Announcement

**Udog** · 08-31-2019, 11:23 PM

451GREEN BAY -452 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

453ATLANTA -454 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) in dome games in the last 3 seasons.

455WASHINGTON -456 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.

457BUFFALO -458 NY JETS
BUFFALO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road dog of <=3 since 1992.

459BALTIMORE -460 MIAMI
BALTIMORE is 31-17 ATS (12.3 Units) against the AFC East since 1992.

461SAN FRANCISCO -462 TAMPA BAY
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

463KANSAS CITY -464 JACKSONVILLE
KANSAS CITY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

465TENNESSEE -466 CLEVELAND
TENNESSEE is 117-153 ATS (-51.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

467LA RAMS -468 CAROLINA
LA RAMS are 139-189 ATS (-68.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

469DETROIT -470 ARIZONA
DETROIT is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) in road games against the NFC West since 1992.

471CINCINNATI -472 SEATTLE
CINCINNATI is 80-107 ATS (-37.7 Units) in the 1rst half of the season since 1992.

473INDIANAPOLIS -474 LA CHARGERS
LA CHARGERS are 16-1 ATS (14.9 Units) in home games against the AFC South since 1992.

475NY GIANTS -476 DALLAS
DALLAS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

477PITTSBURGH -478 NEW ENGLAND
NEW ENGLAND is 24-8 ATS (15.2 Units) at home when the total >=49.5 since 1992.

481DENVER -482 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 26-51 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

**Udog** · 08-31-2019, 11:24 PM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 1

Thursday, September 5

Green Bay @ Chicago

Game 451-452
September 5, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
135.600
Chicago
135.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
Even
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
46
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+3); Over

Sunday, September 8

LA Rams @ Carolina

Game 467-468
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
138.483
Carolina
138.587
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
Even
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+3); Under

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 455-456
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
118.165
Philadelphia
133.740
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 15 1/2
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 8 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-8 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ NY Jets

Game 457-458
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
120.399
NY Jets
127.894
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 7 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 3
40
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-3); Over

Atlanta @ Minnesota

Game 453-454
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
132.898
Minnesota
134.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+4); Under

Baltimore @ Miami

Game 459-460
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
130.334
Miami
128.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 5 1/2
37 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+5 1/2); Over

Kansas City @ Jacksonville

Game 463-464
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
140.011
Jacksonville
125.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 14 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 3 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-3 1/2); Over

Tennessee @ Cleveland

Game 465-466
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
129.627
Cleveland
136.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 7
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 5 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-5 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ Seattle

Game 471-472
September 8, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
124.693
Seattle
139.197
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 14 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 9
44
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-9); Over

Indianapolis @ LA Chargers

Game 473-474
September 8, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
133.228
LA Chargers
141.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 8
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 6 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-6 1/2); Under

San Francisco @ Tampa Bay

Game 461-462
September 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
124.752
Tampa Bay
134.571
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 10
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
Pick
50
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
Over

NY Giants @ Dallas

Game 475-476
September 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
128.072
Dallas
137.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 9
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 7
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-7); Under

Detroit @ Arizona

Game 469-470
September 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
120.036
Arizona
126.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 7
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 2 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+2 1/2); Under

Pittsburgh @ New England

Game 477-478
September 8, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
135.756
New England
143.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 8
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 6
51
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-6); Under

Monday, September 9

Houston @ New Orleans

Game 479-480
September 9, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
133.867
New Orleans
136.699
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 3
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 7
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+7); Under

Denver @ Oakland

Game 481-482
September 9, 2019 @ 10:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
121.907
Oakland
127.836
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 6
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1
43
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+1); Over

**Udog** · 08-31-2019, 11:25 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 1

Thursday, September 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (6 - 9 - 1) at CHICAGO (12 - 5) - 9/5/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 192-139 ATS (+39.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CHICAGO is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, September 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (7 - 9) at MINNESOTA (8 - 7 - 1) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (7 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 8) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (6 - 10) at NY JETS (4 - 12) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 2-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (10 - 7) at MIAMI (7 - 9) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 12) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 11) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (13 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 11) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (9 - 7) at CLEVELAND (7 - 8 - 1) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 117-153 ATS (-51.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA RAMS (15 - 4) at CAROLINA (7 - 9) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 193-240 ATS (-71.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 193-240 ATS (-71.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 139-189 ATS (-68.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 68-103 ATS (-45.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (6 - 10) at ARIZONA (3 - 13) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (6 - 10) at SEATTLE (10 - 7) - 9/8/2019, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 7) at LA CHARGERS (13 - 5) - 9/8/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 29-5 ATS (+23.5 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (5 - 11) at DALLAS (11 - 7) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (9 - 6 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (14 - 5) - 9/8/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 262-200 ATS (+42.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 262-200 ATS (+42.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 202-146 ATS (+41.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 125-84 ATS (+32.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 80-54 ATS (+20.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, September 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (11 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (14 - 4) - 9/9/2019, 7:10 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (6 - 10) at OAKLAND (4 - 12) - 9/9/2019, 10:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 52-85 ATS (-41.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 146-183 ATS (-55.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-31-2019, 11:26 PM

NFL

Week 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 5

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Chicago is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Green Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 10 games
Green Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Green Bay's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Green Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago

Sunday, September 8

Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Carolina is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
Carolina is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Rams is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games on the road
LA Rams is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
LA Rams is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing Carolina
LA Rams is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Cleveland's last 21 games at home
Cleveland is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Tennessee
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Jacksonville is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Jacksonville is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Kansas City is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Kansas City is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 21 games at home
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami

New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games
NY Jets is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
NY Jets is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 7 games at home
NY Jets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
NY Jets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
NY Jets is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Buffalo is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Redskins
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games
LA Chargers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Chargers is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games at home
LA Chargers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
LA Chargers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
LA Chargers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
LA Chargers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 9 games
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Chargers
Indianapolis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Seattle is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Cincinnati is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 10 games at home
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona's last 15 games when playing Detroit
Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games when playing Arizona
Detroit is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games on the road
NY Giants is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Giants's last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games when playing San Francisco
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Francisco's last 19 games when playing Tampa Bay
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

New England Patriots
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New England's last 12 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Pittsburgh
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
New England is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 16-5-1 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing New England
Pittsburgh is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against New England

Monday, September 9

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 9 games
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
Houston Texans
Houston is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road

Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games
Oakland is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Oakland's last 23 games
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 12 games at home
Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Denver is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-31-2019, 11:28 PM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Green Bay @ Chicago (-4)— Packers won 15 of last 18 series games; they’re 8-1 in last nine trips here, losing 24-17 in Week 15 LY. Chicago was 6-0 as a home favorite LY, after being 11-21 from 2010-17; last three years, Bears are 7-1-1 vs spread in NFC Central home games. Last two years, Green Bay is 4-10-1 vs spread as a single digit underdog, 4-6-1 as a road dog. Over last decade, favorites are 16-9 vs spread in Packers’ NFC Central road games. Green Bay won last four season openers, but lost five of last seven road openers; over is 11-2 in their last 13 RO’s. Chicago started 0-1 the last five years; they lost four of last five home openers (under 3-1-1).

Atlanta @ Minnesota (-4)— Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 22-7-1 vs spread as a home favorite, 16-2-1 outside NFC North. Vikings won last three series games; Falcons won three of last five visits to the Twin Cities. Last two years, Atlanta is 4-12 vs spread on road, 1-6 as a road underdog; they’re 6-14 vs spread n last 20 non-division games. Falcons won three of last four road openers; they split last eight season openers. Five of their last six RO’s stayed under. Minnesota won four of last five season openers; they won/covered their last four home openers- Vikings’ last five HO’s stayed under. Minnesota struggled to find a kicker this summer; they traded a 5th-round pick for a kicker, then cut him three weeks later.

Washington @ Philadelphia (-8.5)— Keenum is on his 4th team in four years; he started 39 games (21-18) the last three years. Eagles won last four series games, all by 10+ points; Skins lost last two visits here, 34-24/28-13. Since 2012, Iggles are 7-13-1 vs spread in NFC East home games; under Pederson, Philly is 8-8-1 as a HF (2-6 LY). Last three years, Redskins are 11-8 vs spread as a road underdog- they covered once in last six NFC East road games. Washington snapped a 5-game skid on Opening Day LY; they won last three road openers. Over is 7-3 in their last ten RO’s. Philly started 1-0 in seven of last eight seasons; they won four of last five home openers (under 4-1). Redskins’ LT Williams is holding out; thats a problem.

Buffalo at Jets (-3)— Teams split eight meetings last four years, going 2-2 in each stadium; average total in last three meetings is 52. Gase lost three of last four games vs Bills when he was in Miami. Jets won six of their last eight home openers; since ’13, they’re 16-8-2 as a home underdog. Over last decade, Gang Green is 11-3 as an AFC East home dog. Since 2014, Buffalo is 2-6-1 vs spread as a road favorite; they’re opening on road for first time in five years. Over last decade, Bills are 1-3 vs spread as an RF in AFC East road games. Bills lost last three road openers, scoring 7-3-3 points. Gase was 7-3-1 as a home underdog with the Dolphins. Jets picked up the kicker Minnesota cut, so they’re struggling to find a kicker, too.

Baltimore (-4.5) @ Miami— Miami traded LT Tunsil and two other starters for mostly draft picks, so they’ve already given up on this year, like Oakland did LY. Ravens won last three Week 1 games by combined score of 80-10; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road openers. Baltimore won last two games wth Miami by a combined score of 78-6, with last meeting in ’17. Since 2013, Baltimore is 6-11-1 as a road favorite. Over is 8-3-1 in their last dozen RO’s. Miami covered five of its last six home openers (4-2 SU). Dolphins’ last ten home openers stayed under the total; nine of their last ten RO’s went over. Over last eight years, Ravens are 14-25-2 vs spread in non-division road games. Since 2012, Dolphins are 14-7-2 as home underdogs, 9-3-1 outside the AFC East. 36-year old Fitzpatrick leads an offense that just traded his blindside protection.

San Francisco @ Tampa Bay (-1)— When Arians was in Arizona, he won his last six meetings with SF. Last four years, 49ers are 5-27 SU on road; they’re 8-12 vs spread in last 20 road tilts outside NFC West. Over last five years, Bucs are 16-24 vs spread at home. 49ers lost last four road openers (1-3 vs spread), losing by average of 13.8 ppg; four of their last six road openers stayed under. Tampa Bay won its last two Week 1 games, scoring 31-48 points; they didn’t play in Week 1 in 2017 because of a hurricane. Arians was 2-3 in openers while he was Arizona’s coach. Keeping an eye out to see if the hurricane impacts life in the Tampa Bay area.

Kansas City (-3.5) @ Jacksonville— Chiefs won last four season openers; they covered five of last six road openers. Over is 5-3 in their last eight RO’s. Since ’13, KC is 15-7 vs spread as road favorites, 8-4 outside AFC West. KC won last four series games, pounding Jags 30-14 (-3) at home LY- they’re 2-4 SU in six visits here, with last visit in ‘13. Under Marrone, Jaguars are 6-4 as home underdogs, after being 10-24-1 from 2009-15. Jacksonville won its last two season openers, but lost six of last seven home openers- they’re 3-9 vs spread in 12 HO’s. Four of their last five home openers went over.

Tennessee @ Cleveland (-5.5)— Lot of pressure on Browns; they’re actually favored to win AFC North. Since re-joining NFL in 1999, Browns are 1-18-1 SU in Week 1; they tied Steelers in LY’s opener. Cleveland did cover five of last seven home openers. Tennessee beat Browns last two years, by total of five points- they nipped Cleveland 12-9 in OT here LY. Titans lost last three season openers, but won/covered five of last six road openers. Over last nine years, Browns are 7-14-2 as a HF, 6-10-2 outside AFC North- over last three years, they’re 1-3 ATS when favored. Tennessee was 6-4 vs spread as an underdog LY, in Vrabel’s first year as HC.

Rams (-3) @ Carolina— Under McVay, Rams won their season openers 46-9/33-13; they’re 7-6 as RF under McVay, 3-4 outside NFC West. Since 2014, Panthers are 7-3 as home dogs, 4-0 outside the NFC South. Since 2000, Rams are 4-15 vs spread in road openers (4-5 in last nine). Four of their last five road openers stayed under total. Carolina won its last five home openers, allowing 8-3 points last two years; they won four of last five season openers. Under is 5-1 in their last six HO’s. Carolina won six of last seven series games, but teams haven’t met in McVay era. Rams’ lost last three visits here, with last win 38-32 in 2001. Since 2003, Super Bowl loser is 3-13 vs spread in its first game the next season.

Detroit (-1.5) @ Arizona— Rookie head coach, rookie QB; Cardinals are a great unknown. Lions beat Arizona last two years, after losing previous seven meetings. Last five years, Lions are 11-4-4 vs spread when laying 3 or fewer points; they were 5-0 vs spread LY in non-divisional road games. Last three years, Cardinals are 8-16 SU at home; since 2013, Redbirds are 18-11-1 vs spread in non-divisional home games. Detroit started six of last eight seasons 1-0; Lions covered last three road openers; over is 9-4-1 in their last 14. Cardinals lost last three home openers, scoring 14.7 ppg; six of their last seven home openers stayed under.

Cincinnati @ Seattle (-8.5)— Seahawks won their last ten home openers (8-2 vs spread); under is 15-2-1 in their last 18 HO’s. Bengals won four of last five road openers; eight of their last nine RO’s went over total. Cincy won four of last five Week 1 games. Bengals won three of last four series games; home side won five of last six meetings- Cincy lost three of last four visits here. Last four years, Seattle is 12-15-1 vs spread as a home favorite, 8-8-1 outside NFC West. Since 2011, Bengals are 22-14-4 vs spread as road underdogs, 12-7-3 outside AFC North. New coaches went 0-7 SU (1-6 ATS) in Week 1 LY, after they were 17-10 SU from 2014-17.

Indianapolis @ Chargers (-7)— Line jumped after Andrew Luck retired; Brissett was 4-11 as a starter for the ’17 Colts. Last five years, Chargers are 13-25 vs spread at home, whether it be San Diego or Carson, 11-14 outside AFC West. Chargers won six of last eight meetings, taking pair of playoff wins over Indy in 2007-08. Teams haven’t met in California since 2013. Last four years, Colts are 11-9 vs spread as non-division road underdog. Colts lost seven of last nine road openers; they’ve started last five seasons 0-1. Indy’s last three season openers went over. LA lost its two home openers in Carson after winning six of last seven in San Diego; 13 of their last 16 HO’s went over. Bolts started last three seasons 0-1.

Giants @ Dallas (-7.5)— Giants lost seven of last eight season openers; they’re playing road opener in Dallas for 6th time in last seven years. NY is 2-7 in last nine RO’s overall, 1-4 in last five RO’s here- their last three RO’s stayed under. Cowboys are 4-0 vs Big Blue last two years, winning 19-3/20-13 here. Dallas won six of last eight home openers; they split last ten season openers, with four of last five staying under. Last couple years, Giants are 10-4 vs spread as road underdogs, but only 2-3 in NFC East games. Since 2010, Cowboys are 9-22-1 vs spread when laying points in divisional home games. RB Elliott is still holding out, which is a problem for the Dallas offense.

Pittsburgh @ New England (-6)— Pitt opens on road for 5th straight year; since 1997, Steelers are 1-8-1 vs spread when an underdog in their road opener; five of their last six RO’s stayed under. Patriots won 15 of last 17 home openers, but are 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven (under 5-2). NE started 13 of last 15 seasons 1-0, losing in ’14/’17. Patriots won five of last six series games; Pitt lost last three visits here, with last win at NE in 2008. Over last decade, Steelers are 18-11-1 vs spread as road underdog, 5-0 last three years; they’re 25-15-2 vs spread in last 42 games as a single digit underdog. Since 2013, Patriots are 28-13-3 as home favorites, 17-8-1 outside AFC East. Last five Super Bowl champs are 3-1-1 vs spread in their season opener the next year.

Houston @ New Orleans (-7)— Saints started last five seasons 0-1; NO lost its last four home openers and were favored in three of them- last three went over total, with Saints giving up 35-36-48 points. Since 2014, New Orleans is 13-20-1 as a home favorite, 8-13-1 outside NFC South. Home side won all four series games; Texans lost 31-10/40-33 in their visits here. Under O’Brien, Houston is 14-16-1 as road underdogs (3-1 LY)- they covered six of last eight games as a non-divisional road dog. Texans lost three of last four road openers (under 4-0); in franchise history, they’re 4-8 vs spread in RO’s. Houston fortified QB Watson’s blindside by trading for LT Tunsil.

Denver @ Oakland (-2.5)— Broncos are opening on road for first time since 2010; they won last seven season openers, but obviously, all those were in Denver. New coach, new QB for Denver, which over last nine years is 4-12 vs spread as an AFC West road underdog. Over last decade, Oakland is 13-18 as a home favorite. Broncos are 7-8 in last 15 road openers, with three of last four going over total. Raiders lost four of last five home openers; since 2003, they’re 4-12 vs spread in HO’s, with four of last five going over. Teams split season series last four years; Raiders lost six of last seven visits here, dropping last three, by 1-6-18 points. This is likely Raiders’ last home opener in Oakland, with Las Vegas move on deck in 2020.

**Udog** · 09-01-2019, 10:17 PM

TNF - Packers at Bears
Kevin Rogers

PRESEASON RECORDS
Green Bay: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 4-0 O/U
Chicago: 1-3 SU, 1-3, 4-0 O/U

The Bears were limited to 15 points or fewer in three exhibition losses, while dropping to 3-6 in the last two preseasons. The Packers won both their home games, but lost both their exhibition contests away from Lambeau Field. Since 2016, Green Bay hasn’t lost a home preseason game by posting an 8-0 record.

2018 REVIEW
Green Bay: 6-9-1 SU, 6-9-1 ATS, 8-8 O/U
Chicago: 12-4 SU, 12-4 ATS, 8-8 O/U

The Packers qualified for the postseason for eight consecutive seasons from 2009-2016, which included a Super Bowl title in 2010 over the Steelers. However, Green Bay has been shut out of the playoffs the last two seasons, while suffering its worst record since Aaron Rodgers’ rookie season of 2008 when the Packers finished 6-10.

Green Bay didn’t win consecutive games once last season, while grabbing only one victory within the NFC North. Five of the Packers’ six wins came against teams owning losing records, as longtime head coach Mike McCarthy was fired following a Week 13 defeat as a 13 ½-point home favorite to Arizona. In spite of the struggles in the win column, quarterback Aaron Rodgers put together one of the best seasons of his career by throwing 25 touchdown passes and only two interceptions, while accumulating 4,442 yards through the air.

The Bears captured their first NFC North title since 2010 as Matt Nagy’s first season as head coach was an absolute success. Although Chicago lost to Philadelphia in the Wild Card round on a missed field goal in the closing seconds, the Bears won their most games since 2006, when they took home the NFC championship. Four of Chicago’s five losses came by three points or fewer, while the Bears covered the spread 11 times in 12 victories.

Mitchell Trubisky rebounded from a rough rookie season to throw for 3,223 yards and 24 touchdowns, but was intercepted 12 times. The acquisition of standout linebacker Khalil Mack from Oakland prior to the season boosted Chicago’s defense, which finished third in the NFL in yards allowed per game (299.7), and tops in the league in rushing defense (80 yards per game).

HOME/ROAD SPLITS
The Bears put together a solid 7-1 SU/ATS regular season record at Soldier Field in 2018 with the lone loss coming to the Patriots in a 38-31 Week 7 setback. Chicago’s defense yielded 17 points or less in five home games, while giving up 16 points in the playoff loss to Philadelphia. This was in stark contrast to the 3-5 home mark in 2017, as the Bears scored 17 points or fewer in regulation six times that season.

It took until the final road game of the season for Green Bay to break through away from Lambeau Field in a Week 16 overtime triumph over the Jets. The Packers had lost their first seven away contests, while covering only once in the road underdog role in a 29-27 defeat to the Rams as 7 ½-point ‘dogs in Week 8.

SERIES HISTORY
The Packers and Bears kick off the season in primetime for the second consecutive season after Green Bay rallied to stun Chicago, 24-23 at Lambeau Field in Week 1. The Bears jumped out to a commanding 17-0 halftime lead, highlighted by a 27-yard interception return for a touchdown by Mack on an errant screen pass by backup quarterback DeShone Kizer.

Rodgers exited the game in the second quarter with a leg injury, but limped back after halftime to lead an epic comeback as Green Bay erased a 20-0 deficit. Rodgers connected on a pair of touchdown passes to Geronimo Allison and Davante Adams early in the fourth quarter, while hitting Randall Cobb on a 75-yard scoring strike in the final minutes to put the Packers in front. In spite of the loss, the Bears grabbed the cover as seven-point underdogs, while the final touchdown pushed the total over 45.

Chicago picked up revenge against Green Bay in Week 15 by clinching the NFC North title in a 24-17 victory to cash as 5 ½-point favorites. Trubisky tossed a pair of touchdowns, including a 13-yard connection to Trey Burton in the fourth quarter to break a 14-14 tie. The win snapped a five-game skid to the Packers dating back to 2016, while Chicago beat Green Bay at home for the first time since 2010.

THURSDAY NIGHT HISTORY
The underdog has won outright in the Thursday night season opener in each of the past three seasons. The Broncos (+3) edged the Panthers, 21-20 in a Super Bowl matchup in 2016, while the Chiefs (+8) chased the Patriots in 2017 at Gillette Stadium in a 42-27 upset. Last season, the Eagles (+1) slipped past the Falcons, 18-12 in a playoff rematch, marking a victory by the home team in the league season opener for the fifth time in the last six seasons.

For the fourth time in five years, the Packers and Bears are meeting for a Thursday night contest and for the first time in this stretch, the game will be played in Chicago. Green Bay won the last two Thursday matchups with Chicago by double-digits, including a 35-14 blowout at Lambeau in 2017.

SEASON OPENERS
The Packers have won four consecutive Week 1 games with the most recent loss coming on a Thursday night at Seattle in 2014. Green Bay started the last two seasons at home as the Pack is playing their first road season opener since 2016 at Jacksonville when they edged the Jaguars, 27-23.

The Bears are looking to snap a five-game skid in season openers with the last Week 1 win occurring in 2013 against the Bengals. Chicago is favored in a season opener for the first time since 2014 when the Bears were tripped up by the Bills in overtime, 23-20 as seven-point chalk.

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
Expert Joe Nelson checks in with his thoughts on these old rivals hooking up on Thursday, “There isn’t a clear consensus on either of these teams for 2019 with the Packers featuring an unproven head coach in Matt LaFleur and Rodgers battling injuries the past two seasons and last season featuring the lowest touchdown count of his career in a season in which he played in all 16 games. The Packers went just 6-9-1 last season, but six defeats came by a single-score as it isn’t hard to envision a turnaround in 2019 back to contention in the NFC.”

From a primetime standpoint, that advantage belongs to Green Bay’s All-Pro quarterback according to Nelson, “Trubisky has not yet played on a Thursday night game and he has eight interceptions in going 3-2 in night games in his career. Rodgers is 26-22 in prime time contests in his career, going 8-4 on Thursdays with 26 touchdowns and only four interceptions as there is a clear disparity in the experience levels on this stage.”

In the Week 15 matchup at Soldier Field last December, Nelson points out some interesting tidbits from Chicago’s seven-point win, “The box score reveals a few surprises from that most recent meeting with the Packers posting a big edge in rushing per attempt at 4.6 compared to 3.4 for Chicago, while Trubisky and the Bears averaged 3.0 more yards per pass than Rodgers and the Packers. Green Bay had twice as many penalty yards and took five sacks in a game that was led by Joe Philbin as an interim coach.”

LINE MOVEMENT
The Bears opened up as 3 ½-point favorites at the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas back in April, as Chicago has dropped slightly to three-point chalk. The opening total of 46 has stayed put at the Westgate, which is a half-point lower than the Week 15 game in Chicago last season.

**Udog** · 09-02-2019, 10:57 PM

Hot & Not Report - Week 1
Matt Blunt

It's finally here. After a long seven-month off-season, regular season NFL games will finally grace millions of television screens across the world this week. It's the 100th year of the league and because of that celebration we get a Packers/Bears opening game on TNF instead of the defending champs raising a banner, as that waits until SNF when that broadcast crew heads to New England.

But it's the first week of the season which means hope springs eternal for every player and fan across the entire league, and Week 1 action is one where there is typically no shortage of action on seemingly every game. With that in mind, I've gone out and grouped together two specific scenarios that apply to seven games in Week 1, including that opener in Chicago.

Let's get right to it:

Who's Hot

Week 1 Underdogs in Divisional games – 11-4-2 ATS the past four years

It's not the easiest thing in the NFL to start out a new season with an all-important divisional game, but it's become part of the routine for Giants and Cowboys fans. Dallas and the New York Giants have met in Week 1 in three of the past four years, and will do so again this year as part of the late afternoon slate on Sunday. New York is catching a touchdown in that contest, and if recent history is any indication, grabbing those points may be worth your time.

Underdogs in divisional games have cashed ATS tickets at 73% clip (ignoring pushes) the past four years. Seven of those 11 cashes have been thanks to road underdogs like the role the Giants find themselves in this week. But New York is a team many are going to take a big leap of faith on to back in certain spots this year given their season-long projections, but there are given that underdogs catching at least 6 full points on the spread in Week 1 divisional games account for a 6-3 ATS mark in that 11-4-2 record, grabbing the perceived far worse team does tend to pay out. Given that the three ATS wins by favorites in that scenario have come by 1.5, 16, and 2 points clear of the closing line, and the six underdogs that cashed those tickets are 2-4 SU as well, money bets shouldn't be taken off the table either.

Last year there were just three divisional games on the Week 1 card and the underdog cashed in all of them. Cleveland managed to tie Pittsburgh, the Tampa Bay Bucs shocked New Orleans with a 48-40 win as 10-point road underdogs, and the Bears blew an early outright lead in a 24-23 loss to Green Bay that will always be remembered for Aaron Rodgers return from a 1st half injury.

So it's not like recent form isn't there either, and with Green Bay (+3.5) @ Chicago (TNF), Washington (+9.5) @ Philadelphia, Buffalo (+3) vs NY Jets, NY Giants (+7) vs Dallas, and Denver (+1) vs Oakland as potential options in 2019, breaking down those games and teams further over the next few days can only help your bankroll.

That's because when you think about why a run like this has happened for divisional underdogs in Week 1 on a macro scale, it's boils down to a few simplistic things. The biggest of those being that it's still the first week of a season, and no matter what the summer-long projections have looked like, or what these point spreads suggest, nobody in the market really has a full grasp on what any team is going to be about in 2019.

Sure, there are plenty of handicappers who go the armchair GM route and break down things by ranking players, the bettors who are good at doing that are few and far between. It tends to be their action that influences early market moves in a Week 1 atmosphere, while the rest of it is just white noise. If you were to transplant Week 1 games to say Week 10, when much more is known about all 32 NFL teams (on both sides of the counter), chances are nearly every line would look significantly quite different. That's not to say betting 'dogs across the board is a phenomenal strategy in Week 1, but if there ever was a week to use the idea that “the wrong team may be favored”, Week 1 would be it. And recent history suggests that divisional 'dogs tend to be the way to go.

Who's Not

Week 1 Home teams in non-conference games – 5-10 SU last three years

Division games aren't the only ones to target in Week 1, as non-conference games are another specific scenario that has shown a profitable angle the past three years. That would be to fade the home team ATS and/or SU as they've only won outright five times in 15 tries over the past three years. 2019 has two games that fit this bill – Cincinnati vs Seattle (-9.5) and Houston vs New Orleans (-7) on MNF.

With Seattle and New Orleans being the chalk layers at home this year, fading both of them in following this system is best done against the spread, as you are getting at least a touchdown on both. Houston's got to be more attractive then the Bengals are from a sheer health and talent standpoint, but this recent trend doesn't discriminate, as all three times it's applied where the home side has been laying at least a TD, the underdog is a perfect 3-0 ATS with two outright wins. One of those was last year's MNF game between the Jets and Lions where New York went into Detroit and laid the wood to the Lions (48-17), while the other was a Jimmy Garoppolo game with New England back in 2016 when Brady was sitting out his Deflategate suspension.

Seattle and New Orleans are arguably the two places with the best home field advantage in the sport though, so Cincinnati and Houston could be in tough in terms of outright wins. But history is on their side this week, and like I said earlier, it's still Week 1 and nobody anywhere has a great handle on any of these teams quite yet.

One more thing for these two games to keep in mind this week as well. The 'over' has gone 9-6 in non-conference games the past three years with the average score clocking in at 48.2 points per game. The Houston/New Orleans total is currently sitting about five points higher than that in the 53.5 range, but the Bengals/Seahawks contest is on the complete opposite end of the spectrum sitting five points lower at 43. That might be the game that 'over' bettors want to target, as only six of those 15 games had fewer than 44 points scored.

**Udog** · 09-02-2019, 11:02 PM

Tech Trends - Week 1
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Sept. 5

GREEN BAY at CHICAGO (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
LaFleur Pack debut! Teams have split last 8 games since 2015. Pack only 5-010-1 as dog past two years (much of that minus Rodgers, however. Nagy 7-1 vs. line at home in reg season LY’s debut, Bears also 9-3 as chalk in 2018. Chicago closed 2018 “under” 7 in a row.
Tech Edge: Bears and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Sunday, Sept. 8

ATLANTA at MINNESOTA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcs 4-12 vs. line last two years on reg season road. Zimmer 11-4-1 vs. spread as host since 2017, also “under” 9-1-1 last 11 home.
Tech Edge: Vikings and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Birds have won and covered last four meetings since 2017. Though Philly just 2-6 vs. points at Linc LU after Pederson was 11-4-1 vs. spread reg season as host previous two years. Note division dogs 17-4 vs. line last 21 in opening week.
Tech Edge: Slight to Eagles, based on series trends.

BUFFALO at NY JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Gase Jets debut! Teams split four the past two years, though Gase 0-3-1 vs. line vs. Bills last two years with Miami. Jets 0-4-1 vs. points last five at home. Bills “under” 8-2 last 10 away
Tech Edge: Slight to Bills, based on team trends.

BALTIMORE at MIAMI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Flores Dolphins debut! Miami 7-3-1 as home dog for Gase past three years, but failed to cover last 8 vs. Ravens (all Harbaugh). Balt won and covered last 3 openers, and covered last 3 away LY.
Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Arians Bucs debut! The last two Arians Cards teams were only 12-19-1 vs. line. Niners only 2-6 vs. line away LY and lost 27-9 at Raymond James. Bucs have won and covered last three openers.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bucs, based on team trends.

KANSAS CITY at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags closed 2018 on 2-10 SU and 3-8-1 spread run down stretch. Marrone was 3-0 as home dog LY, though Jags on 6-11-1 spread slide last 18 reg season games. Also “under” 11-6 last 17 reg season games. Andy Reid 7-2 vs. line last nine away, and Chiefs 9-1 “over” last ten away.
Tech Edge: Chiefs and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals’ trends.

TENNESSEE at CLEVELAND (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Browns closed 2018 on 5-2 spread run. Titans have lost and failed to cover last three openers. Vrabel 6-4 as dog LY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Browns, based on team trends.

LA RAMS at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Rams only covered 4 of last 12 in reg season LY, also “under” 6-2 as reg season visitor LY. Cam 4-1 as home dog since 2017, 16-8 overall as dog past four years.
Tech Edge: Slight to Panthers, based on team trends.

DETROIT at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Kingsbury Cards debut! Lions ended 2018 “under” last 7 and 9 of last 10 games. Big Red “under” 1–5 as host past two years.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Lions, based on “totals” and team trends.

CINCINNATI at SEATTLE (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Taylor Bengals debut! Cincy was 6-2 as away dog LY for Marvin Lewis. Pete Carroll 5-2-1 vs. line at home LY, and 9-5-2 overall vs. number. Hawks also “over” 7 of last 8 LY.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Seahawks, based on “totals” and team trends.

INDIANAPOLIS at LA CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Colts were 6-3-1 v. line LY down stretch in reg season but that was with Luck. Indy covered 4 of last 9 in 2017 with Brissett. Bolts just 2-6 as home chalk LY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Colts, based on team trends.

NY GIANTS at DALLAS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Dallas has now won and covered last four vs. Giants, though both close LY. Eli was 6-1 as road dog in 2018 and Giants 10-4 in role since 2017. Five of last six in series “under” (exception was Week 16 game LY).
Tech Edge: Slight to Giants and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

PITTSBURGH at NEW ENGLAND (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Tomlin finally beat Belichick LY after losing and failing to cover previous five. Last four meetings “under” as well. Belichick 13-3 vs. line last 16 at home. Tomlin has covered last five as road dog and was 6-0 as underdog LY.
Tech Edge: Belichick, based on extended series trends.

Monday, Sept. 9

HOUSTON at NEW ORLEANS (ESPN, 7:10 p.m. ET)
Texans 3-1 as away dog LY but only 8-8-1 overall vs. line. Saints have failed to cover last five openers. Saints also “over” 11-6 last 17 at Superdome.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Texans, based on “totals” and team trends.

DENVER at OAKLAND (ESPN, 10:15 p.m. ET)
Fangio Broncos debut! Denver closed 2018 “under” nine in a row, and last 5 “under” vs. Oakland. Raiders have covered last 3 in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

**Udog** · 09-03-2019, 10:57 PM

Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 1 odds: Have patience with these primetime lines
Jason Logan

The Steelers are anywhere between +5.5 and +6.5 for their season debut versus the Patriots on Sunday Night Football in Week 1.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team, but betting the best number. Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL board each week.

As for Week 1, this is an unusual slate since the spreads and totals come out when the schedule is announced in the spring. The 2019 NFL Week 1 odds hit the board back in mid-April and have taken action ever since. However, books estimate as much as 95 percent of their total handle (money taken on the games) will come in the three days leading up to kickoff, so there's plenty of time for significant line moves.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: LOS ANGELES CHARGERS -6

When the news broke that Andrew Luck was retiring from football, the Indianapolis Colts went from +3 to as high as +8.5 at some sportsbook for their Week 1 road game against the Los Angeles Chargers. As bettors reacted to that shift, the line eventually settled at Chargers -7 and even dropped to -6 days before the opener.

Honestly, I was surprised the spread on the Bolts dipped under the key number of a touchdown, but sharp money is pushing this in favor of the Colts. If you do like Los Angeles, getting the host under a TD is a gift as I do project the spread climbing in the days before kickoff Sunday.

As public money comes in, those players will be reacting to a Luck-less Indianapolis team on the road. That opinion will add a point or maybe even two to this spread before closing Sunday afternoon. I could see it close Chargers -7.5 or even -8 – a dead number for a strange game to handicap. If you like L.A., bang it now before joe public puffs up this spread.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: PITTSBURGH STEELERS -6

AFC heavyweights collide when the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football. This line opened Patriots -6 and has bounced around a bit, with a few -6.5 spreads popping up and a handful of books dealing -5.5 as well.

While we don’t know how quick Tom Brady will gel with some of his new receivers, we do know the public money is going to be riding New England in this opener – even with Pittsburgh among the most popular teams in the NFL.

Not only will there be plenty of plays on the favorite in this primetime game, but most parlays still alive come Sunday night will be riding on the defending Super Bowl champs. Due to this, those bettors siding with the Steelers may want to wait it out until Sunday night and see if they can get Pittsburgh +6.5 or maybe even +7. This is one of those games for which you should have multiple accounts and the ability to shop around.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: GREEN BAY AT CHICAGO - OVER 46.5

The football-starved masses get their first bite of NFL regular season action when the NFC North takes center stage on Thursday Night Football. The total for Packers at Bears opened at 46 and has ticked a half-point higher to 46.5, with early money on the Over.

I’m expecting more of the same in the hours before kickoff, driving the total upwards and shifting the vig on the Over and Under. If you look back at past NFL season openers, they’ve seen an uptick in Over play on gameday until right before kickoff, capped by last-second Under money from the wiseguys.

If you do like the Over Thursday, now might be the best time to pull the trigger. The Bears offense has gotten a ton of hype this season (Mitch Trubisky for MVP, anyone?) and Aaron Rodgers playing in a new system should get people excited. For me, it's all about the Chicago defense and a Packers stop unit that is building on a solid 2018 effort, but if you're banking on fireworks, bet the Over now.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: HOUSTON AT NEW ORLEANS – UNDER 53.5

Another primetime game with a tempting total is Houston at New Orleans Monday night. This is the highest number on the Week 1 board, and for good reason. The Texans and Saints have a surplus of talents in the passing game and boast two defenses that gave up chunks of yardage through the air last season.

On top of that perception, the Monday Night Football crowd loves to bet “favorite and Over” each week, which means this sky-high total could climb even further. And, much like the Sunday Night Football patterns, once that number goes up, the sharp guys buy back the Under just before kickoff.

If you’re looking to the Under, be warned: tall totals in Week 1 have led to Over results in recent seasons. Totals of 50 or more points in Week 1 have gone 5-2 Over/Under since the 2014 season. That trend makes it even more important to milk that late line movement for every half point you can get.

**Udog** · 09-07-2019, 07:34 AM

Sunday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Falcons at Vikings (-4/47), 1 p.m. ET: Running back Dalvin Cook’s return to full strength will be the x-factor set to separate the Vikings from the elite team they were in 2017 (13-3) and the mediocre 8-7-1 unit they were last year. Although he only played in four games as a rookie before tearing his ACL and got into 10 last season, he’s showing off the burst that he brought into the league and should give the offense the boost it was missing in scoring just 10 or fewer points in three of the last five. Receiver Stefon Diggs missed practice earlier in the week but is expected to play through a hamstring issue. Corner Mike Hughes, who shined as a rookie, is coming off a knee injury and may be the only player not ready to go in this opener.

Atlanta is mostly healthy too, but may have to start a rookie at right tackle in late first-round pick Kaleb McGary, who dealt with an injury in camp, so it is dealing with uncertainty up front. WR Julio Jones is expected to play despite his contract situation remaining unsettled. The Falcons lost four of their first five last season and have never defeated Minnesota in September, losing all eight all-time meetings. The Vikings went just 5-3 SU (4-3-1 ATS) at home last season after putting together a 9-1 run (7-3 ATS) spanning the end of the US Bank Stadium’s first season and its second.

Redskins at Eagles (-10/45), 1 p.m. ET: Carson Wentz will play in his first game since being shelved last December and didn’t get in during the preseason. Per Philly observers, he’s looked sharp in joint practices and looks noticeably leaner, losing the brace he was playing with to help protect him last season after his ACL surgery. He’ll have two new running backs to hand off to with Bears import Jordan Howard and rookie Miles Sanders taking over. New deep threat Desean Jackson has returned to Eagles nation and is expected to play after dealing with a hand issue late in the preseason.

Colt McCoy was the frontrunner to start this one when camp began but couldn’t get on the field to prepare and is still strengthening his leg. Case Keenum gets the nod and will work with a receiving corps featuring four players whose next catch will be their first as pros. Paul Richardson and rookie third-round pick Terry McLaurin are expected to be his top targets at wideout. Tight end Jordan Reed should play despite coming off a concussion. Derrius Guice won the running back job over Adrian Peterson, but both are worse off for tackle Trent Williams’ continued holdout. Philadelphia has won the last four meetings between these NFC East rivals, capturing each by double-digits.

Bills at Jets (-3/41.5), 1 p.m. ET: Sam Darnold and Josh Allen will be tied together as long as they’re at the helm for their respective teams. They were the second and third quarterbacks taken behind Baker Mayfield in the 2018 draft and started against one another in Week 14 last December. Darnold picked up the win while Allen ran for over 100 yards and threw for more than 200. Combined, they threw three picks. Since both teams were going nowhere 10 months ago, this contest will have a completely different feel as the season opener.

The Adam Gase era begins against a Greg McDermott’s Bills, who beat Miami in three of four head-to-head meetings over the past two seasons but stunningly cut LeSean McCoy in the preseason, moving forward with veterans Frank Gore and T.J. Yeldon in addition to rookie Devin Singletary. Le’Veon Bell joining the Jets is even bigger news that Gase’s hiring and should further aid Darnold’s progression. The ‘over’ is 4-2 in the last six meetings between these teams, cashing in each of the last three games.

Ravens (-6.5/39.5) at Dolphins, 1 p.m. ET: Baltimore has won its last three season openers under John Harbaugh by a combined score of 80-10 and has produced victories in eight of 11 under their long-tenured head coach. Flacco started every one of those, capturing the first as a rookie, but he’s set to debut under center for the Broncos on Monday night.

South Florida native Lamar Jackson looks to improve on a 6-1 regular-season record as the Ravens’ starter and will look to ruin Brian Flores’ coaching debut with the Dolphins. Miami’s personnel moves point to it tanking for Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa this season, and that includes riding with veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick over Josh Rosen. RB Kenyan Drake is expected to get a lot of touches after being cleared from a foot injury that has bothered him the past few weeks. After dealing star left tackle Laremy Tunsil, Julien Davenport is likely to replace him on Miami’s new-look offensive line. The Ravens will have everyone on the roster available so long as rookie WR “Hollywood” Brown plays through a foot issue. This is a homecoming game for him too.

Chiefs (-3.5/51.5) at Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET: Kansas City WR Tyreek Hill avoided suspension and now gets another matchup with Jalen Ramsey, who called him a “return specialist” last season and held him to just four catches and 61 yards when they matched up for the first time last season. Ramsey is expected to shadow him throughout the field, so reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes should have the option to again feature Travis Kelce and take new toy LeSean McCoy out for a spin.

Jacksonville lost at Arrowhead 30-14 last Oct. 7 in a game where former starter Blake Bortles was intercepted four times. Former Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles was acquired in the offseason and looks to pull off a home upset to set the tone for a big year. After limited action in the preseason, we’ll finally get to see him debut despite abdominal soreness. Left tackle Cam Robinson (knee) and his backup, Cedric Ogbuehi (hamstring), appeared on this week’s injury report. The Chiefs are 5-1 in openers under Andy Reid, winning the last four. Four of those victories have come on the road, including the very first, a 28-2 rout in Jacksonville. The Jaguars have lost their last four matchups against Kansas City, last winning in 2009.

Titans at Browns (-5/45.5), 1 p.m. ET: Baker Mayfield looks to build on a spectacular rookie season by helping the Browns open a season with a victory for the first time 2004 after watching last season’s 20-20 tie against Pittsburgh as Tyrod Taylor’s backup in his debut. A lot has transpired over the past 12 months and new weapons Odell Beckham, Jr. and Kareem Hunt will be deployed here to try and help Mayfield move the ball against one of the NFL’s most talented secondaries. ODB is reportedly still dealing with a hip issue but should debut for the Browns. Safeties Kevin Byard and Kenny Vaccaro could ruin the party in Cleveland, where its team being favored at home was news less than a year ago.

Marcus Mariota held off the charge of the newly acquired Ryan Tannehill and has a new coordinator calling the shots with Arthur Smith replacing current Packers head coach Matt LaFleur. The game plan is expected to be heavy on ball control and running back, who broke out as a 1,000-yard rusher for the first time, scoring 12 touchdowns. He’ll be running behind a line that will have tackle Jack Conklin in the mix but could be without projected starting right guard Kevin Pamphile.

Rams (-1.5/50) at Panthers, 1 p.m. ET: Cam Newton has come through shoulder surgery and feels he’s sufficiently healed from a foot injury suffered in the third preseason game, so the Panthers’ offense should have some bite since he’ll be able to throw the ball downfield for a change. TE Greg Olson is also healthy, WR Curtis Samuel is expected to take a step forward and Christian McCaffrey emerged as one of the league’s best weapons, so Norv Turner has plenty to work with as he looks to match wits with Sean McVay.

The Rams gave Jared Goff $110 million guaranteed this past week, extending him in the hopes he’ll have more productive Super Bowls ahead of him. Todd Gurley, whose lack of involvement in the most recent NFL title game due to a knee injury was glaring, isn’t going to be on a pitch count as he attempts to pick up where he left off pre-injury. Carolina has won four of its past five season openers. The Rams went 7-2 SU (5-4 ATS) on the road last season.

Bengals at Seahawks (-9.5/44), 4:05 p.m. ET: With A.J. Green out for at least another month, the Bengals have had to install new head coach Zac Taylor’s offense with key receivers sidelined. The expectation is that they’ll unveil elements of his up-tempo offense that should feature backs Joe Mixon, Giovani Bernard and Samaje Perine. Undrafted rookie Damion Willis will fill in for Green opposite Tyler Boyd and top tackle Cordy Glenn could be sidelined with a concussion that would make an already unstable offensive line situation even worse.

Pete Carroll hasn’t gotten enough credit for rebuilding Seattle’s defense on the run the way he has, but they’ll be tested to start the season with games against the Steelers, Saints, Rams and Browns. We’ll see whether newcomers like Jadeveon Clowney, Ziggy Ansah, Al Woods and rookies L.J. Collier and Marquise Blair hit the ground running. Offensively, Russell Wilson has a new red-zone weapon in second-round pick D.K. Metcalf. The Seahawks have won 10 straight home openers, the last nine under Carroll, and have given up 16 or fewer points in all of them.

Colts at Chargers (-6.5/44.5), 4:05 p.m. ET: The Colts were just a three-point underdog when this line was released and Andrew Luck’s inclusion was still expected. After announcing his retirement, L.A. became a much heavier favorite despite the increasing likelihood that star RB Melvin Gordon wouldn’t be involved either. Still holding out and likely to be traded, Gordon will be absent as Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson try to replicate his production.

Indianapolis won’t find it as simple to replace Luck, although Jacoby Brissett has plenty of experience doing so after starting most of 2017. The Colts went 4-11 with him as the starter and saw him complete just two passes for two yards last season, but they’re hopeful that he can help salvage the season. Another former Pats backup, Brian Hoyer, will be the No. 2. The Chargers are 10-6 SU (6-10 ATS) at the Stub Hub Center, struggling to find a true homefield advantage in a building where opposing fans often outnumber those rooting for L.A. This will be the Colts’ first visit to this stadium after losing three of four in San Diego over the past 15 years.

49ers at Bucs (-1.5/50.5), 4:05 p.m. ET: Jimmy Garoppolo had a miserable preseason, both in games he played and in practices where he battled turnover issues. Coming off a torn ACL, he’s having trouble getting his timing back and could have a difficult time getting settled in if the Bucs are able to get after him as Todd Bowles debuts as Bruce Arians’ defensive coordinator. Rookie top pick Devin White debuts next to Lavonte David, who has been cleared to play after a knee issue.

Last year’s first-rounder, Vita Vea, also practiced in full. The 49ers will have center Weston Richburg available in addition to Joe Staley up front, but their defense could have issues in the back with Jimmie Ward (hand), Jason Verrett (ankle) and K’Waun Williams (knee) all questionable. No. 2 overall pick Nick Bosa is likely to debut as a third-down pass rusher despite being sidelined for weeks by a high ankle sprain. Since losing his first start, Tampa Bay QB Jameis Winston has won three straight openers.

Lions (-2.5/46) at Cardinals, 4:25 p.m. ET: For months, we’ve heard all about the Cardinals working in secret to get top pick Kyler Murray up to speed running Kliff Kingsbury’s high-octane offense. Can a college offense flourish in the NFL? Unsurprisingly, Kingsbury didn’t divulge much during the preseason, putting together vanilla game plans and essentially hiding how far along Arizona really is in installing his concepts in Year 1 of a very interesting experiment. The Lions open their second season under former Patriots defensive coordinator Matt Patricia, who has had months to decipher what might be coming in Glendale on Sunday by combing through Texas Tech and Oklahoma film. It’s certainly not ideal, but he should be prepared for what should be a chess match.

The Lions added Arizona training camp backup QB Charles Kanoff to their practice squad, hoping to seek further insight into what might be coming. Lions standout linebacker Jarrad Davis is questionable with an ankle injury while Arizona could be without LB Hassan Riddick. Cards’ right tackle Marcus Gilbert and Detroit center Frank Ragnow are expected to play through lower body injuries. If Matthew Stafford is coaxed into a shootout, he’ll be working against a secondary missing top corners Patrick Peterson (suspension) and Robert Alford (broken leg).

Giants at Cowboys (-7/45.5), 4:25 p.m. ET: Ezekiel Elliott probably won’t see his usual workload after just returning this week after signing a six-year $90 million extension, but he’ll start and is expected to have enough juice to help Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper fuel Dallas’ offense. Jason Witten is making his return to the NFL and Randall Cobb debuts. It remains to be seen how everything comes together since there hasn’t been much time devoted to working as a unit given Elliott’s holdout and Cooper’s heel injury. The Cowboys defense also has a few question with Robert Quinn suspended and Randy Gregory still not reinstated. New York will have Eli Manning at the controls for at least one more season opener as it looks to turn the page from the Odell era.

The Giants have dropped seven of their last eight openers and have dropped nine of 12 against the Cowboys, including four in succession. New York has won only one of its last six at AT&T Stadium, winning in Week 1 of 2016 thanks to a late TD pass from Manning to the now-retired Victor Cruz. We’ll see whether New York has solved its offensive line woes. It should help matters that new right tackle Mike Remmers (illness) is expected to play next to new right guard Kevin Zeitler.

Steelers at Patriots (-5.5/49.5), 8:20 p.m. ET: Tom Brady and Ben Roethlisberger will both be Hall of Famers and have eight Super Bowl wins between them but there’s an obvious pecking order that has really shone through in Foxboro. Although Pittsburgh won last season’s meeting in Week 15 last December, Brady has won all five games he’s played in against the Steelers at Gillette Stadium, throwing 18 touchdowns without being intercepted.

The 42-year-old Brady led New England to a 28-21 win over Pittsburgh in Week 1 of the ’15 season and has won three of his last four openers. He’ll have Demariyus Thomas as a target in addition to the recently reinstated Josh Gordon but Julian Edelman should remain his security blanket with Rob Gronkowski gone. Roethlisberger is expected to ride with Juju Smith-Schuster as his go-to with the trifling Antonio Brown causing headaches with the Raiders. With James Conner back, expect Pittsburgh to try and shorten the game by running the ball and attempting to control time of possession.

Brady should be able to excel through the air by picking on the fact the Steelers will have to start an inexperienced free safety in AAF product Kameron Kelly, who should start with Sean Davis unlikely to return from an ankle injury.

**Udog** · 09-07-2019, 07:37 AM

Gridiron Angles - Week 1
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
-- The Vikings are 10-0-1 ATS (7.59 ppg) since Nov 02, 2008 as a home favorite when the game total is at least 46.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
-- The Colts are 0-10 ATS (14.0 ppg) since 2008 in season opening games when the total is under 55.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
-- The Steelers are 7-0 ATS (7.00 ppg) since Oct 12, 2015 as a dog facing a team Ben Roethlisberger threw at least 2 touchdowns against last meeting.

SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:
-- Teams in week 1 with 4 or fewer losses (including playoffs) last season are 38-49-1 ATS. Active against LA Rams and New Orleans.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:
-- The Lions are 8-0 OU (10.38 ppg) since Sep 09, 2007 in the first game of the season.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
-- The Jets are 0-7 OU (-8.57 ppg) since Sep 15, 1991 at home when the total is over 40 with a Monday night game next.

**Udog** · 09-07-2019, 10:20 PM

Sunday Blitz - Week 1
Kevin Rogers

GAMES TO WATCH

Falcons at Vikings (-3 ½, 48) – 1:00 PM EST

Following consecutive playoff appearances which included the greatest Super Bowl meltdown of all-time, the Falcons slipped to 7-9 in 2018 and missed the postseason. Atlanta started 1-4 and could never break the .500 mark, while owning one of the worst ATS marks in the league by covering only five games. The Falcons didn’t defeat a single team that made the playoffs, but managed to win their final two road contests of the season at Carolina and Tampa Bay.

The Vikings took a step back following an NFC championship appearance in 2017 as Minnesota posted an 8-7-1 record last season. Kirk Cousins threw for 4,298 yards and 30 touchdowns in his first season with the Vikings, but the running game struggled following rookie Dalvin Cook’s ACL injury in Week 9. Minnesota won seven of eight home contests in 2017, but fell to 5-3 at U.S. Bank Stadium in 2018, while hitting the UNDER in six of eight home games last season.

This series has been owned by the Vikings the last few seasons as Minnesota has claimed all three meetings since 2014. However, the Vikings were listed as underdogs in all three victories, including in a 14-9 triumph in 2017 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium as two-point ‘dogs. Minnesota is hosting Atlanta for the first time since 2014, as the Vikings won 41-28 at TCF Bank Stadium on the campus of the University of Minnesota.

Best Bet: Falcons 21, Vikings 16

Rams (-2 ½, 50) at Panthers – 1:00 PM EST

The last four NFC champions have not returned to the Super Bowl, as Los Angeles looks to buck that trend this season. The Rams are coming off a 13-3 campaign, capped off by their second straight NFC West championship. Los Angeles won six of eight games away from the Coliseum, while owning a solid 13-3 mark on the highway under head coach Sean McVay. Following a 3-0 ATS start in 2018, the Rams slipped to 2-8-1 ATS in the next 11 games before covering four straight games, including the controversial NFC title win at New Orleans.

The Panthers were on their way to the playoffs after a fast 6-2 start, but Carolina fell on hard times by losing seven consecutive games before a victory in the season finale to finish 7-9. Carolina lost four games by six points or less during that dreadful stretch, including home setbacks to Seattle and New Orleans by three points each. The Panthers have fared well in openers the last few seasons by putting together a 4-1 SU/ATS record in Week 1 since 2014, while winning five straight home openers.

These two old division rivals haven’t seen much of each other recently with only three matchups since 2010. The Panthers edged the Rams, 13-10 at the Coliseum in 2016, while L.A. is making its first trip to Charlotte since 2013 in a 30-15 setback. Since McVay was hired in 2017, the Rams own a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS record in games played in the Eastern Time Zone, including a 30-16 victory at Detroit last season.

Best Bet: Rams 27, Panthers 23

Giants at Cowboys (-7, 45 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

The ongoing drama during the preseason regarding the contract status of Cowboys’ running back Ezekiel Elliott finally came to end just in time before the season opener. The former Ohio State standout agreed to a six-year, $90 million extension after sitting out the preseason as he will suit in Week 1. The Cowboys overcame a 3-5 start in 2018 to win seven of their final eight games to clinch the NFC East title. Although Dallas was knocked out by Los Angeles in the divisional playoffs, the Cowboys closed last season by compiling an 8-1 record at AT&T Stadium, which included the two-point Wild Card win over Seattle.

The Giants selected Duke’s Daniel Jones with their top pick in the draft to be the heir apparent to veteran Eli Manning under center. However, Jones will remain Manning’s backup to start the season as the Giants try to avoid their third consecutive last-place finish in the NFC East. New York finished 5-11 in 2018, but the Giants were a quality team to back away from Met Life Stadium as they compiled a 7-1 ATS mark on the road.

The lone ATS setback on the highway for the Giants in 2018 came at Dallas in a 20-13 defeat as three-point underdogs in Week 2. The Cowboys swept the Giants for the second consecutive season, while the past three matchups in Arlington have finished UNDER the total. New York is seeking its first win at Dallas since the 2016 opener when the Giants edged the Cowboys, 20-19 in Dak Prescott’s debut.

BEST TOTAL PLAY – (11-6 in 2018)

Under 50 ½ - Chiefs at Jaguars

Kansas City’s offense was the best in the league last season behind Patrick Mahomes and his 50 touchdown passes. The Chiefs head to Jacksonville to face the re-tooled Jaguars, who have more confidence in the quarterback position after signing with former Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles. However, Foles didn’t play much in the preseason and takes over an offense that scored 16 points or less in five home games last season. The Chiefs created five turnovers in a 30-14 blowout of the Jaguars last season at Arrowhead, while their road defensive numbers weren’t great but faced the likes of the Chargers, Steelers, Seahawks, Patriots, and Rams (who all ranked in the top eight in offense in the NFL).

TRAP OF THE WEEK

The pressure on the Cleveland Browns will be enormous this season following all the hype in the offseason. The Browns made drastic improvements last season by hanging around the playoff race nearly to the end, while winning seven games following a 1-31 stretch from 2016-17. The Titans finished with a better record than the Browns last season, while posting a perfect 3-0 ATS mark as a road underdog of four points or more. Cleveland closed as a favorite of more than a field goal once in 2018 as the Browns failed to cover in a 26-18 win as 10-point chalk against the Bengals (Browns did lead 26-3 late in fourth).

BIGGEST LINE MOVE

To no one’s surprise, the Colts moved from a 3 ½-point underdog against the Chargers when lines were released at the Westgate Superbook in April all the way up to 6 ½. Andrew Luck’s sudden retirement after the preseason jacked that line in Los Angeles’ favor as the Colts will turn to Jacoby Brissett for the season at quarterback. The positive sign for the Colts is they face a Chargers’ squad that posted a 2-5-1 ATS mark as a home favorite last season.

BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW

Eight teams feature new head coaches this season, including six men coaching their first ever regular season game. Last season, all six coaches in their team debuts lost (Chicago’s Matt Nagy, Detroit’s Matt Patricia, Indianapolis’ Frank Reich, New York’s Pat Shurmur, Oakland’s Jon Gruden, Tennessee’s Mike Vrabel). Three of those teams lost as a home underdog (Giants, Colts, Raiders), as the Cardinals and Dolphins both fall in that position in Week 1. This trend has been temporarily bucked by the Packers, as new head coach Matt LaFleur picked up his first win in Thursday’s 10-3 victory at Chicago.

**Udog** · 09-07-2019, 11:18 PM

Armadillo: Top six picks for Week 1 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Panthers +2.5, 845

5) Broncos even, 856

4) Buccaneers even, 862

3) Texans +7, 904

2) Colts +6.5, 1,052

1) Ravens -6.5, 1,080

**Udog** · 09-08-2019, 08:34 AM

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 1 (Thur., Sep. 5 - Mon., Sep. 9)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 1 (Thur., Sep. 5 - Mon., Sep. 9)

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