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CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Fri., Sep. 20 - Sat., Sep. 21)

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  • CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Fri., Sep. 20 - Sat., Sep. 21)

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, September 20 - Saturday, September 21

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    CFL Betting Notes - Week 15
    David Schwab

    There were just three games in the CFL this past weekend starting with British Columbia’s 29-5 romp over Ottawa on Friday night as a 5 ½-point home favorite.

    Saturday’s CFL doubleheader got underway with Calgary squeezing past Hamilton 19-18 while failing to cover as a 6 ½-point favorite at home. In the nightcap, Saskatchewan kept things perfect for the home team with a 27-25 victory against Montreal. However, the Roughriders could not cover the closing 6 ½-point spread in the third Week 14 inter-division matchup.

    Friday, Sept. 20

    Calgary Stampeders (8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (2-9 SU, 5-5-1 ATS)
    Point-spread: Calgary -7
    Total: 53


    Game Overview

    The Stampeders are just one game off the pace in the West Division standings with Saturday’s win. They have won their last three games straight-up with a 5-2 record against the spread over their past seven games. The total stayed UNDER 51 ½ points against Hamilton and it has stayed UNDER in seven of Calgary’s last 10 games. A blocked field goal with less than a minute to play was the difference in that last win. Bo Levi Mitchell helped the cause with 342 yards passing and one touchdown throw.

    The Argonauts come off their bye with a 3-1-1 record ATS over their last five games. They hammered Ottawa 46-17 their last time out as five-point road underdogs. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five outings. James Wilder Jr. posted three scores in that romp and McLeod Bethel-Thompson finished the day with 411 yards passing with three touchdown throws. That was the most points Toronto scored all season with an offense that is averaging 20.4 points per game.

    Betting Trends

    -- Calgary has beaten Toronto SU in 11 of the last 12 meetings and it is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games in this inter-division matchup. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.


    Hamilton Tiger-Cats (9-3 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (6-6 SU, 4-8 ATS)
    Point-spread: TBA
    Total: TBA

    Game Overview

    With Montreal’s loss on Saturday, the Tiger-Cats are still 2 ½ games up in the East standings. The loss to Calgary snapped a SU four-game winning streak and the cover evened their record to 2-2-1 ATS in that same span on games. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games. Hamilton got a solid effort from quarterback Dane Evans in the losing cause. He completed 79.1 percent of his 43 passing attempts for 360 yards and one score. Five different players ran the ball for a total of 113 yards rushing on 20 carries.

    The Eskimos are coming off their bye week with three losses in a row both SU and ATS. This includes a home-and-home sweep at the hands of Calgary. They have failed to cover in five of their last six games with the total staying UNDER in seven of their last 10 contests. Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in six previous home games. Trevor Harris missed most of his last start due to injury and he remains questionable for Friday night. Logan Kilgore completed 21-of-28 throws for 242 yards in relief.

    Betting Trends

    -- Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last six games against Edmonton and the total has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings in this inter-division matchup. The Eskimos are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games against Hamilton.


    Saturday, Sept. 21

    Winnipeg Blue Bombers (9-3 SU, 9-3 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS)
    Point-spread: Winnipeg -2
    Total: 47


    Game Overview

    Ahead of last week’s bye, Winnipeg won four of its previous five games SU and it has covered ATS in its last four outings. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last four games. The Blue Bombers are 4-2 ATS on the road this season. They are still missing Matt Nichols at quarterback with a bad shoulder, but he is listed as questionable on the latest injury report. In his place, Chris Streveler has thrown for 518 yards and four touchdowns in his last three starts. The offense averaged 28.7 points in those three games.

    Saturday’s loss snapped a SU three-game winning streak that started with a stunning road win against Calgary. Montreal is just 2-4 ATS over its last six games and it is 2-3 ATS in five previous home games. Vernon Adams Jr. completed 22-of-36 passing attempts for 344 yards and one score his last time out with Eugene Lewis hauling in eight catches for 130 yards and that lone passing touchdown. The Alouettes ran the ball 18 times for 74 yards against Saskatchewan.

    Betting Trends

    -- Winnipeg brings a SU five-game winning streak into this inter-division tilt while going 4-1 ATS in its last five games against Montreal. The total went OVER in four of those last five matchups.


    British Columbia (2-10 SU, 5-7 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS)
    Point-spread: BC -3
    Total: 47 ½


    Friday’s win was the Lions’ first SU victory since July 6. It was also their fourth cover in their last five contests. The total stayed UNDER 49 points against Ottawa and it has stayed UNDER in BC’s last four games. In this home-and-home series opener, BC opened up a 21-0 lead at halftime and cruised to the win behind a stellar effort on defense. This was also one of Mike Reilly’s better efforts of the season with 286 yards passing and two touchdown throws against a pair of interceptions. He has thrown for 12 touchdowns and 13 interceptions on the year.

    Ottawa has just one SU win in its last 10 games while going 3-7 ATS during that same span. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last five games. The RedBlacks are 1-5 ATS at home this season. Jonathon Jennings continues to get the call at quarterback. He completed 19-of-31 passes for 239 yards and zero scores verse a pair of picks in Friday’s loss. He was the team’s leading rusher with 37 yards on eight attempts. Mossis Madu added another 28 yards rushing on eight carries.

    Betting Trends:

    -- With Friday’s win, BC is now 14-5 SU in its last 19 games against Ottawa. The Lions have a 5-2 edge ATS in the last seven meetings. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in three of the last five matchups in this inter-division clash.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-21-2019, 03:24 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      CFL

      Week 15


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      Trend Report
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      Friday, September 20

      Toronto Argonauts
      Toronto is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
      Toronto is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
      Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games at home
      Toronto is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
      Toronto is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Calgary
      Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
      Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
      Calgary Stampeders
      Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games
      Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games on the road
      Calgary is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
      Calgary is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Toronto
      Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto

      Edmonton Eskimos
      Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games
      Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Edmonton is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games at home
      Edmonton is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
      Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
      Edmonton is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
      Edmonton is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Hamilton
      Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton
      Hamilton Tiger-Cats
      Hamilton is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games on the road
      Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
      Hamilton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      Hamilton is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton


      Saturday, September 21

      Montreal Alouettes
      Montreal is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
      Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
      Montreal is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
      Montreal is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games at home
      Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
      Montreal is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games at home
      Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
      Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
      Montreal is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
      Montreal is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
      Winnipeg Blue Bombers
      Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
      Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Montreal
      Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
      Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal

      Ottawa RedBlacks
      Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
      Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Ottawa is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
      Ottawa is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing British Columbia
      Ottawa is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against British Columbia
      Ottawa is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against British Columbia
      British Columbia Lions
      British Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      British Columbia is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
      British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
      British Columbia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
      British Columbia is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
      British Columbia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
      British Columbia is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Ottawa
      British Columbia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
      British Columbia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa


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      CFL
      Long Sheet

      Week 15


      Friday, September 20

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      CALGARY (8 - 4) at TORONTO (2 - 9) - 9/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CALGARY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      TORONTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
      CALGARY is 138-106 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
      TORONTO is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 since 1996.
      TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 4-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 5-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      HAMILTON (9 - 3) at EDMONTON (6 - 6) - 9/20/2019, 9:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      EDMONTON is 2-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      Saturday, September 21

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      WINNIPEG (9 - 3) at MONTREAL (6 - 5) - 9/21/2019, 4:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WINNIPEG is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
      MONTREAL is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game this season.
      WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
      MONTREAL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
      WINNIPEG is 4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 10) at OTTAWA (3 - 9) - 9/21/2019, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
      OTTAWA is 3-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-21-2019, 03:26 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        CFL
        Dunkel

        Week 15



        Friday, September 20

        Calgary @ Toronto


        Game 681-682
        September 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Calgary
        118.644
        Toronto
        108.176
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Calgary
        by 10 1/2
        59
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Calgary
        by 6 1/2
        53 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Calgary
        (-6 1/2); Over

        Hamilton @ Edmonton


        Game 683-684
        September 20, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Hamilton
        115.740
        Edmonton
        108.914
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Hamilton
        by 7
        52
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Hamilton
        No Line
        N/A
        Dunkel Pick:
        Hamilton
        N/A


        Saturday, September 21

        Winnipeg @ Montreal


        Game 685-686
        September 21, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Winnipeg
        117.159
        Montreal
        118.538
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Montreal
        by 1 1/2
        49
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Winnipeg
        by 2 1/2
        47 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Montreal
        (+2 1/2); Over

        BC Lions @ Ottawa


        Game 687-688
        September 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        BC Lions
        102.074
        Ottawa
        102.981
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Ottawa
        by 1
        50
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        BC Lions
        by 3
        47 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Ottawa
        (+3); Over
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-21-2019, 03:27 AM.

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