Announcement

**Udog** · 09-05-2019, 09:53 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 13
David Schwab

A late start to Week 12 of the CFL regular season opened on Sunday with Saskatchewan grinding out a 19-17 victory in a home-and-home series opener against West Division rival Winnipeg closing as a 5 ½-point home favorite.

In a double-header of action on Labor Day, Hamilton came away with a 38-27 victory against Toronto in a game that ended as a PUSH with the Tiger-Cats closing as 11-point home favorites. Calgary got the best of Edmonton 25-9 as a 3 ½-point home favorite in the first of two back-to-back games against its West Division rivals.

Friday, Sept. 6

British Columbia Lions (1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -7
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview

The Lions are already riding out the string with just one straight-up win. They are 2-4 against the spread on the road this season and 3-4 ATS when closing as underdogs. The total has gone OVER in three of their last five road games. Heading into last week’s bye, BC has lost its last six games SU with a 2-5 record ATS over its past seven outings. In a Week 11 loss to Hamilton, the offense managed just 10 points despite Mike Reilly throwing for 286 yards and a score.

Montreal is surprisingly in the hunt for this year’s playoffs out of the East Division. The Alouettes went into last week’s bye with back-to-back road wins against Calgary and Toronto. They are still just 1-3 ATS over their previous four games with the total staying UNDER in three of their last five outings. Vernon Adams Jr. continues to play well at quarterback with 1,889 passing yards and nine touchdown throws in eight games. He threw for 335 yards and two scores his last time out.

Betting Trends

-- BC does have a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in its last five road games against the Alouettes. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings in Montreal and it has stayed UNDER in eight of the last 12 matchups overall.

Saturday, Sept. 7

Toronto Argonauts (1-9 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -5
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview

Toronto is another team that is already making plans for next season. It has posted a 1-3-1 record ATS in five previous road games this season and the total has gone OVER in three of its last four games after going OVER 52 points in Monday’s loss to Hamilton. The Argonauts took a 13-point lead into halftime, but another second-half collapse led to their ninth SU loss in 10 games. Mcleod Bethel-Thompson continues to put up big numbers throwing the ball with 337 yards passing and two scores in that latest losing effort.

The RedBlacks come off a bye in desperate need of a win to stay in the postseason race. A SU 2-0 start is a distance memory with just one more win in their last eight games. This will be the first meeting against Toronto this season. The total went OVER 49 points in a recent 40-18 road loss to Saskatchewan after staying UNDER in four of their previous five games. Three different quarterbacks saw action in that game led by Jonathan Jennings with 208 yards passing the ball. Ottawa gave up 24 points on five turnovers.

Betting Trends

-- Toronto has an 8-3 SU edge in the last 11 meetings of this East Division tilt, but Ottawa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games against the Argonauts. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last nine meetings in Ottawa.

Saskatchewan (7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -1 ½
Total: 48

Game Overview

The Roughriders can take the lead in the West standings with a series sweep on Saturday. Sunday’s win was their six in a row SU and it was the first time they failed to cover the closing spread in that same span of games. The total stayed UNDER 47 ½ points and it has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games. Saskatchewan is 3-1 ATS in four previous road games this season. The difference in Sunday’s game was a 26-yard field with time running out. Cody Fajardo completed 25-of-39 passes for 300 yards and a score.

Winnipeg remains short-handed on offense with quarterback Mike Nichols out with injury and running back Andrew Harris finishing up a two-game league suspension. In their place in Sunday’s game, Chris Streveler went 16-for-24 passing the ball for 161 yards. He threw one touchdown pass against a pair of interceptions. Johnny Augustine gained 98 rushing yards on 12 carries. The Blue Bombers are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home this season.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has a slight 6-4 SU edge over the past 10 meetings in this West Division clash with an even 5-5 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in the last three matchups after going OVER in the previous five meetings.

Calgary Stampeders (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (6-5 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -1
Total: 48

Game Overview

Calgary had lost its previous two games to Winnipeg on the road and to Montreal at home ahead of Monday’s win. It is 3-1 ATS over its last four games with the total staying UNDER the closing line in six of its last eight contests. Bo Levi Mitchell was back under center for the Stampeders on Monday and he looked sharp in his return with 263 yards passing and one touchdown throw while completing 67.9 percent of his 28 passing attempts. KaDeem Carey had a big day running the ball with 143 yards rushing on 16 carries.

This becomes a crucial game for Edmonton in the West Division title race. It lost to Winnipeg at home 34-28 in Week 11 as a 5 ½-point favorite. It also has a previous 24-18 loss to Calgary as one-point road favorites on Aug. 3. This is part of a SU 2-4 record in division play. Trevor Harris was able to complete 77.1 percent of his 35 passing attempts for 216 yards, but he could not get the Eskimos into the end zone through the air. The offense only added another 55 yards on the ground.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won eight of the last 10 meetings SU, but this series is tied at 5-5 ATS during the same span. The total has now stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings overall and it has also stayed UNDER in two of the last three meetings in Edmonton.

**Udog** · 09-05-2019, 09:55 AM

CFL Week 13 preview, odds, picks & predictions: Mitchell gives Stampeders odds a boost

By: Rohit Ponnaiya

Bo Levi Mitchell returned to Calgary's lineup in Week 12 to defeat Edmonton 25-9 and the Stampders are -point faves to defeat the Eskimos again in Week 13.

It's Week 1 of the NFL season but don't let your football watching - and betting - end there, it's also Week 13 of the CFL season and With last year's Most Outstanding Player back in action for the defending Grey Cup champions things are heating up.

We break down the odds (provided by 10bet.com) and bring you in-depth analysis and predictions for all the football games on this weekend's CFL schedule.

Season Betting Trends

Favorites: 34-12 SU, 21-24-1 ATS
Home teams: 28-18 SU, 24-21-1 ATS
Over/Under: 21-24

Week 13 Picks: 2-1
Season to date: 18-22-2

BC LIONS AT MONTREAL ALOUETTES

ODDS: Montreal -6.5, O/U: 51.5
TIME: Friday, September 6, 7:30 p.m. ET

BC was expected to be one of the best teams in the league this year after adding star quarterback Mike Reilly, but they've been one of the worst. Their defense has been awful and their offensive line woes has made life miserable for Reilly while failing to open up holes in the run game.

Montreal was expected to be awful but have been solid - at least when compared to the other teams in the East. Vernon Adams Jr gives them a dual-threat at QB and William Stanback is one of the league's best backs when healthy. Stanback returned from a foot injury against Toronto in Week 11 but didn't seem 100 percent, the bye week should have helped him get closer to full speed.

The Lions are 1-5 on the road this season with that lone win coming by a last-second single point in Toronto. Take the home side to cover.

PICK: Montreal -6.5

TORONTO ARGONAUTS AT OTTAWA REDBLACKS

ODDS: Ottawa -5, O/U: 51.5
TIME: Saturday, September 7, 1:00 p.m. ET

Ottawa has lost seven of their last eight contests, including three in a row. Over that span their offense has put up just 14.6 points per game. Toronto's offense isn't going to be mistaken for the Greatest Show on Turf but they have eclipsed 20 points in each of their last four games, a feat that the Redblacks have accomplished in just one of their previous eight contests.

A big reason for the Argos improvement on offense has been QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson who has thrown for 1334 yards and nine touchdowns with no interceptions over his last four contests. The RedBlacks situation at QB is an absolute mess as they flip a coin between Jonathan Jennings and Dominique Davis. Regardless of who wins that quarterback battle expect Redblacks fans to lose. Fade Ottawa and grab Toronto and the points.

PICK: Toronto +5

SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS AT WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS

ODDS: Winnipeg -1.5, O/U: 48
TIME: Saturday, September 7, 4:00 p.m. ET

The Riders have won six consecutive games in row and have held opponents to just 16.4 ppg over their last five contests. The Bombers defense allows the second-fewest points in the league (19.8 ppg) and they're even better at home where they give up just 16.6 ppg.

These teams played each other last week and we nailed our Under bet with both sides packing strong defenses and struggling offenses. With Winnipeg still missing their starting QB in Matt Nichols and their best offensive weapon in running back Andrew Harris it could be another game with lots of punting. Take the Under.

PICK: Under 48

CALGARY STAMPEDERS AT EDMONTON ESKIMOS

ODDS: Edmonton -3, O/U: 47
TIME: Saturday, September 7, 7:00 p.m. ET

He's back!!! Last year's Most Outstanding Player Bo Levi Mitchell stepped back into action for the Stamps last week and was his usual efficient self tossing for 263 yards on 28 attempts. Calgary has now beaten the Eskimos twice this season, and will look to make it three for three. This time however they'll have to do it on the road.

Edmonton has been piling up yards but struggling to punch it into the end zone going 0-5 in the red zone over their last two games. They rank first in the league in yards per game with 429.5, but are just sixth in scoring with 24.8 points per game. Take Calgary and the points.

PICK: Calgary +3

**Udog** · 09-05-2019, 09:56 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 13

Friday, September 6

BC Lions @ Montreal

Game 681-682
September 6, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
111.347
Montreal
113.185
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
by 7
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+7); Over

Saturday, September 7

Toronto @ Ottawa

Game 683-684
September 7, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
103.442
Ottawa
105.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 5
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+5); Over

Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg

Game 685-686
September 7, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
99.756
Winnipeg
123.334
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 23 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 1 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-1 1/2); Under

Calgary @ Edmonton

Game 687-688
September 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
110.193
Edmonton
122.698
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 12 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 2 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-2 1/2); Under

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 13

Friday, September 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 9) at MONTREAL (5 - 4) - 9/6/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
MONTREAL is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 51-82 ATS (-39.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-0 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, September 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (1 - 9) at OTTAWA (3 - 7) - 9/7/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 3) at WINNIPEG (8 - 3) - 9/7/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game this season.
WINNIPEG is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
WINNIPEG is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 143-104 ATS (+28.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-4 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (6 - 4) at EDMONTON (6 - 5) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 137-105 ATS (+21.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
EDMONTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CFL

Week 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, September 6

Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Montreal is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home
Montreal is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games at home
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 12 games when playing British Columbia
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 7 games on the road
British Columbia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of British Columbia's last 12 games when playing Montreal
British Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal

Saturday, September 7

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Ottawa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Ottawa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
Ottawa is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games
Toronto is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
Toronto is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Ottawa
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games
Winnipeg is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Winnipeg's last 15 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Edmonton's last 9 games
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Edmonton is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games on the road
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Calgary is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Calgary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Fri., Sep. 6 - Sat., Sep. 7)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Fri., Sep. 6 - Sat., Sep. 7)

Comment

Comment

Comment