Ncaa

[MemphisMafia]

U Conn. - 10 vs N.D (148)
81.8 pts. <<<>>> 70.8 pts
8-10 ats <<<>>> 7-9 ats
outcome = 92 to 84
No play ( #`s are way to close here ) Opinion : U. Conn.

TCU VS S. Florida - 1 (133.5)
61.8 pts <<<>>> 64.3 pts
5-11 ats <<<>>> 5-11 ats
outcome = 71 to 73
Strange #`s here the last 4 games in this tilt reflect , 138 , 138 , 162 , 225 scored . The talent level is down bad here Opinion : TCU

App. St. vs College of Charleston - 12 (146)
69 pts <<<>>> 77.6 pts
7-12-1 ats <<<>>> 7-7 ats
outcome = 69 to 82
C of C has been dominant in this one , App St is a - 7.6 roadie while C of C is a strong + 14.3 @ home scoring wise , they avg. exactly the #`s posted by the books . Play : C of C - 12 *

N.C. Greensboro vs Wofford - 2.5 (144)
67.5 pts <<<>>> 78.8 pts
6-7-1 ats <<<>>> 7-9 ats
Greensboro a - 10 roadie and Wofford a + 12.3 homie gives the nod to Wofford , total is to close here . Play : Wofford - 1 *

W. Carolina vs G. Southern - 13.5 (151)
71.6 pts <<<>>> 84.1 pts
6-6-2 ats <<<>>> 10-3 ats
outcome = 69 to 80
No brainer here , W. Car. is a - 8.5 roadie while G. Southern is a + 20.1 homie , totals are to close here . Play : G. Southern - 13 *

E. Tenn. St. - 1 vs U.T. Chatt. (157)
74.7 pts <<<>>> 90.6 pts
7-7-3 ats <<<>>> 9-7 ats
Run & Gun here , they are matched well and E. Tenn St. is a + 5.2 roadie while U. T. Chatt sports a + 16.3 @ home , they avg. 165.3 which is not much above the posted total but thier history shows a barn-burnner series . Play : U.T. Chatt + 1 * O/ 157 **

Tenn St. vs E. Kentucky - 10 (146.5)
62 pts <<<>>> 78.7 pts
12-5 ats <<<>>> 2-8-2 ats
outcome = 59 to 73
#`s show a favorable outcome for E. Kentucky here , Tenn. St. a - 20 roadie and E. Kentucky a strong + 15.8 home scorer . Play : E. Kentucky - 11 *

N. Ill. - 2 vs C. Mich. (141.5)
62.8 pts <<<>>> 73.1 pts
8-7-1 ats <<<>>> 4-16 ats
outcome = 68 to 70
Play : N. Ill - 2 * & U/ 141.5 **

Pitt. vs Seton Hall - 1 (126)
68 pts <<<>>> 78.1 pts
9-7-1 ats <<<>>> 12-5-1 ats
outcome = 85 to 89
Heavy match-up here and it favors (albeit slightly) a Hall cover , both are + scorers in this tilt . Play : O/ 126 *** Opinion : Seton Hall

Citadel vs Elon - 13.5 (132)
54.2 pts <<<>>> 74 pts
1-12 ats <<<>>> 7-6-2 ats
outcome = 53 to 71
Elons been playing much improved ball lately and should walk in this one against these boy scouts . Paly : Elon - 13 **

Kansas vs Ok. St. - 4.5 (141)
70.1 pts <<<>>> 82 pts
6-10-1 ats <<<>>> 7-7 ats
outcome = 87 to 94
Hunch play strictly here , OK St. is a strong + 24.2 @ home while Kan. is a + 3 roadie . Opinion : Kansas + 4

Wyoming vs N. Mexico - 5 (139.5)
63.1 pts <<<>>> 73.1 pts
4-13-1 ats <<<>>> 11-6 ats
outcome = 74 to 81
Wyoming is hurting , and throw in the - 11.2 road out-put going to the " Pit " and facing a + 12.9 homey doesnt bode well here . Play : N. Mexico - 5 **

UNLV vs Utah - 6.5 (128.5)
77 pts <<<>>> 78 pts
11-5 ats <<<>>> 10-8 ats
outcome = 78 to 84
UNLV has really impressed lately and I feel this numbers to high here . Play : UNLV + 8 * O/ 128 ** (avg. 145.5)

Colo. St. vs Air Force - 14 (118.5)
61.9 pts <<<>>> 67.6 pts
6-9-1 ats <<<>>> 8-3 ats
outcome = 73 to 87
Heavy number switch here , Colo. St. is a - 12.8 roadie anyway and without the services of Nelson , Air Force a " very strong " + 20.6 @ home . Play : Air Force - 14.5 *


San Diego St. vs BYU - 11 (139)
71.4 pts <<<>>> 81.3 pts
11-9 ats <<<>>> 9-8 ats
outcome = 73 to 85
Play : San Diego St + 11 * O/ 139 **

A side note : outcomes = are not a indication of the final score , just my power ratings attempt to determine final point differential

Finals on all plays .

G.L.


***MMM***

:cool: :cool: :cool:

[MARGIN]

Just being curious here, Memphis...

Do you establish your power ratings from raw data collected, or do you start with a pre-determined set of numbers and work on from there ? For whatever the reasons, I've found my power ratings to be more pertinent in handicapping College Basketball than any other Sport...especially during the early rounds of the NCAA Tournament.

John

[MemphisMafia]

John :

The time I have involved in the creation and evolution of my process has been a work in progress for roughly 20 years now , and has been changed ( added to ) 3 times now . I may seem a bit convoluted in describing the process , but I will give it a shot as briefly as possible .


I derive my rankings from a program that is built from the ground up by priorities (38) that are factored in and updated weekly , all my data is from public records and sites ( many ) that are accessable by anyone . It takes a great deal of time to :

1) process data
2) clean-up information
3) update databases
4) error check data

For every school I use all 38 priority factors in multiple variations that include many things as used by most cappers but I have added a few that most cappers would never include in thier outcomes. The total points awarded are through internal formulas that prioritise the factors being caculated and theres even more to this but it would be giving away my hard work and time involved not to think of the programers expense , computers , the girl I pay to download data , the bedroom I lost at home to house this all .

I hope I have given you a bit of insight to my whys , wheres , and hows and its really a hand-in-hand operation that mirrors my tip-sheet service for greyhounds. I have witnessed several responces from you here in time and have always admired your approach to the day , I look forward to more !

College basketball and Greyhounds are the only two sports I do this in , everything else is a " winging it " type opinion and pray the moxie gained from years of doing this will suffice and carry the day.

G.L.

***MMM***

:cool: :cool: :cool:

[MARGIN]

MMM

Thanks for taking the time to explain. I found your reply, to be both informative and easy to understand. Your determination and resolve, speaks volumes about your work ethic. I'm certain that you will enjoy continued success in your handicapping efforts.

Best Regards,
John

[MemphisMafia]

Thank you John :

And I have been treading water lately with my totals being just enough to keep my head out of the sand . Nites like 6-6-1 & 13-13-0 recently on sides havent given me much to cheer about ( my higher rated plays have been fine) I am currently logged in to a 819-600-39 YTD / ATS record , but hope the funk lets go of me soon .

I wish you continued luck ( all-of-it-good ) and will look for more of your posts in the future , it is a tough racket !

G.L.

***MMM***

:cool: :cool: :cool:

[JD_9438]

TCU & SO. Flo

total seems way to low...have you seen any reason for this, injuries, suspensions? if not, looks like bait to me

GL

JD

[MemphisMafia]

JD_9438 :

Gun to my head play here I would go under , they are miserable offensive clubs and avg. about 126.1 pts per contest . I wont throw my lot out on this one because of the fishy looking lines also ( although only about 7 above avg. ) but they are not jugernots and I feel they both show poorly as per usual.

G.L.

***MMM***

:cool: :cool: :cool:

[Trotter]

I love when you break down the games and do your analysis, wish you could do it more often

GL Tonight

[JD_9438]

thanks for the response, i also appreciate the game numbers.

Best of luck

JD

[PhilJr]

Thanks for your input MM. I will be playing the 5 that match up for me. TCU, Geo Southern, N Ill, Elon and New Mexico. GL tonight and always

[Homer]

Good Luck tonight MMM

[len caprisecca]

mm

best of luck mm

[bearman]

Thanks for your analysis of all these games. I'm going to jump on a few of them. Best of luck tonight

[RavenTerpsFan]

go,BABY,go

MMM,

THANKS for your good write ups and insight!:cool:
You Must have had some Spare Free Time Today.

Here are a few totals I'm on,U.CONN./OV...KANSAS/UN...BYU/OV,
not sure about PITT. maybe UN?

NCAA Totals so far,53-33:D

GL tonite...RTF