Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (Fri., Sep. 6 - Sat., Sep. 7)

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (Fri., Sep. 6 - Sat., Sep. 7)

    Commercial Photography
    Week 2


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Friday, September 6 - Saturday, September 7

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------



    NCAAF Matchup Links


    NCAAF SAGARIN RATINGS

    NCAAF Matchups

    NCAAF Hot or Not

    NCAAF Trends


    NCAAF News and Weather

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    301WAKE FOREST -302 RICE
    WAKE FOREST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as an favorite of 10.5-21 since 1992.

    303MARSHALL -304 BOISE ST
    BOISE ST is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) off an upset win since 1992.

    305OHIO U -306 PITTSBURGH
    PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

    307OLD DOMINION -308 VIRGINIA TECH
    OLD DOMINION is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

    309UAB -310 AKRON
    UAB is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after going under the total over the last 2 seasons.

    311ARMY -312 MICHIGAN
    MICHIGAN is 53-83 ATS (-38.3 Units) after going over the total since 1992.

    313VANDERBILT -314 PURDUE
    VANDERBILT is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

    315RUTGERS -316 IOWA
    RUTGERS are 39-23 ATS (13.7 Units) when the total is 49.5-56 since 1992.

    317SYRACUSE -318 MARYLAND
    MARYLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

    319W VIRGINIA -320 MISSOURI
    MISSOURI is 45-24 ATS (18.6 Units) in home games after a loss since 1992.

    321CINCINNATI -322 OHIO ST
    OHIO ST is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) against the American Athletic since 1992.

    323BOWLING GREEN -324 KANSAS ST
    BOWLING GREEN is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in September games in the last 3 seasons.

    325N ILLINOIS -326 UTAH
    UTAH is 64-38 ATS (22.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

    327S FLORIDA -328 GEORGIA TECH
    GEORGIA TECH is 26-11 ATS (13.9 Units) in the first two weeks of the season since 1992.

    329TULSA -330 SAN JOSE ST
    SAN JOSE ST is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5-10 since 1992.

    331NEBRASKA -332 COLORADO
    COLORADO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

    335C MICHIGAN -336 WISCONSIN
    WISCONSIN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

    339SOUTHERN MISS -340 MISSISSIPPI ST
    SOUTHERN MISS are 30-13 ATS (15.7 Units) in road games after a win by 21 or more points since 1992.

    341ILLINOIS -342 CONNECTICUT
    ILLINOIS are 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.

    343ARKANSAS ST -344 UNLV
    UNLV is 51-81 ATS (-38.1 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

    345UTSA -346 BAYLOR
    BAYLOR is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

    347NEW MEXICO ST -348 ALABAMA
    NEW MEXICO ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game in the last 3 seasons.

    349SAN DIEGO ST -350 UCLA
    SAN DIEGO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 42.5-49 in the last 3 seasons.

    351LA MONROE -352 FLORIDA ST
    FLORIDA ST is 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) as a home fav. of 17.5-21 since 1992.

    353WYOMING -354 TEXAS ST
    WYOMING is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.

    355NORTH TEXAS -356 SMU
    NORTH TEXAS are 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when the total is 63.5-70 since 1992.

    357BYU -358 TENNESSEE
    TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday in the last 3 seasons.

    359UCF -360 FLA ATLANTIC
    FLA ATLANTIC is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

    363COASTAL CAROLINA -364 KANSAS
    KANSAS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992.

    365LIBERTY -366 LA LAFAYETTE
    LIBERTY is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

    367W MICHIGAN -368 MICHIGAN ST
    MICHIGAN ST is 17-3 ATS (13.7 Units) after allowing 175 or less total yards in their previous game since 1992.

    369LSU -370 TEXAS
    TEXAS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game in the last 3 seasons.

    371TULANE -372 AUBURN
    AUBURN is 15-37 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

    373ARKANSAS -374 OLE MISS
    ARKANSAS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

    375NEVADA -376 OREGON
    NEVADA is 57-38 ATS (15.2 Units) after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

    377BUFFALO -378 PENN ST
    BUFFALO is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

    379E MICHIGAN -380 KENTUCKY
    KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

    381UTEP -382 TEXAS TECH
    TEXAS TECH is 19-5 ATS (13.5 Units) in home games in the first two weeks of the season since 1992.

    383MIAMI -384 N CAROLINA
    MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) on the road when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.

    385STANFORD -386 USC
    STANFORD is 47-26 ATS (18.4 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.

    387CALIFORNIA -388 WASHINGTON
    CALIFORNIA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games as a road dog of 10.5-14 since 1992.

    391OREGON ST -392 HAWAII
    OREGON ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in games played on turf in the last 3 seasons.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-04-2019, 02:06 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      This report my update as gameday gets closer....


      NCAAF
      Long Sheet


      Friday, September 6

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WAKE FOREST (1 - 0) at RICE (0 - 1) - 9/6/2019, 12:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WAKE FOREST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
      RICE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
      RICE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
      RICE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
      WAKE FOREST is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MARSHALL (1 - 0) at BOISE ST (1 - 0) - 9/6/2019, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MARSHALL is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
      MARSHALL is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
      BOISE ST is 148-107 ATS (+30.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
      BOISE ST is 148-107 ATS (+30.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Saturday, September 7

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OHIO U (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 11:00 AM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OLD DOMINION (1 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
      VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      UAB (1 - 0) at AKRON (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      UAB is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ARMY (1 - 0) at MICHIGAN (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ARMY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      VANDERBILT (0 - 1) at PURDUE (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      RUTGERS (1 - 0) at IOWA (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SYRACUSE (1 - 0) at MARYLAND (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      W VIRGINIA (1 - 0) at MISSOURI (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CINCINNATI (1 - 0) at OHIO ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OHIO ST is 190-148 ATS (+27.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 190-148 ATS (+27.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) against American Athletic conference opponents since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 172-133 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
      OHIO ST is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in September games since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BOWLING GREEN (1 - 0) at KANSAS ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 12:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      BOWLING GREEN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
      BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      KANSAS ST is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
      KANSAS ST is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
      KANSAS ST is 158-121 ATS (+24.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
      KANSAS ST is 130-99 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
      KANSAS ST is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      N ILLINOIS (1 - 0) at UTAH (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      UTAH is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
      N ILLINOIS is 76-47 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
      N ILLINOIS is 76-47 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
      N ILLINOIS is 102-74 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
      UTAH is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      S FLORIDA (0 - 1) at GEORGIA TECH (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 2:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
      S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TULSA (0 - 1) at SAN JOSE ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 9:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEBRASKA (1 - 0) at COLORADO (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      COLORADO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      COLORADO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
      COLORADO is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TEXAS A&M (1 - 0) at CLEMSON (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TEXAS A&M is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
      CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      C MICHIGAN (1 - 0) at WISCONSIN (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CHARLOTTE (1 - 0) at APPALACHIAN ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      APPALACHIAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
      APPALACHIAN ST is 1-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 0) at MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
      MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ILLINOIS (1 - 0) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 3:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ILLINOIS is 133-173 ATS (-57.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
      ILLINOIS is 133-173 ATS (-57.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
      CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ARKANSAS ST (0 - 1) at UNLV (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 10:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      UNLV is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
      UNLV is 92-129 ATS (-49.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      UNLV is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
      ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      UTSA (1 - 0) at BAYLOR (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 4:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
      BAYLOR is 1-1 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 1) at ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 4:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW MEXICO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 0) at UCLA (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 4:15 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAN DIEGO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN DIEGO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN DIEGO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LA MONROE (1 - 0) at FLORIDA ST (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 5:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
      FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WYOMING (1 - 0) at TEXAS ST (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WYOMING is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
      WYOMING is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NORTH TEXAS (1 - 0) at SMU (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SMU is 98-131 ATS (-46.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
      SMU is 1-1 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BYU (0 - 1) at TENNESSEE (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      BYU is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against SEC opponents since 1992.
      TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
      TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      UCF (1 - 0) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      UCF is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      UCF is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      UCF is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
      UCF is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
      FLA ATLANTIC is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
      FLA ATLANTIC is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
      UCF is 1-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      W KENTUCKY (0 - 1) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
      FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      COASTAL CAROLINA (0 - 1) at KANSAS (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      KANSAS is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
      KANSAS is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
      KANSAS is 123-159 ATS (-51.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LIBERTY (0 - 1) at LA LAFAYETTE (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LIBERTY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
      LIBERTY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
      LIBERTY is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      W MICHIGAN (1 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MICHIGAN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
      MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LSU (1 - 0) at TEXAS (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TULANE (1 - 0) at AUBURN (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TULANE is 97-128 ATS (-43.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ARKANSAS (1 - 0) at OLE MISS (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OLE MISS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      OLE MISS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      OLE MISS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      OLE MISS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ARKANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
      OLE MISS is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEVADA (1 - 0) at OREGON (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BUFFALO (1 - 0) at PENN ST (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PENN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      E MICHIGAN (1 - 0) at KENTUCKY (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      E MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      E MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.
      E MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
      E MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      E MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
      KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      UTEP (1 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      UTEP is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games against Big 12 conference opponents since 1992.
      UTEP is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in September games since 1992.
      TEXAS TECH is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
      TEXAS TECH is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
      TEXAS TECH is 84-55 ATS (+23.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
      TEXAS TECH is 128-91 ATS (+27.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
      TEXAS TECH is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
      TEXAS TECH is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MIAMI (0 - 1) at N CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      STANFORD (1 - 0) at USC (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 10:30 PM
      Trends for this game.
      STANFORD is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
      STANFORD is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
      STANFORD is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
      USC is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      USC is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      STANFORD is 2-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
      USC is 2-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CALIFORNIA (1 - 0) at WASHINGTON (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 10:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CALIFORNIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WASHINGTON is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
      WASHINGTON is 1-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MINNESOTA (1 - 0) at FRESNO ST (0 - 1) - 9/7/2019, 10:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      FRESNO ST is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      FRESNO ST is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      FRESNO ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      FRESNO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
      FRESNO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
      FRESNO ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
      MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OREGON ST (0 - 1) at HAWAII (1 - 0) - 9/7/2019, 11:59 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OREGON ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      OREGON ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      OREGON ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      OREGON ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
      OREGON ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
      OREGON ST is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by Udog; 09-04-2019, 06:43 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAF

        Week 2


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Friday, September 6

        Wake Forest @ Rice
        Wake Forest
        Wake Forest is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
        Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Rice
        Rice is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Rice's last 15 games at home

        Marshall @ Boise State
        Marshall
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Marshall's last 7 games
        Boise State
        Boise State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
        Boise State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home


        Saturday, September 7

        Ohio @ Pittsburgh
        Ohio
        Ohio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
        Ohio is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
        Pittsburgh
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
        Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

        West Virginia @ Missouri
        West Virginia
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 7 games
        West Virginia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
        Missouri
        Missouri is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
        Missouri is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

        Charleston Southern @ South Carolina
        Charleston Southern
        Charleston Southern is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
        Charleston Southern is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
        South Carolina
        South Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
        South Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

        Vanderbilt @ Purdue
        Vanderbilt
        Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games on the road
        Purdue
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games at home
        Purdue is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

        Syracuse @ Maryland
        Syracuse
        Syracuse is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
        Syracuse is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
        Maryland
        Maryland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games

        Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech
        Old Dominion
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Old Dominion's last 9 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Old Dominion's last 11 games
        Virginia Tech
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 7 games at home

        Army @ Michigan
        Army
        Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Army is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Michigan
        Michigan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
        Michigan is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

        Bowling Green @ Kansas State
        Bowling Green
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
        Bowling Green is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
        Kansas State
        Kansas State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
        Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

        Rutgers @ Iowa
        Rutgers
        Rutgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rutgers's last 7 games on the road
        Iowa
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa's last 7 games
        Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

        Cincinnati @ Ohio State
        Cincinnati
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
        Cincinnati is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
        Ohio State
        Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

        Alabama-Birmingham @ Akron
        Alabama-Birmingham
        Alabama-Birmingham is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 12 games on the road
        Akron
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Akron's last 10 games at home

        Southern University @ Memphis
        Southern University
        Southern University is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
        Southern University is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
        Memphis
        Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
        Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

        Kennesaw State @ Kent State
        Kennesaw State
        No trends to report
        Kent State
        Kent State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kent State's last 8 games

        Western Carolina @ North Carolina State
        Western Carolina
        Western Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Western Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        North Carolina State
        North Carolina State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
        North Carolina State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

        Northern Illinois @ Utah
        Northern Illinois
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games on the road
        Northern Illinois is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
        Utah
        Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home

        South Florida @ Georgia Tech
        South Florida
        South Florida is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 6 games
        Georgia Tech
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Georgia Tech's last 11 games
        Georgia Tech is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home

        Fordham @ Ball State
        Fordham
        Fordham is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
        Fordham is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
        Ball State
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 6 games
        Ball State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

        Tennessee Tech @ Miami-OH
        Tennessee Tech
        Tennessee Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        Tennessee Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Miami-OH
        Miami-OH is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
        Miami-OH is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

        Southern Miss @ Mississippi State
        Southern Miss
        Southern Miss is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Mississippi State
        Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
        Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

        Texas A&M @ Clemson
        Texas A&M
        Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Clemson
        Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

        Nebraska @ Colorado
        Nebraska
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nebraska's last 7 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
        Colorado
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against Nebraska
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Nebraska

        Richmond @ Boston College
        Richmond
        Richmond is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Richmond is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Boston College
        Boston College is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
        Boston College is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 games

        Southern Illinois @ Massachusetts
        Southern Illinois
        Southern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Southern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        Massachusetts
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Massachusetts's last 14 games
        Massachusetts is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

        Illinois @ Connecticut
        Illinois
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games
        Connecticut
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home
        Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

        Eastern Illinois @ Indiana
        Eastern Illinois
        Eastern Illinois is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Eastern Illinois is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Indiana
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games at home
        Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

        Central Michigan @ Wisconsin
        Central Michigan
        Central Michigan is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 7 games
        Wisconsin
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wisconsin's last 7 games
        Wisconsin is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

        Grambling State @ Louisiana Tech
        Grambling State
        Grambling State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Grambling State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        Louisiana Tech
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games
        Louisiana Tech is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

        Charlotte @ Appalachian State
        Charlotte
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
        Charlotte is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
        Appalachian State
        Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

        New Mexico State @ Alabama
        New Mexico State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games
        Alabama
        Alabama is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
        Alabama is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games

        Murray State @ Georgia
        Murray State
        Murray State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
        Murray State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
        Georgia
        Georgia is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
        Georgia is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games

        Texas-San Antonio @ Baylor
        Texas-San Antonio
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 8 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas-San Antonio's last 14 games on the road
        Baylor
        Baylor is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Baylor is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

        Western Illinois @ Colorado State
        Western Illinois
        Western Illinois is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        Western Illinois is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Colorado State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 6 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado State's last 12 games

        San Diego State @ California-Los Angeles
        San Diego State
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games
        San Diego State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
        California-Los Angeles
        California-Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego State
        California-Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego State

        Northern Colorado @ Washington State
        Northern Colorado
        Northern Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
        Northern Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
        Washington State
        Washington State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
        Washington State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

        Louisiana-Monroe @ Florida State
        Louisiana-Monroe
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 10 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games
        Florida State
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 7 games at home

        North Carolina A&T @ Duke
        North Carolina A&T
        North Carolina A&T is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
        Duke
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Duke's last 9 games at home
        Duke is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

        Gardner-Webb @ East Carolina
        Gardner-Webb
        Gardner-Webb is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Gardner-Webb is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        East Carolina
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games at home
        East Carolina is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home

        Maine @ Georgia Southern
        Maine
        Maine is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
        Maine is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
        Georgia Southern
        Georgia Southern is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
        Georgia Southern is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

        Brigham Young @ Tennessee
        Brigham Young
        Brigham Young is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
        Brigham Young is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Tennessee
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games at home

        Eastern Kentucky @ Louisville
        Eastern Kentucky
        Eastern Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Eastern Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Louisville
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 8 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games at home

        Coastal Carolina @ Kansas
        Coastal Carolina
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Coastal Carolina's last 12 games on the road
        Coastal Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
        Kansas
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games
        Kansas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

        South Dakota @ Oklahoma
        South Dakota
        South Dakota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        South Dakota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Oklahoma
        Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Oklahoma is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

        McNeese State @ Oklahoma State
        McNeese State
        McNeese State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
        McNeese State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
        Oklahoma State
        Oklahoma State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
        Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

        Wyoming @ Texas State
        Wyoming
        Wyoming is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Wyoming is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Texas State
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas State's last 8 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games at home

        Western Kentucky @ Florida International
        Western Kentucky
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Western Kentucky's last 8 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing Florida International
        Florida International
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida International's last 7 games
        Florida International is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

        Central Florida @ Florida Atlantic
        Central Florida
        Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Central Florida is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
        Florida Atlantic
        Florida Atlantic is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
        Florida Atlantic is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

        Tennessee State @ Middle Tennessee
        Tennessee State
        Tennessee State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
        Tennessee State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Middle Tennessee
        Middle Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games

        North Texas @ Southern Methodist
        North Texas
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of North Texas's last 12 games
        Southern Methodist
        Southern Methodist is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Texas
        Southern Methodist is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Texas

        Jackson State @ South Alabama
        Jackson State
        Jackson State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Jackson State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        South Alabama
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of South Alabama's last 13 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Alabama's last 6 games at home

        Arkansas @ Mississippi
        Arkansas
        Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games on the road
        Mississippi
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games at home

        Tulane @ Auburn
        Tulane
        Tulane is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tulane's last 8 games
        Auburn
        Auburn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
        Auburn is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

        Tennessee-Martin @ Florida
        Tennessee-Martin
        Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Florida
        Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games

        Eastern Michigan @ Kentucky
        Eastern Michigan
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games
        Eastern Michigan is 17-3 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
        Kentucky
        Kentucky is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games

        Louisiana State @ Texas
        Louisiana State
        Louisiana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana State's last 5 games
        Texas
        Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
        Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

        Nevada @ Oregon
        Nevada
        Nevada is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
        Nevada is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
        Oregon
        Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nevada
        Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nevada

        Liberty @ Louisiana-Lafayette
        Liberty
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Liberty's last 5 games on the road
        Liberty is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
        Louisiana-Lafayette
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games at home
        Louisiana-Lafayette is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games

        Western Michigan @ Michigan State
        Western Michigan
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games on the road
        Michigan State
        Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Western Michigan
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games

        Buffalo @ Penn State
        Buffalo
        Buffalo is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
        Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
        Penn State
        Penn State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
        Penn State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

        Miami-FL @ North Carolina
        Miami-FL
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 5 games on the road
        North Carolina
        North Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami-FL
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games at home

        Texas El Paso @ Texas Tech
        Texas El Paso
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games on the road
        Texas Tech
        Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 7 games at home

        Tulsa @ San Jose State
        Tulsa
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tulsa's last 10 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tulsa's last 12 games
        San Jose State
        San Jose State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games

        Arkansas State @ Nevada-Las Vegas
        Arkansas State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games on the road
        Nevada-Las Vegas
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 9 games

        California @ Washington
        California
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games on the road
        Washington
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against California
        Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

        Stanford @ Southern California
        Stanford
        Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford's last 7 games when playing on the road against Southern Californ
        Southern California
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southern California's last 7 games when playing at home against Stanford
        Southern California is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home

        Minnesota @ Fresno State
        Minnesota
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
        Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Fresno State
        Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Fresno State's last 7 games

        Oregon State @ Hawaii
        Oregon State
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games on the road
        Oregon State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii
        Hawaii
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games when playing Oregon State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 7 games at home


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-04-2019, 02:09 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF
          Dunkel

          Week 2


          Friday, September 6

          Wake Forest @ Rice

          Game 301-302
          September 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Wake Forest
          82.336
          Rice
          66.696
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Wake Forest
          by 15 1/2
          57
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Wake Forest
          by 19
          59
          Dunkel Pick:
          Rice
          (+19); Under

          William & Mary @ Virginia


          Game 393-394
          September 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          William & Mary
          55.592
          Virginia
          86.938
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Virginia
          by 31 1/2
          40
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Virginia
          by 35 1/2
          44 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          William & Mary
          (+35 1/2); Under

          Marshall @ Boise State


          Game 303-304
          September 6, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Marshall
          82.898
          Boise State
          90.646
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Boise State
          by 8
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Boise State
          by 12
          56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Marshall
          (+12); Under

          Sacramento St @ Arizona State


          Game
          September 6, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Sacramento St
          53.743
          Arizona State
          86.493
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Arizona State
          by 33
          53
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Arizona State
          by 36
          63 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Sacramento St
          (+36); Under



          Saturday, September 7

          Ohio @ Pittsburgh

          Game 305-306
          September 7, 2019 @ 11:00 am

          Dunkel Rating:
          Ohio
          77.253
          Pittsburgh
          90.688
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Pittsburgh
          by 13 1/2
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Pittsburgh
          by 5
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Pittsburgh
          (-5); Over

          Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech


          Game 307-308
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Old Dominion
          58.650
          Virginia Tech
          91.309
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Virginia Tech
          by 32 1/2
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Virginia Tech
          by 28
          54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Virginia Tech
          (-28); Over

          Vanderbilt @ Purdue


          Game 313-314
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Vanderbilt
          81.375
          Purdue
          103.208
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Purdue
          by 22
          66
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Purdue
          by 7
          56
          Dunkel Pick:
          Purdue
          (-7); Over

          West Virginia @ Missouri


          Game 319-320
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          West Virginia
          87.441
          Missouri
          104.637
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Missouri
          by 17
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Missouri
          by 14
          62 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Missouri
          (-14); Under

          Bowling Green @ Kansas State


          Game 323-324
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Bowling Green
          92.973
          Kansas State
          93.144
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Kansas State
          by 20
          63
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Kansas State
          by 24
          58
          Dunkel Pick:
          Bowling Green
          (+24); Over

          Rutgers @ Iowa


          Game 315-316
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Rutgers
          69.683
          Iowa
          112.007
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Iowa
          by 42 1/2
          52
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Iowa
          by 20
          50
          Dunkel Pick:
          Iowa
          (-20); Over

          Syracuse @ Maryland


          Game 317-318
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Syracuse
          88.717
          Maryland
          93.169
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Maryland
          by 4 1/2
          56
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Maryland
          by 2
          58
          Dunkel Pick:
          Maryland
          (-2); Under

          Army @ Michigan


          Game 311-312
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Army
          89.114
          Michigan
          98.341
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Michigan
          by 9
          43
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Michigan
          by 22 1/2
          47
          Dunkel Pick:
          Army
          (+22 1/2); Under

          UAB @ Akron


          Game 309-310
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          UAB
          83.094
          Akron
          77.654
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          UAB
          by 5 1/2
          44
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          UAB
          by 9 1/2
          46
          Dunkel Pick:
          Akron
          (+9 1/2); Under

          Charleston Southern @ South Carolina


          Game 397-398
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Charleston Southe
          47.788
          South Carolina
          84.957
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          South Carolina
          by 37
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          South Carolina
          by 40
          50
          Dunkel Pick:
          Charleston Southe
          (+40); Under

          Kennesaw St @ Kent State


          Game 401-402
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Kennesaw St
          74.125
          Kent State
          79.580
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Kent State
          by 5 1/2
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Kent State
          by 3
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Kent State
          (-3); Under


          Southern U @ Memphis

          Game 399-400
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Southern U
          53.679
          Memphis
          87.910
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Memphis
          by 34
          60
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Memphis
          by 37 1/2
          68 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Southern U
          (+37 1/2); Under

          Cincinnati @ Ohio State


          Game 321-322
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Cincinnati
          91.567
          Ohio State
          103.921
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Ohio State
          by 12 1/2
          67
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Ohio State
          by 16 1/2
          55 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Cincinnati
          (+16 1/2); Over

          Western Carolina @ NC State


          Game 403-404
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Western Carolina
          47.583
          NC State
          93.642
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          NC State
          by 46
          70
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          NC State
          by 42 1/2
          65 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          NC State
          (-42 1/2); Over


          Northern Illinois @ Utah

          Game 325-326
          September 7, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Northern Illinois
          79.187
          Utah
          97.765
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Utah
          by 18 1/2
          41
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Utah
          by 21 1/2
          43 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Northern Illinois
          (+21 1/2); Under

          Fordham @ Ball State


          Game 405-406
          September 7, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Fordham
          34.951
          Ball State
          60.386
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Ball State
          by 25 1/2
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Ball State
          by 28
          51
          Dunkel Pick:
          Fordham
          (+28); Over

          South Florida @ Georgia Tech


          Game 327-328
          September 7, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          South Florida
          76.863
          Georgia Tech
          80.124
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia Tech
          by 3 1/2
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Georgia Tech
          by 6 1/2
          62
          Dunkel Pick:
          South Florida
          (+6 1/2); Under

          The Citadel @ Elon


          Game 879-880
          September 7, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          The Citadel
          58.101
          Elon
          68.764
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Elon
          by 10 1/2
          43
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Elon
          by 7 1/2
          51 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Elon
          (-7 1/2); Under

          Howard @ Youngstown St


          Game 881-882
          September 7, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Howard
          36.424
          Youngstown St
          74.619
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Youngstown St
          by 38
          50
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Youngstown St
          by 23 1/2
          60 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Youngstown St
          (-23 1/2); Under


          Tennessee Tech @ Miami of Ohio

          Game 407-408
          September 7, 2019 @ 2:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tennessee Tech
          43.410
          Miami of Ohio
          77.627
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Miami of Ohio
          by 34
          63
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Miami of Ohio
          by 39 1/2
          60
          Dunkel Pick:
          Tennessee Tech
          (+39 1/2); Over

          Southern Illinois @ Massachusetts


          Game 409-410
          September 7, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Southern Illinois
          61.320
          Massachusetts
          71.462
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Massachusetts
          by 10
          75
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Massachusetts
          by 3 1/2
          79 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Massachusetts
          (-3 1/2); Under

          Central Michigan @ Wisconsin


          Game 333-334
          September 7, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Central Michigan
          67.708
          Wisconsin
          97.120
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Wisconsin
          by 29 1/2
          50
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Wisconsin
          by 35
          51 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Central Michigan
          (+35); Under

          Nebraska @ Colorado


          Game 331-332
          September 7, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Nebraska
          89.968
          Colorado
          81.808
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Nebraska
          by 8
          68
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Nebraska
          by 3 1/2
          64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Nebraska
          (-3 1/2); Over

          Charlotte @ Appalachian St


          Game 337-338
          September 7, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Charlotte
          64.989
          Appalachian St
          91.965
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Appalachian St
          by 27
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Appalachian St
          by 22
          53
          Dunkel Pick:
          Appalachian St
          (-22); Over

          Southern Miss @ Mississippi St


          Game 339-340
          September 7, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Southern Miss
          73.290
          Mississippi St
          106.420
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Mississippi St
          by 33
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Mississippi St
          by 17
          51 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Mississippi St
          (-17); Over

          Texas A&M @ Clemson


          Game 333-334
          September 7, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas A&M
          106.586
          Clemson
          121.149
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Clemson
          by 14 1/2
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Clemson
          by 17 1/2
          64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Texas A&M
          (+17 1/2); Under


          Illinois @ Connecticut

          Game 341-342
          September 7, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Illinois
          79.501
          Connecticut
          69.046
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Illinois
          by 10 1/2
          56
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Illinois
          by 20 1/2
          59
          Dunkel Pick:
          Connecticut
          (+20 1/2); Under

          Eastern Illinois @ Indiana


          Game 411-412
          September 7, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Eastern Illinois
          47.168
          Indiana
          89.995
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Indiana
          by 43
          56
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Indiana
          by 35 1/2
          62 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Indiana
          (-35 1/2); Under

          Richmond @ Boston College


          Game 413-414
          September 7, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Richmond
          53.022
          Boston College
          82.614
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Boston College
          by 29 1/2
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Boston College
          by 33
          57
          Dunkel Pick:
          Richmond
          (+33); Under

          Grambling @ Louisiana Tech


          Game 415-416
          September 7, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Grambling
          47.739
          Louisiana Tech
          73.653
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Louisiana Tech
          by 26
          49
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Louisiana Tech
          by 29 1/2
          51
          Dunkel Pick:
          Grambling
          (+29 1/2); Under

          North Dakota @ North Dakota St


          TX-San Antonio @ Baylor[/B]

          Game 345-346
          September 7, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          TX-San Antonio
          53.173
          Baylor
          87.588
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Baylor
          by 34 1/2
          65
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Baylor
          by 26 1/2
          56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Baylor
          (-26 1/2); Over

          New Mexico St @ Alabama


          Game 347-348
          September 7, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New Mexico St
          56.062
          Alabama
          119.028
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Alabama
          by 63
          69
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Alabama
          by 55
          64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Alabama
          (-55); Over


          Murray State @ Georgia

          Game 417-418
          September 7, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Murray State
          50.472
          Georgia
          111.456
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia
          by 61
          67
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Georgia
          by 49 1/2
          61 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Georgia
          (-49 1/2); Over

          Western Illinois @ Colorado State


          Game 419-420
          September 7, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Western Illinois
          62.683
          Colorado State
          77.450
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Colorado State
          by 15
          63
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Colorado State
          by 11 1/2
          57 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Colorado State
          (-11 1/2); Over


          LA-Monroe @ Florida State

          Game 351-352
          September 7, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LA-Monroe
          74.538
          Florida State
          102.358
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Florida State
          by 28
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida State
          by 21
          63
          Dunkel Pick:
          Florida State
          (-21); Under

          Northern Colorado @ Washington St


          Game 421-422
          September 7, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Northern Colorado
          52.382
          Washington St
          99.553
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Washington St
          by 47
          60
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington St
          by 36 1/2
          63
          Dunkel Pick:
          Washington St
          (-36 1/2); Under

          Maine @ Georgia Southern


          Game 425-426
          September 7, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Maine
          74.641
          Georgia Southern
          75.780
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia Southern
          by 1
          52
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Georgia Southern
          by 7
          48
          Dunkel Pick:
          Maine
          (+7); Over

          Gardner-Webb @ East Carolina


          Game 423-424
          September 7, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Gardner-Webb
          40.112
          East Carolina
          77.273
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          East Carolina
          by 37
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          East Carolina
          by 29 1/2
          58 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          East Carolina
          (-29 1/2); Under

          NC A&T @ Duke


          Game 427-428
          September 7, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          NC A&T
          62.919
          Duke
          87.922
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Duke
          by 25
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Duke
          by 29 1/2
          52
          Dunkel Pick:
          NC A&T
          (+29 1/2); Over


          Wyoming @ Texas State

          Game 353-354
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Wyoming
          73.476
          Texas State
          71.335
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Wyoming
          by 2
          51
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Wyoming
          by 7
          47 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Texas State
          (+7); Over

          Furman @ Georgia State


          Game 429-430
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Furman
          65.912
          Georgia State
          69.288
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia State
          by 3 1/2
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Georgia State
          by 7
          61 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Furman
          (+7); Over

          Jackson State @ South Alabama


          Game 435-436
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Jackson State
          35.485
          South Alabama
          65.879
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          South Alabama
          by 30 1/2
          44
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          South Alabama
          by 27 1/2
          47
          Dunkel Pick:
          South Alabama
          (-27 1/2); Under

          Tennessee St @ Middle Tennessee St


          Game 439-440
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tennessee St
          59.356
          Middle Tennessee
          80.950
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Middle Tennessee
          by 21 1/2
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Middle Tennessee
          by 26 1/2
          56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Tennessee St
          (+26 1/2); Over

          North Texas @ SMU


          Game 355-356
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          North Texas
          78.364
          SMU
          78.170
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          North Texas
          Even
          75
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          SMU
          by 4
          73 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          North Texas
          (+4); Over


          Western Michigan @ Michigan State

          Game 367-368
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Western Michigan
          72.809
          Michigan State
          97.716
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Michigan State
          by 25
          36
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Michigan State
          by 16
          46 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Michigan State
          (-16); Under

          Tulane @ Auburn


          Game 371-372
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tulane
          86.344
          Auburn
          100.843
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Auburn
          by 14 1/2
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Auburn
          by 18
          52
          Dunkel Pick:
          Tulane
          (+18); Over

          Eastern Michigan @ Kentucky


          Game 379-380
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Eastern Michigan
          68.029
          Kentucky
          91.986
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Kentucky
          by 24
          57
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Kentucky
          by 14 1/2
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Kentucky
          (-14 1/2); Over


          LSU @ Texas

          Game 369-370
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LSU
          102.875
          Texas
          105.842
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Texas
          by 3
          69
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          LSU
          by 6
          55
          Dunkel Pick:
          Texas
          (+6); Over

          Arkansas @ Mississippi


          Game 373-374
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Arkansas
          77.757
          Mississippi
          80.559
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Mississippi
          by 3
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Mississippi
          by 7
          53
          Dunkel Pick:
          Arkansas
          (+7); Under

          Nevada @ Oregon


          Game 375-376
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Nevada
          85.288
          Oregon
          95.057
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Oregon
          by 10
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Oregon
          by 23 1/2
          62
          Dunkel Pick:
          Nevada
          (+23 1/2); Under

          Buffalo @ Penn State


          Game 377-378
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Buffalo
          74.366
          Penn State
          107.193
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Penn State
          by 33
          61
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Penn State
          by 29 1/2
          54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Penn State
          (-29 1/2); Over

          Liberty @ LA-Lafayette


          Game 365-366
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Liberty
          63.144
          LA-Lafayette
          78.806
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          LA-Lafayette
          by 15 1/2
          63
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          LA-Lafayette
          by 13
          66
          Dunkel Pick:
          LA-Lafayette
          (-13); Under

          Tenn-Martin @ Florida


          Game 441-442
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tenn-Martin
          52.149
          Florida
          102.861
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Florida
          by 50 1/2
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida
          by 41
          59
          Dunkel Pick:
          Florida
          (-41); Under

          Stony Brook @ Utah State


          Game 443-444
          September 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Stony Brook
          63.857
          Utah State
          100.731
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Utah State
          by 37
          52
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Utah State
          by 31
          56
          Dunkel Pick:
          Utah State
          (-31); Under

          UTEP @ Texas Tech


          Game 381-382
          September 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          UTEP
          52.971
          Texas Tech
          92.618
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Texas Tech
          by 39 1/2
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Texas Tech
          by 33 1/2
          65
          Dunkel Pick:
          Texas Tech
          (-33 1/2); Under

          Miami-FL @ North Carolina


          Game 383-384
          September 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Miami-FL
          92.463
          North Carolina
          78.435
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Miami-FL
          by 14
          41
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Miami-FL
          by 4 1/2
          48
          Dunkel Pick:
          Miami-FL
          (-4 1/2); Under

          Prairie View @ Houston


          Game 445-446
          September 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Prairie View
          51.834
          Houston
          80.333
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Houston
          by 28 1/2
          82
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Houston
          by 31 1/2
          77 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Prairie View
          (+31 1/2); Over

          Tulsa @ San Jose St


          Game 329-330
          September 7, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tulsa
          76.909
          San Jose St
          67.934
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Tulsa
          by 9
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Tulsa
          by 6
          50
          Dunkel Pick:
          Tulsa
          (-6); Over


          Arkansas St @ UNLV

          Game 343-344
          September 7, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Arkansas St
          77.515
          UNLV
          72.000
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          UNLV
          by 5 1/2
          58
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          UNLV
          by 2
          64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Arkansas St
          (+2); Under

          California @ Washington


          Game 387-388
          September 7, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          California
          91.431
          Washington
          102.994
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Washington
          by 11 1/2
          48
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington
          by 14
          43 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          California
          (+14); Over

          Stanford @ USC


          Game 385-386
          September 7, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Stanford
          97.526
          USC
          93.047
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Stanford
          by 4 1/2
          51
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          USC
          by 2 1/2
          44
          Dunkel Pick:
          Stanford
          (+2 1/2); Over

          Minnesota @ Fresno State


          Game 389-390
          September 7, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Minnesota
          96.961
          Fresno State
          91.918
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Minnesota
          by 5
          51
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Minnesota
          by 3
          46 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Minnesota
          (-3); Over

          Northern Arizona @ Arizona


          Game 447-448
          September 7, 2019 @ 10:45 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Northern Arizona
          60.824
          Arizona
          81.052
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Arizona
          by 20
          79
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Arizona
          by 26 1/2
          65
          Dunkel Pick:
          Northern Arizona
          (+26 1/2); Over

          Oregon State @ Hawaii


          Game 391-392
          September 7, 2019 @ 12:00 am

          Dunkel Rating:
          Oregon State
          64.665
          Hawaii
          76.635
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Hawaii
          by 12
          66
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Hawaii
          by 6 1/2
          78 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Hawaii
          (-6 1/2); Under
          Last edited by Udog; 09-04-2019, 06:35 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Week 2


            Friday’s games
            Wake Forest gave up 596 yards but beat Utah State 38-35 at home LW; Aggies threw for 416 yards, WF 401. Rice lost its opener 14-7 at Army; total yardage was 284-243- Owls threw for only 62 yards. Wake plays local rival North Carolina Thursday; since 2010, Wake is 1-4 ATS as a road favorite. Last three years, Owls are 5-4 as home underdogs. Deacons (-27) beat Rice 56-24 in last meeting. Wake has more experienced OL (82 returning starts to 32). Last four years, ACC teams are 11-5 vs spread when playing a C-USA opponent.

            Trap game for Boise State after their emotional comeback win at Florida State. Broncos have solid young QB in freshman Bachmeier; he threw for 407 yards at FSU last week. Under Harsin, Boise is 17-21 ATS as a home favorite- they’re 14-10 ATS in last 24 non-league games. Marshall whacked a I-AA team in their opener; hard to tell much about that. Since ’12, Marshall is 11-4-1 as a road underdog. Both teams have 100+ returning stats on their OL; Conference USA teams covered seven of last nine games as an underdog vs Mountain West opponents.

            Saturday’s top 13 games
            Syracuse blanked I-A newcomer Liberty 24-0 LW, holding Flames to 234 yards; over last decade, Orange are 8-3 ATS as road favorites. Syracuse has new QB and has only 48 returning starts on its OL. Maryland beat a terrible I-AA team LW; can’t tell anything about that. Terps won last series game 34-20 (+2.5) in Carrier Dome five years ago. Last five years, Maryland is 5-9 ATS as a home underdog. Since 2014, ACC teams are 13-18-1 vs spread when playing a Big 14 opponent.

            Missouri got beat last week as an 18-point favorite at Wyoming, giving up 297 yards rushing; they were -3 (0-3) in turnovers. West Virginia snuck by I-AA JMU 20-13; they were outgained 328-294 by the Dukes, but were +3 in turnovers. Under Odom, Tigers are 10-7 ATS as home favorites. West Virginia covered four of last five games as a road underdog; since 2012, they’re 10-15 as a road underdog. WVU won last series game 26-11 (-10) three years ago. Since 2014, Big X teams are 8-6-1 ATS when playing a Big 14 opponent.

            Cincinnati beat UCLA 24-14 in its opener, holding Bruins to 156 TY with four takeaways (+2). Under Fickell, Bearcats are 5-3 as road underdogs; they’re 5-4 ATS in last nine non-league games. Ohio State ld FAU 28-0 after 8:10 of play in, jogged to 45-28 win in its opener; since ’15, OSU is 11-16 as home favorites;- they’re 17-11 in last 28 non-league games. Buckeyes won last series meeting 50-28 (-17) in 2014; both sides changed coaches since then. Last four years, AAC teams are 9-5 vs spread when playing a Big 14 opponent.

            Nebraska won its opener 35-21, scoring two defensive TD’s and also scored on a punt return. Cornhuskers covered 11 of their last 15 road games; last three years, they’re 3-0 as road favorites, but covered only one of last six non-league games. Colorado won its opener 52-31 but gave up 500+ yards. Last three years, Buffs are 9-4 as home underdogs; they’re 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog. Since 2013, Colorado is 12-7-1 ATS outside Pac-12. This was a big rivalry when teams were in Big 8 Conference.

            Clemson jogged 52-14 in its opener, piling up 632 yards; Tigers are 21-17-1 ATS in last 39 games as a home favorite- since 2013, they’re 20-13 ATS outside the ACC. Last two years, Texas A&M is 6-3-1 ATS as an underdog; they’re 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 non-SEC games. Underdogs covered four of Jimbo’s last five games with Clemson. Tigers won 28-26 (-12) at Texas A&M in teams’ last meeting, despite being outgained by 88 yards; they were +2 in TO’s that day. SEC teams covered nine of last games against ACC teams.

            Mississippi State has various players suspended for first few games; they beat Louisiana 38-28 in Superdome LW, running ball for 261 yards. Bulldogs covered eight of last 11 tries as a home favorite, 8 of last 11 non-SEC tilts. Last five years, Southern Miss is 13-8 in last 21 games as road underdogs; they’re 5-3 ATS in last eight non-league games. USM jogged over a I-AA team LW. This is first series meeting in four years; State won last two, 34-16/49-0, but both teams changed coaches since then. Last four years, SEC clubs are 18-14-1 ATS vs C-USA teams.

            Tennessee lost at home as a 26-point favorite LW; is that enough to get DB Thompson back from suspension? Georgia State ran ball for 213 yards, converted 10-17 on 3rd down LW; Knoxville natives are not happy. Since 2012, Vols are 13-24 ATS as home favorites; they covered only two of last nine non-league games. BYU got whacked 30-12 by rival Utah LW; Utes ran ball for 262 yards. Cougars covered nine of last 11 games as road underdogs. BYU’s schedule is weird; they played Utah last week, play USC next week; tough start to year.

            Texas hammered Louisiana Tech 45-14 LW, despite giving up 413 yards, 340 thru the air. LSU pounded Georgia Southern 55-3 LW; senior QB Burrow was 23-27/278 passing. Under Orgeron, Tigers are 3-2 as road favorites; they’re 4-7 ATS in last 11 non-SEC games. Since ’15, Texas is 5-0-1 as a home underdog; they covered six of last eight games as an underdog, five of last eight games outside Big X. These teams last met in 2003. Last eight years, SEC teams are 17-15 vs spread when facing a Big X opponent.

            Road team won three of last four Arkansas-Ole Miss games, with all four games decided by 4 or fewer points, with an average total of 78.5. Razorbacks won last two visits to Oxford, 53-52/38-37. Arkansas has 11 new starters on offense; they slogged past I-AA Portland State 20-13 LW. Ole Miss lost 15-10 LW at Memphis- they were outgained 364-173. Rebels were only 1-10 on 3rd down, ran ball for only 80 yards. Last three years, Arkansas is 7-2-1 ATS as a road underdog. Ole Miss is 6-7 ATS in its last 13 games as a home favorite. You’re reading armadillo sports.com

            Miami won its last two games with North Carolina, 47-10/24-19; UNC turned ball over six times in LY’s ugly loss. Hurricanes (+7) lost 24-20 at Florida LW, they were +3 in turnovers (4-1) but had 14 penalties for 118 yards. UNC came back to beat South Carolina 24-20 LW, after being down 20-9 after 3rd quarter— they outgained the Gamecocks 483-270. Over last nine years, Miami is 21-12 ATS as a single digit favorite in ACC games; since 2012, Miami is 14-9 ATS as road favorites. Tar Heels are 4-7 in last 11 tries as a home dog. Both teams have new head coaches this year.

            Stanford won three of last four games with USC; home side won last three series games. USC lost its QB for season LW; his replacement was in high school LY, was 6-8/57 passing in relief vs Fresno LW- this will be his first college start. Trojans held off an inexperienced Fresno team 31-23, but gave up 462 yards. Stanford held Northwestern off 17-7 LW, scoring a defensive TD with 0:20 left- their offense struggled. Cardinal’s QB is a ?mark after he got a concussion LW. Last four years, Stanford is 13-9 ATS on true road games. USC covered only four of last 18 games as a home favorite.

            California-Washington split their last four meetings; Cal upset the Huskies 12-10 (+11) LY. Cal had tough time with I-AA Cal Poly LW, finally winning 27-13; game was 13-13 with 4:00 left in 3rd quarter. Golden Bears ran ball for 233 yards but lost three fumbles. Huskies crushed a I-AA opponent LW; their OL has 107 returning starts, junior QB has 14 starts. Under Wilcox, Golden Bears are 6-3 ATS as road dogs- they covered 11 of last 16 tries overall as an underdog. Last three years, Washington is 9-11 ATS as a home favorite.

            Fresno State lost 21-14 at Minnesota LY, Gophers scoring winning TD with 3:28 left; Fresno had ball on Minnesota 4-yard with 1:18 left, but a trick play blew up and Gophers escaped. Bulldogs lost 31-23 at USC LW, but their inexperienced offense gained 462 yards; Fresno covered their last six tries as a home underdog- they covered eight of last 10 non-conference tilts. Minnesota was outgained 367-308 in 28-21 win over I-AA South Dakota State LW; Gophers are 6-1 ATS in last seven games out of conference; since 2014, they’re 2-3 as road favorites.

            College football trends from outside the top 13 games of the week

            Ohio U covered six of last seven tries as a road underdog; Bobcats ran ball for 278 yards in 41-20 win over a I-AA foe LW. Ohio has a senior QB, an OL with only 45 returning starts. Pittsburgh was held to 263 yards in its 30-14 loss to ACC rival Virginia LW; under Narduzzi, Panthers are 5-10-1 ATS as a home favorite. Last three years, ACC teams are 11-2 vs spread when playing a MAC opponent.

            Old Dominion (+27) outscored Virginia Tech 28-7 in 4th quarter of 49-35 upset win LY; total yardage in game was 632-600, ODU. Monarchs lost 13 of 22 starters from LY; they’re 5-4 ATS as a road underdog. Tech was minus-4 in turnovers in its 35-28 loss at BC last week; under Fuente, Hokies are 9-5 ATS as home favorites. Last four years, ACC teams are 11-5 vs spread when they play a C-USA opponent.

            UAB completed only 8-20 passes in its 24-19 win over I-AA Alabama State LW; Blazers are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite. UAB has a soph QB and an OL with only 30 returning starts. Akron is just 8-22 ATS in its last 30 games as a home underdog; Zips got waxed 42-3 at Illinois LW, giving up 207 yards on ground. Last four years, MAC teams are 15-8-1 ATS when playing a C-USA opponent.

            Vanderbilt was outgained 481-225 at home in a 30-6 loss to Georgia LW; under Mason, Commodores are 13-11 ATS as a road underdog- they’re 6-3 ATS in last nine games outside the SEC. Purdue blew 24-7 halftime lead in LW’s 34-31 loss at Nevada; under Brohm, Boilers are 4-5 ATS as a home favorite. Last four years, SEC teams are 8-5 vs spread when playing a Big 14 opponent.

            Iowa (-13) won 14-7 at Rutgers three years ago, in teams’ only meeting. Scarlet Knights won their opener 48-21 over UMass- they outgained Minutemen 548-307. Under Ash, Rutgers is 7-8 ATS as a road underdog. Hawkeyes covered five of last seven tries as a home favorite- they drilled Miami OH last week, outgaining Red Hawks, 465-245. Iowa has a senior QB but only four starters back on defense.

            North Texas (-4) beat SMU 46-23 LY, ending its 3-game skid against the Mustangs; Mean Green beat a I-AA team 51-31 LW, but they gave up 456 yards. UNT has a senior QB (37 starts). SMU won its opener 37-30 at Arkansas State LW, gaining 508 TY. Mustangs are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Last 6+ years, AAC teams are 15-13 vs spread when playing C-USA teams.

            South Florida (+3) beat Georgia Tech 49-38 LY, despite giving up 419 YR- Tech doesn’t run the option anymore- they lost their opener 52-14 at Clemson LW, giving up 411 YR to the Tigers. Tech is 9-5 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite. Over last decade, USF is 20-10 ATS as a road underdog. Bulls got hammered 49-0 by Wisconsin LW. AAC are 16-9 ATS in their last 25 games vs ACC opponents.

            Tulsa hammered San Jose State 45-10 (-5) in last meeting in 2016; Golden Hurricane was held to 80 yards LW in its 28-7 loss at Michigan State- Tulsa had minus-73 YR. Last three years, Tulsa is 1-3 ATS as a road favorite. San Jose beat a I-AA team 35-18 LW; Spartans are 6-4-1 in last 11 games as a home underdog. Last three years, Mountain West teams are 10-0 vs spread when playing an AAC opponent.

            Over last six years, UConn is 3-22 ATS outside its conference, 0-12 last three years. Illinois had 207 yards running, 194 passing in its 42-3 win over Akron LW; Illini has 10 starters back on defense, but a new QB. Over last five years, Illini is 3-0 ATS as a road favorite. UConn held off I-AA Wagner 24-21 LW, a red flag; Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. AAC teams are 8-5 ATS in their last 13 games vs Big 14 opponents.

            Arkansas State (-7.5) beat UNLV 27-20 at home LY; Rebels ran ball for 310 yards, though. Last three years, ASU is 8-9 ATS on road. Red Wolves lost their opener 37-30 at home to SMU LW. UNLV hammered a I-AA team LW; Rebels are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 home games, 9-15 under Sanchez. Last three years, Mountain West teams are 8-3-1 vs spread when playing a Sun Belt opponent.

            San Diego State beat a I-AA team 6-0 LW, gaining only 238 TY with 14 first downs- not good. Last three year, Aztecs are 3-1 as road underdogs- they’ve got a senior QB and an OL with 69 returning starts. UCLA lost 24-14 at Cincy LW, completing 8-26 passes, gaining only 218 yards. Last five years, Bruins are 8-15 as a home favorite. Last three years, Mountain West teams are 13-10 ATS when playing a Pac-12 opponent.

            Trap game for Wyoming after they beat Missouri LW as 18-point dogs. Wyoming (-16) drilled Texas State 45-10 in last meeting two years ago, but that was with Josh Allen at QB. Cowboys are 3-6 ATS in last nine non-league games. TSU lost 41-7 at Texas A&M LW; they’re 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog. Last three years, Mountain West teams are 8-3-1 vs spread when playing a Sun Belt opponent.

            Central Florida (-13) waxed Florida Atlantic 56-36, gaining 545 TY. last three years, UCF is 7-2 ATS as a road favorite. Knights have a senior who transferred from Notre Dame- their OL has 75 returning starts. FAU was down 28-0 after 8:10 at Ohio State LW; Owls covered only once in their last eight tries as a home underdog. Last 6+ years, AAC teams are 15-13 vs spread when playing C-USA teams.
            Last edited by Udog; 09-05-2019, 08:23 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              Tech Trends - Week 2
              Bruce Marshall

              Friday, Sept. 6
              Matchup Skinny
              Edge

              WAKE FOREST at RICE...Wake 10-4-1 last 15 away from Winston-Salem, 14-5 as visiting chalk since 2015. Owls 7-3 as DD dog since LYm 6-1 getting 20 points or more.
              Wake Forest, based on team trends.


              MARSHALL at BOISE STATE... Boise a bit better as blue carpet chalk LY (3-3) but still just 16-35 last 51 in role. Herd 8-2 as dog past two seasons and has covered 7 straight away from home vs. non-CUSA teams.
              Marshall, based on team trends.


              Saturday, Sept. 7
              Matchup Skinny
              Edge

              OHIO at PITT...Note that Solich a dog here, and he’s 10-2 as dog away from Athens since 2015, and 9-1 last ten vs. line against non-MAC away from home. Pitt 4-2-1 vs. line at Heinz Field since LY but 6-14 vs. spread as host previous three seasons.
              Ohio, based on team trends.


              OLD DOMINION at VIRGINIA TECH...Big revenge from ODU upset LY. Monarchs were 2-1 as DD dog in 2018 but 1-7 in role previous two years. Fuente 9-5 as Blacksburg chalk with VPI, though only 12-15 overall vs. line since 2017.
              Slight to Virginia Tech, based on team trends.


              UAB at AKRON...Blazers 10-4 vs. line LY, 18-9-1 since resuming football in 2017. Though just 2-3 as visiting chalk that span. Arth home debut for Zips., Akron though only 2-8 as home dog since 2014.
              UAB, based on team trends.


              ARMY at MICHIGAN...Army 14-8 as dog past four years, and has covered 6 of last 7 away West Point. Harbaugh 1-5 vs. spread last five hosting non-Big Ten.
              Army, based on team trends.


              VANDERBILT at PURDUE...Derek Mason 5-10 as dog past two years, but 4-1 last five vs. spread as non-SEC visitor. Brohm 0-4 as home chalk LY.
              Slight to Vandy, based on team trends.


              RUTGERS at IOWA...Rutgers actually now on 6-game cover streak after UMass win. Ash 15-8 vs. line last 23 on board. Ferentz however 16-4-1 last 21 as chalk, and 12-3-1 last 16 on board.
              Slight to Iowa, based on team trends.


              SYRACUSE at MARYLAND...Terps 10-3 vs. line in first two games the past six seasons under varieties of coaches. Md also now 6-2 vs. spread at home since 2018. Dino Babers 11-2 vs. spread last 12 away from Carrier Dome.
              Syracuse, based on team trends.


              WEST VIRGINIA at MISSOURI...Neal Brown was 10-4 vs. line as dog the past four years with Troy. Mounties 4-1 as visiting dog past three seasons Barry Odom 8-2 vs. points last 10 at Columbia.
              Slight to West Virginia, based on team trends.


              CINCINNATI at OHIO STATE...Fickell now 6-1 vs. line in first three games of season since taking over Bearcats in 2017. Also 7-4 as dog the past two years. Buckeyes just 15-16 as DD chalk at Big Horseshoe since 2016 but were 2-0 in role for Ryan Day LY.
              Slight to Cincinnati, based on team trends.


              BOWLING GREEN at KANSAS STATE...No more Jinks jinx at BGSU, Falcs were 11-25 vs. line last three seasons (Jinks ousted late 2018). Fals 4-10 as DD dog past two years. Loeffler’s challenge now. One role that didn’t work lately for Bill Snyder was home chalk (4-11 last four years), let’s see what Klieman can do.
              Slight to Kansas State, based on BGSU negatives.


              NORTHERN ILLINOIS at UTAH...Kyle Whittingham 6-2-1 as DD chalk the past two years and 12-5 vs. points last 17 at Rice-Eccles. Now Hammock for NIU but under Carey, Huskies were 0-4-1 last five vs. non-MAC teams.
              Utah, based on team trends.


              SOUTH FLORIDA at GEORGIA TECH...If USF a dog note 3-1 in role on road past two seasons. Collisn closed his Temple run on 14-6-1 spread uptick but Jackets now on 5-11 spread skid.
              Slight to USF, if dog, based on team trends.

              TULSA at SAN JOSE STATE...SJSU actually on 9-5-1 spread uptick entering 2019, and 8-4 last 12 as dog. Tulsa only 1-3 as road chalk last three years (0-0 LY).
              Slight to San Jose State, based on team trends.


              NEBRASKA at COLORADO...Huskers haven’t played in Boulder since 2009. Frost covered last four and six of last 7 in 2018, also covered last four on road. Buffs just 3-10 last 13 vs. spread at Boulder, also were just 3-9 last 12 as dog under MacIntyre.
              Nebraska, based on team trends.


              TEXAS A&M at CLEMSON...Jimbo has covered 4 of last 6 meetings vs. Dabo, including LY at Kyle Field. Ags 3-1 as dog LY, now 12-3 vs. spread since LY after Tex State win. Jimbo now 7-0 vs. non-SEC with Ags. Clemson no covers all three reg season vs. non-ACC LY.
              Texas A&M, based on team trends.


              CENTRAL MICHIGAN at WISCONSIN...McElwain closed Gator career on 9-15 spread skid. Chips 7-4 as road dog since 2017 and were 4-1 as DD dog LY. Badgers rather shocking 1-6 as home chalk in 2018.
              Slight to Central Michigan, based on recent trends.


              CHARLOTTE at APP STATE...App was 9-3-1 vs. line for Satterfield LY and 7-3-1 laying DD, let’s see what Drinkwitz can do. Mounties have won and covered five straight non-Belt games and routed 49ers 45-9 LY. First road game for Will Healy.
              Appalachian State, based on team trends.


              SOUTHERN MISS at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Moorhead 4-0 vs. line non-SEC reg season LY, but L in opener vs. ULL. Bulldogs also 5-1 as Starkville chalk LY and 8-2 vs. points non-SEC since 2017. Jay Hopson 7-3 as dog past two seasons and USM 4-1 vs. spread last five against SEC.
              Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.


              ILLINOIS at UCONN...After non-cover vs. Wagner, UConn 2-11 vs. spread since LY, Edsall 2.0 now 7-18 vs. spread since 2017 with Huskies. Lovie not-too-bad 5-4 as chalk since taking over in 2016 compared to 10-18 dog mark.
              Illinois, based on UConn negatives.


              ARKANSAS STATE at UNLV...Ark State on 1-8 spread skid outside of Belt. Sanchez however only 10-15 vs. line at Sam Boyd, Rebs just 11-21 last 32 vs. number at home. If dog, note Sanchez 4-8 in role since 2016.
              Slight to UNLV, based on team trends.


              UTSA at BAYLOR...UTSA 6-‘15 last 21 on board. Roadrunners did win at Baylor in 2017, however. Matt Rhule just 1-5 as Waco chalk since taking over Baylor in 2017.
              Slight to UTSA, based on Baylor chalk negatives.


              NEW MEXICO STATE at ALABAMA...This is the sort of game that has troubled Bama. Saban just 2-5 vs. line last seven Game 2s, just 4-10 last 14 vs. spread hosting non-SEC foes. Can we trust NMSU? Ags only 2-7 as dog LY but were 10-8 getting DD previous three seasons.
              Slight to New Mexico State, based on team trends.


              SAN DIEGO STATE at UCLA... After Cincy loss, UCLA now 23-40 vs. spread since 2014. Bruins also 5-13-1 last 19 as chalk. Rocky Long on 3-12 spread skid, but is 6-2 last 8 as dog.
              San Diego State, based on extended UCLA negatives.


              ULM at FLORIDA STATE...Noles just 8-15-2 last 2 years vs. line, Taggart 2-4 as chalk LY. Matt Viator, however, on 6-13 spread slide entering this season.
              Slight to ULM, based on team trends.


              WYOMING at TEXAS STATE...Bohl covered last five a year ago, and was 13-4 last 17 as dog entering last season. Though Bohl no covers last four vs. Power 5 foes. Bohl 2-5 last 8 as DD dog. Tom Herman teams at UH and UT, however, 2-11-1 as DD chalk entering this season.
              Slight to Wyoming, based on team trends.


              NORTH TEXAS at SMU...If SMU is favored in Metroplex war, note that Sonny Dykes is 0-4 as chalk since taking over Mustangs in 2017 Frisco Bowl. Mean Green, however, closed 2018 dropping last 6 and 8 of last 9 vs. spread. If UNT chalk note 3-7 mark in role LY. SMU has won and covered handily last two meetings in Dallas.
              Slight to SMU, based on team trends.


              BYU at TENNESSEE...Vols just 3-1s vs. spread at Knoxville since 2017, and 7-18 overall vs. spread past two years (5-8 LY for Pruitt). Also 2-8 as chalk since 2017. Cougs 9-2 as road dog since 2016.
              BYU, based on team trends.


              UCF at FAU...UCF on 11-4 spread run (10-4 for Heupel), also 8-2 last 10 as DD chalk. Knights 26-13-1 vs. line since 2016. Kiffin only 4-8-1 vs. spread since 2018, now 3-5 last 8 vs. spread away from Boca Raton.
              UCF, based on team trends.


              WESTERN KENTUCKY at FIU...Tops were 4-1-1 as road dog LY but the Helton era did not start well with loss to UCA. FIU has covered last three in series and throttled WKU the last two meetings. Even after Tulane loss, Butch Davis brings a 15-7 spread mark last 22 into home opener.
              FIU, based on team and series trends.


              COASTAL CAROLINA at KANSAS...Miles closed his LSU career on 22-33-1 spread skid. KU entered 2019 on 4-10 spread skid at home vs. non-Big 12. CC 5-3-1 as road dog since 2017.
              Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on KU/Miles negatives.


              LIBERTY at ULL...Cajuns 9-4-2 vs. line since Billy Napier debut LY, 8-1 last 9 vs. spread in reg season.
              ULL, based on team trends.


              WESTERN MICHGAN at MICHIGAN STATE...MSU 16-25 as home chalk since 2012, no covers last seven overall at East Lansing. Dantonio 2-8 vs. spread last ten vs. Non-Big Ten at home. Broncos however only 4-10 last 14 on board and only 1-4 as dog LY.
              Slight to Western Michigan, based on extended MSU negatives.


              LSU at TEXAS...”Tom Herman as a dog” once more; Herman 8-2 as dog with Horns, 13-2 in role since 2015 with Houston and Texas. Orgeron 2-6 vs. spread last eight reg season vs. non-SEC.
              Texas, based on Herman-as-dog marks.


              TULANE at AUBURN...Gus 6-17-1 as Jordan Hare chalk since 2015. Auburn 9-20-2 as DD chalk past four years. Gus 1-6 vs. spread last 7 vs. non-SEC at home. Wave 6-1 vs. spread last six outside AAC,
              Tulane, based on team trends.


              ARKANSAS at OLE MISS...Rebs now have dropped last six and 9 of last 10 vs. spread. Matt Luke however was 2-1 vs. line as chalk LY. Hogs, have covered six straight in what has been a wild series in recent years, but Chad Morris 0-4 vs. line as visitor LY.
              Slight to Arkansas, based on series trends.


              NEVADA at OREGON...Jay Norvell 8-5 last 12 as dog, but Pack just 1-5 last six vs. line non-MW on road. Cristobal just 5-10 vs. line with Ducks, who are also just 7-12 laying DD at Autzen since 2015.
              Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.


              BUFFALO at PENN STATE...James Franklin just 4-6 last ten laying DD. Leipold 17-7-2 vs. spread since 2017, and Bulls 9-3-1 vs. points last 13 as visitor. Bulls 2-0 as DD dog since 2017.
              Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.


              EASTERN MICHIGAN at KENTUCKY...Cats 1-9 as home chalk since 2017 and 1-10 last 11 hosting non-SEC foes. EMU 14-2 last 16 as visiting dog, 20-3-1 last 24 overall as short!
              Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.


              UTEP at TEXAS TECH... Miners actually 4-2 as road dog LY, though only 5-6 overall as short. Note Matt Wells 6-0-1 as home chalk with Utags and Red Raiders since LY, and Tech 7-1 laying DD since 2016.
              Texas Tech, based on team trends.


              MIAMI-FLA. at NORTH CAROLINA...Canes were just 4-7 the last two years for Richt laying DD. Heels had covered three straight in series prior to LY. Fedora was 6-3 as dog LY, and Mack now 1-0 in role this season.
              Slight to UNC, based on extended series trends.


              STANFORD at USC...If Shaw a dog note his 13-5 mark in role since taking over Tree in 2011. Stanford 10-4 vs. spread last 14 in series. Helton 4-10 vs. spread at Coliseum since 2017, 8-20 overall vs. spread last 28 on board.
              Stanford, especially if dog, based on team and series trends.


              CAL at WASHINGTON...Revenge for Huskies after 12-10 loss at Berkeley LY. Bears have covered five straight as a road dog for Wilcox and are 6-1 vs. spread last 7 as visitor. Petersen just 1-5 as home chalk LY and 3-8 as chalk overall, 4-11 last 15 in role.
              Cal, based on team trends.


              MINNESOTA at FRESNO STATE...Gophers just 2-6-1 last nine as visitor. Fresno 21-6-2 vs. spread since Jeff Tedford took over Bulldogs in 2017 and 8-4 vs. line as host. Bulldogs also 8-2 vs. points non-MW for Tedford. Revenge for Dawgs from bitter loss LY.
              Fresno State, based on team trends.


              OREGON STATE at HAWAII...Beavs not too bad 3-3 as road dog LY, though just 2-6 as DD dog. Rainbows, however, 4-15 as Aloha Stadium chalk since 2014.
              Oregon State, based on team trends.

              Comment


              • #8
                Clemson's opening odds tick up early for College Football Week 2 clash vs Texas A&M
                Patrick Everson

                Clemson's opening odds tick up early for College Football Week 2 clash vs Texas A&M
                Clemson running back Travis Etienne had 205 yards and three TDs in a Week 1 blowout of Georgia Tech.


                The No. 1 Tigers opened as 18-point favorites at home in Week 2 vs. No. 11 Texas A&M.

                Week 1 isn’t quite a wrap yet in college football, but it’s time to set our sights on a Week 2 with several noteworthy matchups. We check in on the opening odds and early action for four games, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for New Jersey-based online sportsbook PointsBet USA.

                No. 11 Texas A&M Aggies at No. 1 Clemson Tigers (-18)

                Perennial College Football Playoff contender Clemson got down to business quickly with an easy Week 1 victory. The Tigers (1-0 SU and ATS) put up two touchdowns in each of the first three quarters and hammered Georgia Tech 52-14, narrowly cashing as 37-point home favorites Thursday.

                Texas A&M had no issues in its opener, either, though against a much less notable opponent. The Aggies (1-0 SU and ATS) dispatched Texas State 41-7, giving up a final-minute touchdown to barely cover as 33.5-point faves.

                These two teams met last September, with host A&M rallying from a 21-6 deficit to nearly force overtime. The Aggies scored a last-minute TD to pull within 28-26, but the 2-point attempt failed and Clemson escaped as 12-point chalk.

                “This season, things clearly are expected to be different in Death Valley,” Chaprales said, alluding to an 18-point opening line. “This is Clemson’s toughest two-game stretch, so one can reasonably expect this line to come down a bit over the course of the week, but not too far. The line waffled early from 18 to 17.5 and back to 18, so we will see how it progresses.”

                By later Monday morning, the number actually progressed upward to Clemson -18.5.

                No. 6 Louisiana State Tigers at No. 10 Texas Longhorns (+4.5)

                Expectations are high at Texas for the 2019-20 season, and this SEC/Big 12 showdown could demonstrate whether that’s justified. The Longhorns (1-0 SU and ATS) opened with an easy 45-14 victory over Louisiana Tech laying 19 points at home Saturday.

                Likewise, LSU had little trouble in Week 1 as it hopes to mount a charge against Alabama this year in the Southeastern Conference. On Saturday, the Tigers (1-0 SU and ATS) dispatched Georgia Southern 55-3 giving 27 points at home.

                “The Longhorns are the underdogs as ‘GameDay’ heads down to Austin in this marquee matchup,” Chaprales said. “Neither team was really tested to open the season, but now, we can truly find out if Texas is back. There hasn’t been much action drawn on this one yet, but with such a big matchup on our hands, there should be an influx coming, especially with two incredibly public teams.”

                No. 23 Stanford Cardinal at Southern California Trojans (no line)

                Both these programs saw their starting quarterbacks get hurt in Week 1, but Southern Cal suffered the much more significant injury. JT Daniels tore his right ACL and meniscus in the second quarter against Fresno State on Saturday, and he will miss the rest of the year. The Trojans (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) went on to win 31-23 as 14.5-point home favorites, but will now field a freshman QB in Kedon Slovis.

                Stanford quarterback K.J. Costello exited Saturday’s home game with Northwestern after a hit to the head late in the first half, and his status is still undetermined. The Cardinal pulled off an extremely unlikely cover in that game, recovering a fumble for a touchdown with 20 seconds left in a 17-7 victory giving 6.5 points.

                “The real, and most unfortunate, storyline here is Daniels’ devastating torn ACL that has knocked him out for the season,” Chaprales said. “What started out as a promising beginning has now turned into a potential nightmare for Clay Helton and the Trojans. But on the other side, Costello went down due to a very questionable hit up high. With both starting QBs injured, we do not have a line on this yet.

                “Right now, we could see that number being around USC -3 to -4.5, but Costello’s status could greatly alter that. There’s still too much uncertainty.”

                Cincinnati Bearcats at No. 5 Ohio State Buckeyes (-16.5)

                Ohio State got out of the gate in a huge hurry under new coach Ryan Day, who took over for the retired Urban Meyer. The Buckeyes (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) scored 28 first-quarter points against Florida Atlantic and coasted to a 45-21 victory laying 27 points at home.

                Cincinnati could be a more formidable opponent than the opening line suggests, as the program is coming off one of its best seasons (11-2 SU last year). The Bearcats kept it rolling in the 2019-20 opener, topping UCLA 24-14 as 2.5-point home favorites, the second straight year they’ve beaten the Bruins.

                “Respect has to be given to Cincinnati, as Luke Fickell has the Bearcats well ahead of schedule,” Chaprales said of the coach entering his third season. “This line could very well shift toward Cincy a small amount, as one can reasonably expect QB Justin Fields and the Buckeyes to be tested this week. This could be especially true if you put any stock into the fact that Fickell spent practically his whole career with the Buckeyes up until getting this job.

                “If last week was any indication, people may have their eyes on this Bearcats squad.”

                That said, the initial move on this line was toward Ohio State, to -17.
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-04-2019, 02:12 AM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Big Ten Report - Week 2
                  September 3, 2019
                  By ASA


                  Week 2 Big Ten Matchups
                  Army at Michigan (-22.5, Total 46.5)
                  Vanderbilt at Purdue (-7.5, Total 55.5)
                  Rutgers at Iowa (-20, Total 50)
                  Syracuse at Maryland (-1.5, Total 56)
                  Cincinnati at Ohio State (-16, Total 53)
                  Nebraska (-3.5, Total 64) at Colorado
                  Central Michigan at Wisconsin (-35, Total 51.5)
                  Illinois (-20.5, Total 60.5) at Connecticut
                  Western Michigan at Michigan State (-16, Total 46)
                  Buffalo at Penn State (-29.5, Total 58)
                  Minnesota (-3, Total 46.5) at Fresno State
                  Eastern Illinois at Indiana (-34, Total 62.5)


                  Odds Subject to Change

                  ILLINOIS

                  The Illini (-18) look to us like they’ll be an improved team this year and they began to prove that narrative on Saturday with a 42-3 win over Akron. It was their largest margin of victory since the 2016 opener when they crushed Murray State 52-3. The offense was led by Michigan transfer quaterback Brandon Peters who attempted only 23 passes (163 yards passing) but ushered his team to TD’s on each of their first 3 possessions. While Peters played well, the Illinois rushing game carried the load with 65% of their plays coming on the ground (207 total rushing yards on 46 carries). However, they were dealt a blow when Mike Esptein, one of their key tailbacks along with Reggie Corbin, was lost for the year with a knee injury.

                  Head coach Lovie Smith, whose background is on the defensive side of the ball, is now the defensive coordinator as well. He took over for Hardy Nickerson who resigned midseason a year ago. Smith had his defense looking very good on Saturday. After allowing nearly 42 PPG and over 500 YPG last year, the Illini held Akron to just 3 points on 198 total yards. Last year Illinois opened with a MAC opponent as well and allowed Kent to score 24 points on 453 yards so progress looks like it’s being made in Champaign. Keep in mind that Akron was just 4-8 last year and they are operating under a new head coach so the Illini enthusiasm may need to be tempered a bit. Illinois heads to Connecticut this weekend. The Huskies held on last week at home to beat Wagner 24-21.

                  INDIANA
                  The Hoosiers had a scare right out of the gate last week holding on to beat Ball State 34-24 in Indianapolis. IU was favored by 18 in the game and never came close to getting to that number. Their largest lead was just 14 and that didn’t come until there was only 13:00 left in the game. Ball State cut it to 7 with 6:30 remaining but Indiana closed it out with a late FG. Head coach Tom Allen went with freshman Michael Penix Jr. at QB as he beat out last year’s starter Peyton Ramsey who threw for nearly 3,000 yards and 19 TD’s a year ago. Penix played well throwing for 326 yards along with 67 yards on the ground which led the team. Only one other Indiana QB has been able to throw for over 300 yards in his freshman starting debut and that was Antwaan Randle El back in 1998. We remember Randle El very well as we began handicapping in the late 80’s and launched ASA Inc back in 1997! Back to Penix, while he is a freshman, he did get some experience last year playing in 3 games for the Hoosiers before being redshirted but his was his first start. For Penix to lead Indiana in rushing with just 67 yards is a concern. Especially facing a Ball State defense that allowed 240 YPG on the ground a year ago. RB Stevie Scott, who had over 1,100 yards rushing last year, had just 48 yards on 19 carries. However, IU’s rushing numbers may have taken a hit due to Ball State putting put 8+ defenders in the box for much of the game forcing the freshman QB to beat them and he did just that. After allowing 424 YPG a year ago, Allen was hoping to see a much better Indiana defense vs Ball State. Instead he was upset with their effort allowing 398 total yards mentioning the “shoulder tackling” has to go. IU hosts Eastern Illinois next week before the Buckeyes come to town on September 14th.

                  IOWA
                  Our interest in this one was the drastic line movement on gameday. Iowa opened as a 21.5 point favorite vs Miami Oh back in late June and was sitting at -22 at most places on Saturday morning. By game time the number had pushed all the way to -25 or -25.5 at a majority of shops. The game ended with Iowa winning 38-14 so the line move and when people played the game was very significant. The game was in the balance with under 6:00 minutes remaining and Iowa up by just 10. They scored the final 2 TD’s of the game for the 38-14 win. The Hawkeyes never led by more than 17 points until 3:03 remaining in the game when their final TD pushed the margin to 24. Iowa dominated the stat sheet outgaining the Redhawks by 220 yards, including rolling up 213 yards rushing to just 59 for Miami. Iowa’s main concern defensively was up front where they were replacing all 4 starting defensive linemen. They held up more than well allowing just 2.5 yards per carry vs a Miami Oh team that is one of the favorites in the MAC East. After holding just a 10-7 lead at half, Iowa completely controlled the 2nd half racking up 295 yards to just 106 for the Redhawks. One major concern moving forward is starting LT Alaric Jackson, one of the best in the Big Ten, who exited with a knee injury and did not return. He will be out for several weeks at the least. Iowa opens the conference season next weekend hosting Rutgers before traveling to Iowa State the following Saturday as they try and hold onto the CyHawk Trophy.

                  MARYLAND
                  The Mike Locksley era at Maryland got off to an impressive start as the Terps (-31) crushed Howard 79-0. As you can see by the final score, not much to write here except total domination by Maryland. They were +20 first downs, put up 623 yards while holding Howard to 68, rushed for 317 yards while limiting the Bison to 1 yard on the ground. Howard only crossed midfield once and they were held inside their own 35 yard line on all but two of their offensive possessions. New QB Josh Jackson, a Virginia Tech transfer, threw 4 TD’s in the first half leading Maryland to a 56-0 halftime lead, the most points the Terps have ever scored in half. We’ll find out a lot more about this team on Saturday when they host Syracuse. The Orange shut out Liberty 24-0 last weekend.

                  MICHIGAN
                  The Wolves played host to Middle Tennessee State last Saturday and led just 24-14 late in the first half. They pulled away in the 2nd half on their way to a 40-21 win but didn’t come close to covering the 36-point spread. It was a bit of a disappointing performance vs an MTSU team that was replacing their all time leading passer and came into the game very inexperienced on the offensive line. The Wolverines unleased their new no-huddle, up tempo, spread offense for the first time under new offensive coordinator Josh Gattis who came over from Alabama in the off season. While they were very balanced with 233 yards rushing and 220 yards passing, Michigan only averaged 5.8 yards per play vs an MTSU defense that allowed 5.5 YPP last year vs a fairly pedestrian schedule. The U of M defense, which was ranked #1 nationally for much of last season, closed out last year allowing 62 points to Ohio State and 41 points to Florida in their bowl loss. They shut down the Blue Raiders rushing attack allowing only 67 yards on 28 carries. However, they struggled a bit with their pass defense as MTSU first time starter O’Hara was 22 of 32 for 217 yards and 2 TD’s. Michigan was without two key starters as OT Jon Runyan and WR Donovan Peoples-Jones both sat out with injuries. Head coach Jim Harbaugh said he hopes to have both back next Saturday when they host Army. That means just one week for the defense to prepare for Army’s option attack which is always difficult. The Cadets won at home 14-7 vs Rice last week moving their record to an impressive 22-6 their last 28 games.

                  MICHIGAN STATE
                  The Spartans looked just as we thought they would last weekend. Great on defense and not so great on offense. MSU (-23.5) topped Tulsa 28-7 giving them wins in 21-straight home openers. The defense was outstanding holding Tulsa to just 80 total yards. To say the Golden Hurricane couldn’t do anything on the ground would be an understatement. They had -73 yards on 25 carries for an average of -3 YPC. Yes, you read that correctly. Sparty was #1 in the nation against the run last season and they have a great jump on defending that title this year. After the game Tulsa head coach Philip Montgomery said that MSU probably had the best defensive line he’s ever faced which is obviously high praise.

                  If only the offense could hold up their end of the bargain. They were held to 24 points or less in every Big Ten game last year and they were far from a well oiled unit last week. The offense scored just 2 TD’s and had only 303 total yards vs a Tulsa defense that allowed 30 PPG and 408 YPG a year ago. After averaging only 125 yards rushing last year, the Spartans tallied just 108 yards on the ground on 40 carries last week (2.7 YPC). Again, that was against a Tulsa defense that gave up 233 YPG on the ground last year. Brian Lewerke is back at QB and completed just 56% of his passes last Saturday after completing only 54% last year. This team can be very good but the offense needs to play much better. They can get by on defense alone vs the likes of Tulsa and some of the lower tier Big Ten teams. That won’t cut it against the top teams they play this year. MSU actually LOST 2 games last year in which their defense gave up less than 10 points. That simply can’t happen. Sparty hosts in state MAC foe Western Michigan next weekend.

                  MINNESOTA
                  The Gophers played host to FCS powerhouse South Dakota State last Saturday in a game that went to the wire. Minnesota (-14.5) never led by more than 13 and they were actually down 21-20 entering the 4th quarter before pulling out a 28-21 win. While it may look like a ho-hum performance by the Gophers keep in mind South Dakota State is a top 5 FCS team that was in the National Championship game last year, a loss to North Dakota State. That being said, Minnesota was not sharp. The Jackrabbits actually outgained Minnesota (367 to 308) with both accumulating 60 offensive snaps. One big concern coming out of the game was the performance of the offensive line. There was some uncertainty entering this game up front and the Gophers were only able to run for 132 yards on 42 carries (3.1 YPC). They were pushed around at times up front by their FCS opponent.

                  The defensive line wasn’t much better as the Jackrabbits rushed for 5.1 YPC. The Gophers need to play much better in the trenches moving forward as they face better opponents. Minny scored 28 points but two of their TD’s came as a direct result of SDSU turnovers – one interception returned for a TD and a fumble that led to a 34-yard TD drive. In the end, a win is a win, but we weren’t impressed with Minnesota’s first game. They travel to Fresno State this weekend which is a revenge game for the Bulldogs who lost 21-14 at Minnesota last year.

                  NEBRASKA
                  In our opinion Nebraska has been overhyped the entire off-season and they proved us correct last Saturday. They entered as a 35 point chalk and were lucky to win 35-21. The talk of this team being a top 10 or 15 team in Scott Frost’s 2nd year at the helm was much to premature in our minds. While their offense was very good at the end of last year and QB Adrian Martinez is a potential star in the making, their defense was terrible. They allowed 434 YPG on nearly 6.0 yards per play last season. While we expect some improvement on that side of the ball, they’d have to make an awfully big jump to reach the lofty expectations put on them by the media and their fans.

                  Last Saturday, it was actually their offense that looked like it was stuck in neutral. They tallied just 276 yards on 66 offensive snaps and scored only 14 points. What makes matters look worse is they were facing a South Alabama defense that allowed 39 PPG on 450 YPG a year ago. The Huskers can thank their defense for this one which has been rare as we mentioned above. They forced the Jaguars into 5 turnovers, 2 of them going for TD’s on an interception return and fumble recovery in the endzone. The other Nebraska TD came on a 76-yard punt return. The fact is, they were outgained, had fewer first downs, lost the time of possession by nearly 10:00 minutes at home, as a 5 TD favorite, vs a team that was 3-9 last year. Let’s hold off on anointing this team the best in the Big Ten West. They may get there, but they are nowhere near where they need to be right now. This weekend they head to Boulder as a road favorite to take on Colorado.

                  NORTHWESTERN
                  This one literally came down to the final play (or 2nd to last play) of the game to decide the spread. Stanford was a 6.5 point chalk and led 10-7 with 30 seconds remaining and Northwestern had the ball at their own 20 yard line. It would take a miracle for Stanford to cover and that’s just what transpired. The Cats QB Hunter Johnson was sacked, fumbled and Stanford recovered in the endzone with 20 seconds remaining in the game to pick up a cover and a 17-7 win. Johnson was the much ballyhooed former 5-star transfer from Clemson and he struggled to say the least.

                  The QB duo of TJ Green and Johnson were only able to complete 44% of their passes and gain just 4.3 yards per pass attempt. On the ground the Wildcats were held to less than 3 YPC. They were outgained by 155 yards in the game. Just an ugly all around offensive performance for the Cats. They lost QB Green, son of former NFL QB Trent Green, to a foot injury. He’s already had surgery and might be gone for the entire season. Injuries were the lead story for NW coming out of this game as starting LT Slater, leading rusher Bowser, and team captain DB Williams all left the game. The good thing for Northwestern is they have a bye this week before hosting UNLV on September 14th.

                  OHIO STATE
                  Those who were on OSU (-28) on Saturday were getting ready to cash their tickets early on as the Bucks jumped out to a 28-0 lead with 6:50 still remaining in the first quarter. New starting QB Justin Fields, who transferred from Georgia, looked fantastic running for a TD and throwing for 3 more all less than 10:00 minutes into the game. The Buckeyes tallied 220 of their 469 total yards in the first quarter alone. Unfortunately for Buckeye backers they took their foot off the gas early. After scoring their 28th point with 6:50 left in the first stanza, OSU went more than 2 full quarters without a point scoring their next TD with 2:37 left in the 3rd quarter. FAU had two long scoring drives of 75 & 76 yards in the 4th quarter to pick up the cover losing 45-21. Those two 4th quarter drives accounted for almost 70% of the Owls yardage for the game (228 total yards).

                  OSU will get a much tougher test at home next Saturday when they host in-state program Cincinnati. The Bearcats are coming off a 10-point win over UCLA, they are 13-2 their last 15 games, they are coached by former Buckeye interim head coach and defensive coordinator Luke Fickell, and we can guarantee this will be Cincy’s biggest game of the season. Should be interesting.

                  PENN STATE
                  Similar to our Maryland synapsis above, really not much to say here. PSU came into the game as a ridiculous 41 point favorite and walked away with a 79-7 win. When’s the last time a team was favored by 41 and covered the number by 31 points! As expected when taking the final score into consideration, PSU completed dominated the ground game with 331 yards rushing while holding Idaho to just 4. The Nittany Lions averaged 7.4 YPC and 8.2 yards per play overall. They scored 10 TD’s in the game in their 82 offensive snaps for an average of one TD every 8.2 plays.

                  Just ridiculous. If you remember, Penn State was thrown for a loop when probable starting QB Tommy Stevens, a 5th year senior, decided to transfer to Mississippi State where he is now the Bulldogs starter. After that, Penn State head coach James Franklin turned to sophomore Sean Clifford, who had 7 career pass attempts, as his starting QB. Clifford looked great on Saturday throwing for 280 yards in the first half before sitting the rest of the way. Clifford also showed he can move very well with almost 60 yards rushing. Not much to take away from this game vs a terrible Idaho team that dropped from FBS to FCS status this year. Penn State hosts Buffalo on Saturday.

                  PURDUE
                  Meltdown! That is the theme of this one.

                  Purdue (-11) led Nevada 31-14 with under 4:00 remaining in the 3rd quarter and allowed the Wolfpack to come back for the 34-31 win. Nevada walk-on kicker Brandon Talton kicked a 56-yard FG as time expired to win. Talton was awarded a scholarship by head coach Jay Norvell after the game in a now much viewed twitter moment. Purdue had over 500 yards of total offense and outgained Nevada by 115 years but lost the turnover battle 5 to 0. That was the difference in the game. The final giveaway was the most damaging as Boilermaker starting QB Elijah Sindelar threw an interception with under 1:00 remaining in the game which led to the game winning FG for Nevada. Sindelar did throw for a career high 343 yards in the game. After taking a 31-14 lead on a 2-play 75 yard drive with 6:19 to go in the 3rd quarter, they gained only 55 yards on 24 plays from that point on. Purdue head coach Jeff Brohm admitted after the game they should have stayed more aggressive late in the game even though they had a 17-point lead. The running game struggled with just 96 yards and the offense was far from balanced with 29 rush attempts and 54 pass attempts. Not a great start facing a Nevada team that started a redshirt freshman at QB who had never attempted a pass in a college game.

                  Purdue attempts to get back on track this weekend as they host a Vanderbilt team that was smoked 30-6 at home vs Georgia. One bonus for the Boilers, they played last Friday (Vandy played on Saturday) giving them an extra day to prepare for this one.

                  RUTGERS
                  Rutgers has already matched their win total from a year ago after topping UMass 48-21 in their season opener. It didn’t look great early for the Scarlet Knights, who were favored by 17, as UMass jumped out to a quick 14-0 lead midway through the first quarter. The game played out in an odd way. The 2 teams combined to score 59 points on 619 yards in the first half which actually topped the game total of 54 before halftime. In the second half, they combined to score just 10 points on 239 total yards. After finishing 1-11 last year, Rutgers needed much better production from the QB position as last year’s starter Artur Sitkowski threw just 4 TD passes and 18 interceptions.

                  New starter McLane Carter, transfer from Texas Tech, definitely looked like an upgrade with 340 yards passing and 2 TD’s. Problem is, he also threw 3 picks which would never cut it for a team like Rutgers vs a solid FBS opponent. They were minus 14 in turnovers last year and that obviously has to be cleaned up or the Knights will remain at or near the bottom of the Big Ten. The Rutgers defense struggled early in the game allowing the Minutemen to score TD’s on their first 3 offensive possessions, but they locked down after that holding UMass scoreless over the final 45 minutes of the game. The Knights now kick off their Big Ten season at Iowa on Saturday.

                  WISCONSIN
                  Being in Madison, we receive very solid info and usually have a great feel for this Wisconsin team. We had been hearing that the defense, which struggled last year, was back to their form of 2015 – 2017 when they finished in the top 5 nationally in scoring defense each of those 3 seasons. They definitely looked the part last Friday as the Badgers (-10.5) shut out South Florida on the road 49-0 which was the worst loss EVER for the Bulls. The emphasis defensively during the off season was to get back to stopping the run. Last year UW allowed an uncharacteristic 155 YPG on the ground after giving up just 95, 99, & 98 the previous 3 seasons. In the win, they allowed just 26 yards on 23 carries. The USF offense didn’t cross midfield until there was 4:43 remaining in the game and tallied just 157 total yards. A dominant performance for Wisconsin’s defense vs a team that averaged 28 PPG on 438 YPG last season.

                  Offensively it was the Jonathan Taylor show as everyone expected. He had 183 total yards and 4 TD’s and he didn’t play the final 28:00 minutes of the game. QB Jack Coan was decent completing 19 of his 26 attempts but missed at least 2 TD’s on deep overthrows to wide open receivers. Wisconsin did not escape unscathed as starting LB Orr is questionable while starting RT Bruss, starting DE Green-May, and starting safety Nelson are all out as they host Central Michigan. After hosting the Chippewas, Wisconsin has a week off before Michigan comes to Camp Randall.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Saturday's Essentials
                    Tony Mejia

                    Here’s a look at what must be considered before wagering on Saturday's slate in all FBS vs. FBS matchups:

                    Early Starts

                    Ohio U. at Pittsburgh (-5.5/54), 11 a.m. ET, ACCN:
                    The Bobcats struggled to stop Rhode Island on a few occasions last week and failed to cover, so this will be quite the test on the road at Heinz Field. An offensive line that replaced three key starters held up, but they too will come under fire against the Panthers, who will looking to avoid an 0-2 start after losing to Virginia since they’ll play Penn State and UCF next and would likely be headed for an 0-4 start if they’re upset here. Pitt QB Kenny Pickett missed a lot of throws against the Cavaliers and was intercepted twice in the second half, so he could be under fire if he struggles again. Pitt’s offensive line and receivers also struggled in its ACC opener and you best believe that senior QB Nathan Rourke and a disciplined Bobcats team that has a shot at a 10-win season will take advantage if they struggle again. The Ohio money line is coming off at +180 and early action dropped the line down from 6.5.

                    Old Dominion at Virginia Tech (-28/56), 12 p.m. ET, ESPNU:
                    Legendary Hokies defensive coordinator Bud Foster’s swansong began in dubious fashion as Boston College racked up 35 points in an upset win in Chestnut Hill but he’ll be matched with a familiar face since ODU run-game coordinator Bryan Stinespring ran the o-line and recruiting for Va Tech for over a decade. This final home opener for him may mandate that he replace standout sophomore rush end TyJuan Garbutt, who was injured on a block against BC. DE Zion Debose is expected to be sidelined a while and a couple of others are banged up, so we’ll get to see what kind of defensive depth the Hokies are working with after a rough ACC opener. The Monarchs (+27) beat Virginia Tech 49-35 last season in one of the season’s biggest upsets but return only a handful of key players on both sides of the ball and narrowly beat FCS member Norfolk State 24-21 last week.

                    UAB (-9.5/46.5) at Akron, 12 p.m. ET, CBSSN:
                    The Blazers looked lifeless in their season-opening win over Alabama State and narrowly escaped 24-19 despite being listed as a 40-point favorite at some books. UAB played vanilla and then found itself in a battle it wasn’t expecting, so we’ll likely get a much better indication of what to expect from its group coming off last season’s 11-win and first-ever bowl victory, but there’s definitely concern. Most of last season’s key contributors are gone and the win over the Hornets featured an abundance of brutal miscues. UAB was 1-for-13 on third down. The Zips were trounced 42-3 at Illinois as dual threat QB Kato Nelson found very little space to run and spent most of the day running for his life. Clearly, first-year Akron head coach Tom Arth has his work cut out for him as he takes over for Terry Bowden, who had been present for every home opener since 2012.

                    Army at Michigan (-22/47), 12 p.m ET, FOX:
                    The Black Knights barely survived Rice 14-7 and take the field in Ann Arbor for their biggest challenge until November’s visit to Air Force and December’s date with Navy, so expect them to take their shot. Senior QB Kelvin Hopkins ran and threw for over 1,000 yards last season, so his arm gives Army a dimension it typically wouldn’t have and gives it a puncher’s chance to hang around with the bigger, more talented Wolverines if they can effectively utilize the element of surprise. Remember, Army took Kyler Murray-led Oklahoma to overtime last season as a 30-point underdog and hung 70 points on Houston in last December’s Armed Forces Bowl. The Wolverines weren’t as stifling as they were expected to be against Middle Tennessee, surrendering 21 points. That total is higher than any surrendered last season with the exception of games against Notre Dame, Ohio State and the bowl loss to Florida. Blindly betting the under here is awfully tempting given the presence of Army and Jim Harbaugh, but with Shea Patterson and Dylan McCaffrey splitting snaps and Michigan pushing tempo, that’s no longer a gimme.

                    Vanderbilt at Purdue (-7/55.5), 12 p.m. ET, BTN:
                    The Commodores generated little offense against Georgia in a 30-6 loss, but head coach Derek Mason diffused any talk of a quarterback controversy and will stick with Ball State transfer Riley Neal over backup Deuce Wallace. Between blanket coverage from the Dawgs and some awful snaps from new center Grant Miller that had him on his heels all night, Neal found no rhythm and will now be asked to generate some momentum on the road as he returns to his home state. The Boilermakers will be attempting to bounce back after blowing a double-digit lead at Nevada due to an awful, mistake-filled second half. Nick Holt couldn’t get his pass defense to get a stop when he needed it most on a windy night. Purdue opened 0-3 last season and will host TCU next week before settling in for Big Ten play, so we’re going to learn a lot about who it is over the next two weeks. DT Lorenzo Neal is likely out again due to a knee injury that has kept him out of camp and top corner Kenneth Major is questionable after leaving the Nevada loss. Boilers QB Elijah Sindelar threw for 423 yards and four scores, so there’s reason to be encouraged despite the early hiccup. Electric receiver Rondale Moore isn’t going to blow any more games making mistakes on punt returns.

                    Rutgers at Iowa (-20/49.5), 12 p.m. ET, FS1:
                    The Scarlet Knights gave up 21 first-quarter points to UMass before settling in and clamping down, but they wouldn’t be able to bounce back from that type of start if they start slowly in Iowa City. Texas Tech transfer QB McLane Carter is a playmaker. He’ll make mistakes, but the lefty is the best passer Rutgers has had in years. Isaih Pacheco and Raheem Blackshear are powerful runners who will be able to get forward if the line opens holes. Rutgers hasn’t won on the road since 2017 and have won only one of their last 15 Big Ten roadies, so this will be a huge challenge. The Hawkeyes are on another level than the Minutemen but only beat Rutgers 14-7 when these teams met last in ’16 and visit Iowa State next week. They trailed Miami (Ohio) 7-3 in the second quarter before getting going last week and have to overcome injury-related absences along the offensive line and at corner.

                    Syracuse at Maryland (-1.5/57), 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2:
                    The Orange didn’t put a lot on tape last week that the Terps coaching staff could use outside of Dino Babers doing pushups and waving at Liberty’s Hugh Freeze up in the press box. QB Tommy DeVito threw two costly picks and showed a lack of chemistry with his receivers that has to be a concern as the level of competition increases. The Terps obliterated overmatched Howard 79-0, so this will be the first real look at what they can do under new head coach Mike Locksley. Virginia Tech transfer QB Joshua Jackson has weapons around him and plenty of experience against ACC defenses, so we’re going to learn a lot about both programs after this one.

                    West Virginia at Missouri (-13.5/62.5), 12 p.m. ET, ESPN:
                    Kelly Bryant put up big numbers in his debut but the Tigers couldn’t hold a lead at Wyoming and ultimately lost a 37-31 shootout in Laramie. Mizzou’s next five games will all be at home, which could make for an uncomfortable situation for Barry Odom if his team’s level doesn’t pick up. The Tigers are 5-19 when they fail to score 40 points since he took over for Gary Pinkel, so there’s immense pressure to get things turned around defensively. West Virginia will be playing its first FBS foe under new head coach Neal Brown, but the Mountaineers were definitely tested by FCS power James Madison. Oklahoma transfer Austin Kendall will be a competent replacement for Will Grier, but West Virginia will rely on its ground game much more than it did under Dana Holgorsen and has four competent backs led by senior leader Kennedy McKoy.

                    Cincinnati at Ohio State (-15.5/54), 12 p.m. ET, ABC:
                    Luke Fickell returns home with bad intentions as he brings the Bearcats into Columbus. The former Ohio State nose guard turned defensive coach never coached will be facing his alma mater for the first time since leaving and has a reasonable shot of snapping the Buckeyes’ 41-game winning streak against in-state opponents. QB Justin Fields looked sharp early in his Ohio State debut before the offense sputtered, but this Bearcats defense is far superior to what he saw against the Owls. Cincinnati QB Desmond Ridder can make plays with his arm and his feet, while RB Michael Warren is a horse who will make it his mission to outperform JK Dobbins. The Bearcats defeated UCLA without star safety James Wiggins (torn ACL), but his absence will be felt here. It’s going to be on Fickell’s schemes and Ridder’s playmaking to overcome not having his impact. Cincinnati is +600 on the moneyline at Westgate.

                    Bowling Green at Kansas State (-14.5/48.5), 12 p.m. ET:
                    Both of these teams got off to fast starts under new head coaches and feature dynamic dual threat quarterbacks. Darius Wade, who started at Boston College and in ’17 and spent last season at Delaware, debuted for Bowling Green against Morgan State and threw for three scores to get Scot Loeffler his first victory. The Falcons outgained the FCS-member Bears 620-70, so we’ll see how they fare fighting an uphill battle on the road. Transfer QB Matt McMahon, another BC transfer who was expected to start ahead of Wade, still hasn’t been cleared to play by the NCAA. The Wildcats won easily in Chris Klieman’s debut, routing Nicholls State 49-14. Skylar Thompson, who split the gig the past few years, has a chance to take the next step as a junior and shined in his debut in a new system that will allow him to showcase his passing. After such dominant openers, we’ll get a better feel for these teams after this one.

                    Northern Illinois at Utah (-23.5/58.5), 1 p.m. ET, Pac-12:
                    Former Huskies running back Thomas Hammock has taken over as head coach after Rod Carey’s departure to Temple and led NIU to a 24-10 win over FCS member Illinois State. The game was tied 3-3 at the break and Cal grad transfer Ross Bowers has controversially replaced returning junior starter Marcus Childers, a former MAC Freshman of the Year who played hero in last year’s conference title game. It wouldn’t be surprising if a divided group arrives in Salt Lake City, which wouldn’t bode well for the Huskies’ chances of pulling an upset against a defense expected to be among the nation’s best. Utah looked the part in hammering BYU, getting a pick-six from rover Francis Bernard and excellent play from the secondary that included Tareke Lewis shining opposite standout Jaylon Johnson. NIU’s projected team total has been set at 10.5..

                    South Florida at Georgia Tech (-6/61.5), 2 p.m. ET, ACCN:
                    The Bulls were destroyed at home by Wisconsin 49-0 while the Yellow Jackets landed a few punches against Clemson but were thoroughly dominated. Blake Barnett will have top slot guy Johnny Ford back and hopes to find an early rhythm that eluded what was expected to be a fast-paced USF offense. Georgia Tech was able to move the ball some on Clemson before sputtering around the goal line. It has replaced Paul Johnson’s triple-option with a shotgun spread and will ultimately start junior Lucas Johnson ahead of Tobias Oliver, but they’re expected to go with the sophomore runner here. Last year’s 49-38 loss down in Tampa saw Georgia Tech surrender a pair of crucial kickoff returns for touchdowns, so we’ll see how a new-look special teams holds up.

                    Afternoon Delights

                    Nebraska (-4/65) at Colorado, 3:30 p.m. ET, FOX:
                    The ‘Huskers sputtered offensively in the opener against South Alabama, struggling up front and scoring just two offensive touchdowns in a 35-14 where the defense and special teams outscored Scott Frost’s high-octane attack. QB Adrian Martinez has vowed to play better and RB Maurice Washington, suspended for a half and in the midst of a revenge porn court case that has been pushed back another week, is expected to see more action alongside Georgia Tech transfer Dedric Mills, who scored both Nebraska offensive touchdowns. Colorado pulled away from Colorado State to capture another Rocky Mountain Showdown. QB Steven Montez looks healthy and took advantage of the attention the Rams paid to star WR Laviska Shenault in order to help score 52 points. The Buffs won the first installment of this rivalry since 2010 in Lincoln last season on a Montez-Shenault hookup with 1:06 left. Colorado is just 2-7-1 against the ‘Huskers in Boulder since 1991.

                    Texas A&M at Clemson (-17.5/64), 3:30 p.m ET, ABC:
                    Kellen Mond looked extremely sharp against Texas State and is one of the most physically gifted quarterbacks in the country, so if he’s able to find a rhythm, the Aggies can supply headaches as the rare SEC double-digit dog in a non-conference game. They’ll need Trevor Lawrence to struggle the way he did against Georgia Tech after he was visibly off, throwing two interceptions and missing various throws. Tigers slot WR Amari Rodgers is expected to suit up six months after tearing his ACL, so he’ll add a dimension to an already explosive passing attack. Travis Etienne dominated the opener with a career-high 205 yards on the ground but will go up against an A&M defense that held Texas State to eight rushing yards and did a nice job last year in nearly engineering a home upset, losing 28-26 last Sept. 8. The top six tacklers from that group are gone, but talented defensive coordinator Mike Elko does bring a talented group into Death Valley.

                    Central Michigan at Wisconsin (-35/51.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, BTN:
                    The Badgers blanked South Florida and could blank another opponent as the Chippewas visit Camp Randall. Over the past four years under head coach Paul Chryst, Wisconsin has won its first home game by an average score of roughly 51-6. The Chips’ team total is around 7.5 despite the presence of senior RB Jonathan Ward, who racked up over 200 yards against Albany and has done damage against Power-5 schools before. Tennessee transfer Quinten Dormady debuted with 285 passing yards and two scores last week. Former Florida head coach Jim McElwain will learn a lot about his new team here. Jonathan Taylor should have another big game given his form and how poorly they’ve stopped the run, but the x-factor to who notches this cover will likely be Badgers QB Jack Coan, who should have one-on-one opportunities he’ll need to capitalize on to convince dubious Badger nation that he should be playing ahead of prized freshman Graham Mertz.

                    Charlotte at Appalachian State (-22.5/53.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN+:
                    The Mountaineers have won 41 games over the past four seasons, but that success got Scot Satterfield the Louisville job and he took most of the coaching staff with him. Talented offensive mind Eli Drinkwitz has taken over, inheriting 16 starters who helped open the season with a blowout win. App State is heavily favored here with Charlotte undergoing a facelift in Year 1 of the Will Healy era. The 33-year old wants to push tempo and figures to take some risks, so this will be a measuring-stick game for the 49ers prior to next week’s home date against UMass. The 49 points they scored last week in beating Gardner-Webb were a program-high since moving up to the FBS level. Appalachian State won last season’s meeting 45-9 and will have a week off to prepare for statement game at North Carolina.

                    Southern Miss at Mississippi State (-16.5/52), 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU:
                    The Golden Eagles have posted three consecutive winning seasons and are expected to be one of Conference USA’s top teams this season, so they’re hoping to be around to steal this come fourth quarter. Louisiana hung around with the Bulldogs for the better part of four quarters last week, but that game was played in New Orleans. The atmosphere should be much friendlier in Starkville, where they’ll be getting a look at Penn State senior grad transfer Tommy Stevens, who won the QB job from Keytaon Thompson in the offseason but will have to continue fighting him off since the junior who had long served as Nick Fitzgerald’s backup took his name out of the transfer protocol and returned to practice this past week. Southern Miss QB Jack Abraham led the nation in completion percentage last season. The Eagles are 1-4 against SEC foes under head coach Jay Hopson but have covered the number in three of those games.

                    Illinois (-20.5/59) at UConn, 4 p.m. ET, CBSSN:
                    The Fighting Illini put together one of last Saturday’s most impressive performances in destroying Akron 42-3, overpowering the Zips up front. Having Michigan transfer Brandon Peters under center was a big deal, but the defense Lovie Smith called and how effectively his unit carried out his orders was what stood out most. The Illini did lose RB Mike Epstein to a season-ending knee injury. Reggie Corbin will now have more of a workload and should have a huge season, health permitted. He’s expected to play despite banging up a hip against the Zips. UConn held on to beat Wagner 24-21 as Randy Edsall debuted new coordinators on both sides of the ball in addition to starting QB Mike Beaudry, a Canadian who won a D-II title at West Florida in 2017. Illinois hasn’t won a non-conference road game in 12 years but is a heavy favorite that has taken a lot of action in Vegas, moving the line from 20 to where it stands now.

                    UT-San Antonio at Baylor (-25.5/57), 4 p.m. ET:
                    The Bears bounced back from a 1-11 mark in Matt Rhule’s first year to pulling off back-to-back upsets of Texas Tech and Vanderbilt in order to record a winning season and a Texas Bowl title. They could take a major step forward and compete for a spot in the Big 12 title game since Oklahoma and Texas come through Waco late in the season, but it’s going to take Charlie Brewer developing into one of the league’s top passers and an offensive line that has historically struggled to keep the better defensive teams from disrupting the team’s offensive rhythm. UT-San Antonio defeated the Bears two seasons ago as 15-point favorites and just missed covering in a 37-20 home loss at the Alamodome last year. Redshirt sophomore Frank Harris won the QB battle and had an impressive debut against Incarnate Word, bouncing back from an ACL tear last spring. The Roadrunners’ win at Baylor on their last trip into Waco remains their only victory over a Power-5.

                    New Mexico State at Alabama (-55/64), 4 p.m. ET, SECN:
                    Tua Tagovailoa will likely out of the game by halftime, so covering this substantial spread will hinge on true freshman Taulia Tagovailoa, who handed off to Jerome Ford on his late TD that ultimately buried Duke bettors. He’ll follow sophomore Mac Jones, who moved the chains against the Blue Devils and is likely to follow Tua. There’s not a lot to this one other than betting on Alabama’s overwhelming talent or expecting some complacency with the Tide’s first road game coming up next week. The Aggies lost 58-7 to Washington State last week and now heads south to collect a check here. New Mexico’s worst loss last season came in a 60-13 loss at Utah State.

                    San Diego State at UCLA (-7.5/45.5), 4:15 p.m. ET, Pac-12:
                    With games against Oklahoma and Washington State following this one, Chip Kelly is going to be in a world of trouble on the heels of last year’s 3-9 run. UCLA started 0-5 last season and was shut down in a 24-14 loss at Cincinnati on Aug. 29. Dorian Thompson-Robinson missed some throws, but there’s still hope that the light will turn on for him in Kelly’s system. The Bruins will have a few extra days of preparation but will have to deal with a San Diego State defense that shut out Weber State to bail out the offense in a 6-0 season-opening dud of a win. QB Ryan Agnew has returned, but his top three targets are gone. Top RB Juwan Washington is questionable with an ankle injry. The Aztecs have never beaten the Bruins, coming in 0-21-1. Rocky Long has won four of his last five games against Pac-12 schools outright.

                    UL-Monroe at Florida State (-21/63), 5 p.m. ET, ACCN:
                    It looked like the Seminoles were indeed back for the better part of their first contest. If it hadn’t been for a pair of defensive touchdowns getting called back due to replay, they may have knocked the Broncos out. Instead, Boise hung around, overcome and then dominated upon taking the lead for the first time in the fourth quarter. The ‘Noles didn’t score in the second half, which means they’ll have something to prove here regardless of what the score is at the break. James Blackman moved the offense, but new coordinator Kendal Briles is going to need to show more than he managed to in contributing to the meltdown. ULM lost its last game against a Power-5 70-21 at Ole Miss last season and fell in Tallahassee 42-10 in the final regular-season game of the ’17 season. The Warhawks handled Grambling 31-9 as former Ole Miss commit Josh Johnson finished with 173 yards on just 10 carries, scoring twice.
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-05-2019, 12:31 PM.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Total Moves - Week 2
                      September 5, 2019
                      By Matt Blunt


                      College Football Week 2 Total Moves

                      This inaugural piece last week ended up showing that it was better to be agreeable with the early market moves in the end, as a slow start in the Alabama/Duke game killed any chance of that game sailing 'over' the number.

                      Oregon and Auburn never threatened any of their numbers in the 50's with Auburn's walk-off 27-21 win, so staying low there proved to be the right call, even after the significant move is enough to pause on taking a worse number. With the way college football totals fluctuate throughout the week, there are going to be times where bets throughout the week will be made at worse numbers, but hopefully the work has been done to suggest that it's still the right side. Being agreeable by nature can be very hard for some, but especially early in the year, following those early moves tend to end up as the better proposition overall.

                      That being said, hopefully we can find a winner on this week's total disagreement and sweep the board. Here are the two games that we can hopefully grab some winners on. The moves aren't nearly as big as last week's given that those lines were out for weeks/months before kickoff and it's just been a week now, but they are moves just the same.

                      YTD: 1-1 ATS

                      Week 2 Total move to disagree with:

                      Nevada/Oregon from 62.5 to 61

                      Two weeks into the season and having the Oregon Ducks have already made this piece two times was not something I expected. But after going 'low' in their game last week for a winner, early action in the market has come right back with an 'under' play here on a total that even opened up as high as 63/64 at a book or two.

                      While Oregon's defense looked great against Auburn for the first 50+ minutes of that game, that performance also had the feel of that Ducks defense “shooting their shot.” Everything had been building to that crescendo of the Auburn game all off-season and the Ducks defense was definitely prepared and played up to and perhaps over their heads. Now it's just a week later, after the crushing way that they lost that game, back at home and up against a Nevada team that you are favored to beat by 3+ TD's? Pretty easy spot for the Ducks defense to mentally check out at times and let a Nevada team – that put up 30+ in their opener – threaten to hit that mark again.

                      Oregon's offense will get their points as well as Herbert and company look to take out some frustration from last week's results against a Nevada defense that will likely provide little resistance. The Wolf Pack gave up 423 passing yards to Purdue last week, 519 total yards, and the bulk of that came in just three quarters as a 17-0 4th quarter scoreline propelled Nevada to the comeback win. Give a much better team like Oregon that type of room to operate for 60 minutes though, and the Ducks and their uptempo scheme will put up a lot more than the 31 points Purdue had last week, especially if Nevada's defense struggles to get off the field again. Purdue was 50% in converting 3rd downs in that game (9-for-18) and 100% on the 4th down they tried (2-for-2), so Oregon's offense should be able to walk up and down the field on this team.

                      With Oregon's defense coming into this game with questionable motivation levels after going all out in that Auburn game after months of prep time, last week's box score and eye test from that Ducks defense might suggest a low-scoring game, but it likely ends up otherwise.
                      Week 2 Total move to agree with:

                      Illinois/Connecticut from 63.5 to 59.5
                      It's always tough to trust two bad teams to put up plenty of points from the standpoint that bad teams just don't execute well consistently enough. Sure, there is the approach that they are bad, and bad teams give up a lot of points, but there is always two parts to that equation, and if the opposing offense can't do anything with those turnovers, well then totals in the high 50's, low 60's are going to be hard to surpass.

                      Illinois and Connecticut are projected to be basement dwellers in the AAC and Big 10 West respectively, as wins will be hard to come by. The funny thing in that regard is that the winner of this game will be 2-0 SU on the year before plenty of pain comes, and should it be Illinois who gets up big early as they are expected to as 20-point favorites, sitting on the ball and letting a rushing attack that had five different guys carry the ball at least six times last week chew up the remaining clock.

                      A move like this was expected, and anything lower than this is where you start to worry more about it being a bad number. But unless this game is filled with multiple red zone turnovers on both ends, this will not be a game that gets much more then 50 points scored.

                      Other Notable Moves

                      Down

                      Southern Mississippi-Mississippi State: 52.5 to 50.5
                      Western Kentucky-Florida International: 59.5 to 55.5
                      Arkansas-Mississippi: 53 to 50.5

                      Up
                      Coastal Carolina-Kansas: 52 to 54.5
                      Tulsa-San Jose State: 50 to 52.5
                      BYU-Tennessee: 51 to 53

                      (Current Odds as of Thursday)
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Saturday Night's Essentials
                        Tony Mejia

                        Here’s a look at what must be considered before wagering on Saturday's slate in all FBS vs. FBS matchups. All lines courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas Superbook:

                        Primetime Matchups

                        Wyoming (-7/47) at Texas State, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN+:
                        Bobcats QBs Tyler Vitt and Gresch Jensen each threw a pair of interceptions in a season-opening 41-7 loss at Texas A&M and took turns disappointing new coach Jake Spavital enough that he declined to name a starter prior to this home opener. Wyoming has no such problems since Sean Chambers has separated himself as the guy upon returning from a broken leg, protecting the ball and helping the Cowboys rally past Missouri for an upset in Laramie last Saturday. It was the school’s first win over a Power-5 school in over a decade. Although Wyoming has some personnel issues to deal with in the back, safety Alijah Halliburton comes off a 17-tackle game over Mizzou that included a fumble recovery. The determining factor in this one should be Wyoming’s ability to keep Texas State’s passing game from finding a rhythm as its depth concerns are tested in near-100 degree weather. Both of the Cowboys’ wins in the series have by 41-10 scores.

                        North Texas at SMU (-3.5/73), 7 p.m. ET, ESPN3:
                        The Mean Green hope to win a Conference USA title after fading down the stretch last season and are after a second straight win over the Mustangs following a 46-23 rout in the 2018 season opener. North Texas snapped a three-game losing streak in the series but hasn’t won in Dallas since 1933. SMU has won 11 of the last 15 Safeway Bowls and got good news this week with Nebraska transfer Cam’Ron Jones becoming eligible and joining UCLA transfer Brandon Stephens in a revamped secondary. Texas transfer QB Shane Buechele threw for 360 yards. Half of the yardage went to West Virginia transfer Reggie Roberson, Jr., who caught 11 balls. UNT QB Mason Fine is likely to surpass the 10,000-yard mark for his career and comes is in as the NCAA’s leading active passer. We could get a shootout here in 100-degree weather.

                        BYU at Tennessee (-3.5/53), 7 p.m. ET, ESPN:
                        After a demoralizing loss to rival Utah, the Cougars will have company in misery as they visit Knoxville given what happened to the Vols last week. Tennessee fans will flood Neyland Stadium hoping they’re team responds after sleepwalking through an upset loss to Georgia State, a Sun Belt member that came in as a 24.5-point favorite. A couple of guys left the team and we’re about to find out how far embarrassment goes as a motivating factor. Tennessee’s streaks of 30 straight wins over non-Power-5 schools and 11 consecutive non-conference home wins ended last week against a team that isn’t as loaded as the visiting Cougars, who are expecting to get better play out of QB Zach Wilson after he got roughed up by the Utes. Coming off shoulder surgery, he may not be 100 percent yet. The Vols will look to force game-changing mistakes the way Utah managed to, but they’ll have to stop the run to put BYU in compromising positions in order to make the most of the pressure 100,000 fans can put on a visitor.

                        UCF (-12.5/67.5) at Florida Atlantic, 7 p.m. ET, CBSSN:
                        The combination of Notre Dame transfer Brandon Wimbush and freshman Dillon Gabriel looked sharp in attempting to take over for McKenzie Milton (knee), who will miss the season for the Knights after finishing sixth in last year’s Heisman Trophy voting. The opponent they looked sharp against was FBS member Florida A&M, so this first road trip to face Lane Kiffin’s Owls should be more telling, helping the Knights prepare for upcoming games against Stanford and Pittsburgh. FAU was lit up by Ohio State last Saturday and fell behind 28-0 in the first quarter but gained its bearings and surrendered just 17 points over the final three quarters. UCF lost defensive back Bam Moore to a knee injury and will have to replace his contributions in trying to contain a fast-paced FAU attack that notched a backdoor cover in Columbus when QB Chris Robison found a rhythm. UCF won 56-36 in Orlando last year and has won both meetings in this series.

                        Western Kentucky at Florida International (-8/57), 7 p.m. ET, ESPN+:
                        The Hilltoppers opened the Tyson Helton era with a loss to FBS member Central Arkansas but have no time to wallow with the Conference USA opener on tap. FIU is feeling the same way after getting destroyed at Tulane, but should find it easier to rebound given the continuity Butch Davis has established and the fact they get to play this one down in Miami. The Panthers also get back RB D’Vonte Price, who was absent in New Orleans last week but found the end zone twice in last season’s 38-17 rout of WKU. Davis has beaten the Hilltoppers twice and will look to neutralize pass rusher DeAngelo Malone in order to get the James Morgan-led offense to perform to start living up to expectations. The ‘Toppers are hoping converted DB Gaej Walker can keep producing at running back after breaking off 152 yards in his debut.

                        Coastal Carolina at Kansas (-7/53), 7 p.m. ET, ESPN+:
                        Les Miles looks to become the first Kansas head coach to open 2-0 since Turner Gill did so in 2011. He lost his next 10 and was canned and replaced by Charlie Weis, who won six games over three seasons. So, yes, two wins is a big deal in Lawrence. The Jayhawks held off FCS member Indiana State, rallying after falling behind on a fumble in the end zone with 4:26 left. Carter Stanley rallied KU to a win and Hasan Defense added a pick-six, but there’s not a lot to get excited about outside of seeing Miles stress out. The Chanticleers are indeed live ‘dogs as they arrive coming off a home loss to Eastern Michigan to open the season. Coastal runs an offense that is difficult to prepare for but fell victim to four Fred Payton interceptions, which is double what he had all of last season. If the Chants can overcome being displaced from their normal schedule due to Hurricane Dorian, they should be in this game come fourth quarter if they can avoid turnovers.

                        Liberty at Louisiana (-14/65.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN+:
                        Word is that Hugh Freeze will coach from the press box in something resembling a dentist’s chair and he’ll be hoping for better results than his Flames supplied in being suffocated by Syracuse in a 24-0 loss. Buckshot Calvert struggled as his protection broke down and the offense finished with -4 rushing yards. Liberty visits the Cajundome, where Louisiana went 5-1 last season and is 37-19. The Ragin’ Cajuns lost to Mississippi State at the Superdome last Saturday but held its own in falling 38-28. They lost starting guard Ken Marks to a season-ending injury but have the numbers to move forward given their experience up front. Levi Lewis settled in as the starting quarterback and adds a dimension they lacked last season due to his speed and elusiveness.

                        Western Michigan at Michigan State (-15/46.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, BTN:
                        The Spartans dominated Tulsa in its opener but weren’t terribly adventurous on the offensive end. We’ll see if they choose to remain vanilla against the in-state foes from Kalamazoo, which is very much a possibility since Arizona State comes through next week before Big Ten play begins and the offensive line remains a work in progress. Mark Dantonio has been talking about a new-look offense for weeks and we’re still waiting to have our minds blown. The defense held the Golden Hurricane to -73 rushing yards. Western hammered Monmouth 48-13 and has one of the MAC’s top rushers in LeVante Bellamy running behind a veteran offensive line, but they haven’t beaten Michigan State in East Lansing in 100 years, losing 10 straight matchups. Senior QB Jon Wassink lost to Sparty 28-14 three seasons ago.

                        LSU (-6.5/57.5) at Texas, 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC:
                        The Tigers looked sharp in destroying Georgia Southern 55-3 in Baton Rouge, unveiling a new-look offense that scored 42 points by halftime. QB Joe Burrow had a school-record 253 yards at the break and finished 23-for-27 with five scores. Production like that won’t come as easily against the Longhorns on the road in Austin. Tom Herman went 5-1 at Memorial Stadium last season, losing to West Virginia by a single point and posting victories over USC and TCU. Sam Ehlinger tied a career-high with four TD passes against Louisiana Tech, so both schools that consider themselves DBU will need to be on alert. LSU safety Grant Delpit and Texas’ tandem of Caden Sterns and Brandon Jones are among the country’s best at their positions and the Tigers have a good one emerging in JaCoby Stevens, so every possession is going to be riveting.

                        Tulane at Auburn (-17/51.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2:
                        After escaping what appeared to be certain defeat in Arlington last Saturday night, Auburn looks to build on its fortunate survival against Oregon by handling Tulane in what will be its toughest remaining non-SEC game until bowl season. Anticipation over Bo Nix’s debut at Jordan-Hare may have taken a hit if the Tigers came in 0-1, but on the heels of a frantic comeback that featured a fourth-down conversion and a go-ahead touchdown toss, the atmosphere should be electric. LSU transfer Justin McMillan looked fantastic against FIU and will give Auburn’s defensive front fits with his elusiveness. He’ll have to beat the Tigers with his arm to engineer an upset, which means Alabama native Darnell Mooney has to have a big night. Auburn is expected to have buck rusher T.D. Moultry and WR Will Hastings available and came out of the win over the Ducks relatively unscathed.

                        Arkansas at Ole Miss (-6/50.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, SECN:
                        Georgia routed Vandy in the first SEC game of the season last week, but this second league contest should be much more competitive. Neither team looked particularly sharp in its opener with Ole Miss losing at Memphis and the Hogs struggling with FCS member Portland State. Ben Hicks will again start ahead of Nick Starkel for Arkansas, while the Rebels saw proress from redshirt freshman Matt Corral in nearly engineering a comeback win at the Liberty Bowl, improving after a slow start. Rich Rodriguez is calling plays for the first time in league play and at home but is already under fire after catching the brunt of the blame for Saturday’s 15-10 loss to the Tigers after producing just 93 passing yards and 3.3 yards per play. Arkansas can pull off the road upset if it tackles well and gets a big game from RB Rakeem Boyd, who can make life easier on whoever plays quarterback for Chad Morris if he gets enough touches. The Razorbacks have dropped all eight of its SEC openers, falling by an average of 21 points. The Rebels snapped a four-game losing streak in the series with a 37-33 win in Fayetteville last season.

                        Nevada at Oregon (-15/63), 7:30 p.m. ET, Pac-12:
                        The Ducks will look to prevent last Saturday’s meltdown from taking them down twice as they welcome the Wolf Pack into Autzen Stadium. Oregon fans are displeased with head coach Mario Cristobal, whose questionable decisions down the stretch helped cost the team an upset of Auburn. Justin Herbert said in the lead-up to last week’s showdown that he didn’ come back for his senior year to lose in Week 1 so it will be interesting to see how he responds. WR Juwan Johnson and TE Cam McCormick will be game-time decisions after missing the Auburn loss but Brenden Schooler (foot) and Mycah Pittman (shoulder) remain out. Nevada stunned Purdue at home with a frantic comeback led by redshirt freshman Carson Strong, who will be making his first road start. The Wolf Pack need to get backs Toa Taua and Kelton Moore going to work the clock and keep pressure off strong. Oregon has won the last six matchups between the schools.

                        Buffalo at Penn State (-30.5/56), 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX:
                        The Nittany Lions had no problem replacing Trace McSorley in their first game without him, scoring 44 first-half points in a 79-7 demolition of Idaho. Sean Clifford found star WR KJ Hamler twice but should have much more resistance with the Bulls in town, although that’s not necessarily a team strength. Buffalo is replacing standout Tyree Jackson with sophomore Matt Myers, who accounted for three scores against Robert Morris but will now test himself against the best defense he’ll see all season. Penn State beat Buffalo 27-14, failing to cover the number as a 17-point favorite, it the most recent meeting between the schools back in 2015.

                        Eastern Michigan at Kentucky (-15/52.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, SECN:
                        The Wildcats were impressive in rallying past Toledo at home last week, surviving their first test against a quality MAC school. They’ll face another sound team with the Eagles in town and the fact Florida visits next week makes things trickier since they’ll be looking ahead to that after finally snapping a 31-year losing streak against the Gators last year. Eastern Michigan has an interesting weapon in new QB Mike Glass, who was nearly flawless in engineering an upset at Coastal Carolina and is similar to UK’s Terry Wilson in his ability to improvise and tuck and run out of the pocket. EMU has started off 2-0 in consecutive seasons after engineering road upsets at Rutgers and Purdue. It lost just 24-20 in Lexington back in ’17, covering as a 14-point underdog .

                        UTEP at Texas Tech (-34.5/65), 8 p.m. ET:
                        The Red Raiders won their first game after dumping Kliff Kingsbury and hiring Matt Wells, beating Montana State 45-10. They’ll be expected to roll here and win at Arizona next week before settling in and defining their season post-bye with games at Oklahoma and home against Oklahoma State. If they can split those, they’ve got a shot at a big year. Alan Bowman threw for 433 yards, completing 40 throws and executing an offense that wants to snap it before the play clock bleeds down to 30 seconds, fire off a pass, line up and do it all again. The Miners aren’t expected to provide much resistance in Lubbock, coming off a 36-34 win over Houston Baptist and voted as most likely to bring up the rear in C-USA’s West Division.

                        Miami (FL) (-5/46.5) at North Carolina, 8 p.m. ET, ACCN:
                        Mack Brown tasted victory in his return to coaching, pulling off an upset of South Carolina in Charlotte behind true freshman Sam Howell. The Tar Heels will debut in Chapel Hill in front of a sellout crowd and welcome in the Hurricanes, which reunites Brown with former defensive coordinator Manny Diaz, who he fired when the two coached together at Texas. This one will be personal for the first-year ‘Canes head coach, who came up short in his debut against Florida in Orlando to open the college season. Jarren Williams will make his first true road start for UM, which is 6-3 over its last nine dates with UNC, winning thee last two by a combined margin of 71-29. Whichever makes the most appearances, the Heels’ turnover belt or Miami’s turnover chain, should supply a good indication of who wins here.

                        Late-night Snacks

                        Tulsa (-6.5/53.5) at San Jose State, 9 p.m. ET, ESPN3:
                        After its historic futility in attempting to establish a ground game in East Lansing, Tulsa hopes to get its offense on track in Northern California as it attempts to hold serve and snap a 13-game road losing streak. The Golden Hurricane were able to pressure Michigan State and will try and clamp down on Josh Love and the Spartans, who opened the season with a 35-18 victory over Northern Colorado. San Jose State has beaten only one FBS opponent in each of the last two seasons and hasn’t beaten a non-conference opponent since 2012.

                        Arkansas State at UNLV (PK/64), 10 p.m. ET:
                        The Rebels dominated Southern Utah 56-23 to open the season and are looking to open 2-0 for the first time since 1999. Dual-threat Armani Rogers can be a force struggled with turnovers in last season’s 27-20 loss in Jonesboro. UNLV tied a school record with seven rushing touchdowns, three of which came from junior Charles Williams. Arkansas State WR Kirk Merritt needs to be cleared from concussion protocol in order to return. Dahu Green (knee) is also looking to return. The RedWolves fell at home against SMU last week and remain without head coach Blake Anderson, whose wife lost a battle with cancer just before the season began. QB Logan Bonner had a strong first start and will look to pick up a victory on the road in Vegas by continuing to find Omar Bayless if his receiving corps remains shorthanded.

                        Stanford at USC (-3/43), 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN:
                        The Cardinal’s KJ Costello was expected to duel with the Trojans’ JT Daniels in a matchup of two of the Pac-12’s finest. Neither will play. Daniels was lost for the season with an ACL injury and Costello has been ruled out after a head injury, so backups Kedon Slovis, a true freshman, and sophomore Davis Mills will make their first starts. Slovis helped USC survive Fresno State and was coached by Kurt Warner in high school, while Mills is from the Atlanta area and helped the Cardinal hold off Northwestern last week. Stanford will rely on its ground game on the road and feels like it has an advantage up front, while USC was expected to throw the ball around the yard in order to take advantage of all its elite receivers. Slovis’ ability to find a rhythm with a few receivers while protecting the ball against a veteran defense will decide the winner here.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Today's biggest bets and line moves: Bettors on Texas A&M odds vs Clemson in College Football
                          Patrick Everson

                          Tee Higgins and top-ranked Clemson are 17-point home favorites against Texas A&M on Saturday. However, that number is down from the opener of -19, and books might actually need the Tigers.

                          College football heads into a Week 2 Saturday highlighted by a couple of major matchups. Covers checks in on the action and odds movement, with insights from Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading for William Hill US.

                          No. 11 Texas A&M Aggies at No. 1 Clemson Tigers – Open: -19; Move: -18.5; Move: -18; Move: -17.5; Move: -17; Move: -16.5

                          Defending national champion Clemson went straight into Atlantic Coast Conference play in Week 1, but had no issues on its home field. The Tigers (1-0 SU and ATS), coming off a perfect 15-0 SU year (9-6 ATS) ripped Georgia Tech 52-14, narrowly covering the number as massive 37-point favorites.

                          Texas A&M also coasted in its opener, albeit against a lightweight nonconference foe. The Aggies (1-0 SU and ATS) topped Texas State 41-7 and also barely covered laying 33.5 points, after giving up a last-minute touchdown.

                          Last September. A&M gave Clemson a big scare by coming back from a 21-6 deficit to nearly force overtime. After a last-minute touchdown to pull within 28-26, the Aggies’ 2-point attempt failed, though they cashed as 12-point home underdogs.

                          “We did take a big bet on the moneyline, 40 dimes to win $260,000 on A&M,” Bogdanovich said of a $40,000 flier taken on the Aggies +650 to win this nonconference clash outright. “Sharps are on A&M as well, so this might be the rare occasion where we need Clemson.”

                          Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET.

                          No. 6 Louisiana State Tigers at No. 10 Texas Longhorns – Open: -4.5; Move: -5; Move: -5.5; Move: -6; Move: -6.5

                          If coach Tom Herman really has Texas on the rise, this week could offer some proof in a prime-time showdown against one of the nation’s best teams. The Longhorns (1-0 SU and ATS) rolled over Louisiana Tech 45-14 giving 19 points at home in Week 1.

                          LSU wants to prove it should be in the early conversation for the College Football Playoff, although Alabama will likely have plenty to say about that later in the year. In Week 1, the Tigers (1-0 SU and ATS) pounded Georgia Southern 55-3 laying 27 points at home.

                          “We’re dead even to it, and I think we’ll be pretty even at kickoff as well,” Bogdanovich said of action for this 7:30 p.m. ET meeting.

                          No. 23 Stanford Cardinal at Southern California Trojans – Open: -3; Move: -2.5; Move: -1.5; Move: -1; Move: -2; Move: -3

                          It’s a battle of teams without starting quarterbacks, though Southern Cal got the worse end of the deal, losing JT Daniels for the year after he tore his right ACL in Week 1. Daniels exited in the second quarter against Fresno State, but the Trojans still managed a 31-23 home win as 14.5-point faves. USC will now turn to freshman QB Kedon Slovis.

                          Stanford QB K.J. Costello took a shot to the head in Week 1 against Northwestern, and on Thursday, coach David Shaw said Costello would not play this week. Despite the starter missing the second half, the Cardinal nabbed a 17-7 home win as 6.5-point favorites, covering with 20 seconds left by pouncing on a Northwestern fumble for a touchdown.

                          The line for this Pac-12 After Dark clash dipped to USC -1, then climbed the ladder back to the opener of -3.

                          “Dead even to that game, too,” Bogdanovich said of a 10:30 p.m. ET matchup. “I have a feeling that will still be the case at kickoff.”

                          Cincinnati Bearcats at No. 5 Ohio State Buckeyes – Open: -16.5; Move: -16

                          Last week, Ohio State had 28 points on the board before most people finished their first beer. The Buckeyes (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) scored four touchdowns in the first 8:10 of the game and breezed by Florida Atlantic 45-21, though they fell short of cashing as 27-point home favorites.

                          Cincinnati is coming off one of the best years in program history (11-2 SU) and, for the second straight year, opened the season with a victory over Power Five foe UCLA. The Bearcats dispatched the Bruins 24-14 laying 2.5 points at home in Week 1.

                          “Sharps are on the ‘dog,” Bogdanovich said of another game that, overall, has seen even action. “Cincinnati looked good last week, and Ohio State didn’t cover. We’d normally need the ‘dog, but this one figures to be fairly even.”

                          Kickoff is at noon ET.

                          Illinois Fighting Illini at Connecticut Huskies – Open: +20.5; Move: +20; Move: +20.5; Move: +21; Move: +21.5

                          This otherwise nondescript game merits mention in this space because, for the second straight week, multiple Las Vegas books have taken $55,000 wagers on Illinois, presumably all from the same bettor. Last week, the Fighting Illini (1-0 SU and ATS) drew five wagers of that size and one smaller five-figure play, and that bettor got paid out big as Illinois flattened Akron 42-3 giving 18 points at home.

                          UConn went a dismal 1-10 SU last year and was 2-9-1 ATS, 129th among the 130 FBS teams. The Huskies didn’t look much better in Week 1 this year, going off as 23-point home favorites against FCS foe Wagner and barely winning, 24-21.

                          “That’s all we’ve got is that one bet, $55,000 to win $50,000,” Bogdanovich said of a 3:30 p.m. ET start. “There are literally no other bets. It’s a garbage game.”

                          Other noteworthy games:

                          • No. 25 Nebraska at Colorado, 3:30 p.m. ET: It’s a renewal of a Big 8/Big 12 rivalry, though neither team has been in the conference for years. The Cornhuskers reside in the Big Ten and the Buffaloes in the Pac-12. Nebraska opened -4.5, briefly hit -5, then dipped to -3.5 before going back to the opener Friday afternoon. “This game has been all over the place,” Bogdanovich said. “Right now, we definitely need Colorado.”

                          • Army at No. 7 Michigan, Noon ET: The Wolverines opened -23, ticked down to -22 by Thursday, then went to -22.5 Friday afternoon. “Dead even to the game, balanced right now,” Bogdanovich said. “Michigan was a public team last week, but burned that money, so who knows where this ends up.”

                          • No. 17 Central Florida at Florida Atlantic, 7 p.m. ET: The visiting Knights opened -10.5 and dipped to -10 early in the week, but they’re up to -11.5 now. “All the money’s for Central Florida. We’ll definitely need the ‘dog,” Bogdanovich said.

                          • Miami at North Carolina, 8 p.m. ET: “We’re dead even to it,” Bogdanovich said. “Sharp money for the ‘dog, but I think it’ll end up pretty even.” The Hurricanes opened -6.5, dropped as low as -4 midweek, then rose to -5 Friday night.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Betting Recap - Week 2
                            Joe Williams

                            College Football Week 2 Results

                            WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
                            Straight Up 67-7
                            Against the Spread 36-35-3

                            WAGER Home-Away
                            Straight Up 58-16
                            Against the Spread 35-36-3

                            WAGER Totals (O/U)
                            Over-Under 38-36

                            YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
                            Straight Up 147-16
                            Against the Spread 77-81-5

                            YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
                            Straight Up 128-31
                            Against the Spread 74-80-5

                            YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
                            Over-Under 77-85-2

                            The largest underdogs to win straight up
                            California (+13.5, ML +450) at Washington, 20-19
                            Western Kentucky (+8, ML +260) at FIU, 20-14
                            San Diego State (+7.5, ML +260) at UCLA, 23-14
                            Coastal Carolina (+7, ML +240) at Kansas, 12-7
                            North Carolina (+5, ML +180) vs. Miami-FL, 28-25

                            The largest favorites to cover
                            Oklahoma (-46.5) vs. South Dakota, 70-14
                            Oklahoma State (-41.5) vs. McNeese, 56-14
                            South Carolina (-36) vs. Charleston Souther, 72-10
                            Indiana (-35.5) vs. Eastern Illinois, 52-0
                            Wisconsin (-35) vs. Central Michigan, 61-0

                            AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)

                            -- Connecticut fell 31-23 to Illinois as 21-point underdogs at home, comfortably covering. They're 1-1 SU/ATS as the 'under' has connected in each of their first two outings. ... South Florida lost 14-10 at Georgia Tech, slipping to 0-2 SU while earning their first cover. The 'under' is also 2-0, as the Bulls have managed a total of just 10 points through two outings. ... SMU posted the 49-27 victory over North Texas to move to 2-0 SU/ATS with the 'over' also at 2-0. The Mustangs are average 43.0 points per game (PPG) while allowed 28.5 PPG. ... Memphis moved to 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS with a win and non-cover against FCS Southern. The 'over' also cashed after a low-scoring 15-10 victory in Week 1.

                            ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)

                            -- Boston College posted a 45-13 win over FCS Richmond in a game which involved a 'bad beat' (see below) concerning the total. ... Virginia Tech rebounded with a 31-17 win over Old Dominion, exacting a little revenge after losing in Norfolk to the Monarchs last season. ... Clemson passed their first early-season test, dropping Texas A&M in Death Valley by a 24-10 score in an 'under' result. ... Florida State was forced to overtime against Louisiana-Monroe of the Sun Belt. The Warhawks kicked missed the extra point in overtime, as FSU escaped 45-44. The Seminoles are 1-1 SU/0-2 ATS to date, with the 'over' going 2-0. ... North Carolina have moved to 2-0 SU/ATS under Mack Brown, pushing aside Miami-Florida by a 28-25 count at Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill. The Hurricanes are now 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS.

                            BIG TEN

                            -- Ohio State blasted Cincinnati by a 42-0 count, covering for the first time after failing to do so in the opener. ... Minnesota won in late-night action at Fresno State, surviving by a 38-35 count in double-overtime. The Gophers converted on fourth and long to score a late touchdown to force overtime, and then they registered an interception in the end zone by Antoine Winfield Jr. to move to 2-0 SU/0-2 ATS. ... Indiana routed FCS Eastern Illinois by a 52-0 count, covering a big number. They will host the Buckeyes next Saturday at 'The Rock'. ... Michigan State struggled on offense in Week 1, but they righted the ship in a 51-17 win over Western Michigan, evening their ATS mark at 1-1. ... Rutgers was dumped 30-0 at Iowa in their Big Ten opener. After throwing up 48 in their opener, the Scarlet Knights were completely different on offense in this one. Rutgers has allowed 25.5 PPG through two contests. ... Michigan was pushed to the test at the Big House against Army, needing overtime before escaping with the win. That's 0-2 ATS for the Wolverines to start. Army has locked it down on defense, allowing just 15.5 PPG for a pair of unders.

                            BIG 12

                            -- Kansas State pounded Bowling Green in a 52-0 shutout, covering the 25-point number. The Wildcats haven't exactly had much resistance through two games, but they're 2-0 SU/ATS just the same. ... Kansas won their opener, kicking off the Les Miles era in style, but they fell at home in Game 2 to Coastal Carolina of the Sun Belt. The Jayhawks are 0-2 ATS through two outings and the 'under' has connected in each outing, too. ... Texas dropped LSU in Austin by a 45-38 count. If you were laying the 6 1/2 with LSU, you were loving life when they converted a two-point conversion with just over two minutes to go, pushing their lead to 14. Texas scored late, but misfired on the onside kick to fail to cover.

                            CONFERENCE USA

                            -- Charlotte picked up the cover in a 56-41 road loss at Appalachian State. The 'over' has connected in each of the first two for the 49ers, as they're averaging 45.0 PPG on offense and allowed 42.0 PPG on defense. ... Alabama-Birmingham posted a 31-20 road win against Akron on the road. A touchdown by the Zips with 4:42 to go flipped the total from an 'under' to an 'over'. The Blazers are 2-0 SU, but 1-1 ATS with the total 1-1. ... Rice scored a late touchdown in a 41-21 loss to Wake Forest scored a late touchdown with 1:51 to go, helped out by sloppy tackling by the Demon Deacons and a screen from the umpire, helping the Owls push at most shops at +20. The late touchdown also flipped the total from 'under' to 'over'.

                            MID-AMERICAN (MAC)

                            -- Kent State survived by a 26-23 score against FCS Kennesaw State. It looks like a low-quality win, but the Owls from Kennesaw, Ga. are actually a Top 15 team in the FCS rankings. ... Ball State roughed up their FCS foe, topping Fordham by a 57-29 score, although they failed to cover the 29 1/2-point number. They're 1-1 SU/ATS, with FAU on the horizon next week. The Cardinals are averaging 35.5 PPG while allowed 31.5 PPG. ... Eastern Michigan fell at Kentucky, slipping to 1-1 SU/ATS, both on the road. If the Eagles are to be successfull, they'll need better D. They're allowing 30.5 PPG through two outings. ... Northern Illinois fell at Utah, 35-17, although they were able to cover for the second time in as many weeks.

                            MOUNTAIN WEST

                            -- Boise State won a defensive slog on the Smurf Turf on Friday night, slipping by Marshall by a 14-7 score. The Broncos were much better defensively after their opening-game win at FSU. ... San Diego State improved to 2-0 with a road win against UCLA, 23-14. The Aztecs have had it on lockdown defensively, allowing just 7.0 PPG through two games while averaging 14.5 PPG. As such, the 'under' has easily hit in each of their two outings. ... Wyoming posted a 23-14 road win at Texas State, 23-14. It wasn't pretty, but they moved to 2-0 SU/ATS. ... Hawaii is now 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS in their two games so far, both against Pac-12 foes. They edged Oregon State 31-28, failing to cover a 6 1/2-point number. They hit the road for Washington next week in their first visit to the mainland, and third game in as many weeks against the Pac-12.

                            PAC-12

                            -- Oregon blasted Nevada by a 77-6 score, rebounding after their crumbling against Auburn last week. The Wolf Pack slipped to 1-7 all-time against the Ducks, and this was the second time they had a 70-burger hung on their by UO. Oregon also won 72-10 against Nevada at Autzen Stadium back in 1999. ... California and Washington had to endure a lengthy and rare lightning delay in Seattle. For the Bears it was worth the wait. They pulled off the 20-19 victory, dealing the Huskies a likely death blow to their playoff chances. Sure, a lot of things can happen, but the Pac-12 doesn't need any more of a challenge. ... USC posted a 45-20 win against Stanford in a battle between backup QBs. True freshman Kedon Slovis was the truth, posting very efficient numbers. K.J. Costello was out with a concussion, so Davis Mills was under center. The Cardinal hung in there until half, trailing 24-20. The 'over' was already in the bag by then, but Stanford was blanked in the second half.

                            SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)

                            -- Mississippi State pushed past Southern Miss of Conference USA, 38-15, as they covered the 16 1/2-point number. The Bulldogs have been consistent, notching 38 points in each of their games. As such, the 'over' has connected in each outing. ... Auburn had a bit of a hangover against Tulane, 24-6. Perhaps they were terribly impressive on offense, but they're 2-0 SU/ATS, and the 'under' has hit in each of the battles. They get Kent State next week on the Plains. ... Mississippi won 31-17 against Arkansas, as they are allowed just 16.0 PPG. The 'under' has hit in each of the two games for the Rebels. They get FCS Southeast Louisiana next week in Oxford. ... South Carolina bounced back after last week's setback on a neutral field against UNC, topping FCS Charleston Southern by a 72-10 score as 36-point favorites.

                            SUN BELT

                            -- Georgia State moved to 2-0 SU and 1-0-1 ATS with a narrow 48-42 win over FCS Furman, a Top 10 team in the FCS rankings. Their unblemished record will be put to the test again next week at Western Michigan of the MAC. ... Georgia Southern picked up a 26-18 win over FCS Maine, bouncing back from a thrashing at the hands of LSU last week. The Eagles are 0-2 ATS so far, though. ... Arkansas State were very rude guests at UNLV, winning 43-17 to bounce back from a loss to SMU last week. The Red Wolves offense is clicking, averaging 36.5 PPG while allowed 27.0 PPG. Next up is a trip to Georgia. Ouch.

                            Bad Beats

                            -- Nebraska fell 34-31 at Colorado in overtime. The total was 63.5, and there were 48 points on the board with 5:49 to go until the Cornhuskers scored to take a 31-24 lead. With Nebraska covering a 4 1/2-point number, Colorado was able to score a touchdown with just :46 to go in regulation, tying it at 31-31. They eliminated a winning ticket for 'under' bettors, too. The Buffs posted a field goal in overtime to clinch the win and cover.

                            -- In the BYU-Tennessee game, it appeared the Vols had it in the bag, but the Cougars moved it down the field for a game-tying field goal with :01 in regulation, tying it 16-16. With a total of 51.5, under bettors still had some wiggle room. But both teams exchanged touchdowns to make it 23-23. A field goal by Tennessee made it 26-23, so a defensive stand would clinch an under. No dice, as BYU pushed in for a game-winning touchdow to make it 29-26. The over cashed, and anyone who took the Vols on the moneyline, or bought a half-point or point on Tennessee were none too pleased, either, as the D could not hang on for a win and cover.

                            -- With a total of 56, Boston College led FCS Richmond by a 45-10 score late into the fourth quarter. Inexplicably, the Spiders kicked a meaningless 45-yard field goal with just :12 left in regulation to make it 45-13. Why? Under bettors couldn't believe their misfortune after going 15:09 with no points for what should've been a win.

                            -- In the USM-Mississippi State game, the total was 51. The Bulldogs led 31-7 midway through the fourth quarter before the Golden Eagles scored a 65-yard touchdown and two-point conversion to make it 31-15. With 2:20 left, Mississippi State cracked off a 22-yard touchdown run to pick up the 38-15 win, pushing the total over with that meaningless touchdown. It might not be a definition bad beat, but that touchdown flipped both the line and the total.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              4th Quarter Covers - Week 2
                              Joe Nelson

                              Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the second big weekend of the college football season. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

                              Wake Forest (-20) 41, Rice 21:
                              This Friday night spread eventually hit -20 for the Demon Deacons who were caught in a 14-14 tie after the first quarter. Rice wouldn’t score again until the final two minutes of the game, but that score cut the margin from 27 to 20 to give the Owls a push for many on the closing number.

                              Boise State (-14) 14, Marshall 7:
                              While the Broncos were never past this spread Friday night as Marshall scored first, they were a serious threat to beat the number in the closing seconds. Boise State had a dominant yardage edge in the game, but Marshall had the ball with a chance to tie halfway through the fourth. An interception quickly gave the Broncos the ball back and Boise State led a 15-play drive to run the rest of the remaining clock, with those on the favorite not getting the breakthrough rush they needed with Boise State eventually taking a knee inside the 10-yard-line.

                              Georgia Tech (-4½) 14, South Florida 10:
                              After a disastrous showing in the opener vs. Wisconsin, South Florida did find the scoreboard first in this game with an early field goal. Georgia Tech would take over from there with two second quarter scores to lead by 11. Both teams had productive drives that came up empty in the third quarter and as Georgia Tech looked to put the game away South Florida picked up an interception to stay in the game. The Bulls slipped within the spread with an early fourth quarter score and appeared poised to take the lead after getting the ball back off another turnover. Facing 3rd-and-goal at the 1-yard-line, South Florida fumbled away its chance to go-ahead as the Yellow Jackets got the win but didn’t add points to get past the spread.

                              Colorado (+4) 34, Nebraska 31:
                              A close call didn’t seem likely for Nebraska is this old Big 8 rivalry with a 17-0 halftime lead. Colorado didn’t score until late in the third quarter but struck again with a 96-yard pass play to climb within three early in the fourth quarter. It was back-and-forth from there with 38 combined fourth quarter points including Colorado tying the game with a 26-yard touchdown pass in the final minute. The Buffaloes went first in overtime and settled for a field goal while Nebraska lost seven yards on a 3rd down sack and wound up missing from 48 for a second straight difficult loss in this series.

                              Clemson (-14½) 24, Texas A&M 10:
                              The defending national champions didn’t score until nearly 20 minutes into this game but wound up leading by 14 at halftime. The third quarter featured more defense until the Tigers completed a quick 83-yard touchdown drive to lead by 21. Texas A&M had a golden opportunity to score in the fourth quarter, but wound up intercepted at the 1-yard-line. It looked like Clemson would add another score to seal the favorite cover but Trevor Lawrence was also picked off near the end zone to halt a productive drive. Down three touchdowns, the Aggies only had five minutes to work with but they put together a quality drive and eventually the spread result boiled down to a 4th-and-goal play at the Clemson 2-yard-line with 10 seconds on the clock. Kellen Mond hit Jalen Wydermyer for the score, meaningless to the outcome and the national picture, but a huge swing play for many in one of the marquee non-conference games of the season.

                              Alabama (-55) 62, New Mexico State:
                              A 55-point spread seems outrageous regardless of the competition but Alabama wound up leading 38-0 at the half and had the margin to the 55-point mark through three quarters after answering a New Mexico State touchdown with 17 points in the final four minutes of the third quarter. Both teams had 3-and-out possessions to start the fourth before the Aggies broke through with a few decent gains after starting in good field position and nailed a 43-yard field goal that proved to be the difference in the game.

                              Wyoming (-7½) 23, Texas State 14:
                              Home underdog Texas State led 14-3 early and dominated the box score in this game. Wyoming managed to climb to within a point in the third quarter and then disaster struck for the Bobcats on a potential scoring drive with interception returned the other way for a 72-yard touchdown, suddenly putting Wyoming in front. Down six, the Texas State defense stepped up to hold Wyoming to a 19-yard field goal from 1st-and-goal from the 2-yard-line, but that kick put Wyoming past the road favorite spread with about 10 minutes to go. After an exchange of punts, Texas State appeared to give itself a shot at the comeback but a field goal was missed with three minutes remaining. Down nine in the final seconds, the outcome was set, but Texas State would get a final play from the Wyoming 6-yard-line with the spread result on the line but the Cowboys got the stop and turned in a second straight win despite losing badly in total yardage for a second straight week.

                              BYU (+3½) 29, Tennessee 26:
                              The Volunteers program has had plenty of low moments in the last decade but the start of the 2019 season is certain to join that growing list. The Volunteers led 13-3 at the half, settling for a pair of second quarter field goals. BYU would score in the third, but Tennessee still led 16-10 early in the fourth and then 16-13 much later in the game. The game appeared over as BYU was pinned at its own 8-yard-line facing 2nd-and-18 in the final minute but incredibly struck for a 65-yard completion and managed to spike the ball to stop the clock in time to get off and make the tying field goal. The Volunteers would have pushed or lost on most spreads as the real losers in overtime proved to be those on the ‘under’ as both teams scored touchdowns in the first session. Tennessee settled for three in round two and BYU needed only three plays to hand Tennessee a second straight home loss with a stunning comeback win.

                              Kentucky (-15) 38, Eastern Michigan 17:
                              Kentucky was in control most of the way against Eastern Michigan but led by 14 through three quarters in a game where they had only a 76 yard edge in total production. Early in the fourth, Kentucky connected for a 54-yard touchdown pass from Sawyer Smith on his first throw after Terry Wilson was injured on a vicious horse collar tackle. Mark Stoops didn’t forget that play with his offense passing three times on a late Kentucky drive including on 1st down in the final minute when the Wildcats could have taken a knee to end the game. That throw resulted in a spread swinging touchdown, though Stoops is fortunate he didn’t lose another player to a senseless injury on an unnecessary play. Spread result justice was nearly served as Mike Glass drove the Eagles down to the Kentucky 10 in the final seconds, but couldn’t connect in the end zone.

                              North Carolina (+4) 28, Miami, FL 25:
                              The Tar Heels had a hot start with a few big plays to lead 17-3 early, but Miami proved to be the stronger squad posting 99 more yards in the game. The Hurricanes went up 25-20 in the fourth quarter but failed on the two-point conversion try. The Miami defense seemed ready to wrap up the game, but North Carolina converted a 4th-and-17 and eventually went ahead with a touchdown with a minute remaining. The two-point conversion put the Heels up three but Miami quickly went down the field as overtime looked likely if not a win in regulation for Miami. The drive stalled and kicker Bubba Baxa had his third missed kick of the day leaving seven points on the field in addition to Miami failing on a 4th-and-1 in the red zone in the third quarter for a tough luck 0-2 start for the Hurricanes.

                              LSU (-6½) 45, Texas 38:
                              The Saturday night showcase game lived up its billing with an exciting display of offense. Texas trimmed LSU’s lead to 23-21 entering the fourth quarter but it didn’t take long for LSU to climb back up by nine. The teams exchanged scores again in quick order before Texas stalled and settled for a field goal to cut the margin to six points with four minutes to go, a significant figure with a spread that hovered near that margin all week. Texas had a chance to get the stop it needed for a shot at the upset, but on 3rd-and-17 Joe Burrow hit Justin Jefferson for 61 yards and LSU added the two-point conversion, ending hopes for the underdog with a 14-point margin. Texas would score in the final seconds but the road favorite escaped with the win and cover.

                              Auburn (-16) 24, Tulane 6:
                              Tulane was a popular underdog with a spread that was as high as +18½ upon its release. Auburn led by eight late in the third quarter before completing a long drive to lead 21-6. The Tigers added a field goal in the fourth quarter before a Tulane opportunity near midfield fell short. Auburn would fumble two plays later to give Green Wave backers a miracle opportunity with the ball at the Auburn 36 but Tulane only advanced a few more yards and again fell short on 4th down.

                              Texas Tech (-35) 38, UTEP 3:
                              The Red Raiders led 21-0 at halftime and 31-0 through three quarters. Adding a touchdown early in the fourth, Texas Tech was past the number at 38-0. UTEP was intercepted on the second play of its next drive, but offsides gave the ball back and Miners wound up nearly doubling its game production by getting in position for a shutout-spoiling field goal with about five minutes to go, while also spoiling the big favorite cover for many as well.

                              Penn State (-31½) 45, Buffalo 13:
                              You’ll do a double-take when pulling up the box score on this game as despite slipping by the heavy favorite spread with a 32-point win, Penn State was out-gained 429-357 and had only 14 first downs. A pick-six in the third quarter put the Lions in front after actually trailing 10-7 at the half while a big punt return aided by a penalty helped Penn State quickly score again to suddenly lead 21-10. Buffalo added a field goal in the third to sit down by eight and seemingly well within a safe range for the underdog cover, but Penn State scored two more touchdowns in the final seven minutes of the third and added an early fourth quarter field goal to lead by 25. Buffalo then reached the Penn State 25-yard-line but failed on 4th-and-2 and with three minutes to go and a significant lead, James Franklin called back-to-back pass plays, the second of which resulted in a 56-yard touchdown that put Penn State ahead by 32 and was actually the longest scoring drive of the game for the Lions. Buffalo reached the Penn State 35-yard-line on its final possession, but again couldn’t convert on 4th-and-short as Bulls backers had a puzzling loss given a nearly 3:1 time of possession edge for the heavy underdog.

                              Minnesota (-3) 38, Fresno State 35:
                              These teams have had exciting games the past two years with nearly identical results. Minnesota trailed 21-14 through three quarters and still 28-21 as the fourth quarter clock ticked down. On 4th-and-13, Tanner Morgan hit Chris Autman-Bell in the corner of the end zone, and he barely snuck a toe in for the tying score. In overtime, Fresno State benefitted from a 3rd down roughing the passer call and found the end zone on the next play, but Minnesota needed only three plays to answer. Going first in round two, Minnesota had to settle for a field goal to sit even with the common road favorite spread. Jorge Reyna took a shot at the end zone for the win on first down and he was intercepted by Austin Winfield, who sealed last season’s win for the Gophers with an interception in the end zone as well.

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X