2004 Memphis has performed well as heavy chalk with a 27-14 ATS record when laying 10 or more points with only two S/U upset losses at that high of a price, one of which was the 2015 home meeting with Navy.

**Udog** · 09-25-2019, 09:14 PM

Friday's Tip Sheet
Matt Blunt

No. 12 Penn State at Maryland

Venue/Location: Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD
Time/TV: Friday, Sept. 27 (FS1, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: Penn State -6 ½ , Total 61 ½

Recent Meetings:
2018: Penn State (-12) 38 vs. Maryland 3, Under 51 ½
2017: Penn State (-23.5) 66 at Maryland 3, Over 57
2016: Penn State (+1) 38 at Maryland 14, Under 55 ½
2015: Penn State (-5.5) 31 at Maryland 30, Over 46 ½
2014: Maryland (+3) 20 at Penn State 19, Under 44

It was nice to connect with the USC Trojans last Friday, as even having another QB go down wasn't enough for a Trojans team that's quit a few times in recent years to do so again. The Pac-12 continues to be the conference where parity within the conference continues to occur, and sadly it's because of that that generally takes any one of their programs out of the national conversation.

This Friday we get another showcase of Pac-12 foes with Arizona State and a ranked California team doing battle, but that's not the only high profile Power 5 conference in action. Duke and Virginia Tech put the ACC up first for the evening, but it's the other contest featuring a ranked squad – Penn State – that I want to start with.

The Big 10 gets a piece of the Friday night stage this week, and after Penn State and Maryland both had last week off to prepare for this tilt, we should expect both sides to be rather sharp. For Penn State, it's all about getting back to their efficient ways on offense as tough weather and a tougher Pittsburgh defense had them grinding out a 17-10 home victory the last time they were on the football field. That's a rivalry game for the Nittany Lions that does tend to be much tougher then the point spread usually suggests, and Penn State never sniffed an ATS cover that day.

At the same time, Maryland's offense is looking to rebound after a tough outing against a tough defense themselves, as a 20-17 loss @ Temple was the last time they stepped on a football field. That defeat really let a lot of the air out of a very impressive start for the Terrapins – they had put up 142 points in their first two games – and then just couldn't sustain drives against the Owls. The 24% conversion rate on 3rd down (5-for-21) was the biggest issue for Maryland that day, and even their 1-for-6 number on 4th down just showed how desperate things got for that offense.

So this game sets up with two teams off a week of rest, off games where they both scored just 17 points, after they both averaged at least 62 points scored per game in their previous two games this year. Obviously, both found a big step up in competition level to be a challenge offensively, but at the same time, it's easy to figure that won't last, especially after a week off.

Understandably, the 'over' has seen plenty of support in the betting market, out of the gate and continually, as many believe those 17-point efforts by both sides were just a blip on the radar. Maryland's on a 4-1 O/U run at home dating back to last year, and are 6-0 O/U after scoring fewer than 20 points. At the same time, Penn State is on a 7-1 O/U run away from home, 12-4 O/U off a SU win, and 8-3 O/U themselves after scoring fewer than 20 points. Without question the 'over' appears to be the look for this game, but after opening sub-60 at some places, going 'over' 61.5 now with it being the “public” look can be tough to swallow.

Arizona State at No. 15 California

Venue/Location: Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA
Time/TV: Friday, Sept. 27 (ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Line: Cal -5 ½, Total 40

Recent Meetings:
2016 Arizona State (-3.5) 51 vs. California 41, Over 85
2015 California (-4) 48 at Arizona State 46, Over 67

It's always interesting how quickly a 'culture change' can happen at the collegiate level, as both of these schools have changed quite a bit since they last met in September of 2016. You don't need to look any further for proof of that point then the totals posted between then and now, as that meeting in 2016 had the total close at 85 points! It's more than half of that just a few years later.

Cal coach Justin Wilcox has built a ferocious defense fitting of the “Bear” name, while Herm Edwards has implemented his pro experience at this level to help the Sun Devils be much better on that side of the ball too. A flat '40' is an extremely low total for college football, and just like the Big 10 game on Friday night, a strong majority of the action has come on the high side of things. Just keep in mind, even with that support, the number really hasn't budged since opening and that's the difference.

But it's the side that's more appealing to me, as this Cal team definitely looks to be for real with that defense they've got. There was still some skepticism after they upset the Washington Huskies up in Washington as two-TD underdogs in that that game could have been a lightning in a bottle-type effort, but going on the road to Ole Miss for a 9 am body clock start time and winning there was what convinced me that California is for real this year. It's because of that defense – who allowed 20 points for the first time in that 28-20 Ole Miss win – as to why the Golden Bears appear to be legit, and I'm still not sure the market has completely caught up with them.

Herm Edwards brought his own skeptics with him in regards to him succeeding at this level, and even with a 34-31 home loss to Colorado last week, he's 2-0 SU vs Michigan State the last two years, and has brought a level of accountability – especially on defense – to this ASU program that they were lacking for years. That being said, there are still too many mistakes that this team makes during a 60-minute football game, and against a defense as good as the one Cal's got, that just can't happen for an underdog.

With current betting percentages showing there is plenty of support for ASU outright in this game, I believe that on this national stage late Friday night, Justin Wilcox and his Cal Golden Bears announce themselves on more of a national level.

Without question there is still plenty of room for growth offensively for Cal going forward, and if even half of that potential growth is realized, together with their defense, this team could be really scary. They aren't a team that's going to win too many 44-41 type games you can get in the Pac-12 yet, but unless they suffer numerous injuries on the defensive side of things, that's not a realistic potential outcome as it is. The total being set as low as it is suggests that this will be a 21-14 type game, and it's hard not to back this California team that's on a 6-1 ATS run in conference play if that's the case.

Best Bet: California -4 ½

Friday Best Bet YTD Record: 2-2 ATS

**Udog** · 09-25-2019, 09:24 PM

Armadillo's write-up is in. (reply 6)

**Udog** · 09-25-2019, 09:27 PM

by: Monte Andrews

KING STAYING PUT?

It looks like D'Eriq King is staying in Houston, after all. The talented collegiate quarterback was reportedly considering a transfer – a fact his father shared shortly after it was announced that King would be taking a redshirt for the remainder of the 2019 season.

It appears that King's intention is to return to the Cougars for the 2020 season rather than go somewhere else. It was a surprising decision from King, who had thrown for 663 yards with six touchdowns while running for 312 yards and six scores

The 1-3 Cougars visit North Texas on Saturday night and the line for this one has skyrocketed from Houston -2.5 to North Texas -6. With both King and No. 1 receiver Keith Corbin opting to redshirt, we suggest taking the home team ATS as Houston gets its offense sorted.

SAFETY BANS

The Wisconsin Badgers will be without two of their starting safeties for the first half of Saturday's encounter with the visiting Northwestern Wildcats.

Eric Burrell and Reggie Pearson are both out for the opening two quarters after picking up targeting penalties in last week's victory over Michigan. Their absences – albeit temporary – are big ones for the Badgers. Burrell has a pair of interceptions and a fumble recovery so far this season, while Pearson has forced two fumbles.

The Wildcats are very much a run-first team, but with Wisconsin's secondary a mess for the opening two quarters, we like the visitors to keep things relatively competitive. Take Northwestern +14 to cover the first-half spread.

ESKRIDGE OUT

One of the top two-way players in the nation will miss the remainder of the 2019 season. Western Michigan DB/WR D'Wayne Eskridge suffered a broken collarbone while hauling in a 43-yard pass in last week's loss to Syracuse.

Eskridge was proficient on both sides of the football for the Broncos, catching three passes for 73 yards while adding 14 tackles and four passes defensed. He's eligible for a redshirt should he desire to return to Western Michigan for a fifth season.

Eskridge's absence puts more strain on a Broncos’ pass defense that ranks 75th in yards per game against while allowing opposing QBs to complete 65 percent of their passes. We like rival Central Michigan to cover on the road this weekend.

INJURIES MOUNTING FOR CSU

Add another name to the list of marquee skill players who cold be out of action for Colorado State as the Rams tangle with Utah State on Saturday.

Running back Marvin Kinsey Jr. is considered doubtful after suffering a separated shoulder in last week's setback to Toledo. Kinsey is coming off a career-best 246 rushing yards vs. the Rockets. He joins QB Collin Hill (torn ACL) on the sidelines, while wide receiver Warren Jackson might also miss the game against the Aggies with a possible concussion.

The Rams are already 24-point underdogs at Utah State, and these injuries make the host Aggies a terrific cover play. We also favor Colorado State finishing below its team total, which sits at around 23.5 points.

**Udog** · 09-28-2019, 06:26 AM

Saturday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Here’s a look at what must be considered before wagering on Saturday's slate in select FBS vs. FBS matchups:

Early Starts

Northwestern at Wisconsin (-24/46), 12 p.m. ET, FS1: The Badgers have outscored opponents 100-0 in the first half of games but won’t have the top safeties on their depth chart for the opening 30 minutes since starters Eric Burrell and Reggie Pearson were each suspended for targeting against Michigan. Projected starter Scott Nelson has already been lost for the season and top backup Madison Cone is questionable with a leg injury, so the program’s depth at the position is about to be tested. We’ll see if the Wildcats are able to take shots on the road and take advantage, but new QB Hunter Johnson has really struggled and went for 6-for-17 in his first road game against a Stanford defense nowhere near as good as Wisconsin’s. Northwestern should get WR Bennett Skowronek back but is likely to be without starting corner Trae Williams for a second straight contest. The Wildcats last won in Madison in 2015 (13-7) and won last season’s game 31-17, so Paul Chryst should have no problem motivating the Badgers as he seeks to improve to 3-2 against Pat Fitzgerald.

BYU (-2.5/61) at Toledo, 12 p.m ET, BTN: The Rockets failed to win last year’s high-profile home game against Miami but took down Tulsa, Fresno State and Iowa State in succession the previous three years, so BYU must be wary coming into the Glass Bowl favored. Toledo is 17-3 at home under Jason Candle, who just won at Colorado State thanks to RB Bryant Roback’s 228 rushing yards and four touchdowns. BYU has seen better teams than the Rockets all season but will be playing for the fifth time in as many weeks after home games against Utah, USC and Washington and a wild comeback road win at Tennessee the last time it left Provo. With a bye up next, we’re about to see what the Cougars have left in the tank in a critical swing game to their season. BYU ranks 116th in the country in stopping the run and will face a team that uses tempo more than anyone they’ve seen, though Toledo’s use of it against the Cougs’ bigger athletes will be predicated on how successful they are on first down. BYU’s defense is down senior LB Zayne Anderson (shoulder) and freshman Keenan Pili while the offense lost speedy South Carolina transfer RB Ty’Son Williams. Rice grad transfer Supe Eskupa is now likely to get more carries.

Rutgers at Michigan (-27.5/49), 12 p.m. ET, ACCN: Jim Harbaugh’s seat is scalding and nothing the Wolverines do here is going to relieve that pressure. Opportunities to rebound start with next week’s homecoming game against Iowa, so this matchup with a heavy underdog that the Wolverines have beaten by a combined margin of 204-37 over the past four years will provide one last chance for younger players on the back end of the roster to get playing time. Turnover-prone Scarlet Knights sophomore Art Sitkowski had some nice moments against Boston College and should again get the start with McLane Carter dealing with a concussion. Wolverines backup QB Dylan McCaffrey took an awful hit against Wisconsin and is doubtful to play, so covering this large a spread may end up in the hands of a run game and redshirt freshman Joe Milton, particularly since starter Shea Patterson has looked banged up. Milton is raw but definitely the most promising QB prospect on the roster. Starting TE Sean McKeon won’t play.

Middle Tennessee at Iowa (-24/51), 12 p.m. ET, FOX: The Blue Raiders haven’t suffered much offensively in years but are struggling to run the ball well while understandably sputtering without all-time leading passer Brent Stockstill, who threw for over 10,000 career yards before graduating. QB Asher O’Hara has accounted for 79 percent of the team’s offense but is more of a runner who should struggle against a physical defense. The Hawkeyes have Michigan game film to watch for next week’s clash and will therefore see a ton of that Week 1 MTSU film so they’ll be well prepared. The Blue Raiders are 0-16 against ranked foes but have covered in each of their last two outings. Iowa’s Kirk Ferentz is just 17-17 coming off a bye.

Northern Illinois at Vanderbilt (-7/52.5), 12 p.m. ET, ESPNU: The Commodores came into the season looking for the first winning season of the Derek Mason era and are dangerously close to having realistically no shot at a second straight bowl bid before September even ends. Holding serve here would definitely help stabilize matters before an important and winnable game at Ole Miss next week. NIU comes off its first bye week under new head coach Thomas Hammock, so expect to see a few wrinkles from a team looking for the program’s second SEC win in 12 tries, having last defeated pre-Nick Saban Alabama in 2003. After a 44-8 loss at Nebraska that featured onside kicks, multiple pooch punts and a fake punt, NIU is certain to change things up and obviously isn’t shy about taking risks. Cal transfer Ross Bowers and returning MAC Championship MVP Marcus Childers are competent QBs, while Ball State grad transfer Riley Neal has shown improvement for Vandy over the past few weeks and has plenty of experience against NIU in MAC play over the past few years.

Kansas at TCU (-14.5/49), 12 p.m. ET, ESPN: The Jayhawks followed their impressive upset of Boston College up by hanging with West Virginia, so Les Miles has at least succeeded in upgrading the quality of play early. We’ll see if Kansas wears down once we get deeper into Big 12 play, but Gary Patterson’s Horned Frogs are going to see a much improved team on tape and should therefore have no excuse to suffer a letdown coming off an upset loss to SMU. Freshman Max Duggan nearly rallied TCU past the Mustangs in last week’s fourth quarter and will continue to start ahead of junior Mike Collins. Kansas stunned TCU in Lawrence 27-26 last season and has a chance to win again with Pooka Williams expected to get more touches, loosening up a Frogs defense for Carter Stanley to try and take advantage. If he plays well, expect the Jayhawks to hang around.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-27/70), 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2: The Red Raiders will need Alan Bowman’s backups to do thir part in order to keep this from getting ugly. With Texas Tech’s top passer sidelined, winning a shootout is out the window and new head coach Matt Wells will seek to try and keep Jalen Hurts off the field by moving the chains via dual-threat QB Jett Duffey and Rice transfer Jackson Tyner and the short passing game. It’s a shame we won’t see Bowman but that makes it clear Tech’s hopes of hanging around for more than a half hinge on a defense that has looked improved despite losing key linebacker Dakota Allen to the NFL. Jordyn Brooks is headed there too, but probably needs more help to handle the Sooners. Jalen Hurts is the national leader in QBR but deflected any Heisman talk this week, calling it rat poison. This should be one of those games where he’s able to pad stats if Lincoln Riley plays him deep into the third quarter and it’s not too windy. Thunderstorms could be in the equation for the second half which makes Sooners 1H bets awfully appealing.

Arkansas at Texas A&M (-23/61), 12 p.m. ET, SECN: The Razorbacks come off an embarrassing loss to San Jose State that has them at the low point of the Chad Morris era. That speaks volumes considering they went winless in SEC play last season and have a run of losses in 17 of 18 conference games going, which includes 12 in succession. Left tackle Colton Jackson should be back, so the offensive line play should be better. The Hogs will have a motivated starter going in A&M transfer Nick Starkel, who couldn’t beat out Kellen Bond and couldn’t beat the Spartans last week after throwing five interceptions. We’ll see if he can rebound with the fan base turning on the entire program at this point. Suiting up and performing in front of the 12th Man is therefore less daunting than going out and facing the music in Fayetteville, but Starkel is nonetheless up against a great challenge even with this game being played in Arlington instead of College Station. Texas A&M has defeated the Hogs in seven straight, though four of the last five have been in seven-point games that came down to the final few plays.

Late-night Snacks

Washington State at Utah (-6/56.5), 10 p.m. ET, FS1: The Cougs come off a terrible loss to UCLA in which they gave up 50 second-half points in regulation to lose 67-63, so this is probably the right time to go out on the road as they won’t be back in Pullman for a game until homecoming on Oct. 19. A defense that has a lot of blushes to atone for may not have to deal with top RB Zack Moss, who missed the second half of last week’s disappointing loss to USC. QB Tyler Huntley was also rumored to be leaning toward sitting after suffering a foot injury and limping off against the Trojans but he’s defiantly said he’ll be out there for this one. With a bye on deck for the Utes, expect those that can gut out the game to do so, but head coach Kyle Whittingham isn’t likely to push it with Moss’ shoulder. Before you pull the trigger on the ‘over’ based on last week’s lack of defense from both of these teams, be aware that there could be severe weather to deal with on Saturday night in Salt Lake City.

UCLA at Arizona (-6/72), 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN: After last week's thrilling comeback victory, the mood around Chip Kelly's football team is far different than it has been after a disappointing 0-3 start. Chip Kelly and his QB, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, now get a chance to try and get to 3-3 by their Oct. 12 bye week since they'll be favored at home against Oregon State next week. Demetric Felton is looking to emerge as one of the Pac-12's top home run hitters after last week's breakthrough, while Khalil Tate is probably the guy most capable of taking off for 80 yards every time he touches the ball. There have been at least 61 points scored in each of the past four meetings between these schools.

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