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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Fri., Sep. 13 - Sat., Sep. 14)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Fri., Sep. 13 - Sat., Sep. 14)

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    Week 3


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Friday, September 13 - Saturday, September 14

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    This report may update as gamedays get closer....


    105KANSAS -106 BOSTON COLLEGE
    BOSTON COLLEGE is 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

    107WASHINGTON ST -108 HOUSTON
    HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a home win in the last 3 seasons.

    109OHIO ST -110 INDIANA
    INDIANA is 8-39 ATS (-34.9 Units) after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

    113NC STATE -114 W VIRGINIA
    NC STATE is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) as a road fav. of <=7 since 1992.

    121E MICHIGAN -122 ILLINOIS
    ILLINOIS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992.

    123ARKANSAS ST -124 GEORGIA
    ARKANSAS ST is 19-8 ATS (10.2 Units) in road games after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992.

    125AIR FORCE -126 COLORADO
    AIR FORCE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

    127SAN DIEGO ST -128 NEW MEXICO ST
    NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after going over the total in the last 3 seasons.

    129FLA ATLANTIC -130 BALL ST
    BALL ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after going over the total in the last 3 seasons.

    131NEW MEXICO -132 NOTRE DAME
    NEW MEXICO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

    133AKRON -134 C MICHIGAN
    C MICHIGAN is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

    135STANFORD -136 UCF
    STANFORD is 35-16 ATS (17.4 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.

    137ALABAMA -138 S CAROLINA
    S CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after playing a game at home in the last 3 seasons.

    139E CAROLINA -140 NAVY
    NAVY is 56-23 ATS (30.7 Units) off a home win since 1992.

    141ARMY -142 UTSA
    UTSA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.

    143USC -144 BYU
    USC is 23-9 ATS (13.1 Units) in road games after 2 straight overs since 1992.

    147UNLV -148 NORTHWESTERN
    UNLV is 51-82 ATS (-39.2 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

    149OKLAHOMA ST -150 TULSA
    OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

    151MEMPHIS -152 S ALABAMA
    MEMPHIS are 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) after scoring 42 points or more last game since 1992.

    155COLORADO ST -156 ARKANSAS
    COLORADO ST is 36-17 ATS (17.3 Units) in road games after a blowout win (>17 pts) since 1992.

    157W KENTUCKY -158 LOUISVILLE
    LOUISVILLE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

    159ARIZONA ST -160 MICHIGAN ST
    MICHIGAN ST is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) as a home fav. of 10.5-14 since 1992.

    161NORTH TEXAS -162 CALIFORNIA
    CALIFORNIA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

    163LOUISIANA TECH -164 BOWLING GREEN
    BOWLING GREEN is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in September games in the last 3 seasons.

    165BUFFALO -166 LIBERTY
    LIBERTY is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

    165BUFFALO -166 LIBERTY
    Hugh Freeze is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) in home games after going under the total (All games)

    167SOUTHERN MISS -168 TROY
    TROY is 21-8 ATS (12.2 Units) after scoring 42 points or more last game since 1992.

    169MASSACHUSETTS -170 CHARLOTTE
    MASSACHUSETTS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf in the last 3 seasons.

    171OHIO U -172 MARSHALL
    OHIO U is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.

    177GEORGIA ST -178 W MICHIGAN
    GEORGIA ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

    179TEXAS ST -180 SMU
    SMU is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) with <=6 days rest since 1992.

    181DUKE -182 MIDDLE TENN ST
    DUKE is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games after a win in the last 3 seasons.

    183HAWAII -184 WASHINGTON
    HAWAII is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after an ATS loss in the last 3 seasons.

    185TCU -186 PURDUE
    PURDUE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.

    187CLEMSON -188 SYRACUSE
    CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 2+ SU wins over the last 2 seasons.

    189FLORIDA ST -190 VIRGINIA
    FLORIDA ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

    191OKLAHOMA -192 UCLA
    UCLA is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

    195TEXAS -196 RICE
    TEXAS are 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

    197TEXAS TECH -198 ARIZONA
    TEXAS TECH is 89-59 ATS (24.1 Units) after playing a game at home since 1992.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-09-2019, 12:53 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      This report may update as gamedays get closer....


      NCAAF
      Long Sheet


      Friday, September 13

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      N CAROLINA (2 - 0) at WAKE FOREST (2 - 0) - 9/13/2019, 6:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      KANSAS (1 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 0) - 9/13/2019, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      KANSAS is 132-169 ATS (-53.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
      KANSAS is 132-169 ATS (-53.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
      KANSAS is 83-118 ATS (-46.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
      KANSAS is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
      KANSAS is 50-83 ATS (-41.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
      KANSAS is 50-83 ATS (-41.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
      KANSAS is 103-134 ATS (-44.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WASHINGTON ST (2 - 0) vs. HOUSTON (1 - 1) - 9/13/2019, 9:15 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Saturday, September 14

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      OHIO ST (2 - 0) at INDIANA (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 12:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OHIO ST is 191-148 ATS (+28.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 191-148 ATS (+28.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 173-133 ATS (+26.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
      INDIANA is 81-112 ATS (-42.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
      INDIANA is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      INDIANA is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
      OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      KANSAS ST (2 - 0) at MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 12:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
      MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NC STATE (2 - 0) at W VIRGINIA (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 12:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      W VIRGINIA is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MARYLAND (2 - 0) at TEMPLE (1 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 12:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
      TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MIAMI OHIO (1 - 1) at CINCINNATI (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 12:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
      CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) at PENN ST (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 12:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PENN ST is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
      PENN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
      PENN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      E MICHIGAN (1 - 1) at ILLINOIS (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 12:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      E MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      ILLINOIS is 133-174 ATS (-58.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
      ILLINOIS is 133-174 ATS (-58.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
      ILLINOIS is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
      ILLINOIS is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
      ILLINOIS is 90-134 ATS (-57.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) at GEORGIA (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 12:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      AIR FORCE (1 - 0) at COLORADO (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      AIR FORCE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      COLORADO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      COLORADO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 0) at NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 2) - 9/14/2019, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAN DIEGO ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 94-133 ATS (-52.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 2) at BALL ST (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 2:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
      BALL ST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEW MEXICO (1 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 2:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      AKRON (0 - 2) at C MICHIGAN (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 3:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      AKRON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      AKRON is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
      AKRON is 1-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      STANFORD (1 - 1) at UCF (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 3:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ALABAMA (2 - 0) at S CAROLINA (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ALABAMA is 82-57 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
      ALABAMA is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      E CAROLINA (1 - 1) at NAVY (1 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      E CAROLINA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      E CAROLINA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      E CAROLINA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      NAVY is 174-131 ATS (+29.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
      NAVY is 174-131 ATS (+29.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
      NAVY is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
      NAVY is 158-118 ATS (+28.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
      NAVY is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
      E CAROLINA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ARMY (1 - 1) at UTSA (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ARMY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      UTSA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
      UTSA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      UTSA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      UTSA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
      UTSA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
      UTSA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
      UTSA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      USC (2 - 0) at BYU (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      USC is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      USC is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      USC is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      GA SOUTHERN (1 - 1) at MINNESOTA (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 3:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      UNLV (1 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (0 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      UNLV is 92-130 ATS (-51.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OKLAHOMA ST (2 - 0) at TULSA (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MEMPHIS (2 - 0) at S ALABAMA (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MEMPHIS is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
      MEMPHIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      S ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
      MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      IOWA (2 - 0) at IOWA ST (1 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 4:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      IOWA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
      IOWA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      COLORADO ST (1 - 1) at ARKANSAS (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 4:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      COLORADO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
      COLORADO ST is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      W KENTUCKY (1 - 1) vs. LOUISVILLE (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 4:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LOUISVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      LOUISVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      LOUISVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
      LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ARIZONA ST (2 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 4:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MICHIGAN ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.
      MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against Pac Twelve conference opponents since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ARIZONA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
      ARIZONA ST is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NORTH TEXAS (1 - 1) at CALIFORNIA (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 4:15 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CALIFORNIA is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 1) at BOWLING GREEN (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 5:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LOUISIANA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BUFFALO (1 - 1) at LIBERTY (0 - 2) - 9/14/2019, 6:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LIBERTY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 1) at TROY (1 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 6:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 6:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MASSACHUSETTS is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
      MASSACHUSETTS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
      MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OHIO U (1 - 1) at MARSHALL (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 6:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      KENT ST (1 - 1) at AUBURN (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      FLORIDA (2 - 0) at KENTUCKY (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
      KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      GEORGIA ST (2 - 0) at W MICHIGAN (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      W MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
      W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TEXAS ST (0 - 2) at SMU (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SMU is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      DUKE (1 - 1) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DUKE is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      HAWAII (2 - 0) at WASHINGTON (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      HAWAII is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      HAWAII is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      HAWAII is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      HAWAII is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TCU (1 - 0) at PURDUE (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 7:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CLEMSON (2 - 0) at SYRACUSE (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      CLEMSON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SYRACUSE is 2-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
      SYRACUSE is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      FLORIDA ST (1 - 1) at VIRGINIA (2 - 0) - 9/14/2019, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      FLORIDA ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      FLORIDA ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      FLORIDA ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      FLORIDA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
      VIRGINIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OKLAHOMA (2 - 0) at UCLA (0 - 2) - 9/14/2019, 8:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      N ILLINOIS (1 - 1) at NEBRASKA (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      N ILLINOIS is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
      N ILLINOIS is 77-47 ATS (+25.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
      N ILLINOIS is 77-47 ATS (+25.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
      N ILLINOIS is 103-74 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
      N ILLINOIS is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
      NEBRASKA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
      NEBRASKA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      NEBRASKA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
      NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
      N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TEXAS (1 - 1) vs. RICE (0 - 2) - 9/14/2019, 8:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TEXAS TECH (2 - 0) at ARIZONA (1 - 1) - 9/14/2019, 10:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TEXAS TECH is 128-91 ATS (+27.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
      ARIZONA is 139-175 ATS (-53.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
      ARIZONA is 139-175 ATS (-53.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
      ARIZONA is 116-151 ATS (-50.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
      ARIZONA is 88-130 ATS (-55.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
      ARIZONA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-09-2019, 12:53 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAF

        Week 3


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Friday, September 13

        North Carolina @ Wake Forest
        North Carolina
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 5 games on the road
        North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Wake Forest
        Wake Forest is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing North Carolina

        Kansas @ Boston College
        Kansas
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 6 games
        Kansas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Boston College
        Boston College is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College's last 7 games at home

        Washington State @ Houston
        Washington State
        Washington State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
        Washington State is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games
        Houston
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games
        Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games


        Saturday, September 14

        Arkansas State @ Georgia
        Arkansas State
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 7 games on the road
        Georgia
        Georgia is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
        Georgia is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games

        Kansas State @ Mississippi State
        Kansas State
        Kansas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Mississippi State
        Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
        Mississippi State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

        Chattanooga @ Tennessee
        Chattanooga
        Chattanooga is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Chattanooga is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        Tennessee
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home
        Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

        North Carolina State @ West Virginia
        North Carolina State
        North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 7 games
        West Virginia
        West Virginia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
        West Virginia is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

        Pittsburgh @ Penn State
        Pittsburgh
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
        Penn State
        Penn State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
        Penn State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

        Furman @ Virginia Tech
        Furman
        Furman is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Furman is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Virginia Tech
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games
        Virginia Tech is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

        Eastern Michigan @ Illinois
        Eastern Michigan
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 6 games
        Eastern Michigan is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
        Illinois
        The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Illinois's last 16 games at home
        Illinois is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

        Ohio State @ Indiana
        Ohio State
        Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
        Indiana
        Indiana is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Ohio State
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games

        Maryland @ Temple
        Maryland
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games
        Maryland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Temple
        Temple
        Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

        Miami-OH @ Cincinnati
        Miami-OH
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
        Miami-OH is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Cincinnati
        Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
        Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami-OH

        The Citadel @ Georgia Tech
        The Citadel
        The Citadel is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
        The Citadel is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games
        Georgia Tech
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games at home
        Georgia Tech is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

        Air Force @ Colorado
        Air Force
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Air Force's last 11 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 7 games
        Colorado
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games
        Colorado is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

        Florida Atlantic @ Ball State
        Florida Atlantic
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida Atlantic's last 12 games on the road
        Florida Atlantic is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        Ball State
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ball State's last 7 games

        Norfolk State @ Coastal Carolina
        Norfolk State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Norfolk State's last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Norfolk State's last 7 games on the road
        Coastal Carolina
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 6 games

        New Mexico @ Notre Dame
        New Mexico
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 6 games
        Notre Dame
        Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Notre Dame is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games

        Akron @ Central Michigan
        Akron
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Akron's last 7 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games when playing Central Michigan
        Central Michigan
        Central Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Akron
        Central Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Akron

        Alabama @ South Carolina
        Alabama
        Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Alabama is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games
        South Carolina
        South Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games when playing Alabama

        Stanford @ Central Florida
        Stanford
        Stanford is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Stanford's last 9 games on the road
        Central Florida
        Central Florida is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
        Central Florida is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home

        Southern California @ Brigham Young
        Southern California
        Southern California is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
        Southern California is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
        Brigham Young
        Brigham Young is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brigham Young's last 9 games at home

        Army @ Texas-San Antonio
        Army
        Army is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Army is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
        Texas-San Antonio
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 10 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 9 games

        Oklahoma State @ Tulsa
        Oklahoma State
        Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa
        Oklahoma State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Tulsa
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tulsa's last 13 games

        Georgia Southern @ Minnesota
        Georgia Southern
        Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Georgia Southern is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
        Minnesota
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
        Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

        Nevada-Las Vegas @ Northwestern
        Nevada-Las Vegas
        Nevada-Las Vegas is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 6 games
        Northwestern
        Northwestern is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Northwestern's last 24 games at home

        Memphis @ South Alabama
        Memphis
        Memphis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games
        South Alabama
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of South Alabama's last 14 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Alabama's last 7 games at home

        East Carolina @ Navy
        East Carolina
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing Navy
        East Carolina is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
        Navy
        Navy is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games when playing East Carolina

        Colorado State @ Arkansas
        Colorado State
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado State's last 9 games on the road
        Arkansas
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games
        Arkansas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

        Southeastern Louisiana @ Mississippi
        Southeastern Louisiana
        Southeastern Louisiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        Southeastern Louisiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Mississippi
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 7 games at home

        Arizona State @ Michigan State
        Arizona State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona State's last 6 games
        Arizona State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
        Michigan State
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Michigan State's last 10 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games at home

        Western Kentucky @ Louisville
        Western Kentucky
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games
        Western Kentucky is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
        Louisville
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 10 games
        Louisville is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games

        Bethune-Cookman @ Miami-FL
        Bethune-Cookman
        Bethune-Cookman is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
        Bethune-Cookman is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
        Miami-FL
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami-FL's last 9 games
        Miami-FL is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home

        Iowa @ Iowa State
        Iowa
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games on the road
        Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Iowa State
        Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Iowa State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

        North Texas @ California
        North Texas
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of North Texas's last 11 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of North Texas's last 13 games
        California
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of California's last 10 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 6 games at home

        Cal Poly @ Oregon State
        Cal Poly
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cal Poly's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cal Poly's last 6 games on the road
        Oregon State
        The total has gone OVER in 13 of Oregon State's last 17 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 6 games at home

        Idaho State @ Utah
        Idaho State
        Idaho State is 4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
        Idaho State is 4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games
        Utah
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games at home
        Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

        Idaho @ Wyoming
        Idaho
        Idaho is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
        Idaho is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games
        Wyoming
        Wyoming is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Wyoming is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

        Louisiana Tech @ Bowling Green
        Louisiana Tech
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana Tech's last 8 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games on the road
        Bowling Green
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
        Bowling Green is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games

        Buffalo @ Liberty
        Buffalo
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games
        Liberty
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Liberty's last 5 games
        Liberty is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

        Massachusetts @ Charlotte
        Massachusetts
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Massachusetts's last 15 games
        Charlotte
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games at home
        Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

        South Carolina State @ South Florida
        South Carolina State
        South Carolina State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
        South Carolina State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
        South Florida
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games
        South Florida is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

        Southern Miss @ Troy
        Southern Miss
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southern Miss's last 9 games on the road
        Southern Miss is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        Troy
        Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Troy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

        Ohio @ Marshall
        Ohio
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games on the road
        Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Marshall
        Marshall
        Marshall is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Ohio
        Marshall is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio

        Kent State @ Auburn
        Kent State
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kent State's last 9 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 6 games on the road
        Auburn
        Auburn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
        Auburn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

        Florida @ Kentucky
        Florida
        Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
        Kentucky
        Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games

        Lamar @ Texas A&M
        Lamar
        Lamar is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
        Lamar is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Texas A&M
        Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Texas A&M is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home

        Duke @ Middle Tennessee
        Duke
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Duke's last 12 games on the road
        Duke is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
        Middle Tennessee
        Middle Tennessee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Middle Tennessee's last 7 games

        Weber State @ Nevada
        Weber State
        Weber State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Weber State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        Nevada
        Nevada is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
        Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

        New Hampshire @ Florida International
        New Hampshire
        New Hampshire is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
        New Hampshire is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
        Florida International
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida International's last 8 games
        Florida International is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

        Texas State @ Southern Methodist
        Texas State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 5 games
        Texas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Southern Methodist
        Southern Methodist is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games

        Murray State @ Toledo
        Murray State
        Murray State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
        Murray State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
        Toledo
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games
        Toledo is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home

        Georgia State @ Western Michigan
        Georgia State
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia State's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia State's last 9 games
        Western Michigan
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 7 games
        Western Michigan is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

        Northwestern State @ Louisiana State
        Northwestern State
        Northwestern State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
        Northwestern State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
        Louisiana State
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 5 games
        Louisiana State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

        Southeast Missouri State @ Missouri
        Southeast Missouri State
        Southeast Missouri State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
        Southeast Missouri State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Missouri
        Missouri is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games at home

        Hawaii @ Washington
        Hawaii
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games on the road
        Hawaii is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
        Washington
        Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

        Clemson @ Syracuse
        Clemson
        Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Clemson is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Syracuse
        Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Syracuse's last 7 games when playing Clemson

        Florida State @ Virginia
        Florida State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing Virginia
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia
        Virginia
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing Florida State

        Texas Christian @ Purdue
        Texas Christian
        Texas Christian is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas Christian's last 11 games on the road
        Purdue
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games

        Texas Southern @ Louisiana-Lafayette
        Texas Southern
        Texas Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Texas Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        Louisiana-Lafayette
        Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

        Oklahoma @ California-Los Angeles
        Oklahoma
        Oklahoma is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
        Oklahoma is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games on the road
        California-Los Angeles
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
        California-Los Angeles is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games

        San Diego State @ New Mexico State
        San Diego State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games
        San Diego State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
        New Mexico State
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Mexico State's last 14 games at home

        Texas @ Rice
        Texas
        Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rice
        Texas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
        Rice
        Rice is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Rice is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas

        Northern Illinois @ Nebraska
        Northern Illinois
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games
        Nebraska
        Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Nebraska is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

        Missouri State @ Tulane
        Missouri State
        Missouri State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
        Missouri State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
        Tulane
        Tulane is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulane's last 5 games at home

        Portland State @ Boise State
        Portland State
        Portland State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Portland State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Boise State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 5 games at home
        Boise State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

        Texas Tech @ Arizona
        Texas Tech
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 8 games on the road
        Arizona
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
        Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

        Montana @ Oregon
        Montana
        Montana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Montana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        Oregon
        Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-09-2019, 12:55 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF
          Dunkel

          Week 3



          NCAAF
          Dunkel

          Week 3


          Friday, September 13

          North Carolina @ Wake Forest

          Game 103-104
          September 13, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          North Carolina
          87.692
          Wake Forest
          94.120
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Wake Forest
          by 6 1/2
          72
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Wake Forest
          by 3
          67
          Dunkel Pick:
          Wake Forest
          (-3); Over

          Kansas @ Boston College


          Game 105-106
          September 13, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Kansas
          71.174
          Boston College
          95.053
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Boston College
          by 24
          56
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Boston College
          by 21
          53
          Dunkel Pick:
          Boston College
          (-21); Over

          Washington St @ Houston


          Game 107-108
          September 13, 2019 @ 9:15 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Washington St
          90.852
          Houston
          91.284
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Houston
          Even
          65
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington St
          by 9
          75 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Houston
          (+9); Under



          Saturday, September 14

          Ohio State @ Indiana

          Game 109-110
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Ohio State
          98.612
          Indiana
          89.046
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Ohio State
          by 9 1/2
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Ohio State
          by 17
          61
          Dunkel Pick:
          Indiana
          (+17); Under

          Kansas State @ Mississippi St


          Game 111-112
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Kansas State
          81.865
          Mississippi St
          106.420
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Mississippi St
          by 24 1/2
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Mississippi St
          by 7 1/2
          53
          Dunkel Pick:
          Mississippi St
          (-7 1/2); Over

          Maryland @ Temple


          Game 115-116
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Maryland
          82.716
          Temple
          89.855
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Temple
          by 7
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Maryland
          by 7 1/2
          64
          Dunkel Pick:
          Temple
          (+7 1/2); Under

          NC State @ West Virginia


          Game 113-114
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          NC State
          95.630
          West Virginia
          85.490
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          NC State
          by 10
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          NC State
          by 7
          47
          Dunkel Pick:
          NC State
          (-7); Over

          Miami of Ohio @ Cincinnati


          Game 117-118
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Miami of Ohio
          83.448
          Cincinnati
          88.197
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Cincinnati
          by 4 1/2
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Cincinnati
          by 17
          49
          Dunkel Pick:
          Miami of Ohio
          (+17); Under

          Pittsburgh @ Penn State


          Game 119-120
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Pittsburgh
          86.862
          Penn State
          107.866
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Penn State
          by 21
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Penn State
          by 17
          52
          Dunkel Pick:
          Penn State
          (-17); Over

          Eastern Michigan @ Illinois


          Game 121-122
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Eastern Michigan
          68.029
          Illinois
          82.021
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Illinois
          by 14
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Illinois
          by 7 1/2
          55
          Dunkel Pick:
          Illinois
          (-7 1/2); Over

          Arkansas St @ Georgia


          Game 123-124
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Arkansas St
          83.636
          Georgia
          107.144
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia
          by 23 1/2
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Georgia
          by 33 1/2
          58
          Dunkel Pick:
          Arkansas St
          (+33 1/2); Under

          Furman @ Virginia Tech


          Game 199-200
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Furman
          67.498
          Virginia Tech
          84.577
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Virginia Tech
          by 17
          67
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Virginia Tech
          by 21 1/2
          64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Furman
          (+21 1/2); Over

          Chattanooga @ Tennessee


          Game 201-202
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Chattanooga
          54.032
          Tennessee
          75.232
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Tennessee
          by 21
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Tennessee
          by 28
          51 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Chattanooga
          (+28); Over

          The Citadel @ Georgia Tech


          Game 203-204
          September 14, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          The Citadel
          59.517
          Georgia Tech
          87.872
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia Tech
          by 28 1/2
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Georgia Tech
          by 26
          57 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Georgia Tech
          (-26); Under

          Air Force @ Colorado


          Game 125-126
          September 14, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Air Force
          85.563
          Colorado
          84.598
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Air Force
          by 1
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Colorado
          by 4
          58 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Air Force
          (+4); Under


          Florida Atlantic @ Ball State

          Game 129-130
          September 14, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida Atlantic
          76.337
          Ball State
          67.531
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Florida Atlantic
          by 9
          61
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida Atlantic
          by 2 1/2
          67
          Dunkel Pick:
          Florida Atlantic
          (-2 1/2); Under

          Norfolk St @ Coastal Carolina


          Game 205-206
          September 14, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Norfolk St
          43.906
          Coastal Carolina
          73.467
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Coastal Carolina
          by 29 1/2
          43
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Coastal Carolina
          by 27
          48 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Coastal Carolina
          (-27); Under


          New Mexico @ Notre Dame

          Game 131-132
          September 14, 2019 @ 2:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New Mexico
          71.166
          Notre Dame
          101.721
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Notre Dame
          by 30 1/2
          67
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Notre Dame
          by 35
          64
          Dunkel Pick:
          New Mexico
          (+35); Over

          Akron @ Central Michigan


          Game 133-134
          September 14, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Akron
          61.977
          Central Michigan
          59.058
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Akron
          by 3
          53
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Central Michigan
          by 3 1/2
          46
          Dunkel Pick:
          Akron
          (+3 1/2); Over

          Stanford @ Central Florida


          Game 135-136
          September 14, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Stanford
          92.663
          Central Florida
          94.165
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Central Florida
          by 1 1/2
          65
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Central Florida
          by 7 1/2
          61
          Dunkel Pick:
          Stanford
          (+7 1/2); Over

          East Carolina @ Navy


          Game 139-140
          September 14, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          East Carolina
          70.273
          Navy
          79.656
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Navy
          by 9 1/2
          49
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Navy
          by 7
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Navy
          (-7); Under

          Alabama @ South Carolina


          Game 137-138
          September 14, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Alabama
          113.181
          South Carolina
          94.544
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Alabama
          by 18 1/2
          63
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Alabama
          by 25
          60
          Dunkel Pick:
          South Carolina
          (+25); Over

          Army @ TX-San Antonio


          Game 141-142
          September 14, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Army
          90.359
          TX-San Antonio
          60.657
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Army
          by 29 1/2
          44
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Army
          by 17
          45
          Dunkel Pick:
          Army
          (-17); Under


          USC @ Brigham Young

          Game 143-144
          September 14, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          USC
          100.437
          Brigham Young
          85.860
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          USC
          by 14 1/2
          52
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          USC
          by 4
          55 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          USC
          (-4); Under

          Georgia Southern @ Minnesota


          Game 145-146
          September 14, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Georgia Southern
          74.040
          Minnesota
          104.570
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Minnesota
          by 30 1/2
          43
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Minnesota
          by 15 1/2
          45 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Minnesota
          (-15 1/2); Under

          UNLV @ Northwestern


          Game 147-148
          September 14, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          UNLV
          75.095
          Northwestern
          88.925
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Northwestern
          by 14
          65
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Northwestern
          by 18 1/2
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          UNLV
          (+18 1/2); Over

          Oklahoma State @ Tulsa


          Game 149-150
          September 14, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Oklahoma State
          82.896
          Tulsa
          78.319
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Oklahoma State
          by 4 1/2
          75
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Oklahoma State
          by 14
          65
          Dunkel Pick:
          Tulsa
          (+14); Over


          Memphis @ South Alabama

          Game 151-152
          September 14, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Memphis
          89.163
          South Alabama
          64.649
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Memphis
          by 24 1/2
          66
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Memphis
          by 19
          57 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Memphis
          (-19); Over

          Iowa @ Iowa State


          Game 153-154
          September 14, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Iowa
          105.714
          Iowa State
          91.785
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Iowa
          by 14
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Iowa
          by 2 1/2
          44 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Iowa
          (-2 1/2); Over

          Colorado State @ Arkansas


          Game 155-156
          September 14, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Colorado State
          72.067
          Arkansas
          73.890
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Arkansas
          by 2
          45
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Arkansas
          by 9 1/2
          60 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Colorado State
          (+9 1/2); Under

          Western Kentucky @ Louisville


          Game 157-158
          September 14, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Western Kentucky
          70.833
          Louisville
          72.653
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Louisville
          by 2
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Louisville
          by 10 1/2
          51 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Western Kentucky
          (+10 1/2); Under

          Arizona State @ Michigan State


          Game 159-160
          September 14, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Arizona State
          81.555
          Michigan State
          98.184
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Michigan State
          by 16 1/2
          40
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Michigan State
          by 13 1/2
          42
          Dunkel Pick:
          Michigan State
          (-13 1/2); Under

          Bethune Cookman @ Miami-FL


          Game 207-208
          September 14, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Bethune Cookman
          51.874
          Miami-FL
          89.560
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Miami-FL
          by 37 1/2
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Miami-FL
          by 40
          56
          Dunkel Pick:
          Bethune Cookman
          (+40); Over

          SE Louisiana @ Mississippi


          Game 209-210
          September 14, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          SE Louisiana
          60.421
          Mississippi
          84.425
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Mississippi
          by 24
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Mississippi
          by 31
          53
          Dunkel Pick:
          SE Louisiana
          (+31); Over

          North Texas @ California


          Game 161-162
          September 14, 2019 @ 4:15 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          North Texas
          71.827
          California
          95.672
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          California
          by 24
          36
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          California
          by 14
          50 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          California
          (-14); Under

          Idaho State @ Utah State


          Game 211-212
          September 14, 2019 @ 4:15 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Idaho State
          64.618
          Utah State
          103.187
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Utah State
          by 38 1/2
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Utah State
          by 36 1/2
          64
          Dunkel Pick:
          Utah State
          (-36 1/2); Under

          Cal Poly @ Oregon State


          Game 213-214
          September 14, 2019 @ 4:15 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Cal Poly
          58.647
          Oregon State
          84.269
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Oregon State
          by 25 1/2
          69
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Oregon State
          by 16 1/2
          76
          Dunkel Pick:
          Oregon State
          (-16 1/2); Under

          Louisiana Tech @ Bowling Green


          Game 163-164
          September 14, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Louisiana Tech
          70.271
          Bowling Green
          65.668
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Louisiana Tech
          by 4 1/2
          61
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Louisiana Tech
          by 10 1/2
          58 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Bowling Green
          (+10 1/2); Over

          Idaho @ Wyoming


          Game 215-216
          September 14, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Idaho
          63.638
          Wyoming
          86.656
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Wyoming
          by 23
          46
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Wyoming
          by 25
          55
          Dunkel Pick:
          Idaho
          (+25); Under

          Buffalo @ Liberty


          Game 165-166
          September 14, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Buffalo
          73.693
          Liberty
          82.899
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Liberty
          by 9
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Buffalo
          by 4 1/2
          58
          Dunkel Pick:
          Liberty
          (+4 1/2); Over


          Southern Miss @ Troy

          Game 167-168
          September 14, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Southern Miss
          82.217
          Troy
          80.753
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Southern Miss
          by 1 1/2
          52
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Troy
          by 3
          49
          Dunkel Pick:
          Southern Miss
          (+3); Over

          Massachusetts @ Charlotte


          Game 169-170
          September 14, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Massachusetts
          68.605
          Charlotte
          74.071
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Charlotte
          by 5 1/2
          72
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Charlotte
          by 19
          68 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Massachusetts
          (+19); Over

          South Carolina St @ South Florida


          Game 217-218
          September 14, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          South Carolina St
          58.404
          South Florida
          71.015
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          South Florida
          by 12 1/2
          42
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          South Florida
          by 24 1/2
          49 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          South Carolina St
          (+24 1/2); Under

          Ohio @ Marshall


          Game 171-172
          September 14, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Ohio
          80.258
          Marshall
          88.647
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Marshall
          by 8 1/2
          46
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Marshall
          by 5 1/2
          50 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Marshall
          (-5 1/2); Under

          Kent State @ Auburn


          Game 173-174
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Kent State
          65.463
          Auburn
          102.344
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Auburn
          by 37
          48
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Auburn
          by 35
          52
          Dunkel Pick:
          Auburn
          (-35); Under

          Georgia State @ Western Michigan


          Game 177-178
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Georgia State
          72.465
          Western Michigan
          71.185
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia State
          by 1 1/2
          63
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Western Michigan
          by 10
          66 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Georgia State
          (+10); Under

          Texas State @ SMU


          Game 179-180
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas State
          63.193
          SMU
          82.384
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          SMU
          by 19
          68
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          SMU
          by 17
          59
          Dunkel Pick:
          SMU
          (-17); Over

          Florida @ Kentucky


          Game 175-176
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida
          90.632
          Kentucky
          91.986
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Kentucky
          by 1 1/2
          48
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida
          by 7 1/2
          50
          Dunkel Pick:
          Kentucky
          (+7 1/2); Under

          Duke @ Middle Tennessee St


          Game 181-182
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Duke
          90.994
          Middle Tennessee
          75.375
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Duke
          by 15 1/2
          61
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Duke
          by 6 1/2
          51
          Dunkel Pick:
          Duke
          (-6 1/2); Over

          Murray State @ Toledo


          Game 219-220
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Murray State
          48.472
          Toledo
          89.489
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Toledo
          by 41
          73
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Toledo
          by 39 1/2
          70
          Dunkel Pick:
          Toledo
          (-39 1/2); Over

          New Hampshire @ FIU


          Game 221-222
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New Hampshire
          55.094
          FIU
          74.428
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          FIU
          by 19 1/2
          51
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          FIU
          by 9 1/2
          43 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          FIU
          (-9 1/2); Over

          Lamar @ Texas A&M


          Game 223-224
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Lamar
          60.782
          Texas A&M
          98.699
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Texas A&M
          by 38
          68
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Texas A&M
          by 43 1/2
          63
          Dunkel Pick:
          Lamar
          (+43 1/2); Over

          Weber St @ Nevada


          Game 225-226
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Weber St
          74.409
          Nevada
          75.082
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Nevada
          by 1
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Nevada
          by 9
          51 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Weber St
          (+9); Over

          TCU @ Purdue


          Game 185-186
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          TCU
          91.812
          Purdue
          86.383
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          TCU
          by 5 1/2
          66
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          TCU
          by 2
          52 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          TCU
          (-2); Over

          Clemson @ Syracuse


          Game 187-188
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Clemson
          108.482
          Syracuse
          95.818
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Clemson
          by 12 1/2
          50
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Clemson
          by 28
          61
          Dunkel Pick:
          Syracuse
          (+28); Under

          Hawaii @ Washington


          Game 183-184
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Hawaii
          75.602
          Washington
          100.331
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Washington
          by 24 1/2
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington
          by 21 1/2
          59
          Dunkel Pick:
          Washington
          (-21 1/2); Over

          Florida State @ Virginia


          Game 189-190
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida State
          86.424
          Virginia
          87.232
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Virginia
          by 1
          53
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Virginia
          by 7 1/2
          56
          Dunkel Pick:
          Florida State
          (+7 1/2); Under

          SE Missouri St @ Missouri


          Game 227-228
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          SE Missouri St
          63.757
          Missouri
          103.588
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Missouri
          by 40
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Missouri
          by 34
          67
          Dunkel Pick:
          Missouri
          (-34); Under

          Texas Southern @ LA-Lafayette


          Game 229-230
          September 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas Southern
          29.283
          LA-Lafayette
          79.843
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          LA-Lafayette
          by 50 1/2
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          LA-Lafayette
          by 47
          75
          Dunkel Pick:
          LA-Lafayette
          (-47); Under

          San Diego St @ New Mexico St


          Game 127-128
          September 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          San Diego St
          82.106
          New Mexico St
          58.255
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          San Diego St
          by 24
          66
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          San Diego St
          by 16
          50 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          San Diego St
          (-16); Over

          Northern Illinois @ Nebraska


          Game 193-194
          September 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Northern Illinois
          79.303
          Nebraska
          87.178
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Nebraska
          by 8
          57
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Nebraska
          by 14
          54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Northern Illinois
          (+14); Over

          Texas @ Rice


          Game 195-196
          September 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas
          104.497
          Rice
          69.845
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Texas
          by 34 1/2
          46
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Texas
          by 31
          56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Texas
          (-31); Under

          Missouri St @ Tulane


          Game 233-234
          September 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Missouri St
          55.813
          Tulane
          82.833
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Tulane
          by 27
          56
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Tulane
          by 29
          55
          Dunkel Pick:
          Missouri St
          (+29); Over

          Portland St @ Boise State


          Game 235-236
          September 14, 2019 @ 10:15 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Portland St
          50.642
          Boise State
          92.898
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Boise State
          by 42
          42
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Boise State
          by 31 1/2
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Boise State
          (-31 1/2); Under

          Texas Tech @ Arizona


          Game 197-198
          September 14, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas Tech
          91.689
          Arizona
          81.681
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Texas Tech
          by 10
          52
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Texas Tech
          by 2
          74
          Dunkel Pick:
          Texas Tech
          (-2); Under

          Montana @ Oregon


          Game 237-238
          September 14, 2019 @ 10:45 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Montana
          65.447
          Oregon
          109.288
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Oregon
          by 44
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Oregon
          by 36
          65
          Dunkel Pick:
          Oregon
          (-36); Under
          Last edited by Udog; 09-11-2019, 12:27 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Week 3


            Friday’s games
            North Carolina-Wake Forest meet for first time since 2015; this isn’t an ACC conference game. Wake is 6-5 in last 11 series games; favorites covered three of last four. UNC lost 28-27/37-10 in last two visits here. Tar Heels won first two games this year by total of seven points; they’re 8-4 ATS in last dozen games as a road underdog. Wake Forest scored 41-38 points in winning its first two games; Deacons have already thrown for 713 yards, completing 74% of their passes. Under Clawson, Wake is 7-8 ATS as a HF.

            Kansas struggled in its first two games under Les Miles, nipping a I-AA team 24-17, then losing 12-7 to I-A newcomer Coastal Carolina LW; Jayhawks were outgained in both games. Kansas is minus-3 in turnovers this year; over last decade, they’re 17-31-2 ATS as a road underdog, 3-6 outside the Big X. Under Addazio, Boston College is 12-9 ATS as a home favorite; they’re 2-0 SU this year, upsetting Va Tech at home in their only I-A game. Last seven years, ACC teams are 9-7 ATS when playing a Big X opponent.

            Over last 6+ years, Houston is 11-1-1 ATS as an underdog, 3-0 at home; UH gave up 686 yards in its 49-31 (+22) loss at Oklahoma in their opener, then beat up on a I-AA team LW. Mobile QB King completed only completed 54.7% of his passes, but ran for 102 yards. Washington State beat up on a couple stiffs to start this season; their new QB has completed 81.1% of his passes. Coogs covered five of last seven games as a road favorite. Wazzu starts Pac-12 play vs UCLA next week. Last five years, AAC teams covered six of seven games when facing a Pac-12 opponent.

            Saturday’s top 13 games
            Kansas State (+8) got whacked 31-10 at home by Mississippi State LY; Bulldogs ran ball for 384 yards, TY was 538-213. K-State smacked couple of stiffs to begin season, running ball for 694 yards; last three years, KSU was 10-3 ATS as a road underdog. Wildcats” OL has 96 returning starts; their new coach comes from I-AA North Dakota State. MSU scored 38-38 points in winning its first two games, running ball for 471 yards; Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite. Last five years, SEC teams are 11-8 ATS when playing a Big X opponent.

            NC State beat up on couple of stiffs to start their season; they threw for 314 yards in a 34-6 win over ECU. Wolfpack has only 4 starters back on offense (32 returning starts on OL). Under Doeren, State is 9-5 ATS as a road favorite. West Virginia lost 38-7 at Mizzou LW, after struggling to beat a I-AA team 20-13 in their opener- they were outgained 328-294 by JMU. Last four years, Mountaineers are 0-2-1 as a home underdog. Last seven years, ACC teams are 9-7 ATS when playing a Big X opponent. Teams last met in 2010.

            Air Force spanked a I-AA team 48-7 in its only game so far; last four years, Falcons are 10-3-1 as a road underdog. Flyboys have seven starters back on both sides of ball- their OL has 47 returning starts. Colorado scored 86 points in winning its first two games, despite allowing 974 yards, 62 points. Buffs are 13-7 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite. So far this season, Mountain West teams are 7-2 ATS when getting points, 4-1 on road. Last three years, Mountain West teams are 15-12 ATS when playing a Pac-12 squad.

            Stanford gets QB Costello back here, but their OL is banged up; they scored total of only 37 points in splitting first two games. Cardinal allowed 377 PY to a freshman QB in its 45-20 loss at USC LW. Stanford is 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a road dog. Central Florida ran for 312 yards in a 48-14 win at FAU LW; Knights are 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 games as a HF. Last five years, AAC teams covered six of seven games when facing a Pac-12 opponent. Cardinal routed UCF 31-7 (-18.5) in only meeting, in 2015.

            Navy won its last three games with East Carolina, scoring 66-45-56 points; Middies ran ball for average of 469 ypg in those games. Average total in last five series games: 86.2. ECU lost its opener 34-6 at NC State, going up 314 PY; Pirates are 3-12-1 in last 16 games as a road dog. Navy beat up on a I-AA team in its opener; they’re 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite. Middies have a senior QB with 26 career starts. AAC teams are 9-5 ATS out of conference this year, 4-4 as an underdog.

            Sandwich game (Stanford/Utah) for USC, and first road start for Trojan frosh QB Slovis, who was 29-33/377 passing in his first college start LW. USC scored 31-45 points in winning its first two games; under Helton, they’re 8-8 SU on road, 6-3 ATS as a road favorite. BYU upset Tennessee LW after getting smoked 30-12 by rival Utah; Cougars gave up 256-242 RY in the two games. Under Sitake, Cougars are 0-4-1 as home underdogs. Teams haven’t met since 2004. So far this season, Pac-12 teams are 5-4 ATS when laying points out of conference.

            Iowa won its last four games with Iowa State (3-0-1 ATS) by average score of 32-16; they won last three visits to Ames, by 3-14-6 points. Favorites are 6-3-1 ATS in last ten series games. Iowa won its first two games by combined score of 68-14, winning Big 14 opener 30-0 LW. Over last six years, Hawkeyes are 15-2-1 as a road favorite. Cyclones needed OT to get past I-AA Northern Iowa 29-26 in their opener (outgained UNI 463-262). Under Campbell, ISU is 7-3-1 as a home underdog. Last seven years, Big X teams are 13-12 ATS when playing a Big 14 team.

            Arizona State (+5.5) upset Michigan State 16-13 in desert LY, throwing for 380 yards, but ASU has a true freshman QB playing now- first road start for him. Sun Devils struggled to beat a I-AA team 19-7 LW, after beating Kent State 30-7 in their opener. ASU is 5-2-1 in last eight tries as a road dog. Michigan State won its first two games by combined 79-24; they’re 9-14 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite, 1-1 this year. Last 6+ years, Big 14 teams are 23-14-1 ATS when playing a Pac-12 team, 1-4-1 the last 1+ years.

            Kentucky QB Wilson is out for season after hurting his left knee last week; Wildcats snapped a 21-game losing skid to Florida LY, upsetting Gators 27-16 (+13.5). Florida won its last 11 visits to Lexington, covering five of last six. Gators beat Miami 24-20 in its opener, then crushed a I-AA team LW; Florida covered seven of its last 10 tries as a road favorite. Kentucky beat couple of MAC teams by 14-21 points to open season; new QB Smith started 7 games at Troy State LY. Wildcats are 4-12-2 ATS in last 18 games as a home underdog.

            TCU whacked a I-AA team to start the season, using two QB’s; Horned Frogs have all five starters back on OL (75 starts). Since 2011, TCU is 9-16 ATS as a road favorite. Purdue’s leading tackler is out; their QB had a concussion LW, is a ??? here. Boilers lost 34-31 at Nevada, then beat Vandy 42-24 LW. Purdue threw ball for 932 yards in two games, ran it for only 127. Under Brohm, Boilers are 3-1 as a home underdog. Last five years, Big X teams are 9-7-1 ATS when playing a Big 14 opponent.

            Florida State won 11 of last 13 games vs Virginia, winning five of last six visits here (4-2 ATS); Seminoles were favored in all 13 games. Teams last met in 2014; Cavaliers are 5-3 ATS in last eight meetings. FSU lost 36-31 at home to Boise, then snuck by ULM 45-44, not a great start; Last 2+ years, Seminoles are 3-6 ATS as an underdog. Virginia won its opener 30-14 at Pitt, then whacked a I-AA team LW; under Mendenhall, Cavaliers are 5-5 ATS as home favorites. FSU is 13-14 SU in its last 27 games, after going 49-6 in the four years before that.

            Oklahoma (-29) hammered UCLA 49-21 LY, throwing for 306 yards, outgaining Bruins by 102 yards. Under Riley, Sooners are 2-4-1 as road faves, 5-3 ATS outside Big X- they beat Houston 49-31 in their opener, giving up 241 RY. UCLA is 0-2, losing 24-14 to Cincy, 23-14 to San Diego State; they’ve run ball for only 124 yards, and have -4 turnover ratio. Last six years, Bruins are 2-7 ATS as a home underdog. Last 8+ years, Big X teams are 17-11-1 ATS when playing a Pac-12 squad. Last 25 times Oklahoma was a road favorite, game went over the total 22 times.

            Texas Tech beat a couple of stiffs to start its season; Red Raiders have a new coach, are 1-4 ATS in last five games as a road favorite. Tech has an OL with 115 returning starts, and a soph QB who started 7 games LY. Arizona allowed 86 points, 1,037 TY in its first two games; they lost 45-38 at Hawai’i, routed NAU 65-41 LW, giving up 373 PY. Since 2012, Wildcats are 12-7 ATS as a home underdog. Arizona is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 non-conference games. Last 8+ years, Big X teams are 17-11-1 ATS when playing a Pac-12 squad.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-12-2019, 01:35 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              Betting Recap - Week 2
              Joe Williams

              College Football Week 2 Results

              WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
              Straight Up 67-7
              Against the Spread 36-35-3

              WAGER Home-Away
              Straight Up 58-16
              Against the Spread 35-36-3

              WAGER Totals (O/U)
              Over-Under 38-36

              YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
              Straight Up 147-16
              Against the Spread 77-81-5

              YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
              Straight Up 128-31
              Against the Spread 74-80-5

              YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
              Over-Under 77-85-2

              The largest underdogs to win straight up
              California (+13.5, ML +450) at Washington, 20-19
              Western Kentucky (+8, ML +260) at FIU, 20-14
              San Diego State (+7.5, ML +260) at UCLA, 23-14
              Coastal Carolina (+7, ML +240) at Kansas, 12-7
              North Carolina (+5, ML +180) vs. Miami-FL, 28-25

              The largest favorites to cover
              Oklahoma (-46.5) vs. South Dakota, 70-14
              Oklahoma State (-41.5) vs. McNeese, 56-14
              South Carolina (-36) vs. Charleston Souther, 72-10
              Indiana (-35.5) vs. Eastern Illinois, 52-0
              Wisconsin (-35) vs. Central Michigan, 61-0

              AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)

              -- Connecticut fell 31-23 to Illinois as 21-point underdogs at home, comfortably covering. They're 1-1 SU/ATS as the 'under' has connected in each of their first two outings. ... South Florida lost 14-10 at Georgia Tech, slipping to 0-2 SU while earning their first cover. The 'under' is also 2-0, as the Bulls have managed a total of just 10 points through two outings. ... SMU posted the 49-27 victory over North Texas to move to 2-0 SU/ATS with the 'over' also at 2-0. The Mustangs are average 43.0 points per game (PPG) while allowed 28.5 PPG. ... Memphis moved to 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS with a win and non-cover against FCS Southern. The 'over' also cashed after a low-scoring 15-10 victory in Week 1.

              ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)

              -- Boston College posted a 45-13 win over FCS Richmond in a game which involved a 'bad beat' (see below) concerning the total. ... Virginia Tech rebounded with a 31-17 win over Old Dominion, exacting a little revenge after losing in Norfolk to the Monarchs last season. ... Clemson passed their first early-season test, dropping Texas A&M in Death Valley by a 24-10 score in an 'under' result. ... Florida State was forced to overtime against Louisiana-Monroe of the Sun Belt. The Warhawks kicked missed the extra point in overtime, as FSU escaped 45-44. The Seminoles are 1-1 SU/0-2 ATS to date, with the 'over' going 2-0. ... North Carolina have moved to 2-0 SU/ATS under Mack Brown, pushing aside Miami-Florida by a 28-25 count at Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill. The Hurricanes are now 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS.

              BIG TEN

              -- Ohio State blasted Cincinnati by a 42-0 count, covering for the first time after failing to do so in the opener. ... Minnesota won in late-night action at Fresno State, surviving by a 38-35 count in double-overtime. The Gophers converted on fourth and long to score a late touchdown to force overtime, and then they registered an interception in the end zone by Antoine Winfield Jr. to move to 2-0 SU/0-2 ATS. ... Indiana routed FCS Eastern Illinois by a 52-0 count, covering a big number. They will host the Buckeyes next Saturday at 'The Rock'. ... Michigan State struggled on offense in Week 1, but they righted the ship in a 51-17 win over Western Michigan, evening their ATS mark at 1-1. ... Rutgers was dumped 30-0 at Iowa in their Big Ten opener. After throwing up 48 in their opener, the Scarlet Knights were completely different on offense in this one. Rutgers has allowed 25.5 PPG through two contests. ... Michigan was pushed to the test at the Big House against Army, needing overtime before escaping with the win. That's 0-2 ATS for the Wolverines to start. Army has locked it down on defense, allowing just 15.5 PPG for a pair of unders.

              BIG 12

              -- Kansas State pounded Bowling Green in a 52-0 shutout, covering the 25-point number. The Wildcats haven't exactly had much resistance through two games, but they're 2-0 SU/ATS just the same. ... Kansas won their opener, kicking off the Les Miles era in style, but they fell at home in Game 2 to Coastal Carolina of the Sun Belt. The Jayhawks are 0-2 ATS through two outings and the 'under' has connected in each outing, too. ... Texas dropped LSU in Austin by a 45-38 count. If you were laying the 6 1/2 with LSU, you were loving life when they converted a two-point conversion with just over two minutes to go, pushing their lead to 14. Texas scored late, but misfired on the onside kick to fail to cover.

              CONFERENCE USA

              -- Charlotte picked up the cover in a 56-41 road loss at Appalachian State. The 'over' has connected in each of the first two for the 49ers, as they're averaging 45.0 PPG on offense and allowed 42.0 PPG on defense. ... Alabama-Birmingham posted a 31-20 road win against Akron on the road. A touchdown by the Zips with 4:42 to go flipped the total from an 'under' to an 'over'. The Blazers are 2-0 SU, but 1-1 ATS with the total 1-1. ... Rice scored a late touchdown in a 41-21 loss to Wake Forest scored a late touchdown with 1:51 to go, helped out by sloppy tackling by the Demon Deacons and a screen from the umpire, helping the Owls push at most shops at +20. The late touchdown also flipped the total from 'under' to 'over'.

              MID-AMERICAN (MAC)

              -- Kent State survived by a 26-23 score against FCS Kennesaw State. It looks like a low-quality win, but the Owls from Kennesaw, Ga. are actually a Top 15 team in the FCS rankings. ... Ball State roughed up their FCS foe, topping Fordham by a 57-29 score, although they failed to cover the 29 1/2-point number. They're 1-1 SU/ATS, with FAU on the horizon next week. The Cardinals are averaging 35.5 PPG while allowed 31.5 PPG. ... Eastern Michigan fell at Kentucky, slipping to 1-1 SU/ATS, both on the road. If the Eagles are to be successfull, they'll need better D. They're allowing 30.5 PPG through two outings. ... Northern Illinois fell at Utah, 35-17, although they were able to cover for the second time in as many weeks.

              MOUNTAIN WEST

              -- Boise State won a defensive slog on the Smurf Turf on Friday night, slipping by Marshall by a 14-7 score. The Broncos were much better defensively after their opening-game win at FSU. ... San Diego State improved to 2-0 with a road win against UCLA, 23-14. The Aztecs have had it on lockdown defensively, allowing just 7.0 PPG through two games while averaging 14.5 PPG. As such, the 'under' has easily hit in each of their two outings. ... Wyoming posted a 23-14 road win at Texas State, 23-14. It wasn't pretty, but they moved to 2-0 SU/ATS. ... Hawaii is now 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS in their two games so far, both against Pac-12 foes. They edged Oregon State 31-28, failing to cover a 6 1/2-point number. They hit the road for Washington next week in their first visit to the mainland, and third game in as many weeks against the Pac-12.

              PAC-12

              -- Oregon blasted Nevada by a 77-6 score, rebounding after their crumbling against Auburn last week. The Wolf Pack slipped to 1-7 all-time against the Ducks, and this was the second time they had a 70-burger hung on their by UO. Oregon also won 72-10 against Nevada at Autzen Stadium back in 1999. ... California and Washington had to endure a lengthy and rare lightning delay in Seattle. For the Bears it was worth the wait. They pulled off the 20-19 victory, dealing the Huskies a likely death blow to their playoff chances. Sure, a lot of things can happen, but the Pac-12 doesn't need any more of a challenge. ... USC posted a 45-20 win against Stanford in a battle between backup QBs. True freshman Kedon Slovis was the truth, posting very efficient numbers. K.J. Costello was out with a concussion, so Davis Mills was under center. The Cardinal hung in there until half, trailing 24-20. The 'over' was already in the bag by then, but Stanford was blanked in the second half.

              SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)

              -- Mississippi State pushed past Southern Miss of Conference USA, 38-15, as they covered the 16 1/2-point number. The Bulldogs have been consistent, notching 38 points in each of their games. As such, the 'over' has connected in each outing. ... Auburn had a bit of a hangover against Tulane, 24-6. Perhaps they were terribly impressive on offense, but they're 2-0 SU/ATS, and the 'under' has hit in each of the battles. They get Kent State next week on the Plains. ... Mississippi won 31-17 against Arkansas, as they are allowed just 16.0 PPG. The 'under' has hit in each of the two games for the Rebels. They get FCS Southeast Louisiana next week in Oxford. ... South Carolina bounced back after last week's setback on a neutral field against UNC, topping FCS Charleston Southern by a 72-10 score as 36-point favorites.

              SUN BELT

              -- Georgia State moved to 2-0 SU and 1-0-1 ATS with a narrow 48-42 win over FCS Furman, a Top 10 team in the FCS rankings. Their unblemished record will be put to the test again next week at Western Michigan of the MAC. ... Georgia Southern picked up a 26-18 win over FCS Maine, bouncing back from a thrashing at the hands of LSU last week. The Eagles are 0-2 ATS so far, though. ... Arkansas State were very rude guests at UNLV, winning 43-17 to bounce back from a loss to SMU last week. The Red Wolves offense is clicking, averaging 36.5 PPG while allowed 27.0 PPG. Next up is a trip to Georgia. Ouch.

              Bad Beats

              -- Nebraska fell 34-31 at Colorado in overtime. The total was 63.5, and there were 48 points on the board with 5:49 to go until the Cornhuskers scored to take a 31-24 lead. With Nebraska covering a 4 1/2-point number, Colorado was able to score a touchdown with just :46 to go in regulation, tying it at 31-31. They eliminated a winning ticket for 'under' bettors, too. The Buffs posted a field goal in overtime to clinch the win and cover.

              -- In the BYU-Tennessee game, it appeared the Vols had it in the bag, but the Cougars moved it down the field for a game-tying field goal with :01 in regulation, tying it 16-16. With a total of 51.5, under bettors still had some wiggle room. But both teams exchanged touchdowns to make it 23-23. A field goal by Tennessee made it 26-23, so a defensive stand would clinch an under. No dice, as BYU pushed in for a game-winning touchdow to make it 29-26. The over cashed, and anyone who took the Vols on the moneyline, or bought a half-point or point on Tennessee were none too pleased, either, as the D could not hang on for a win and cover.

              -- With a total of 56, Boston College led FCS Richmond by a 45-10 score late into the fourth quarter. Inexplicably, the Spiders kicked a meaningless 45-yard field goal with just :12 left in regulation to make it 45-13. Why? Under bettors couldn't believe their misfortune after going 15:09 with no points for what should've been a win.

              -- In the USM-Mississippi State game, the total was 51. The Bulldogs led 31-7 midway through the fourth quarter before the Golden Eagles scored a 65-yard touchdown and two-point conversion to make it 31-15. With 2:20 left, Mississippi State cracked off a 22-yard touchdown run to pick up the 38-15 win, pushing the total over with that meaningless touchdown. It might not be a definition bad beat, but that touchdown flipped both the line and the total.

              Comment


              • #8
                4th Quarter Covers - Week 2
                Joe Nelson

                Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the second big weekend of the college football season. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

                Wake Forest (-20) 41, Rice 21:
                This Friday night spread eventually hit -20 for the Demon Deacons who were caught in a 14-14 tie after the first quarter. Rice wouldn’t score again until the final two minutes of the game, but that score cut the margin from 27 to 20 to give the Owls a push for many on the closing number.

                Boise State (-14) 14, Marshall 7:
                While the Broncos were never past this spread Friday night as Marshall scored first, they were a serious threat to beat the number in the closing seconds. Boise State had a dominant yardage edge in the game, but Marshall had the ball with a chance to tie halfway through the fourth. An interception quickly gave the Broncos the ball back and Boise State led a 15-play drive to run the rest of the remaining clock, with those on the favorite not getting the breakthrough rush they needed with Boise State eventually taking a knee inside the 10-yard-line.

                Georgia Tech (-4½) 14, South Florida 10:
                After a disastrous showing in the opener vs. Wisconsin, South Florida did find the scoreboard first in this game with an early field goal. Georgia Tech would take over from there with two second quarter scores to lead by 11. Both teams had productive drives that came up empty in the third quarter and as Georgia Tech looked to put the game away South Florida picked up an interception to stay in the game. The Bulls slipped within the spread with an early fourth quarter score and appeared poised to take the lead after getting the ball back off another turnover. Facing 3rd-and-goal at the 1-yard-line, South Florida fumbled away its chance to go-ahead as the Yellow Jackets got the win but didn’t add points to get past the spread.

                Colorado (+4) 34, Nebraska 31:
                A close call didn’t seem likely for Nebraska is this old Big 8 rivalry with a 17-0 halftime lead. Colorado didn’t score until late in the third quarter but struck again with a 96-yard pass play to climb within three early in the fourth quarter. It was back-and-forth from there with 38 combined fourth quarter points including Colorado tying the game with a 26-yard touchdown pass in the final minute. The Buffaloes went first in overtime and settled for a field goal while Nebraska lost seven yards on a 3rd down sack and wound up missing from 48 for a second straight difficult loss in this series.

                Clemson (-14½) 24, Texas A&M 10:
                The defending national champions didn’t score until nearly 20 minutes into this game but wound up leading by 14 at halftime. The third quarter featured more defense until the Tigers completed a quick 83-yard touchdown drive to lead by 21. Texas A&M had a golden opportunity to score in the fourth quarter, but wound up intercepted at the 1-yard-line. It looked like Clemson would add another score to seal the favorite cover but Trevor Lawrence was also picked off near the end zone to halt a productive drive. Down three touchdowns, the Aggies only had five minutes to work with but they put together a quality drive and eventually the spread result boiled down to a 4th-and-goal play at the Clemson 2-yard-line with 10 seconds on the clock. Kellen Mond hit Jalen Wydermyer for the score, meaningless to the outcome and the national picture, but a huge swing play for many in one of the marquee non-conference games of the season.

                Alabama (-55) 62, New Mexico State:
                A 55-point spread seems outrageous regardless of the competition but Alabama wound up leading 38-0 at the half and had the margin to the 55-point mark through three quarters after answering a New Mexico State touchdown with 17 points in the final four minutes of the third quarter. Both teams had 3-and-out possessions to start the fourth before the Aggies broke through with a few decent gains after starting in good field position and nailed a 43-yard field goal that proved to be the difference in the game.

                Wyoming (-7½) 23, Texas State 14:
                Home underdog Texas State led 14-3 early and dominated the box score in this game. Wyoming managed to climb to within a point in the third quarter and then disaster struck for the Bobcats on a potential scoring drive with interception returned the other way for a 72-yard touchdown, suddenly putting Wyoming in front. Down six, the Texas State defense stepped up to hold Wyoming to a 19-yard field goal from 1st-and-goal from the 2-yard-line, but that kick put Wyoming past the road favorite spread with about 10 minutes to go. After an exchange of punts, Texas State appeared to give itself a shot at the comeback but a field goal was missed with three minutes remaining. Down nine in the final seconds, the outcome was set, but Texas State would get a final play from the Wyoming 6-yard-line with the spread result on the line but the Cowboys got the stop and turned in a second straight win despite losing badly in total yardage for a second straight week.

                BYU (+3½) 29, Tennessee 26:
                The Volunteers program has had plenty of low moments in the last decade but the start of the 2019 season is certain to join that growing list. The Volunteers led 13-3 at the half, settling for a pair of second quarter field goals. BYU would score in the third, but Tennessee still led 16-10 early in the fourth and then 16-13 much later in the game. The game appeared over as BYU was pinned at its own 8-yard-line facing 2nd-and-18 in the final minute but incredibly struck for a 65-yard completion and managed to spike the ball to stop the clock in time to get off and make the tying field goal. The Volunteers would have pushed or lost on most spreads as the real losers in overtime proved to be those on the ‘under’ as both teams scored touchdowns in the first session. Tennessee settled for three in round two and BYU needed only three plays to hand Tennessee a second straight home loss with a stunning comeback win.

                Kentucky (-15) 38, Eastern Michigan 17:
                Kentucky was in control most of the way against Eastern Michigan but led by 14 through three quarters in a game where they had only a 76 yard edge in total production. Early in the fourth, Kentucky connected for a 54-yard touchdown pass from Sawyer Smith on his first throw after Terry Wilson was injured on a vicious horse collar tackle. Mark Stoops didn’t forget that play with his offense passing three times on a late Kentucky drive including on 1st down in the final minute when the Wildcats could have taken a knee to end the game. That throw resulted in a spread swinging touchdown, though Stoops is fortunate he didn’t lose another player to a senseless injury on an unnecessary play. Spread result justice was nearly served as Mike Glass drove the Eagles down to the Kentucky 10 in the final seconds, but couldn’t connect in the end zone.

                North Carolina (+4) 28, Miami, FL 25:
                The Tar Heels had a hot start with a few big plays to lead 17-3 early, but Miami proved to be the stronger squad posting 99 more yards in the game. The Hurricanes went up 25-20 in the fourth quarter but failed on the two-point conversion try. The Miami defense seemed ready to wrap up the game, but North Carolina converted a 4th-and-17 and eventually went ahead with a touchdown with a minute remaining. The two-point conversion put the Heels up three but Miami quickly went down the field as overtime looked likely if not a win in regulation for Miami. The drive stalled and kicker Bubba Baxa had his third missed kick of the day leaving seven points on the field in addition to Miami failing on a 4th-and-1 in the red zone in the third quarter for a tough luck 0-2 start for the Hurricanes.

                LSU (-6½) 45, Texas 38:
                The Saturday night showcase game lived up its billing with an exciting display of offense. Texas trimmed LSU’s lead to 23-21 entering the fourth quarter but it didn’t take long for LSU to climb back up by nine. The teams exchanged scores again in quick order before Texas stalled and settled for a field goal to cut the margin to six points with four minutes to go, a significant figure with a spread that hovered near that margin all week. Texas had a chance to get the stop it needed for a shot at the upset, but on 3rd-and-17 Joe Burrow hit Justin Jefferson for 61 yards and LSU added the two-point conversion, ending hopes for the underdog with a 14-point margin. Texas would score in the final seconds but the road favorite escaped with the win and cover.

                Auburn (-16) 24, Tulane 6:
                Tulane was a popular underdog with a spread that was as high as +18½ upon its release. Auburn led by eight late in the third quarter before completing a long drive to lead 21-6. The Tigers added a field goal in the fourth quarter before a Tulane opportunity near midfield fell short. Auburn would fumble two plays later to give Green Wave backers a miracle opportunity with the ball at the Auburn 36 but Tulane only advanced a few more yards and again fell short on 4th down.

                Texas Tech (-35) 38, UTEP 3:
                The Red Raiders led 21-0 at halftime and 31-0 through three quarters. Adding a touchdown early in the fourth, Texas Tech was past the number at 38-0. UTEP was intercepted on the second play of its next drive, but offsides gave the ball back and Miners wound up nearly doubling its game production by getting in position for a shutout-spoiling field goal with about five minutes to go, while also spoiling the big favorite cover for many as well.

                Penn State (-31½) 45, Buffalo 13:
                You’ll do a double-take when pulling up the box score on this game as despite slipping by the heavy favorite spread with a 32-point win, Penn State was out-gained 429-357 and had only 14 first downs. A pick-six in the third quarter put the Lions in front after actually trailing 10-7 at the half while a big punt return aided by a penalty helped Penn State quickly score again to suddenly lead 21-10. Buffalo added a field goal in the third to sit down by eight and seemingly well within a safe range for the underdog cover, but Penn State scored two more touchdowns in the final seven minutes of the third and added an early fourth quarter field goal to lead by 25. Buffalo then reached the Penn State 25-yard-line but failed on 4th-and-2 and with three minutes to go and a significant lead, James Franklin called back-to-back pass plays, the second of which resulted in a 56-yard touchdown that put Penn State ahead by 32 and was actually the longest scoring drive of the game for the Lions. Buffalo reached the Penn State 35-yard-line on its final possession, but again couldn’t convert on 4th-and-short as Bulls backers had a puzzling loss given a nearly 3:1 time of possession edge for the heavy underdog.

                Minnesota (-3) 38, Fresno State 35:
                These teams have had exciting games the past two years with nearly identical results. Minnesota trailed 21-14 through three quarters and still 28-21 as the fourth quarter clock ticked down. On 4th-and-13, Tanner Morgan hit Chris Autman-Bell in the corner of the end zone, and he barely snuck a toe in for the tying score. In overtime, Fresno State benefitted from a 3rd down roughing the passer call and found the end zone on the next play, but Minnesota needed only three plays to answer. Going first in round two, Minnesota had to settle for a field goal to sit even with the common road favorite spread. Jorge Reyna took a shot at the end zone for the win on first down and he was intercepted by Austin Winfield, who sealed last season’s win for the Gophers with an interception in the end zone as well.
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-09-2019, 12:56 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Hot & Not Report - Week 3
                  Matt Blunt

                  Last week's piece brought some positive results from the first week of NFL action, as divisional underdogs have gone 3-1 against the spread (2-2 straight up) so far with Monday's Denver/Oakland game still pending (with Oakland now the underdog), while the lone home team (Seattle) to host a non-conference foe barely squeaked out a SU win and never came close to covering the spread. Monday's got a game still to go in that scenario as well with New Orleans hosting Houston, but a 4-1 ATS record to start from last week's identified spots is not bad at all.

                  Yet, this week I am shifting over to the collegiate game, as they've got two full weeks of results already in the books and with full blown conference play just around the corner, this next week or two is the last time we'll have to break down a slew of non-conference games and the generally large spreads that come with a lot of them.

                  But so far this year we've seen two specific scenarios that can hopefully continue to be profitable this upcoming week, so let's get right to outlining them now.

                  Who's Hot

                  Backing 'Overs' on Power Five Conference teams after scoring 50 or more points; 7-1 O/U run so far


                  September is when you get a lot of 'cupcake' games for teams coming from the big Power Five conference schools as they pad their record and give their players some confidence before the meat of the schedule begins, so seeing 50+ points put up by numerous teams isn't that unheard of.

                  But contrary to what tends to happen say, with NFL teams after they put up 40+ (unders tend to be the way to go the following week there – keep that in mind for a few games in Week 2), these collegiate teams are fanning the flames of their offense all week long to keep that unit hot and put up another 'over' the following week.

                  Pac-12 teams Colorado and Washington State both scored 50+ in Week 1 and followed it up with 'over' tickets cashing in Week 2, Big 12 teams Oklahoma State and Baylor did the same thing, as did Big 10 teams Maryland and Penn State. The SEC wasn't about to get left behind either as LSU easily cashed an 'over' ticket against Texas after scoring 55 in their season opener.

                  The one Power Five team that failed to cash an 'over' ticket after scoring 50+ were the #1 ranked Clemson Tigers out of the ACC, as their game with ranked Texas A&M never came close to threatening the 'over'. Yet, at the same time, you could see that coming given the quality of competition on the field, whereas most of the other seven teams listed, had games against mediocre to good squads where defense isn't really a priority.

                  That 7-1 O/U record for teams in this spot could essentailly be nothing more than random variance combined with the notion that these strong offensive-minded programs would just prefer to play (and hopefully win) games that have both teams in the 30's and 40's if not blow a team out entirely. But what makes this scenario so interesting, at least for this week, is the fact that there are 15 different teams 'live' in it for their next game, after Week 2 saw plenty of them blowout much weaker competition.

                  The ACC comes in with the fewest teams once again as only Virginia is alive here after a 52-17 win over William & Mary. They've got a home game against Florida State up next which is a step up in competition level, but it's not like the Seminoles have looked good at all.

                  The leaders of this group are the Big 12 and Big 10 with four teams 'live' in this spot upcoming, as the Big 12 has Kansas State (@ Mississippi State), Oklahoma State (@ Tulsa), Oklahoma (@ UCLA) this weekend, with the Baylor Bears getting a week off before they try to add another 'over' to this result.

                  The teams from the Big 10 this week are Michigan State (vs Arizona State), Maryland, again, (@ Temple – who's off their own 50+ effort prior to getting a bye in Week 2), and Indiana (vs Ohio State), while like Baylor, the Wisconsin Badgers are hoping a week of rest doesn't cool off their offense that much.

                  SEC teams Alabama and South Carolina are both live in this scenario and play one another in South Carolina on Saturday, while Georgia hosts Arkansas State in what should be another easy victory for the Bulldogs.

                  And finally, the Pac-12 has Oregon (vs Montana), Arizona (vs Texas Tech), and Washington State (vs Houston) all apart of this scenario as well.

                  That's a lot of games to get through and there is little chance the 'over' continues to cash at the 87% clip it has so far, but digging deeper into some of those 15 contests and siding with the high side of the totals when they eventually come out in the next 24 hours or so could help you get the best of the number and hopefully get you to the payout window as well.


                  Who's Not

                  Backing Independent teams Against the Spread – 3-8 ATS


                  Since conference alignment is a bit of a theme this week, the teams with no affiliation to any conference have proven to be the worst bet in all of football so far this year. At 3-8 ATS, no conference is worse at cashing tickets then what the Independent teams have done so far.

                  And while it's true to say that the Independents are a small six-team “division” and would have fewer ATS wins on sheer numbers alone compared to the rest of the country that's got 10+ teams in a conference, only one division in all of conference football – the MAC East at 3-9 ATS – is comparable in terms of burning tickets. However, when you take a closer look at the three ATS wins from these Independents, you'll see that there is a case to be made that at least two of them were “gifted” to these Independent teams.

                  The first of those ATS wins that can be considered a gift was New Mexico State's cover as 55-point underdogs at Alabama. There wasn't a whole lot that the Aggies did themselves to earn that cover other then run the ball and sustain a few drives to keep the clock moving, as the 62-10 defeat was a point spread cover coming from the huge line alone.

                  The second of those 'gifts' for these Independents was BYU win over Tennessee, as right now just playing Tennessee appears to be a gift for the opponent. The Volunteers had an epic collapse in that game – punctuated by allowing a 60-yard pass in the dying seconds to give BYU a chance at a tying FG – and while BYU definitely did more then say New Mexico State to earn that ATS victory, anyone playing Tennessee right now has got to be the side you lean on.

                  Finally, the third ATS win for these Independents came from Army's near upset in Michigan on Saturday, and while that's not in the “gift” realm, had Michigan been able to hold onto the ball (three lost fumbles) and a fumble recovery TD for Michigan been properly called (if it was allowed to be reviewed or not) who knows how that game could have ultimately turned out. It probably won't have been near the sweat it was for Michigan fans, but covering the 20+ still might have been a stretch.

                  Regardless, these Independent teams are not ones that exactly ooze confidence in the betting markets right now, and with two of them – Notre Dame and Army – laying double-digit chalk at open this week, and two others – Massachusetts and New Mexico State - catching double-digit points on Saturday, it could be another rough weekend against the spread for these programs.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Tech Trends - Week 3
                    Bruce Marshall

                    Friday, Sept. 13

                    Matchup Skinny
                    Edge

                    NORTH CAROLINA at WAKE FOREST
                    ...UNC 8-3 last eleven as dog. Heels 12-7 vs. points last 19 away from Chapel Hill. Deacs 1-7 vs. line last 8 at home, no covers last five as ACC host.
                    North Carolina, based on team trends.


                    KANSAS at BOSTON COLLEGE
                    ...KU was 5-3 as DD dog LY for Beaty. BC now 9-3-1 vs. spread at Chestnut Hill since 2017.
                    Boston College, based on team trends.


                    WASHINGTON STATE at HOUSTON
                    ...The only role that worked for UH under Applewhite was home chalk (8-4). Leach on 34-20 spread run since 2015, 22-10 vs. points as visitor since 2013.
                    Washington State, based on Leach trends.


                    Saturday, Sept. 14

                    Matchup Skinny
                    Edge

                    OHIO STATE at INDIANA
                    ...In a stunner, Urban Meyer was just 1-6 vs. points against IU, and Hoosiers have also covered 7 of last 8 in series. Buckeyes just 2-6 vs. line away from Big Horseshoe LY. Though Hoosiers only 2-5 as home dog under Tom Allen.
                    Slight to Indiana, based on series trends.


                    KANSAS STATE at MISSISSIPPI STATE
                    ...Klieman first road game with KSU. Bill Snyder maintained good dog marks thru end of his career, as Cats 15-5 getting points the past three seasons. Moorhead was 5-1 as Starkville chalk LY and did win 31-10 at Manhattan.
                    -slight to Kansas State, based on team trends.


                    NC STATE at WEST VIRGINIA
                    ...WVU closed the Holgorsen years 5-2-1 last 8 vs. line at Morgantown. NCS just 4-6 vs. spread last 10 non-ACC for Doeren.
                    Slight to West Virginia, based on team trends.


                    MARYLAND at TEMPLE
                    ...Terps were 0-4 as road dog last year for Matt Canada, but now 2-0 vs. line for Locksley. Owls won at Md a year ago and now on 15-7-1 spread run since mid 2017 (1-0 for Carey).
                    Slight to Temple, based on team trends.


                    MIAMI-OHIO at CINCINNATI
                    ...In this long rivalry, Cincy has now won 13 in a row SU, though Miami has covered 4 of last 6 meetings. Red Hawks have now failed to cover their last seven non-MAC games. Luke Fickell 5-2 vs. line as Nippert chalk since LY.
                    Cincy, based on team trends.


                    PITTSBURGH at PENN STATE
                    ...Narduzzi 12-6 as visiting dog with Pitt since 2015. Road team has covered last three years in series. James Franklin 4-6 vs. line last 9 as DD chalk vs. FBS foes.
                    Pitt, based on team trends.


                    EASTERN MICHIGAN at ILLINOIS
                    ...EMU righteous 19-5 vs. line last 24 away from Ypsilanti, 15-2 last 17 as dog away from Rynearson Stadium. Lovie 3-4 as home chalk with Illini, 7-11 vs. line at Champaign-Urbana.
                    Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.


                    ARKANSAS STATE at GEORGIA
                    ...Red Wolves only 4-6 as visiting dog since 2015. Though Kirby Smart only 11-11 laying DDs with Dawgs since 2016.
                    Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.


                    AIR FORCE at COLORADO
                    ...First meeting since 1974! Calhoun 17-8-1 as dog since 2014, 10-3-1 last 14 as visiting dog. Buffs 4-10 vs. spread last 13 at Boulder.
                    Air Force, based on team trends.


                    SAN DIEGO STATE at NEW MEXICO STATE
                    ...NMSU on 4-13 reg season spread skid since late 2017, and just 3-8 last ten as dog. Also 2-6 last eight vs. points at Las Cruces.
                    San Diego State, based on NMSU negatives.


                    FAU at BALL STATE
                    ...Lane Kiffin was just 1-6-1 as chalk in 2018 after 9-2 mark in role the previous year. But Ball State just 2-6 as Muncie dog for Mike Neu since 2016.
                    Slight to FAU, based on team trends.


                    NEW MEXICO at NOTRE DAME
                    ...UNM as cooled considerably, now on 8-18 spread skid. Though Lobos have lately had more trouble as chalk (3-12 since 2016) than as dog (11-11 that span). Irish just 7-10 vs. spread at South Bend since 2016 and are 2-6-1 laying DD since last season.
                    Slight to Notre Dame, based on team trends.


                    AKRON at CENTRAL MICHIGAN
                    ... Akron on 5-10 spread skid (0-2 for Arth). Zips 1-5 vs. spread last 6 as MAC visitor. McElwain teams now 17-11 as home chalk since 2012 with CSU (1-0 with CMU), though Chips 0-4 vs. line as home chalk for Bonamego LY.
                    Slight to Central Michigan, based on team trends.


                    STANFORD at UCF
                    ...David Shaw 13-6-1 as dog since 2011, also 5-2 vs. spread as visitor since LY. UCF 10-4 vs. line for Heupel since LY, now 17-8-1 vs. points since 2017.
                    Slight to UCF, based on team trends.


                    ALABAMA at SOUTH CAROLINA
                    ...Last time Saban played at Williams-Brice he lost to Spurrier 35-21 in 2010. Muschamp 10-3 as dog since 2017, though only 2-3 as Columbia dog that span. Saban 10-5 as visiting chalk since 2015, now 12-3 last 15 vs. points as SEC visitor.
                    Alabama, based on team trends.


                    EAST CAROLINA at NAVY
                    ...ECU continues to skid, now 10-26-1 vs. line since 2016 (0-1 for Mike Houston). Pirates just 3-12-1 as road dog that span. Navy has covered five in a row overall since late in 2018.
                    Navy, based on ECU negatives.


                    ARMY at UTSA
                    ...Army 8-1 vs. line last 9 away from Michie, though only 7-9 as chalk since 2017. UTSA just 3-9 vs. spread at Alamodome since 2017.
                    Slight to Army, based on team trends.


                    USC at BYU
                    ...Clay Helton on 9-20 spread skid last 29 on board, though he is 6-3 as visiting chalk since 2016. Cougs 0-4-1 as home dog for Sitake since 2016 but are 14-6 last 20 overall vs. line.
                    BYU, based on recent trends.


                    GEORGIA SOUTHERN at MINNESOTA
                    ...GSU 12-7-1 vs. line and 5-2 as dog since Lunsford too
                    Slight to Georgia Southern, based on team trends.


                    UNLV at NORTHWESTERN
                    ...Sanchez 14-7 as visiting dog with Rebs since 2015, 4-0 vs. spread visiting Power 5 schools. As DD dog, UNLV 8-4 since 2016. NU 0-4 as Evanston chalk LY, 10-17 in role since 2013. Also just 2-6 last 8 vs. spread hosting non-Big 10 foes.
                    UNLV, based on team trends.


                    OKLAHOMA STATE at TULSA
                    ...Gundy has won and covered last 3 vs. Tulsa (though teams haven’t met every year) and has scored 59 or more on each occasion, dating to 2010. OSU 8-4-1 as DD chalk since 2017. Golden Hurricane 1-3 vs. spread last 4 hosting FBS non-ACC teams.
                    Oklahoma State, based on team and series trends.


                    MEMPHIS at SOUTH ALABAMA
                    ...Memphis 6-2 last 8 as visiting favorite, though Tigers didn’t cover vs. USA at Liberty Bowl in 2018. Memphis still 10-4 as DD chalk since 2017.
                    Memphis, based on team trends.


                    IOWA at IOWA STATE
                    ...Cy-Hawk! Ferentz has now won four straight in series and 3-0-1 vs. line that span. Iowa has also won SU last three visits to Ames. Iowa 5-0-1 vs. spread last six as visitor and 13-3-1 last 17 overall vs. spread since late 2017. ISU only 3-6 vs. spread last 9 at Ames.
                    Iowa, based on team and series trends.


                    COLORADO STATE at ARKANSAS...Revenge for Hogs after loss at Fort Collins LY. Ark just 4-9 as chalk since 2016 (0-1 TY). Rams just 1-5 last 6 as dog away from home.
                    Slight to Arkansas, based on CSU negatives.


                    WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. LOUISVILLE (at Nashville)
                    ...WKU was 6-2-1 vs. line as dog since LY. Focusing on Satterfield marks for ‘Ville as his App State and Card teams now 15-3-1 last 19 vs. spread.
                    Louisville, based on Satterfield marks.


                    ARIZONA STATE at MICHIGAN STATE
                    ...Dantonio 1-6 last 7 as East Lansing chalk. Herm 3-1 as visiting dog LY, ASU 10-6-1 as dog since 2017 including upset win over MSU LY.
                    Arizona State, based on team trends.


                    NORTH TEXAS at CAL
                    ...UNT 0-8 last 8 vs. line and 1-10 last eleven since mid 2018. No covers last six away from Denton. Bears 1-6-1 last 8 vs. line at Berkeley and 0-4-1 last five as home chalk.
                    Slight to Cal, based on recent UNT negatives.


                    LA TECH at BOWLING GREEN...Skip Holtz 6-3 as visiting chalk since 2016 and 10-4-1 away from Ruston vs. spread since 2017. BG now on 12-26 spread skid since 2016.
                    La Tech, based on team trends.


                    BUFFALO at LIBERTY
                    ...Flames just 5-9 vs. line since LY (0-2 for Freeze). UB 4-0 as visiting chalk in 2018, Leipold 17-7-2 vs. spread last 26 against FBS foes since late 2016.
                    Buffalo, based on team trends.


                    SOUTHERN MISS at TROY
                    ... USM 7-4 last 11 as dog. Golden Eagles 17-10-1 vs. spread since late 2016.
                    Slight to Southern Miss, based on team trends.


                    UMASS at CHARLOTTE
                    ...Rare home chalk for Charlotte, just 2-3 all-time in role. UMass however on 2-6 spread skid last 8 away from home (0-1 for Walt Bell).
                    Slight to Charlotte, based on UMass negatives.


                    OHIO at MARSHALL
                    ...Solich 8-3 as visiting dog since 2015, also 6-2 last 8 vs. spread as non-MAC visitor. Herd 4-10 as home chalk since 2016, 7-16 overall as chalk that span. Dog team is 28-12 in Herd games since 2016.
                    Ohio, based on team trends.


                    KENT STATE at AUBURN
                    ...Malzahn 7-19-1 vs. line as home chalk since mid 2014, 4-10-1 last 15 as non-SEC home chalk.
                    Kent State, based on team trends.


                    FLORIDA at KENTUCKY
                    ...Prior to LY’s 27-16 upset win at Gainesville, UK hadn’t beaten UF outright since 1986! Stoops 4-13 last 17 vs. spread at Lexington but 2-0 TY. Stoops also 13-8 as dog since 2016. Dan Mullen 4-0 vs. line as visitor with Gators LY.
                    Slight to Florida, based on extended series trends.


                    GEORGIA STATE at WESTERN MICHIGAN
                    ...Panthers were 0-4-2 as visiting dog LY before Vol upset. WMU rolled 34-15 in Atlanta LY though Broncos only 5-10 vs. spread since LY.
                    Slight to Western Michigan, based on team trends.


                    TEXAS STATE at SMU
                    ...Sonny Dykes 0-2 as DD chalk LY, though Bobcats just 1-4 vs. spread last five as non-Belt visitor.
                    Slight to SMU, based on team trends.


                    DUKE at MIDDLE TENNESSEE
                    ...Duke 1-6 as chalk in 2018 though Cutcliffe was 24-12 laying points from 2012-17. Blue Devils 5-2 vs. spread last 7 as non-ACC visitor. MTSU 9-4 vs. line last 13 as home dog.
                    Duke, based on extended trends.


                    HAWAII at WASHINGTON
                    ...Rolovich only 4-6 as mainland dog the past two seasons and 6-10-1 as underdog since 2017 (though 1-0 in role TY). Huskies just 2-6 as Seattle chalk since LY. Petersen just 2-5 vs. line last seven hosting non-Pac 12 foes.
                    Slight to Houston, based on team trends.


                    TCU at PURDUE
                    ...Frogs only 6-11 vs. line since late in 2017 but have covered 3 straight and 4 of last 5 as non-Big 12 visitor. Patterson 13-8 last 21 as dog. Purdue 1-4 as Ross-Ade chalk since LY.
                    TCU, based on team trends.


                    CLEMSON at SYRACUSE
                    ...Dino has covered last two vs. Dabo and scored upset in 2017. Cuse 5-1 vs. spread at Carrier Dome in 2018. Dabo 6-3-1 as visiting chalk past two years but did lose here in 2017. Clemson 17-9-1 as chalk since 2017 though 0-2 vs. Orange that span.
                    Syracuse, based on team and recent series trends.


                    FLORIDA STATE at VIRGINIA
                    ...FSU now 8-17-2 vs. spread since 2017, 4-10 for Taggart. Noles 2-7 as dog since 2017 (2-4 for Taggart). Cavs on 11-4 spread uptick since 2018, 8-4 last 12 vs. line at home.
                    Virginia, based on team trends.


                    OKLAHOMA at UCLA...UCLA
                    now on 23-41 skid vs. spread dating to 2014, also just 2-7 last 9 vs. points at Rose Bowl. Bruins 2-7 as home dog since 2013 (2-3 for Chip).
                    Oklahoma, based on team trends.


                    NORTHERN ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA
                    ...NIU12-6 as visiting dogs since 2013. Huskies did upset Huskers in Lincoln two years ago. Huskers just 2-7 as Lincoln chalk since 2017 (2-4 for Scott Frost since LY).
                    NIU, based on team trends.


                    TEXAS vs. RICE (at NRG Stadium)
                    ...Note that Tom Herman was just 1-4 vs. line as chalk away from home LY and he’s just 2-6 laying DD with Horns (though 1-0 TY). Since 2016 with Houston, Herman 3-11-1 as DD chalk (1-0 TY). Rice interestingly is 6-1 getting 20 or more since Bloomgren took over LY.
                    Rice, based on team trends.


                    TEXAS TECH at ARIZONA
                    ...Matt Wells 10-3-2 vs. line since LY with Utags & TT. Under Kingsbury., Red Raiders 10-5 as visiting dog past four years. Sumlin 0-3 vs. line with UA vs. non-Pac 12 BCS foes.
                    Texas Tech, based on team trends.
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-10-2019, 01:23 PM.

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                    • #11
                      Week 3 - Upset Alerts
                      Matt Blunt

                      Last week's play turned out to be a case of what could go wrong did go wrong, as two of the plays (Texas, UTEP) from last week's card ended up losing by a half-point against the number, and in the case of Texas, there were full +7's out there later on in the week. Those days will happen and when they do, there is nothing you can do but get out the fork and knife, eat your crow as quickly as you can, and move on to the next game.

                      Hopefully this week's underdog card ends up producing much better results – they can't be any worse then 0-3 ATS – as the entire country creeps closer to full blown conference play. With conference rivalry games on deck for most of the country after this week, it's another week where these underdog plays are more about fading the favorite then backing the underdog, as these favorites are either coming off big wins, have huge games on deck, or both.

                      Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range

                      YTD: 0-2 SU; 1-1 ATS

                      Air Force (+4) vs Colorado


                      As I mentioned in the opening, this week's plays are more about fading the favorites then providing strong cases for the underdog, but with this game between Air Force and Colorado there is both.

                      On the Colorado side of things, it's really a tough spot for them this week coming off that amazing comeback OT win over Nebraska last week, one week after smoking Colorado State in a rivalry game, and now having to deal with service academy school and their triple-option attack. There is no more then six days for the Buffs to come down from the high of beating Nebraska and prepare for an option attack they rarely see, and if you've been involved in betting college football for some time now, you know that short prep time for a one-off type scenario like this is tough to deal with.

                      That's a lot for head coach Mel Tucker to deal with this week even with him coming out and stating that he “doesn't expect a hangover from the Nebraska game”. It's one thing to say that, and it would be more convincing if he was going up a conventional offense, but facing the triple-option is going to be quite foreign to a lot of the Buffaloes players, and they've got to cram it all in this week – hungover or not – a week before they go out and play their first road game of the year, against Pac-12 rival Arizona State no less. That's about as bad of a spot as it gets, but the bad news doesn't end there for Colorado this week.

                      On the other side of the field, Air Force is coming off a bye week as they are physically fresh and likely will be sharp mentally having had two weeks to prepare for this game. They've seen Colorado's defense give up 31 points in each game so far, so offensively they'll have a good chance at putting up plenty of points, and with their ball control style of attack, bleed away the clock in hopes of pulling off the outright upset. Service academy teams tend to thrive in situations like this, and I expect Air Force to do the same this week.

                      Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range

                      YTD: 0-2 SU; 0-2 ATS

                      Indiana (+16) vs Ohio State


                      Ohio State doesn't have nearly as bad of a situational spot as Colorado is dealing with this week, but it is their first road game of the year, and more importantly, the first true road game start for QB Justin Fields. Fields did see time on the field in hostile territory with Georgia last year, but nearly all of it came when the game was already in hand for the Bulldogs and there was next to nothing in terms of pressure on his shoulders. That's not the case as “the guy” at Ohio State this year, and this week, and even with by far the more talented team around him for support, that's a lot of points to lay on the road in your first career road start.

                      Furthermore, while Ohio State did look great last week in demolishing Cincinnati 42-0, that's not exactly as good of an omen as some may believe for the Buckeyes this week. Over the past four years, Ohio State is just 3-8 ATS when coming off a game where they didn't allow the opposition to score a TD, and if you take out the games in that scenario where they weren't laying at least double-digits, that record drops to 2-8 against the number. Put them on the road as a double-digit favorite in that scenario and they are just 1-3 ATS the past four years, and as Indiana proved to me last week (I backed Eastern Illionis at +37), they are a better team on both sides of the ball then most believe.

                      Add it all up, the bad history for Ohio State in this role, Fields making his first career road start, and the notion that Indiana's home field will be rocking all afternoon as their team tries to pull off a monumental upset, these points are just something I've got to take. Last year Indiana nearly knocked off Penn State in a similar role (+14 home underdogs), and I believe they keep this game with the Buckeyes much closer then this spread – and early market movement against them – suggests right now.

                      Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range

                      YTD: 0-2 ATS

                      New Mexico (+35) vs Notre Dame


                      As is the case the majority of the time with these huge underdogs, they are always going to tend to be a play that fades the favorite and this week is no different.

                      Notre Dame does have a nice situation for themselves this week in terms of coming off their bye week last weekend, but with a trip to #3 Georgia on deck, how much time do you think the Irish spend specifically preparing for New Mexico as opposed to Georgia? I can't imagine it being all that great, especially with the way the 2017 meeting with Georgia still looming in the back of their minds, as this week's game against the Lobos is the prototypical “get in, get the win, and get out healthy” game for Notre Dame.

                      I can't imagine Notre Dame has any concern with covering a number like this, even with their desire to be sharper on both sides of the ball after their win in Louisville. While it will likely be an easy double-digit outright victory for the Irish this week, asking them to win by more than five TD's is a big ask with Georgia on deck.

                      Throw in the fact that as a program, Notre Dame is just 8-8 ATS this decade as a favorite of 20+ points, a record that includes two ATS wins by 1.5 points or less, the number and the situation line up quite well for a fade of the Irish. New Mexico is coming off a bye as well so they've got plenty of prep time on their side too, and on top of all the negatives on the Notre Dame ATS side of things, it will be that extra prep time that helps the Aggies grab the cover.

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                      • #12
                        Dunkel is posted in reply #5.

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                        • #13
                          Armadillo's write-up is posted in reply #6.

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                          • #14
                            By: Monte Andrews


                            GOOD NEWS, BAD NEWS

                            It's been a good-news, bad-news kind of week for the Stanford Cardinal as they prepare to face the Central Florida Knights on Saturday. First, the good: The Cardinal will have quarterback KJ Costello back in the fold after he missed last week's loss to USC after suffering an injury in the first half of the season opener against Northwestern. Unfortunately, he'll be missing one of his key offensive lineman, with tackle Walker Little set to undergo season-ending knee surgery; he was also injured vs. the Wildcats.

                            While losing Little certainly hurts, the return of Costello is a big one for a Cardinal team that saw backup Davis Mills struggle against the Trojans (237 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT). The Knights like it fast (ranking 30th in plays per game last season) and Costello is talented enough to lead Stanford over its 26.5-point team total.


                            AGGRAVATED AGGIES

                            A disappointing 24-10 setback to No. 1 Clemson wasn't the only loss the Texas A&M Aggies suffered last week; they've learned they'll be without leading rusher Jashaun Corbin for the remainder of the season with a hamstring injury. Corbin suffered the injury midway through the third quarter of last week's loss; he had compiled 34 yards on 13 carries to that point but gained over 100 yards the week prior in a victory over Texas Southern. Corbin finishes the year with 137 rushing yards and a score.

                            Given that the Aggies are ridiculous 43.5-point favorites for this week's game against visiting Lamar, look for head coach Jimbo Fisher to take full advantage and give as many of his players as much rest as possible; temperatures will also approach 100 degrees Fahrenheit, which is another good reason to pump the brakes. We like the Under-63 option here.


                            ONE TITANIC CHALLENGE

                            After comparing his team to "The Titanic," Tennessee head coach Jeremy Pruitt will look to right the ship this week as the winless Volunteers host state rival Chattanooga. And getting back on track could mean a heavier reliance on a run game that has looked a lot better than the passing game through the first two weeks. Ty Chandler (202 yards) and Eric Gray (106) should both see plenty of action in a game in which the hosts are favored by four touchdowns.

                            Their early-season success, coupled with struggles from starting quarterback Jarrett Guarantano, could make this a 55-carry kind of game as Tennessee looks for its first win of the season. And with the Mocs coming in having averaged just 22 points per game against far inferior competition, we see the Vols controlling the game sufficiently to keep their foes below their team total.
                            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2019, 02:04 AM.

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                            • #15
                              By: Monte Andrews


                              HOUSTON'S CARR RUNNING AGAIN

                              The Houston Cougars are getting one of their key offensive players back in time for their all-Cougar tilt with Washington State at NRG Stadium on Friday night. Running back Patrick Carr missed Houston's first two games with a knee injury, but head coach Dana Holgorsen says last year's team leader in rushing yards will be back on the field against the West Coast Cougars. Carr should see plenty of work in this one, with the Cougars having run the ball an incredible 84 times through their first two games.

                              The return of Carr to face a Washington State run defense that allowed 4.1 yards per carry last season should provide a nice boost to the Houston offense; that, combined with the visiting Cougars having struggled against rushing QBs (and Houston boasting a good one in D'Eriq King), makes the home side a solid Over option on its team total of 31.5.


                              STRAKEL TAKES OVER

                              The Arkansas Razorbacks have named graduate transfer Nick Starkel their starting quarterback ahead of Saturday's showdown with Colorado State. Starkel will take over for Ben Hicks, who started each of the Razorbacks' first two games but was pulled from both due to poor performances. Starkel, who came to Arkansas from Texas A&M, has been the far superior option so far, having completed better than 72 percent of his pass attempts while throwing the Razorbacks' only passing touchdown to date.

                              While the upgrade from Starkel to Hicks (who completed less than half of his attempts) is a favorable one, Arkansas' team total in this one is a sky-high 37.5. With the Razorbacks having scored just 37 points in two games, and Colorado State having finished in the top-30 in plays per game in two straight years (and is 18th this season), the Arkansas U37.5 is a decent play here.


                              WILL SINDELAR START?

                              The Purdue Boilermakers could be without their starting quarterback for a pivotal Saturday encounter with the Texas Christian Horned Frogs. Elijah Sindelar was diagnosed with a concussion following last weekend's victory over the Vanderbilt Commodores, and head coach Jeff Brohm said Sindelar would spend the week in concussion protocol. His loss would be a major blow to a Purdue offense that has put up 73 points in splitting its first two games of the season.

                              Sindelar's questionable status has already had a significant impact on the line for this one; Purdue was as high as -3 earlier in the week, but is now a 2.5-point underdog against a stout Horned Frogs defense. Combined with the loss of standout linebacker and co-captain Markus Bailey to a season-ending knee injury, the Boilermakers are a hard fade this week; take the visitors.

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