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College Football Picks (& Trends) Week 3

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  • College Football Picks (& Trends) Week 3

    Here are the Top-25 and Double-Digit Favorites Trends breakdown of Week 2:

    Top-25 Teams
    Week 2 SU: 18-6
    Running Total SU: 42-7
    Week 2 ATS: 10-13-1
    Running Total ATS: 24-23-2

    Double-Digit Spreads (FBS vs FBS)
    Week 2 SU: 24-1
    Running Total SU: 51-6
    Week 2 ATS: 14-10-1
    Running Total ATS: 28-27-2

    Notes: Double Digit Favorites enjoyed a spectacular Week 2. As a matter of fact, those teams were 24-0 SU until California inexplicably defeated Washington... in Seattle! They really did a number against the spread as well covering 7 games in a row at one point (dogs only managed to string together 2 covers in a row before a favorite would get back in the win column) en route to a profitable 14-10-1 performance. I am certain we shall see the puppies put together a comparable streak at some point this season.

    Totals in Games with Double-Digit Spreads (FBS vs FBS)
    Week 2: 12 Overs (longest streak: 4 'Over' games) 13 Unders (longest streak: 7 'Under' games) 0 Pushes
    Thru 9/8: 27 Overs (longest streak: 4 games) 28 Unders (longest streak: 7 games) 2 Pushes

    Notes: For the second straight week, totals were essentially 50/50. However, there was quite a bit more streakiness compared to Week 1. With 7 'Under' results in a row at one point, the fact that the week ended 12-13-0 (o-u-p) meant that there were some 3- and 4-game 'Over' streaks to balance that out.

    I am reviewing today's slate of games. I'll definitely have some picks this week, but I'm not certain anything will surface in tonight's action...
    Last edited by peanutgallery; 09-13-2019, 06:04 PM.
    2019 SEASON
    NCAAF
    42-34-1 +4.30 units

    NFL
    11-11 +2.60 units

  • #2
    #105 Kansas/ Boston College o51 1 unit

    Catch y'all tomorrow. Best of Luck!
    2019 SEASON
    NCAAF
    42-34-1 +4.30 units

    NFL
    11-11 +2.60 units

    Comment


    • #3
      Aloha kakahiaka!

      Let's get after it!

      #113 North Carolina State/ West Virginia o46 3 units
      #114 West Virginia +7 1 unit

      I'll have more later. Good Luck!!!
      2019 SEASON
      NCAAF
      42-34-1 +4.30 units

      NFL
      11-11 +2.60 units

      Comment


      • #4
        Good Luck PG

        Comment


        • #5
          Adding

          #112 Mississippi State -7 2 units
          2019 SEASON
          NCAAF
          42-34-1 +4.30 units

          NFL
          11-11 +2.60 units

          Comment


          • #6
            I like all your picks today peanuts,good luck

            Comment


            • #7
              Ugh Mississippi State sucks!!!

              Adding
              #125 Air Force +3 3 units
              2019 SEASON
              NCAAF
              42-34-1 +4.30 units

              NFL
              11-11 +2.60 units

              Comment


              • #8
                Looking like a 4-1 start to this week...

                Adding

                #161 North Texas +14 1/2 4 units
                I know, I know. Why, right? They've cost me 9.9 units so far this season. Thorn in my side. Cal looks to have a legitimate defense. They're coming off a big win. They're at home. UNT is trash on the road. UNT is trash on turf. Let's go Mean Green. Glutton for punishment...
                #150 Tulsa +14 1 unit
                Same here. Oklahoma State looks great. This offense is firing on all cylinders. But like the play above, this is an 80/20 game...
                #160 Michigan State -16 1 unit
                They can't make this line high enough. They're begging for ASU money. Books be like 14 points, anyone? No? How about 15? No? Ok, 15.5? No?!?!?! Ugh, 16 then?
                2019 SEASON
                NCAAF
                42-34-1 +4.30 units

                NFL
                11-11 +2.60 units

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by peanutgallery View Post
                  Looking like a 4-1 start to this week...

                  Adding

                  #161 North Texas +14 1/2 4 units
                  I know, I know. Why, right? They've cost me 9.9 units so far this season. Thorn in my side. Cal looks to have a legitimate defense. They're coming off a big win. They're at home. UNT is trash on the road. UNT is trash on turf. Let's go Mean Green. Glutton for punishment...
                  #150 Tulsa +14 1 unit
                  Same here. Oklahoma State looks great. This offense is firing on all cylinders. But like the play above, this is an 80/20 game...
                  #160 Michigan State -16 1 unit
                  They can't make this line high enough. They're begging for ASU money. Books be like 14 points, anyone? No? How about 15? No? Ok, 15.5? No?!?!?! Ugh, 16 then?
                  Just played MSU at 15 1/2. So, small change there...
                  2019 SEASON
                  NCAAF
                  42-34-1 +4.30 units

                  NFL
                  11-11 +2.60 units

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Up 6.60 units for the day; 7.60 for the week! Back in the black. Feeling loose. Feeling confident. Here is your night cap:

                    Adding
                    #237 Montana +39 3 units

                    My Oregon Ducks have lost their last 3 Pac-12 openers. I know, I wouldn't have believed that either. But they have Stanford next week on the road. They will try to exact revenge for a painful loss at home last year. Stanford is magical. I'd go so far as to paraphrase Kathy Bates and say they're of the Devil. Another thing Oregon is dealing with are a lot of bumps and bruises. They're one beat up, ragged team looking to get right physically. Take the points. Ducks comfortably by 17...
                    2019 SEASON
                    NCAAF
                    42-34-1 +4.30 units

                    NFL
                    11-11 +2.60 units

                    Comment

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