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**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 08:43 AM

Betting Recap - Week 2
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 2 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 9-6
Against the Spread 6-9

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-9
Against the Spread 5-10

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 3-11

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 20-10-1
Against the Spread 13-17-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 14-16-1
Against the Spread 9-21-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 12-18

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Buccaneers (+6.5, ML +250) at Panthers, 20-14
Seahawks (+4, ML +180) at Steelers, 28-26
Colts (+3, ML +155) at Titans, 19-17

The largest favorite to cover
Patriots (-18) at Dolphins, 43-0
Chiefs (-7) at Raiders, 28-10
Cowboys (-6) at Redskins, 31-21

Mining Road Wins

-- The San Francisco 49ers (+1, ML +105) paddled the Cincinnati Bengals by a 41-17 score, posting road victories in consecutive weeks to open the regular season for the first time since 1989 when they won three straight on the road in Weeks 1-3 with QB Joe Montana at the helm. The 49ers are averaging 36.0 points per game (PPG) while allowing 17.0 PPG while covering both games at one-point underdogs. Next up will be their home opener against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 3. The Steelers enter 0-2 SU/ATS, and QB Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) and RB James Conner (knee) might not be available.

Wounded Wings

-- The Philadelphia Eagles saw several star players leave their Sunday Night Football game against the Atlanta Falcons, but they held a late 20-17 lead in the fourth quarter before WR Julio Jones broke free for a 54-yard touchdown on a fourth-down play to secure victory for the home side. The Eagles lost WRs DeSean Jackson, Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor to injuries, as well as QB Carson Wentz for a brief period. TE Dallas Goedert was also lost to an injury in a game which was super costly to the visitors, and they ended up losing and not covering, either.

Miami Mice

-- For the second consecutive weekend the laughingstock of the NFL was the Miami Dolphins. After opening the season with a 59-10 shellacking from the Baltimore Ravens the New England Patriots strolled into town as 18-point favorites. While the Patriots didn't get off to as quick of a start as the Ravens, they made up for lost time in the third quarter, including a pair of pick-sixes. When the dust settled, the Dolphins were on the short end of a 43-0 score, and they have been outscored 92-10 through the first two games. As such, they have opened as 21-point underdogs for their Week 3 road game against the Dallas Cowboys.

Total Recall

-- The under was 11-3 between Thursday's game and Sunday's entire slate, including the games with the top five totals on the board. Kansas City Chiefs-Oakland Raiders (53), Philadelphia Eagles-Atlanta Falcons (53), New Orleans Saints-Los Angeles Rams (52.5), New England Patriots-Miami Dolphins (48.5) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Carolina Panthers (48) each cashed the under, and a couple of the results were never in doubt. In fact, the Saints-Rams shootout never materialized, helped out in part by QB Drew Brees (hand/thumb) leaving the game, had a total of 6-3 at halftime. Hopefully you had a few 'under' tickets in your pocket this week.

Dolphins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick tossed a pair of pick-sixes in their blowout loss, but even his best (or worst) efforts couldn't help the total go 'over', similiar to Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston, who had two pick-sixes in an 'under' result in Week 1 against the 49ers.

-- On the flip side, the lowest total on the board was the Chicago Bears-Denver Broncos (40.5) game. It was expected to be a defensive grind, and it was. The Bears, who totaled just three points in their opening game loss in Week 1, didn't score their first touchdown of the season until the third quarter. Through eight quarters the Bears have generated just 19 total points, including only one touchdown. It's no surprise that the 'under' is 2-0 for Chicago so far. For the Broncos, they fell at Oakland in Week 1 on Monday Night, and they're 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS and the 'under' is also 2-0.

-- The 'under' is 2-0 in the first two primetime games of Week 2, with the Monday Night Football battle between the Cleveland Browns-New York Jets (45) still pending. The 'over' is 1-5 (16.7%) during the early 2019 primetime schedule.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- As mentioned, the Steelers lost Roethlisberger (elbow) and Conner (knee) to injuries in the first half. QB Mason Rudolph and RB Jaylen Samuels were forced to pick up the slack. Big Ben is set for an MRI on Monday.

-- Brees (hand) banged his right throwing hand on a rushing Rams DT Aaron Donald, and he was unable to return. He will remain in Southern California to see a hand specialist. QB Teddy Bridgewater finished up, and would start Week 3 if needed.

-- Cardinals RB David Johnson (wrist) missed a chunk of the game at Baltimore due to a wrist injury, but ultimately was able to return and finish up.

-- Cowboys WR Michael Gallup (knee) left the game in Washington due to a knee issue, and he'll go for an MRI.

-- As mentioned, the Eagles lost Wentz (ribs, concussion) briefly before he was cleared to return. Jackson (groin) left in the second quarter and was unable to return, Jeffery (calf) left early and didn't come back. Goedert (calf) also left in the first half and didn't return, while Agholor (concussion) was out for a couple of drives before passing tests and returning to finish.

Looking Ahead

-- The Titans and Jaguars will do battle on Thursday Night Football in Northast Florida, with the Titans installed as slight road favorites (-2.5). They're 1-4 ATS in the past five games inside the AFC South, and 16-34-3 ATS in the past 53 against losing teams. The Jaguars are 3-9-2 ATS in the past 14 games ovoerall, and 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight divisional games, so something's gotta give. In this series, Tennessee has covered four in a row, while the favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine meetings. However, the Titans are 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight trips to Duuuuuval.

-- The Jets hit the road trying to cool off the Patriots on Sunday afternoon in Foxboro. The Jets are 2-5 ATS in the past seven road games, and 1-7 ATS in the past eight against AFC East foes while going 0-5-1 ATS in the past six against winning teams. The Patriots have covered seven of the past nine divisional games, while going 40-16-2 ATS in the past 58 at Gillette Stadium, including their 33-3 win against the Steelers in Week 1. In this series, the Jets are 0-3-1 ATS in the past four trips to Foxboro, and 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings overall. The home team is 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine meetings, while the under has cashed in six in a row.

-- The Giants and Buccaneers seem to meet fairly frequently despite the fact they're not in the same division. New York has connected in seven of the past eight on the road against the spread. The Bucs are 3-0-1 ATS in the past four against teams with a losing record, and 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight vs. NFC. In this series, the G-Men are 5-0-1 ATS in the past six trips to the RayJay, while going 6-1-2 ATS in the past nine meetings overall. The under is also 5-2 in the past seven meetings in Tampa.

-- The Bears and Redskins will square off on Monday night, with the Bears installed as four-point favorites to open. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings in this series, although the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings. The Bears are also 0-5 ATS in the past five meetings with the 'Skins.

**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 08:43 AM

Close Calls - Week 2
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in Week 2 of the NFL regular season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6½) 20, Carolina Panthers 14 (48): The Thursday night game featured a weather delay and a slow early scoring pace as Joey Slye hit four field goals to give the Panthers a brief 12-10 lead halfway through the third quarter. Tampa Bay answered with a 75-yard touchdown drive as the road underdog took a 17-12 lead heading into the fourth quarter on a Peyton Barber score. After a Carolina fumble and a missed Tampa Bay field goal, Barber would be the victim of a safety early in the fourth as the Panthers climbed within three points to keep overtime in the range of possibility. Getting good field position after the defensive score the Panthers were stopped on 4th-and-short just past midfield but a pair of punts followed before the Buccaneers extended the lead to six points. Cam Newton and the Panthers got the ball back with just over two minutes remaining needing a touchdown drive and they eventually reached the Tampa Bay 11-yard-line with a new set of downs. Short gains and a penalty left the Panthers facing 4th-and-1 from the 2-yard-line and a direct snap to Christian McCaffrey was sniffed out as the Buccaneers were the NFC South squad to avoid the 0-2 start.

Indianapolis Colts (+3) 19, Tennessee Titans 17 (43½): The Colts had two first half touchdowns but led only 13-7 with another missed PAT from Adam Vinatieri. The Titans scored on a short field after the break to lead 14-13 and then after a Jacoby Brissett fumble, Tennessee added a field goal despite only picking up 14 yards. The Titans forced a punt and had the momentum to put the game away after pass interference call converted a big 3rd down. A few plays later Marcus Mariota was sacked on the subsequent 3rd down and the Titans settled for a kick to go up seven, only this time Cairo Santos missed. The Colts didn’t take advantage on its next possession but getting the ball back with just under seven minutes remaining the Colts were able to hit a big play with a 55-yard-run and got the eventual touchdown to take the lead. Vinatieri would again miss the PAT however to leave the lead in jeopardy. The Titans had an opportunity crossing midfield in the final minute but ultimately couldn’t get the job done as the Colts played a second-straight down-to-the-wire game, this time winning.

Detroit Lions (+1) 13, Los Angeles Chargers 10 (47): The Lions missed a field goal six minutes before halftime and allowed the Chargers to add three before the break to trail 10-6. Matthew Stafford had an interception on the first drive of the second half but the Lions were bailed out with the defense forcing a fumble of Austin Ekeler on 1st-and-goal. More mistakes followed as the Chargers missed two field goals surrounding another Stafford interception before Detroit broke through in the fourth quarter with a big play to Kenny Golladay, leading 13-10. The Chargers reached the red zone late in the fourth quarter but went backwards and Philip Rivers wound up intercepted on 3rd-and-19 before the Chargers had a chance to struggle with the decision to try for the tying field goal from punter Ty Long who was serving as the kicker with Michael Badgley injured.

Dallas Cowboys (-6) 31, Washington Redskins 21 (46): After a scoreless first quarter Washington took a 7-0 lead in the second quarter that held until Dallas hit a 51-yard touchdown with about six minutes remaining. Dallas also managed to find the end zone just before halftime to suddenly take a 14-7 lead. The Cowboys kept the momentum with another touchdown out of the break to lead 21-7 but Washington answered to sit a point short of the underdog number down 21-14. Dallas had a touchdown brought back on a penalty and Washington’s defense was able to hold for a field goal, sitting just one touchdown away from covering the number into the fourth quarter. A promising drive stalled just past midfield and with still more than 11 minutes on the clock Washington went for it on 4th-and-3 and came up empty. Dallas put the game away with another touchdown on the short field. Washington would climb back within 10 with a touchdown just ahead of the two-minute warning to clear the ‘over’ but they couldn’t get a stop to get the ball back.

Houston Texans (-7) 13, Jacksonville Jaguars 12 (43½): Houston led just 6-3 through three quarters after a scoreless third quarter but the first touchdown of the game came from Deshaun Watson with just over 11 minutes remaining. That touchdown put the Texans past the favorite spread for the first time in the game. Gardner Minshew led the Jaguars down the field for a field goal to trim the margin to seven, with a spread that closed right at +7 from as high as +9½. The Jaguars held on defense to get the ball back and Jacksonville converted two fourth downs on the way to the red zone. With 30 seconds left Minshew connected with DJ Clark and down by one the Jaguars opted to go for the win but came up short on a Leonard Fournette rush attempt.

Green Bay Packers (-3) 21, Minnesota Vikings 16 (43): After a win in Week 1 but limited offensive production for the Packers in Matt Lafleur’s debut, Green Bay came out firing in the home opener. The Packers scored just over two minutes into the game and eventually went up 21-0 early in the second quarter. Dalvin Cook broke a 75-yard run to break the momentum for the Packers and after missing an early field goal Dan Bailey added three before halftime to put the Vikings back in the game down 21-10 after the Packers opted not to kick on 4th-and-1 from the Minnesota 25. The Vikings thought they added seven on that drive with a three-yard score to Stefon Diggs questionably overturned via replay to call offensive pass interference under the new challengeable rules. Green Bay would fumble on its first possession of the second half and the Vikings added a short field touchdown to climb within five, with Bailey’s PAT blocked. Five straight punts followed as neither offense could get anything going and ‘over’ backers moaned after supposedly sitting pretty with the hot scoring start. The Vikings were poised to take the lead with about five minutes remaining reaching the Green Bay 8-yard-line with a new set of downs but Kirk Cousins made an ill-advised throw to the corner of the end zone that was intercepted on 1st down. Green Bay was able to run out most of the remaining clock to hold on despite the offense disappearing, while the ‘under’ also held on.

Chicago Bears (-3) 16, Denver Broncos 14 (40½): The spread on this game fluctuated a lot after quickly rising from even to the Bears as a slight favorite. A common number was -2 for the Bears much of the weekend but on Sunday afternoon the Bears hit -2½ and eventually -3. Chicago didn’t impress early in the game but managed a 13-3 edge through three quarter to sit comfortably ahead of the number. In the fourth the Broncos completed a lengthy drive to add three points and were poised to tie the game with 1st-and-goal from the 4-yard-line. Joe Flacco eventually was intercepted but pinned deep Chicago punted a few plays later to give the Broncos another shot. This time Flacco delivered including two 4th down conversions and after the touchdown with 31 seconds left Flacco delivered what looked like the game-winning two-point conversion in a huge bold play from Vic Fangio against his old team. It was not to be as a borderline 1st down roughing the passer call gave the Bears a big boost and Mitchell Trubisky struck for 25 yards on 4th-and-15 in the final seconds. Chicago still had a timeout and new kicker Eddy Pineiro became a hero hitting from 53 yards.

Atlanta Falcons (+1) 24, Philadelphia Eagles 20 (53½): The Falcons had a 17-6 edge in the third quarter of this game but Matt Ryan had an interception deep in his own territory to get the Eagles back in the game. Philadelphia appeared to add the two-point conversion as well but Carson Wentz was ruled down just short of the line as Atlanta held a five-point lead. Ryan would be intercepted in the end zone on the next possession when a field goal could have put the margin to eight points. After swapping punts Philadelphia delivered a tremendous 13-play drive to burn well over eight minutes to take the lead. Up by one the two-point conversion try loomed large on a spread that was commonly +2 before sliding to +1 and the Eagles hit Zach Ertz to lead by three. Atlanta stalled near midfield facing 4th-and-3 at its own 46 when a short pass to Julio Jones to get past the sticks turned into a 54-yard score. Up four Atlanta’s defense still had a lot of work ahead with the Eagles converting an epic 4th-and-14 for 43 yards and getting a free timeout as an Atlanta player was injured on the play. With still a minute to go, an Eagles score seemed inevitable but the Eagles picked up just two yards in the next three plays and faced 4th-and-8. Wentz hit Ertz again incredibly close to the line but he was ruled just short with that spot holding on review as Atlanta escaped with the win.

**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 08:48 AM

Hot & Not Report - Week 3
Matt Blunt

After last week's piece shifted the focus to the collegiate game, it's back to discussing NFL action this week now that we've got essentially two full weeks under our belt. The Browns and Jets still have to do battle tonight, and some could say that Jets QB Sam Darnold and his mono diagnosis kicked off a brutal week for QB injuries. ON Sunday we saw Saints QB Drew Brees get knocked out of the game with a thumb injury that will have him on the shelf for multiple weeks, and Pittsburgh's QB Ben Roethlisberger is now lost for the year with elbow concerns.

With Andrew Luck's abrupt retirement at the end of August, it's been an ever-changing landscape at the QB position so far in the NFL, and chances are it won't end there. The Giants and Dolphins have legitimate questions to ask themselves about who will be their starter for the bulk of the season, and a team like Washington is starting to inch closer to that boat as well.

QB issues aside, Week 3 is always an interesting one as we've now come and gone through Opening Week and Overreaction Week in the betting market, and more data points are out there to use as support. Team identities are starting to get firmer – if their QB has stayed healthy – and for some, it's about potentially preventing their season from going off the rails after a rough start.

It's that notion that I've isolated for this week, as Week 3 brings some of their own interesting betting opportunities for NFL teams that have been money burners (0-2 ATS) or money earners (2-0 ATS) so far. The market has seen (or been burnt) by these teams inability to cash betting tickets, and that in itself can create market disparities in terms of the perception and reality of how good a certain team may actually be.

So it's “perfect” ATS teams in the NFL that are travelling in Week 3 that have become the focus this week. While two of the winless squads – New Orleans and Pittsburgh – have new QB's starting in Week 3 and may be taken much more lightly or even omitted from this following group, the changes at QB are likely to create an even bigger gap in terms of the perception of those squads.

But here are the situations to keep in mind as you go through the week breaking down the board:

Who's Hot

Back the Money Burners on the road
NFL teams that are 0-2 ATS and are playing on the road in Week 3 are 9-3 ATS the past three seasons

This trend seems to be a strong one over the past three years and it's done well in each individual year as well, as the record sits at 7-2 ATS the past two years, and it was 4-1 ATS in 2018. On the surface, a trend like this does make some sense in the idea that 0-2 ATS squads can be a little undervalued after being money burners (for a variety of reasons) through two weeks. Bettors maybe haven't like what they've seen from these squads, have been burned by them for a big wager, last leg of a parlay etc, and or just don't believe they are a capable or competitive team that season. This year we've got six (potentially seven) different teams fitting this role too.

The list of teams that are 0-2 ATS and on the road in Week 3 are Carolina, Chicago, Pittsburgh, New Orleans, Miami, the New York Giants and possibly the New York Jets should they fail against the number on MNF. All of those squads do fit different aspects of the reasons behind having yet to cover a spread, and having already discussed the situations that face New Orleans and Pittsburgh this week, I won't go more in-depth on them. But chances are both will be a little undervalued – especially compared to what they could have been with Brees and Roethlisberger under center – and may be worth a look once point spreads are established.

Miami and the Giants definitely fit the bill of being teams that aren't likely to be all that competitive this year, as they've shown nothing to have bettors believe putting their hard earned money down on them is worth the risk. The Giants are currently catching +6.5 points nearly everywhere as they head down to Tampa Bay to face a well-rested Bucs team, while Miami's going to Dallas and currently catching three TD's. I can't imagine either of those sides being all that popular as the week goes on, but points are points and they might actually be catching a few more then they should be given the overall perception of the organizations. Week 3 has proven in the past that some level of professional pride tends to kick in for these slumping squads, and I would venture a guess that at least one of the Giants or Miami ends up cashing an ATS ticket this week.

The remaining two teams that are for sure on this list are Chicago and Carolina, and each are road chalk in Washington and Arizona respectively. Laying points with these “money burners” may look tough to do for some, but it again speaks to the idea that they may actually be a little undervalued right now because of that 0-2 ATS start. The Bears and Panthers are both hovering around laying a FG against their respective opponents, and you can't help but wonder if they were 1-1 ATS already, would these spreads be a point or two higher. That's a question you should keep in mind throughout the week, as if Arizona and Washington find themselves turning into 'public home dogs', it might be best to expect the Panthers and Bears to get into that ATS winner's circle.

Who's Not

Fade the Money Earners
2-0 ATS teams that are on the road in Week 3 are 3-9 ATS the past three seasons

This run is quite the opposite idea of things when you sit down and think about it, as these perfect ATS teams that go out on the road – sometimes for the first time that year – tend to be thought too highly of in terms of either the number that exists out there and/or the perception in terms of generating a strong majority of support from the market. It's been a great two opening weeks for these teams and bettors – the majority of whom love to ride streaks – have no problem backing the hot hand because that's what's worked so far.

So whether or not these lines are actually inflated or not to the side of these perfect ATS road teams can be debated, but just because something has worked twice so far, doesn't mean it will continue to work going forward. That's such a reactive way to handicap in my opinion and being proactive - whether it's getting action down early in the week, finding more predictive numbers/stats to base opinions on etc – will tend to bring you more success.

This year, we've only got one team that fits that role, and it's the LA Rams on SNF as they travel to Cleveland to face the Browns. Depending on how Cleveland performs tonight will have plenty to do with the number that comes out – especially if Cleveland stinks up the joint again and/or loses to a Jets team without their starting QB.

But for a market who was all about backing the Saints this past week with their revenge narrative against the Rams, LA's performance in that game – even with Brees getting hurt – had to increase their stock in the eyes of many, especially those who had the Saints this weekend, and should the Browns lose tonight on MNF, without question an early flurry of Rams money is likely to flood in. That scenario would set up a situation where we'd have a 2-0 ATS Rams team visiting an 0-2 ATS Browns team, and 0-2 ATS teams at home in Week 3 are 5-3 ATS the past two seasons.

It may be then that we see all this Browns love we've seen and heard about in the market for months finally come to fruition, but regardless of what happens on MNF tonight, I'd be hesitant to pull the trigger on the defending NFC Champions next week.

**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 08:49 AM

This report may update as gamedays get closer....

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 3

Thursday, September 19

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TENNESSEE (1 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 2) - 9/19/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 118-154 ATS (-51.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 4-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 22

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DENVER (0 - 2) at GREEN BAY (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 194-139 ATS (+41.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (1 - 0 - 1) vs. PHILADELPHIA (1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (2 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (0 - 2) at BUFFALO (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (1 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (1 - 1) at MINNESOTA (1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (0 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 132-101 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 132-101 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 204-146 ATS (+43.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 195-146 ATS (+34.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 102-75 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 116-87 ATS (+20.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (0 - 2) at DALLAS (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (0 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (0 - 2) at ARIZONA (0 - 1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) at SEATTLE (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (1 - 1) at LA CHARGERS (1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 30-5 ATS (+24.5 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (0 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA RAMS (2 - 0) at CLEVELAND (0 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 195-240 ATS (-69.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 195-240 ATS (-69.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 149-190 ATS (-60.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 70-103 ATS (-43.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, September 23

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CHICAGO (1 - 1) at WASHINGTON (0 - 2) - 9/23/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 08:50 AM

NFL

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 19

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 3-9-2 ATS in its last 14 games
Jacksonville is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 9 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games
Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tennessee's last 9 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

Sunday, September 22

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games at home
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Miami
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games when playing Dallas
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Denver is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Denver is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games
Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 15 games at home
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games
Oakland is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
Buffalo is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Buffalo
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Cincinnati is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 11 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Indianapolis's last 21 games at home
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis

New England Patriots
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New England's last 14 games
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games at home
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games
NY Jets is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing New England
NY Jets is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing on the road against New England

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 14 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 4-7-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 1-7-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games at home
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Carolina is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games when playing NY Giants
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games
NY Giants is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
NY Giants is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Giants is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Giants's last 16 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
NY Giants is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Chargers is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games
LA Chargers is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Chargers is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games at home
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Houston is 4-6-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games when playing New Orleans
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 11 games
New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing Seattle
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle

San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
San Francisco is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games at home
San Francisco is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 16-6-1 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Cleveland is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Cleveland's last 22 games at home
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Clevelan

Monday, September 23

Washington Redskins
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Chicago is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Washington
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington

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**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 08:52 AM

301TENNESSEE -302 JACKSONVILLE
JACKSONVILLE is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992.

461DENVER -462 GREEN BAY
DENVER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 straight unders in the last 3 seasons.

463DETROIT -464 PHILADELPHIA
DETROIT is 31-56 ATS (-30.6 Units) in road games after a win since 1992.

465BALTIMORE -466 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

467CINCINNATI -468 BUFFALO
CINCINNATI is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after a loss by 21 or more points since 1992.

469ATLANTA -470 INDIANAPOLIS
ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

471OAKLAND -472 MINNESOTA
OAKLAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

473NY JETS -474 NEW ENGLAND
NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in the last 2 seasons.

475MIAMI -476 DALLAS
MIAMI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

477NY GIANTS -478 TAMPA BAY
NY GIANTS are 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

479CAROLINA -480 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

481NEW ORLEANS -482 SEATTLE
NEW ORLEANS are 65-42 ATS (18.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.

483HOUSTON -484 LA CHARGERS
LA CHARGERS are 17-1 ATS (15.9 Units) in home games against the AFC South since 1992.

487LA RAMS -488 CLEVELAND
LA RAMS are 149-190 ATS (-60 Units) with <=6 days rest since 1992.

489CHICAGO -490 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 08:53 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 3

Thursday, September 19

Tennessee @ Jacksonville

Game 301-302
September 19, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
132.235
Jacksonville
133.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 1 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1 1/2
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+1 1/2); Under

Sunday, September 22

Baltimore @ Kansas City

Game 465-466
September 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
135.477
Kansas City
144.690
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 9
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 6 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-6 1/2); Over

NY Jets @ New England

Game 473-474
September 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
118.578
New England
149.004
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 30 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 22 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-22 1/2); Over

Cincinnati @ Buffalo

Game 467-468
September 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
126.218
Buffalo
129.795
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 3 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 6
44
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+6); Under

Oakland @ Minnesota

Game 471-472
September 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
124.397
Minnesota
135.392
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 11
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 8
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-8); Under

Denver @ Green Bay

Game 461-462
September 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
126.400
Green Bay
132.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 6
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 8
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+8); Over

Detroit @ Philadelphia

Game 463-464
September 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
128.076
Philadelphia
136.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 8 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 6 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-6 1/2); Over

Atlanta @ Indianapolis

Game 469-470
September 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
135.510
Indianapolis
133.871
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+2); Over

Miami @ Dallas

Game 475-476
September 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
114.986
Dallas
132.133
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 17
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 21 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+21 1/2); Over

Carolina @ Arizona

Game 479-480
September 22, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
129703
Arizona
124.150
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 5 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 2 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-2 1/2); Over

NY Giants @ Tampa Bay

Game 477-478
September 22, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
123.830
Tampa Bay
128.478
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 4 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 7
48
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+7); Over

Houston @ LA Chargers

Game 483-484
September 22, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
133.658
LA Chargers
134.044
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
Even
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 3 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+3 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Seattle

Game 481-482
September 22, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
129.617
Seattle
135.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 6 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 4
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-4); Under

Pittsburgh @ San Francisco

Game 485-486
September 22, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
131.817
San Francisco
135.057
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 3
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 7
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+7); Under

LA Rams @ Cleveland

Game 487-488
September 22, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
140.791
Cleveland
127.695
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 13
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3
49
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-3); Over

Monday, September 23

Chicago @ Washington

Game 489-490
September 23, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
131.638
Washington
123.939
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 7 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-3 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 08:53 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 3

Titans (1-1) @ Jaguars (0-2)— Jacksonville lost its first two games; star CB Ramsey wants to be traded. QB Minshew was 23-33/178 in his first NFL start. Jaguars are 8-6 in last 14 games as a home underdog; they don’t have a takeaway yet (-3 in TO’s), scored only 21 points in five trips to red zone. Titans converted only 3-20 third down plays; they’re +5 in turnovers in two games. Tennessee won last four series games, winning 37-16/9-6 in last two visits here; they waxed Jaguars 9-6/30-9 in LY’s meetings. Last eight years, Titans are 5-18-1 ATS in AFC South road games; since ’14, Titans are 12-20-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points- they’re 3-6-1 in last 10 games as a road favorite.

Broncos (0-2) @ Packers (2-0)— Broncos lost first two games, outscored 20-3 in first half; Denver is only the 4th team in last 50 years to have no sacks or takeaways in their first two games. Since 2012, Broncos are 6-12 ATS as a road underdog. Denver has two TDs, six FG tries in first two games; they’ve scored only 27 points in seven trips to red zone. Green Bay won two division games to begin season, allowing two TD’s on 26 drives, but Packers have scored only one FG in second half- they didn’t score at all after 2nd drive of game LW. Packers are 21-12-2 ATS in last 35 games as a home favorite. Home team is 11-1-1 in this series; Denver lost last four visits here, with three losses by 26+ points.

Lions (1-0-1) @ Eagles (1-1)— Detroit blew 24-6 4th quarter lead in tying its opener, then upset Chargers 13-10 LW, picking off Rivers pass in end zone with 1:03 left. Since ’12, Lions are 16-20 ATS as road underdogs- they’re 8-12 in last 20 games as non-division road dogs. Eagles split their first two games, giving up 8.0/7.0 yards/pass attempt. Philly converted 20-35 third down plays- they trailed both games at halftime; Iggles won field position by 7-16 yards. Eagle opponents threw 88 passes, ran ball only 30 times in first two games. Philly covered twice in last nine games as a home favorite. Detroit won three of last four series games, but lost five of last six visits here (last here in ’13).

Ravens (2-0) @ Chiefs (2-0)— Baltimore won its first two games, running ball for 447 yards (QB Jackson ran for 120 yards vs Arizona LW); they’ve converted 14-25 on 3rd down, haven’t turned ball over (+3). Ravens are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog. Chiefs scored eight TD’s on 19 drives in their first two games, averaging 11.1/9.4 yds/pass attempt; they’ve had 15 plays already of 20+ yards. KC is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite; they covered only twice in last eight home openers. Chiefs won last two series games (34-14/27-24 OT) but Ravens won three of last four visits here.

Bengals (0-2) @ Bills (2-0)— Buffalo won four of last five series games, four of which were decided by 4 or fewer points. Cincy covered seven of last nine games as road underdogs; they lost first two games this year, scoring only 16 points in six trips to red zone. Bengals ran ball only 33 times, threw it 93 times in Taylor’s first two games as HC. Buffalo won its first two games, both in Swamp; Bills are 10-5-1 in last 16 games as a HF, but since ’05, Week 3 HF’s who played their first two games on road are 6-22-2 ATS. Buffalo had decent balance in its first two games, running for 279 yards, throwing for 479, converting 10-23 on third down.

Falcons (1-1) @ Colts (1-1)— Colts split their first two road games, converting 14-27 third down plays, running ball for 370 yards; Brissett completed 69.1% of his passes, at 6.1 yards/attempt. Last two years, Indy is 5-3-1 ATS as a home favorite. Colts are 11-5 ATS in last 16 games vs NFC teams. Atlanta split first two games, turning ball over six times (-3), running ball only 34 times while throwing 89 times. Falcons are 0-10 ATS in last 10 games vs AFC foes, 1-7 ATS in last eight games as road underdogs; Atlanta lost three of four visits here, winning last one 31-7 in 2011. Falcons are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games outside NFC South.

Raiders (1-1) @ Vikings (1-1)— Minnesota covered 15 of last 20 games vs AFC opponents; they’re 20-5-1 ATS in last 26 games as a HF. Vikings ran ball for 370 yards in splitting first two games, but completed only 14-32 passes in loss at Lambeau LW. Oakland doesn’t play at home again until Nov 3; Raiders split two division home games, converting 16-28 on 3rd down. Last two years, Oakland is 3-12-1 ATS as road underdogs, 5-12-3 ATS overall outside AFC West- they’re 0-5 ATS in last five games on artificial turf. Oakland covered its last six road openers. Raiders won three of last four visits here; they’re 10-5 overall vs Vikings. Oakland gets G Incognito back from suspension, which helps their OL.

Jets (0-2) @ Patriots (2-0)— Patriots won six in row, 14 of last 16 games vs NYJ, winning last eight meetings here, last three by total of 105-12. NE covered 12 of last 14 games as a home favorite; they won first two games this year by combined 76-3. Patriots covered 15 of last 18 games when laying double digits- they haven’t allowed a TD yet this year, giving up one FG on 22 drives. Falk gets first NFL start here; he was 20-25/198 in his NFL debut vs Cleveland Monday; he was a 3-year starter in Pac-12, throwing 119 TD’s, 39 INT’s in three years at Wazzu. Gang Green has one TD on 22 drives this year, converting 9-31 on third down. Jets are 6-12-2 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.

Dolphins (0-2) @ Cowboys (2-0)— Miami traded DB Fitzpatrick to Steelers Monday, as exodus of Dolphins’ good players continues. Miami was outscored 102-10 in first two games, just like the ’73 Saints, who rallied to finish year 5-9. Dolphins have seven turnovers (-6), 10 3/outs on 23 drives, and were outscored 47-0 in 2nd half of games. Cowboys have to avoid overconfidence after pair of NFC East wins; Dallas scored 35-31 points in first two games, converting 13-21 on third down, scoring nine TD’s on 17 drives. Miami covered its last four road openers; over last 20 years, Week 3 road teams who lost their first two games at home are 4-6-1 ATS. Dallas won last three series meetings, by 17-1-10 points; Miami is 5-3 SU in visits here.

Giants (0-2) @ Buccaneers (1-1)— Rookie QB Jones gets first NFL start here; how he does is anyone’s guess. Giants have no takeaways yet (-4), allowed 12.7/7.2 yards/pass attempt in first two losses, by 18-14 points (NYG scored first in both games). Opponents have six TD’s on six trips to red zone. Big Blue covered eight of last nine games as a road dog outside the NFC East. Tampa Bay had extra rest after a Thursday win LW; since 2014, Buccaneers are 4-14 ATS as a home favorite. Teams split last two meetings, that were decided by total of five points. Giants won six of last seven series games, winning three of last four visits here. Line jumped 2.5 points wth rookie Jones announced as Giants’ QB.

Panthers (0-2) @ Cardinals (0-1-1)— Cam Newton (foot) is a ??mark here; his backup is Kyle Allen, who won his only start 33-14 in Week 17 LY vs New Orleans (16-27/228 yards). Carolina is 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 road games; they won last three games vs Arizona but lost 28-21/22-6 in last two visits here- home side won last six series games. Cardinals were outscored 34-6 in first half in their two games (0-1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS); they’re 14-18-1 ATS in last 33 home games. NFC West teams covered seven of first eight games this season; NFC South teams are 1-5 ATS outside their division. Over last 20 years, Week 3 road teams who lost their first two games at home are 4-6-1 ATS.

Steelers (0-2) @ 49ers (2-0)— Rudolph makes first NFL start; he was on Pitt’s bench LY, so he knows the system— he was a 3-year starter at Oklahoma State, was 12-19/112 vs Seattle LW, throwing two TD’s. Steeler defense gets boost, acquiring DB Fitzpatrick Monday; he’ll start here, but Pitt is 0-2 for first time since 2013 (started 0-4, ended up 8-8). Steelers covered five of last six tries as a road dog. 49ers opened with two road wins; they’re 4-11 ATS in last 15 tries as home favorites. Home side won last four series games; Steelers lost three of last four trips to SF. Niners covered seven of last nine games vs AFC teams. Since ’05, Week 3 HF’s who played their first two games on road are 6-22-2 ATS.

Saints (1-1) @ Seahawks (2-0)— Brees has missed only three games since 2006, so this is huge change for Saints; Bridgewater was 17-11 starting for Minnesota in 2014-15- he was 17-30/165 in relief LW in 27-9 loss to Rams. NO is 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road underdog. How they adjust their offense with Brees out will be interesting to see; will they use #3 QB Hill and run the option a little? Saints ran ball for only 57 yards LW. Seahawks are 4-8-1 in last 13 games as a home favorite; they’ve scored four TD’s in four trips to red zone this year. Seattle won three of last four series games; 2 of the 3 wins were in playoffs. Saints lost last three visits here, by 5-27-8 points. Seattle is 8-3-2 ATS in its last 13 non-division games.

Texans (1-1) @ Chargers (1-1)— Houston split its first two games- they were decided by total of 3 points; Texans covered four of last five tries as a road underdog, are 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Houston hasn’t allowed a first half TD yet; they converted 13 of 28 3rd down plays. Banged-up Chargers won opener in OT, then threw INT in end zone with 1:03 left in 13-10 loss at Detroit LW. Bolts are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite in Carson; they scored only 20 points in six visits to red zone this year. Chargers won five of last six series games; last meeting was in ’16. This is Texans’ first visit here since ’13. Texans covered seven of last nine as a road dog outside their division.

Rams (2-0) @ Browns (1-1)— LA won first two games, not allowing first half TD;; this is second week in row Rams are playing team coming off a Monday night win, third week in row Rams are favored by 3 or fewer points- they’re 6-7 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or less. Under McVay, LA is 8-5 ATS as a road favorite. Cleveland split pair of routs to start season; they’re only 5-23 on 3rd down so far, but hit an 89-yard TD to Beckham Monday night. Browns are 7-15-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog. Rams won four of last five series games, winning 26-20/13-12 in last two visits here (last here in ’11). NFC West teams were 7-1 ATS in Weeks 1-2.

Bears (1-1) @ Redskins (0-2)— Chicago scored only one TD on 21 drives in its first two games, converting 6-26 on 3rd down; Bears got a 54-yard FG at the gun LW for its first win, temporarily ending their kicking dilemma. Last 5+ years, Bears are 3-4 as road favorites. Redskins allowed 32-31 points in losing pair of division games; they allowed 7.8/8.4 yards/pass attempt, giving up three TD plays of 50+ yards. Skins are 5-7 ATS in last dozen tries as a home underdog. Washington won last seven series games, with five of seven by 4 or fewer points. Bears lost last three visits here, by 2-8-5 points (last visit here in ’13). Skins covered nine of last 12 non-division games.

**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 11:17 AM

NFL odds turned upside down after Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger injuries
Jason Logan

Las Vegas oddsmakers estimate Ben Roethlisberger to be worth about 6.5 points to the Pittsburgh Steelers' pointspreads.

It was a bad Sunday for future Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks, as Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger went down with injuries that are stirring up the NFL odds for Week 3 and beyond.

Brees left the New Orleans Saints’ highly-anticipated matchup with the Los Angeles Rams with a thumb injury that will require surgery, leaving him on the sidelines for at least six weeks. Roethlisberger was forced out of the Pittsburgh Steelers' loss to the Seattle Seahawks with an elbow injury that will end his 2019 season just two games into the schedule.

New Orleans’ Week 3 odds for the team’s road game against the Seattle Seahawks were off the board as of Monday morning. According to oddsmakers at the Las Vegas Superbook at Westgate, if Brees was healthy, the line would be New Orleans +1. However, with Brees out, the Superbook projects a spread of Saints +5.5 or higher with No. 2 passer Teddy Bridgewater expected to start.

As for Pittsburgh’s Week 3 trip to play the San Francisco 49ers, sportsbooks are hanging the Steelers as 1-point underdogs. Covers’ senior writer in Las Vegas, Patrick Everson, reports that oddsmakers priced Roethlisberger to be worth about 6.5 points to Pittsburgh’s spreads, due to a less-experienced backup in QB Mason Rudolph.

The Week 3 NFL odds weren’t the only lines moving in Vegas upon the news of these quarterback injuries. The Saints’ odds to win the Super Bowl slipped from as far as 9/1 to 20/1 to win the Big Game while the Steelers dropped from 20/1 to 50/1 at William Hill sportsbooks in Nevada and New Jersey.

Divisional odds were also on the move Monday morning. New Orleans remains the favorite to win the NFC South, set at -120 at Caesars Entertainment sportsbooks. However, the Atlanta Falcons (+165), Carolina Panthers (+700), and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1,100) all saw their divisional futures adjust.

Over in the AFC North, Pittsburgh is now +1,600 to win the division behind the Baltimore Ravens (-200) and Cleveland Browns (+170) while the Cincinnati Bengals are listed as +3,000 long shots at Caesars' sportsbooks.

**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 11:20 AM

Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 3 odds: Catch the Chiefs below the key number
Jason Logan

If you aren’t sold on the Ravens running up the score and think the Chiefs are worth your pocket change, hit the home side under the key number of seven right now.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team, but betting the best number. Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL board each week.

Week 3 gives us a clearer picture of who teams really are but there’s not enough out there to point the finger with confidence. That makes getting down on the best spread and total for your opinion even more important. Here goes Week 3...

SPREAD TO BET NOW: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -6.5

NFL bettors get a great game in the 1 pm E.T. slot in Week 3 with the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs butting heads in a battle of offenses ranked No. 1 and No. 3 in average yards, respectively. However, Baltimore’s results should be treated like a king cobra: respect what it can do, but don’t trust it.

The Ravens ransacked the boxscore in matchups with Miami and Arizona – two teams that sat at the bottom of the NFL season win totals board this summer. Baltimore’s defense could be exposed against this elite K.C. offense. The Ravens gave Arizona only 22 minutes with the football last Sunday and rookie passer Kyler Murray produced 349 yards passing and 17 points in that short frame. Baltimore is allowing 5.4 yards per play through two weeks, yet ranks second in yards allowed per game. Hmmmm.

Kansas City is in Arrowhead for the first time this season after two solid road showings. The Chiefs blasted Oakland in Week 2 after putting 40 on the Jacksonville Jaguars (who lost their starting QB in the middle of the game) in Week 1. While those opponents/circumstances are almost as soft as the Ravens’ slate, Kansas City did do so away from home and will have a sizable edge in the homer opener Sunday, especially when it comes to crowd noise versus Lamar Jackson and this wheelin’-dealin’ Baltimore attack.

If you aren’t sold on the Ravens running up the score and think the Chiefs are worth your pocket change, hit the home side under the key number of seven right now. Plenty of books have already moved to -7 so getting the fave at -6.5 could be vital in what should be a really fun game.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: MIAMI DOLPHINS +21.5

There’s a point in every bad team’s season in which the betting markets over-correct so much, it actually makes a bad bet a good one. And for a team as bad as the Dolphins, that tipping point could be as early as Week 3.

The math is simple: one team heading down, losing its first two games by a combined 92 points, and tanking like Zion Williamson is waiting on the other side. The other team is 2-0, putting up the second-most yardage in the NFL, and one of the most popular franchises (and bets) in all of sports. Mix it up in a bowl with a dash of early sharp money, and you get a spread moving from as low as -15.5 to -21.5 on the home side.

For those not tempted by more than three touchdowns worth of cushion, know this: Dallas has played two terrible football teams (New York and Washington) in the opening weeks of the season, so tread lightly with those big numbers. And in both of those games, there were moments in which the Cowboys took their foot off the gas and made bettors a little uncomfortable (trust me I know. I’m a Dallas fan). The team surrendered 10 points in the second half to the Giants (seven in the fourth) and allowed the Redskins to score 14 in the second half (seven in the final frame). Those types of let-ups are the nightmares backdoor covers are made out of.

If you’re on the fence about the Dolphins, just let the media puff up the Cowboys and bash the Fins (especially now that they’re trading away top young players) this week. Come Sunday, you could be looking at even more points.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 44.5 NEW ORLEANS AT SEATTLE

How much is Drew Brees worth to the Saints’ odds? Well, the lookahead had New Orleans getting a point in Seattle with a total of 50 before Brees was ruled out for the next six weeks with a thumb injury. So, do the math lazy.

Losing Brees is crushing but the Saints are somewhat set up to absorb that injury better than most teams. Backup Teddy Bridgewater has experience and shared plenty of reps with dynamic QB Taysom Hill in the preseason. That switch does shorten the New Orleans attack, but it doesn’t completely pull the plug.

The Seahawks offense went back to the basics in Week 2, running the football 33 times and chewing up almost 36 minutes in time of possession in a win over Pittsburgh. Last season, the Seahawks loved to pound the turf at CenturyLink, averaging 175.5 yards on the ground per home game (almost 39 yards more than on the road) with nearly six more handoffs as a host.

This game is also in Seattle, where people still put weight into this home-field edge. I will say, the crowd noise could give the Saints’ backups some issues on snap counts and audibles and rain is also in the forecast for Sunday, so yeah… it’s Seattle.

If you project a low-scoring finish in the wake of the Brees injury, then have at it. This total will likely tick down before the 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff. But watch for sharp buy back on the Over. Plug this Over/Under into your Covers Live App and let the line alerts do the heavy lifting.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 48 HOUSTON AT L.A. CHARGERS

These teams combined for a grand total of just 23 points in Week 2, with Houston just getting past Jacksonville 13-12 and Los Angeles falling 13-10 at Detroit. That’s ticked this total down from 49 points to as low as 47.5 at some books.

Those early Under bettors have been quick to downgrade two very strong offensive teams that ran into solid defenses and played in tough situational spots last Sunday. I try to keep my own wagers out of the way with these “Bet Now/Later” articles, but I like the Over in this Week 3 matchup and love seeing the total go the other way.

Houston has a loaded receiving corps and showed that on Monday Night Football in Week 1, and now that group gets to snack on a bunch of rusty lawn chairs – or whatever secondary the Bolts have left after getting chewed up by the injury bugs. Unfortunately for the Texans, their defense is not so loaded, giving up key plays and big gains to both Brees in the opener and rookie QB Gardner Minshew and the Jaguars last week.

The L.A. offense (which sits fourth in yards per game) left a ton of points on the table in Motown, with two touchdowns called back on penalties, a goal-line fumble, an interception in the end zone and two missed field goals. We’ve seen the Chargers do this exact thing in the past, only to rebound with a strong scoring effort the following week.

If you’re like me and love the Over, be patient and let this continue to creep down. Injury reports on Thursday and Friday won’t paint a pretty picture for the Bolts pass defense, so you might want to snap up the Over on the lowest number you can get before then. Good luck.

**StarDust Bum** · 09-17-2019, 04:54 PM

Tech Trends - Week 3
September 17, 2019
By Bruce Marshall

THURSDAY, SEPT. 19

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
TENNESSEE at JACKSONVILLE (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Titans have won and covered last four meetings, and six of last seven. Last three in series “under” as well.
Tech Edge: Titans and slight to “under,” based on series trends.

SUNDAY, SEPT. 22

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DENVER at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Broncos 1-5 vs. line since late 2018, 9-19-1 last 29 vs. points since early 2017. Also “under” eleven in a row since mid 2018. Pack “under” 9-3 last 12 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Pack, based on “totals” and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DETROIT at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions 5-7 vs. line since early 2018, though have covered 4 of last 6 as road dog. Lions “under” 8-1 last 9 since late 2018, Birds only 2-7 as Linc chalk since LY.
Tech Edge: "Under" and slight to Lions, based on "totals" and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
BALTIMORE at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens 5-2-1 vs. line last 7 reg season since late 2018. Also covered last four on road. KC just 1-4 last five as Arrowhead chalk reg season. Chiefs also “over” 6-2 last eight reg season.
Tech Edge: Ravens and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CINCINNATI at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cincy is notable 8-2 last ten as road dog and even after SF loss is 5-1 last six vs. line since late 2018. Bills 1-2 as home chalk LY.
Tech Edge: Bengals and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ATLANTA at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcs on 3-12 skid vs. line last 15 on road reg season. Colts “under” 8-3 last eleven since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Colts and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
OAKLAND at MINNESOTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Raiders 1-7 vs. line last eight away from Coliseum LY and now 2-13-2 vs. points last 17 away from home. Oakland also “under” 9-3-1 last 13 away from Coliseum. Zimmer “under” 15-5-1 since late 2017 reg season.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Vikings, based on “totals” and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NY JETS at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Gase lost and failed to cover all three at Gillette Stadium while with Dolphins, and his Miami teams were just 8-14-1 as dog the past two seasons. Jets also routed last three at Foxborough as home team 7-1-1 last nine in series. Also last six “under” in series. Belichick 18-7 vs. spread reg season at home since 2016.
Tech Edge: Patriots and “under,” based on team and series trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MIAMI at DALLAS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Miami no covers last five since late 2018 and 2-11 vs. spread last 13 on road. Dak 6-2-1 last nine as host.
Tech Edge: Cowboys, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NY GIANTS at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Eli was 6-1 as road dog LY before losing in opener at Cowboys. Eli “over” 7-3 last ten since late 2018. Bucs 1-6 last seven as home chalk and “under” 7-1 last eight since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Giants and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CAROLINA at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Cam on 2-8 spread skid since late 2018. Panthers 2-8 vs. line last ten away, and “under” 5-2 last seven since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Cards and “under,” based on Panthers trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ORLEANS at SEATTLE (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Note Saints were 3-0 as dog LY with a healthy Brees (check status here) and prior to last week were 20-8-1 as dog since 2014. Saints also “under” 9-3 last 11 away.
Tech Edge: "Under" and slight to Saints (if dog and Brees plays), based on “totals” and trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
HOUSTON at LA CHARGERS (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Texans on 8-3-1 spread run last 12 reg season. Also “over” last four on road. Bolts just 2-7 vs. spread at Carson since LY.
Tech Edge: Texans and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
PITTSBURGH at SAN FRANCISCO (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Steel 0-4 as road chalk LY, though 4-1 as road dog since LY. Tomlin 2-7 last nine vs. line since late 2018. Niners 2-0 SU and vs. line in 2019.
Tech Edge: 49ers, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
LA RAMS at CLEVELAND (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Rams 10-6 vs. spread last 16 as visitor, while Browns 3-1 as home dog LY. Rams “under” 7-2 last 9 away from Coliseum.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

MONDAY, SEPT. 23

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CHICAGO at WASHINGTON (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Jay Gruden was 5-1 as dog before QB injuries mounted in 2018, now 1-1 as dog in 2019. Bears “under” last 9 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Redskins and “under,” based on team and “totals’ trends.

**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 10:37 PM

Armadillo: NFL trends for Week 3:

— Falcons are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games vs AFC opponents.

— Eagles covered twice in last nine games as a home favorite.

— Vikings are 20-5-1 ATS in last 26 games as a home favorite.

— Denver is 4-12 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.

— Patriots covered 12 of last 14 games as a home favorite.

— Raiders covered their last six road openers.

**Udog** · 09-17-2019, 10:45 PM

Can the Cowboys or Patriots break the betting curse of the NFL's biggest favorites?
Jason Logan

Despite decades of dominance, it would seem the one thing Tom Brady & Co. can’t conquer is the 20-plus mountain at the sportsbook. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS when giving 20 or more points to opponents.

A 20-point favorite in the NFL is somewhat like a Siberian tiger: you know they’re out there, but you don’t see them often.

Well, someone better call National Geographic because Week 3 of the NFL season features not one – but two 20-point faves on Sunday’s odds board. The New England Patriots are currently 22.5-point home favorites hosting the New York Jets and the Dallas Cowboys are giving 21.5 points to the visiting Miami Dolphins.

The Patriots are no strangers to lofty pointspreads. New England just breezed through an 18-point spread on the road against the Dolphins last Sunday, cruising to a 43-0 victory (setting the table for the Miami-Dallas line), and going back to 1984 has been a favorite of 20-plus points four times in that span.

However, despite all the Super Bowl rings and decades of dominance, it would seem the one thing Tom Brady & Co. can’t conquer is the 20-plus mountain at the sportsbook. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS when giving 20 or more points to opponents, which is par for the course when it comes to these monumental handicaps.

In that same 35-year span (our Covers databases goes back as far as 1984), there have been seven NFL favorites of 20 points or more and none of those teams have covered the spread: a perfect 0-7 ATS for the greatest betting mismatches in NFL history.

Here’s a quick rundown of those odds and results:

October 13, 2013 - Jacksonville at Denver (-26.5): Denver 35-19
December 12, 2011 – Indianapolis at New England (-20.5) – New England 31-24
December 23, 2007 – Miami at New England (-22) – New England 28-7
December 16, 2007 – N.Y. Jets at New England (-20.5) – New England 20-10
November 25, 2007 – Philadelphia at New England (-24) – New England 31-28
December 5, 1993 – Cincinnati at San Francisco (-24) – San Francisco 21-8
October 11, 1987 – Atlanta at San Francisco (-23.5) – San Francisco 25-17

**Udog** · 09-18-2019, 10:51 AM

By: Josh Inglis

FOURNETTE-ME-NOT

The Houston Texans game-planned against Jacksonville Jaguars running back Leonard Fournette last week and almost got beat by rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew. Look for the Tennessee Titans to take Minshew more seriously, allowing Fournette to get a little less attention and have better results than 87 yards on 19 touches.

The Jags RB has been a workhorse in the early season playing 115 of 125 snaps, taking 28 of 29 backfield carries and receiving 12 of 13 backfield targets. The pair of Minshew and Fournette will also have another week, although a short one, to familiarize themselves with each other.

We are going to take the Over on Fournette’s total yards (receiving and rushing) against a Titans team that surrendered 188 yards on 38 touches — 4.94 yards per touch — to Indianapolis running backs last week. We’re comfortable taking the Over on any number below 110 yards (rushing yards total at 70.5 O/U) as we look for Fournette to have his best game to date in 2019.

KANSAS WITH WOLVES

Start off the week off with an easy, non-prop wager that should be locked in sooner rather than later. There’s a lot of value in taking early lines and if you are looking for some help in the early week, check out Covers’ weekly Opening Line Report podcast as well as Bet Now/Bet Later. Just two more useful tools to add to your repertoire.

The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs matchup is the biggest game of the week. The must-see tilt will showcase two of the league’s top early MVP candidates in Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes (+250) and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson (+1600).

The Chiefs opened as 5.5-point favorites and that number moved quickly up to 6.5 and up to 7 on some books. If you think it’s a good spot to take the Ravens (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) by nearly a touchdown you may want to rethink that.

A big indicator is the quality of opponent faced this year. There is a lot of buzz about Baltimore but keep in mind that they beat the Dolphins — barely counts as a win — and struggled to put away a rookie quarterback and head coach in Arizona.

Baltimore allowed Kyler Murray to pass for 349 yards and look susceptible in the secondary. This doesn’t bode well for the Ravens as the Chiefs sport a league-best 403 passing yards per game - 63 yards better than second place.

Arrowhead Stadium will be rocking as the Ravens will be walking into the Chiefs’ home opener. We are going to get on the Chiefs at -6.5 now rather than later.

DRAWN AND QUARTERED

With everyone likely tuning into the Ravens and Chiefs for their 1 p.m. ET pleasure, here’s another prop that will impress your fellow watchers as you awkwardly fist pump what could be a meaningless field goal.

The Chiefs got blanked in the second half in Oakland last week, but that was after four TDs in the second quarter and a three-score lead. Kansas City will have to keep its foot on the accelerator this Sunday as they know that the Baltimore offense can put up points in a hurry.

Assuming the Chiefs will not slow their offensive juggernaut down, jump on Kansas City Chiefs to score every quarter (+120). Baltimore allowed the Cardinals to score in every quarter last week and it will only be more difficult at Arrowhead this Sunday.

KICKING WITH CONFIDENCE

Eddy “The Haberno” Piñeiro is the darling of Chicago after last week’s 53-yard, game-winning kick in Denver. The kicker made all three of his attempts in the thin air and is 4 for 4 to start the year.

As the title suggests, Piñeiro will be kicking with confidence entering his Week 3 matchup versus the Washington Redskins, who have allowed over 900 yards to two very good offenses. Thankfully, the Chicago is not a good offense - not even close.

Expect Mitch Trubisky and the offense to sputter on Monday under the lights, leaving the rookie kicker to clean up the mess. We like two plays here and are 4-0 on kicking props to start the year. For the “Safe Sallys”, take Chicago first score method as a field goal (+110), and for the rest take Chicago Over 2.5 FGs (+225).

DOWN WITH THE DOLPHINS

The books have caught on to our “Fade the Fish” betting strategies (2-0 to start the year) as their Under 1.5 total TDs has plummeted to -175 after being -120 the last two weeks. We will be looking at a couple of first-half props instead, that may hold more value.

With the possibility of Dallas jumping out to a big lead early, the Cowboys may be inclined to rest some players in the second half. The Dallas defense has allowed one first-half TD in both of its games this year and will have a good chance of blanking the warm-blooded mammals at home. Miami managed to move the chains just twice in the first half last week while going three-and-out on four of five possessions in the first 30 minutes.

Dolphins head coach Brian Flores has named Ryan Fitzpatrick as the Week 3 starter. Through two games, Fitzpatrick has a 27.3 percent uncatchable pass rate – good (well, not so good) for third-worst in the league. He also sits in last with a 50 percent completion rate and has a sub-40 passer rating. It must suck to be Josh Rosen.

The Under 0.5 first-half TDs is where we’re putting our money at -110. The Dolphins’ team total Under 6.5 (-110) is also something to consider as an alternative. Good luck with your Fins fades.

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Thur., Sep. 19 - Mon., Sep. 23)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Thur., Sep. 19 - Mon., Sep. 23)

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